CNN WMMR Poll - New Hampshire 12-8-15

THE CNN /WMUR
NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY POLL

December 8, 2015
TRUMP WIDENS NH LEAD BUT MOST VOTERS NOT YET CONVINCED
By:
Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.

Zachary S. Azem, M.A.
UNH Survey Center
andrew.smith@unh.edu
603-862-2226
www.unh.edu/survey-center
DURHAM, NH Donald Trump has expanded his lead in the New Hampshire Primary race while Marco Rubio has moved
into second place. Trump also continues to be the candidate that New Hampshire Republicans say they are least likely to
vote for. Only eighteen percent of New Hampshire Republican Primary voters say they have firmly decided who they will
vote for in the Primary.
These findings are based on the latest CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New
Hampshire Survey Center. Nine hundred and fifty-four (954) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by
landline and cellular telephone between November 30 and December 7, 2015. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.2
percent. Included were four hundred and two (402) likely 2016 Republican Primary voters (MSE = +/-4.9) and three
hundred and sixty-nine (369) likely 2016 Democratic Primary voters (MSE = +/-5.1).
NH Republicans Not Engaged Yet
2016 marks the 100th anniversary of the New Hampshire Primary and has attracted a record number of major Republican
candidates. New Hampshire Republicans are, as usual, taking their time deciding who to support.
New Hampshire primary voters usually decide who they will vote for in the last weeks, or days of the campaign and it is no
surprise that few likely Republican primary voters have made up their minds about who they will support in 2016.
Currently, only 18% of likely Republican Primary voters say they have definitely decided who they will support, 26% are
leaning toward a candidate, and 56% are still trying to decide.
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary -- Decided On Vote
88%
91%
93%
92%
93%
87%
83%
85%
78%
75%
66%
Feb '13
Apr
July
Oct
Definitely Decided
88%
Jan '14
Apr
July
Oct
Feb '15 May
Leaning Toward Someone
June
July
59%
56%
Sept Dec. '15
Still Trying To Decide
We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll, sponsored by WMUR-TV and CNN, and
conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.
The Republican electorate is more interested in the 2016 primary than it was at a similar point in 2007, the last time both
parties had contested primaries. Currently, 58% of likely Republican primary voters say they are extremely interested in the
election, 28% are very interested, and 13% are only somewhat interested or not very interested. By comparison, in
December 2007, 35% of likely Republican primary voters said they were extremely interested in the 2008 primary, 48%
were very interested, and 18% were only somewhat interested or not very interested. Another sign of higher interest in
Republicans is that 48% of undeclared voters who can vote in either primary, say they will vote in the Republican primary
while only 38% say they will vote in the Democratic primary.
GOP Favorability Ratings
Florida senator Marco Rubio leads the GOP field in net favorability (the percentage who have a favorable opinion of him or
her minus the percentage who have an unfavorable opinion) among Republican primary voters. Currently 61% have a
favorable opinion of Rubio, 23% have an unfavorable opinion and 16% are neutral or dont know enough about him to say.
Rubios net favorability rating is +38%, up slightly from +36% in September. Other GOP candidates with moderate net
favorability ratings include businessman Donald Trump (+21%), businesswoman Carly Fiorina (+20%), and New Jersey
governor Chris Christie (+19%).
Neurosurgeon Ben Carson (+12%), Texas senator Ted Cruz (+10%), and Ohio governor John Kasich (+1%) have low net
favorability ratings while former Florida governor Jeb Bush (-3%), Kentucky senator Rand Paul (-15%), former Arkansas
governor Mike Huckabee (-21%), former Virginia governor Jim Gilmore (-27%), South Carolina senator Lindsey Graham (28%), former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum (-30%), and former New York governor George Pataki (-45%) have
negative net favorability ratings.
Carson (from +42% to +12%), Fiorina (from +47% to +20%), Kasich (from +21% to +1%), and Bush (from +11% to -3%) have
all seen their net favorability rating drop significantly since September.
Cruz (+66%), Trump (+56%), Fiorina (+43%), Carson (+41%) and Rubio (+38%) are very popular among voters who regularly
listen to conservative talk radio, while Bush (-32%) and Kasich (-32%) are very unpopular among talk radio listeners.
NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary -- Net Favorability Ratings
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
Feb.
'13
Apr.
Jul.
Oct. Jan. '14 Apr.
Bush
Fiorina
Kasich
Santorum
Carson
Gilmore
Pataki
Trump
July
Oct.
Feb. May.
'15
Christie
Graham
Paul
June
July
Cruz
Huckabee
Rubio
Sept
Dec.
'15
Favorability Ratings - Potential NH GOP Presidential Candidates - December 2015
Marco Rubio
61%
Donald Trump
9%
57%
Carly Fiorina
6%
49%
Chris Christie
47%
Ted Cruz
46%
John Kasich
Jeb Bush
Mike Huckabee
Jim Gilmore 3%
Lindsey Graham
Rick Santorum
20%
George Pataki
10%
0%
12%
45%
13%
20%
2%
49%
4%
52%
4%
55%
12%
50%
16%
14%
50%
15%
14%
10%
17%
30%
22%
8%
35%
13%
12%
5%
36%
12%
31%
3%
35%
10%
34%
10%
34%
13%
42%
Rand Paul
29%
9%
36%
7%
36%
12%
53%
Ben Carson
23%
55%
30%
Favorable
40%
Neutral
50%
21%
60%
Unfavorable
70%
DK
80%
90%
100%
2016 NH Republican Primary

Donald Trump continues to top the field in New Hampshire with 32% of likely Republican primary voters supporting him.
Trump is followed by Rubio (14%), Christie (9%), Bush (8%), Kasich (7%), Cruz (6%), Fiorina (5%), Carson (5%), Paul (2%),
Graham (1%) and Huckabee (1%). All other potential candidates receive less than 1% support, and 9% say they are
undecided.
Trump (44%), Cruz (15%), and Rubio (12%) are the top choices among primary voters who regularly listen to conservative
talk radio. Trump (39%), Rubio (18%) and Christie (14%) are the top choices among primary voters who regularly read the
Union Leader.
NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary -- Who Support If Vote Held Today?
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Feb '13 Apr
July
Bush
Gilmore
Paul
Oct Jan '14 Apr

Carson
Graham
Rubio
July
Oct Feb '15 May
Christie
Huckabee
Santorum
June
Cruz
Kasich
Trump
July
Sept
Fiorina
Pataki
Dec
2016 NH Republican Primary with Second Choice

Asking likely Republican Primary voters who their second choice is more clearly defines the field with Trump and Rubio
leading their rivals. When the top two choices are combined, 43% of likely primary voters favor Trump, 34% favor Rubio,
21% favor Christie, 17% favor Cruz, 15% favor Bush, 13% favor Fiorina, 13% favor Carson and 10% favor Kasich.
Trump
32%
Rubio
14%
Christie
12%
6%
Bush
17%
7%
15%
Fiorina
5%
8%
13%
Carson
5%
8%
13%
Kasich
7%
Paul
3%
Graham
21%
11%
8%
43%
34%
20%
9%
Cruz
3% 10%
5%
3%
Huckabee
2%
Pataki
1%
Santorum
1%
Gilmore
11%
0%
0%
10%
20%
1st Choice
30%
40%
50%
2nd Choice
NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary -- First and Second Choice Combined
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Apr. '14
July '14
Bush
Gilmore
Paul
Oct. '14
Feb. '15
Carson
Graham
Rubio
May. '15
June '15
Christie
Huckabee
Santorum
July '15
Cruz
Kasich
Trump
Sept. '15
Dec. '15
Fiorina
Pataki
Most Unpopular Republican Candidate

Despite leading the Republican field, Trump remains the candidate New Hampshire Republicans are least likely to vote for.
When asked which candidate they would NOT vote for under any circumstance, 26% of likely Republican Primary voters say
they would not vote for Trump, 11% would not vote for Bush, 7% would not vote for Paul, 6% would not vote for Christie,
5% would not vote for Carson, 4% would not vote for Huckabee, 4% would not vote for Fiorina, 3% would not vote for Cruz,
3% would not vote for Graham, 3% would not vote for Santorum, 2% would not vote for Pataki, 2% would not vote for
Kasich, 2% would not vote for Gilmore, 1% would not vote for Rubio, 11% think all the prospective candidates are
acceptable, and 9% are unsure.
Voters who oppose the tea party (48%), voters with a postgraduate education (40%) and voters who are 65 and older (37%)
are more likely to say they wouldnt vote for Trump under any circumstances.
NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary -- Would Not Vote For
30%
20%
10%
0%
Feb. '13 Apr.
July
Oct. Jan. '14 Apr.
Bush
Fiorina
Kasich
Santorum
July
Carson
Gilmore
Pataki
Trump
Oct. Feb. '15 May
June
Christie
Graham
Paul
July
Sept.
Dec.
Cruz
Huckabee
Rubio
Republican Net Electability

Rubio tops the field in net electability (the percentage who support a candidate minus the percent who would not vote for
that candidate), with +13%. Trump (+6%), Kasich (+5%), Cruz (+3%), Christie (+3%) and Fiorina (+1%) all have positive net
electability scores. Carson (+0%), Gilmore (-2%), Graham (-2%), Pataki (-2%), Santorum (-3%), Huckabee (-3%), Bush (-4%),
and Paul (-5%) have neutral or negative net electability scores.
NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary -- Net Electability Ratings
25%
15%
5%
-5%
-15%
-25%
Feb. '13 Apr.
July
Oct. Jan. '14 Apr.
Bush
Fiorina
Kasich
Santorum
July
Carson
Gilmore
Pataki
Trump
Oct. Feb. '15 May
Christie
Graham
Paul
June
July
Sept
Cruz
Huckabee
Rubio
Dec
Who Will Win NH Primary?

