Introduction
The ptu-pose of this article is to present a revised instrumental seismicity catalog for the whole world, for shallow
depth (h -< 70 km) shocks with surface-wave magnitude Ms
--- 6 that occurred from 1950 to 1997. This new catalog was
obtained after removing a series of heterogeneities concerning the consistency of teleseismic reporting and homogeneity of magnitude determination throughout time. These
heterogeneities were found under the following postulates
(Habermann, 1982; Prrez, 1983, 1984; Prrez and Scholz,
1984, 1997): (1) that on a time scale of decades, the world
seismicity rate [e.g., average number of earthquakes per year
(EQY)] for shallow shocks with Ms -> 6 should be constant;
(2) that during the last three decades, the earthquake catalog
for these shocks is complete, that is, all events that occurred
in the Earth are listed in the existing catalogs provided by
the National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC) or the
International Seismological Centre (ISC); and (3) that the
corresponding seismicity rate for events with Ms ~ 6 from
1969 to 1997 (i.e., well after the installation of the World
Wide Standardized Seismograph Network--WWSSN--in
1963) is typical of all periods in the century. These postu-
336
would introduce apparent changes in the world seismicity
rates.
Following this rationale and using the International
Seismological Summary seismicity catalog (ISS, 1904 to
1963) and the ISC Regional Catalogues of Earthquakes
(1964 to 1980), P6rez and Scholz (1984) analyzed the worldwide consistency of teleseismic reporting, completeness of
the seismicity record, and homogeneity of magnitude (M)
determination, for shallow earthquakes with M -> 6 in the
period 1900 to 1980. For the first half of the century, they
found a highly incomplete and heterogeneous seismicity catalog for events in the magnitude range 6 -< M < 7, mainly
due to the poor earthquake detection and reporting Capabilities and the low quality of the instrumentation at that time.
This makes it impossible to have a complete listing of all
events at the M - 6 level that occurred in the Earth prior to
1950. For the period 1950 to 1980, they conclude that the
Ms of events in the magnitude band 6 -----Ms < 7 from 1950
to 1963 was overestimated by as much as 0.6 unit with respect to the Ms assigned to those events from 1964 to 1980,
mainly due to the use of different formulations and criteria
to calculate and report the parameter "magnitude" by the
various seismological agencies through time. They suggested that if the appropriate corrections were made, the catalog would be largely homogeneous in Ms and complete for
events with Ms -> 6 in the period 1950 to 1980, but they did
not present the corrected catalog.
Following and extending the work of P6rez and Scholz
(1984), in this article, we analyze a larger data set (M >-- 6;
h --- 70 km; 1950 to 1997) provided by ISS (1950 to 1963),
ISC (1964 to 1994), and NEIC (1963 to 1997). We show that
the Ms for events in the range 6 -- Ms < 7 in 1950 to 1963
was overestimated by as much as 0.5 unit with respect to the
Ms assigned to shocks in the same range occurring since
1964. This conclusion comes from the following observations: (1) that the rate of reporting for events with Ms >- 6
in 1950 to 1963 is --123 EQY, whereas the corresponding
rate for the period 1969 to 1997 is - 5 5 EQY, and (2) that
there is no change in the seismicity rate for events with Ms
>-- 7 during the period 1948 to 1997 (Fig. 1; P6rez and
Scholz, 1984, 1997; Pacheco and Sykes, 1992), and therefore, the reporting rate change observed is related to events
in the range 6-< Ms < 7. When the appropriate corrections
are applied, so that a constant seismicity rate (equal to that
during the period 1969 to 1997) for Ms ~ 6 in 1950 to 1997
is obtained, the new catalog is shown to list nearly all and
only the events with Ms (corrected) -> 6. A notable exception
is the time span following the installation of the WWSSN
from 1964 to 1968, due to the incompleteness of the ISC
earthquake catalog for the period 1964 to 1978, and the lack
of magnitude data in the NEIC catalog for the years prior to
1969.
