AED-A235 877

US Army Corps
of Engineers
Hydrologic Engineering Center

GENERALIZED COMPUTER PROGRAM

HEC-4
Monthly Streamfiow Simulation
User's Manual
0

I-1

February 1971

Approved for Public Release. Distribution Unlimited.

CPD-4

HEC-4

Monthly Streamflow Simulation

User's Manual

February 1971

Hydrologic Engineering Center

US Army Corps of Engineers
609 Second Street
Davis, CA 95616-4687
(916) 756-1104

Mr...
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CPD-4

HEC-4
MONTHLY STREAMFLOW SIMULATION
HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERING CENTER
COMPUTER PROGRAM 723-X6-L2340

CONTENTS

Paqe

Paragraph
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

ORIGIN OF PROGRAM
PURPOSE OF PROGRAM
DESCRIPTION OF EQUIPMENT
METHODS OF COMPUTATION
INPUT
OUTPUT
OPERATING INSTRUCTIONS
DEFINITIONS OF TERMS
PROPCSED FUTURE DEVELOPMENT

1
1
1
1
7
8
8
8
8

EXHIBITS
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

DETAILED EXPLANATION OF COMPUTER PROGRAM

DESCRIPTION OF CROUT'S METHOD
INPUT EXAMPLE
OUTPUT EXAMPLE
DEFINITIONS
SOURCE PROGRAM
INPUT DATA
SUMMARY OF REQUIRED CARDS

1/85

HEc -4
MONTHLY STR AMFLOW SIMULATION
HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERING CBTER
COMPUTER PROGRAM 723-X6-L340
1.

ORIGIN OF PROGRAM

This program was prepared in The Hydrologic Engineering Center, Corps

of Engineers. Up-to-date information and copies of source statement cards
for various types of computers can be obtained from the Center upon request
by Government and cooperating agencies.
Programs are furnished by the
3cv.rament and are ac-ept!d and uzcd 'U,the recipient upon the express unaerstanding that the United States Government makes no warranties, express or
implied, concerning the accuracy, completeness, reliability, usability, or
suitability for any particular purpose of the information and data contained
in the provrams or furnished in connection therewith, and the United States
shall be under no liability whatsoever to any person by reason of any use
made thereof.
The programs belong to the Government. Therefore, the recipient further
agrees not to assert any proprietary rights therein or to represent the
programs to anyone as other than a Government program.
2.

PURPOSE OF PROGRAM

: -ThiR program will analyze monthly streamflows at a number of interrelated stations to determine their statistical characteristics and will
g7enerate a sequence of hypothetical streamflows of any desired length havinr.
those characteristics. It will reconstitute missing streamflows on the
basis of concurrent flows observed at other locations and will obtain maximum and minimum quantities for each month and for specified durations in
the recorded, reconstituted and generated flows. It will also use the
-eneralized simulation model for generating monthly streamflows at ungaged
locations based on regional studies. There are many options of using the
program for various related purposes, and it can be used for other variables
such as rainfall, evaporation, and water requirements, alone or in combination.
3.

DESCRIPTION OF EQUIPMENT

This program requires a FORTRAN IV compiler, a random number generator

(function RUGEN included, see exhibit 2), and a fairly large memory (64K on
the CDC 6600).
Provision is made for use of three scratch tapes, 7 (for
punched output), 8 and 9.
4. METHODS OF COMPUTATION
a. In the statistical analysis portion of this program, the flows
for each calendar month at each station are first incremented by 1 percent
of their calendar-month average in order to prevent infinite negative

'!

The mean, standard deviation

logarithms. This increment is later subtracted.
and skew coefficients for each station and calendar month are then computed.
This involves the following equations:
Xim

(1)

log (qim + qi )
N

(2)

Xi,m/N

Xi
m--l

)2 /(-)(3)

(Xi-m
N

gi

(xi~
1m=l i'm

x )3
i

((N-1)(N-2)S3)

(4)

in which:
X
Q
q

=
=
=

N
S
g
i
m

=
=
=
=
=
=

Logarithm of incremented monthly flow

Monthly recorded streamflow
Small increment of flow used to prevent infinite logarithmns
for months of zero flow
Mean logarithm of incremented monthly flows
Total years of record
Unbiased estimate of population standard deviation
Unbiased estimate of population skew coefficient
Month number
Year number

b.
For each station and month with incomplete record, a search is
made for longer records among the stations used, to find that which will
contribute most toward increasing the reliability of the statistics computed from the incomplete record. The mean and standard deviation are
then adjusted. Equation 5 is used to compute the equivalent record required
to obtain statistics equally reliable to these adjusted statistics and is
the basis for selecting the best record to be used in the adjustment.
Equations 6 and 7 are the adjustment equations.

N1

1N 22,N
-,-N

1
I

2
R2

N2

S, -S

RS/S

(S' -SI )

(6)

(7)

S)IS

The primes indicate the long-period values and those without primes
are based on the sane short period for both stations 1 and 2, and:
N
R

=
=

Length of record
Linear correlation coefficient

c. Each individual flow is then converted to a normalized standard

variate, using the following approximation of the Pearson Type III distribution:

(Xim

g4) / Si

tim

Ki' m

=6/g

t
K

Pearson Type III standard deviate

Normal standard deviate

=
=

[ ((giti,m/2) + 1)1/3

1]

/6(9)

d. After transforming the flows for all months and stations to normal,
the gross (simple) correlation coefficients R between all pairs of stations
for each current and preceding calendar month are computed by use of the
following formula:

{l
RiiRr --

--[

[1

N xXimil
m--l

(N-l)/(N-2)}

in which:
X

= X-X

i'm=l

Xi
z)/
Nxx2N
i.mm=l

2_,

,2]n
]

i
(10)

e. If there are insufficient simultaneous observations of any pair of

variables to compute a required correlation coefficient, that value must be
estimated. Each missing value is estimated by examining its relationship
to related pairs of values in the current and preceding month by use
of the following formula using i, ,J,and k subscripts to indicate variables
used in the gross correlation.

Rij

R4-

(1

Rk2) (1

Since, in order to be consistent with the two related correlation coefficients,

the correlation coefficient must lie between the limits given by equation Li,
the lowest upper limit and highest lower limit are established for all related
pairs, and 'We average of these two limits is taken as the estimated correlation coefficient.
f.
Monthly streamflows missing from the records of the various stations
are estimated for all stations for each month in turn. Accordingly, whenever a missing flow is being reconstituted, there always exists a valid
value for all stations already examined that month and for all remaining
stations in either the current or preceding month. For these remaining
stations, the current value is selected where available; otherwise the
pr-e~iin- value is used. In order to reconstitute the missing value, a
re-ression equation in terms of normal standard variates is computed by
selecting required coefficients from the complete correlation matrix for
that month and solving by the Crout method (See exhibit 1). The missin7
value is computed from this regression equation, introducing a random
(-omponentequal to the nondetermination of the equation, as discussed in
the streamflow generation procedure.
7. It has been found that valid use of the regression technique requires
that all correlation coefficients agree with the data that will be substituted
into the equations and that the correlation coefficients be mutually consistent. Inconsistency in the correlation coefficients causes the dependent
variable to be over-defined and is evidenced by a determination coefficient
greater than 1.0. If this occurs (because of incomplete data), the independent variable contributing least to the correlation is dropped, and a
new rerression equation is computed.
This process is repeated as necessary
until consistency is reached (which must occur by the time that only one
independent variable remains).
In order to make the correlation matrix
consistent with the data matrix, all affected correlation coefficients
are re:omputed after each estimate oF missing data.
h.
Normal standard deviates are then converted to flows by use of the
following equations;

I,!~

(g,/6)(Km

tim
i

X +
Xt~~

Xim

gi/ 6 )

-1

(12)

2/g

ti,m

AntilogX

(l-

qi

(14)

imposing the constraint:

(15)

i. When the set of flows is complete, all correlation matrices should

be consistent except for truncation errors in the computer, since the data
arrays are complete. Any consistency of matrices obtained in this manner
or of matrices read into the computer will result in determination coefficients
greater than 1.0. If this occurs, consistency of each correlation matrix is
assured by first testing all combinations of triads of correlation coefficients in the current and preceding month for all calendar months using
eqmation 11 and raising the lowest of the three coefficients to obtain
a consistent triad. The test of consistency of each complete matrix is
i-.,e by recomputing the multiple correlation coefficient.
If this value
ic greater than 1.0, further adjustment is required. Such further adjust.ent is obtained b:i introducing a coefficient, successively smaller by
0.', on the radical in equation 11 and repeating all triad consistency
tests until all matrices are consistent. If consistency is not reached,
coefficients in each inconsistent matrix are moved toward the average
value of all coefficients in that matrix until consistency is reached.
j. Generation of hypothetical streamflows is accomplished by computing
a regression equation, by the Crout method (described in exhibit 1) for
each station and month and then computing streamflows for each station in
turn for one month at a time using the following equation. This process
is started with average values (zero deviation) for all stations in the
'irst month and discarding the first 2 years of generated flows.
I

K, ,J

iKl

IK ,i +

." "
K ,l+2
2

. +Bn~i
K

K
-1 ' , -i + -1Ji,'

zi j

(16)

in which:
K

=
=

Monthly flow logarithm, expressed as a normal standard

deviate
Beta coefficient computed from correlation matrix

Month number

Station number

Number of' interrelated stations

Multiple correlation coefficient

Random number from normal standard population

k. Maximum, minimum and average flows are obtained for the entire
period of flows as recorded and for specified periods of reconstituted
and generated flows by routine search technique.
1. Provision is also included in this program for use of the generalized
model requiring-only 4 generalized coefficients for each station (in place
of 1-) and one generalized correlation coefficient (in place of 12) for each
pair of stations, in addition to identification of wet and dry seasons for
each station. These are defined as follows:
(1) The average value of mean logarithms of flows for the wet
season (0 months). This value plus 0.2 is applied to the middle month
and the avera-e minus 0.1 is applied to the other 2 months.
(2) The average value of mean logarithms of flows for the dry
7cazon

, mcthz),

'Ai

iz api,1:c

'

t', all 3 1,ry .o-ths.

!lean Iogarithrs

for months between dry and wet seasons are interpolated linearl,.

() The average standard deviation for all 12 months.

anrlied to each of the 12 months.

This is

() The average serial correlation zoefficient for n1l ! mon+'s.

This value minus .15 (but not less than zero) is applied to each wet-season
month, and the value plus .15 (but not more than .98) is applied to each
dry-season month. The average value is applied to all intermediate months.
(5) The average interstation correlation coefficient for all 12
months is applied to each month for that pair of stations.
m. Because of limitations in computer memory size and because of
increasing change of computational instability with larger matrices, the
number of stations usable simultaneously in this program has been limited
to 10. However, the program can reconstitute and generate streamflows for

any number of stations in groups of 10 or less.

It will ordinarily be

desirable to include one or more stations from earlier groups in each

successive group in order to preserve important correlations.

In

.additionto providing flow data for all stations, it is necessary to

lesignate NPASS and to follow each group of flow data with a standard,orrmat card with NSTX (number of stations in next pass that were also
uned in preceding passes) and station identification numbers for those
stations. These numbers must be listed in the same sequence as their
lata were arranged in earlier passes. Data for the new stations for the
new pass should then be read. None of these flows can occur in a year
later than the latest year for which flow data occurred in the first pass.
I.
As soon as flows are reronstituted for any pass, they are read
onto the flow tape. After statistics are computed from transformed
reconstituted flows, they are read onto the statistics tape (after
ilentification of stations in the nass for future reference).
Final
regression equation data for each pass are read onto the same tape at the
same time (for use in -eneration later). For each new pass, the flow
and statistics tapes are searched separately for data for those stations
already used that also occur in the new pass. In order to read and write
intermittentlv and alternatively on the same tapes, it is necessary to
'een traf-! of tape records so as to assure that any read statement does
not read beyond the record mark and so that new write statements occur
at the end of all previous write statements that are to be saved.
o. Once that statistics are put on tape, they are retained throughout
the reconstitution and generation processes. Flows, however, are saved
only for the set of data in which they were reconstituted or generated,
:mntil the last pass for that set is completed.
In the generation process,
it is necessary to save the last flow generated for each station in one
set for ,,se as the antecedent flow in starting generation in the next
set. These are saved in the QSTAP array with subscript ISTAP.

INPUT
Intput is summarized in exhibits 7 and 8. Data are entered consecutively- on each card using a simple variety of formats to simplify punching
and handling cards. Computed and generated flows cannot be 1,000,000 units
or larger, and consequently must be expressed in units that cannot exceed
this magnitude. Units should be indicated on one of the 3 header cards.
Column 1 of each card is reserved for card identification. These are icnored
by the "omputer except for the A in column 1 of the first header card, which
is used to identify the first data card. An example of input is given in
exhibit 3. Certain inadequacies of data will abort the job and waste input
cards until the next card with A in column 1 is reached. A card with A
in column 1 followed by 4 blank cards causes the computer to stop.

6.

O(JTPUT

Printed output includes key input information for job identification

and all results of computations. Generated flows are put on magnetic
tape, and computed statistics are punched on cards in the format usable
later b the program. An example of printed output is given in exhibit h.
7.

OPERATING INSTRUCTIONS

Standard FORTRAN IV instructions and random number generator are

required. No sense switches are used.
8.

DEFINITIONS CF TERM;

Terms used ti the program are defined in exhibit 5

a*

?ROPOSE.D 'VITLURE DIXELOTPMENT

There are cases where the model used herein does not reproduce histori-aI]
drou,-:hts with reasonable frequency. Consequently, the model is under
Sontinuous study and development. It is requested that any user who finds
en inadequacy or desirable addition or modification notify The Hydrologic
En oieering Center.

EXHIBIT 1
DETAILED EXPLANATION
OF
COMPUTER PROGRAM

GENERAL
Much of the program is explained by comment cards and definitions
of variables. Supplementary explanation follows, referring to sections
identified with the indicated letter in column 2 of a comment card.
SECTION A
Correlation coefficients, R, and beta coefficients, B, are in double
nrecision for matrix inversion computation, in order to minimize computational instability. Correlation coefficient, RA, as originally computed
and stored, may be defined in single precision. For computers with wor
len:-,th smaller than ? bits, many other variables in this program should
be in double precision.
When dimensions are chaned, the corresponding variable (starting
with K) should be changed accordingly, as these are used to prevent
exneedence of dimensions. If an excessive subscript is used, the job
will be dumped until a card with A in column 1 is encountered, at which
time a new job is automatically started. If 5 blank cards (with an A
in column 1 of the first) are encountered, the run will be terminated.
Job specification cards are read in this section.
SECTION B
NSTAX is number of columns in correlation matrix. These consist of
,13TA columns for the current-month values and a similar number for antecedent-month values. NSTAA is initial column number for antecedent-month
coefficients. These are computed from NSTA, which is read in if statistics
are to be provided, rather than computed from raw data. If raw data are
to be used, NSTA is defined in the program later and NSTAA and NSTA must be
also. Data for each new pass are processed after transferring back to
statement 42. In the multipass operation, NSTX is the number of stations
used from previous passes and NSTXX is the subscript of the first new
station for the current pass. Station identification for the NSTX stations
must be in the order in which data for those stations were originally used,
because search of data and statistics on tape is made in this order. Flows
for these stations are read from tape IQTAP, and corresponding statistics
from tape ISTAT. Variables LQTAP and LSTAT are used to keep track of tape
position for subsequent writing.
*Provided through the cooperation of the Texas Water Development Board.

IXHhBIT 1

Months are identified consecutively by the variable M starting with

year of data. Some quantities to be
the month preceeding the first
accumulated are initialized. Station combination data are stored for
the purpose of obtaining maximums and minimum (section D) of weighted
flow values later. Tandem stations are identified for cases where a
check on consistency of generated quantities is deemed appropriate.
Station identification numbers are set to a large number so they will
not be undefined. The flow array is filled with -1 values to indicate
missing values. For each station and calendar month, the total flow and
number of recorded values are computed for computing a flow increment
and other statistics later. The minimum flow for each station month
is also computed in order to avoid negative logarithms later.

SECTION C
Station data can be read in random order. Stations are identified
by subscript in the order in which data for each station are first read.
The year subscript is computed. Negative subscripts will occur if data
are for years earlier than the starting year indicated on B card, and
data for these are rejected, with diagnostic printout. The stations
are counted and the flows for each month at each station are counted for
the purpose of computing frequency statistics later. If the number of
stations or years exceeds its dimension limit, the job is aborted. The
number of stations is permanently stored in the NSTNP array for later
identification in multipass operations. The remainder of this section
is self explanatory, except to state that permanent identification
station numbers are given for stations in combination, for tandem stations,
and for consistency-test stations, and subscripts are identified for rapid
computation later.
SECTION D
In this section, maximum and minimum recorded flows for each calendar
month , the water year and for durations of 1, 6, and 54 months, and average

flows are computed for each station and combination.

span a break in any record.
fixed-point format.

