BANKING &
FINANCIAL
SERVICES
ASSIGNMENT # 4
Submitted by:
TRIPTI SAO (11184)
July 20, 2009
Introduction
Hedge Funds:
Hedge funds, primarily a historical name that suggests that these funds try to minimize the down
side risks of a bear market by taking short positions in securities, but this is no longer true.
Today, hedge funds follow at least a dozen different strategies to earn positive returns for their
investors, so the name “hedge fund” does not go well with the actual business of hedge funds in
present scenario.
Hedge funds are basically products for the richest of the rich who wish to remain rich and do not
want to let market crash or any other similar event affect their returns.
Hedge funds, in most of the parts of the world, are unregulated because they cater to
sophisticated investors who are assumed to be well informed about the happenings of the market.
• For reducing the correlation between stock and bond markets and between national and
foreign markets, hedge funds use a variety of financial instruments. These may be basic
securities like equity, debentures, bonds or derivatives as well.
• Many hedge funds are flexible in their investment options i.e. they can use short selling,
leverage, derivatives such as puts, calls, options, futures, etc.
• The returns on investments, degree of volatility in returns, risks, strategy are the factors
which make a hedge fund completely unique. Still, most of the hedge funds tend to hedge
against down turns in the market.
• Many hedge funds have the ability to deliver non-market correlated returns. In fact,
hedge funds are best known for delivering absolute returns even at the times when
markets don’t perform well.
• Many hedge funds have as an objective consistency of returns and capital preservation
rather than magnitude of returns.
• Most hedge funds are managed by experienced investment professionals who are
generally disciplined and diligent. Such managers prefer trading in markets and securities
which they are specialized at.
• Though hedge funds benefit by heavily weighting hedge fund managers’ remuneration
towards performance incentives, thus attracting the best brains in the investment
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business; there is a practice of high water mark also in the hedge fund industry, which
ensures that fund managers do not get paid for poor performance.
• In addition, hedge fund managers usually have their own money invested in their fund.
Qualified clients, institutions, endowments, fund of funds, family offices and pensions invest in
hedge funds.
Hedge Funds are restricted from accepting partners who are not "qualified clients."
Presently, if an individual can meet one of the following criteria, he is a qualified client
He has an individual net worth, or he and his spouse have a combined net worth, in excess of
$1.5 million.
He had individual income, excluding any income attributable to his spouse, of more than
$200,000 in the previous two years, and he reasonably expects to do the same this calendar year.
He and his spouse had joint income of more than $300,000 in the previous two years and
reasonably expect to do the same in this calendar year.
Hedge Fund Manager/ Administrator: The hedge fund manager or administrator acts as an
analyst keeping track of the hedge funds news, bonus returns, quotes, valuations and returns. The
hedge fund statistics include a careful research on all these factors to avoid any kind of fraud in
the valuations.
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• Investment manager instructs custodian to move funds to prime broker for investment in
market.
• During the process the prime broker and custodian are in direct contact with fund
administrator.
Hedging Strategies:
A hedge fund is a term which is generally used to describe any fund that isn't a conventional
investment fund - that is, any fund using a strategy or set of strategies other than investing long
in bonds, equities (mutual funds), and money markets (money market funds). Among these
alternatives are:
• Hedging by selling short – it means selling shares without owning them, hoping to
buy them back at a future date at a lower price in the expectation that their price will
drop
• Trading options or derivatives – dealing in contracts whose values are based on the
performance of any underlying financial asset, index or other investment
• Using leverage – without using own capital for buying securities trying to make as
much profit as would have been if the capital has been invested. For doing so, hedge
funds borrow money for a bigger share of the investment and put their own capital as
margin money.
• Attempting to take advantage of the spread between the current market price and the
ultimate purchase price in event driven situations such as mergers or hostile
takeovers.
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Mechanism of Hedge Funds
Hedge funds not necessarily follow their name. The name “Hedge Fund” applies to a large
number of funds which may or may not be interested in earning returns only by hedging against
risks. For earning high returns for their investors, these funds may use high- risk strategies as
well, which may or may not provide adequate cover for inherent risks.
