Annex

A.1 Available Hydrological Data

Station number : 620
Location:
River:

Jalbire
Balephi Khola

Latitud
e:
Longitu
de:

27 48 20
85 46 10

Catchment Area Ratio = 550

/ 609 = 0.9

Maximum Monthly and Yearly Discharge

Year
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977

Ja
n.
10.
4
11.
7
19.
5
11.
4
14.
8
11.
6
13.
5
13.
2
15
12.
8
13.
5
15.
6
15.
9
12.

Feb
.
8.56
9.64
13.6
10.1
12.1
9.64
11.8
9.5
13
19.5
10.6
12.1
10.6
11

Ma Apr
r.
.
7.4 9.4
8
6
8.7 12.
4
9
12. 10.
8
9
10. 24.
3
6
12. 14.
9
1
10. 11.
1
9
11. 19.
1
4
9.7 19.
2
5
13.
5
15
19.
2
17
9.7 12.
2
7
13.
9.7
7
9.3 10.
1
8
12. 13.

Ma
y
17.
9
15.
8
18.
4
15.
2
19.
7
19.
6
19.
4

Jun.

Jul.

Aug
.

Sep
.

112

172

182

159

56.6

184

189

229

112

183

284

62

278

86

44
29.
8
24.
4
25
44.
6
15.
9
17.

Oct
.
60.
4

No
v.

Dec.

Ma
x.

27

14.9

182
229

14.9

284

160

127

65

19

278

230

244

150

15.4

244

62.7

233

185

142

167
74.
8

31
21.
6
27.
4
25.
7

19.1

194

64
83.
2

17.9

233

129

313

508

156

20.4

508

231

262

240

144

90
91.
6

27
35.
4
36.
4

20.2

262

69.6

228

310

217

70

18.1

310

354

165

255

172

19.9

354

90

217

445

193

146
81.
6

28
38.
6

21.1

445

261

211

183

186

37
32.
5

17.8

261

153
62.7

153
290

180
305

198
129

26
31.

17.9
20

198
305

102
58.
4
73.

1978
1979
1980
1981
1982

8
15.
4
13.
1
12.
6
11.
2

13.3
12.6
11
9.68

15
13.
1
18.
6
13.
3

14.2

18
14.
1
13.
9
15.
2

15.3

16.8

1993

18
16.
8
11.
6
14.
4

1994

15

13.4

1995

9.5
11.
4

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992

1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002

15
13.
2
26.
9
14.
6
14.
6
14

1
16.
5
9.6
4
11.
9
9.4
9

12.4

15
11.
5
14.
9
12.
7
14.
1
12.
9
12.
5
11.
4
15.
2
14.
4

10

8.8

11.2

8
15.
4
13.
8
7.1
5
11.
5
16.
3
23.
3
10.
6
10.
8
11.

11.5
15.7
11.9

11.6
11.5
11.9

5.9
12
11
24.6
12.8
12.8
13.4

8
18.
2
12.
4

2
27.
6
23.
3

190

260

248

114

115

211

182

131

134

376

150

138

15
84.4
18.
8
22
95
13. 22.
5
3
69
16.
5
46 192
12. 13.
5
9 74.3
22. 18.
7
3 279
22.
8 ...
...
13. 22.
7
3 165
14.
9
85 180
23. 36.
6
5 138

130

294

217

144
49.
4
48.
5
59.
6

298

420

158

36

285

680

328

396

212

285

140
44.
6

238

530

920

324

367

313

227

96

446

297

24.1 ...

232

720

197

305

261

198

14
11.
2
17.
6
13.
8

16

17
8.9
8
13
29.
4
31.
8
13.
3
13.
3
15.

41
16.
2
17.
3
17.
7

18.2

260

17.9

211

20
28.
4
19.
2
45.
3
20.
7

14.5

376

19.2

294

14.9

420

24.3

680

15.1

396

61
33.
7

24.3

920

20.4

367

44
15.
2
26.
4

95.6

128

218

79

128

191

76

168

355

26
18
2
18.
2
16.
1
33.
8
18
0
27.
9
27.
9
51.

213

177

158

123

179

409

116

239

296

104

345

293

141

202

437

256 ...
...
58. 27.
194
7
1
94.
176
8
36
76.
221
6
34
52. 26.
215
6
4
71. 35.
128
2
5
84. 37.
158
4
2
58. 24.
162
9
6
77.
164
8
86
99. 32.
157
1
9
59. 32.
121
8
2
58.
286 182
6

293

350

216

323

160

258

299

201

121
127

190
277

304
250

134
137

124
67.
3
65.
9
80.

