CAPSTONE
BUSINESS
SIMULATION
BACKGROUND 2
YOUR CUSTOMERS 2
BUYING CRITERIA 2
POSITIONING 3
PRICE, AGE AND RELIABILITY (MTBF) 4
SEGMENT CRITERIA 4
OPERATIONS 11
R&D 11
REPOSITIONING 11
MTBF ADJUSTMENT 11
PRODUCT INVENTION 11
PROJECT MANAGEMENT 11
A PRODUCT'S AGE 12
MARKETING 12
PRICE 12
PROMOTION (PROMO BUDGET) 12
PLACE (SALES BUDGET) 13
PRODUCT 13
SALES FORECASTING 14
PRODUCTION 14
PURCHASING CAPACITY 14
SELLING CAPACITY 14
DISCONTINUING A PRODUCT 14
AUTOMATION 14
CHANGING AUTOMATION 15
FINANCE 15
CURRENT DEBT 15
BONDS 16
STOCK 16
EMERGENCY LOANS 17
CREDIT POLICY 17
ADVANCED MODULES 17
PROFORMAS & ANNUAL REPORTS 18
BALANCE SHEET 18
CASH FLOW STATEMENT 18
INCOME STATEMENT 18
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 19
R&D 19
MARKETING 19
PRODUCTION 19
FINANCE 20
GETTING STARTED 21
DOWNLOAD CAPSTONE.XLS 21
REHEARSAL SIMULATION 21
PRACTICE ROUNDS 21
COMPETITION ROUNDS 21
INDEX 22
-1
1. BACKGROUND
INTHENEXTEIGHTYEARS,THE
SENSORMARKETWILLSEEA165%
INCREASEINUNITDEMAND.
GROWTHRATESVARYAMONGTHE
SUBMARKETS,OTHERWISEKNOWN
ASMARKETSEGMENTS.
SOME
SIMULATIONSUSE
ADVANCED
MODULES.THE
WEBSITEWILL
NOTIFYYOUIF
ADVANCED
MODULESHAVE
BEENACTIVATED.
Your company manufactures electronic sensors. Last year, global demand for sensors surged more than 12%.
Unprecedented opportunities exist for companies that adopt a leadership role in the market, either through a superior
product offering or aggressive pricing.
Although its financial results have been respectable, your company currently markets an aging product line. To
become a market leader, you must improve your products, increase productivity and remain profitable despite
downward price pressure.
Your company needs to revamp the management structure while coordinating strategy and tactics across all
functional areas:
Research & Development (R&D)
Marketing
Production
Finance
Your company uses a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet called Capstone.xls to formulate and transmit corporate
decisions. To download Capstone.xls, login at www.capsim.com and click the Making Decisions link. Managers have
an opportunity to learn how to use the spreadsheet by playing the Rehearsal Simulation. The spreadsheet will teach
you step by step the decision making process.
Your company selected you and your fellow managers because of your strategic vision and tactical skills.
During the next eight years, the company expects you to make it a market leader. Careful study of the remaining
sections will help greatly in this effort. Best of luck in running your company!
YOUR CUSTOMERS
Your customers are Original Equipment Manufacturers. They put your sensors into a range of products, from bio
hazard neutralization to security systems to manufacturing controls. Because so many products depend upon your
sensors, the sensor industry is growing and evolving fast. Even the oldest designs are less than eight years old.
Customers fall into five categories or market segments:
Traditional
Low End
High End
Performance
Size
BUYING CRITERIA
Each market segment demands sensors that fits its needs or criteria. Therefore, sensors for each segment vary in their
physical dimensions (size), and the speed with which they respond to changes in physical conditions (performance).
Combining size and performance creates a product attribute called positioning.
2-
POSITIONING
Positioning is such an important concept that marketers developed a tool to track the position of their products and those
of their competitors. This tool is called a perceptual map.
A product with a size of 12 and a
performance of 8 is positioned here.
Note that the perceptual map in Figure 1.1 measures size on the vertical axis and performance on the horizontal axis. A
product with a size of 12 and a performance of 8 is plotted at the point where the two lines intersect. That is the
products position.
Market segments have different positioning preferences. Therefore, each segment clusters in a different part of the map.
Low End customers want slow performing products that are large in size. They want products that fall inside the upper left
circles in Figure 1.2. High End customers want products that are fast performing and small in size. They want products
that fall within the circles to the lower right.
Over time, customers want products that are smaller and faster. This causes the segments to move or drift a little every
month. As the years progress, the drift becomes significant. Figure 1.3 shows the location of the market segments at the
end of the fourth year; Figure 1.4, at the end of the eighth.
High End, Performance and Size customers demand greater product improvement than Traditional and Low End
customers. Therefore, the High End, Performance and Size market segments drift at a faster rate. As time goes on, the
overlap between the segments decreases.
Figure 1.1
Perceptual Map
YOUANDYOURMANAGEMENTTEAMMUSTENSURETHATYOURPRODUCTLINEKEEPSUPWITHCHANGING
CUSTOMERDEMAND.TODOTHIS,PRODUCTSMUSTBEREPOSITIONEDTOSTAYWITHINTHEMOVINGSEGMENT
CIRCLES.PRODUCTSMUSTBEREDESIGNEDSOTHATTHEYARESMALLERINSIZEANDFASTERINPERFORMANCE.