For example, a global macro strategy may speculate on changes in the economic and
international trade policies of various nations which may have an impact on interest rates, which
ultimately impact all types of financial instruments. This strategy also uses a high degree of
leverage. In this strategy, though the returns can be high, but chances are that the losses can also
be high, as the leveraged directional investments (which are not hedged) tend to make the largest
impact on performance.
Most hedge funds, however, do seek to hedge against risk in one way or another, making
consistency and stability of return, rather than magnitude, their key priority. In fact, less than 5
percent of hedge funds are global macro funds.
Some hedge funds which follow event driven strategies like investing in distressed companies or
special situations try to reduce risks by making their investments uncorrelated to the markets.
They may buy interest-paying bonds or trade claims of companies undergoing reorganization,
bankruptcy, or some other corporate restructuring - counting on events specific to a company,
rather than more random macro trends, to affect their investment. Thus, they are generally able to
deliver consistent returns with lower risk of loss.
Long/short equity funds, while dependent on the direction of markets, hedge out some of this
market risk through short positions that provide profits in a market downturn to offset losses
made by the long positions. Market neutral equity funds which invest equally in long and short
equity portfolios generally in the same sectors of the market, are not correlated to market
movements.
A true hedge fund then is an investment vehicle whose key priority is to minimize
investment risk in an attempt to deliver profits under all circumstances.
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Investing Strategies of Hedge Funds:
There are approximately 14 distinct investment strategies used by hedge funds, each offering
different degrees of risk and return. Understanding the characteristics of the many different
hedge fund strategies is essential to capitalizing on their variety of investment opportunities.
The predictability of future results shows a strong correlation with the volatility of each strategy.
Future performance of strategies with high volatility is far less predictable than future
performance from strategies experiencing low or moderate volatility.
1. Aggressive Growth: Hedge Funds following this strategy invest in equities expected to
experience acceleration in growth of earnings per share. These equities generally have high
P/E ratios, low or no dividends; often smaller and micro cap stocks which are expected to
experience rapid growth. Investments include sector specialist funds such as technology,
banking, or biotechnology.
This strategy hedges by shorting equities where earnings disappointment is expected or by
shorting stock indexes. This strategy tends to be "long-biased."
2. Distressed Securities: Hedge Funds which follow this strategy buy equity, debt, or trade
claims at deep discounts of companies in or facing bankruptcy or reorganization.
These hedge funds earn their huge returns from the market's lack of understanding of the true
value of the deeply discounted securities and because of the fact that the majority of
institutional investors cannot own below investment grade securities. In fact, this selling
pressure on the issuer companies creates the deep discount.
The results of such investments are generally not dependent on the direction of the markets,
because the investment is made in such securities which the market generally not trade in.
3. Emerging Markets: Hedge Funds following the strategy of investing in emerging markets
invest in equity or debt of emerging or less mature markets that tend to have higher inflation
and volatile growth. Generally short selling is not permitted in many emerging markets, and,
therefore, effective hedging is often not available.
4. Fund of Funds:
Rather than investing in individual securities, a Fund of Funds invests in other hedge funds.
Technically any fund that pools capital together, while utilizing two or more sub managers to
invest money in equity, commodities, or currencies, is considered a Fund of Funds. Investors
allocate assets to Fund of Funds products mainly for diversification amongst the different
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managers' styles, while keeping an eye on risk exposure. One of the advantages is due
diligence.
Due diligence is a primary advantage because the fund of funds manager may spend his
whole day evaluating strategies and speaking with individual fund managers. This would be
an extremely hard task for an individual. The fund of fund also may combat risk by achieving
manager diversity, because of the different strategies employed by the underlying managers.
Returns, risk, and volatility can be controlled by the mix of underlying strategies and funds.
5. Income: Hedge Funds which follow this strategy invest with primary focus on yield or
current income rather than solely on capital gains. These funds may or may not utilize
leverage to buy bonds and sometimes fixed income derivatives in order to profit from
principal appreciation and interest income, but their main focus still remains the same-
current yields.