43
29.
9
30.
4
37.

21.3

720

24

305

68.8

261

17.2

218

21.2

191

23.8

355

14.2

213

15.8

409

19.9

296

26.4

345

37

437

25.1

350

18.9

299

19.5
28.4

304
277

2003
2004
2005

22
12.
6
16.
4
17.
7

2006
------------Extre
26.
me:
9
-------------

21.9
10.9
15.1
15.5
------24.6
-------

8
22.
8
12.
1
14.
4
19.
3
-----23.
3
------

5
29.
5
12.
8
14.
9
20.
3
-----31.
8
------

2
26
28.
4
20.
5

9
60.
6

127

227

201

192

71.4

169

303

233

Aug
.

Sep.

62.5

66.7

91.6

61.2

103

43

53
73.
4
26.
4
59.
6

89.2

66.8

93

60.8

98

77.2

81

51.7

117
48.
6
68.
8
59.
1

117

64.8

112

62

130

95

119

84

88
56.
6
66.
2
118

96.1

88

36
37.
5
33.
8

105

61.4

26

119
101

62.7
60.2

32
28.

6
23.
4 18.5 227
34.
6 21.4 303
38.
6 25.9 411
27.
9 18.5 279
----- ------------

179
88.
96 411 332 122
8
65.
42 136 246 233 279
9
----- ----------- ------ ----------- --18
2 354 446 720 920 324
86 68.8 920
----- ----------- ------ ----- ----- ------------- --------

Minimum Monthly and Yearly Discharge

1971

Ja
n.
8.5
6
9.6
4
11.
3
9.6
4
12.
1
9.6
4
11.
4
8.2
5

1972

12

11

1973

9.66

1976

11
10.
8
10.
9
9.9
4

8.59

11
9.6
6
8.7
8
8.2
6
8.0
8

1977
1978

11
12.

9.86
11.6

9.2
11.

Year
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970

1974
1975

8.44

Ma Apr
r.
.
6.9 6.9
4
4
7.6 8.0
6
2
9.5 9.3
1
2
8.2 8.0
5
6
10. 10.
7
5
8.2 8.0
5
6

10.5

9.6

9.6

7.35

7.2

8.4
11
10.
7
8.7
8
8.2
6
7.9
1
9.8
6
11.

Feb.
7.48
8.2
10.6
8.44
10.7

9.32
9.1

Ma
y
8.5
6
9.6
4
11.
1
10.
3
14.
1
8.2
5
10.
3
11.
4
11.
5
12.
8
10.
2
9.7
8.9
3
11
18.

Jun
.
8.7
4
11.
3
16.
2
12.
6
16.
1
12.
1
13
32.
1
16.
9
14.
7
15.
1
14.
4
14.
7
14.
6
24.

Jul.
56.
6
39.
5
52.
6

Oc
t.
25.
9
29.
6
21.
9
28.
5
26.
4
28.
1
35.
9
36.
4
26.
8

No
v.
14.
6
19.
1
15.
2
19.
3
15.
7
18.
2
20.
4
21
18.
5
20.
2
21.
1
18.
1
17.
9
20.
6
17.

13.7

Mi
n.
6.9
4
7.6
6
9.3
2
8.0
6
10.
5
8.0
6

12.9

9.6

15

7.2

13.1

13.1

11
9.6
6
8.7
8
8.2
6
7.9
1

15.7
13.3

9.2
11.

Dec.
11.1
13.6
11.6
14.8
11.6

13.2
14.8
12

8
1979

9.64

1991

11
10.
3
9.8
7
12.
8
11.
5
15.
7
11.
7
14.
5
11.
6
11.
5
10.
6
14.
8
12.
4

1992

9.2

6.5

1993

7.7

1994

9.6
12.
3

10.2

1995

7.5

1996

5.9

4.49

1997

10.4

1999

12
9.4
9
23.
4

2000

12

10.8

2001

12
11.
8
18.