Durations do not

Quantities are rounded off and printed in

SECTION E

The logarithm transform of flows is accomplished here. Missing

values are indicated by an impossibly large numb,.r (the -1 used for
missing flows is a reasonable logarithm and therefore cannot be used
for missing logarithms).
Before the log transform, the average flow
for each calendar month at each station is computed and one (costazied
to a minimum of 0.1 flow unit) is added to each flow.
If the minimum
observed flow for that station month is negative, that absolute value

IXEISIT 1

is also added before the transform. After the logarithm transform,

freq:.ency statistics for each calendar month and station are computed.
An increment needed to convert the logarithws to an approximately normal
distribution is also computed as an alternative future transform. Logarithms to the base 10 are used so that statistics are comparable to
other commonly used statistics. A variable IRCON is set to 1 if any
missing values are encountered, so that the flow reconstitution routine
will be called later. A variable INDC is set to 1 if the first approximation of increments causes any one of the skew coefficients to be
smaller than 0.1 or larger than 0.1. In an optional routine that follows,
the increment for each station and calendar month is adjusted individually
and iteratively (up to 14 trials) until skew is within 0.1 of zero.
Stations with less than three years of data for any calendar month
are deleted, since skew and correlation computations require at least
three items of data.
SECTION f
Correlation matrices are computed here for the purpose of adjusting
frequency statistics for short-record stations. All correlation coefficients are first set to -4.0 in order to identify those not computed
later for lack of sufficient observed data. Then accumulations of the
various quantities required are computed for all items above the main
diagonal in the correlation matrix for each month, using all data common
to the two stations involved. If mor-e than two items of data are available, the correlation coefficients are computed. Coefficients for the
main diagonal are set to 1.0, and those below the main diagonal are set
equal to their symmetrical element. Coefficients between the current
and preceding month's values are similarly computed. These items constitute an extension of the matrix to the right, which doubles its size,
and the new portion is not necessarily symmetrical. Similar complete
arrays of average values and root-mean-square values for only those logarithms common to each pair of stations are found for later use in
adjusting statistics.
A search is then made to determine the station that would be most
useful in adjusting statistics for station months with incomplete record,
and the means and standard deviations are adjusted in accordance with the
following equations:

s
-X'

SI
1
X.

(S'2
+ (

-s

) R2 S /S
1 2

) Rl/S2

where primes indicate long-period values, subscripts are 1 for the shortrecord station and 2 for the long-record station and,

EXHIBIT 1

mean logarithm

standard (leviation or' the logarithms

correlation coefficient.

An optional check of consistency of standard deviations between

adjacent stations for the same month is next made. This is to assure
that frequency curves do not cross within three standard deviations
If there is a conflict, the standard deviation of that
from the mean.
station designated in the input data as the dependent variable is modified accordingly. All frequency statistics
are then printed out.
SECTION G
All flows are next standardized by subtracting the mean and dividing
by the standard deviation for the month and station. An approximate
Pearson Type III transform is then applied as follows:

K =

qt +tl) 1/3-

where:
K
t
g

=
=
=

normal standard deviate

Pearson Type III standard deviate
skew coefficient

New correlation matrices are then computed, based on the normalized

variates and using the same standard procedures previously employed for
correlating logarithms. The sign of the correlation coefficient is

preserved, since the coefficient will be used to establish regression

equations. Correlation coefficients are set to zero if the variance
of either variable approximates zero, since the computation of the coefficient is highly unstable and since its use would be of little value.

SECTION H
For Jobs where -orrelation data are given, the portion of the
correlation matrix above the main diagonal for all months and the
entire correlation matrix relating current and preceding month's
values are read, with a different card for each pair of stations.
Values for all 12 months are contained on one card, and the two stations
involved are identified on the same card. An automatic check is made
to assure that cards are in the required order of columns and rows
in the correlation matrix. When generalized statistics are used, only
one correlation coefficient for the entire year is read, but card order
is the same. Symmetrical elements below the main diagonal are then
filled in and values af 1.0 are placed in the main diagonal.

EXHIBIT I

Frequency statistics are then read, 4 cards per station, with 12

monthly values and station identifications on each card. A check is
made of the station order, to assure proper subscripting. When generalized statistics are used, only one card per station is read, and
this contains the maximum and minimum mean logarithms and the average
standard deviation for the year. The months of maximum and minimum
mean logarithms are also read and converted to corresponding subscripts.
These subscripts will differ from the calendar month number if the year
used in the study does not begin with January.
SECTION I
This section searches for each calendar month the entire correlation
matrix to be the right of the main diagonal for misiing correlation coefficients due to the nonexistence of at least three years of simultaneous
data for the month. As soon as a coefficient between two variables is
identified as missing, a search of the correlation matrix is made to find
established correlation coefficients between each of these variables (i
and j) and any other variable (k). The range within which correlation
between the two variables must lie in order to be mathematically consistent with the correlation with the third variable is established by use
of the following equati ,n:
Rij

Rki RkJ

J(l'Rki2)

(l-Rk)2

As each successive third variable with established correlation coefficients

is found, the upper limit of Ri1 is constrained to the lowest of all upper
limits computed, and the lower limit is constrained to the highest of all
such lover limits computed. When the entire matrix has been searched the
correlation coefficient is estimated as the average of these two constrained
limits. If this element is above the main diagonal, the value is also
entered for the element symmetrically across the main diagonal. The
search for further missing correlation coefficients is then continued.
SECTION J
Where a correlation matrix is not to be used for reconstituting data
but might be inconsistent, a triad consistency test can be made in this
section. This is done by examining all groups of three related correlation
coefficients, and testing the lowest one to determine whether it is above
minimum constraint established by the equation in the preceding station.
If not, it is raised to that minimum.
When this is done, it is possible
that the adjusted coefficient had already been used in another triad test,
and consequently that previous test would need to be repeated. In order
to do this properly, the entire matrix is searched up to 12 NSTA times,
where NSTA is the number of stations, until a complete search reveals no
inconsistent triad (INDC = 0).

EXHIBIT 1

A coefficient 'A'.' of the radical in the equation is used in order

to obtain complete matrix consisten-y in difficult cases, whenever
possible by this means. A test for overall consistency is made in
section K, and if this fails. FAC is saccessively reduced by 0.2
until overall consistency is reached.
SFTION K
The test for overall consistency oi the correlation matrix for
each month is made by constructing foi each station the correlation
matrix that would be used in flow generation for that station and computing the multiple determination coefficient. If the determination
coefficient of the matrix for any station and any month exceeds 1.0. all
correlation matrices must be reexamined, since some coefficients are
common to two or more matrices. This is done by reducing PAC in the
triad test (section J) by 0.2 and repeating all triad tests. If FAC is
reduced to zero and consistency is not obtained, an index of NCB is set
to 1 and an averaiin routine is .sed For each inconsistent matrix. A
quantity SUM is computed as the average of all correlation coefficients
in that matrix, and each element is modified by multiplying SUM by the
excess of determination coefficient and adding this product to the
uroduct of the complement of this multiplier and the value of the element in the inconsistent matrix. The averaged or smoothed values are
rerlaced in the complete matrix for the month, and this requires some
careful manipulation of subscripts. A new computation of determination
coefficient is made and the smoothinc, process is repeated up to nine
times until consistency prevails. If this does not occur, the job is
terminated. When consistency is established all complete matrices
are .irinted out and essential elements are punched if desired.
SECTION L
In reconstititing missing data, a search is made for each month of
record starting with the first for stations that have no record during
that month (Q=T). When one is found, a search of all other stations is
made to determine whether recorded or previously reconstituted flows exist
for the current month or, if not, for the preceding month. If one is
found, it will constitute an independent variable for estimating the
missing value, and its value and pertinent correlation coefficients are
stored in new arrays for computation purposes. The correlation coefficients with the dependent variable is temporarily stored in the NVAR
(NSTA*I) column to assure that coefficients relating independent variables which have sufficient array space (they cannot exceed NSTA in
number). A variable ITEMP counts the number of independent variables
(stations for which recorded or reconstituted data are available). It
is incremented after its set of correlation coefficients are stored in
the R array, and is finally used to relocate the correlation coefficients
involving the dependent variable. If no independent variables with data

EXHIBIT 1

are found, as can happen in the first month of record, a correlation is

made with the preceding vaiue for the same station and that preceding
value is arbitrarily set at the average for the month. The regressi6n
equation and deLermination coefficient are then computed using subroutine
CROUT. The variable having the lowest absolute value of correlation with
the dependent variable is identified, and beta coefficients are searched
In order to eliminate all unreasonable coefficients. In the usual case
where the simple correlation coefficient between any variable and the
dependent variable is positive, unreasonable coefficients are assumed to
be those larger than 1.5 or smaller than -.5. In the case where the
variable correlates negatively with the dependent variable, the reasonIf an unacceptable coefficient is found, INDC
able range is -1.5 to 0.'.
is set to 1. If this happens or if the determination coefficient does
not lie between 0 and 1.0, the variable with the smallest correlation
coefficient is eliminated, the correlation array reconstructed accordingly,
and the regression equation recomputed. This process is repeated until
all required conditions exist. The missing value is then computed by
use of the regression equation and adding a random component normally
distributed with zero mean and with variance equal to the error variance
of the regression equation.
As soon as the missing value is estimated a search is made for all
established values in the current and preceding month with which it is
to be correlated, ad sums of logarithms, squares, and cross products
are incremented in preparation for recomputing all affected correlation
coefficients. After checking for sufficient (three years) record and
nonzero variance, the correlation coefficient is recomputed. If the
standard deviation of either variable is very small, the correlation
coefficient is set to zero. If the coefficient is above the main diagonal of the correlation matrix, its value is also assigned to symmetrical element. Since estimation of a missing value affects correlation coefficients between variables in the current and following month,
which coefficients are stored in a different matrix, this process of
adjusting the correlation coefficient is applied to those values next.
SECTION M
After all flows are reconstituted, the flow tape is read until the
proper position for writing the newly computed flow data on that tape is
reached, and headings are printed for writing flows on the printer later.
Then the standard deviates are converted to flows by reversing the Pearson
type III transform, multiplying by the standard deviation, adding to the
mean and taking the antilogarithm. The increment is then subtracted and
if the resulting value is negative for a variable with zero lower limit,
it is set to zero. In the case of reconstituted flows, the Pearson Type
III transform is constrained so that the excess of the standard deviate
over and above 2.0 is multiplied by a maximum of 0.2 (if the standard

|*

EXHIBIT 1

diviation exceeds 0.). This simply prevents obtaining unreasonably

extreme values due to sampling errors. It is a moderat'on of the
extrapolation rather than an abrupt truncation.
The test for tandem station consistency is next made. and inconsistent flows are identified for printout and changed to the limit of
consistency. The downstream flow is aacie consistent witb the swm of
upstream flows. Flows are punched on cards, if desired, printed out,
and written on the flow tape for use in future passes. NQTAP is incremented and represents the total number of" records on the tape.
SECTION N
After convertinri deviates to flows, the frequency statistics are
recomputed in order to aree a: eurately with observed and reconstituted
data. If a consistency, test is rcalled tor, the variable ITRN3 is set
to I and computation is transferred to near the end of section F, where
the test is made ancl the transfer index -auses a return to this portion
of the protrarm.
Aj!stel statistics are printed, and the consistent
correlation matrix is rrinted (and, if desired. also punched) by transfer
to section K, usi-in- ITPN., as a return indicator again.
The statistics
are then punched. i" desired.
P'lows for the snecified station combinations are then comouted.
SECfTION 0
Maximum and minimum recorded flows are computed by transfer to
section S, usin,- ITRN.-=l as a return indicator. The variable ITMP
keeps a record of the remaining years whose maximum and minimum flows
have not been searched -et.
Next, generalized statistics are -omputed, if desired, (if IGNRL
equals two). As indicated, straight averag-es of all 12 monthly correlation coefficients in every category are taken. Means are averaged for
the three wettest consecutive months and the three driest consecutive
months and the seasonal timinc, noted. Standard deviations for all 12
months are averaged. Generalized statistics ac'e then printed out.
Next, generalized statistics read in section H are used to compute
reouired arrays oi statistics. Skew and increments are set to zero.
The mean for the middle month of the wet season is .2 higher than the
wet season averare and means for the other two months are .1 lower.
Means for the dry seasons are uniform, and means for the transition
seasons are interpolated linearly. Correlation coefficients for the
dry season are .1' higher (constrained below .98) than the annual
average, and those for the wet season are .15 low (constrained above
zero). All of these operations are in accord with the generalized
model developed in HEC.
8
EXHIBIT 1

SECTION P
After obtainih- monthly statistics and correlation matrices, rei'ression equations for ehch station and calendar month are computed.
Flows are generated in the station order in which data or statistics
are read and are generated for each month at all stations before
proceeding to the next month. Flcws at each station are correlated
with flows of the antecedent month at that station and at all stations
for which the current month's flows have not yet been generated.
For
other stations, fl1ows for the current month are used.
Regression equations are comouted in subroutine CROUT.
If any
correlation matrix 'orned is inconsistent (which should not occur at
this stage, except for truncation of computated intermediate variables),
a transfer to section J is effected, and consistency operations performed
on all correlation matri.ces.
After such a transfer, all regression
equations must be recomputed, since any correlation coefficient might
have changed. After this, only the beta and alienation coefficients
need be retained, in addition to the freqoency statistics.
Tn +.he -,,tipass operation, these are all written on tape I3TST at this point.
3iXTION{.
A routine for nro'ect-i_:
histori,.al seruences into the future is
employed here.
Values o- ,J RE"V (previous month's deviate) "or each
station is determined as the trans'orm of the flow for the month preceding the first month specified (by input data) to be generated. The
var-'ele M.1A
is comnutel f'or the subscript o" ; that conforms to the
'irst month of uroj ected "'lows. If the Droiected flow routine is not
to '-e usedl the computer is next set up to yenerate two years of flows,
at the end of whirh synthetic sequences will have a virtually random
start.
In the multipass operation, stations are identified and all necessar : statistics are rontained in the order needed on. tape ISTAT.
In an.-ass after the first. "lows -,enerated in earlier passes for the same
nernV
(the same sec-en-e o" J]ata) must be read from tape I-TAP, and this
tsne nust he rewornd before each pass in order to permit a complete
sear .i.. In any seqtience after the first, the preceding flow for the
'irst month to !e generated is the last flow in the preceding sequence
ur that station, and these are saved in the QTAP array for multipass
operation.
If' the multipass feature is not used, all necessary statistics
and 'Jows for -eneratin are in memoryr.
C]rTIO

In startin' to renerate flows, a variable JXTMW is used to identify

he ,rear n,,unber o' the "irst -ear of each sequence in the multipass

6o

.mmmm-m

EXHIBIT I

mmmmm

im

ii

m m

Variab1les AVG and SDV are used to ,-omoute the mean and
operation.
These are
standard deviation oF' the deviates "or ear-h flow sequence.
later used to 8djiust all deviates so that the means and standard
deviations in ever, -generated sequenc'e will be the same as those of
the historical sequence.
Variables JA and NJ are set up to correspond to the first and
last year of !eneration in each suctessive sequence, depending on
the type of operation. MA has alrea,1. been set up as the subscript
of' ' correspondin- to the first month of flows to be Tenerated (for
use in projecting7 historical flmws re.orded to the current time).
<PR3EN jor each station has 7teen identified as the previous month's
flow for that station. Plows are then enerated for each station,
using stored re'ression equations and a rnndom component. Each generated
flow is immrediatel' entered into the QPRV array, because its preceding
fl.-ow will never a-ain ")c used in that pass.
Tn t'-e multipass routine, flows (as deviates) are written on tape
at the end of ear.h nass, and the last f'low for each station is stored
in the :"STAP arra, 'or use in the next sentuence.
. more than 1 _Gears (an arbitrarili selected length) of flow
are beinf generatel in any! sequen!-e, deviates are adjusted so that their
nean is zero and variance 1.0. Their unadusted mean and standard
deviation a-e printed.
Then the,, are transformed to flows, and, if
c.alled. for, consisten"- tests between stations are made. For variables
with zero natural limit, a rheck lor ne-ative values is then made. Flows
are then printed and. if desired, punche(]. Plow combinations are then
cornputed.
SBCTIO

Before comptinj meximum anr riinimum values of 7enerated flows,

a nositive value of JX is looked for to assure that flows generated
are not to be discarded (the first two years generated for a random
start). Also, at least NYMG years must have been generated before
maximum and miniium values are -om-pnted (this applies only when the
number of years remaining for 7eneration in the last seauence does
not equal I7%Y(G). Ma9ximum sums are initiated at an extremely large
negative number and minimum sums as an extremely large positive number
(T). Then a routine search of flow stuns Por the snecified durations
at each station is made for the sequence, and results are printed out.
Since this routine is used for reconstituted flows as well as for
generated flows, a transter indicator is used to determine whether the
next step is bac'- to the reconstitution routine or the generation routine.
If the latter, a check is made for the multipass routine. If all passes
are not completed, a transfer to section t, is made. If all passes are
completed for this sequence or if the multipass routine is not being

10

EXHIBIT I

used, a ,he: is -nade o" remai . ii,

errs to e 'eerated.
I; *rester
than zero, a transfer to section
4r mnade Pf'ter ad.lustin, :-ears yjet
to > e generated . Othei.ie the 'oh is e-ided and a new lob. if an,,,. is
started.

RANDOM NUMBER FUNCTION RNGLN

This random number function is for a binary m;chinv ;and the constants must be
computed according to the number of biLts in an inteoer ,7ord.
The numbers
generated are uniformly distributed in the interval 0 to 1.
The function is called from the main program by a statement similar to the
following:
A

R Ci.,

(I.:)

;,,inL variable name and TX is som, integer variable

name. The argumenL name IX need not be te
.T%,, in thie main program and the
The
function. The argument must be initiol Hoed to zero in the main progra .
location of the initializing statement is important and depends on tho results
desired.
If it is desired to have differejt sets of random numbers for each
of several different sets of computations (jobs) thait are run sequentially on
the same progran, then the argument must be initial
ized at the very beginning
of the program and never reinitialized.
IT it is permissible to use the same
sequence of random num'ers for each job, tie argument must be initialized at

Wherc A is some floati

the beginning of each job.