6. Macro: Hedge Funds following the macro strategy aim to profit from changes in global
economies, typically brought about by shifts in government policy that impact interest rates,
in turn affecting currency, stock, and bond markets. These hedge funds participate in all
major markets like equities, bonds, currencies and commodities, though not always at the
same time. These funds use leverage and derivatives to accentuate the impact of market
moves as well as hedging, but the leveraged directional investments tend to make the largest
impact on performance.
7. Market Neutral - Arbitrage: Hedge Funds which prefer market neutral arbitrage strategy,
attempt to hedge out most of the market risk by taking offsetting positions, often in different
securities of the same issuer.
For example, they can be long in convertible bonds and short in the underlying equity of the
same issuer.
These funds may also use futures to hedge out interest rate risk. They focus on obtaining
returns with low or no correlation to both the equity and bond markets. These relative value
strategies include fixed income arbitrage, mortgage backed securities, capital structure
arbitrage, and closed-end fund arbitrage.
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8. Market Neutral - Securities Hedging: These hedge funds invest equally in long and short
equity portfolios, generally in the same sectors of the market. Though this strategy reduces
market risk to a large extent, it stresses on effective stock analysis and stock picking for
obtaining meaningful results. Leverage may be used to enhance returns.
Investment is made in securities which generally have very low or no correlation at all with
the market. But, the same strategy sometimes uses market index futures to hedge out
systematic (market) risk.
9. Market Timing: In this strategy, the managers of the hedge fund allocate assets among
different asset classes depending upon the managers’ view of the economic or market
outlook. Portfolio emphasis may swing widely between asset classes. Unpredictability of
market movements and the difficulty of timing entry and exit from markets add to the
volatility of this strategy.
10. Opportunistic: The investment theme of hedge funds which follow opportunistic strategy
changes from strategy to strategy as opportunities arise, to profit from events such as IPOs,
sudden price changes often caused by an interim earnings disappointment, hostile bids, and
other event-driven opportunities. The hedge funds may utilize several of these investing
styles at a given time and are not restricted to any particular investment approach or asset
class.
11. Multi Strategy: Investment approach of the hedge funds following this strategy is
diversified by employing various strategies simultaneously to realize short- and long-term
gains. Other strategies may include systems trading such as trend following and various
diversified technical strategies. This style of investing allows the manager to overweight or
underweight different strategies to best capitalize on current investment opportunities.
12. Short Selling: One of the very basic strategies of hedge funds, in it the fund manager sells
securities short in anticipation of being able to re- buy them at a future date and at a lower
price due to his assessment of the overvaluation of the securities, or the market, or in
anticipation of earnings disappointments often due to accounting irregularities, new
competition, change of management, etc. Often used as a hedge to offset long-only portfolios
and by those who feel the market is approaching a bearish cycle. It involves a very high
degree of risk.
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Expected Volatility in performance of this Strategy: Very High
13. Special Situations: Hedge Funds following this investment strategy look for companies
which are currently facing special event- driven situation such as mergers, hostile takeovers,
reorganizations, or leveraged buyouts.
This strategy may involve simultaneous purchase of stock in companies being acquired, and
the sale of stock in its acquirer, expecting to profit from the spread between the current
market price and the ultimate purchase price of the company. The fund managers may also
utilize derivatives to leverage returns and to hedge out interest rate and/or market risk.
Results of such strategy generally are not dependent on direction of market.
14. Value: Hedge Funds following this strategy, invest in securities perceived to be selling at
deep discounts to their intrinsic or potential worth. Such securities may be out of favor or
underfollowed by analysts.
It requires long-term holding, patience, and strong discipline until the ultimate value is
recognized by the market.
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Hedge funds in India
In India, hedge funds have been almost non- existent even after substantial developments in the
capital market. A few hedge funds which operate in Indian Capital market are either subsidiary
of foreign hedge funds or have come through FII route.