MARKET
Low End
High End
Performance
Low End
Traditional
Size
Performance
Traditional
High End
High End
Size
Figure 1.2
Figure 1.3
Figure 1.4
SEGMENTSWILL
NOTMOVEFASTER
TOCATCHUP
WITHAPRODUCT
THATEXCEEDS
THEIR
EXPECTATIONS.
FOREXAMPLE,
HIGHEND
CUSTOMERSWILL
REFUSETOBUYA
PRODUCTTOTHE
LOWERRIGHTOF
THECIRCLES.
CUSTOMERSARE
ONLYINTERESTED
INPRODUCTS
THATFALL
WITHINTHEIR
SEGMENTSONTHE
PERCEPTUALMAP.
-3
EACHMARKETSEGMENT
EXPECTSDIFFERENT:
POSITIONING
AGERANGE
PRICERANGE
LEVELSOF
RELIABILITY,
MEASUREDIN
HOURSASMEAN
TIMEBETWEEN
FAILURE,ORMTBF
PRICERANGESINALLSEGMENTS
DROP$0.50PERYEAR.
FOREXAMPLE,THISYEAR,THE
TRADITIONALPRICERANGEWILL
BE$19.50$29.50,NEXTYEARIT
WILLBE$19.00$29.00.
Low End customers seek proven products, are indifferent to technological sophistication and are price motivated. Last
years buying criteria were:
Price, $15.00-$25.00 53% of decision;
Age, 7 years 24% of decision;
Positioning, performance 1.7 size 18.3 16% of decision;
Reliability (MTBF), 12,000-17,000 7% of decision.
POSITIONING
CRITERIAWILL
CHANGEIN
FUTUREYEARS!
AGEANDRELIABILITY
(MTBF)CRITERIAREMAIN
THESAMEYEARAFTERYEAR.
4-
Page 4, The Production Analysis, reports detailed information about each product in the market, including sales and
inventory levels, price, material cost and labor cost. The Production Analysis also reports plant capabilities
and utilization.
SEGMENT ANALYSES
The Market Segment Analyses, pages 5 - 9 of the Courier (Figure 2.2), review each market segment in detail.
The Statistics table in the upper-left corner of each analysis reports Total Industry Unit Demand, Actual Industry Unit
Sales, Segment % of Total Industry and the segments Growth Rate.
The Customer Buying Criteria table ranks in order of importance the customer criteria within each segment (these are the
criteria listed on page 4):
Positioning: The preferred product location as of December 31 of the previous year, also called the ideal spot ideal
spots drift with the segments, moving a little each month;
Price: Every year on January 1, price ranges drop by $0.50;
Age: Age preferences stay the same year after year;
Reliability: MTBF requirements stay the same year after year.
The perceptual map shows the position of each product in the segment as of December 31of the previous year.
The Accessibility Chart (Figure 2.3 on page 6) rates each companys level of accessibility. Accessibility is determined by
the Marketing Departments sales budget the higher the budget, the higher the accessibility. Accessibility is measured by
percentage, 0 to 100. 100% accessibility means every customer has the ability to locate your product.
Figure 2.2
-5
The Market Share Actual vs. Potential Chart (Figure 2.3) displays two bars per company. The actual bar reports the
market percentage each company attained in the segment. The potential bar indicates what the company deserved to
sell in the segment. If the potential bar is higher than the actual, the company under produced and missed sales
opportunities. If the potential is lower than the actual, the company picked up sales because other companies either
under produced or marketed products that were unacceptable to the segment.
Top Products in Segment: This table ranks the products selling in the segment, and reports:
Market Share
Units Sold to Segment
Revision Date
Stock Out (whether the product ran out of inventory)
Performance and Size coordinates
Price
MTBF
The products Age on Dec.31
Promotion and Sales Budgets
Figure 2.3
Segment Analysis
Accessibility and Market
Share Actual vs. Potential
Charts.
USETHECUSTOMERSURVEYASAQUICK
COMPARISONTOOLWHENCONDUCTINGA
COMPETITIVEANALYSIS.
The December Customer Survey (Figure 2.4) indicates how customers perceive the products in the segment. The
survey evaluates the product against the buying criteria. 0% indicates the product meets none of their criteria. A
perfect score of 100% results in part when the product:
Is priced at the bottom of the expected range;
Is perfectly positioned (because the segment moves each
month, this can occur only once each year);
Has an MTBF specification at the top of the expected range;
Has the ideal age for that segment (because the product ages
each month, it can only have the ideal age once a year).
Figure 2.4
6-
In the Fine Cut, customers evaluate products against the four buying criteria listed on page 4:
Positioning
Age
Price
Reliability (MTBF)
Each segment assigns different importance to each criteria.
For detailed information, see the Online Manager Guide
-7
Figure 3.2
Figure 3.4
8-
In the Fine Cut, customers assess each products age and award a score
based upon their preferences. For example, Traditional customers prefer
products that are 2 years old. Products with that age are given a score of
10 (see Figure 3.3). Age assessments vary from segment to segment (see
Figures 3.4 through 3.7). The Buying Criteria on the Couriers Segment
Analyses report the age preference and its overall importance to the
purchase decision.
Figure 3.5
Figure 3.6
Figure 3.3
Traditional customers
prefer products in the
2 year range.
Figure 3.7
BUYERS MARKET
In a buyers market, products priced $1 above or below the segment guideline lose about 20% of their sales potential.
Products continue to lose approximately 20% of their potential for each dollar above or below the guideline, on up to $5,
at which point they lose all sales potential.