Trump is now seen as the clear favorite by New Hampshire Republicans. When asked who they think will win the 2016 New
Hampshire Republican Primary, 59% think Trump will win, 6% think Christie will win, 6% think Rubio will win, and 4% think
Bush will win. The percentage believing Trump will win the primary has increased 19 percentage points since September.
Who Will Win NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary?
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Feb. '15
May. '15
Bush
Fiorina
Kasich
Santorum
July '15
Carson
Gilmore
Pataki
Trump
Sept. '15
Christie
Graham
Paul
Dec. '15
Cruz
Huckabee
Rubio
Most Important Issue To Primary Vote

The recent terrorist attacks in Paris and San Bernardino have redefined this race as one about foreign policy. Half (50%) of
Republican Primary voters cite foreign policy or national security, including terrorism, as the most important in deciding to
vote in the presidential primary. This represents a 29 percentage popint increase since September. Eighteen percent (18%)
of likely Republican Primary voters cite jobs or the economy, 12% cite immigration, 4% cite the budget or national debt, 4%
cite health care, 1% cite social issues, 1% cite taxes and 1% cite education.
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Feb. '15
Jobs/Economy
Health Care
Education
May '15
June '15
July '15
Foreign Policy/Natl Security

Budget/National Debt
Taxes
Sept '15
Immigration
Social Issues
Dec '15
Candidate Qualities
Voters were asked to identify which candidate best exemplified a number of candidate qualities. Seven in ten (71%) likely
Republican Primary voters name Trump as the candidate least likely to act like a typical politician, 11% chose Carson, and
6% were unsure.
Twenty-two percent (22%) chose Rubio as the most likeable, 19% chose Carson, 14% chose Trump and 13% were unsure.
Twenty-six percent (26%) chose Cruz as the most conservative, 9% chose Huckabee, 8% chose Trump, 8% chose Bush and
19% were unsure.
Thirty-four percent (34%) chose Trump as having the best chance to win the general election in November, 17% chose
Rubio, 7% chose Christie and 20% unsure.
Nineteen percent (19%) chose Trump as having the right experience to be President, 17% chose Bush, 14% chose Christie
and 13% were unsure.
Least Likely To Act Like Typical Politician
Most Likeable
11%
10%
Most Conservative
Best Chance of Winning General Election
19%
7%
8% 5%
17%
0%
4% 4%
26%
6% 4% 7% 5% 4%
Has Right Experience to Be President
Bush
Fiorina
Rubio
71%
14%
20%
Carson
Huckabee
Trump
9%
17%
6%
22%
14%
7% 4% 8%
19%
34%
7%
10%
40%
Christie
Kasich
Other
9%
60%
13%
20%
19%
80%
Cruz
Paul
Don't Know
13%
100%
When asked who could best manage government spending 42% chose Trump, 10% chose Bush, 9% chose Kasich and 8%
were unsure.
A third of likely voters (33%) chose Trump as the best to handle ISIS, 11% chose Bush, 9% chose Christie and 15% were
unsure.
Forty-five percent (45%) chose Trump as the best to handle illegal immigration, 14% chose Rubio, 11% chose Bush and 9%
unsure.
Thirty-six percent (36%) chose Trump as the best to handle taxation, 10% chose Bush, 8% chose Kasich and 14% were
unsure.
Best Manage Government Spending
10%
Best Handle ISIS
11%
Best Handle Illegal Immigration
11%
Best Handle Taxation
10%
0%
Bush
Graham
Trump
7% 6% 5%
9%
7%
6% 5%
6% 6% 6%
20%
Christie
Kasich
Other
9%
6% 4%
7% 4%
42%
7%
14%
8%
33%
15%
45%
8% 4% 5%
40%
Cruz
Paul
Don't Know
9%
36%
60%
14%
80%
Fiorina
Rubio
100%
CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll Methodology

These findings are based on the latest CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New
Hampshire Survey Center and funded by CNN and WMUR-TV, Manchester, NH. Nine hundred and fifty-four randomly
selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between November 30 and December
7, 2015. If a household included more than one adult, the adult who had the most recent birthday was selected to be
interviewed.
The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.2 percent for the entire sample. Included were four hundred and two (402) likely 2016
Republican Primary voters (MSE = +/-4.9), three hundred sixty-nine (369) likely 2016 Democratic Primary voters (MSE = +/5.1). These MSEs have not been adjusted for design effect. The design effect for the survey is 1.1%.
The random sample used in the CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll was purchased from Marketing Systems Group
(MSG), Horsham, PA. STS screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non-working numbers, disconnected
numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of time interviewers spend
calling non-usable numbers.
The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Additionally, data
were weighted by respondent sex, age, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community
Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential
sources of non-sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response. Due to
rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the
number reported in cross-tabulation tables as some respondents choose not to answer some questions.
For more information about the methodology used in the CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll, contact Dr. Andrew
Smith at (603) 862-2226 or by email at andrew.smith@unh.edu.
New Hampshire Primary Poll, December 2015 Demographics

Sex
Male
Female
N
466
486
%
49%
51%
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and Over
N
243
243
269
165
%
26%
26%
29%
18%
Highest Level of Education

High School or Less
Some College
College Graduate
Post-Graduate
N
186
223
341
198
%
20%
23%
36%
21%
Age
Region
N
85
159
137
270
153
148
%
9%
17%
14%
28%
16%
16%
Party Registration
Democrat
Undeclared
Republican
N
221
509
213
%
23%
54%
23%
Party Identification
Democrat
Independent
Republican
N
397
161
363
%
43%
18%
39%
North Country
Central/Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
New Hampshire Primary Poll, December 2015 Likely Republican Primary Voter Demographics
Sex
Male
Female
N
232
170
%
58%
42%
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and Over
N
67
110
137
74
%
17%
28%
35%
19%
Highest Level of Education

High School or Less
Some College
College Graduate
Post-Graduate
N
72
102
160
68
%
18%
25%
40%
17%
Age
Region
N
38
80
44
109
60
72
%
9%
20%
11%
27%
15%
18%
Party Registration
Democrat
Undeclared
Republican
N
0
199
201
%
0%
50%
50%
Party Identification
Democrat
Independent
Republican
N
24
50
325
%
6%
13%
81%
North Country
Central/Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
Decided Who to Vote for in 2016 GOP Primary?

(Likely NH GOP Primary Voters)
Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary are you leaning toward someone or
have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Oct. 14
July 14
Apr. 14
Jan. 14
Oct. 13
July 13
Apr. 13
Feb. 13
Definitely Decided
18%
13%
11%
8%
5%
6%
11%
4%
1%
6%
2%
2%
3%
6%
Leaning Toward
Someone
26%
28%
22%
17%
17%
9%
5%
9%
7%
6%
6%
5%
5%
6%
Still Trying to
Decide
56%
59%
66%
75%
78%
85%
83%
87%
83%
88%
92%
93%
91%
88%
(N)
(403)
(343)
(309)
(401)
(291)
(346)
(271)
(247)
(182)
(245)
(220)
(197)
(164)
(205)
Republican Nomination in 2016 NH Primary

"Im going to read you the names of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Republican
nomination. If the Republican primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the
Republican nomination Jeb Bush Ben Carson Chris Christie Ted Cruz Carly Fiorina Jim Gilmore Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee John Kasich George Pataki Rand Paul Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump or
someone else? ROTATE CANDIDATES
Feb
Apr
2013
July
Oct
Jan
2014
Apr
July
Oct
Feb
May
2015
June
July
Sept
Dec
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
--12%
--15%
--6%
--4%
4%
6%
5%
2%
--8%
--3%
2%
5%
5%
12%
11%
6%
24%
3%
26%
9%
32%
14%
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
14%
5%
11%
5%
21%
10%
16%
8%
9%
3%
12%
7%
19%
11%
12%
15%
9%
17%
3%
15%
5%
16%
7%
12%
5%
7%
9%
8%
John Kasich
Ted Cruz
--1%
--2%
*
4%
*
6%
--3%
--7%
*
5%
*
6%
1%
4%
1%
6%
1%
3%
6%
5%
7%
5%
7%
6%
----8%
------3%
--3%
--2%
--------11%
10%
--0%
8%
1%
2%
20%
(209)
----15%
------4%
--1%
--2%
--------11%
5%
--1%
5%
*
0%
23%
(167)
----16%
------4%
--2%
--*
4%
------8%
----*
----3%
20%
(199)
----17%
------4%
--2%
----1%
--*
--9%
--7%
*
----3%
21%
(233)
----16%
----------2%
----2%
--*
--6%
13%
11%
*
----6%
18%
(244)
----15%
------1%
--3%
--3%
1%
------13%
13%
--*
----3%
15%
(186)
----14%
--8%
--1%
--3%
--5%
2%
------5%
----1%
----3%
15%
(245)
----7%
--9%
--2%
--3%
--3%
2%
------6%
----*
----3%
28%
(274)
*
8%
9%
--9%
--2%
1%
12%
--1%
2%
--*
1%
------------1%
15%
(348)
4%
4%
10%
1%
3%
0%
2%
2%
11%
--2%
4%
*
*
0%
------------1%
14%
(293)
6%
5%
9%
1%
2%
0%
0%
1%
8%
--*
4%
*
0%
--------------1%
21%
(400)
1%
5%
7%
1%
2%
0%
1%
*
11%
--2%
2%
0%
----------------0%
12%
(305)
16%
8%
3%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
0%
0%
--------------------*
11%
(344)
5%
5%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
0%
--------------------------0%
9%
(399)
Carly Fiorina
Ben Carson
Rand Paul
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Jim Gilmore
Rick Santorum
George Pataki
Scott Walker
Mark Everson
Bobby Jindal
Rick Perry
Bob Ehrlich
Peter King
John Bolton
Paul Ryan
Kelly Ayotte
Scott Brown
Rob Portman
John Huntsman
John Thune
Someone Else
Dont Know Yet
(N)
* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included
Second Choice in 2016 NH Primary