The advanta'o of this latter
option occurs when one
of the jobs must be re-run for some minor reason as the same random numbers
will be used and the results will be comparable.
Three constants must be computed by the following equatior.s:
Constant one (Cl)

2(

+ l ) /2

Constant two (C2) = 2" -1

Constant three (C3) = l./2.
Where:

B - number of bits in an integer word

The constants for some of the common computers are listed In the following table:

COPU'fER

INT J:GER
WORI)

CONSNATS
C2

Cl

C3

GE 200 Series

19

1027

52/4287

GE 400 Series
IBM 360 Series
IBK-I 7040 and
7090 Series
UNIVAC 1108

23
31
35

4099
65539
262147

8389607
2147433647
34359738367

0.1192092901.-06
0.465661287E-09
0.2910383046E-10

CDC 6000 Series

48

16777219

281474976710655

0.355271367811-14

11

L(HIBIT l

0.1907348631-05

if

April 1960
EXHIBIT 2
Crout's Method
One of the best methods for solving systems of linear equations
on desk calculating maohines was developed by P. D. Crout in 1941.
This method is based on the elimination method, with the oalculations
arrasged in systematio order so as to facilitate their scoomplisbaent
In this method the ooeffiolents and oonstant
on a desk oaloulator.
toes of the equations are written in the form of a "matrix," vhioh is
a recatogular arna of quantities arreae in rows and coluns,
Suppose that in a
The method is best explained by an example.
multiple oorrelation analysis it is required to solve tLe following
system of linear equations to obtain the unknown values of b 2 , b 3 , b 4

snd b5 .
2

22
2x

ZY

b2

E,2x

+b E 2

X2 2

b2

Lix5b

+
+

.,-

+ xxb

LExx b3
a3x

xx

-2x5

b5

Exx

b4 +

lxx

b 5-

Ex2

5i

x ix
12
1l3

3t5 5

14

Ex
314

b4 +

EX1'
'

Lx

E4.

For si plioity lot us replace the ooeffioie-'q of the b'e by the letters
etter t, using subscripts
p, q, r and a, and the constant terms by t
1, 2, 3 and 4 to denote the respective equa. onss.
ti

b5

p, b2

b3

rl b4

P2 b 2

q2 b3

r2 b4

p3 b2

q3 b3

r3 b

+ 83 b5 - t3

p 4 b2

q4 b3

r 4 b4

s 2 b55

% b5

t2

t4

A continuous cheok on the ooputations as they progress may be obtained

by adding to the matrix of the above system a oolmn of u's, such that
u - p + q + r + a + t. The matrix and oheok oolumn are written as
follows#

EXEMBlT 2

I
p1

q,

P2

q2

r2

t2

P3

q3

sr
3

t3

p4

q4

%4

t4

U2

%2

The elements pl, q2, r3 and e4 form the "principal diagonal" of

the matrix. Ekamination of the original equatlons shows that the ooeffioients are symetrioal about the prinaipal diagonl, i.e., q, - P2
rl -p, 'r2 - q, 1,- p4l 2 " q% and 63 - r4 e.
This in oheracteristi of the system of equations to be solved in any
multiple oorrelation analysis. Because of this symmetry, the oomputetions are considerably simplified. While the Crout method my be used
to solve any system of liner equations, the oomputational steps given
here are applioable only to those with symetrical coeffioents.
The solution oonsists of two parts, viz., the *amputation of a
"derived matrix" and the "baok solution." Let the derived matrix be
denoted as follows;

INN
K

3
P4

Q4

R4

S4

T4

U4

2
E)XIIT' 2

The elements of the derived matrix are computed an follows

P2 = P2

P 1 a Pi
QR

- q2 - P2Ql

"

33

r3

p1

11

S4
S
2

2 "

u2-lP2
"

R2-P,

r
r4

R2

2-T12

R4

1 "

Pi

P3Q1

St

-QR -PR
32
31

Q 3 "q3-

- 2

P 4 -P 4

P3

_r,_S

P3,

Lt4
3 'RRP
3

3-U21-U1.

P
' t 3 -T 2 Q 3 -T1IU

33

3R

t-TR-T2Q.-TIP
5 S R
-s8 -4
4

ss-4

"

4 3

-Q

u3 -U2R-

S2

R
- PSl
44

F
4 .U 1

-p s

The general pattern of the above computations, which my be applied

to a system containing any number of equations, is as follows&
(1) The first column of the derived matrix is copied from the first
column of the given matrix.
(2) The remaining elements in the first row of the derived matrix
are computed by dividing the corresponding elements in the first row of
the given matrix by the first element in that row.
th
th
(3) After completing the W row, the remaining elements in the (n+l)

oolumn ere oomputed. Such an element (X) equale the corresponding element
of the given matrix minus the product of the element imediately to the left
of (X) by the element immediately above the rinzipal diagonal in the same
colu as (X), minus the product of the second element to the left of (X)
by the second element above the principal diagonal in the sam column a (X),
eto. After each element below the principal diagonal is recorded, and while
that element is still in the oaloulator, it is divided by the element of
The quotient in the
the principal diagonal which is in the earn colum.
element whose location is symetrioal to () with respect to the principal
diagonal.

tEXIBIT 2

(4) When the elements in the (n+l>- column and their symmetrical
counterparts have been recorded, the (n+l) t h row will be complete except
for the last two elements, which are next computed.
Such an element (x)
equals the corresponding element of the given matrix mimis the produaot
of the element immediately above (X) by the element immediately to the
left of the principal diagonal in the sam row as (X), minus the product
of the second eiement above (X) by the second element to the left of the
principal diagonal in the same row as (X), etc., all divide, by the
elmnt of the principal diagmal in the 1
row as (X).
The check column (U) of the derived matrix serves as a continuous
oheck on the computations in that each element in the column equals
one plus the sum of the elements in the same row to the right of the
principal diagonal.
That is,
+

U1

U2

I + R2 + S2 + T2
1

U4"

+ R1

1+ S
1+

+ T

+ T5

T4

This cheek should be inAe after completing each row.

The elements of the derived matrix to the right of the principal
diagonal form a system of equations which may now be used to compute
the unknown values of b2 , b V b4 and b5 by successive substitution.
This is known as the "back solution."
b5

T4

b4

T3 -S3b
5

T
-2

b2

Sb

2b5

The computatios are as follows:

- R b.
-

It

S1b5 - Rlb 4 - Qlb

3

It is very important that the computations be carried to a sufficient number of digits, both in computing the coefficients and onstant
terms of the original equations, and in computing the elements of the
derived matrix.
It is possible for relatively smal errors in the
coefficients and constant texias of the original equations to result in
relatively large errors in the computed solutions of the umkznna. The
4
MXIBIT 2

greatest souroe of error in computing the elements of the derived matrix

This
arises from the loss of leading signifioant digits by subtraction.
must be gmrded against and can be done by carrying the computations to
As a general rule, it is reoommendod Vkat
more figures than the data.
the coeffioients and constant terms of the original equations be carried
to a sufficient number of decimals to produce at least five significant
digits in the smallest quantity, and that the elements of the derived
matrix be carried to one more decimal than this, but to not less than
six significant digits.

5
EXHIBIT 2

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EIIT 5
DaFIITI(SAC1
AC2
AC3
ADJ

7235-42340

ADJI
ALCFT(IK)

Alienation coefficient for station 1

Alienation coefficient for station 2
Alienation coefficient for station 3
Plus sign indicates value smaller than upstream sum by
tandem test
- Equal sign indicates value adjusted by tandem test
- Alienation coeffiient array

ALOG

- Computer library function of natural logarithm

ANLOG
ANYRS
AV(I,K)

- Number of logarltm
- Number of years of record
- Muan logarithm

AVG(I,K)
AWG(I)
AVMN(I)
AVMX(I)

B(L)

- Beta coefficient

Average
Average
Average
Average

of the generated deviates

monthly flow for a station
logarithm of flow for minimum 3 consecutive months
logarithm of flow for maximum 5 consecutive months

BETA(I,KL)

- Beta coefficient for generation equation

BLANK
CROUr
CSTAC(KXK)

DTRMC

- Blank space
- Program subroutine to solve simultaneous equations
- Coefficient by which flows are multiplied before adding in
a combination
- Computer library function of absolute value of double precision
number
- Increment of flow
- Determination coefficient

DABS

DQ (IK)
E

- Letter E indicates estlmated value

FAC
I

- Temporary factor
- Index for calendar month

IA

- Indicator in column 1 of first card for each Job

IANAL
IENDF

- Indicator, positive value calls for analysis

- End of file indicator

IGNRL

- Indicator, + 2 calls for computing generalized statistics

and + 1 or + 2 calls for using generalized statistics for
generating flows

IMN(I)

- Month sequence number of last month of 3 driest consecutive

months

INH

- Calendar month number for first month of water year

IX(I)

INDC

- Month sequence number of last month of 5 wettest consecutive

months

IP
IPASS

- Transfer indicator
- Month number for precedin month
- Sequence number of pass (subset of stations)

IPC!Q
IPCHS
IQ(I)

- Indicator, positive value calls for writing discharges on tape

- Indicator, positive value calls for punching statistics
- Fixed-point conversion of flow values

IXIImT 5

UL

IQYAP
IRCON
ISKz
ISr(x,L)
ISTA(IC)
ISAC(OC,K)
I3I'AN
ISTAP
ISTAT
ISTII(L)
IITri(J L)
ISI'X(LS
iarr(L)
ITEMP
IYMP
ITNPP
ITP
ITMN

IX
IlK
IYR
IYRA
IYRPJ
J
JA
JTT4P(L)

JTP
.11
J)XI'P
K
KM
KPASS
KSA
KSTAC(KX,K)
KDI'AP
1(1
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L
LA
W1'AP
LSlA!
LTJ4P(L)
LYP
LTRA
LX
LYRPJ
M

MA

Tape number for storing flown

Indicator, positive value calls for flow reconstitution
Positive. value calls for varying flow Increment (DQ) to
mw skew zero.
- Sequence moer of upstream station for tandem test
- Station nmbter
- Station nmbter in a combination,
- Temporary station nmbter
- Statics sequence niumber for all passes
- Yap. number for stor ig
statistics
- Station nmbter of domsre
tandem statics.
number of upstream tandem station
Station nmter of independent statics for consistenices test
number of dependent statics for commistences test
variable
variable
variable
- Temporary variable
- Transfer indicator
- Temporary variation of I
- Argument for random number function
- Number of current year
- First year of data
- Year of start of flow projection
- Index for year
- Sequence number of projection year
- Matrix column number
- Matrix column number
- Temporary variation of J
- Temporary variation of J
- Index for station
- Dimension limit for number of consecutive months
- Dimension limit for numiber of passes
- Dimension limit for total number of stations
- Index number of station In a combination
- Dimension limit for total number of sations
- Temporary variation of K or combination sequence
- Dimension limit for number of consecutive years
- Index for related station
- Temporary variation of L
- 1.imber of records up to present position on tape IQiTAP
- lumber of records up to present position on tap. IODAT
- Matrix row number
- Matrix row number
- Letter A
- Temporary variation of L
- last year of each projection
- Serial number of month
- Sequence number of month of projected flow
-

-Station

-Station

-Temporary
-Temporary
-Temporary

uMWIiT5

MO(I)
MPASS
MTHPJ
MXRCS
N
NC
NCA
NCAB(I,K,L)
NCB
NCOMB
NCSTY
NINDP
NJ
NLOG(I,K)
NMNMX
hnMfXN
NPASS
NPROJ
NQ
NQTAP
NSMX(L)
NSTA
NSTAA
NSrAC(KX)
NSTAT
NSTAX
NSTNP(I)
NSTX
NSTXX
NSUM(K)
NTNDM
NVAR
NYMXG
NYRG
NYRS
Q(M,K)

QM(I)
QYIN(I,K)
QPREV(I)
QR(M,K)
QSTAP(I)
R(K,L)
RA(IK,L)
RAV(K,L)

Calendar month number

Temporary counter for number of passes
Calendar month of start of each projection
Number of years in each period for which maximum and minimum
recorded and reconstituted flows are desired
- Serial number of period of flows
- Counter to prevent continuous looping
- Counter to prevent continuous looping
- Number of values and cross products used to compute correlation
coefficients
- Transfer indicator
- Number of combinations of stations max. and min. quantities
are to be computed
- Number of consistency tests
- Number of independent variables in regression study
- Number of years in computation sequence
- Number of logarithms used to compute frequency statistics
- Number of months following dry season and preceding wet season
- Number of months following wet season and preceding dry season
- Total number of passes in job
- Number of projections of future flows from present conditions
- Counter for number of flows
- Total number of records saved on tape IQTAP
- Number of upstream stations in tandem test
- Number of stations in analysis
- NSTA + 1
- Number of stations in a combination
- Total number of records saved on tape ISrAT
- NSTA + NSTA
- Number of stations in a particular pass
- Number of stations in current pass that occurred in preceding
passes
- NSTX + 1
- Number of stations upstream from a station for tandem test
- Number of tandem tests
- Total number of variable in regression study
- Number of years of generated flows in each period for which
maximum and minimum flows are desired
- Total number of years of generated flows
- Number of years of recorded flows
- Monthly flow
- Monthly flow
- Minimum flow
- Flow for previous month
- Identification symbol
- Temporary storage of QPREV
- Correlation coefficient in a given matrix
- Correlation coefficient
- Average correlation coefficient for 12 calendar months

3
EXHIBIT 5

..
....
..

RMAX
RMIN

- Maximum consistent correlation coefficient

- Minimum consistent correlation coefficient

RNGEN(IXX)
Ri
R2
R3
SD(I,K)
SDAV(K)
SDV(I,K)
SKEW(I,K)

Program random number function

Correlation coefficient being tested
Correlation coefficient being tested
Correlation coefficient being tested
Standard devaition of logarithms for calendar month
Average standard deviation for 12 consecutive months
Standard deviation of the generated deviates
Skew coefficient of logarithms for calendar month

SMQ(J,K)
SQA(I,K,L)
SQB(I,K,L)
SUm

Maximum or minimum flow for month or duration

Sum of squares of first
variable
Sum of squares of second variable
Average correlation coefficient of matrix

SUMA(I,K,L)
SUMB(I,K,L)

- Sum of first variable

- Sum of second variable

T
TEMP
TMP
TMPA
TMPB
TMPP
TP

Large positive constant

Temporary variable
Temporary variable
Temporary variable
Temporary variable
Temporary variable
Temporary variable

X(I)

- Value of independent variable in regression equation

XINCR(I)
XPAB(I,K,L)

- Iteration value for flow increment

- Sum of cross products of first
and second variables

4
EXIBIT 5

Rev 1970
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1146

gE00 3) YSTN (LW) .11~'P.(ISTTCLXL1,L.1,1TMPI

WQITEC6.33()) iXaISTN(LIO, (JSTTLLX,L),LSI, yyhpJ
*IIC FnR'AAT (/13H YANO~FM ~L, 3 &,o~w8qAiSAi.x
315NLJPSTRFA4 STACS),IO15)
.340 KS~IiCLXI=TTKP
350 I(TPh8X.F..1)Y40
0n 3S0 K=",i1vWpK3TA
4sU"(K, TPAsi)MO
ZI1TA (K)1fln0O0I
7Ij1TJATE -1, NO RECIRO FOR ALL FLOW6
C
')a 360 Mhl.KM

it&&
1149
1150400
fissmnn
1152
1153
1 154
5156
117
1156
1159
1160

AfI(MOK)U.-10

am 370 1.1,12
00 IN 11.
37C CONTINLIE
34C Cr'NTIt~IE
YF(NCSTyLE.0) 60 TO 420
~4R!TE(6p. 1
34C FflQ4AT(/30yv8HSTAT~flNs/I7w CnNSJS1'ENCY TE8Tg5X#23M'INnEPENOENT
OF
1'Ex 0ENT)
01 400) Lz1,NCSTV
C
.. CARO a *0
.9EF4 (5,30)
YarXCL)T3TY(L)
4"0 IqlTT(b.JII01
~ L#TT(L)oI.1TYCL)
CC
C

VIC IF(IANAL.Lh..")G0 TO 57
000
q AD AND PROCH1i3 I STATION-YEAR

RLA K CiAD IkOTCA7ES 9wD OF FLOh DATA

1F~tSTAN.L?.1151 TO SrO
A' qTqN SOUSCRIPT TO STATION
On 40 IK:NS1'1,NSTA
IT(f3TAN.Fj.13TACW))GC TO 460

fls
1184
11o5

OF OATA

I*4A

a
*
.,CARO N *

TTNY.U9,1$)
0*CAhO

1164
1165
1166
1167
1166
1169
1170
1171
1172
1173
1175
1076
1177
11783
1179
118C
1101

qleC QFA0(5.O
C
C

1163

CflNTPIJF
a!O NSAAN3TA*5

oiAc

116
ts

IF(N3TA..K3TAJ GO TO 160

118720

KINST!

lice

ZSlTAf)*19VAHI
C

A;INSUf3SC41PT

t189
I140
I191

TO YEAR

44"C JaXYqvYP4
ZFJ,~0*JLEPii,
GO 71) 480
W101TE t6.'%7n)1yq
(670 FMPMAT (/I'iH UNACCEPTIHLF VEAR,IS)
'rfl
TO 150
C
S~fl.E FLOWS Ji~ 3TAT1C'N AND MO.;ITM ARRAY
"Jo,11.1 1
Ma
rfI 490) ?21.12
~1
SGO ril. 490

1193
1194
1195000
1196
1197
1194
t199
1200
1201
1203

4qC CIJ.TINUF
'i'
To) 430
5nC

NSTAAuN.A7hOt

IF (NVPI.O7,AY4.DQ.
T7A.NCO?,B.GT.fI'A)
F(PJSTA.LE.fl) GD Ta 160

90 TO 160

.3.

