Chinese consumerism will shape the worlds economic future | The National
Chinesesmartphone
makerstosetupfactories
inIndia
Chinesetouriststo
streamintoDubaioverthe
nextdecade
UAElagsrivalsin
adaptingtotheriseofthe
yuan
AbuDhabitohost
ChineseVisitorSummit
Dubaithirdmostpopular
destinationamongwealthy
Chinesetravellers
LI, R. (2014, May 5). Chinese consumerism will shape the world's
economic future.
The National.
Chinaseconomy,boostedbyawaveofgrowingmiddleclasswealth,is
undergoingasignificantshiftinconsumption,drivenbyanewgenerationof
young,prosperousandindependentconsumerswhoareupwardlymobile,
lesspricesensitiveanddeterminedtodisplaytheirworldlinessthroughwell
consideredconsumption.
Today,Chinaseconomyisstillheavilydependentoninvestmentforgrowth
consumptionaccountedforonly50percentofGDPlastyear,significantly
lessthanintheUnitedStatesatmorethan80percentorevenIndia,where
thefigureexceeded70percent.
TheChinesegovernmentisnowactivelyencouragingmoreconsumersto
spend.ConsumptioninChinawillaccountfor60percentofGDPby2020,
accordingtoIDCsreport,addingjustunder$1trillionofconsumerspending
evenattodayslevels.
Amassivepushtourbanisewillpropeltensofmillionsofpeopleandbillions
ofyuanintotheconsumptionequation.Theeasternregioniscurrentlyhome
tothemostaffluentconsumers,particularlythetieronecitiesofBeijing,
Shanghai,GuangzhouandShenzhen.Ithasthehighestpercapitaretail
consumptioninChinasinceithasthecountryshighestaveragewagesas
wellasrobustspendingbytourists.
Theeasternregionspositionwillnotbeshrinking,butthegeographiccentre
ofChinasmiddleclassisalsoshiftingbecauselessdevelopedinland
provinceshavegrownfasterthanrichcoastalregionsandnowaccountfor
49percentofGDP.
ThegrowthofChinasmiddleclasshasunleashedawaveofaspirations
qualityoflife,thebesteducation,asecureretirement.Retailinvestorswill
seekamorediverserangeofwealthmanagementproducts.Otherareas
thatpresentopportunitiesasChinasconsumersocietydevelopsinclude
tourism,luxurybrandsandtechnology.
EmergingtrendsintradebetweentheMiddleEastandChinapointtoan
arrayofmutualbenefitsasconsumptionsurgesinthesefastergrowing
markets.ThebulkofMiddleEastexportstoChina,theworldslargest
energyconsumer,willcontinuetobedrivenbyoil.However,tradefromthe
Gulfisexpandingintoothercommoditiesandconsumergoodsunderscoring
theopportunitiespresentedbyincreasedaffluenceandgrowingdemand
amongChineseconsumersintheMainland.
ForexampletradebetweenChinaandtheUAE,expectedtoreachUS$100
billionbynextyear,coversawealthofsectors.Chinaexportsmachinery,
mechanicalappliancesandmanufacturedgoodstotheUAEwhileitimports
plastics,textilesandvegetablefatsaswellasaviationservicesandtourism.
Chinaalreadyhastheworldslargestnumberofoverseastouristsandthe
largestproportionoftouristspending,andisstillfarfromreachingitsfull
potential.Chinesetouristsmadeanestimated98milliontripsabroadlast
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Chinese consumerism will shape the worlds economic future | The National
year,spendingmorethan$120bnontravel,whileChinaalsohad3.3billion
domestictourists,spending2.6trillionyuan(Dh1.52tn)aroundthecountry.
WeexpectoutboundtravelfromChinatoreach130millionbynextyear,
andpossiblytop200millionby2020,threetimesthecurrentnumberof
departuresfromtheUnitedStates.
Weexpecttoseemoreindependenttravellersspreadoutfromtraditional
touristspotstonichemarkets.Theirtoppreferreddestinationsincluded
HongKong,Europe,theUSandJapan.
ButChinesetouristsarealsoontheriseintheUAE,with275,675visiting
Dubailastyear,anannualgrowthrateof11percent.
Withdigitaltechnologybecomingapartofeverydaylife,weseeanewtrend
ofChinasconsumptionboommovingtotheweb.Chinahasbecomethe
worldsbiggestecommercemarketwithaspendingforecasttoreach
$540bnnextyear.
Astheworldsbiggestmanufacturerandconsumerofsmartphones,itwill
soonbethelargestmobilecommercemarket.Theseallplayarolein
increasingdomesticconsumptionthatwilldrivefurtherdevelopmentand
economicgrowth.
ThefutureoftheglobaleconomywillbeprofoundlyshapedbyChinaspush
towardsconsumerism.LocalandmultinationalfirmsinChinaneedto
possesstheabilitytogeneratesoughtafterconsumerexperiencesandbe
agiletomaintainthepacewithrapidlychangingtrends.
RichardLiistheheadofretailbankingandwealthmanagementatHSBC
BankChina
FollowusonTwitter@Ind_Insights
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