If ___________ was not running, who would be your second choice?
Apr. 14
July 14
Oct. 14
Feb. 15
May 15
June 15
July 15
Sept 15
Dec 15
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
11%
4%
8%
10%
5%
7%
3%
8%
13%
7%
7%
8%
10%
9%
9%
10%
20%
12%
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
5%
4%
5%
---
3%
---
5%
6%
11%
3%
4%
10%
8%
7%
4%
8%
11%
11%
Ben Carson
Carly Fiorina
-----
-----
-----
6%
1%
3%
2%
5%
8%
5%
5%
12%
13%
8%
8%
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
8%
---
8%
1%
10%
*
11%
2%
9%
2%
14%
1%
14%
5%
10%
7%
7%
3%
Rand Paul
Lindsey Graham
12%
---
9%
---
8%
---
10%
---
11%
*
5%
*
7%
*
3%
*
3%
2%
Mike Huckabee
George Pataki
-----
7%
---
7%
---
6%
2%
5%
1%
3%
4%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore
3%
---
2%
---
3%
---
1%
---
5%
0%
3%
0%
1%
0%
0%
*
1%
0%
Scott Walker
Bobby Jindal
4%
3%
4%
4%
5%
2%
5%
2%
9%
1%
7%
3%
6%
1%
2%
*
-----
--1%
--------8%
11%
1%
*
9%
17%
(187)
--3%
--------7%
--1%
1%
14%
16%
(246)
--5%
--------5%
--*
*
34%
5%
(274)
--3%
--1%
1%
12%
------1%
6%
8%
(301)
--3%
*
0%
1%
--------2%
5%
7%
(250)
--5%
0%
0%
----------1%
3%
8%
(317)
--2%
0%
------------0%
5%
11%
(269)
0%
----------------1%
8%
9%
(307)
------------------*
5%
8%
(360)
Mark Everson
Rick Perry
Bob Ehrlich
Peter King
John Bolton
Mitt Romney
Paul Ryan
Kelly Ayotte
Rob Portman
Someone Else
No Second Choice
Dont Know
(N)
Candidate You Wouldnt Vote For In 2016 NH Republican Primary

Which of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Republican nomination would you NOT
vote for under any circumstance?
2013
2014
2015
Donald Trump
Feb
---
Apr
---
July
---
Oct
---
Jan
25%
Apr
27%
July
---
Oct
---
Feb
21%
May
21%
June
23%
July
29%
Sept
25%
Dec
26%
Jeb Bush
Rand Paul
6%
6%
8%
9%
11%
3%
8%
5%
2%
3%
7%
4%
9%
3%
10%
5%
8%
5%
8%
5%
10%
4%
16%
2%
11%
10%
11%
7%
Chris Christie
Ben Carson
6%
---
11%
---
11%
---
7%
---
9%
---
15%
---
16%
---
12%
---
10%
*
13%
1%
10%
0%
6%
1%
5%
1%
6%
5%
Mike Huckabee
Carly Fiorina
-----
-----
-----
-----
-----
-----
4%
---
6%
---
3%
1%
2%
4%
3%
*
3%
1%
8%
1%
4%
4%
Lindsey Graham
Ted Cruz
--1%
--*
--3%
--8%
--5%
--4%
--3%
--4%
--5%
2%
5%
1%
4%
4%
1%
4%
3%
3%
3%
Rick Santorum
George Pataki
11%
---
13%
---
11%
---
6%
---
-----
5%
---
7%
---
4%
---
3%
*
4%
4%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
2%
-----
-----
*
---
0%
---
-----
-----
*
---
*
---
0%
---
*
0%
*
0%
0%
*
*
1%
2%
2%
1%
--2%
2%
----------2%
3%
6%
--4%
1%
2%
15%
32%
(208)
*
--*
*
----------*
1%
6%
--6%
*
*
24%
21%
(168)
2%
--1%
0%
5%
--------*
1%
--------*
25%
25%
(197)
2%
----*
6%
--5%
----1%
*
--2%
----1%
20%
28%
(232)
2%
----*
2%
--1%
----*
*
5%
5%
----*
21%
19%
(243)
1%
--*
0%
3%
--------0%
0%
4%
------2%
16%
14%
(185)
1%
--1%
3%
7%
--------1%
*
--------*
23%
21%
(243)
*
--1%
*
4%
--------0%
1%
--------*
17%
34%
(271)
1%
--1%
*
2%
--1%
0%
5%
------------1%
11%
22%
(347)
1%
--1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
--------------*
10%
18%
(285)
2%
--2%
2%
1%
*
1%
----------------1%
13%
19%
(397)
1%
--*
*
2%
0%
------------------1%
12%
17%
(307)
0%
1%
1%
*
----------------------0%
10%
15%
(343)
1%
----------------------------1%
12%
9%
(399)
John Kasich
Jim Gilmore
Marco Rubio
Mark Everson
Bobby Jindal
Scott Walker
Rick Perry
Bob Ehrlich
Peter King
John Bolton
Mitt Romney
Paul Ryan
Rob Portman
Kelly Ayotte
Scott Brown
John Huntsman
John Thune
Someone Else
All OK
Dont Know
(N)
Who Will Win 2016 NH Republican Primary?

Regardless of who you are voting for, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the New Hampshire Republican
primary?
Feb. 15
May 15
July 15
Sept 15
Dec 15
3%
4%
2%
3%
25%
4%
40%
2%
59%
6%
*
15%
*
1%
0%
7%
0%
1%
1%
0%
----3%
1%
--2%
--*
0%
22%
*
40%
(347)
7%
24%
2%
1%
1%
10%
1%
*
3%
*
0%
0%
7%
0%
--2%
0%
*
*
--0%
38%
(289)
1%
26%
2%
*
1%
2%
0%
2%
*
0%
0%
0%
8%
1%
--*
0%
------0%
28%
(309)
5%
12%
*
4%
3%
1%
8%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
*
0%
0%
----------0%
24%
(344)
6%
4%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
0%
0%
0%
0%
---------------0%
20%
(403)
Donald Trump
Chris Christie
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Ted Cruz
Ben Carson
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
Rick Santorum
George Pataki
Lindsey Graham
Jim Gilmore
Scott Walker
Bobby Jindal
Mark Everson
Rick Perry
Bob Ehrlich
John Bolton
Peter King
Mitt Romney
Someone Else
Dont Know
(N)
Most Important Issue To Primary Vote

There are many issues facing the candidates in the election for president. In your opinion, which one issue is MOST
IMPORTANT to YOUR VOTE in the presidential primary?
Foreign Policy/National Security