CUSTOMERSAREINDIFFERENTTO
PRODUCTSWITHMTBFSABOVE
THEGUIDELINE.
Products with an MTBF 1,000 hours below the segment guideline lose about 20% of their sales potential. Products
continue to lose approximately 20% for every 1,000 hours below the guideline, on up to 5,000 hours, at which point they
lose all sales potential.
SELLERS MARKET
In a sellers market, products can be priced up to $4.99 above the price range without losing any sales potential. customers
dislike the price, but they must have something. However, at $5 above the range products lose all sales potential;
customers refuse to pay the price.
Products can have MTBFs 4,900 hours below the range without losing sales potential. However, at 5,000 hours below the
range, products lose all sales potential.
-9
Table 3.1
Traditional
Low End
High End
Performance
Size
32.4%
39.3%
11.2%
8.4%
8.7%
Table 3.2
However, the Traditional and Low End growth rates trail the
growth rates for High End, Performance and Size (Table 3.2).
Traditional
Low End
High End
Performance
Size
9.2%
11.7%
16.2%
19.8%
18.3%
Table 3.3
27.5
Low End
High End
37.3%
12.9%
Performance
11.3%
Size
11.0%
THELOWENDCUSTOMERSARE
MOSTCONCERNEDABOUTTHE
SENSORSPRICE,WHILEHIGHEND
ANDSIZECUSTOMERSARELEAST
CONCERNEDABOUTPRICE.
Table 3.4
Traditional
32.3%
Table 3.5
High End
31.0%
15.6%
Performance
10.4%
Size
10.7%
Traditional
27.6%
10-
Low End
Low End
High End
28.2%
17.7%
Traditional
Five years from now, High End, Performance and Size will
command a greater percentage of the overall market (Table 3.3).
Performance
13.4%
Size
13.1%
4. OPERATIONS
YOURR&DDECISIONSARE
FUNDAMENTALTOYOURMARKETINGAND
PRODUCTIONPLANS.INMARKETING,R&D
ADDRESSES:
THEPOSITIONINGOFEACH
PRODUCTINSIDEAMARKET
SEGMENTONTHEPERCEPTUAL
MAP;
THENUMBEROFPRODUCTSIN
EACHSEGMENT;
THEAGEOFYOURPRODUCTS;
THERELIABILITYOFEACHPRODUCT
(ITSMTBFRATING).
INPRODUCTION,R&DAFFECTSORIS
AFFECTEDBY:
THECOSTOFMATERIAL;
THEPURCHASEOFNEWFACILITIES
TOBUILDNEWPRODUCTS;
LEVELSOFAUTOMATIONFORA
PRODUCT(ANDITSLABORCOST).
Each company starts the simulation with five products. Your company has one product for each segment. You have one
assembly line per product. Products can be terminated or added. Your company must have at least one product and cannot
have more than eight.
You and your fellow managers make business decisions on January 1 of each year. They are then executed by your
employees. Industry results are published in The Capstone Courier, which can be viewed from the websites Reports link
and from the Last Years Reports menu in Capstone.xls.
R&D
The Research & Development Department invents new products and changes specifications for existing products.
Changing size and/or performance repositions a product on the perceptual map (see Figure 1.1 on page 3). Improving
performance and shrinking size moves the product toward the lower-right on the map.
All R&D projects begin on January 1. If a product does not have a project already underway, you can launch a new project
for that product. However, if a project begun in a previous year has not finished on January 1, you will not be able to
launch a new project for that product (the decision entry cells on the R&D spreadsheet in Capstone.xls will be locked).
REPOSITIONING
A repositioning project moves an existing product from one location on the perceptual map to a new location, generally
(but not always) down and to the right.
Repositioning requires a new size attribute and/or a new performance attribute. To keep up with segment drift, products
must be made smaller (that is, decrease its size) and better performing (that is, increase its performance).
IMPROVINGPOSITIONINGAND
RELIABILITYWILLMAKEA
PRODUCTMOREAPPEALINGTO
CUSTOMERS,BUTDOINGSO
INCREASESMATERIALCOST.
MTBF ADJUSTMENT
The reliability rating, or MTBF, for existing products can be adjusted up or down. Lowering an MTBF decreases
material cost.
PRODUCT INVENTION
IFYOUDONTBUYTHEPRODUCTION
LINETHEYEARPRIORTOITS
INTRODUCTION,YOUCANNOT
MANUFACTUREYOURNEWPRODUCT!
WHENPRODUCTSARECREATEDORMOVED
CLOSETOEXISTINGPRODUCTS,R&D
COMPLETIONTIMESDIMINISH.THISIS
BECAUSEYOURR&DDEPARTMENTCAN
TAKEADVANTAGEOFEXISTING
TECHNOLOGY.
New products are assigned a name (the first letter of all new products should match the first letter of the company name),
size, performance and MTBF. Of course, these specifications should conform to the intended market segment.
All new products require a production line. The Production Department must order equipment one year in advance.
Invention projects take 1.3 to 2.3 years to complete.
PROJECT MANAGEMENT
Segment circles on the perceptual map move at speeds ranging from 0.7 to 1.3 units each year. You must plan to move
your products (or retire them) as the simulation progresses.
Generally, the longer the move on the perceptual map, the longer it takes the R&D Department to complete the project.
Project lengths can be as short as three months, or as long as three years. R&D project lengths will increase when
-11
companies put two or more products into R&D at the same time when this happens each R&D project takes longer.
It is important to verify completion dates after all decisions have been entered.