1206
1207
1208
1209
1210

C~tI18TT 6

rip(NCOMS.LE.O)GO TO Sgo120
IDENiTIFY 3TA SLBSCA1PTS FOR STAB IN COMBINATIONS
nf 530 9XVUI.cNCe
TYPEpSTACtKX, IPASS)
LV80
on 520 Lwl,!TP
IVfMPS!STAC(K~oL)
no SID KvI.NSTA
IFC!STA(K).NE.ITE4P)GO To 510
LYNLX*1
AITAC1KX.LX. IPASBSK
GO To 520
CO'KTINUf
CMNTINUE
REDUC~E STATIONS To THOSE IDENTIFIABLE
N4YhCCKV, IPA3S)2LX
CON~TINUE
IDENTIFY STA?IOCS IN TANDEM
rtNTNOM.LE.0) GO TO 600
Pr)1
540 LX~1.*iTNOMOn 550 XuINSTA
tFtISTACK).EIJ.I3TN(LX)) Go To 560
Cnh?rNIJE
TSINCLX)xK
NAUM(K. yPASs)=N3"XCLX)
ITvaNSMxtL.%)
On 960 t*u14rMP
Do 97e) I(W:jq3TA
IF(15TACkW).Fa.ISTTfL~,L)) GO TO 38o
CO~NTINUE
IATfK.LsIPASs)zKX
CnN!TINUE
10E~irIFY PAIRS CF STATIONS FOR CON31STENCY TESTS
IP(NCSTY.LE.0) GO TO 630
.jr 040 tL,Nc3TY
OM 630 Kxt,43TA
1VC7STACK).Eu.ISTXCL)) c-c TO &10
tFCI8TA(K).En*ISTY(L)) GO TO 620
iml TO 630
!ITX(L)uRc
GM O7
30
ZATY(L)XK
CiINT!NUE
cf"xTINuE
ITMp3NSTA~jCtPM

SIC
S2C
C

530

C
54c

9;!C
SAC

570
SAC
59C
C

60C

610
62C
630
bac
690
CD

A A 0 14AXCAND MIN RECOiNDEn

TNITIATc SUMS

C
LOfl

VOLUMES

tOt*0f

1 M2(I . X)*-T
.)I 676 T ul6 p3 O
6CSmntIK)T
7T4Pui~
0

1233
1234
1235
1236

1230
1239
1240
1241

1242
1244
1245
1246
1247
I248
tagq
1250
12s1
t252
1253
12S4
1255
1256
1257
t001258

1269
3270
1271
127

On ?fn JU.p~jv7S
pm 770 721012
12PI +1
I1273

K:fV 1

1274
3275
1276
I27Y

IF(K.LC.NSTA3GG TO 700
CompuitE COm8INED I;LO'd8
-(YSXNSTA
ITPU=4STAC(KYD IPASS)
l (P, K)6.
P't 490 Lnt#ITP
IPA3I)
ITf4Pv9STACfKWe,
CU14111PEU FLOb PIASING

1279
1200

~aIEP~O*1~6.f"K)E~u.

1232

t267

42t
piz0

EXH4IIT

1229
1230
1231

1263
1264
1265
1266

1010ts

60)C

1aae
1225
JIM2
1227

1200
1261

AvfOf)KXmO*

1217
lia
1219
1220
1221
1228

1259

79n KXNSTXXITmp

)m, A60

t0f

1a14
lass

GO TO 600

1ama
12M

Gn TO 690o

1285
12.%u..
as

0C
bqc CANYThue
?0c I~lMK.EC

124?
GO TO 710
STAwiT NEW ACCUMULATIONS WHEN F40W MISSING

1248
1369
1290
1211
129Z
1293
1294
Iq

oJso
TmpmO.
YMPASO,
GO To 770
?10 TEMPX0(fl.K)
C
I-MONTH FLOWS

tVCSMOL28,K) .rT.TEMP)SMC(28,K)uTCMP
b.MflNTM FLOWS

1299
1300

FMP&UTMPA+TFMP
1 Cw.6)7ehO.730,72O
72c TPvTvP.)M-6,K)
?3c 1PCTmP.LT,.4n(29,K))8Sflt29,K)QTMP
1I lIMP .GT.1.,( IU K) 3SM)C14pK)aTWP
C
5Lj-inrNTH FLOkS
IF (W.44) 760.750,740
74C T !PkSTMPAfl(M-54,K)
15C IF CTMPA.LT.Sr'inC3O,PK) ).1t0C31,X)zTPA
IFCMPA.OT.0 ,0(15,K))8MQ((15,K)uTMPA
c
AIEFAGE FLOW
76C AVGQC)(K)2VGQCX).TEMP
Nnskl~l1311
770 CONTINUE
r~0
nrINUE
TFlMhUNO
AV~tl K2A VG (k) /TED4P
7 CnNYz'.uE

1302
1303
1304
1305
130b
1307
1305
1309
1310
1311
1312
t313
ISIS
1316
1311
1318
1319

XTE(6
800)1320
00OC vriguAT(,/34if MAXI?41'I VrLLP6 (IFRECORDED FLOW)
*'PITE (6,510) m(Mfl
Cl), 12)
Ble FOnmAT ($H AT&#12I7,3SH
S1MO
b.MO
54*NO
ITPPz'N3yA*NCflmo
.)r 431) Kz'iITwX,rTHP
lTPAvrfl(X)*.5
j~p lftt1.,15
82C 'f'P0C
~ .
At~4c
(.f0
~A~) (aI.:,5ae"
S'~C
A
HPACW I',11,28I,
i~iT
C6,~0)1331
1)SC FmcoATIC/1A
P1NIMUM VOLLJE3f)
.4U7TFC 6r8lC) (C CI), I1, 12)
rrfl
470 Xkl~3yX'A,ITMP
Dm Rho 1:1,13
67C
CE *

.1E6O")5AWTf)I11
* * * * C014P1TE F'NECJLEKCY OTATXSTICS
icI1E C,pit)
APC Fll&;4&T (1214W FA0UjF'JCV STATISTIC3)
*

*0

prrE6,R0)c~(I)T~l,2)
hqC Fnr-mAT (/t4;
37*
ITEM',!7pZ1A)
"rS5qfG FL.OW POEM!NG FIRST RECORO MO?4T14
c
,In 100 MaPiNTVV,N3T4
9(c :J(1.KX)UT
!UCOWUO
17fhIP 2 NITA

17 (jEHP.GT.N$TA) GO TC i1.0
IF(w.Lf.N3Tv) GOl TO 942
91C nn q2 0 Ta1,12
TFMPww4 OG ~1,A()
!0M1W&D(,)
92C COP.TINUE

*.,)

G(,KuD(IIc.QN?.

03?1
1322
1323000

AV 140)

1324

13a5
I26
132?
1328
1329
1330
1332
1333
1334
1335
a

133?
1338
1339
1360

3aj
1342000
1343
1304
1343
1346
1306100
1347100
13'7ma
1348
1349
1312
1313

TmPUN

1354
1359
1356
1357
1358
1359

400 Cn~fINUE

1361

glC An

44M yal12
LV (1 * )sav)*
smc1.K)s30.
SKEW IN)UO.

942 al~~

1362
1363
1364
1365
1366
1361
1368
1369
1369-2
1370
1371
1372
1373
1374
1375
1376

On 970 j.1,WY4S
On 960 1.1,12
Hmmm I
tF(0CM#K).E0."le) GO TO 950
REPLACE FLOW ARRAY WITH LOG ARRAY
C
TFMPAOG(gC(i.)*fl(I))/2.3025I51
r(0,KuEMP
IF(K.LE.NSTX) GO To 960
SUM, SnUARES, Ahn CUBES
C
Lv (1*K 3uAV CT K) .TEMP
$fA(r,K)2sfl(I,K)+TEiP*TEPP
SxEA(rN)3SXEW(1,K)TEMP*TE4P*FMP
GmTO 960
MITSSING FLOWS EQ2UATED TO T
C
95C ji(m.K)=T
9Lc CnklTINUE
970 C"n.YINUE
!~W.E.

1378
1379
1379o2

~Gfl TO

1180
!wTW~nO1380

n~llono 121,12

1361

T7PL0G(DK)

1302

IFCEi4P.LT.3.)Gl TO 1120
T,,P:Av CT.'C)
LV CTK)mTfl~TEmP
lF(5PlCIpK).LE.O.)G0 TO 980
T~w~SO

13R3
1384
1385
1386
C.

()1387

TF(,AflCI.,).LtE.0.)

GO TO '3P0
*
j:5)
C
~)
S')
51341
I,
2 Tr 990
tFQr(,K.T.GOl)
*TIP*1(EW (y,K)-3.TEPT PTMPA*2.,T0*TPTMP)
S'F .C! ,K):(TF
1/(TrmPCTE1P*P1.)e(TEIF-t2.)a9n(TDK)**3)
f-.1) . [IQ SXEW( I,K) .GT..1) INDC21
Irf.;iFw I, r) .(.T.
IF ClX1E.4T,PK) *I7*3.) SxEh (TK)s3*

'qEw(7.w)UO.

iomc CflPjo

1397

.41
1:(N.rT.llGO TC 1060
..
rTFC6,11)ISAtKdCAVC?.K),I31,123
mcL&F.12FO.3)
toic Fn;."AT CI'.t5,8i4
toC FlkmAT

(?V.?,iqTn rEv,12Fui.31

to C rjr-4%T (0,uSC
1

iA'C "IU-47

1398
tl99
1400
t40100O
1403000

1Pf.)1405000

($l%,h~IoCuT.F7.2,ltF8.2)

1f,' p61C~C~,Q!11)10
10AC lr(N.AT (q.514 1, TO

1390
1391
1392
1393
1394
1393
13%6

G1Tr) 1000)
91C inC?,K)S0.
qqc

1388.2*

18

1407000
14100

JF(?n0C.LE.nj f;- 7 1180

T'E FLLl;1dNq ACUjTPkE WILL ADJL3T THE INCREM4ENT TC
TRY Tn CdTATIN ZERC SKEW
To ACTIVATE
CHAI%C~E THE FCLLC'wTmW. 3747 T9 I8'CZs

1411
1412
1413
1414

IF(TAKZ.LE.0) GO TO 1180
lyps-11
,n ti10 t31.1
1421 ?* I
on 1080 JaloonYs

1416
1411
1411
1419
1420

C
C
C

EVH6
T

6*6

YV~f(f),I().1O#T)

Go To 1070

T",Fxrl (pip )
J(M.K)UlO."*TMP
Goi Tn 10ao

1422
1423
t424

nfo(I*K)

1425
%426
14P7

107c AR(,M.K
.
JOAO CM'yr~je

100t
I IOC
111e
C
*
I1120
113C

T~Mf2SKw
(IiK)1426
XVTMPfT.~1)AJ~1MPL.,)00 TO 1110
1VC71NP) iaq0#11011100
I(,~)0GIK)2
GM TA 1110
0A(T,X)XUOC,K)*XTNCRt(I)
Cro1'tNut
Gn TAi 930
4 * tnELlFTE
3T&T1GNS WtT14 LESS THANi I YEARS OF DATA'*a *
* *
.,LJT6(6.ll3O)TSTA(K)
Fnr'~A7 C/44 374,1b.281M DVLETED, INSUFFICIENT DATA)

~.

'~T~t

.~

1429
130
1431
1432
1433
1434
1435
143b
t'137
14138000

A.!t439

1440
1441
1442
1443
1444
1445
144b
1414
1446

N9T4ASSAI

NR~TA ~ ,N
S7+N 3 TA
IF(K.GT.NSTA)GC TA 1180
QEfluCE 311~8SCRIPT9 OF SU03SEOUENT
On 1170 KXSK.N3yA
1.sTA(Kx)mISTACXWa1)
imj
an 1130 JV1,NYHS
An 1100 1M1 1 12

~6A

r~i

ll CPTN)UE
p~

NCC~1
'.1

3?ATTON8

TjV214159
1453

(tK'A)NLAG(IK*1)1452

WIC c'".rpUE
nnfl 910

1456
1457
1436

110Ccn
CntNiIF

TFCTsjCP?.LE.d))
CF*

* * *

GO TO 1370

A~jtjqlmENT Of

FRECUENCY

STATISTICS TO LIP4G TE41N

Or 1 191) KaltiSTA
1190 Lml,NSTAX
NC44N(1 * K,L) cA
3tk&!1.KL)MO.
S1.I"IC!,I(,)0O*
SrA tT.K.L0.
S1,;rT#9,L)V0.
wP An~(I,, L.)
=A
On 12?0

14160
0
1463

oA

t6
1465

1416b
1467
1460
(469
1470
t
171
1472
1473

af!(*,K *1)Z
11qc rmkTItjE

11 * *a

Ku1,NSTA
,(Vcx~l1474

nn 12PQ jaiol'iS
D00 1210 141012

1473
1476
14177

TI MP05 (P*

1479

'11

1FrFrP.Er).T)

Gil to 1210

14810

(3n 1200) LUM)(,NTAW

1461

LVGfL-%ST4
IFRXL.T.1)
JF (1.%pr.T.O)

1402
14aj

TMPUIJ~tfL)
TMI'2A1(fit eLy)
IFfT$40.E0.T) GM TA 1200

t464

1485

St)4CI.4L)~ll.JqCTNeL)Tpp1486

IF(L.GT.NiTA) GO TO taoo

14qa
ova

EVMTIYST 6

NCA4(1,LK)I2C&A3(!,K,L)
Silt# ,L)1494
fi(I
.Sr'AI(I# ,1*K
313
AI #)(L)
SI AF(I#* .,K) 23) K
i1 K L)
l2~C
1210 CnKTINUE

1493
L

tK

30MR

1495
149

Cfl~I~uE1498

1499
1500
1501
1502

CnNTpIJUE

I220

t2CcIN'C
[In 2K4

(t

K*IvN3TA

Dm 1260 Ixt#12
4A(I,K.K)zj.
,n 1250 LzKK.NSTAN
tFCNCA03UK#L).LE.2) GO TO 1230
TF:PZCAB (I .KPL
..
T74ns)q I q '1)

1504
1905
I506
1507
09
1510

T'4PACqUHA(r.K.L)

1512

I (T'PP-LT.O.)

TlIPP0O.
ma

1514
(TK.L)T~lP...51515

T-Pf'z TP.T0P4i.*/TEmP) /TEMP

kF (TMPPp.LT.O ) TmPP3Q,
51C!,KL)Tm4PP**.5

1516
1517
Is19

(FeT'4P.LE.(i.) G;1 TO 123M

!0 %32WP1nf(I.L)TPAT)IPf/TFMP
r

1511
1522
1523
1520
Isas

tF('4ALT3)Tmpau.Tmps
T'fP.':y 'PA AT 'PA / 1 -P
IfP(TmPA

.1T.0.) T44PA:0*

1527
12

.A(f,K,L)TH4PI*T~lPA**.5
L

A =I.

tf (L.ILE.N9TA)
fr('

P.Lr.1)

GO TOJ1233
-ATP212

t. -A-

1235 rF(Io(I.K).LT..0001.OR.SOCZTP,L&).LT..0001)
".T 1240

GO TO 1230
1529
1530

1?M.

1534
1535

I'.TTNUF

1~AK=1,0TA
ITh

153?
1539
L

(L.K.ACKL~.~J)GO TO 1270
'k~'GfT*L).L..PLUG(IX))
Gr Tn 1270
T'IrI2t.CAPC?,K,LJ
fV(TP.Lt.TE'4P)
Lva t.

"'r'=LPGTL)1545
GO TO 127?0

1540
154a1
1502
1543
1544
1547
1344

re~varp159
127'C CM' T!4UP
I )I.LE.0)) rO To 1280

1551
19

f'oiCri
T" 0!AA(KL)/SnR(3I,K,LX)
r"'AgSII'4A C? K#LW) TMPF

15,13
1550
1355

Evp~T8Trr 6

.8.