Jobs/Economy
Immigration
Budget/National Debt
Health Care
Social Issues
Taxes
Education
Other/Dont Know
(N)
Feb. 15
20%
May 15
22%
June 15
19%
July 15
22%
Sept 15
21%
Dec 15
50%
29%
7%
5%
13%
2%
3%
0%
21%
(285)
27%
8%
3%
8%
2%
5%
1%
24%
(283)
44%
7%
4%
5%
2%
1%
2%
17%
(390)
25%
18%
6%
7%
4%
0%
1%
18%
(288)
29%
14%
8%
5%
3%
2%
1%
16%
(333)
18%
12%
4%
4%
1%
1%
1%
10%
(394)
Candidate Characteristics
Which Republican candidate do you think is most likeable?
Feb 15
May 15
July 15
Sept 15
Dec 15
Marco Rubio
Ben Carson
5%
7%
17%
4%
6%
5%
10%
24%
22%
19%
Donald Trump
Jeb Bush
3%
9%
4%
11%
12%
13%
16%
8%
14%
10%
Chris Christie
John Kasich
10%
*
7%
1%
7%
5%
7%
5%
7%
4%
Carly Fiorina
Ted Cruz
Mike Huckabee
Lindsey Graham
Rand Paul
Rick Santorum
George Pataki
Jim Gilmore
Bobby Jindal
Scott Walker
Mark Everson
Rick Perry
Bob Ehrlich
Peter King
John Bolton
Mitt Romney
Someone Else
Dont Know
(N)
0%
*
11%
--5%
1%
2%
--0%
3%
--2%
--0%
0%
15%
*
26%
(343)
1%
2%
9%
1%
6%
2%
0%
0%
0%
6%
--1%
*
0%
1%
--1%
28%
(292)
2%
3%
8%
1%
6%
1%
*
0%
3%
7%
--1%
0%
------0%
20%
(308)
12%
1%
2%
1%
3%
0%
0%
0%
*
*
0%
----------*
13%
(344)
4%
3%
2%
1%
1%
*
0%
0%
----------------0%
13%
(398)
Which Republican candidate do you think is most conservative?
Ted Cruz
Mike Huckabee
Jeb Bush
Donald Trump
Rand Paul
Ben Carson
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Lindsey Graham
Chris Christie
Carly Fiorina
John Kasich
Jim Gilmore
George Pataki
Bobby Jindal
Scott Walker
Mark Everson
Rick Perry
Bob Ehrlich
John Bolton
Peter King
Someone Else
Dont Know
(N)
May 15
July 15
Sept 15
Dec 15
17%
10%
5%
3%
9%
2%
3%
7%
2%
*
*
*
1%
0%
0%
8%
--4%
0%
*
*
*
31%
(291)
16%
12%
8%
9%
9%
2%
2%
4%
2%
3%
*
3%
0%
*
1%
5%
--1%
0%
----0%
24%
(309)
18%
13%
8%
8%
9%
6%
2%
4%
1%
2%
3%
2%
0%
*
*
1%
0%
--------0%
24%
(344)
26%
9%
8%
8%
7%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
1%
1%
0%
--------------0%
19%
(402)
Which Republican candidate do you think has the best chance of winning in the general election next November?
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
Ted Cruz
Ben Carson
John Kasich
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
Rand Paul
Lindsey Graham
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore
George Pataki
Bobby Jindal
Scott Walker
Mark Everson
Rick Perry
Bob Ehrlich
Peter King
John Bolton
Mitt Romney
Someone Else
Dont Know
(N)
Feb. 15
May 15
June 15
July 15
Sept 15
Dec 15
4%
2%
8%
16%
2%
1%
1%
0%
1%
5%
--*
--*
*
4%
--2%
--0%
*
17%
1%
36%
(346)
1%
11%
2%
27%
4%
*
1%
1%
2%
9%
*
*
1%
*
0%
10%
--2%
0%
0%
*
--1%
29%
(291)
7%
7%
3%
37%
3%
*
1%
2%
*
2%
0%
1%
1%
*
*
4%
--3%
0%
0%
----1%
29%
(402)
21%
3%
4%
22%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
10%
--*
0%
------1%
29%
(308)
27%
7%
4%
16%
1%
6%
6%
9%
0%
2%
*
*
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
----------*
22%
(344)
34%
17%
7%
6%
5%
4%
4%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
0%
0%
----------------*
20%
(403)
Which Republican candidate do you think has the right experience to be President?
Feb. 15
May 15
July 15
Sept 15
Dec 15
Donald Trump
Jeb Bush
3%
11%
5%
19%
15%
17%
14%
17%
19%
17%
Chris Christie
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Rand Paul
Ben Carson
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore
George Pataki
Bobby Jindal
Scott Walker
Mark Everson
Rick Perry
Bob Ehrlich
Peter King
John Bolton
7%
1%
1%
2%
0%
6%
2%
--2%
0%
--2%
1%
10%
--1%
--0%
3%
4%
2%
4%
3%
3%
9%
1%
*
3%
*
0%
1%
*
10%
--5%
0%
0%
1%
6%
6%
2%
5%
*
6%
2%
*
3%
1%
0%
*
2%
11%
--3%
0%
-----
7%
11%
6%
5%
10%
4%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
0%
*
2%
0%
---------
14%
10%
9%
7%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
0%
0%
---------------
Mitt Romney
Someone Else
Dont Know
(N)
19%
1%
29%
(346)
--1%
27%
(290)
--0%
21%
(308)
--*
19%
(342)
--*
13%
(400)
Which Republican candidate do you think is least likely to act like a typical politician if elected President?
Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Carly Fiorina
Rand Paul
John Kasich
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Mike Huckabee
Lindsey Graham
Jim Gilmore
Marco Rubio
George Pataki
Rick Santorum
Bobby Jindal
Scott Walker
Peter King
Mark Everson
Rick Perry
Bob Ehrlich
Someone Else
Dont Know
(N)
June 15
Sept 15
Dec 15
46%
9%
4%
4%
*
5%
5%
1%
1%
*
0%
2%
*
*
*
2%
0%
--1%
0%
2%
17%
(401)
68%
11%
4%
2%
1%
2%
3%
1%
*
*
0%
*
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
----0%
7%
(344)
71%
11%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
0%
------------0%
6%
(401)
Which Republican candidate do you think can best handle illegal immigration?
June 15
Dec 15
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
13%
11%
45%
14%
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
13%
3%
11%
6%
Ted Cruz
Rand Paul
John Kasich
Ben Carson
Carly Fiorina
Rick Santorum
Mike Huckabee
George Pataki
Lindsey Graham
Jim Gilmore
Rick Perry
Scott Walker
Bobby Jindal
Bob Ehrlich
Peter King
Someone Else
Dont Know
(N)
6%
5%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
0%
16%
4%
0%
0%
0%
1%
22%
(402)
5%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
*
0%
0%
0%
----------0%
9%
(399)
Which Republican candidate do you think can best handle ISIS?
Donald Trump
Dec 15
33%
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
11%
9%
Ted Cruz
Lindsey Graham
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Carly Fiorina
Ben Carson
Mike Huckabee
George Pataki
Jim Gilmore
Rick Santorum
Someone Else
Dont Know
(N)
7%
7%
7%
4%
2%
2%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
15%
(398)
Which Republican candidate do you think can best manage government spending?
Dec 15
Donald Trump
Jeb Bush
42%
10%
John Kasich
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Rand Paul
Carly Fiorina
Marco Rubio
Ben Carson
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
George Pataki
Jim Gilmore
Rick Santorum
Someone Else
Dont Know
(N)
9%
7%
6%
6%
5%
4%
3%
*
0%
0%
0%
0%
*
0%
(399)
Which Republican candidate do you think can best handle taxation?
Donald Trump
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Chris Christie
Carly Fiorina
Marco Rubio
Rand Paul
Ben Carson
Mike Huckabee
Lindsey Graham
George Pataki
Jim Gilmore
Rick Santorum
Someone Else
Dont Know
(N)
Dec 15
36%
10%
8%
6%
6%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
14%
(401)
GOP Favorability Ratings

(Likely GOP Primary Voters)
"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some REPUBLICANS who are running or may run for President in 2016. As I read
each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or
her."
"Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Oct. 14
July 14
Apr. 14
Jan. 14
Oct. 13
July 13
Apr. 13
Feb. 13
Favorable
42%
47%
46%
50%
45%
47%
49%
45%
45%
46%
47%
53%
48%
53%
Neutral
12%
14%
12%
12%
17%
9%
3%
7%
9%
8%
8%
5%
10%
5%
Unfavorable
45%
36%
38%
33%
34%
33%
28%
31%
35%
25%
27%
27%
34%
31%
Dont Know
2%
3%
4%
5%
4%
11%
20%
18%
11%
21%
18%
15%
8%
11%
Net
-3%
+11%
+8%
+17%
+11%
+14%
+21%
+14%
+10%
+21%
+20%
+26%
+14%
+22%
(N)
(402)
(343)
(308)
(400)
(293)
(349)
(274)
(251)
(187)
(246)
(236)
(200)
(171)
(212)
Neutral
13%
10%
5%
7%
15%
8%
Unfavorable
35%
18%
14%
13%
12%
9%
Dont Know
5%
13%
41%
40%
40%
54%
Net
+12%
+42%
+26%
+27%
+22%
+21%
(N)
(402)
(344)
(309)
(400)
(292)
(348)
Neutral
9%
8%
10%
14%
15%
10%
4%
6%
10%
9%
6%
5%
8%
7%
Unfavorable
34%
37%
41%
44%
40%
36%
35%
36%
42%
33%
23%
24%
26%
21%
Dont Know
3%
5%
7%
12%
6%
13%
17%
13%
5%
15%
23%
12%
9%
12%
Net
+19%
+13%
0%
-13%
-1%
+5%
+9%
+10%
+1%
+10%
+26%
+25%
+30%
+39%
(N)
(401)
(342)
(309)
(400)
(292)
(349)
(274)
(251)
(187)
(246)
(236)
(200)
(171)
(212)
"Neurosurgeon Ben Carson?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Favorable
47%
60%
40%
40%
34%
30%
"New Jersey Governor Chris Christie?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Oct. 14
July 14
Apr. 14
Jan. 14
Oct. 13
July 13
Apr. 13
Feb. 13
Favorable
53%
50%
41%
31%
39%
41%
44%
46%
43%
43%
49%
59%
56%
60%
"Texas Senator Ted Cruz?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Oct. 14
July 14
Apr. 14
Jan. 14
Oct. 13
July 13
Apr. 13
Feb. 13
Favorable
46%
42%
46%
32%
44%
37%
33%
39%
42%
37%
32%
29%
21%
18%
Neutral
10%
10%
10%
11%
14%
8%
6%
4%
9%
8%
5%
6%
8%
6%
Unfavorable
36%
35%
22%
31%
29%
24%
22%
22%
18%
18%
19%
17%
12%
14%
Dont Know
8%
13%
21%
26%
13%
31%
39%
35%
31%
37%
43%
48%
59%
62%
Net
+10%
+7%
+24%
+1%
+15%
+13%
+11%
+17%
+24%
+19%
+13%
+12%
+9%
+4%
(N)
(402)
(344)
(309)
(400)
(293)
(349)
(275)
(250)
(187)
(246)
(236)
(200)
(171)
(212)
Neutral
12%
9%
7%
6%
12%
9%
Unfavorable
29%
15%
17%
15%
19%
13%
Dont Know
10%
14%
39%
41%
39%
62%
Net
+20%
+47%
+20%
+24%
+10%
+2%
(N)
(400)
(344)
(309)
(401)
(292)
(349)
Neutral
12%
12%
8%
6%
20%
Unfavorable
30%
30%
18%
15%
12%
Dont Know
55%
54%
69%
73%
65%
Net
-27%
-25%
-13%
-9%
-8%
(N)
(402)
(341)
(309)
(400)
(292)
Unfavorable
50%
53%
42%
40%
29%
Dont Know
16%
18%
28%
29%
27%
Net
-28%
-35%
-23%
-23%
-4%
(N)
(400)
(342)
(309)
(400)
(291)
Businesswoman Carly Fiorina?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Favorable
49%
62%
37%
39%
29%
15%
Former Virginia Governor Jim Gilmore?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Favorable
3%
5%
5%
6%
4%
South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Favorable
22%
18%
19%
17%
25%
Neutral
12%
11%
11%
13%
19%
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee?