IFTHEPROJECTLENGTHTAKES
MORETHANAYEAR,THE
CHANGESWILLNOTAPPEARIN
THENEXTCAPSTONECOURIER.
THISISBECAUSETHEPRODUCTIS
STILLINR&D,ANDTHEOLD
PRODUCTATTRIBUTESWILLBE
REPORTED.
THESENUMBERSCHANGEWHENTHE
ADVANCEDMARKETINGMODULEIS
ACTIVATED.SEEADVANCED
MARKETINGINTHEONLINE
MANAGERGUIDEFORCOMPLETE
INFORMATION.
THESEGMENTANALYSES
REPORTAWARENESS.SEE
FIGURE2.4ONPAGE 6.
Usually you want repositioning projects to finish in less than a year. For example, consider breaking an 18 month
project into two separate projects, with the first stage ending just before the end of the current year, and the second
ending halfway through the following year.
A PRODUCTS AGE
It is possible for a product to go from an age of 4 years to 2 years. How can this be? When repositioning projects
conclude, customers do not perceive the modified product to be new, but they do not perceive the product to be the
same age as it was prior to modification. As a compromise, customers mentally cut the age in half.
Age criteria vary from segment to segment. For example Traditional customers prefer an age of 2 years. This
accounts for 47% of the Traditional customers purchase decision. If a Traditional products age approaches 3 years,
customers will begin to turn away (see Figure 3.3 on page 8). Repositioning the product will drop the age from 3 to
1.5 years, and customers become interested again.
MARKETING
Marketing is concerned with the 4 Ps:
Price
Promotion
Place
Product
PRICE
Price was discussed in PRICE IN THE ROUGH CUT on page 7 and PRICE IN THE FINE CUT on page 9. To
review, demand falls to zero when prices go $5.00 above or below the expected price range.
Price drives the products contribution to profit margin. Dropping the price increases demand but reduces profit per
unit. Segment price ranges fall at a rate of $0.50 per year. For example, last year Traditional customers expected a
price between $20.00 and $30.00. This year, the Traditional price range will be $19.50-$29.50, next year it will be
$19.00-$29.00, etc. This puts pressure on companies to improve their cost structures.
12-
Increases in Promotion
Budget have diminishing
returns. The first $1,500,000
buys 36% awareness;
Spending another $1,500,000
(for a total of $3,000,000)
buys approximately 50%. The
second $1,500,000 buys only
14% more awareness.
A percentage of your customers know about your product. This is called awareness. 50% awareness indicates half of
the customers know your product exists. From one year to the next, a third of those who know about your product
forget about it. If a product ended last year with an awareness of 50%, this year it will start with an awareness of
approximately 33%. This years promotion budget builds from 33%.
A $1,500,000 promotion budget would add 36% to the starting awareness, for a total awareness of 69%
(33% + 36% = 69%). A $3,000,000 budget would add 50% to the starting awareness, only 14% more than the
$1,500,000 expenditure (33% + 50% = 83%). This is because further expenditures tend to reach customers who
already know about the product (see Figure 4.1).
Once your product achieves 100% awareness, you can scale back the products promotion budget to around $1,400,000.
This will maintain 100% awareness year after year.
THE$250,000FEEANDTHE50%
AWARENESSWILLNOTBEREFLECTED
INTHEMARKETINGSPREADSHEETIN
CAPSTONE.XLS.THEYWILLAPPEAR
INTHENEXTCAPSTONECOURIER
ANDANNUALREPORT.
When new products are invented, they are considered newsworthy events. Awareness is created quickly with a public
relations campaign. At launch you automatically are charged a $250,000 fee for marketing rollout and public relations.
This fee earns a new product a starting awareness of 50%.
Suppose no team promotes their products and all have 0% awareness. Customers would rely upon their own research.
Sales would be distributed based upon the merits of those products that pass the fine cut.
Suppose all products enjoyed 100% awareness. Again, sales would be distributed based upon the merits of those products
that pass the fine cut. Now suppose your product has not been promoted for many years while competitors have
aggressively promoted their products. Your awareness is 0%, their awareness is 100%. Your product would achieve about
half the demand it would have received if it also had 100% awareness.
YOURCOMPANYALLOCATESASALES
BUDGETFOREACHPRODUCT.THESALES
FORCEDRUMSUPDEMANDFORTHE
PRODUCTITREPRESENTS.FOREXAMPLE,
SUPPOSEACUSTOMERISCONSIDERING
TWOIDENTICALPRODUCTS.YOUR
COMPANYHASASALESPERSON
PRESENT,YOURCOMPETITORDOESNOT.
YOUWILLMAKETHESALETWOOUTOF
THREETIMES.IFYOURCOMPETITORS
SALESPERSONISPRESENTANDYOURSIS
NOT,YOURCOMPETITORWILLMAKE
THESALETWOOUTOFTHREETIMES.
THESEGMENTANALYSES
REPORTACCESSIBILITY.SEE
FIGURE2.3ONPAGE 6.
THESENUMBERSCHANGE
WHENTHEADVANCED
MARKETINGMODULEIS
ACTIVATED.SEEADVANCED
MARKETINGINTHEONLINE
MANAGERGUIDEFOR
COMPLETEINFORMATION.
1. Customer access to the product depends on the accessibility strength in the segment.
2. The more products you have in a segment, the stronger your distribution channels, support systems, etc. This is
because each products sales budget contributes to the strength of the segments accessibility.