T"FuSup4Iq CIKpLX) /T'4P0

As
,K.):TMPA4+(AV(TLX).TINPI.1aQA(1,KLx)aymp
3r CTo K)8OA (I vK LX) +(SO(1tLXf) 3(l1S (I#K.L0 )*AI#CK,L U *a2*1iP
C

LOJUST SYAND&II
C

(NC.E0

TO;

15
M
1598

OEVTATON3 FOR COJNSISTENCI

1560

340

KCISTY CLX)
LUXISTY cLir)
00 1321 t1112
TFHP=PUAVCT,9).AYCJ,L))'3.
IFCAVCIX).rTAYCX,L)) GC TO 1300
TFPzTEM0+SflCIN)
1F(1,0C1.L).LTflmP) Gt, TO 1310

t564
1565
1566
1567
1568
1569
1570

IFCInCXDL) - TEmP) t120,1320.1310

1300 TFmpzyEmp~gnCI,1C)
CF(5n(IL).GT.TEmP) GO TO 1310
1Fv~a:5nC,K)a2. - TEMiP
IF(qfftL.rE*TEPP) GO 701320
1310 3'C,L)RTEMP
t3PC C,.,TINUE
133c C0m.INuF
JF1FTR4~S.f5y.)
GM TO 28e0
134C 1F(TkOC.LF.n.AKfl.NC3T'Y.LE.O) GO TO 137
-1)1TF (b. 1350)
t3SC rnrATC/39H FRE9iiENCY STATITIC3 AFTER AOJU3TMENTS

157e
1573
1574
1575
1576
1577

157a
1579
1sma
1501
1542
I1583

1360 Xm1IoNSTA
dIQIl'EU,.1OIO)ISTACK),CAVCTK),Zu1l,12)

(,n

1585
t586
1589

136C COPKTINuE
CG *
* *
* * TOsAIS~FlP
13 7 C '1' 1420 Kvl1iSTA
'Is1
On 11410 Jxu14YR3
.0~m+It~

To. STANOI)DIZE0

WARIATES

jgqO
we*

a aa

1592
1593
59

3,12

OR(Hx~zSANK1596
TO 1400
IFUqnTK).Erj.O.)Gtj TO 1390
1F(n(NK).EQ).T)GO

19

1600

CEAANTYPE
III
TRANSPORM
IFCSkEW(.K7.FG.O.)G0 TO tiOO
TF P.5*KEl(I#K)JaOCMsK)+1
*yvx
IF(TENP.E.n.2GO
TV 'PM-TEP

lO
60
1604
160S

TO 1380

1606
1607
1604
1609
1610

1 3PC

G1i TO 14lO0
I.ICr~.Tu
11cC CfII.TTNF

1611
1IE

IGICCnKYNUE1613
C

It

a **
* Ci'~tIT
00' l4Ob kU1.-STA

SUMS3 OF srtJANES

AND CR03S PRI1OICIS

a ai a

rn 1030 L3t.NSTAX
C!K,L):o

a11
1616
1618
1620

.IHA

3"'A

low*

in~~f(TKPL)M0*
10 '( T * K.1)0.
IU4C

aa

)ZO,1620
1622
1624

(.Ko)mO,

162!

4&(Toxx~sl,1626
145C CO'.?IvuE

1628
-9-

EvHRIT 6

1629

)Iri 1540 KZI,NSY4

KVZK~t,630
,-*1

nfl '460 J:1.NYHS

n 1470 IC10i2

1631
163a
1633

va
.

1634

yrmpacnM#K)
IF(TENPsE0.T)GC TO 1470
DO 14160 LzWXNSTAX
SUBSC$41PT3 EXCEED1ING p.574 RELATE TO PRECEDINGl MONTH
LY*L.NSTA
IF(LXLT.1) TmPxQC'4pLl

1635
163b
1637
1638
1639
1640

IFCTHP.En.T)Gl) To 146i!
Cr~i'iT A"O JiI5 ChLY REC04floD PAIRS
l~A
(I XKt.) auvAI (1,Kpt) 41

1612
I64

IIA( I PKA )300 A(IsK 1)4TD'P

' p1646
31 ,I ,I)4 fi(7,K,

3rJAu*i:

Ib44

teas
L

'i

I~4

(T
1647

(T,K,L)*YEIPPTENP

1610

IF(L.rIT.N5TA) GO TO Id4bC

JJ

(TK,L,K)=J.14Aj

(1,KaL)

1654

SmA

(K.L,K):Sjn

(r,kPL)

1654

,LJ165
wq(I .L.K) cxPAlCIe(Kl
1460 CnTINUF
14~7C rmNTTYNE
141AC

CflA.TTNIUE
. * * a CuMPUTE

Wy~
tb58
1659

CUH4EL4TIAlN

COEFFICIENT3

On 1530 T= tI I
'10

1520 LZKX,NSTAX

LV=LNsTA
C

EL14INATE PAIRS OITP' LE3S TpiAN 3 yR3 UATA

IvCvCAB(!,A,L).LE.2) GO TO 1510
TFNPZNCAPT.I(.L)
TMP~(.ljA

(,K,).5JMACK.~a5UACIKLrEM)*C(IKL)SJ

~L)

*SU43 I PK L) /TE~lP)
ELTrITNATE PA1;45 WITH ZEkO VARIAN~CE PRODUCT
CS1 TO 1500
!F(TF'P.LE.O.)
TmP01231 *
T"IPAXXPAf3C!,K ,L) .5IJ~'A (1,K.LIaSUI4ICIKL)/TEMP
pK

'4FTA1N ALG~t1qA1C SIGN

7F(T 'PA.LT.0.)Tmr~z.TmPP
=TMP A* T45, A/ Tf!~P
T'-P A:
:;'(VI4,LET!)*TMc'Aaa.5
yp~i!

LAL
IL

C *.i.TA)

rfl TO 149

1 1-1
IFCtTP'.LT.1) ITPc1a
LAI X

?fl 1910
4 A( T KL) a(.
:rfI..0T.K'TA) GO TO
*1.,
K) UR4A(Tv ,KL)
15?C ClIPYINIIE
I 53C C? TIN iJZ
nKTINIJJ
154C
inr TMl 2170

le

156C FfRMATC/ISN DATA OUT CF CgROEq)

r,0, TO 190
C;4 * a * - o at PE40 C0U'Rt'LATir% COEFICIENTS
1SCOm 163o KUIMSTA
19 (i(.EG,1)Gf TO 1800
ITONK1t
On 1590 L21-1TP
CuRRI4CT IMfNTh CCOPELAYXON
C

EV~rUI?*t.1

16bl
16012
1663
1664
1665
16405
t 67
1668i
1669)

1670
167
1672
1673
1674

1675
1676
1677
1676
1680

1641
16ma

i S 0C
SilC

aa1660~

1684
1665
I~
16fl
1697
16p8
189
Ith90

1691
1693
1694
1695
1696
1697
1690
1699
1700

A* CARD L

*01701

1701
1703
1704
1705
170*
1707
170a
1709
1710
1711
1712

;AO(5.7o)iT'4PITE4P. (R&(TKL).zul12)
*" Vf(iL) 378(1 *K. LI

IFCTCNWL.FQ.I11TAY(K)ITVP
IF(TTMP.NEI~sTA(K)IO TV! 1550
Ic(1TEMP.?JE.ISTA(L))GC TO 1350
C-i 15AO 71112
1380 flA (T.L K)NRA (!,K,L)
1590 CflhINUE
PRECEDOING MONTH CORRELATION
C
1600 LV:'k-S7AA
IF fIGNPL.EO.1) LXQNSTA*K
LAMNSTX1713
IF UIGNRL.EJ.I) LAgLX
rr1 1610 LGLX,LA
I!P21.-ISTA

CARD K( OR M A*

M79
1720

IF(k.EQ*1fl8TA(ITP)=ITE0P
IF (IGPJRL.Efg.l) PAYCKpX)9QA Cl ,'L)
TI! 1550
XF(ITMP.NE.IA(K))f',O

IM2

1?72
1723

TO' 1550

JFI9PN.-9AIP);

1724

1610 CrNITTNUE

1725

011 16?0 71.12

C

103C CrM\TINUE
a
* * * READ FREQUENCY
01h 1640 XK:1,NiTA

aTATTSTICq A Aaaaaa

ARO84
rP(TTP.NF.TSqTA(K))Cfl
GENF'WALIZEO
AV44V K)ZAV (1.K)
A Vtlk~(K)Z3A V(2, K)

TO 1550
STATISTICS

1727
1728
1729

aaaaaaaa

1714
1715
171b
1717

ON ON~E CARO PER

N C4 0 A*

1730
1732
1733
1734
1735

3TATInN

S~~Av(K:AVCK)1737

1739.2
IF
IF

1740

L.)i1X(X)m:PYC),12
(IXK)
I~iw1(K):IpN(K)+%2
(1M')tc) .LT.X)

1741
aaCARD P

C
?F(TTP.PJE.XSTA(K))t;(J

TO

1a
743

1745
aaCARD 0 aa1746
1747
1748
1749
aaCAkO 4

1550

C
qEAf(,Sf)Tp(.qF~K(.).1l.12)
rF(TTP.NE.I'iTA(K)).o Yf 1550
C
1F(TTP.NE.15TA(K~))flA TO 1550
thao C?, TINUE
EFITIMATFJ M1351KG V.'WIELATION CtI!FFICIENTS
Cy
1650 IFfI'1NPL.F,, 1lG(I Tf 3'2e
tF(NT4.LF.IGO. TO 2311)
00),1720 rm1,12
zI:-'I.
TF(TM.LT.I)101I2
01
It'
C

1756
173?
Il58
1799

ITP~l(+l1760
It)O LUTS
L A~n K ClOR4ELATII!N POSSIBLY m17ds7NG
O TO 1700
!F4A!K,).F.(G)
4M1N.1

iw SEARCHES ALL QELATEO CORRELATIONS

Or

t755

1710 K1.&N9TA

~i'*Au1

1751
1752
1733
17,54

1640 LXN1.NSTAV

1b90
oTO.)
Irt ~
IF(L.FO.LV)Gn 70I 1690
TFNPPACIXPLX)
IF(L.LE.NATA)GC TO IbbO

1761
1768
1763
*1764
*1765
EXCEPT FOLLChING mTm

176*
1767

1768
1769
1770
1771
.11,

EV),rsyy *

IF(LK.LE.NSTA)Gn1 TO 1670
SOT10 L AND LX P~rSethr PIECINGI NOW

1772

T11E4PNLXftN8TA
Tt'P*RA TP#EIV1PIT(Npq)
Gn TO 1680
L REPRESEPITS CLRMFNT 14O*4YT

1775
177
1778
I778

Gil T0 1680
LX AND NOT L NEPOFIENT8 COJRRFNt MONTH

t170
1782

11

7)

1610 T&4P~q4(1.LX#0
t6AC IF

(Tm0.TEMP.L7..2.0)

Gc rr b
T4pAU(..TE.P*TEmp)*(..TP~Pe7,P))
IF (TM0A-LT.0.) T4PAm*
Tb.PAvy"PA*.5
TN P.TEN P.7 $PA
TbPP
1'rCTfiPR.Lr.RiiAx) mAxmThPB
Tep4%TmPRTM*A.TfMPA.

IF T490TRisRm~~~
169C

Cfl\IINUE

AVER~AGE 11HALLEST P~AY AND LARGE31 MEN C0NS1STENT VALUE

1794

IF CL.LE.NSTA)PACJLJ()MOAC!,KL)
tVIC
tIC

t793

CribTINuE
CflNTtN,1E

172C C'ip.rTNUE
G1 Tn 2311~
Cj
*
a
TEST Fr~f1 TRIAb CC?4JS7TENCY
173C NC300
174C FAC=I.

S*

~411802

1805
180b

TO LS0

I75C NCIX
4

t
1b0
07E'

1"no1807
18019

111

1810

tPIT-1
C

Ko Li AND 0X SEARChb

ALL 9ELATfn TRIUS OF COMPEL CCEFS

mioNTA,
1F~Q
!A2o
IT "PD M.1
m ISIO LZDTPONSTAX

I~wcL~l
1400 LY.2!TP,?3TAX

1820

Ms1

TO 1611D

,4I ib.A(IoK.)

l812
1814
1813
1816
tat?
1il18

V (L.Et2.-4STA)G
LA41.LNSIA
nr

1796
1757
1798
1719
1800
1801
1803

I-;UNCA.LTNATA*1Z) Go Te 1790
In

1783
F8
%IRS
174b
1787
188
1791
1190
1791
1792

1~

A19
2LXN9

(L.L.H5T)RS~(ILLW11823
5lT~4 L AND LV RFPPESEN? PRECEOINto MOMN
t(L.0,T.NSTA)q3:RaCIP.LAeIT~t4P)
RAI~k Lni'VST CCEF21C!ET47 IF tNC%)N313TENT

TA1821

1424
1825
1826

aR*

1829

IF(41.GT.02) GC TO t770

1830

I-.1 PZ*p3.ACP.ACJ*FAC
NZ-1
IVfb~4b.L.1*I

1632
1633
1834

Le t(1 ..-

I~W.GMP1Gn
I' nrt

Tn 1800

11133

t~EL)QNIN1836
P~
IF (I.LE.NSTA) RA(1,L.K)IURPIN
Gn TO 1800
1770 IFI1?,.GT.03) GIn TO 1780
kmpIbmaj*3wAC1*AC3OFAC

1653

ININS016P
EW,4?PIPIN

1831
tills
1839
1640

TO*010as

;A CTt,LX)uRti!N
IF' (LI.1-E.NSTA)
(;n TO 1600
t7A~

1044
181.41O5MP
1646
IJ~c~1.2.AC*AC~FAC1847

1FC03.G9.R11J) GO TO 1660

149

tNOr*1

log0

IF

(L.GT.NSTA)

18s1

GO TO 1790

IF (LY.LE.NSYA) RAClLX#L)DRMINi

1853

(fl To 1p00

1814

la3c COnTINUE

1855
186
18537
1451
1659
1860

IF(NC.LE.N3TA*I?) GO TO 1850
,ItTE(6.18a01
1~an FnRiI&T324 CtRRELATTON FATRIX ?NCOP.SISrENT)

1862
1863
1864

1790 PA(PLA.IT6MP)21Rm1
RA (!PITE0PPLA)24mIN
I1IPC CnTINUE
1510 CrnhfImue
tA~r COnTINIJE

18046
1867
186
IfEMPSO
1809
C"1 TM 1870
1870
i36C tTEMPSI
%'DFPE4CFNT 3TAS 1571
WHFP1 ITEMPU1D CUPFNT MIONTH uSFD FOR~ ALL
C
nTHE,7'I5E. PRCC MTH USED FOR CUeAENT AND SUBSEQUENT ATAS 187
C
1573
1J70 J4TOfPZNSA
1874
.vAQZNINDP,1
1875
?m;160o
0.1.12
1876
Tv=Tr.1
18
On

r(rNMC.Ef).1) GO TO 1760
* * * * TEIT FORJ OVEP-ALL CMNSISTVICY a

CUP'PLETE COPREL MATRIX FOR4 EACH MONTH AND 8Th

CONSFR'JCY
4
5M 2150 Kml.p!ST
NU,4eEq, J T3 COLUMN NUMOIR
L IS Rflti
C
,)n P020 L=1,.JSTA
LYZL+NSTA
Inr 1900 JX10)STA
Jv=J+N3TA
18l80,1920.1960
TFrig *)
090. 0100.1900
IAl"cT;V(I~
t8qf q(LJ) 2 JLECA(1,L,J))
LTHP(L)CL
C

3T&PCJ)2J

1878
18?9
t8'0
1841
1ose
1883

1864

tops
M8b
1847006
load

1889

170
1QnC IFC(fl.MP) 1910,1910,189'
191C O(L.J) 2 OEFiLECNA(I,L#JX))
0T10MXL
JTP' (J)Zjw
n 1970
fr

1800
1841
1892000
11193

7(LJ) 2 ORLE(QA(I#J#LX))

1047000

LymP(L)NJ
J1TP~P (J) Z L

1898

Gr

!1

t94s

1h894

19

~r'

1849q
1900

J7IPCJ)UjE

Me0
1403

yO 1970
.tL.J) a OLE(RACPPLJ))
LT 'P (1 )KL

f96100t)

Gm' TM tqln
1930
P,4r0,
I
8ir)
1n!C
' T fFPP
194C fFCTTF4P) J9e'0#1920e1A48q
197C I(JL)GP(LPJJ
1450 CMTTNUE
L11'PL~xX1909
iPECIAL SIJSSCRIPI FOR DEPENDENT
C
IF (L-0) 144M,23iC.2000
194C R(L.,NqTSA) a nPLECA(#x#L))
Gm Tn Rojo
,fIF (1TEMPGT*0)

t904
1905
1906
1407
1913e
VARZADLE

1910
1911
1912000
1914
1915

no TO 1990
-13o

Ey"IftI? 6

?olCRfINSAA)*
O1LECA(IM.Lt))1916000
JTAO(NJTAA):LX
20iC CAANTNUP
c
tNATRIX COJSI3TINT IF CORREL DOES NOT EXCEen t~o
NoO
N.
C2
ft1921

1917
1918

1919
1920

P03c CALL. OVYCR)

1923
*==uCZuuau
1924
1FfiATR11C.LE.l.) GO TO 2130
iqq.,
WRI
(6,0f405 K, I#KOtYRMC
1926
P04C Fn9MAT (/36H4 IN~CONSISTENT CnRREL MATRIX AOJUSTEI),314,p12.3)
19V700
c
NITH~DRAW 1928v1931
FACuFAC..2
193a
IFCFAC.Gr...12GO TO 1750
1933
,0'
(%a
1934
tnEN*
1935
IFCN.nT.10) GO TO 150
1930
3tImmo.
t1137
c

On

?nAO' LCIPtl!NOP

1938

On ?o70 LXxt,NVAR
IF(L.E').LX) GO TA 2070

1939
1940

TM~a4

~5U*TM
#
Pp

CL.LX)1941
1942

207C CnKTIUE
2PC COSTN~pUf

1943
1944

TFMP=N1NDP*NtNOP
611' S U /TEM P
TE 4 PSI)TQPIr(T~!mP.nT..1) TENP2.1
TmiPm1.-TEMP

1946
1947
1948

On P120 LM1,NlNnp

t950

3965

19'49

JT,-I b1

1951
95

On P110 LX41TPNVAR

qCL-LY) a 0LF.CTMPP*TP
StJm*TEMP)
IP(LY.L-E.NXNOP) P('.v#L)-:4 CL#LX)
LTPZLTPI'fL)
JTP=JTtlP (LX)
!Vr(.TI.LE.NSTA)

193300
1954
ls
15
1957

GM TO 2100

IF(lTP.Lt*NSTA) GO TO 2090

1958

LTFtLTP-N3TA
J'I'=JTP.NSTA
WA(T0,t.TP, JTP) = L ,LX)
R4&(lPJTPpLTP!=P(LLX)
?O9C

1939
1960

1961
1962

ITM~5LTP
L7PZ,51P

1964
1965
1966

JT~'aTTmP
TF C.TP.LF.NarA)
Plic CnN T I :tiE
21pc CrNTINUS
;nrTn 2fl30
;)13C

I;CnTL;,C.GE.O.)

kA(1,.JT0L7P)=R(L.,Lx)

GO TO

19#18
141,9
1970
1971
1972
tq73
1974
197!