Financial experts opine that India has tremendous potential for attracting global investments in
hedge funds. The early entrants into the Indian markets have recorded encouraging returns which
in turn attracted other hedge fund players to step in. Renaissance Technologies, Vikram Pandit-
founded Old Lane, DE Shaw, Och-Ziff Capital Management are some reputed international
hedge funds firms in India. Here is a list of hedge funds operating in India.
Indea Capital Pte. Ltd (Indea) is a Singapore based investment advisor. Indea was formed
in 2002 to provide boutique fund management services to institutions, foundations,
family offices and high net-worth individuals. In July 2003, Indea launched the Indea
Absolute Return Fund (IARF), a directional fund investing in India and Indian companies
globally. The principals have a combined over 30 years of experience in researching and
investing in India. In addition to the Singapore office, Indea has a research presence in
Mumbai, India.
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• India Deep Value Fund
India Investment Advisors, LLC was founded by Robin Rodriguez and Raj Agarwal in
2006 to pursue the number of significant investment opportunities presented by the
burgeoning Indian capital and real estate markets. As a result, the India Deep Value
Fund was launched in April 2006. The Fund's Managers seek to achieve long-term
capital gains by acting as pro-active deep value investors in publicly-traded Indian stocks.
Strategy: The Fund will adhere to a classic deep-value investment philosophy selecting
stocks with strong balance sheets, but trading at significant discounts to their perceived
intrinsic liquidation or break-up value. The Fund will also focus on companies whose
valuation is at a substantial discount to industry peers or historical averages.
• Fair Value
Focuses on Deep Value Investment, Risk Arbitrage and Special Situations in Indian
Equity markets.
Fair Value Capital is a highly specialized and exclusive Investment Advisory Firm
focused on Deep Value Investment opportunities primarily in Indian equity markets.
Naissance was founded in Switzerland in 1999 by R. James Breiding and the late Dr.
Francois Mayer with the assistance of a few families having considerable means.
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• Avatar Investment Management
Passport Capital
Passport Capital LLC is a San Francisco based, global investment firm founded by John H.
Burbank III in 2000. The firm manages approximately $2.3 billion in assets. Passport's
investment process uses a combination of macroeconomic analyses to develop major themes and
rigorous fundamental research on individual companies to create global portfolios.
Passport Capital is a federally registered investment advisor with the United States Securities and
Exchange Commission.
It follows different strategies for different investment avenues like agricultural, basic materials,
energy, renewable energy and rig sectors.
Through its own FII, Passport India Fund, it invests in Indian companies with a focus on
domestic economy sectors such as financial services, media, retail, consumer and special
situations.
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• Atlantis India Opportunities Fund
The Atlantis India Opportunities Fund is a sub fund of the Atlantis International Umbrella fund -
an open-ended umbrella unit trust established as a UCITS III and listed in Dublin.
The Fund was launched on November 25th, 2005. The investment objective of the Sub-Fund is
to achieve long term capital appreciation. The Sub-Fund will invest mainly in a portfolio of
equities and equity-related instruments (such as convertible bonds, preference shares or warrants)
issued by companies located in India or deriving a preponderant part of their income
and/or assets from India. Such securities will be principally listed or traded on one or
more recognized Exchanges located in India. To a lesser extent, these securities will be listed or
traded on recognized Exchanges located outside India
The India Opportunities Fund is recognized by the Financial Services Authority and will qualify
for distributor status
Karma Capital Management LLC, a US (SEC) registered Investment Advisor and an India
(SEBI) registered Foreign Institutional Investor (FII), is a leader in alternative investments in
the Indian Capital Markets. Founded in 2003, we were one of the pioneers in the field and have
achieved over 4 years of consistent performance for our investors.
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My strategy as a Hedge Fund Manager
I will adopt a mixed/ multi strategy for the hedge fund I manage. The same strategy is being
followed by the Karma Capital Management, LLC. It is a combination of both short and long
positions in stocks.