First, we describe the data and method of analysis. Then
we present the results of our investigation. This includes the
evaluation of the completeness of the shallow seismicity (Ms
--> 6) record for the period 1950 to 1997, and the magnitude-
O.J. P6rez
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1940
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Figure 1. Worldwide cumulative number of shallow depth (h -< 70 km) earthquakes with corrected
surface-wave magnitude Ms(G) --> 7 for the period
1904 to 1997 [modified from P6rez (1983) and P6rez
and Scholz (1984)]. The plot given by these authors
ends in 1980. Thus, for the period 1981 to 1997, we
follow Pacheco and Sykes (1992) and completed their
curve by adding up the events listed in NEIC's (PDE)
seismicity catalog. Since 1969, NEIC lists Ms(V),
which turns out in practice to be nearly equal to
Ms(G) (Lienkaemper, 1984; Pacheco and Sykes,
1992).
correction factors needed for the period 1950 to 1963, so
that a homogeneous catalog listing all and only the events
with Ms >-- 6 in 1950 to 1997 is obtained. The new catalog,
including the scalar moment and moment magnitude (Mw)
for each event is given on a worldwide web page.
Revised World Seismicity Catalog (1950-1997)for Strong (Ms => 6) Shallow (h <=70 km) Earthquakes
337
338
O.J. P6rez
3500
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ISS-ISC (1950-1994)
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1950
IGY
1960
1970
1980
1990
TIME
ISS-ISC file for the period 1950 to 1994 (closed circles) and
by NEIC (PDE) for the period 1969 to 1997 (closed squares).
Also shown are the times of significant changes (vertical
bars) in the rate of teleseismic reporting identified in the ISSISC catalog and the rates (EQY) themselves (numerals) for
the various time spans between bars. We recall that ISC and
NEIC report Ms(V) since 1964 and 1969, respectively. For
the period 1950 to 1963, the magnitudes (M) are taken at
face value from the ISS catalog, knowing that they are in
general Ms(G) from CGS [basically PAS, and to a much less
degree from other sources like Palisades (PAL) and Berkeley
(BKL)] for the range M --> 6.5 and some magnitude value
(M s, m, mB, mb, MB, ML) from various agencies for the range
6 --< M < 6.5. The various breaks in the plot shown in Figure
2 clearly reflect this inhomogeneous calculation and assignment of the parameter magnitude with time.
We note first in Figure 2 that the teleseismic-reporting
rate (TRR) for events with M ~ 6 in the ISS catalog changes
from 109 + 17 EQY in the period 1950 to 1956 to 137 +
14 EQY in 1957 to 1963, a clear effect of the scientific efforts
made since the International Geophysical Year (IGY) in
1957. Suddenly, following the installation of the WWSSN,
the TRR (from the ISC catalog) decreases drastically to 38
+_ 6 EQY in 1964 to 1978 and then increases to 54 +_ 8
EQY in 1979 to 1994. This latter TRR from the ISC catalog
is nearly identical to the TRR obtained from NEIC's catalog
(55 _+ 7 EQY) for 1969 to 1997. Under the postulate that
this latter TRR corresponds to the actual world seismicity
2000
rate for events with Ms -----6, we conclude that the ISC catalog
is not complete for the period 1964 to 1978. Also, since the
average TRR for 1950 to 1963 (123 _+ 14 EQY) is significantly larger than the TRR for 1969 to 1997 (55 +_ 7 EQY),
we conclude that the magnitudes of events in 1950 to 1963
were overestimated with respect to the Ms(V) calculated
since 1964.
To estimate the amount of this magnitude overestimation, we note, by trial and error, that the TRR for events with
M ~ 6.5 in 1950 to 1963 is 56 + 11 EQY, a rate nearly
identical to the TRR for Ms >_--6 in 1969 to 1997 (55 _+ 7
EQY). This indicates that these two data sets correspond to
each other and that the magnitude overestimation in 1950 to
1963 amounted to as much as 0.5 unit. We recall that there
is no significant change in the TRR for events with Ms >-- 7
from 1950 to 1997 (Fig. 1), and therefore, the TRR changes
in Figure 2 are related to events in the range 6 <-- M < 7.