2140

-Q ITYF (,S 71) 1 , K, 0T~t!C

r)T'- "C20,
Pl)jC 1F(oNCA.GT.fl)
;).I
Im7NTtiJe
?16c Cfl%TINiJE

GO TO 1740

5970
MY7
3978

Ir fYTF'4P.El.O) GO TO 1860
TFITTRNS.EQ.2) Go TA 31CO
217C .ep1TyEt, 1 03
C
* * a PRINT CORRELATION MATRIX
?1AC

aa

****aa**a*aa

IF (TYTA,.L! *n) wGITE (6,24O)PO~)

FIRNAT (11394 RAN. C"lNRELATflnw COFFFICIENS F0R MAN?N,13)
IF(CTTROJS.GT.0) 14t.ITE(6#?1903 Mori5)

P19C Fni "AT (//404 Cfl'jSZSTFNT CVQAELATTON MAThIX FOR ?4ONTH.13)

"Q1TkU6,2?f0O) CI9V(K),1c11.M8TA)
pIoo ~Fnl~hAT (/3X,3H3TA,18I7)
w~1T8C6,a21)
2210 !AWkATC201,19H '4174 CURiOEWI "OI)1910
EvWMTIT 6

14a

1979
1900
19o~i
t9p]
1984000
19#k!

598,000
19P7
1948000o

5949

flo n.ao xu,,4

401'"9(60223n)
P230 Fnpm47
,;0T~F6.2I~)
224C iFl-,OA7 (20%,3iITH411

SAtKtIPSA
PkECEDTING g4ON7

AT A8OVE STATION)

IP3'157A,:

On ;250 K23I143TA
P250 '-:DTClS,1A(K)(RA1,(.L),LUITPDNaTAX)
A2AC crWTI1UE
ZF(TANAL.LF.O) r' To 3tnC
1F(TIRNS*AF*Q) or TO lbsfl
IF(IPCHNI.LE.nl Gos To 2870
PU'ICH f5E~.rNTAL ELEmENTS OF MATRIX
C
t'f P30o xwj,)* 7&
o8C
rU 70EQt
IF

P2C
P2C

2000
Pool
2002
2003
2004
2005

2009
M010

LU*NSTAA,0.TAX
PzL.NSTA

"I1 A 2 90
4

1fF

Qlikfor

1 qq j
M~&~
,2
tt,5~73
q93 000
1990
1999000
1996
1997
199S
l9q9

2011

rn rn 2850
ECIk~TjTUTE MTS31N. QATA
CL * 0 * * * *
P310 F(TANAL.LE.0) GO TO 31PC
19 (TQCSK.LE.6) rO To 2610
,:VAP2N3TA*1
"421

II It II II

IN **UU

2013
2(114
2015
2016
P017
2016
P019

D', pb00 32184YRS

2021
2023

01 PSAO 1K31,WqTA
IFCGC(m.N).IF.T) Un To 2580
FL3wo r(.;4F.LA?irh oi&TRiv FOR EACH MISSING FLO%

2024
?025
202b

Ntkpso Lt4T

202V
2029

LYZI*NSTA
6n TO 2320
117(n M-IL).F'I.T) GO To 2 39f)
Nn7NflNnOp*
lyc"P~yhop2033
rnv~q~m-vL)2034
x(
4(PsTNOP.k.VAhi) I O1LE(RAAI,#,LV))
T 2330
70
232C Nr~.OPaNTP.Op*l
pikP
ZpIT
TIvCOML).Nk.?)

~r')EOC.L)2039

xr~
2

.131C

2031
2032
2035000
203b
2037
2038

0~ECUAI,14L))2040000

.0
(',P0TtDlP
IrrL.E0.NSTA) GO 10 2JqC

P041M00
A042

LANITP,NrTA
23JA(
JIII1114TA
1F(i(m.L).fQ.r) r.O To 2.150

a044
&1045

0r

Cn.tA.~~n)ro

2006
20'17

?C ?340

~Y9.~Pu~ff'4'*12048
~e~Ifl~T~uP
IIL(RI(,LA))2009000 2

113JC

2030

nn TO 2370
1(c1LaE.)GO

20l0
201

TC 238n

2053000
2054
2055
2056

,u~bplr.jI4Pt) a rI1LE(RA(IvL.JX))
Gn TO 2370
TC 1360
P35C IF2M.&.C3T)G
!E~P)*
~4tN~Jfl.
OL~fO CIL' .x))2057000
Gn

25

TO~ 2370

1019
2060
.7001000

TC 1300
400MlL).(.~Q

a36C
IT"~PIITE"P*1

a rB.ECA(Iv#LtLA))
2(TnI1p

1081

00 SYH'PI!TRICAL ELEPEIKTS
also

y"IbTT b

a37C Rf1EMPmNItJDP)2R(NINDPo, hP)

P3AC cnh?pkuE
p3qC CnN?!NUE
IrCN1INOP.GY.e0) GO TO 2400
?N0~pot
Y(I)S0.
Pria1) 8 1.000
LX3S.+4STA
R(I-14VAfl) R D0LECQAC1 1KLX))
140C

26
Z064
2065
2066
2061
2066
2069000
2070
2071000
2071'
2073
2070
2071
207b

TTEHOUNNOP,1
LNl.MINDP
(inl?d

2411C !7fL.ZTfP1=(LNvAR)
222:2X8389
C
24a2C CALL CpOUT (q)
m=vu2u2077
C
ITE04PUNINOP41
TF'HPu1
Ip'nezo
nln P0d40 Lx1,JfNnP

2076
2079
2080
2081
2082
2083
2084
20.S5
GC To 2440 2067

TmPUDAAS(R(L, !TEMP))
IP(T"P.GY.TEpiP) GO TO 2430

?FPPxTmtP
I?P*L
P43

2086

CMNO 0
Ifa
TI:CJ1C.GT.0)

GO TO 2450
6o TO 2510

f~rTtCL..A~..TICG..

IF MAt~jX INCCPNS13TEN7,
CoqIIELATION

C
c
2'490

IT!'PUNINOP-1
IF(TTP.GT.IT4P)

OiMIT VARIABLE WITH LEAST

P094
zq

GOr To 240

D)n 2'io LQITI'. ITMP

Dn P'IAO LAMI.TTEMP
if1-,1A)zR(L+1 ,LA)
2-17C 1YtIAUY(L+1)
T
1'P
C'~ 11 ?500 L1,lT

2096
2097
2098
2099
2100

pac(L-L.A)2R(LvLA$1)
P501 (.nNTINUE

2102
2103

I 11p

2104

TOi 2420

2105
210b
2107
2108

-1TNfl
f'n

ADDt RANIDCM CrMPCN.VNT

C
p5Ir

21?C
C

TO PRESERVE

VARIANCE

frmpml20

Q, ?20 Lxtoh

T0~?.~IN;EN(XX)?109

:Ep~NENIX
C0I4;)UTE

2110
2111

FLOW

AL~f..OO~C2*.52112

:TEM,

AL2113

2115

Z!33C TPP3FMPOl(L)*X(L)
"I".0TEMP2116

C
C

2090
2091
2092
21093

1::14 t ) 2

2118

ADD NEW VALUE TC Sumis nF SOUARES AND CROSS PRODUCTS

Or 4560 L81PNSTAX
I( L.El.K) Gn TO 2560
SuflSCRIPTS EwCEEDING NSTA RELATE TO PRECEOING IIUSTH

2119

IVml,.NSTA

IF C'.LT.1)
IFCLX.r?.0)

?T'OCM.L)
YmPzrt".1,Lv)

!F CTMP.EO.T) GO TO 2560
C0jII1T

11~A (,ItX#L)uSUMA

AND Usk

CpLY QECOROEO

CIlcL)4*TP

I" ACf.K,L)zt,IIpC,K,L)+4PTMP
IF(LogToNSTA) GO TO 2560
owI4THtT 0116

PAIRS

a22

2121
212,2
2123

2124
2125
212b
21a7
1319

2130
2134

.11,4A

'%j'

c
P340

(I.L.x)xs0PF1 (I#K#L)
(I L. K)03tGA (TI KL)

P136
2139

XFAtiCT.L.K)=XPA1(I,K.L)
RECri1I2LITE C0ARdELATyflN COEFFICIENTS TO INCLUOE NE% DATA
IF(Nr.A5(I.,L).LE.2) GO TO 2560
TFMP8NCA9CI#KtL)
5
TMPZtSOA(IK.L)SUlA (y9 KL)*SIJMACEL)iTEP)*C QSC!,x.L)SUmi
I(IX.L).SUM8C!,K,L)1TEMP)
EL1'41hATE PAIRS WITH ZERO VARIANCE PROUUCT
IF(TMP.LE*O.) GO TO MO6

P153
2154
2155

2156

RA(I#K#L)uO.

2158
2159
P160
2161

2162
2163
2164

P165
2166b

2167
pi160
2169
2172

2173
2170
217
2170
2179
2100

2101
2182
2183

GOf TO 2570

214

6:Af!TP,LLx)=T#41p8&TA41PA,..5
IF(Ir)CIo) .LT..O'OCI.OD.80C(IVPuL).LT..O0I)
'T70 CM'TfktlE

RA(ITPLLX)8O.

cnrT

plqc C"IvTwuIE
POVMCCnkTTNUE
fqO TO 3100O
2051C rF(TAb4AL.LE*f)
# * * * CaNVEQT 3TA14 fCARO l.'yTATEs
Cm

2145
218b
2147
218
2189
?190
2191

2192
2193
2190
TO FLUO

IF C,".'8.LE.I) GU TO 263C
7v~pu~jQS.1*

'

*a.

2195
2196

12197

0ITAP) GO TC 2.30
?FCIOqTAP.
NV& CTUTAP)
P62C LATAP2LOTAP*1
P63C 4PI'TV(hot0)
WRITE L6,2640)
P640 FO-'4AT(3w RFCCQOEO AND gFCOWITITIJTEO FLOW$)
265C Ffrh-Artu

2147

2.152

ThPPAXPA0i~tlL ,Lx)-3M* CTP,L,LX),MUM8(ZTPLeLX)TE4P

0
.) T ,Pl-TpMPB
TF (T',PA .L.
A* TP4PA /14P
Tm~PA=T

p~p

2t46

2151

SIA (ITP.L.LX)m30A (ITP,LKX.1TP*TM4P

CZ(17,t V)#7P*P
SOP (TT0.L,LXx):SQJ
XPAR(TTP,L.Lx):xPA8(1TP.L,LX)*TP*TMP
I1:('A!)CITPL,LvJLE.2) GO TO 257n~
TF,'0:P C.AFiCTpDL .LX)
T"P.F:(Or)ACITPL,LX)-SLJ*A(ITP,t ,LX)hsumA(TTP,L,LX)/TEIP)*
),8*UIF4ITPLLX)/TEM40)
t
1Cr ITT,,.-lm)IT
rpi ;1

2144
2145

2100

L~2~.8?AP170
IF (TrP,flT.12) ITP:1
tA"(ITP,L.LX) :bCA4 CITP,L.Ly) *1

JF(TM4P.LF.*.

2143

P149

TMPAUNPA4 C!,KeL)-3UMA(ZigpoL2.8Ufl8(I.KL)/7E"P
RETArp, ALGEBRAIC 1Gb'
IF (T'fFA.LT.O.) TmPvUTWmP
T4'PA=TMPA*TmPA/TPP
PAcT,K.L)=THf,Tf1PA**.5
ITPUI
LAML
!V(L-.LE.NATA) Gfl To 2550

TF CTTP.LT.1) ITPxl8
LAZI V
0
255C IFUPr(IK) .LT..OO11.OU.SO(TTP,LA).LT..00 13
?tCL .GT.?dqTA, Gn TU 2560
.4A(Tp1i.X)2RACTKoL)
?s~c cr~kTINULE
IT~p=NvQ3*12+t
TFCm.(,E.!TMP) GO TO *580
TC P:O (1,K)
On' r7O Ls.,PjITA
T'41 C(MIp )
TF(T?tP.EnT) GO TO 2570

2140
2141
2102

2199

2200
2201
2202

2203
2204

2206

P48,1t3i

S
EUNIOIT.T*I

?P S

*17

2209
2210600
1211

v6b:
1Frx GT.NKTX1 *IT~
P66C FIQ4AT C/114 S1'A YfAiflImfjA6x*5TOTAt.I

fl

2212
2213
2214

'In ;1760 J11IDIYRA

TTpuo
On ?720 Tutle

221!5

!4--+
TF4Pm(MpX)2236

TwfPc3KEW0~i,I()
3
I" (TMP.NE.O.) TEMPE(TYIP.(TrMP.TrP/p,.)/6..1.)"* ". )*Rsiy"P
15(flP(i,K).NF*C) Go Tr 2b~n
IFCFMP.GY.2..AND.SDC!,A) .f?..3I y~w~mZ.,(TEiiP.)*.3/SOCIrX)
"PXp(-2.)1TMP
IF(CuP.LT.-.OlO1.OR.TI'P.GT..0001)
2
ififD bq0,2ht0Q
1F (SX"W9Tp)
267C 1F(rEmP.GT.T-1P) TEPIN371P
1;n TO 2490
264C TFCTFPP.LT.TiP) TE"PuTiP0
T"-PmTfMP*'%D(Te()+AVCIpK)
-10' KIN tlO.*T-P.0a (I K)

2690

2217
221

2219
2220
2222
2223
R224

2225

2226
2227
2229

IF(FTMP.LE.01

GO TO 2710
2232

TF40xn.

10

P2233

L31IT

7?0

2235
2236
2237
2238
2239

TFPTm~ntX

27flC

tF('fMvXI.G?.TEmP) GO

*ADJ
,A er
?vfn0(a,N).NE.E)
Z"(T)XA0J1

TC 2710

GO TC 2710

240

K I SE14P

2YtC
;?72C

ri2241

ITF'=TTP+10(1)

220a

Gfl 73 27r6O
.LE.hATX)
-v
!F('PCHfO.IF..O16n TO 274"

22 at
2245
2247

273C F r'v~fAT(214, iPTb)

( I, I I;(I Q IUP
75!)8,1A
' .TTE(6plKIi
;!? dC
276C C~f"TINUE
1w(P!0AS.LE.1)

rf

2249

I Ip 1)O)

2250
2250-1

TO 2765

tr-ffQCOIf.LE,.o) r TO
0
* * *RECfl4 i1TC ?4F.AN
or R770 tal.12

2?53

2l8I0
Air 3TANDAFIO DEVIATION

0 ? 254

2255
2257

I , xI 0.

???C

-j~(t,'()3O

~7q~
7O

2258

."1

*0r92lN

2259

2260

S
--

12262

2261

?PPALOGCQel,X).D)Qe1.K))*.4342q45
5fT()UKj2A
P79C

2264

I,*TEmP*0

22147
2268

r..",r INuE
"MOO) Tuttle
IF-M1AVCZ.X)
?F-A=SCI.X)
Tp*)

P269
??70
2211

,"i'OO,
IP (Tm0.LT*Os)
Av (?.W)NTfMP/kNTIR

2272
2273

I-

Sn~j,)8TM**.52271
T-p=SKEw(If%)
F
I~~,(,)LE.90
CVNI4?tT 6

227S
(,W)

*1276

2971

60 TO 2800
*left

5 IW
,X,(UANYRS,2T.P3.*AYP0TEMW*TMPA2,OTE4Pi*JI
I r~ygCAVl31.)(py5P.*SO(I.K)-.3)
PaflC c"'JNtIe
281C Cnk~TI'NUE
LOTAPSNOTAP

.0)
IFIRC
,OTNCTE C.0f)

. 12)
ro Tt,),!3I,12

rn

22A61~
228
2?31
232
2303

t*60 XUNSTYX,N15TA
)(A

!YAO
(,101)

T,(IX*
tulu2)

237

as
2296!iTINFLW

cO'4PIirE

2309

T~~

2300
231

GO TO 240
289C IF (ICHS*LE.)
3AIT
INriS1PGEC
I HP
DP! ?86

2302

K=?45TlPv3T

~~1,~~tW~2303

~
~9~
~ VA

K)

('

?Ahr -,nTIP4[E
PC

2240
2241
26

2281
C

(6102) (
APIT
n~tx),al,2)
C84
C

0279

GO Tn(!I(
2930

PQI")T ADUN8STEDT CAEVIENCA TATlN

C
a82C
4pfTE(610
217f
flfl
TFl62W
CUCTEY STATINCSTAICSTI
PUNCT/3H
ADJ
C01
w~rTE

2?74

2314

*2306

2320

2301

co4m.TINCOBIATONFLW

2322

2310

267I("KCS.LE.0) GG TO 2910
CU T5243
j~TP LE.0

2311

XxI

PA90x

rmpt2313

ic

.(=KlNsTA23314
Ar P0
. K

0:0
On -JA

c o*A
C10

aa

2T'l
313

C.