3. Achieving 100% accessibility is difficult. Teams must have two products inside the segment. Each product
experiences diminishing returns at a sales budget of $3,000,000. However, the segments overall diminishing
return is not reached until the two budgets total $4,500,000 (for example, two products with sales budgets of
$2,250,000 each). Once you reach 100% accessibility, you can scale back the segments total sales budget to
around $4,000,000 to maintain 100%.
Think of awareness and accessibility as before and after the sale. The Promo Budget drives awareness, which
persuades the customer to look at your product. The Sales Budget drives accessibility, which governs everything during
and after the sale. The Promo Budget is spent on advertising and public relations. The Sales Budget is spent on
distribution, order entry, sales budgets, customer service, etc.
PRODUCT
Product is the primary concern of your R&D Department. It controls the three factors that affect design:
Positioning
Age
Reliability (MTBF)
For detailed information, see the Online Manager Guide
-13
SALES FORECASTING
Accurate sales forecasting is a key element to team success. Manufacturing too many units results in extra time/
material costs and inventory carrying costs. Manufacturing too few units means stock outs and lost sales, which can
be even more costly. See Sales Forecasting in the Online Manager Guide for complete information.
PRODUCTION
The Production Department schedules manufacturing runs for each sensor product. Your production plant has five
lines with room for three more.
Each assembly line is unique to the product it manufactures. You cannot move a product from one assembly line to
another because automation levels vary and each product requires special tooling.
CAPACITY
First shift capacity is defined as the number of products that can be produced on an assembly line (that is, without a
second shift) in a single year. Assembly lines can produce up to twice their first shift capacity with a second shift. For
example, an assembly line with a capacity of 2,000,000 units per year could produce 4,000,000 units with a second
shift. However, second shift wages are 50% higher than the first shift.
PURCHASING CAPACITY
Each new unit of capacity costs $6 for the floor space plus $4 times the automation rating. The production
spreadsheet in Capstone.xls calculates the exact cost.
SELLING CAPACITY
Capacity can be sold at the beginning of the year for $0.65 on the dollar value of the original investment. You can
replace the capacity in later years, but you have to pay full price.
If you sell capacity for less than its depreciated value, you lose money, which is reflected as a write-off on your
income statement. If you sell capacity for more than its depreciated value, you make a gain on the sale. This will be
reflected as a negative write-off on the income statement (see INCOME STATEMENT on page 18).
DISCONTINUING A PRODUCT
If you sell all the capacity on a production line, Capstone interprets this as a liquidation instruction and will sell your
remaining inventory for half the average cost of production. Capstone writes off the loss on your income statement. If
you sell all but one unit of capacity, your inventory will not be liquidated and it can be sold for full price.
LABORCOSTSINCREASE
EACHYEARBECAUSEOF
THEANNUALRAISEIN
LABORSCONTRACT.
OPTIONALLABOR
NEGOTIATIONSANDTHE
HUMANRESOURCE
MODULEALSOAFFECT
LABORCOSTS.
14-
AUTOMATION
Automation levels are given a scale of 1.0 to 10.0. 1.0 is the lowest automation, 10.0 the highest. At the beginning of
the simulation all assembly lines have an automation level between 3.0 and 5.0.
As automation levels increase, the number of labor hours required to produce each unit falls. At an automation rating
of 1.0, labor costs are highest. At a rating of 10.0, labor costs fall about 90%. Each additional point of automation
decreases labor costs approximately 10%.
IFYOUREDUCEAUTOMATION,
YOUWILLINCURARETOOLING
COST.THENETRESULTISYOU
WILLBEPAYINGMONEYTO
MAKEYOURPLANTLESS
EFFICIENT.WHILEREDUCED
AUTOMATIONWILLSPEEDR&D
REDESIGNS,BYANDLARGEITIS
NOTWISETOREDUCEAN
AUTOMATIONLEVEL.
Despite its attractiveness, two factors should be considered before raising automation:
Automation is expensive: At $4 per point of automation, raising automation from 1.0 to 10.0 costs $40 per unit
of capacity;
As you raise automation, it becomes increasingly difficult for R&D to reposition products short distances. At an
automation level of 1.0 it is possible to move a product 1.7 units on the perceptual map in a single year. At 10.0 it
takes 1.1 years to move a product 0.1 units. This relationship does not apply to long moves on the map. You can
move a product a long distance at any automation level, but the project will take between 2.5 and 3.0 years.
CHANGING AUTOMATION
For each point of change, up or down, the company is charged $4 per unit of capacity. For example, if a line has a capacity
of 1,000,000 units, the cost of changing the automation level from 5.0 to 6.0 would be $4,000,000 Reducing automation
does not have the same effect as selling capacity. You will not receive cash for lowering your automation, but will be
billed instead.
FINANCE
Your Finance Department is primarily concerned with five issues:
1. Acquiring the capital needed for company activities. Capital can be acquired through:
Current Debt
Stock Issues
Bond Issues (Long Term Debt)
Profits
2. Establishing a stock dividend policy that maximizes the return to shareholders.
3. Setting credit policies for customers and suppliers (which are set on the marketing spreadsheet).
4. Driving the financial structure of the firm, its relationship between debt and equity.
5. Selecting and monitoring performance measures that support your strategy.
CURRENT DEBT
ASAGENERALRULE
COMPANIESFUNDSHORT
TERMOBLIGATIONSLIKE
ACCOUNTSPAYABLE,
INVENTORYEXPANSIONS
ORINCREASESIN
ACCOUNTSRECEIVABLE
POLICYWITHCURRENT
DEBT.