Neutral
13%
15%
11%
13%
18%
11%
6%
7%
Unfavorable
52%
45%
39%
43%
32%
31%
28%
30%
Dont Know
4%
5%
10%
13%
5%
14%
17%
16%
Net
-21%
-10%
+1%
-12%
+13%
+14%
+20%
+16%
(N)
(402)
(344)
(309)
(400)
(292)
(349)
(275)
(251)
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Oct. 14
July 14
Favorable
36%
45%
34%
20%
20%
15%
17%
22%
Neutral
12%
8%
12%
13%
14%
12%
5%
5%
Unfavorable
35%
24%
17%
13%
17%
16%
12%
12%
Dont Know
17%
24%
37%
54%
49%
57%
66%
61%
Net
+1%
+21%
+17%
+7%
+3%
-1%
+5%
+10%
(N)
(400)
(342)
(309)
(400)
(292)
(349)
(274)
(250)
Oct. 13
July 13
12%
28%
5%
5%
16%
16%
74%
52%
+3%
+12%
(236)
(200)
Neutral
14%
13%
11%
14%
21%
15%
Unfavorable
55%
48%
43%
34%
32%
30%
Dont Know
21%
21%
28%
29%
25%
38%
Net
-45%
-29%
-25%
-11%
-10%
-13%
(N)
(400)
(344)
(309)
(400)
(291)
(349)
Neutral
13%
14%
13%
15%
11%
8%
6%
8%
8%
8%
4%
3%
7%
6%
Unfavorable
49%
48%
32%
32%
31%
27%
23%
23%
21%
14%
24%
20%
19%
26%
Dont Know
4%
7%
12%
10%
6%
12%
21%
16%
15%
28%
20%
20%
20%
23%
Net
-15%
-17%
+12%
+11%
+20%
+26%
+27%
+30%
+35%
+35%
+28%
+37%
+35%
+19%
(N)
(402)
(344)
(309)
(400)
(292)
(349)
(274)
(251)
(187)
(246)
(236)
(200)
(171)
(212)
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Oct. 14
July 14
Favorable
31%
35%
40%
31%
45%
45%
48%
46%
Ohio Governor John Kasich?
Former New York Governor George Pataki?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Favorable
10%
19%
18%
23%
22%
17%
"Kentucky Senator Rand Paul?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Oct. 14
July 14
Apr. 14
Jan. 14
Oct. 13
July 13
Apr. 13
Feb. 13
Favorable
34%
31%
44%
43%
51%
53%
50%
53%
56%
49%
52%
57%
54%
45%
"Florida Senator Marco Rubio?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Oct. 14
July 14
Apr. 14
Jan. 14
Oct. 13
July 13
Apr. 13
Feb. 13
Favorable
61%
58%
46%
49%
60%
41%
43%
46%
52%
42%
41%
47%
59%
56%
Neutral
9%
6%
11%
10%
11%
10%
6%
4%
9%
7%
7%
6%
8%
6%
Unfavorable
23%
22%
25%
21%
16%
17%
14%
19%
12%
11%
18%
14%
8%
6%
Dont Know
7%
14%
19%
19%
12%
33%
37%
31%
27%
40%
34%
33%
25%
31%
Net
+38%
+36%
+21%
+28%
+44%
+24%
+29%
+27%
+40%
+31%
+23%
+33%
+51%
+50%
(N)
(402)
(344)
(309)
(400)
(292)
(348)
(274)
(250)
(187)
(246)
(236)
(200)
(171)
(212)
"Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Oct. 14
July 14
Apr. 14
Favorable
20%
23%
29%
27%
35%
29%
31%
38%
36%
Neutral
14%
9%
12%
14%
15%
14%
10%
7%
9%
Unfavorable
50%
52%
39%
38%
37%
34%
31%
30%
31%
Dont Know
15%
16%
20%
21%
14%
23%
29%
25%
25%
Net
-30%
-29%
-10%
-11%
-2%
-5%
0%
+8%
+5%
(N)
(402)
(344)
(309)
(400)
(292)
(349)
(274)
(250)
(187)
Oct. 13
July 13
Apr. 13
Feb. 13
39%
44%
39%
40%
9%
6%
11%
8%
27%
37%
38%
42%
25%
13%
12%
10%
+12%
+7%
+1%
-2%
(236)
(200)
(171)
(212)
Businessman Donald Trump?
Dec 15
Sept 15
July 15
June 15
May 15
Feb. 15
Favorable
57%
55%
51%
38%
27%
19%
Neutral
6%
7%
7%
11%
13%
9%
Unfavorable
36%
38%
40%
48%
56%
69%
Dont Know
1%
0%
2%
4%
5%
3%
Net
+19%
+17%
+11%
-10%
-29%
-50%
(N)
(402)
(344)
(309)
(400)
(292)
(349)
Apr. 14
Jan. 14
23%
29%
6%
8%
66%
59%
5%
5%
-43%
-30%
(187)
(246)
Favorability Rating Jeb Bush

(Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable
42%
Neutral
12%
Unfavorable
45%
Dont Know
2%
(N)
402
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican
35%
48%
12%
11%
52%
38%
1%
3%
199
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
35%
35%
43%
21%
6%
11%
41%
59%
43%
2%
0%
2%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
32%
48%
38%
10%
14%
9%
58%
37%
50%
0%
1%
3%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
28%
47%
52%
12%
10%
15%
58%
42%
33%
2%
2%
0%
132
178
74
Voted in 2008,2012 NH Primaries

Voted in 2008 or 2012 NH Primary
Did Not Vote in Either NH Primary
43%
40%
38%
11%
8%
18%
45%
47%
41%
1%
5%
3%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
35%
42%
8%
12%
54%
44%
3%
2%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Read Local Newspapers
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
Listen to Conserv. Talk Radio
47%
46%
42%
48%
42%
30%
10%
20%
11%
9%
14%
7%
41%
29%
46%
42%
40%
62%
2%
5%
2%
1%
4%
1%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
34%
36%
47%
48%
18%
10%
10%
10%
42%
52%
42%
40%
6%
1%
1%
1%
67
110
137
74
Male
Female
37%
48%
9%
15%
52%
35%
2%
2%
232
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
35%
44%
39%
51%
7%
14%
12%
13%
55%
41%
47%
36%
3%
1%
3%
0%
72
102
160
68
Attend services 1 or more/week

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
32%
52%
46%
41%
19%
9%
12%
6%
45%
38%
40%
52%
3%
1%
2%
1%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
45%
40%
22%
39%
55%
47%
26%
6%
12%
11%
8%
15%
28%
52%
60%
49%
37%
36%
1%
2%
6%
2%
0%
2%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
49%
34%
11%
12%
39%
51%
1%
3%
207
195
LIKELY NH GOP PRIMARY VOTERS
Favorability Rating Ben Carson

Favorable
47%
Neutral
13%
Unfavorable
35%
Dont Know
5%
(N)
402
43%
51%
13%
14%
39%
31%
5%
4%
199
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
18%
42%
50%
20%
13%
13%
62%
38%
32%
0%
7%
5%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
16%
35%
59%
13%
17%
10%
53%
44%
27%
18%
4%
3%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
67%
47%
21%
8%
16%
16%
22%
34%
57%
3%
4%
6%
132
178
74

52%
32%
39%
11%
22%
18%
34%
35%
36%
3%
10%
7%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
46%
48%
24%
12%
30%
35%
0%
5%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
48%
43%
42%
46%
36%
64%
14%
5%
14%
13%
20%
13%
36%
48%
38%
37%
40%
23%
1%
5%
5%
4%
4%
0%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
44%
40%
54%
46%
8%
21%
11%
11%
30%
36%
33%
42%
19%
2%
2%
1%
67
110
137
74
Male
Female
50%
44%
12%
15%
34%
36%
4%
6%
232
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
49%
47%
48%
46%
7%
14%
16%
12%
30%
36%
33%
43%
14%
3%
3%
0%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
59%
46%
50%
37%
13%
11%
13%
15%
26%
37%
31%
44%
2%
6%
6%
4%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
50%
51%
55%
47%
43%
42%
21%
12%
6%
12%
17%
13%
26%
29%
32%
37%
37%
42%
3%
7%
7%
4%
3%
2%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
46%
49%
15%
11%
35%
35%
4%
5%
207
195
Favorability Rating Chris Christie

Favorable
53%
Neutral
9%
Unfavorable
34%
48%
59%
11%
8%
38%
30%
3%
3%
199
200
Democrat
Independent
Republican
31%
39%
57%
20%
6%
9%
49%
53%
30%
0%
2%
4%
24
50
324
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
34%
55%
54%
5%
12%
8%
62%
33%
33%
0%
1%
5%
16
151
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
49%
58%
50%
8%
9%
13%
40%
30%
37%
4%
3%
1%
131
178
74

58%
45%
35%
7%
13%
17%
32%
40%
41%
3%
3%
7%
294
61
46
Union household
Non-union
32%
56%
18%
8%
50%
33%
0%
3%
43
354
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
60%
55%
57%
62%
53%
53%
9%
10%
9%
8%
8%
11%
29%
35%
30%
28%
35%
35%
2%
0%
3%
2%
4%
1%
118
35
135
249
106
88
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
34%
49%
57%
69%
13%
11%
8%
6%
45%
38%
34%
22%
8%
2%
1%
3%
67
110
137
73
Male
Female
53%
54%
8%
11%
36%
32%
3%
3%
232
169
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
51%
54%
52%
57%
7%
13%
10%
5%
36%
30%
34%
38%
6%
3%
3%
0%
71
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
52%
50%
58%
51%
10%
10%
9%
9%
34%
37%
29%
38%
4%
3%
4%
2%
100
48
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
50%
53%
57%
52%
47%
61%
27%
6%
5%
9%
9%
6%
21%
38%
32%
35%
43%
30%
3%
3%
6%
3%
2%
3%
38
80
43
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
56%
51%
10%
9%
32%
36%
2%
4%
207
194
Dont Know
3%
(N)
401
Favorability Rating Ted Cruz