2335

TT
CO~xml~i'()+(i#ITGEEI)*CSTATXLISTCRA33)

CfQPLTIN

CV.IAG

OFFCI

.T

Cn

DF1W

MAX ANDL MIN PE*SI

11
0
9ir';=O
TYPNSU7.,L
P92I(L.E.V

a23
2320

23021

PqrC
CM*q5N

Lc

I400

2303
2323
2324
2300

uI,(

23.2

TO 2q)

~90~

AV

tI.L)*RV(KL*TP29

l4V(.L~~AV(,L~12.230
.14.

EwiPPXPC5
233

w'nTTE(6.70)!STA(K),!STACL),RAV(KL)

P350

AVE91AGE LOG!; FCR VbF7 ANDO OQY 3FASONS

AVPXK(X)6AV(11,IitAVC12,K)$AV(,()

2
2353

AVI'N(K)M&VNXCK)

235!

TMP8AV(12.x)+AV(1,K)+AV(2#N)
IF(AVHX(K).GV.TiP)un yu ?960
AVPV(K)flTMP

2357
A3158

2359

IMI(XI022360
Gnf r0 2970
796c

2361
2362
25313

AVYNCK)=IMP

Z.N (K)tA.
IND AVENA(UE STANDOARD
2y7c snav(x):snci1,x)#s$ic2,x)
Dm 299'j 133DI
V'~A(K)U0AV

DEVIATION

2364

2365
?366

K).SUK)2367

~MpZVCT.~K)AV(I1,UA~tK)2368

lrAm()rFTPG

O 29P0

P369
2370

AvMV~(I()"m
tIXI(KINT

2371
P372
P373

TO 2990

2qJC

IF1AVmN()AF.TMP)r,0
AVMNJ(X) CrMP

IIS(K3a 1

2370

;-iQc

clK rrNIJF
Avymx (w ) mAX
( )~/3*
AvMI()vAv'!(K)/.5.
ilfV (K) uvAV (K) /ti2

P375

30('c

2376
2377
P378

CrnKT!N(IF
I-P!TEfb,100)

2379
23P0

fl3010 X2101TA

2381
JYPZIX(K)232
IT~'!M11(K)P363

~TF.(,t20IST(K),A(K,&VCK)S0AVK),0CIP),M(ITP)

3('I

rJENERALIZED
1F(tfNkLj-.i-)Gfl
To 31rjl
e~ 3041) KCjIWSTA
<Vrwe N3TA
*~

il?C

*AIPitY

STATISTICS.*

384

23F5

Al 0Aa**

238b
;S387
2348

rIEfRPE0IATE eCkTH~S

2389
2390

2392
2393
2390
2395

ly"l 3040 TclIi2

STI~jOAR0 DEVIATION LJNIFCRM, SKEW ZERO
ix I * K) O

,f(T,K)ft5AV(K)
10 1030 L21.'JSTA

P397

2398

ZE~n CnIREL&TIC% WITH OTSE4 STLTIONS

ANO PPECEnIkG

MONTH

23q%

LY:LNSTA2400

~&

(~kL)~O.2401

IF(L.rE.X)r,n TO 3030
I!NIFn,1'4 SERIAL CCRREL

P402
TITERMEDIATE MCNT143

AND

INTER-STA

;A(T#*L) 2!4AV v(eL)

405

;A(TL.K~qA~jjL)

3mic CnlTTNLiF

2006

26(7 ,K,K'i):'qV(K,K)
N

AndC
c

A4407
K*

A(7,

K)~

Ld'NTINUF
4

' fA~i AND SERIAL C1,RREL,

tMPNRAVCK.IX) .15
frP,2T142. *3
fF (?mpGT..qA;Ympa.98
IF (TE"P.LT.O) TEMPxOS
tpaIKX(K)
tv(7?P.X)2AV!NX(K)..1
1
3(TTP~k.Kx)%TEHP

WE? &NO PRV SEA504S

IFr(ITP.LT.1) 172212
AV TTP.K) 2AVlX (K)..2

2A~l~~x~xwzTEAPaila
EX'47E!'

&20

2403
2004

*2408

P409
a410
pa11

241a
241J
24t4
241!
2416
2417
2419
2420

IYP:,4x()..
UF(TTP.Lr.1)!TP*1YP+12
AV (T'rP.K) :AVIIX(K) ..1
T"P
t.tA (ITP, KkX) --

2422
2423
2424
;0425

ITPOIMN (X
AVCT1'P.X)XAV4N()
RA(TTPK,KX~mn7P
lTP21MN(IV).t

24a26

!FCYTP.Lr.1) iTPUIP
AV (T4,I()AV-lN(IC)

2430
2431
2432

2427
2428
2429

RA CTTP.X.Kk)zTMP
ITPUINdN(g)-2

P433

8434

IF(TTP.T.IjTIPt*1?
Av(T?0.K~AVmAJ(X)
4 (YTP,.Klx)m?tp

?433

HESJ3S FCR MO'kTIN

!F(NHivM?.LT.1)Gfl

2436
2437

F(ILLOWING WET 3EA8ON

TO 30bfl

A438

439

ITPZIXCK)

2441

T~lm0u(&AVMV(K)-..1AYMN(K))/1EKP
011 1050 !X2I,NMKMHN
T4P=T'i

101C

106C

P442

2443

AV (Z,X)=Av(ITP,K) .TEMPTYqP
"r4AS Ffl4 tiOIhTI5 FCLLCwING
IF(N~lNMV.LT.j)Ca T(O 309r,
1TpriNa(K)
T F0t00NMN X*1
TFmP. fAVNm(K) -.1 -AVmN R) )/hEfP
Dn 3070 IX,NNp~X

DvY

2446
244?

6EA30.4

2448
P449

2050
2'451
2452
2433
2454

T4PCIV
I=PN (Id.rX
1,17C
10AC
309C

AV (I.X2AV(lTP~,K),TEmP*TMP
Cr'kTlNUE
IrKPL90

2456

19CONSO

2499
2460
24161
2462
2463
2464
2465

2.457
t1458

rf' TO 1730)
l31)C IF(I YrG'.LF.fl.AND).NP CJ.LE.0,AN0.NPA3S.LF,1)
* * * * FL(Iii GENEqATTOk EGLIATIONS
CP *
NT '0 P2 NSTA
,VAR1k,4TA*1

nr

GO Tn 15o
0

*0**0o

3200 Y21PI2

2466

1P--T.1
IF (IP.LT.1) IP2
i,, jqqo k1,113TA

2467
2468
?470

Cf N FA.ATIONS IN CURQEKT PONTY4

(r! TO 3120
IF IL.GE.P)
K:(l,NVAQ) a f)'4L(QAIpKL)~
-m .4110 LA=L.,'SA
LV'TL-A+IPTA
IF (LA.LT.K) R(LoLA) a ltBL(4A(I,L.LA))

IF CLA.GF.A) -I(LLA)
311C i*aLA,L):mQ(L#LA)
ri Tn 3100
C

Cr!P-4ELATInN3

2471
P072000

2473
2474
2475000

241600
2477
2478
2479
2440

ObLtUFA(!,L,LX))
kt7k PPECEDNG

14ONTN

31PC LvzL*N3.4TA

21181000

J(LNVA41) 2 tn"LE(AA(1p,~LV)
LA=LNSA

2442
24A3000

0rMItI0
4fL.L
'13C

41

) u fMLF(QA(IPvI.,LA))

21084

'4(LA.i.)2Q(L#LA)
COITINUE

m2222
CLL CAOLICl1)

248S
2486
2487

x2musu:333

2488

114C

2489
2490
2491
2492

flo M50 LulpISTA

313C lFTA (l,',L)n4(0)
316C

IF(flTp'iC.Lt.t.) GO TO 3570
w$IE C6,3160)1I,K.OYRIC
crRREL
Fnqt''' CJ0 INCO~iT3TF'.y

MATRIX FOR ta,13g44

-210

KUlp

249J00

EXIBIT b

?494000

t'li4 orR'iSnF603)

49

ITANSUZ

i~TO 1730
117C !F(flTQMC.(GE.O.) nC TO 3114,0
.r.JTE (bp70)! .,DTPNC

2496

lIAC '[-CFTC I.Km(I .-O)TIMC)aa.S

l19C CnkTTNUE
32nCCnNTNUE2502
*
* *
FLa
(C
a
tNTU
IF(NPAS.I.tE.1) GLI TV 3240
321C IF(LSTAT.Eg.NSTAT3 GO Tr 320

2500
20
aE4,0

250i

?505
2505

(ISTA( )

2506

LqATtLATAT*1
i-,, TMl 3e,10

2507
2508
250
25t0
P511
251.2

12?C
ITATUNSTAT+1
IqATUN5iTAT
NI 1230 Kru.N~ITA

2514

!4ET& (1 ,KCL) .La1,PSTA),ALCFT(I'K) .IXl12)

1.3TATONSTAT
TF(TiAS5.LT..PA3S)

GO

251b
2517
2)518

Tr 200

324C *1"I

2519

:OAASU1

2520
2521
!F CNR4fJ.LF.0) t;O TO 3310
* * * P,^nj[.TEfn FLCW 1E'ENCES
C~a*

32tC .A=TYRPJ.TYRA

P522

aaaaaaa

aaa*

, 526

TPjMTHPJ-IMNTH.j
IF(ITP.NE.0) GO TO 3260
T
1
2
IPCITP1-T
3P6! (IrP.LT
7' 1290
q
(l'TA
!~
P,'),
5~

2527
2528
p

122529

st To 3280

T .*~c
r-(FOrFM)r

TO 3210

rf-'vf-EMP)
'T'"

(-TAP)

-,; rvf()cb*T Pa*TE'Paa(1*#3.).1)/AKEi(ITPM)*8r(Ew(rTMK).I6.

'11 3290
T

3?pr
jiztvppj.1
C

N 2.!)'UE'CE

kr.o M4 8 MON.T1

NO,# JX d YEAR HC.

311C '130-1
T) 3330
ITAv'T 41TP4 lqrP OFVTATION AT ALL STATIONS3
C
3
53P0 KcI,K. TA
331C
1321, I"Ev()n.
CE-q4ATE 2 YEARS FOR D!SCARDING
C
2
JVX*
'"ASqLF.j) Gl; TO

333C

IF

lciIPkS5.GT.I)
7'F.'
T~ ISTAT

%7JO

2531
2533
253a
2536
2537
2538
2539
2540
2501
2542

!F iSKFWTT,).FPn..) GL TO 32 qO
T I.5~~*j aKFW (IT P, X) a P H V(CK)*I1

327(

252 3
P52 a

,IZLYRJ.Tyqh25253

Ir.

aa

P50i

25044
P545
2547
2548
;)5a9
sso
51
;.5
P512
2b53
?3

25196
3uCC

P5

3340

2538
21559

.ITAPSO

R560

(9IAPSQ
334C Pr Io IOTAP

25131
25362

L.IT'P90

.3563

PF~I(ISTAT)'~qTXX,%5Th, (I3TA*(KI@NSA)
.'src~l~w~l

IC04STI.LE.0) GO TO 3380
EVHI4HT

82
6

251#4
565

?5&6

Ic(!PASS.Lf.t)
139L

33hf
337C
13$C
33;C

G.FAn(onyAp)

2570

Lq)TAP8L0TAP.1
1(tTTFMP.NF.I3TA(K)) GU T173350
K,)nI6Lu
AC,)SlIKKE(g
:rAD(!8TAT, 0
l#K'5YA).ALCFT(IK)pXU1,12)
Cn TINUE
"'I 339V KZNTYXN3TA
ISTAP81STAP.1
tFCN.GT.O) )vfJEV(K)xQ9TAP(j9TAP)
:rA)CtjT AT) i f, p(Av(r 4) pSfln K 3XE w CI K)D QCIK) CE TA I K L I L 1
1,-j3TA),AjLcFr(T#K)#j:1#!?)
* * rE'NFfOTE. CORAFLAME
**
C"(pASSj.Ej.
) NMZX2
:jr1isCHM

C*

26

GO Tfl 3360

ryE"P#,CQP',K) p,PoITP)

3TANDARI)

OEUIATE

-T n~cfluTND 'i( IP AS5)

134i20 KutI'.ITA

ilitcC n.TT1NI
j F ti. j_ , 0) rn TO 3440
.Q[TE(b,10)
,I)!TE (6,31130 N
(21H ';FPERATED FLCwS FOR PFIIOD,13)
rriAT
IF ('NPA~q.GT.1 ) wR!TEC6,26560) IPA3S
1:510 JZJANj
'r

?Sao
*2541

1.1(30.254S

&~G

344"

2583
2S64

:1r) '4410 121.12

3uJ3C

'*

2571
ps72
?S73
2574
2511
F576
?I??
2578
2579

!=I?*f-tl~l2595
'0012,i2

2540
2589
2590
2591
2592000
2593

2594
2596
.3597

IF(NSTY.LE.0) Gil To 3460

P598

1(; 34501

2599

(H.LPF.Ph)

TV

1490

K-0j,'ST.%

1WAN~fle

~F'

To' 3500

2602

2603
2604
2605

COMPON~hT

:0 *
111-70 L3 s

3i ?C

rc

KZIf'T'AA,v9T4

26C6
2607
p2618
Pb09
2610
611

XX)
tF%(.C
TP=FF P. '4PN
TVP=T(>0-i )iAN~(,X)
?.-f:TFmp.*%LCFTCZ,'K)
f4AO

Jm'

Lc1,'STA

7:T ; E w0

34

T AC I , K pL)*Q1E V (L)
',vf;
EMP IX) Avr( ,K)+

2613

* rO-,KI:TEMP

2614

w;' F (K)= TEM

2615

. I, I'.hiNJE

3~'

2b6

TINLJE

'

2618
2619
2620

tF~053L.)Go TO 330f
St(L0lT A 0. ,).'O9T 4P) GO0 TC 3530
* F n (T(nTAP)
I.'!TAF'UL0TAVP*
3520
;n Ff
353C

2621
2622
2b?3
2624

TTP=Nlts.!1l
2(x~qTI'..'RTA*NSTX
IqT

TA(K,
V 7APII I(
JI UI(
YAPPJ()T AP+ 1

2b26
2629

CQCP ,K).M22.1P)

2620

iI fhPajsTAV+1

2630
2430

(15TAP.IrT.1(STAP) 0)0 71! 160

:F

3IIf'.ITAP(I8T*Ph:!((IyP,K)

355C

I"r

MN J J A #1

i.'o
WO

M-..TXNSTA
W(NJ*JVT47rT0) WQZTE(6,266O)

CpOMP)151012)

n e)zAvr;,(j,U() ANLCQ
5nvr!.X1(3,,V(x,a.AVuZI,K)..l.AL6)/PLCGa)tto
4'ir

.p3-?

2634
2633
63

2b6

j v2Jy T4'2
1660 jajA.NJ
ill)

2641

JN*J+%
IF (JX.LE.0) GO TO 3660

ph26'
2&44

on

3690 Talolp
2b6
?b09

IF (MjEF.MAl SC Ta 3640
rU*ANiSvFOM TO LCG PFA4S3tw TYPE LII VAPIA7E (FLOO)
f jt,,)V (2CV',K)-AVG(CToK) ) IND V(1#9)

IF (TPE(.

GOC TO) 36rC

I~

IaTD~
3,380,.3902655

K~vgt,1Y)

265b
265?

t51
F (TMP.GT.T!)Y?4PzEPP
5n1 TO 3810

2650
?659

TMPUEMP

15q(' tF(1I4P.1.T.TE"P)
qn To 3610

TU!M,~O2681

3~C

K)?b62
?I~FT~i*~0

I~h)4AYCT

Gn TO 363C

ZF(TTMI'.Lf.0)
TFV'0S0 *

266b

LvZrST(KsLolT4 33
j3?C

!6QC

bb9

rFv~mE1P+(4(.X1
3

~((

QWt~CTK)~

AO
VO110.

2071

Q(MtK) 0.

Cr"NTINIIF
NITHOREV

c
I(t 31atTP
- ITF (6, 100) 1314 X)*Jyo(117(l)plt# 3,1
TI) 36
I~fti'CW.L.C')G
v'iTff,c??f0) LaTA(K), jx*gf(0C1),Tl1i2)
3b"C CONTINIUC
37C C 0 . T INJEF
r 0 TO 3720
1Ff ,raj.LE..1)

Cfl~4PwTF

P614
2615
261b
2617
20111
2079
WbO

26A
2b8
?6A3

5710) JUJA,*4j

2651
652a

2881

Cr4TJN'ATlfN FLaO.3

26L*9

,=x+S TA
1TP=NTI%7h(KA, JP&33)

(!4,)CO.2691

-i !SAO
I

?b9?

SLZ,T '

?S

N(A
1).
I.L
C;hI TK

269b
2b51

37nc C-i'kul
j71r

Crmr.VtIUF

37?C

f;,:<.LT.N'

1jn1

c.0

in

?b,48

lzia

IFi4MxGtr.))GO TOJ Van

44X A~Sn mjN GkKERATfO FLnw$
1.

sb0

2700
2701

0B00*0

1r(JK:L./IG- TO 1970
3919PAXMIN IF NE"ANIN0 VEA43
.NjoL.k~.Yo XG)CO TO 136l
IFVYXE.V?.O.A.