Your bank issues current debt in one year notes. The finance spreadsheet in Capstone.xls displays the amount of current
debt due from the previous year. The company can roll that debt by simply borrowing the same amount again. There are
no brokerage fees for current debt.
Interest rates are a function of your debt level. The more debt you have relative to your assets, the more risk you present to
debt holders and the higher the current debt rates.
Current debt amounts are limited to 75% of the value of Accounts Receivables (A/R) plus 50% of the value of your
inventory. Banks will look at the combined value from your proforma balance sheet, which is the forecast for the current
year, and the annual report balance sheet from last year. Banks will allow the larger of the two amounts when calculating
the limit (see PROFORMAS & ANNUAL REPORTS on page 18).
-15
ASAGENERALRULE,BONDISSUESARE
USEDTOFUNDLONGTERM
INVESTMENTSINCAPACITYAND
AUTOMATION.
ABONDWITHAFACEAMOUNT
$10,000,000COULDCOST
$11,000,000TOREPURCHASEEARLY
BECAUSEOFFLUCTUATIONSIN
INTERESTRATESANDYOURCREDIT
WORTHINESS.
IFTHEFACEAMOUNTOFBOND
12.6S2009WERE$1,000,000,THE
$1,000,000REPAYMENTIS
ACKNOWLEDGEDINYOURREPORTS
ANDSPREADSHEETSINTHEFOLLOWING
MANNER:YOURANNUALREPORTS
FROMDECEMBER31,2009WOULD
REFLECTANINCREASEINCURRENT
DEBTOF$1,000,000OFFSETBYA
DECREASEINLONGTERMDEBTOF
$1,000,000.
THE2009SPREADSHEETWILLLISTTHE
BONDBECAUSEYOUAREMAKING
DECISIONSONJANUARY1,2009,WHEN
THEBONDSTILLEXISTS.YOUR2010
SPREADSHEETWOULDSHOWA
$1,000,000INCREASEINCURRENTDEBT
ANDTHEBONDNOLONGERAPPEARS.
BONDS
All bonds are ten year notes. Your company pays a 5% brokerage fee for issuing bonds. The first three digits of the
bond, the series number, reflect the interest rate. The last four digits indicate the year in which the bond is due. The
numbers are separated by the letter S which stands for series. For example, a bond with the number 12.6S2009 has
an interest rate of 12.6% and is due December 31, 2009.
Bondholders will lend total amounts up to 80% of the value of your plant and equipment (the Production
Departments capacity and automation). Each bond issue pays a coupon, the annual interest payment, to investors.
If the face amount or principal of bond 12.6S2009 were $1,000,000, then the holder of the bond would receive a
payment of $126,000 every year for ten years. The holder would also receive the $1,000,000 principal at the end of
the tenth year. Each year your company is given a credit rating that ranges from AAA (best) to D (worst). In
Capstone, ratings are evaluated by comparing your short term interest rates with the prime rate.
If your company has no debt at all, your company is awarded a AAA bond rating. As your debt-to-assets ratio
increases, your short term interest rates increase. Your bond rating slips one category for each additional 0.5% in
interest. For example, if the prime rate is 10%, and your short term interest rate is 10.5%, then you would be given a
AA bond rating instead of a AAA. When issuing new bonds, the interest rate will be 1.4% over the current debt
interest rates. If your current debt interest rate is 12.1% then the bond rate will be 13.5%.
You can buy back outstanding bonds before their due date. A 1.5% brokerage applies. Buying back bonds reduces
interest payments. These bonds are repurchased at their market value or street price on January 1 of the current year.
The street price is determined by the amount of interest the bond pays and your credit worthiness. It is therefore
different from the face amount of the bond.
Bonds are retired in the order they were issued: The oldest bonds retire first. There are no brokerage fees for bonds
that are allowed to mature to their due date.
If a bond remains on December 31 of the year it becomes due, your banker borrows current debt to pay off the
principal. This, in effect, converts the bond to current debt. This amount is combined with any other current debt due
at the beginning of the next year.
STOCK
Stock issue transactions take place at the current market price. Your company pays a 5% brokerage fee for
issuing stock.
ASAGENERALRULE,STOCK
ISSUESAREUSEDTOFUNDLONG
TERMINVESTMENTSIN
CAPACITYANDAUTOMATION.
DIVIDENDSAREPAIDTO
STOCKHOLDERSINQUARTERLY
INSTALLMENTSATARATEPERSHARE
THATYOUESTABLISHATTHE
BEGINNINGOFTHEYEAR.FOR
EXAMPLE,IFYOUSETADIVIDEND
POLICYOF$2.00PERSHARE,THE
DIVIDENDWOULDBEPAIDDURING
THEYEARINFOUR$0.50
INSTALLMENTS.
16-
THETOTALAMOUNT
APPEARSINTHEDUETHIS
YEARCELLONTHE
FINANCESPREADSHEETIN
CAPSTONE.XLS.
EMERGENCY LOANS
Financial transactions are carried on throughout the year directly from your cash account. If you manage your cash
position poorly, Capstone will give you an Emergency Loan to cover the shortfall.
The loan comes from a gentleman named Big Al, who arrives at your door with a checkbook and a smile. Big Al gives
you a loan exactly equal to the shortfall. You pay one years worth of current debt interest on the loan, and Big Al adds a
7.5% penalty fee on top to make it worth his while. For example, suppose the current debt interest rate is 10%, and you are
short $10,000,000 on December 31. You pay one years worth of interest on the $10,000,000 ($1,000,000) plus an
additional 7.5% or $750,000 penalty.