11

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990

1998

2002
2003

9.86
8.85
11.9
10.9
14.5
10.9
12.9
10
10.4
9.72
13.2
9.6

7.84
22.6

10.6
17.1

2
8.8
2
9.4
2

6
9.0
1
9.6
4

2
10.
7
11.
2
10.
6
14.
7
12.
5
14.
3
10.
7
13.
5

6
11
13.
8
13.
3
23.
2
15.
5
29.
2
13.
1
15.
7

52.
4
87.
6

8.4 8.7
58
11. 13.
50.
7
1
5
10. 10.
40.
9
9
4
14. 13.
1
3
101
10. 10.
49.
5
4
5
12. 12.
1
5
122
9.5
6 ...
...
...
...
10. 10. 13. 14.
79.
1
4
5
7
8
9.7 10. 11. 26.
2
4
1
6
81
89.
12
12
16
28
2
13.
8.8 9.2
2
26
79
11.
31.
6.5 6.8
8
6
2
12. 20.
53.
5.9 5.9
8
4
2
9.8 20.
75.
9.5 9.5
5
2
7
6.6
31.
4 7.5
12
2 101
4.8 5.0 7.0 9.9
54.
9
9
7
1
8
10. 10. 12. 14.
96.
1
6
9
1
8
7.0 10. 15.
7
7
9
25
89
22.
21
2
25
31 109
9.4 9.8
30.
92.
8
6
12
5
7
9.4 9.8
25.
73.
8
6
12
9
4
10. 10. 12.
94.
2
3
7
23
4
17. 18. 18. 26.
97.

102

40.5

82.8

51

98

58

80.9

37.2

156

126

63

46.7

71

140

140

86

105 ...
156
124
97.2
102
85.2
123
98.7
117
105
77.8
97.4
117
113
119
101
111

8
23.
3
20.
5
28
19.
2
46.
7
20.
3
61
33.
7

6
16.
5
14.
5
19.
2
14.
9
24.
7
15.
3
24.
7
20.
8

12.6
11.2
15
12.9
18.6
13.1
18
14.9

2
8.8
2
9.4
2
8.4
11.
7
10.
9
13.
1
10.
4
12.
1

...
...
...
...
27. 15.
10.
61.5
1
2 11.6
1
9.7
96.4 37
24
18
2
23.
79 35
2
16 12
26.
56.8
8
18
12 8.8
36. 21.
57.4
5
2 13.6 6.5
37. 24.
84.4
8
2 15.4 5.9
14.
9.2
63.1 25
6 9.25
5
16.
6.6
63.1 25
2 8.75
4
33. 20.
4.4
71.1
7
4 15.1
9
32. 17.
10.
62.5
3
9 13.7
1
59.
7.0
116
6
37 28.6
7
44. 25.
14.
94
8
1 14.7
7
30.
9.4
70.1
2
19 14.7
8
30. 19.
9.4
65.5
5
5 14.2
8
38. 28.
10.
74.3
8
6 20.7
2
64.4 23. 16. 14.6 14.

1
9.6
5

9
9.6
5

13
13.
2006 15 14.5
5
-------------- --------- --Extre
4.8
me:
5.9 4.49
9
-------------- --------- ---

13
14.
3
-----5.0
9
------

2004
2005

11
13.
7

10.1
13

9
11
13.
1
19
-----7.0
7
------

2
6
15.
39.
4
3 157
16.
72.
2
7 123
32.
91.
6
2 108
---------------- -8.7
26.
4
4 62.5
---------------- --

81.7
59.8
67.5
-------37.2
--------

8
34.
6
40
28.
3
---19.
2
----

3
21.
9
26.
2
18.
3
-----14.
5
------

16.6
18

6
9.6
5
13
13.
5

14.5
----------4.4
8.75
9
-----------

Average Monthly And Yearly Discharge

Year
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979

Jan
Aug
Oct Nov
Ye
.
Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul.
.
Sep.
.
.
Dec. ar
9.4
7.9
9.7
38. 19.
40.
2 8.05 7.09
1
4
32 111 128
102
6
6 12.9
5
10.
10.
23.
80.
42. 24.
37.
5
9 7.93
1
11
2
5 123
95.5
6
1
16
8
12.
13. 40.
31. 18.
43.
6 11.2 10.3
10
8
6 105 155
95.5
8
2 13.2
1
10.
11.
12. 25.
40. 22.
40.
5 9.28
8.6
5
2
5 109 121
94.1
4
7 16.6
1
13.
12.
15. 45.
52. 19.
46.
2 11.3 11.3
4
9
6 136 131
95.1
6
8 13.3
5
10.
9.1
11. 27.
43. 21.
42.
5 8.91 8.68
5
1
7 106 128
114
9
9 15.6
1
12.
11.
13. 41.
58. 27.
4 10.8 10.1
8
6
8 156 169
72.9
1
4 16.5 50
11.
27.
61.
11 8.06 7.68
3
17 124 181 173
98.5
59
1 16.8
3
13.
11.
17. 31.
40. 22.
48.
4 11.7 11.7
7
4
1 132 163
117
1
1 15.3
9
12.
15. 79.
67. 26.
55.
12 10.9 11.4
6
9
1 108 167
139
3
7 15.8
5
12.
10.
11. 35.
28.
53.
1 9.97 9.17
4
9
2 142 189
118
60
5 17.6
7
12.
10.
53.
61. 24.
50.
5
9.9 8.71
8
15
8 138 125
128
6
3 14.5
1
8.8
11. 46.
38.
42.
11 9.35
8.5
5
4
5 102 135
105
4
22 15.1
8
10.
13.
47. 25.
47.
12 10.5 9.74
9
2
28 131 172
92.7
4
3 17.6
6
14.
74.
22.
53.
14 12.1 12.1
1
25
8 151 164
84.6
50
1 15.1
2
11. 10.5 9.22 9.8
12. 32. 121 131
80.2 32. 19. 14.1 40.