To sort out this heterogeneity and to have a seismicity
catalog listing only of events with Ms(V) >-- 6 from 1950 to
1997, what we have to do first is to remove from the original
ISS data file all events with M -< 6.4 in 1950 to 1963. Figure
3 shows this corrected data set, that is, we plot the cumulative number of events with M -> 6.5 in the ISS catalog for
the period 1950 tO 1963; the events with Ms(V) >-- 6 from
the ISC catalog for 1964 to 1968; and the events with Ms(V)
--> 6 from NEIC's catalog for 1969 to 1997. The TRR so
obtained for the period 1950 to 1997 is fairly constant and
equal to the TRR for Ms(V) --> 6 in 1969 to 1997. Therefore,
Revised World Seismicity Catalog (1950-1997)for Strong (Ms _->6) Shallow (h <=70 km) Earthquakes
3000
2500
w
W
2000.
W
4
1500.
Z
1000
5
Ms(corrected) > 6
500'
0
0
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
TIME
Figure 3. Worldwide cumulative number of shallow (h --< 70 km) earthquakes for the period 1950 to
1997, once the appropriate magnitude correction factors arc applied. That is, from ISS-ISC, we take the
magnitude band Ms >- 6.5 for 1950 to 1963, and the
band Ms -> 6 for 1964 to 1968. From NEIC, we take
the band Ms --> 6 for 1969 to 1997. The TRR so obtained for the period 1950 to 1997 is fairly constant
and equal to NEIC's TRR (55 _+ 7 EQY) for 1969 to
1997. Therefore, this new catalog is nearly complete
for Ms --> 6 for the whole world for the period 1950
to 1997, a notable exception being the time span between bars from 1964 to 1968, which shows a TRR
of 34 + 5 EQY. This heterogeneity is due to the incompleteness of the ISC catalog for this latter time
span and to the lack of magnitude data in NEIC's catalog for the years prior to 1969.
this new catalog is nearly complete for Ms(V) -----6 for the
whole world in the period 1950 to 1997. A notable exception
is the time span from 1964 to 1968, due to the incompleteness of the ISC catalog for this time span and the lack of
magnitude data in NEIC's catalog for the years prior to 1969.
To assign an Ms (corrected) to every single event in the
period 1950 to 1963 in the new catalog, we note first that
we cannot simply subtract 0.5 from all the events in the range
6.5 <- M < 7 in the original ISS catalog, because we would
end up with a new catalog having no events in that range.
So what we did was to make the correction in a linear manner, such that Ms (corrected) = 2 M (ISS) - 7, valid for
the range 6 -< M (ISS) < 7 from 1950 to 1963. That is, the
smaller M (ISS), the larger the correction, and vice versa
[e.g., for M (ISS) = 6.5, 6.6, 6.8, then Ms (corrected) = 6,
6.2, 6.6, and so on]. As pointed out in the previous section,
we recall that for events with Ms ~ 7, we have a complete
and homogeneous catalog in Ms for the whole world for the
period 1950 to 1997 (Abe, 1981; Prrez and Scholz, 1984,
1997; Pacheco and Sykes, 1992).
This way of correcting is justified for the following reasons. First, because there must be events in the whole range
of magnitudes 6. Second, because the Ms of events with M
-----7 from 1948 to 1980 in A b e ' s (1981) catalog are fairly
339
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340
O.J. Ptrez
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MAGNITUDE
quakes (Mw >- 8.5; from Kanamori, 1977) that have occurred during this century, equation (1) predicts their scalar
moment within a factor of - 2 . Conversely, given their moments, equation (1) predicts their magnitude (Mw) within a
factor of - 0 . 3 .
