ATTICA REGION

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&

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.1.4
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:
B.1
B.2





IV
V ,
V

VII
B.3
-
-
-
-

1
5
7
12
12
13
22
22
30
32
32
32
36
36
37
47
49
51
53
55
59
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67
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: ) ,

(exposure), ) (sensitivity) ) (adaptive capacity) .
,
(exposure)
, (sensitivity)
(adaptive capacity) .

1. IPCC, 2014:Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Summaries, Frequently Asked Questions, and Cross-Chapter Boxes. A Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment
Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., V.R. Barros, D.J. Dokken, K.J. Mach, M.D. Mastrandrea, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel,
A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken,P.R. Mastrandrea, and L.L. White (eds.)]. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 190 pp.
2. Bates, B.C., Z.W. Kundzewicz, S. Wu and J.P. Palutikof, Eds., 2008: Climate Change and Water. Technical Paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC Secretariat, Geneva, 210 pp.
3. IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007Q Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, M.L. Parry,
O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E.Hanson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 976pp.
4. Fussel, H.-M. and Klein, R. J. T.: 2006. CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENTS: AN EVOLUTION OF CONCEPTUAL THINKING. Climatic Change 75: 301329.

 :
(exposure): (, ,
).
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,
.
(impact): (.. )
(. ).
(adaptive capacity): , (
), , .
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, ,
.
( ).
, (Vulnerability V)
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V= f (E, S, AC)
, ,
(Wetland Vulnerability WV)
(compound indicator)
:
(i)
(Drought Vulnerability Index DVI)
SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index).
(ii)
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.
8

(iii)
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.
1

10 ( 1,
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1: ( Fussel and Klein

2006).

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.
. 5
,
.
,
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(Drought Vulnerability Index -DVI).
DVI (, ,
),
SPI-12 (Standard Percipitation Index).
SPI McKee et al. (1993)
( 3, 6, 12, 24
48 ).

,
. SPI 12-
(, , ) ,
(Szalai et al. 20006; Hayes et al. 19997).
SPI

,
, 30 .
DVI

- ( 20138),
12

.
, ,
,
,
2010 - 2100
29 110.
, DVI
:
DVI = [0.25 *
] + [0.25 *
> 24 ] + [0.25*
] + [0.25 *
]
2
().
SPI-12, :

( ) SPI-12
, -1
, .

 :
2. DVI.

>24

()

0-10

0-4

0 30

0 20

11-20

5-6

31 40

21 30

21-30

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41 50

31 40

>31

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> = 51

>=41

.
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SPI-12
.
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, 2 2,99 , 3 4, . DVI
10 .

.
,
DVI ORIENTGATE (
, 201411).

.1.1.2
SPI-12
, DVI, 1970-2010
2010 - 2100 2
1. , 3, 4 5 ,
SPI-12

5 . . , . 2011.
6 Szalai, S. and C. Szinell. 2000. Comparison of two drought indices for drought monitoring in Hungary a case study. In Drought and Drought Mitigation in Europe, Vogt JV, Somma F (eds). Kluwer:
Dordrecht: 161-166.
7 Hayes, M. J. 1999. Drought Indices. NDMC - Drought Happens, Drought Indices. http://enso.unl.edu/ndmc/enigma/indices.htm/, updated 12 October 1999.
8 2013. (GR06). NAMA & - 4 -
- SPEED - - - - - - - .
9 2: . . .
. CO2 , 850 ppm 2100.
10 1: . , .
. . 2050 .
CO2 , 720 ppm 2100.
11 . 2014.
( 1 & 2). ORIENTGATE.

13

 6 7 DVI.
2 (
4) : () 2031
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70

60

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3. , , 1970 - 2010.
14

3. , , 1970
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4.
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2 (
2010 - 2100).

2
( 2010 2100)

15

60

50

40

30

20

10

-10
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()

5. , , o 1 ( 2010 - 2100).
5. , , o 1
( 2010 2100).

16

6. (DVI), 1970 - 2010.

7. (DVI), 1 & 2 ( 2010

- 2100).
17

 3: 2 1.

18

1970 - 2010

2010 - 2100 / 2

2010 - 2100 / 1

2. (DVI), ,
1970 - 2010.

19

 3. (DVI),
2 ( 2010 - 2100).

20

4. (DVI),
1 ( 2010 - 2100).

21

.1.2
(
). ,
,
(Gunderson and Holling, 200212).
(.
), (. NATURA
2000), , ,
(Ouyang et al. 201413, 201214, Acreman et al. 201115, Mortsch et al. 200616).