Favorable
46%
Neutral
10%
Unfavorable
36%
Dont Know
8%
(N)
402
41%
51%
10%
9%
41%
31%
7%
9%
199
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
13%
40%
50%
12%
13%
9%
65%
46%
32%
10%
1%
9%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
7%
31%
60%
24%
12%
5%
57%
48%
27%
12%
8%
8%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
68%
40%
20%
4%
15%
8%
22%
35%
68%
5%
10%
4%
132
178
74

51%
29%
36%
8%
13%
17%
35%
43%
34%
6%
15%
12%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
43%
46%
22%
9%
29%
37%
6%
8%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
52%
39%
40%
44%
42%
79%
8%
13%
5%
9%
7%
6%
37%
45%
46%
39%
43%
13%
2%
4%
10%
8%
9%
1%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
26%
50%
51%
46%
15%
8%
10%
8%
49%
33%
33%
37%
10%
8%
7%
9%
67
110
137
74
Male
Female
51%
40%
7%
14%
35%
37%
7%
9%
232
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
48%
45%
46%
47%
12%
9%
7%
14%
23%
36%
41%
38%
17%
10%
6%
1%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
61%
47%
42%
37%
14%
10%
7%
10%
20%
40%
36%
47%
5%
4%
14%
6%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
40%
47%
36%
51%
49%
45%
18%
7%
12%
8%
12%
10%
32%
36%
41%
34%
32%
41%
10%
11%
11%
7%
7%
4%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
45%
47%
12%
8%
38%
34%
6%
11%
207
195
Favorability Rating Carly Fiorina

Favorable
49%
Neutral
12%
Unfavorable
29%
Dont Know
10%
(N)
400
49%
50%
12%
12%
31%
27%
9%
11%
199
199
Democrat
Independent
Republican
33%
39%
52%
14%
23%
10%
45%
27%
27%
8%
11%
10%
24
50
323
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
25%
44%
56%
10%
13%
11%
42%
32%
24%
23%
11%
8%
16
152
216
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
62%
46%
34%
12%
12%
17%
20%
30%
44%
6%
12%
6%
130
178
74

53%
39%
41%
12%
11%
15%
28%
28%
33%
7%
22%
11%
293
61
46
Union household
Non-union
48%
50%
19%
11%
32%
28%
2%
10%
43
353
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
52%
57%
46%
50%
49%
64%
10%
7%
14%
11%
12%
11%
29%
31%
32%
29%
29%
21%
9%
5%
8%
10%
10%
4%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
35%
41%
56%
57%
16%
10%
14%
8%
27%
40%
23%
27%
22%
8%
7%
8%
67
109
137
74
Male
Female
48%
51%
12%
12%
30%
26%
10%
11%
232
168
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
51%
44%
47%
63%
6%
14%
14%
12%
28%
27%
32%
23%
15%
15%
8%
2%
72
102
160
66

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
59%
51%
51%
38%
15%
10%
10%
14%
18%
31%
25%
39%
7%
8%
14%
10%
98
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
44%
47%
52%
46%
47%
61%
14%
11%
12%
11%
20%
8%
33%
30%
26%
33%
26%
22%
9%
11%
10%
11%
7%
9%
38
80
44
107
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
49%
50%
13%
11%
28%
29%
10%
10%
207
193
Favorability Rating Jim Gilmore

Favorable
3%
Neutral
12%
Unfavorable
30%
2%
4%
13%
11%
30%
31%
55%
54%
199
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
0%
5%
3%
15%
10%
12%
8%
33%
32%
78%
53%
53%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
0%
2%
4%
10%
13%
10%
17%
27%
35%
73%
58%
50%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
6%
1%
2%
11%
10%
22%
34%
31%
20%
49%
58%
55%
132
178
74

2%
5%
5%
11%
10%
19%
31%
29%
26%
55%
56%
50%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
4%
3%
20%
11%
32%
31%
44%
56%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
5%
0%
5%
2%
3%
5%
13%
21%
12%
10%
14%
7%
27%
31%
33%
36%
27%
38%
55%
48%
50%
51%
55%
50%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
7%
4%
3%
0%
20%
14%
10%
6%
17%
25%
33%
43%
57%
57%
54%
50%
67
110
137
74
Male
Female
4%
2%
13%
11%
35%
25%
49%
62%
232
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
5%
4%
2%
2%
12%
12%
11%
14%
27%
24%
32%
39%
56%
60%
55%
45%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
0%
6%
2%
5%
16%
6%
11%
12%
30%
49%
24%
29%
54%
38%
63%
53%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
3%
2%
0%
6%
0%
3%
24%
10%
15%
8%
12%
12%
26%
32%
49%
28%
25%
27%
47%
55%
37%
57%
63%
58%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
3%
3%
12%
12%
26%
35%
59%
50%
207
195
Dont Know
55%
(N)
402
Favorability Rating Lindsey Graham

Favorable
22%
Neutral
12%
Unfavorable
50%
Dont Know
16%
(N)
400
22%
22%
9%
13%
53%
48%
16%
17%
199
199
Democrat
Independent
Republican
14%
14%
24%
26%
15%
10%
48%
50%
50%
13%
21%
16%
24
50
323
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
13%
25%
20%
15%
13%
9%
42%
47%
54%
29%
14%
16%
16
152
216
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
20%
25%
21%
7%
14%
17%
60%
44%
51%
14%
17%
11%
130
178
74

23%
19%
22%
10%
13%
18%
53%
41%
44%
14%
27%
16%
293
61
46
Union household
Non-union
14%
23%
23%
10%
43%
51%
20%
15%
43
353
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
28%
29%
24%
22%
25%
24%
9%
8%
12%
10%
12%
8%
46%
46%
50%
53%
48%
59%
17%
17%
14%
15%
15%
10%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
25%
15%
24%
26%
11%
12%
11%
14%
33%
56%
53%
48%
32%
16%
12%
12%
67
109
137
74
Male
Female
20%
24%
11%
13%
56%
42%
13%
21%
232
168
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
24%
21%
21%
24%
4%
14%
11%
18%
47%
46%
54%
50%
25%
19%
14%
8%
72
102
160
66

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
14%
32%
25%
22%
15%
3%
9%
15%
53%
55%
43%
52%
19%
10%
23%
11%
98
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
25%
16%
29%
25%
17%
22%
13%
11%
12%
10%
14%
12%
51%
54%
48%
47%
52%
50%
11%
19%
11%
18%
17%
17%
38
80
44
107
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
22%
22%
8%
15%
53%
47%
17%
16%
207
193
Favorability Rating Mike Huckabee

Favorable
31%
Neutral
13%
Unfavorable
52%
Dont Know
4%
(N)
402
24%
37%
12%
15%
59%
45%
5%
3%
199
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
14%
23%
33%
19%
17%
12%
62%
54%
51%
5%
6%
4%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
0%
23%
39%
34%
15%
11%
66%
58%
47%
0%
4%
3%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
43%
31%
10%
11%
14%
15%
43%
51%
73%
3%
4%
2%
132
178
74

33%
29%
17%
14%
8%
18%
50%
54%
60%
2%
9%
6%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
20%
32%
19%
13%
57%
51%
5%
4%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
33%
29%
28%
35%
23%
40%
11%
17%
14%
11%
14%
10%
55%
54%
54%
51%
59%
50%
1%
0%
4%
4%
3%
1%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
18%
26%
35%
37%
14%
13%
14%
11%
57%
60%
48%
47%
11%
1%
3%
5%
67
110
137
74
Male
Female
29%
32%
11%
16%
54%
49%
5%
2%
232
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
34%
38%
24%
32%
12%
12%
13%
18%
46%
46%
59%
49%
7%
4%
3%
1%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
41%
46%
28%
19%
19%
3%
16%
11%
40%
46%
48%
68%
1%
5%
7%
3%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
42%
21%
39%
32%
36%
24%
21%
15%
11%
8%
16%
16%
36%
59%
48%
54%
44%
58%
0%
5%
3%
6%
4%
2%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
32%
30%
14%
13%
51%
53%
3%
5%
207
195
Favorability Rating John Kasich

Favorable
36%
Neutral
12%
Unfavorable
35%
Dont Know
17%
(N)
400
33%
40%
9%
15%
41%
29%
18%
16%
199
199
Democrat
Independent
Republican
54%
26%
36%
11%
17%
12%
25%
42%
35%
10%
16%
17%
24
50
323
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
29%
42%
34%
25%
12%
11%
26%
28%
40%
19%
19%
15%
16
152
216
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
27%
38%
52%
12%
11%
15%
47%
31%
23%
13%
20%
9%
130
178
74

40%
29%
21%
10%
15%
22%
36%
27%
38%
14%
29%
19%
293
61
46
Union household
Non-union
31%
37%
17%
12%
38%
35%
14%
16%
43
353
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
48%
56%
44%
42%
44%
25%
12%
10%
9%
10%
12%
5%
27%
26%
34%
34%
31%
57%
13%
8%
13%
15%
14%
12%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
24%
33%
39%
47%
23%
9%
14%
5%
24%
39%
35%
35%
29%
19%
12%
13%
67
109
137
74
Male
Female
36%
37%
11%
14%
39%
29%
14%
20%
232
168
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
24%
38%
37%
45%
14%
14%
10%
15%
35%
27%
40%
33%
26%
21%
14%
7%
72
102
160
66

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
26%
21%
46%
41%
19%
13%
7%
13%
40%
48%
26%
33%
15%
18%
22%
14%
98
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
31%
38%
28%
36%
38%
41%
20%
8%
19%
8%
10%
17%
38%
33%
41%
37%
30%
30%
12%
20%
12%
18%
21%
12%
38
80
44
107
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
37%
36%
13%
12%
33%
37%
18%
16%
207
193
Favorability Rating George Pataki