The emergency loan is combined with any other current debt due at the beginning of the next year. You do not need to do
anything special to repay it. However, you need to decide what to do with the current debt (pay it off, re-borrow it, etc.).
The interest penalty only applies to the year in which the emergency loan is taken, not to future years.
CREDIT POLICY
Your company determines the number of days between transactions and payments. For example, your company could
give customers 30 days to pay their bills (accounts receivable) while holding up payment to suppliers for 60 days
(accounts payable).
Shortening the A/R (accounts receivable) lag from 30 to 15 days in effect extracts a loan from customers. Similarly,
extending the A/P (accounts payable) lag from 30 to 45 days extracts a loan from your suppliers.
The accounts receivable lag impacts sales. If your company offers no credit terms, sales potential falls to about 65% of
maximum. At 30 days, sales potential is 92%. At 60 days, sales potential is 98.5%. At 120 days there is no reduction. The
longer the lag, the more cash is tied up in receivables.
CUSTOMERANDSUPPLIER
CREDITPOLICIESARESETON
THEMARKETINGSPREADSHEET
INCAPSTONE.XLS.
The accounts payable lag has implications for production. Suppliers become concerned as the lag grows and they start to
withhold material for production. At 30 days, they withhold 1%. At 60 days, they withhold 8%. At 90 days, they withhold
26%. At 120 days, they withhold 63%. At 150 days, they withhold all material. Withholding material creates shortages on
the production line, workers stand idle and per-unit labor costs rise.
5. ADVANCED MODULES
Instructors can activate four advanced modules:
Advanced Marketing
Human Resources
Labor Negotiations
Total Quality Management
The website will notify you if the modules are active. If they are, you will find complete documentation in the Advanced
Module section of the Online Manager Guide.
-17
BALANCE SHEET
The balance sheet identifies what is owned by the company, and by whom. Assets always equal liabilities & owners
equity. Liabilities & owners equity represent who owns those assets. Creditors have claim to the accounts payable
(suppliers), current debt (bankers), and long term debt (bondholders). Stockholders have claim to the common stock.
Management controls retained earnings, the portion of profits that is not returned to shareholders as dividends.
Proforma Balance
Sheet. This is a
projection of the results
of the upcoming round
based upon the
companys decisions.
REMEMBER,THEPROFORMA
REPORTSAREONLYAS
ACCURATEASTHEMARKETING
SALESFORECASTS.
YOUMIGHTWANTTOPRINTYOUR
PROFORMAINCOMESTATEMENT
AFTERFINALIZINGYOURDECISIONS,
THENCOMPAREITTOTHEACTUAL
RESULTSINTHEANNUALREPORTS.
SG&A,ORSALES&GENERAL
ADMINISTRATIONCOSTS
INCLUDESR&D,PROMOTION,
SALESANDADMINCOSTS.
18-
INCOME STATEMENT
The income statement is an indispensable tool. Your company can quickly diagnose problems with excess inventory,
insufficient profits or excess interest payments. The income statement provides a record
of profits and losses by comparing revenues and expenses on a product by product basis.
Sales are reported in dollars (not the number of products). Subtracting variable
costs from sales determines the contribution margin, which generally should be 30%
or more. Inventory carry costs are driven by the number of products in the warehouse.
If your company has $0 inventory carry costs, you stocked out of the product and most
likely missed sales opportunities. If your company has excessive inventory, your carry
costs will be high. Sound sales forecasts matched to reasonable production schedules
will result in a modest inventory carry costs.
Period costs are the sum of deprecation and SG&A costs. Period costs are subtracted
from the contribution margin to determine the net margin.
Depreciation is an accounting principle that allows companies to reduce the value of
their capacity and automation. Each year, some of the value is used up. It decreases
the firms tax liability by reducing net profits, and provides a more accurate picture of
a companys value. Depreciation is reflected as a gain on the cash flow statement,
but is expensed on the income statement. Net Profit impacts many of the financial
measures associated with business success, including earnings per share, which
drives stock price and market capitalization.
Figure 6.2
Annual Report
Income Statement. This
shows the results from
the previous year.
7. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Your company manufactures electronic sensors. Activities are divided into four primary functional areas:
Research and Development or R&D
Marketing
Production
Finance
R&D
The Research & Development Department controls the companys product line. The line currently has five sensor models,
and can grow to as many as eight.
Figure 7.1
R&D spreadsheet
MARKETING
Figure 7.2
Marketing
spreadsheet
PRODUCTION
Figure 7.3
Production
spreadsheet
The Production Department schedules manufacturing runs for each sensor. The department is also responsible for
purchasing or selling production capacity, and for determining automation levels.
The Production Department has five assembly lines with room for three more each sensor requires its own assembly line.
The department determines production schedules based on sales forecasts from the Marketing Department.
For detailed information, see the Online Manager Guide
-19
Each assembly line has a first shift capacity. The capacity reflects the number of sensors that can be produced each
year with an eight hour shift. The company can schedule a second eight hour shift, which allows the company to
manufacture up to twice capacity, however second shift labor costs are 50% higher than first shift.
The department also buys and sells production capacity for each assembly line. Higher capacities increase the number
of sensors that can be manufactured each year. In addition to capacity, assembly lines have automation ratings.