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004

9
11.
4
10.
4
13.
7
12.
1

9
11.
7
10.
3

10.1

10.1

9.22

8.74

12.6

12.6

11.2

11.1

17
12.
3
15.
9
12.
6
12.
5
11.
5

15.1

14.5

11.4

11.5

13.9

12.8

10.9

10.3 ...

11

10.6

10.4

10.3

17
14.
1
10.
4
11.
4
13.
6
8.4
4

14.2

13.1

10.7

10.3

7.84

7.37

9.38

6.8

11.1

11.5

7.45

7.87

7
13.
4
11.
2
24.
7
12.
9

5.22

5.8

11.3

10.6

8.64

8.55

23.6

22.3

11.6

10.2

13
12.
9
19.
7
11.

11.6

10.2

11.5

10.7

18.2
10.5

18.3
10.6

15
11.
6
14.
2
11
14.
4

12
11.
9
17.
1
10.
8
8.1
9
9.1
6
10.
9
9.5
1
6.4
4
11.
5
14.
1
25.
6
10.
7
10.
7
13.
1
21.
5
10.

4
12.
7
12.
9
17.
3
15.
5
21.
1
11.
7
15.
2

7
50.
2
30.
6
49.
8
20.
7
74.
8
26.
1

4
29.
8
39.
4
25.
5
85.
1
29.
8
11
7
57.
2

147
90.
8

113

74.4

176

122

153

162

89.3

112

325

224

201

120

133

143

191

302

215

183

144

...
...
...
15. 52.
2
4 162
24. 55.
8
7 132
24. 62.
2
9 158
18. 56.
96.
1
4
1
10.
65.
5
28
4
18.
88.
1
35
7
16.
97.
2
67
5
32. 79.
8
5 127
11.
5
41 128
36.
14
4 127
24. 55.
5
7 134
42. 86.
4
9 144
18. 81.
6
1 154
18. 66.
6
8 121
22. 64.
4
4 143
21. 57.
5
9 134
15 33.
95.

187

57.3 ...

240

99.7

184

122

133

112

154

112

118

87.1

179

109

125

94.5

159

93.5

167

113

131

88.2

269

161

146

129

167

125

167

94.1

158

95.7

145
202

116
147

87

2
17.
3
23
16.
7
32.
4
17.
4
37.
7
27.
7

12.9
16.8
13.8
21.2
14.2

4
41.
7
45.
9
48.
5
73.
5

20.6

56
74.
7

17.3

67

...
...
...
19.
57.
39
1 13.6
2
55. 29.
55.
6
3 21.1
8
51.
54.
7
28 24.3
6
38. 21.
46.
9
8 14.8
4
50.
36.
2
27 16.6
4
57. 29.
47.
9
4 19.2
7
39. 18.
6
3 11.6 43
42. 25.
50.
6
1 11.9
4
53. 26.
48.
5
7 17.5
5
40. 24.
43.
3
1 16.7
8
45.
71.
93
6 31.7
4
64.
76
33
19
4
43. 24.
56.
4
9 16.7
4
44. 24.
49.
5
5 16.7
9
55. 32.
53.
1
4 24.7
6
35. 19.
5
4 16.4 52
72 27. 19.5 54.