Investment Process
The investment process will be based on an approach which is a combination of top- down
bottom- up stock selection; which means finding such stocks which are either under- valued or
over- valued as well as determining reasons for their re-rating or de- rating. The procedure for
finding such stocks will be one or the other or both of the following:
Analyzing the macro factors first, then the factors related to the specific company- top-down
approach. These macro factors include GDP growth rates, inflation, interest rates inside and
outside the country, productivity etc.
Analyzing the company irrespective of the macroeconomic and other factors, believing that
company’s performance and the value of its stock is independent of these macro factors.
The basis of adopting such strategy would be the research on a wide range of stocks done by in-
house research analysts. This is called proprietary research. This helps taking long or short
positions which may or may not be possible when we take services of a separate stock analyzing
agency.
Proprietary research helps finding stocks which have asymmetric risk- reward characteristics and
also in arbitraging valuation anomalies.
I will take long/ short positions in all types of stocks- large cap, mid cap and small cap.
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The approach for taking such positions will be based on the analysis of the following factors:
Target Market: investment can be both in Indian as well as in foreign stock markets.
What matters most is the availability of such securities which are under- valued or over- valued
by majority of the players of that market.
Sectors: analysis of sectors which can perform well is another major area of research and would
be considered properly. It includes analyzing the impact that the macroeconomic and political
policies of a nation have on a particular sector.
I will look for such sectors which have potential to grow tremendously as well as have chances
of being benefitted by current policies of its parent nation.
Fundamental Analysis of the company: for making financial forecasts about the companies
that I select for investing in, I will do fundamental analysis of their profitability, financial health,
liquidity etc. This analysis helps in learning which stocks have been mispriced by the market,
and what is their real price.
Technical Analysis of the Security: based on the trend of performance of the stock, assuming
that markets have valued the securities correctly. This process is mostly based on market
statistics.
These steps help in knowing how much a stock is valued at present and how much it must be
valued actually.
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Explanation of how I would invest and enhance the value of the investment:
Long Position: based on the analysis of current market situations and search for undervalued
stocks.
Due to the upcoming Commonwealth Games in New Delhi in the year 2010, large sums are
being spent on infra-structure like road building, extension and renovation of airports, extending
the METRO to further areas in the National Capital Region and in the construction industry in
particular. Industrial activity has also taken off with high growth rates in manufacturing. This is a
very promising outlook especially for the national tube and pipe industry.
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Conclusion: Company’s current performance is good and having a below 1 PEG Ratio shows
that the company has a good growth prospectus but has been under- valued by the market.
Historical Prices
Source: moneycontrol.com
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Stock prices and tradable volume one week back
Source: moneycontrol.com
Conclusion: technical analysis of the company’s stock price shows that it has been following the
market index, but the fundamentals reflects that it should have been much above the index.
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Short Position
Indian pharmaceutical industry has been a booming industry, especially after 1980. In past one
decade Indian pharma companies have been experiencing a growth rate of 6%-10% p.a. in their
sales.
As per Deutsche Bank’s research, this sector is about to experience an 8% p.a. growth by 2015.
The new focus of Indian pharmaceutical companies is on self developed drugs and contract
research and/ or production for western drug companies.
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Conclusion: a very high price to book value ratio and a above 1 PEG ratio show that this stock is
over-valued by the market.
Technical Analysis:
Historical Prices
Source: moneycontrol.com
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Stock prices and tradable volume one week back
Source: moneycontrol.com
Conclusion: the market price has tracked the sensex very closely in both the situations. There
has been a small difference between the low and high prices of this stock, in both of the
situations. Moreover the fundamental analysis suggests that having a price to book value ratio of
more than 7 times and an above 1 PEG ratio leads to stock overvaluation situation and when the
market will correct itself, price of this stock could fall substantially.
Therefore, it is a good stock to be short in.
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References:
Websites:
1. http://www.hedgefundlawblog.com/what-is-a-qualified-client-qualified-client-
definition.html
2. http://www.stockmarketguide.in/2008/06/10-best-undervalued-companies.html
3. http://www.stockmarketupdates.in
4. http://www.moneycontrol.com
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