C
171c

T1U4,I0

On
r.Pi

INUFFICtEftT

~2105

3800 K3J0TwxolYP
ALV.OAi
I4
t27i
n3,00

PC lot?, NAV MO l3s 6-140 14,

210a

2103
arGb

14-MO 15

210?
01

3740
C

i'41)(1.K)ENT
M4IN 0ALENDAp4 lit P..27, 11IN mOj20g.m 1g9, 54vmu 30
[in~ 3750 1218.30
3750 31"OCTvK).T
C
TMP R A.14OP ?CO.P 2 434.Mq VOLUME, 7MPP a I-MO)

TFI'Dafl*

TMiPEO,
AVG0(Kx)Uoo

2709
2710
Rill1
2712

2713
2719
2715
2718

Ntlan2717
IF (JTRNS.OT.0) mm(N.1) *1EXNC312*1

2719
2720
2721
272

,rl 37q0 JU1IJ

~fln
170 1.1.12
N~2I11
HVIA+

2723

14PA: 0CM, K)

2724
2725
2726
I V (TA4PA. GT . SH~I
(J.
w) 1 3m 01 9 ) mTM pa
2727
1F (MP A LT .V9IJ(X
CK) ).SMOC!)X) TMP A
2728
FCT14A.GT.3ltfl13,K))St 0C(13.K) TpA
2729
IFCTPA.L.I~if)(S~i))3t0(2#K~nMPA2730
T14P2TNP#YMPA
2731
TF,
"P2 EMP+THP~'A
2732
IP~e9.LT.8,GO TO 3760
2733
TriP2ywr'.e)(HM6,)
P734
2735
yGl(lk)XAVG0CPO*TM'h

N'12 N a#1.

IFU%.LT.56)r0 TO 3710
TF'PTE~p

2737
(*v5'J.K)?739

*.n~ TO) 37A0

Jl-AC 1t'C4K) XTMP

7177' ri-il

2741
P7 42

. K) 13TE,iP

e743

37AC Cr''NYIIUE

.37440

379C!r
fi. T INuj
c

AVEQAGE

MONT4LY FLOW

TV!'PZN0
'4rV(KEAVGqCK) /TFIiP
3#Oj I-IPNTIN.JE
4QfTF (4,10)
IF(IR?4.Gf.))AITE~o3PO)PINi
3II r's1f4AT (1271H *AXImJ4 VULUPFS FORl pE'4IO,1303H OFpta.
I4-1H YEARS f]F 9CONOEO Ahnf PECflNSjTUTkC FLOWS)
IF(?TN3.LE.li4QTE(6,3PiOC)N.Nj
' 14AT (12114 44YIMUM VOLL14ES FCR PEPICJO,13,3M OF,14,
12%k YFARI OF 5Y~ITHFTIC FLrtS)

.UITF~~plol
)n 144
X3NSTXX#ZYP
iT ,,J3tAVrfO(K)+,5
lo 31'3o 121,I'5

3070
3880

loan

KNTV'\,LTP

275800
757

2767

a NyMXG

rTO 3 190
uiYR
aj
jF(,lP&SS.LE.j)

P754
el'55006

2760
;!7865

TRApSFFR L&Cx TO RECOWITYTUTED FLOW$

IF(TTQNS.GT.Ol,3 TO 292(t
.

27500
2753fl00

2760

C!N I I NLIE

38AC

2750
751

2761

k f ha fl0)
'541.0

27?48
2749

P759

C-f INUE

364C

P745
2746
P747

2776

GO TO 3900

1V(TPAss.LE.NIA.%s) GO TC 3J40

2771
?772
2773
2774
P775

2777
2778
2779

60 TO 3310

21 80
-25.

Evs-IdYT 6

2781

1l'A33I

Go

to ,4k~

oa20

3911 ' IV(NYRG.LI.') G13 TO 150

rfNj .GT.W1:?c)NJ=NykG
,YPAUNY146-s:j
nmr Tn 33no
END
S319B00UTTP. CPPLUT(9!()

V7A3
;P784
a761
2746
2781
1001

nnLhIALF PJFCI31ICN R,13,RX

Crw'4r]h 0TRTiC,CNINDP.B
..vAPvNXNnP*1
ul1N1INOP
gm a

1003
1004
1005
1006

,'r) to K=1.NVAq

1008

if

1009
1010
101l

ri.K)m~y(j~v)
2c crmkTZNIjF
Tv(qINflP.rnV.1)SO Tfl 30
O~m~(1)aiC1)1013

~
C 1

:~

XO~JVAN1016

1015
1018

MATRIXK/~(
*1

FI4IJ
40 K-u2, JV A4

If1

1019

AO )(2KNTO
On 60 JzW.*,T'jDP
,,, rso I~1.Ir

1020
1021
I022

yrCJ.EG.K) !Z'j Tn 60
.(KJ)2C.K)/R1CKtK)
r. ("T
'vrywgjf
:1TTP
''
70
7r

wN

1024
1025
1026
1027
i LV-R

~'fclzn8Af ;4(ix K))

rGc

IrrcC'P.rt"..)(00)

R(

1029
1030
1031
t03-3
1

an

2TL!CU1

',
&VAR )f,? (W.VAic) /P (

PC, r;
(a ~

PACK

tot033

TUr

~K)

1030
1035

SOLUTION.aaaAaaaaaaa

(N~h)1y=12"T11P,4AR)1036
1031
1038

'n 100 Ix2,;4P'DP

j.5%VAq~- I

t:

11039

1041

2,019

'40

'n)+L1042
I

P.U
1 11fIO%
a
tTTD

0cr;
10) NJjI I:

C
Ct

r'7F~g
Ct 0

c
c
c

II

AR!V

'AH

' j 1)~ J YKQ'.

N(TTA)

N 'v
~
a-I-~
a&~rP
aIRF
,aOAF

AIN
lA RFAqYIG
Q?
1Ef.cflP
INf a a
a3a
1r(2aaC(PRtYj?)a3

i145ir

AS
'4-C+ICjI*4X(.NI
t

-,-rTr(IN

c
C

006

Nf)

E~OT

R~N

a a aFc'*i:./2aai)aa
OnyfF~TkP BL1tr TC. 7twE INEE!H. OION~
, lw"EQE
C'
Nhrqto
NYLFE
0LClrjE)AT.N
v- r M
ANTANIA r,11V121/

1009
toot
1002
00
1011
1012
1013~hFP
101a

1013

I :!U

e!,4livf 6

1005
1002
104

*ab"

Trr.~m
i~
11N-,~F Pis IV

S71Pj~lot?

1
TYy&~c~Njlots

1021

FCou3.3S5271lb1 8E-t4
NJ
NG PtNZ$N Sf. *l'FC~C
R

1022
10171

END

1021
t026

ESdT6

MXUBIT 7
INPUT DATA 723-X-L2340

CARD

VARIABLE

CO0MMMS

Three title

First specification card.

1.
2.
3.
4.

IYRA
INMMH
IANAL

IRS

5.

NYRG

6.

NYMXG

7.

NPASS

8.

IPCIQ

9.

IPCHS

NSTA

10.

cards, first must have A in column 1.

Earliest year of record at any station.

Calendar month number of first month of water year.
Indicator, positive value calls for statistical
analysis routines.
Number of years in each period of recorded and reconstituted flows for which maximum and minimum values
are to be obtained, dimensioned for 100.
Total number of years of hypothetical flows to be
generated.
Number of years in each period of generated flows
which maximum and minimum values are to be obtained,
dimensinned for 100.
Number of consecutive passes, each pass consisting of
a new group of stations which can be correlated with
specified stations in previous passes, dimensioned
for 5.
Indicator, positive value calls for writing recorded
and reconstituted flows and generated flows on Tape 7.
Indicator, positive value calls for writing statistics on Tape 7.

Number of stations at which flows are to be generated,

not required if flow data are supplied.
(C-i) dimensioned for 10.

NSTA + NCOHB

Second specification card.

1.

NCOMB

2.

NTNDM

Number of combinations of stations, the totals of

which are used to obtain maximum and minimum flows,
dimensioned for 2. If positive, provide D and R cards.
Number of tandem situations, compares sum of monthly
values of upstream stations with downstream station

and adjusts if value Is less than sum and that station's

3. NCSTY

value has been estimated or generated, dimension for 10.

If positive, provide F card.
Number of consistency tests. Adjusts standard deviation
of a dependent station in tandem with an independent
station to prevent frequency curves from crossing,
dimensioned for 10. If positive, provide C card.

EXMBIT 7

CAo

0aer's

VAMANZ

C (Cont'd)
4.

IGM

S.

NPW)J

6.
7.
8.

IYRPJ
M)HPJ
L RPJ

Indicator, + 1 calls for reading generalized statistics and using for generation, + 2 calls for cowVitin generalized statistics from flov data and using
for eneration.
Number of projections of future flows from present
conditions, usually 0.
Year of start of each projection.
Calendar month of start of each projection.
Lst yea of each jrojection, number of recorded and
reconstituted years plus number of projected years
dimensioned for 100.
Identification of combination, NCOB (C-i) sets of D
and N cards.

D
1.

INSAC

Number of stations in this combination, dimensioned

for 10.

2.

ISTAC

Station number (!SrAC values).

Combining coefficients, MCOB (C-i) sets of D and
9 cards.

E
1.
2.

NSTAC
CSTAC

Sme as D-1.
Coefficient of flow used for adding, corresponds to
respective items in D-2.

Identification of tandem situation, NDM (C-2) cards.

F
1.
2.

I&M
NMX

Station number of downstrea station.

Number of upstream stations, dimensioned for 10.

3.

IS"T

Station number of upstream station (NSMX values).

Identification of consistency test, NCSTY (C-3) cards.

G
1.
2.

ISTX

I lY

Independent station number.

- Dependent station number.

(B-3) is
LANAI
Flow data, cards in any order, omit if
not positive follow all flow data cards by 1 blank

card (I card).
1.
2.

Cole 2-4, Station number

Cols 5-8, Year number.

2
EnHBIT 7

CARD

COMMENTS

VARIABLE

H (Cont'd)
3. Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Flow in desired units. Units should be
selected so generated flows will not exceed 999,999. Use -1 for
missing record. If record for entire year is missing, omit card
for that year.
Card blank after Col 1 to indicate end of flow data,
omit if IANAL (B-3) is not positive.
J

1. NCOMB
2. NTNDM

3. NCSTY

4. NSrX

5.

rSTA

Note:

Flow data for current pass supplied As described for H card and
follow data with a blank card (I card), supply NPASS-l sets
of J, H, and I cards (also D,E,F, and G, if necessary) when
NPASS greater than 1.
Preceding-month correlation coefficients for first
station, omit if IANAL (B-3) is positive (NSTA cards).

1. ISTA(K)
ISTA(L)

2.

Identification of stations in previous passes to be

used in current pass, supply only if NPASS (B-7) is
greater than 1. The variables NCOMB, NTNDM, and
NCSTY apply to the current pass only.
- Number of combinations of stations, the totals of
which are used to obtain maximum and minimum flows,
dimensioned for 2. If positive, provide D and E cards.
- Number of tandem situations, compares sum of monthly
values of upstream stations with downstream station
and adjusts if value is less than sum and that station's
value has been estimated or generated, dimension for 10.
If positive, provide F card.
Adjusts standard deviation
. Number of consistency tests.
of a dependent station in tandem with an independent
station to prevent frequency curves from crossing,
dimensioned for 10. If positive, provide G card.
Number of stations from previous passes which are to
be used with the additional data in current pass as a
means of maintaining consistent flows between groups of
stations, number of stations from previous passes
plus number of new stations dimensioned for 10.
Station number of station in a previous pass which is
to be used in current pass (NSTX values). Must be
in same order as stations first appear.

Cols 2-4, Number of first station.

5-8, Number of station from 1 to NSTA (B-1O) on
successive cards. If IGNRL (C-h) = 1, only first
card is used.

- Cols

3. RA(I,K,LX) - Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Correlation coefficients for

successive months between flows at first station and
preceding-month flows at stations from 1 to NSTA (B-10)
on separate cards. If IGNRL (C-4) = 1, only generalized coefficient (in cols 9-14) is given.

EXHIBIT 7

CARD

COMMENTS

VARIABLE

L*

Current-month correlation coefficients, omit if IANAL

(B-3) is positive, (NSTA-1) pairs of L and M cards.

1.

ISTA(K)

2.

ISTA(L)

3.

RA(I,K,L) -

M*

Cols 2-4, Number of station, progressing from K = 2

through NSTA (B-l0) stations on different sets of L
and M cards.
Cols 5-8, Number of station, progressing on different
cards through all stations from L = 1 to K-1.
Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Correlation coefficient for
each successive calendar month between flows at station
K and concurrent flows at station L (12 items). If
IGNRL (C-4) = 1, only generalized coefficient in cols
9-14 is given.
Preceding-month correlation coefficients for remaining
stations, omit if IANAL (B-3) is positive. Paired with
L card.

1.

ISTA(K)

2.

ISTA(L)

3.

RA(I,K,LX)-

Cols 2-4, Same station number as on corresponding L

card (L-1).

Cols 5-8, Number of station, progressing in same order

on different cards through all stations from L = 1 to
NSTA (B-lO). If IGNRL (C-4) = 1, only card with L = K
is used.
Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Correlation coefficient for each
successive calendar month between flows at station K
and flows in preceding month at station L (12 items).
If IGNRL (C-4) = 1, only generalized coefficient in
Cols 9-14 is given.
Generalized frequency statistics, omit if IANAL (B-3) is
positive or IGNRL (C-4) does not equal 1.

1.

TSTA(K)

Cols 2-8, Station number for NSTA (B-l) stations on

successive cards in same order as supplied by L cards
(L-l).

2.

AVMX(K)

Cols 9-14, Average mean logarithm for wet season (3

3.

AVMN(K)

4.

SDAV(K)

months).
Cols 15-20, Average mean logarithm for dry season (3
months ).
Cols 21-26, Average standard deviation for the 12 months.

Sets of L and M cards are required for each station from K - 2 to NSTA.

4
EXHIBIT 7

CARD

VARIABLE

COMMENTS

N (Cont'd)
5.
MOMX(K)
6. MOMN(K)

Calendar number of last month of wet season.

Calendar number of last month of dry season.
Mean logarithms, omit if IANAL (B-3) is positive or IGNRL
(C-4) equals 1.

1.
2.

ISrA(K)

AV(I,K)

Same as (M-1).
- Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Mean logarithms for successive
calendar months.
-

Standard deviations, omit If IANAL (B-3) is positive or

IGNRL (C-4) equals 1.
1.

ISTA(K)

2.

SD(I,K)

- Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Standard deviations for successive calendar months.

Seine as (M-1).

Skew coefficients, omit if IANAL (B-3) is positive or

IGNRL (C-4) equals 1.
-

1.

ISTA(K)

2.

SKEW(I,K) -

Same as (M-l).

Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Skew coefficients for successive calendar months.
Flow increments, omit if IANAL (B-3) is positive or
IGNRL (C-4) equals 1.

TSrA(K)
2. DQ(I,K)
1.

Same as (M-l).

Cols 9-14, 15-20, etc., Flow increments for successive

calendar months.

Five blank cards with A in Col 1 of first should follow last Job.
Note:

Cards K through R are not required if cards H and I are supplied.

K through R are as punched by computer when IPCHS is positive.

Cards

5
EXHIIBI r 7

EIBIT 8
SUIUARY OF REQUIRED CAMDS
723-x6-L23.O

I
NPASS-1
sets (1)(e

See Icard)

J
I

Mi

(1) H

COMB NTN4DM NCSTY NSTX I STA fSTA T..

lakcard, after all

IVUM cards F

ISSNSMK

1ST?

st[D" ( ST"Rn
IMAC IISTAC1

C
B

ta,
Q (12 Values) format 214, 12F6.0

NCOMB NMD

MM?...18
.....

.. 0..

IWAC
1 NSTAC

au

aluer

I Valm?

NCff! IaNRL NpROJ rm]RJ KWJ LYRPJ

DWH rAKAL mKRw8

WT

NS X Val

I
1ST!

(PTA CSTAC ICSTAC I

NCO

UT

cards G

NCMT

I)I-

(Ie H
Rcad

iiZ

NYR I11
" IAS IB'

IP

I STA:

ITLE1 CARD
TTLE CARD

Notes:
(1) SupplY Only if ZANAL 0B3) Is Positive. Papeat U card tar each
station-year of data before supplying I card.

EXHIBIT

SUbMY OF REQUIRED CARDS

Continued
7'23-X6-L231eO

R
Q IT

DI
IST
NI
SKE

le

SKW...(2Vle)oiti IGIL(4

NSTA sets (4)

(4) N

L
(2)(4) K

AVMX

TA K) IST-A L

AVMN

TA 1

SDAV

MOMvc

M.gIM

CRA 1,K,L) HA(2,K,L) .....

ISTA(L) HA 1,K,LX) RA(2,K,LX)

....

RA(12,K,L)
(12,KLX)

(2) L designates correlation with current month and LX with preceding month. If
IGNRL.(C4) =1, only one (generalized) coefficient is given following station
numbers on each card and only 1 K and M card is used for each K station, with
L = K. Use sam format as H card.
(3) Repeat set of L and M cards for each K station except first.
(4) Omit if IANaI (B3) is positive.
2
MIB~hr 8