Discussion and Conclusions
We have constructed a new world seismicity catalog for
strong (Ms >- 6) shallow (h <-- 70 kin) earthquakes that occurred from 1950 to 1997. The catalog was obtained after
removing a series of heterogeneities caused by changes in
instrumentation, reporting and detection capabilities, and the
use of different formulations and criteria to report the parameter "magnitude" by a variety of seismological agencies
throughout time.
For instance (Fig. 2), the increase we found in the TRR
(for M ----6) in 1957 is directly related to the scientific efforts
made since the IGY in 1957 to 1958. On the other hand, the
dramatic TRR decrease since 1964 takes place just when the
new long-period instruments of the WWSSN were installed
and ISC started to report Ms(V). Therefore, this TRR decrease
cannot be attributed to a decrease in the detection and reporting capabilities. On the contrary, one would have rather
expected an increase in the TRR due to the installation of
WWSSN. Thus, under the postulates that the true seismicity
rate for Ms ~ 6 for the whole world should be constant on
a time scale of decades, and equal to the TRR observed since
1969 in NEIC's catalog, we conclude that the magnitudes
reported by ISS from 1950 to 1964 were overestimated by
as much as 0.5 unit, with respect to the Ms(V) calculated by
ISC since 1964 and by NEIC (PDE) since 1969. It is clear
that this overestimation was directly related to changes in
the seismological instrumentation and the use of different
formulations and criteria to calculate the earthquake magnitudes with time and that the events affected were those in
the range 6 ~ M < 7, since the TRR for Ms >-- 7 from 1950
to 1997 (Fig. 1) has been fairly constant with time (Abe,
1981; Prrez and Scholz, 1984; Pacheco and Sykes, 1992).
Why the magnitudes Ms(G) assigned to those events of M
Revised World Seismicity Catalog ( 1 9 5 0 - 1 9 9 7 ) f o r Strong (Ms => 6) Shallow (h <= 70 km) Earthquakes
catalog for the period 1918 to 1938 are upon relocation actually much deeper. Thus, there is always the possibility that
the excess of events with M -- 6 in the ISS catalog (1950 to
1963) might be partially due to wrong assignments of shallow focal depths to actually deeper (h > 70 km) events.
However, an examination of the PDE catalog (1950 to 1997)
for events with M --> 6 (either Ms or mb) indicates that out
of a total of 1547 shocks listed in 1987 to 1997, 24% are
reported as intermediate-depth or deeper (h > 70 km) events
and 76% are shallow (h -< 70 km). This proportion is similar
to the one found for the period 1950 to 1963, which is --30%
of intermediate-depth and deeper events and 70% of shallow
events. This similarity strongly suggests that the excess of
shocks with M --> 6 for 1950 to 1963 is not due to wrong
assignments of focal depths. Also, if we assumed that a significant percentage (say 30% to 50%) of the shallow events
with M --> 6 listed by ISS for the period 1950 to 1963 were
actually intermediate-depth or deeper shocks, then we would
end up having an extraordinary percentage of events with h
> 70 km in comparison with the remaining number of shallower events. This would not be compatible with the fact
that during the period 1987 to 1997, 76% of the shocks with
M --> 6 in the PDE catalog are shallow events, assuming that
the depths assigned are in general correct.
We hope that the revised catalog, yet incomplete for the
time span 1964 to 1968, and surely having some errors in
the Ms assigned for the period 1950 to 1963, will help Earth
science researchers and engineers in their tectonic, earthquake prediction, and engineering studies.
Acknowledgments
I thank my students Aura Vilela and Carlos Rodrfguez for all the hours
they spent doing data analysis in the computer. George Purcaru and Shamita
Das encouraged me to do the work and publish the complete revised catalog. Carmen Rosa took care of the figures. This research was supported
by the Decanato de Investigaci6n y Desarrollo (DID), Simdn Bolivar University, under Grant Number S 1-CAI- 158.
References
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Bath, M. (1979). Introduction to Seismology, Birkhanser, Bo.ston, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 428 pp.
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