7
2005

15
16.
4

2006
------------Avera
12.
ge:
8
-------------

Year
196
4
196
5
196
6
196
7
196
8
196
9
197
0
197
1
197
2
197
3
197
4
197
5
197
6

8
13.
13.6 13.1
4
16
15.
25.
15 14.3
7
7
------ ------ ----- -------17.
11.1 10.6
12
2
------ ------ ----- --------

3
34.
9
59.
9
----50.
9
-----

MAXIMUM INSTANTANEOUS
Dischar
Gauge
ge
height
Date
(m3/s)
(m)
15/08/19
221
4.21
64
18/09/19
860
6.7
65
24/08/19
425
5.3
66
10/7/196
344
4.92
7
28/07/19
630
6.1
68
22/08/19
350
4.95
69

8
31.
179 221
84.4
8
22.
178 158
111
6
----- ----- ------------------- -50. 25.
132 164
113
8
1
----- ----- ------------------- -55.
4
42.
6

21.5

16.5
----------51.
17
5
-----------

MINIMUM INSTANTANEOUS
Dischar
Gauge
ge
height
Date
(m3/s)
(m)
6.76

1.32

7.48

1.36

9.32

1.78

2/4/1964
13/03/196
5
13/04/196
6

7.87

1.33

10/4/1967

10.2

1.38

3/4/1968

8.06

1.34

4/5/1969

9/8/1970
20/06/19
71
25/08/19
72
17/06/19
73

9.38

1.29

6.9

2.3

11/4/1970
20/03/197
1

10.7

1.91

9.45

1.75

8.78

1.66

8.05

1.55

12/4/1974
29/03/197
5

7.74

1.42

8/4/1976

1420

8.1

900

6.8

900

6.8

425

5.3

1220

7.6

780

6.5

5/8/1974
28/06/19
75

280

4.6

1/9/1976

6
58.
3
56.
2

7/4/1972
23/03/197
3

197
7
780
197
8
600
197
9
275
198
0
1420
198
1
520
198
2
2100
198
3
980
198
4
932
198
5
964
198
6
660
198
7 ...
...
198
8
836
198
9
580
199
0
580
199
1
310
199
2
210
199
3
1000
199
4
225
199
5
442
199
6
370
199
7
620
199
8
560
199
9
740
200
0
500
200
1
400

3/8/1977
24/07/19
78
28/07/19
79
11/7/198
0

9.01

1.39

21/03/197
7

11

1.48

7/3/1978

8.82

1.38

9.2

1.4

8.4

1.94

11.6

1.85

5/8/1981
29/07/19
82
27/08/19
83

10.7

2.71

6.88

7/7/1984

13.1

2.83

8/4/1979
20/03/198
0
28/03/198
1
14/03/198
2
18/04/198
3
31/12/198
4

6.96

4/9/1985
27/08/19
86

10.2

2.68

12.1

2.78

9/4/1985
25/03/198
6

9.56

2.48

9/3/1987

1/8/1988
17/08/19
89
10/9/199
0

10.1

2.67

4/3/1988

9.5

2.45

10/3/1989

12

2.2

9/9/1991
23/08/19
92
15/08/19
93
17/08/19
94

8.8

2.12

5/4/1990
16/04/199
1

6.2

2.04

1/3/1992

5.6

2.02

9.5

2.3

9/8/1995
18/08/19
96

6.64

2.18

4.49

2.11

10

1.95

6.1

5/8/1997
11/8/199
8

7.07

2.23

6.4

8/9/1999

14.7

2.14

5.8

1/8/2000
21/08/20
01

9.48

1.92

9.48

1.92

10/4/1993
30/04/199
4
18/03/199
5
24/02/199
6
26/03/199
7
14/03/199
8
30/12/199
9
13/03/200
0
13/03/200
1

6.5
6
4.5
8.1
6
9.1

6.2

6.64
6
6
5.2
4.7
7
4.8
5.64
5.4
6.1

5.5

200
2
200
3
200
4
200
5
200
6

370

5.4

285

5.1

28/07/20
02
18/08/20
03

10.2

1.96

14.6

2.34

9/9/2004

9.65

2.1

8/7/2005
12/9/200
6

13

27/03/200
2
15/12/200
3
15/02/200
4
20/02/200
5

360

588

5.95

316

4.78

13.5

2.02

8/3/2006

A.2 Frequency Analysis

Year
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994

Discharge

Descending
Order

Rank

Exceed.
Prob.
m/(n+1)*100

(m3/s)
221
860
425
344
630
350
1420
900
900
425
1220
780
280
780
600
275
1420
520
2100
980
932
964
660
836
580
580.00
310.00
210.00
1000.00
225.00

Q (m3/s)
2100.00
1420.00
1420.00
1220.00
1000.00
980.00
964.00
932.00
900.00
900.00
860.00
836.00
780.00
780.00
740.00
660.00
630.00
620.00
600.00
588.00
580.00
580.00
560.00
520.00
500.00
442.00
425.00
425.00
400.00
370.00

