This special issue of the Natural Resources Forum A United Nations Sustainable Development Journal is being published as the 15th Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC takes place in Copenhagen. The imperative of all countries is to reach an ambitious, science-based, and equitable agreement to address climate change. This is necessary not only for protecting future human lives and prosperity but also for bridging the deficit of trust between developed and developing countries. We need to act quickly. The agreement has focused on five pillars, or core political issues, namely (a) support for adaptation, (b) developed country targets, (c) supported developing country mitigation actions, (d) scaled up and predictable financial and technological support for mitigation and adaptation, and (e) institutional arrangements and governance structures. These pillars can be described as facilitating mechanisms; on the one hand, they create enabling conditions for action, and on the other hand provide a means of assessing progress in future years. The need now is to focus on and identify the drivers of action. In what areas will action take place, who will undertake action, how will they build upon the facilitation provided by agreement on the pillars? Not to belabour the metaphor, but while pillars support buildings, they do not take people from one level to another. Recent analyses identify four potentially productive programme areas that could drive the process. These are potentially productive because they already reflect a broad global consensus, display considerable momentum because of a record of action in many countries, are strongly correlated with both climate change and sustainable development, and their impact on both these goals can be monitored quite easily and transparently. These are: narf_1270
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A global public investment programme in renewable
energy. A global technical assistance programme in energy efficiency. A global programme of incentives for reversing deforestation. A quick-start on priority adaptation projects in the most vulnerable developing countries, especially Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Small Island Developing States (SIDS). 2009 The Author. Journal compilation 2009 United Nations
First, these are consensus areas. Every national strategy
on climate change includes these four programs; they are consistent with national priorities, i.e., sustainable development. Second, there is significant momentum, since many countries, including all large economies, already have significant investments in these areas. Third, to reach the necessary scale, they will require international cooperation, including financial and technological support from developed countries, but also South-South cooperation. Fourth, they are amenable to clear and explicit target setting and outcome-orientation. The impacts of financial and technical support can be measured easily. Finally, they have the potential of creating positive facts on the ground quite rapidly, which is essential for building trust between countries and justifying the assumption of additional cooperative commitments. Of the four programs mentioned here, two are already visible in the climate policy discussions as separate and identifiable programme areas, namely forests, and adaptation. This specificity and visibility is one reason why negotiations in these areas have moved much more rapidly. However, while there is broad recognition of the central role of renewable energy and energy efficiency in addressing climate change as well sustainable development, they remain in the background of global negotiations. Energy is the driver of economic growth as well as human development. It would be impossible for developing countries to maintain their growth momentum without the availability of expanding energy resources. Similarly, it would be impossible to achieve human development targets, including Millennium Development Goals, without adequate access to modern energy services, especially electricity. Developing countries are energy poor in three senses of the term: first, their average per capita consumption of modern energy services is between onefifth and one-twentieth of that in developed countries; second, large swathes of the population do not have any access to such services; and third, the cost of these services is already so high that it makes it unaffordable for the majority of their populations except in very small doses. Addressing climate change requires a switch to renewable energy as well as a reduction in energy consumption (while maintaining economic welfare, i.e., through energy efficiency). However, at this point
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renewable energy is even more costly that conventional
modern energy from fossil fuels. The only way of reconciling the goals of greenhouse gas abatement and sustainable development is through a strategy that explicitly and consciously seeks to lower the unit cost of renewable energy generation and thus to bring it within reach of people everywhere, especially in developing countries. While the delivered cost for renewable-generated electricity is still generally higher than for coal and gas, the costs are coming down and will continue to decline. The experience in a range of countries, e.g. Germany, Spain and the U.S., has yielded tried and tested policies for promoting and stimulating renewable sources of energy, including feed-in tariffs. These could be adapted and applied in developing countries. In fact, countries such as China, India, and South Africa are already adopting variants of a feed-in tariff. But scaling up and replicating these initiatives in developing countries requires financial support. A global fund for renewable energy could support broader adoption of feed-in tariffs. Energy efficiency (in appliances, lighting, buildings, transport and transport systems, and industry) is repeatedly identified as a low cost mitigation opportunity, and developing countries with relatively inefficient processes and technologies arguably have a large potential for lowcost efficiency gains. Every national climate strategy includes a strong plank on energy efficiency. But various barriers (e.g. lack of information, inadequate incentives and lack of appropriate regulation) mean that energy efficiency has underperformed as a mitigation option. The core of a global programme in energy efficiency would be the transfer of technology and knowledge. One model for such knowledge diffusion is that of the Green Revolution.
Information technologies could facilitate knowledge
sharing and technical assistance. Highly vulnerable countries, especially the LDCs and SIDS, have outlined their adaptation needs. So far, international support for adaptation has not advanced far beyond planning and some capacity building. The national adaptation plans of action (NAPAs) prepared by LDCs identify specific projects that would meet their most urgent and immediate adaptation needs. The estimated cost is $1-2 billion. The quick start process would begin by funding all NAPAs, as well as priority adaptation projects in SIDS. This is a small down payment on meeting adaptation needs of the most vulnerable countries. Funding could be accelerated through contributions to the Adaptation Fund, using streamlined procedures and direct access. Water management is a key area for support, and one which intersects with the sustainable development agenda in areas such as agriculture. The articles in this issue provide informative insight into some aspects of these issues. Running through them is a common thread linking climate change and sustainable development. With each passing day, we get closer to the point where one of the planetary boundaries will be reached and climate change may well be the boundary that is closest to us. The challenge before us is implementation of a broad and swift response at the global level, where no sector offering avenues for mitigation and adaptation to climate changed is neglected. It is high time we began focusing on implementing real solutions. Tariq Banuri Director UNDESA Division for Sustainable Development
2009 The Author. Journal compilation 2009 United Nations