.1.2.1

(climate stimuli)

,
.
, (Wetland Sensitivity
-WS) : )
40 ,

50%, )
,
, )

,

.
:
WS = 0,30*WCU + 0,30*WCA + 0,20*WVal + 0,20*WP
:
WCU (Wetland change due to urbanization): ,
WCA (Wetland change due to agriculture): ,
WVal (Wetland Values): ,
WP (Protection Status): .
.

12 Gunderson, L. H., and C. S. Holling, editors. 2002. Panarchy: understanding transformations in human and natural systems. Island Press, Washington, D.C., USA.
13 Ouyang Z., R. Becker, W. Shaver and J. Chen. 2014. Evaluating the sensitivity of wetlands to climate change with remote sensing techniques. Hydrol. Process. 28, 17031712. (Published online in Wiley
Online Library).
14 . 2012. Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2012: An indicator-based report. EEA Report No 12/2012. ISSN 1725-9177
15 Acreman, M.C., Blake, J.R., Mountford, O., Stratford, C., Prudhomme, C., Kay, A., Bell, V., Gowing, D., Rothero, E., Thompson, J., Hughes, A., Barkwith, A. and van de Noort, R. 2011 Guidance on using wetland
sensitivity to climate change tool-kit. A contribution to the Wetland Vision Partnership. Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford.
16 Mortsch, L., J. Ingram, A. Hebb, and S. Doka (eds.). 2006. Great Lakes Coastal Wetland Communities: Vulnerability to Climate Change and Response to Adaptation Strategies. Final report submitted to
the Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Program, Natural Resources Canada. Environment Canada and the Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Toronto, Ontario. 251 pp. + appendices.

22

 :

,

.

(WCU) (WCA)

/ 40 (1970 - 2010),
.
17 10
/
500 ,
1970 2010 (
2013). , 1970 ( 1969)
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.
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( 201118).
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40 .

, 2010, 1/4
, ,
( 5).


.

17 2015, WFS "

", : http://ekbygis.biodiversity-info.gr/map.
: http://ekbygis.biodiversity-info.gr:8090/geonetwork.
18 ., ., ., ., ., ., ., ., ., ., . . . 2012.
" , ". . & -.

23

 4: 1970-2010 ( .
500 ).

(%)
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2010 - 1970
2010

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24

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5: 1970-2010 ( .
500 ).

/
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2010 - 1970
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25

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26

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27

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720//13.12.83

29

.1.2.2
8
.

: : < 1,
: 1 < < 1,9 : > 2.

,
,

.
5.

8: .

(WCA) (WCU) (WP) (WVal)

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2,5

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30

5: .

31

.1.3

.
(Fussel and Klein
200620).

,
(IPCC, 2007b21).
,
,
.

.1.3.1
,
,
: ) )

.
(Wetland Adaptive Capacity -WAC) :
WAC = 0,70*FC + 0,30*AW
: FC (Functional Capacity -FC):
AW (Awareness): .

.
9

.

.1.3.2
10
6
.
, ,

,

. ,
,

20 Fussel, H.-M. and Klein, R. J. T.: 2006. CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENTS: AN EVOLUTION OF CONCEPTUAL THINKING. Climatic Change 75: 301329.
21 IPCC (2007b) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (M. L.
Parry, O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. van der Linden and C. E. Hanson, eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. http://www.ipcc.ch/ publications_and_data/ar4/wg2/en/contents.html.

32

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al 201122). , ( 1).

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,
,
,
.


( 1).

(Burgman
200423)
(Gitay
et al 201122). 8
.

,
2 1,
2010 - 2100.
,

22 Gitay, H., Finlayson, C.M. & Davidson, N.C. 2011. A Framework for assessing the vulnerability of wetlands to climate change. Ramsar Technical Report No. 5/CBD Technical Series No. 57. Ramsar Convention Secretariat, Gland, Switzerland & Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, Montreal, Canada. ISBN 92-9225-361-1 (print); 92-9225-362-X (web).
23 Burgman, M. A. 2004. Environmental Risk and Decision Analysis: For Conservation and Natural Resource Management, Cambridge University Press, London.

36

 :
.

.
,
.

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( 8),

, 1970 - 2010, ( 3)
( 8),

( 9).

,
224 125 ( 3),
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9 9 ).
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24 2: . . .
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37

9: , 1970 - 2010.

38

9: , 2010 - 2100 2.

39

9: , 2010 - 2100 1.

40

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41

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42

10: , 2010 - 2100 1.

43

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45

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56

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