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

P%
2.33
4.65
6.98
9.30
11.63
13.95
16.28
18.60
20.93
23.26
25.58
27.91
30.23
32.56
34.88
37.21
39.53
41.86
44.19
46.51
48.84
51.16
53.49
55.81
58.14
60.47
62.79
65.12
67.44
69.77

Q (m3/s)
2100
1420
1420
1220
1000.00
980
964
932
900
900
860
836
780
780
740.00
660
630
620.00
600
588.00
580
580.00
560.00
520
500.00
442.00
425
425
400.00
370.00

1-P
97.67
95.35
93.02
90.70
88.37
86.05
83.72
81.40
79.07
76.74
74.42
72.09
69.77
67.44
65.12
62.79
60.47
58.14
55.81
53.49
51.16
48.84
46.51
44.19
41.86
39.53
37.21
34.88
32.56
30.23

Q
(m3/s)
2100
1420
1420
1220
1000.00
980
964
932
900
900
860
836
780
780
740.00
660
630
620.00
600
588.00
580
580.00
560.00
520
500.00
442.00
425
425
400.00
370.00

log Q
3.322
3.152
3.152
3.086
3.000
2.991
2.984
2.969
2.954
2.954
2.934
2.922
2.892
2.892
2.869
2.820
2.799
2.792
2.778
2.769
2.763
2.763
2.748
2.716
2.699
2.645
2.628
2.628
2.602
2.568

1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006

Mean
SD
Sc

T
year
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
500
1000

442.00
370.00
620.00
560.00
740.00
500.00
400.00
370.00
285.00
360.00
588.00
316

370.00
360.00
350.00
344.00
316.00
310.00
285.00
280.00
275.00
225.00
221.00
210.00

387.647
1.623

Gumbe
l

yT
0.3665
1.4999
2.2504
3.1985
3.9019
4.6001
5.2958
6.2136
6.9073

KT
-0.1556
0.8336
1.4885
2.3161
2.9300
3.5393
4.1465
4.9475
5.5528

72.09
74.42
76.74
79.07
81.40
83.72
86.05
88.37
90.70
93.02
95.35
97.67

370.00
360.00
350
344
316
310.00
285.00
280
275
225.00
221
210.00

Mean of reduced
variate, yn
SD of reduced variate,
Sn

649.48

Gumbe
l

31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42

370.00
360.00
350
344
316
310.00
285.00
280
275
225.00
221
210.00

2.568
2.556
2.544
2.537
2.500
2.491
2.455
2.447
2.439
2.352
2.344
2.322

0.5448

Mean

2.7465

1.1458

SD
Sc

0.2403
0.1835

Gumbel

LogPearso
n3

Log_Pearso
n3

QT
589.16
972.62
1226.50
1547.29
1785.26
2021.48
2256.84
2567.35
2802.02

KT
-0.01828
1.29272
1.78764
2.111
2.40576
2.67744
3.2466

QT
552.25
1140.79
1500.20
1794.16
2112.04
2454.68
3363.42

27.91
25.58
23.26
20.93
18.60
16.28
13.95
11.63
9.30
6.98
4.65
2.33

Log
Norma
l
KT
0
0.842
1.282
1.751
2.054
2.326
2.576
2.878
3.09

Log
Normal

WECS
DHM

QT
557.86
888.96
1134.04
1470.09
1738.46
2020.85
2320.68
2742.81
3084.22

QT
171.65
276.00
353.87
547.07
637.84
734.48
870.96
981.65

A.3 Sensitivity analysis with discount rate variation

At 6%

Capacity

MW

20.30

Project Cost Without IDC (Million Nrs)

Nrs

2,740.5
0

Equity Portion

30%

822.1
5

Debt Portion

70%

1,918.3
5

Interest Rate

10%

Per Annum

Loan Payback Period

10

Years

Interest During Construction (Million Nrs)

Nrs

388

Project Cost Including IDC(Million Nrs)

Nrs

3128.58

Inflation Rate Per Year (Million Nrs)

Excahange Rate (1 US $ )

90.00

Nrs

Operation and Maintenance Cost

O and M Cost (Project Cost with IDC)

2.0%

Escalation of Operation and Maintenance Cost

1.5%

E and M Replacement(20 % of Electromechanical Cost)

20.0%

62.57

78.52

Depreciation and Amortization

Depreciation for Civil Works
Depreciation for Electromechanical Works
125.1
4

Total Depreciation and Amortization

Royaltee
On Saleable Energy
1-15 Years

2.00%

After 15 Years

10.00%

Capacity Royaltee
Nrs/KW/Year (1-15 yrs)