Favorable
10%
Neutral
14%
Unfavorable
55%
Dont Know
21%
(N)
400
7%
12%
12%
15%
58%
52%
22%
21%
199
199
Democrat
Independent
Republican
15%
11%
9%
28%
10%
13%
39%
55%
56%
17%
24%
21%
24
50
323
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
21%
8%
10%
6%
18%
11%
54%
55%
56%
19%
19%
23%
16
152
216
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
6%
13%
7%
9%
15%
22%
69%
49%
48%
15%
22%
22%
130
178
74

10%
14%
3%
12%
18%
19%
57%
41%
61%
21%
28%
17%
293
61
46
Union household
Non-union
13%
9%
14%
14%
56%
55%
18%
22%
43
353
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
9%
14%
10%
12%
12%
8%
14%
16%
16%
11%
12%
8%
59%
47%
54%
56%
57%
71%
19%
23%
20%
21%
19%
13%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
5%
12%
11%
10%
24%
10%
14%
12%
40%
58%
52%
63%
31%
20%
22%
16%
67
109
137
74
Male
Female
10%
10%
13%
16%
58%
50%
19%
24%
232
168
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
6%
12%
10%
8%
9%
17%
14%
15%
58%
44%
55%
67%
26%
27%
21%
10%
72
102
160
66

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
7%
6%
13%
11%
14%
10%
17%
12%
58%
66%
47%
56%
21%
18%
23%
22%
98
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
11%
10%
7%
10%
8%
12%
30%
10%
13%
10%
13%
17%
47%
59%
59%
53%
55%
54%
12%
21%
21%
27%
25%
17%
38
80
44
107
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
10%
9%
16%
12%
54%
56%
20%
23%
207
193
Favorability Rating Rand Paul

Favorable
34%
Neutral
13%
Unfavorable
49%
Dont Know
4%
(N)
402
29%
39%
16%
9%
51%
48%
4%
4%
199
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
37%
39%
34%
17%
25%
10%
28%
33%
53%
18%
3%
3%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
17%
26%
41%
36%
14%
8%
36%
55%
47%
11%
4%
3%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
44%
35%
20%
7%
16%
18%
46%
46%
59%
2%
4%
4%
132
178
74

33%
38%
35%
11%
13%
21%
51%
45%
44%
4%
5%
0%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
42%
33%
20%
12%
37%
51%
2%
4%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
33%
28%
34%
34%
39%
35%
11%
7%
13%
12%
5%
8%
52%
64%
51%
51%
53%
56%
4%
2%
3%
3%
3%
1%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
44%
36%
36%
21%
17%
12%
12%
13%
32%
50%
49%
60%
7%
2%
2%
7%
67
110
137
74
Male
Female
36%
32%
9%
18%
52%
46%
3%
5%
232
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
32%
42%
33%
29%
11%
16%
11%
14%
48%
40%
53%
56%
9%
3%
4%
1%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
37%
44%
27%
34%
12%
8%
12%
16%
51%
45%
52%
48%
0%
3%
9%
2%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
15%
32%
31%
36%
38%
44%
21%
14%
6%
8%
25%
8%
60%
46%
57%
55%
34%
46%
4%
8%
6%
2%
3%
3%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
33%
35%
17%
9%
48%
51%
3%
5%
207
195
Favorability Rating Marco Rubio

Favorable
61%
Neutral
9%
Unfavorable
23%
57%
64%
9%
8%
26%
21%
8%
7%
199
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
63%
56%
62%
11%
6%
9%
18%
27%
23%
8%
11%
7%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
62%
62%
62%
21%
9%
5%
6%
23%
25%
11%
7%
7%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
62%
60%
58%
6%
8%
12%
26%
23%
23%
6%
8%
7%
132
178
74

64%
53%
50%
8%
15%
6%
23%
19%
32%
5%
14%
12%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
66%
60%
11%
8%
20%
24%
3%
7%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
64%
61%
59%
63%
55%
64%
9%
11%
7%
8%
13%
8%
22%
24%
25%
21%
24%
26%
5%
4%
9%
7%
7%
2%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
52%
54%
67%
61%
10%
8%
7%
13%
19%
32%
24%
18%
18%
7%
3%
7%
67
110
137
74
Male
Female
61%
61%
6%
12%
27%
18%
6%
9%
232
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
41%
61%
62%
80%
10%
12%
8%
3%
34%
20%
24%
16%
16%
7%
6%
1%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
68%
63%
62%
54%
9%
9%
9%
7%
17%
26%
18%
32%
5%
3%
12%
7%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
58%
47%
65%
62%
70%
66%
16%
7%
9%
10%
6%
7%
22%
35%
19%
21%
14%
25%
4%
11%
7%
8%
10%
2%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
62%
60%
10%
7%
22%
25%
6%
8%
207
195
Dont Know
7%
(N)
402
Favorability Rating Rick Santorum

Favorable
20%
Neutral
14%
Unfavorable
50%
Dont Know
15%
(N)
402
16%
25%
15%
12%
53%
48%
16%
15%
199
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
21%
15%
21%
19%
21%
12%
41%
52%
51%
20%
11%
16%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
4%
15%
27%
22%
13%
13%
34%
58%
47%
40%
14%
13%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
24%
22%
12%
13%
15%
15%
53%
46%
62%
10%
18%
10%
132
178
74

24%
9%
15%
12%
13%
25%
50%
53%
47%
14%
25%
12%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
26%
19%
23%
12%
47%
51%
4%
17%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
26%
12%
20%
21%
22%
29%
10%
14%
10%
11%
12%
10%
48%
57%
56%
50%
50%
50%
16%
16%
14%
18%
16%
11%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
11%
19%
26%
20%
21%
15%
11%
12%
47%
51%
49%
52%
20%
15%
13%
17%
67
110
137
74
Male
Female
22%
18%
14%
13%
52%
48%
12%
20%
232
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
26%
18%
17%
25%
15%
10%
17%
12%
44%
51%
51%
56%
15%
22%
16%
7%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
33%
14%
22%
11%
17%
13%
13%
13%
40%
58%
45%
62%
10%
15%
21%
14%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
16%
23%
32%
19%
18%
17%
27%
10%
6%
11%
21%
13%
43%
55%
47%
49%
43%
59%
13%
12%
15%
22%
17%
10%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
17%
24%
16%
11%
50%
50%
16%
15%
207
195
Favorability Rating Donald Trump

Favorable
57%
Neutral
6%
Dont Know
1%
(N)
402
57%
56%
6%
6%
35%
36%
1%
2%
199
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
34%
51%
60%
0%
13%
6%
66%
36%
33%
0%
0%
2%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
55%
47%
63%
0%
9%
5%
45%
43%
30%
0%
0%
2%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
75%
54%
29%
7%
5%
10%
16%
40%
61%
2%
2%
0%
132
178
74

57%
58%
52%
6%
6%
7%
35%
34%
42%
1%
2%
0%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
56%
56%
0%
7%
44%
35%
0%
2%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
56%
46%
58%
59%
51%
77%
5%
6%
6%
5%
4%
3%
39%
49%
35%
35%
44%
21%
0%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
119
35
136
249
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
60%
59%
57%
49%
7%
8%
7%
4%
33%
33%
34%
45%
0%
1%
2%
2%
67
110
137
74
Male
Female
62%
49%
6%
6%
31%
43%
1%
2%
232
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
63%
55%
58%
48%
11%
6%
6%
3%
21%
39%
35%
49%
5%
1%
1%
0%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
57%
60%
59%
51%
6%
6%
5%
8%
36%
31%
34%
41%
2%
3%
2%
0%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
46%
66%
52%
63%
52%
49%
1%
3%
8%
10%
6%
5%
50%
28%
37%
27%
41%
44%
3%
2%
3%
0%
0%
2%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
56%
57%
6%
7%
38%
34%
1%
2%
207
195
Unfavorable
36%
Decided 2016 GOP Primary Vote

Def.
Decided
18%
Leaning
Towards Someone
26%
Still Trying
To Decide
56%
(N)
403
17%
20%
23%
28%
60%
52%
200
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
9%
17%
19%
21%
33%
25%
69%
50%
56%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
25%
13%
21%
21%
24%
27%
54%
63%
52%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
29%
11%
17%
24%
26%
22%
47%
63%
61%
132
178
74

17%
20%
25%
28%
22%
17%
55%
58%
58%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
14%
19%
22%
26%
63%
55%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
23%
26%
22%
18%
17%
29%
20%
25%
25%
23%
47%
55%
53%
57%
59%
119
35
137
250
106
24%
28%
48%
90
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
24%
18%
17%
18%
28%
19%
27%
24%
48%
64%
56%
58%
67
110
137
75
Male
Female
22%
13%
26%
25%
52%
62%
232
171
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
22%
17%
21%
10%
19%
23%
26%
34%
59%
59%
53%
55%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
15%
29%
15%
19%
33%
24%
27%
19%
52%
47%
58%
62%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
21%
18%
15%
18%
16%
23%
23%
32%
25%
31%
13%
23%
56%
51%
60%
51%
71%
54%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
23%
14%
19%
33%
58%
53%
207
195
GOP 2016 Primary Support

Donald
Trump
32%
Marco
Rubio
14%
Chris
Christie
9%
Jeb
Bush
8%
John
Kasich
7%
Ted
Cruz
6%
Someone
Else
15%
Undecided
9%
(N=)
399
34%
29%
16%
13%
7%
11%
7%
9%
7%
8%
5%
6%
13%
17%
11%
8%
198
199
Democrat
Independent
Republican
24%
28%
33%
10%
18%
14%
9%
5%
10%
28%
6%
7%
18%
4%
6%
2%
7%
6%
4%
21%
15%
5%
11%
10%
24
50
322
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
43%
27%
34%
0%
15%
15%
11%
11%
7%
19%
12%
4%
4%
12%
4%
4%
2%
9%
9%
11%
18%
10%
10%
9%
16
152
217
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
37%
32%
20%
13%
15%
17%
5%
9%
15%
3%
8%
15%
2%
8%
15%
12%
4%
0%
22%
14%
5%
6%
10%
13%
132
175
73