Higher automation decreases labor costs because machines replace workers.
The cost to purchase more assembly line capacity varies depending on the automation rating. For example,
purchasing an additional 100,000 units of capacity for a line with an automation rating of 3.0 costs $1,800,000;
100,000 units of capacity with an automation of 5.0 costs $2,600,000 the line with the automation of 5.0 is more
expensive because it requires more machines. The production spreadsheet in Capstone.xls calculates the exact cost.
Your company can sell underutilized capacity for 65 percent of the purchase price.
Selling all of an assembly lines capacity discontinues the associated sensor it is no longer available for sale.
FINANCE
R&D, marketing and production decisions require money. The Finance Department must ensure all company
activities are funded. While it is possible to fund activities entirely from cash flow, it is unlikely to happen in the early
years. The company will need to turn to the capital markets.
Figure 7.4
Finance spreadsheet
20-
8. GETTING STARTED
DOWNLOAD CAPSTONE.XLS
Capstone.xls is a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet. You will use Capstone.xls to enter simulation decisions and send them to
the website. To download Capstone.xls, login at www.capsim.com and click the Making Decisions link.
REHEARSAL SIMULATION
Typically, Capstone simulations begin with participants reviewing the simulation environment via an individual
Rehearsal Simulation. The Rehearsal Simulation teaches the basics; it quickly gets participants up the decision entry
learning curve.
Open Capstone.xls with Microsoft Excel. If asked, be sure to enable macros. If the Enable Macros button is grayed
out, click the Always Trust checkbox. This will activate the Enable Macros button (Figure 8.1);
A dialogue box will appear. Select The Rehearsal Simulation;
Enter your User ID and password. The spreadsheet will download your information.
Figure 8.1
The spreadsheet will coach you through four rehearsal rounds, which you can play on your own prior to joining a
company. As you complete each rehearsal round, be sure to click File|Save Decisions. At that time, the spreadsheet will
ask if you wish to advance to the next round.
PRACTICE ROUNDS
THE WEBSITE WILL NOT RECORD
YOUR REHEARSAL SIMULATION
RESULTS BEFORE YOU ADVANCE TO
REHEARSAL ROUND 2.
Practice rounds are different from the rehearsal simulation. Working as a group, you and your fellow managers will
implement practice strategies and tactics.
To begin Practice rounds, open Capstone.xls and select Work On My Companys
Official Decisions.
The spreadsheet will ask for your User ID and password, then download the latest company information, including any
decisions made by other members of the company. Use the practice rounds to organize work procedures and assignments
(see Role Assignment in the Online Manager Guide for further information).
COMPETITION ROUNDS
At the conclusion of the practice rounds, the simulation is reset and the real competition (and learning) begins. You take
the reigns of a $100 million company and become the driving force behind its strategy and tactics. In a matter of weeks,
you will go through up to eight years in the life of the company. You make decisions January 1 of each simulated year,
and live with those decisions until January 1 of the following year.
To begin Competition rounds, open Capstone.xls and select Work On My Companys
Official Decisions.
The spreadsheet will ask for your User ID and password, then download the latest company information.
Best of luck with the simulation!
-21
INDEX
A
A/P 17
A/R 15, 17
Accessibility 5, 6, 13, 19
Accounts Payable 15, 17, 18, 20
Accounts Receivable 15, 17, 20
Actual Sales 6
Age 4, 5, 6, 8, 11, 12
Annual Reports 18
Automation 11, 14, 15, 19, 20
Awareness 6, 12, 13, 19
F
Finance 15, 20
Fine Cut 7, 8, 9, 13
B
Balance Sheet 5, 15, 18
Bonds 15, 16, 18, 20
Book Value 16
Buyers Market 9
Buying Criteria 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
L
Labor 11, 14, 17, 20
Long Term Debt 15, 16, 18, 20
Low End 3, 4, 10
C
Capacity 14, 20
Capstone Courier 5, 7, 11, 12, 13
Capstone.xls 2, 21
Cash Flow Statement 18
Competition Rounds 21
Create a Product 11, 13, 19
Current Debt 15, 16, 17, 18, 20
Customers 2, 3, 4, 6, 7
D
Discontinue a Product 14, 20
Dividend 15, 16, 18, 20
Drift 3
E
Earnings Per Share (EPS) 16, 18
Emergency Loan 17, 20
22-
H
High End 3, 4, 10
I
Ideal Spot 5, 8
Income Statement 5, 14, 18
Invent a Product 11, 13, 19
M
Market Segment Analyses 5
Market Segments 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12
Market Share 6, 10
Marketing 12, 19
Material 11, 17
Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) 4, 5, 6, 7,
8, 9, 11
P
Perceptual Map 3, 5, 6, 7, 11, 15
Performance, product attribute 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8
Performance, segment 4, 10
Positioning 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8
Potential Sales 6
Practice Rounds 21
Price 2, 4, 5, 7, 9, 10, 12, 19
Production 5, 14, 19
Proformas 18
Promotion Budget 6, 12, 13, 19
R
Rehearsal Simulation 2, 21
Reliability 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11
Research & Development (R&D) 2, 11, 13, 15,
19
Revisions, R&D 6, 15, 19
Rough Cut 7
S
Sales Budget 6
Segment Analyses 5
Segment Drift 3
Segments 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12
Sellers Market 9
Size, product attribute 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8
Size, segment 4, 10
Stock 15, 16, 20
T
Terminate a Product 14, 20
Traditional 3, 4, 10