100

127.63

Nrs/KW/Year

1000

1276.28

Escalation on Installed Capacity Rate

5%

Generation lisence Issued

2011

Date of Commercial Operation

2016

Discount Rate

6%

Tax during tax waiver period

0.0%

Tax

20.00%

Energy Production(GWh)

Energy Production(GWh)
Tarrif as per PPA

Total

Dry

Wet

112.46

19.70

92.76

Rate

Dry

Wet

8.40

4.80

Amount

30.00%

822.15

30.00%

822.15

40.00%

1096.20

Year

Amount

30.0%

575.51

30.0%

575.51

40.0%

767.34

Year

Amount

30.00%

246.65

Tarrif rate (NRS/KWh) Base Year

Escalation on tarrif up to 5 times
Total Amount Disburshment

3%
Year
0

Debt Portion/Loan

Equity Amount

30.00%

246.65

40.00%

328.86

Worksheet:
Description
Years

Construction Period
1

Commercial Operation
4

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.4
6

0.00
112.46

Dry Energy

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

19.70

Wet Energy

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

92.76

Tarrif(Nrs/kwh)average

5.43

5.59

5.76

5.93

6.11

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

6.30

Dry

8.40

8.65

8.91

9.18

9.45

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

9.74

Wet

4.80

4.94

5.09

5.25

5.40

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

5.56

610.7
3

629.0
5

647.9
2

667.3
6

687.3
8

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

708.0
0

Year of Operation

Gross Energy Generation

(Gwhr)
Total Sellable Energy
(Gwhr)

Total Revenue

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

246.65

246.65

328.86

28

Cost
Equity Cash Flow
Administrative Expenses

18.32

0.92

0.96

1.01

1.06

1.11

1.17

1.23

1.29

1.35

1.42

1.49

1.57

1.65

1.73

1.81

1.90

2.00

2.10

2.20

2.31

2.43

2.55

2.68

2.81

Annual Royaltee Energy

Royaltee for Capacity
Installed
O and M, Insurance
Expenses

12.21

12.58

12.96

13.35

13.75

14.16

14.16

14.16

14.16

14.16

14.16

14.16

14.16

14.16

14.16

70.80

70.80

70.80

70.80

70.80

70.80

70.80

70.80

70.80

70.80

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

2.03

20.30

20.30

20.30

20.30

20.30

20.30

20.30

20.30

20.30

20.30

62.57

63.51

64.46

65.43

66.41

67.41

68.42

69.44

70.49

71.54

72.62

73.71

74.81

75.93

77.07

78.23

79.40

80.59

81.80

83.03

84.27

85.54

86.82

88.12

89.45

172.4
1
172.4
1

173.6
9
173.6
9

175.0
0
175.0
0

176.3
3
176.3
3

177.6
9
177.6
9

179.0
7
179.0
7

180.4
7
180.4
7

181.9
0
181.9
0

183.3
6
183.3
6

EM replace
95.14
470.5
0

79.04
454.4
0

80.41
455.7
7

81.82
457.1
8

83.25
458.6
1

84.71
460.0
7

85.78
461.1
4

86.86
462.2
2

87.97
463.3
3

89.09
464.4
5

90.23

91.39

92.57

93.77

94.99

90.23

91.39

92.57

93.77

94.99

78.52
249.6
6
249.6
6

5.43
610.7
3
515.5
9
125.1
4
390.4
5

5.59
629.0
5
550.0
1
125.1
4
424.8
7

5.76
647.9
2
567.5
1
125.1
4
442.3
6

5.93
667.3
6
585.5
4
125.1
4
460.4
0

6.11
687.3
8
604.1
3
125.1
4
478.9
9

6.30
708.0
0
623.2
9
125.1
4
498.1
5

6.30
708.0
0
622.2
2
125.1
4
497.0
8

6.30
708.0
0
621.1
4
125.1
4
496.0
0

6.30
708.0
0
620.0
4
125.1
4
494.8
9

6.30
708.0
0
618.9
1
125.1
4
493.7
7

6.30
708.0
0
617.7
7
125.1
4
492.6
3

6.30
708.0
0
616.6
1
125.1
4
491.4
7

6.30
708.0
0
615.4
3
125.1
4
490.2
9

6.30
708.0
0
614.2
3
125.1
4
489.0
9

6.30
708.0
0
613.0
1
125.1
4
487.8
7

6.30
708.0
0
458.3
4
125.1
4
333.2
0

6.30
708.0
0
535.5
9
125.1
4
410.4
5

6.30
708.0
0
534.3
1
125.1
4
409.1
6

6.30
708.0
0
533.0
0
125.1
4
407.8
6

6.30
708.0
0
531.6
7
125.1
4
406.5
2

6.30
708.0
0
530.3
1
125.1
4
405.1
7

6.30
708.0
0
528.9
3
125.1
4
403.7
9

6.30
708.0
0
527.5
3
125.1
4
402.3
8

6.30
708.0
0
526.1
0
125.1
4
400.9
5

6.30
708.0
0
524.6
4
125.1
4
399.5
0

23.06
230.6
4
136.7
4

21.62
216.1
7
187.0
8

20.03
200.2
5
222.0
9

18.27
182.7
4
259.3
8

16.35
163.4
8
299.1
6

14.23
142.2
9
341.6
3

11.90
118.9
8
366.2
0

9.33

6.51

3.41

93.35
393.3
1

65.15
423.2
3

34.12
456.2
3

492.6
3

491.4
7

490.2
9

489.0
9

487.8
7

333.2
0

410.4
5

409.1
6

407.8
6

406.5
2

405.1
7

403.7
9

402.3
8

400.9
5

399.5
0

Net Profit after tax

0.00
136.7
4

0.00
187.0
8

0.00
222.0
9

0.00
259.3
8

0.00
299.1
6

0.00
341.6
3

0.00
366.2
0

78.66
314.6
5

84.65
338.5
9

91.25
364.9
9

98.53
394.1
0

98.29
393.1
8

98.06
392.2
3

97.82
391.2
7

97.57
390.2
9

66.64
266.5
6

82.09
328.3
6

81.83
327.3
3

81.57
326.2
8

81.30
325.2
2

81.03
324.1
3

80.76
323.0
3

80.48
321.9
1

80.19
320.7
6

79.90
319.6
0

Bonus and Welfare Fund

2.73

3.74

4.44

5.19

5.98

6.83

7.32

6.29

6.77

7.30

7.88

7.86

7.84

7.83

7.81

5.33

6.57

6.55

6.53

6.50

6.48

6.46

6.44

6.42

6.39

Total Operating Cost

Total Cash Outflow

246.65

246.65

328.86

Benefit
Average Tariff Rate
Revenue From Energy
Sale
EBITDA
Depreciation
EBIT
Guarantee Fee
Interest on Debt
Earning Before Tax
Tax

Net Profit
Capital Repayment
Net Cash Flow

246.65

246.65

328.86

134.0
0
144.7
2
114.4
3

183.3
4
159.1
9
149.2
9

217.6
5
175.1
1
167.6
8

254.2
0
192.6
2
186.7
2

293.1
8
211.8
8
206.4
4

334.7
9
233.0
7
226.8
7

358.8
7
256.3
8
227.6
4

308.3
6
282.0
1
151.4
9

331.8
1
310.2
2
146.7
4

357.6
9
341.2
4
141.5
9

386.2
2

385.3
1

384.3
9

383.4
5

382.4
9

261.2
3

321.7
9

320.7
8

319.7
6

318.7
1

317.6
5

316.5
7

315.4
7

314.3
5

313.2
1

511.3
6

510.4
6

509.5
3

508.5
9

507.6
3

386.3
7

446.9
4

445.9
3

444.9
0

443.8
6

442.7
9

441.7
1

440.6
1

439.4
9

438.3
5

Output
NPV Benefit (Million Nrs)

7380.72

NPV Cost (Million Nrs)

4238.50

NPV (Million Nrs)

2456.68

Benefit Cost Ratio

1.74

FIRR

21.06%

NPV of Energy

1207.05
3.51

Specific Energy Cost (NPR/kwhr)

Total Amount
% Cost

Start Year

30%

30%

40%

Amount

822

822

1096

Total Project Cost

10

10

2741

Loan Amount
% Cost

30%

30%

40%

Amount

576

576

767

Interest and Loan

766

696

844

Interst During Construction

190

121

77

Loan Compounding Year

Total Interest During Construction

1918

388

Loan Amount With Interest Capitalization

2306

Equity Amount
% Cost

30.00%

30.00%

40.00%

247

247

329

Amount
Total Equity Amount

822

Bank loan Schedule

Term Loan at the Beginning

2306

2162

2003

1827

1635

1423

1190

933

651

341

Interest on Debt

231

216

200

183

163

142

119

93

65

34

Loan Repayment

375

375

375

375

375

375

375

375

375

375

Loan Balance at the End

2162

2003

1827

1635

1423

1190

933

651

341

Repayment of Principal

145

159

175

193

212

233

256

282

310

341

Repayment of Interest

231

216

200

183

163

142

119

93

65

34