31%
36%
32%
15%
6%
21%
10%
10%
2%
7%
13%
10%
9%
2%
5%
7%
4%
1%
14%
21%
13%
8%
9%
17%
293
61
44
Union household
Non-union
35%
31%
6%
15%
7%
9%
2%
9%
10%
7%
8%
5%
17%
15%
14%
9%
43
351
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
39%
30%
36%
35%
32%
44%
18%
18%
13%
15%
13%
12%
14%
14%
10%
11%
11%
8%
3%
2%
8%
9%
6%
2%
7%
15%
11%
7%
12%
0%
3%
3%
2%
5%
3%
15%
11%
15%
15%
12%
12%
10%
5%
3%
6%
7%
11%
9%
118
35
136
246
105
90
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
37%
31%
34%
26%
4%
13%
17%
14%
6%
5%
12%
13%
11%
8%
5%
12%
5%
6%
8%
11%
2%
7%
7%
4%
26%
19%
11%
7%
10%
11%
6%
14%
67
109
137
73
Male
Female
35%
27%
14%
15%
6%
12%
7%
9%
8%
6%
7%
4%
16%
14%
7%
12%
229
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
43%
34%
30%
21%
5%
13%
17%
20%
6%
11%
6%
16%
7%
13%
5%
7%
4%
3%
10%
10%
6%
2%
8%
5%
23%
14%
13%
12%
7%
10%
11%
9%
71
101
158
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
22%
41%
33%
34%
18%
10%
14%
13%
11%
9%
11%
6%
4%
5%
11%
10%
5%
5%
10%
6%
9%
2%
5%
6%
20%
21%
7%
16%
12%
6%
8%
10%
100
49
122
122
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
34%
39%
32%
32%
21%
31%
14%
9%
12%
17%
16%
16%
1%
9%
5%
3%
10%
23%
13%
8%
7%
5%
10%
8%
3%
13%
4%
6%
7%
6%
0%
6%
4%
11%
3%
4%
30%
11%
27%
12%
17%
7%
5%
6%
10%
13%
15%
5%
38
80
44
108
60
69
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
31%
33%
13%
15%
12%
6%
10%
6%
7%
7%
4%
7%
14%
16%
9%
10%
205
193
GOP 2016 Primary Second Choice

Marco
Rubio
20%
Chris
Christie
12%
Ted
Cruz
11%
Donald
Trump
11%
Ben
Carson
8%
Someone
Else
26%
No Second
Choice
5%
Dont
Know
8%
(N=)
360
16%
23%
13%
11%
9%
13%
12%
10%
9%
7%
25%
27%
7%
3%
10%
6%
177
181
Democrat
Independent
Republican
21%
9%
21%
10%
11%
12%
3%
4%
13%
5%
16%
11%
2%
12%
7%
35%
29%
24%
20%
5%
4%
4%
13%
7%
23
45
290
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
33%
19%
20%
20%
12%
11%
0%
5%
17%
9%
6%
15%
0%
6%
10%
31%
33%
21%
7%
4%
4%
0%
15%
3%
15
137
195
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
18%
18%
22%
7%
14%
13%
18%
10%
1%
20%
6%
7%
11%
8%
2%
16%
31%
34%
5%
4%
7%
5%
8%
14%
122
157
64

19%
27%
14%
14%
8%
5%
11%
12%
12%
10%
10%
15%
8%
4%
8%
26%
23%
24%
4%
6%
13%
8%
9%
8%
267
56
37
Union household
Non-union
22%
20%
0%
13%
15%
11%
7%
12%
7%
8%
31%
25%
9%
4%
10%
8%
37
319
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
22%
18%
20%
21%
22%
22%
12%
16%
15%
14%
13%
10%
12%
5%
7%
9%
9%
20%
8%
5%
10%
11%
10%
15%
8%
12%
11%
10%
5%
10%
22%
33%
27%
24%
29%
11%
6%
6%
5%
5%
4%
5%
10%
5%
5%
7%
9%
8%
112
34
128
229
94
82
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
23%
16%
20%
21%
10%
11%
10%
19%
7%
11%
12%
13%
19%
13%
8%
5%
10%
7%
7%
9%
20%
27%
29%
24%
8%
4%
5%
4%
3%
12%
7%
7%
60
95
129
63
Male
Female
16%
25%
12%
11%
14%
8%
11%
11%
9%
5%
26%
25%
6%
4%
6%
11%
212
147
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
14%
27%
16%
25%
16%
10%
13%
7%
12%
15%
11%
4%
18%
7%
10%
11%
6%
7%
9%
8%
15%
20%
31%
33%
9%
7%
3%
2%
10%
6%
8%
9%
67
91
141
61

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
21%
16%
23%
17%
9%
16%
11%
12%
13%
18%
7%
11%
18%
11%
8%
10%
7%
3%
9%
9%
26%
24%
26%
27%
2%
9%
5%
6%
4%
3%
12%
9%
87
46
112
110
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
17%
17%
25%
20%
26%
17%
18%
14%
11%
13%
6%
11%
11%
7%
6%
15%
8%
16%
5%
15%
16%
9%
9%
11%
9%
6%
9%
9%
7%
7%
22%
32%
27%
20%
28%
25%
12%
4%
3%
6%
2%
4%
7%
6%
3%
8%
15%
8%
36
75
39
93
51
65
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
20%
19%
13%
10%
11%
11%
8%
14%
9%
6%
24%
27%
4%
6%
9%
7%
188
172
GOP 2016 Primary Would NOT Support

Donald
Trump
LIKELY NH GOP PRIMARY VOTERS 26%
Jeb
Bush
11%
Rand
Paul
7%
Chris
Christie
6%
Ben
Carson
5%
Someone
Else
24%
All
Acceptable
11%
Dont
Know
9%
(N=)
399
26%
26%
15%
8%
4%
10%
6%
6%
5%
5%
27%
22%
9%
14%
9%
9%
198
199
Democrat
Independent
Republican
52%
24%
24%
8%
14%
11%
0%
2%
8%
19%
9%
5%
0%
5%
5%
11%
22%
26%
10%
17%
11%
0%
6%
11%
24
49
323
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
33%
32%
20%
9%
9%
14%
13%
6%
8%
22%
4%
6%
0%
5%
5%
15%
22%
26%
0%
10%
14%
8%
12%
7%
16
150
217
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
10%
28%
48%
21%
8%
5%
8%
6%
3%
6%
8%
4%
3%
5%
5%
32%
21%
22%
15%
11%
6%
6%
13%
6%
129
178
74

26%
20%
29%
13%
7%
10%
7%
8%
3%
6%
5%
6%
5%
0%
12%
23%
30%
24%
11%
14%
11%
9%
15%
5%
293
60
46
Union household
Non-union
25%
26%
12%
12%
4%
7%
12%
5%
0%
5%
28%
24%
5%
12%
13%
9%
43
352
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
23%
40%
28%
23%
32%
10%
11%
8%
14%
11%
8%
25%
8%
8%
5%
9%
3%
6%
4%
4%
6%
5%
5%
4%
2%
0%
4%
4%
2%
2%
30%
23%
27%
27%
27%
26%
14%
12%
11%
12%
15%
20%
6%
5%
4%
9%
9%
9%
119
35
135
246
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
23%
19%
26%
37%
7%
14%
13%
9%
7%
7%
5%
7%
16%
6%
5%
1%
8%
6%
4%
3%
27%
22%
30%
19%
7%
13%
9%
18%
6%
13%
10%
6%
66
110
137
74
Male
Female
20%
34%
13%
9%
6%
9%
6%
5%
5%
4%
26%
22%
13%
10%
10%
8%
230
169
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
19%
28%
21%
40%
13%
13%
12%
7%
8%
5%
8%
8%
10%
4%
5%
8%
5%
4%
4%
6%
22%
26%
26%
20%
11%
10%
15%
6%
14%
11%
8%
5%
72
102
158
67

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
21%
19%
29%
30%
10%
11%
14%
10%
12%
14%
4%
4%
7%
7%
4%
7%
3%
5%
6%
4%
23%
30%
23%
25%
16%
9%
11%
9%
8%
5%
10%
11%
99
48
125
122
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
32%
24%
30%
23%
27%
24%
10%
17%
9%
12%
8%
9%
14%
5%
7%
7%
3%
8%
4%
7%
3%
6%
10%
6%
0%
5%
3%
6%
6%
4%
13%
21%
36%
25%
23%
27%
16%
9%
8%
11%
13%
13%
10%
11%
4%
10%
10%
8%
38
79
44
108
59
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
25%
26%
11%
12%
6%
8%
7%
5%
4%
5%
26%
22%
11%
11%
8%
10%
205
194
GOP 2016 Primary Who Will Win

Donald
Trump
59%
Chris
Christie
6%
Marco
Rubio
6%
Jeb
Bush
4%
Ted
Cruz
2%
Ben
Carson
1%
Someone
Else
3%
Dont
Know
20%
(N=)
403
56%
62%
7%
5%
8%
4%
3%
4%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
4%
21%
19%
200
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
47%
54%
61%
9%
11%
5%
0%
4%
6%
8%
1%
4%
0%
3%
2%
0%
1%
1%
5%
5%
2%
31%
20%
19%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
43%
55%
63%
28%
9%
2%
0%
5%
7%
20%
3%
3%
0%
1%
3%
0%
1%
2%
7%
2%
3%
2%
25%
17%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
68%
59%
42%
2%
5%
13%
6%
4%
11%
1%
5%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
2%
3%
16%
21%
26%
132
178
74

57%
67%
60%
7%
0%
4%
5%
3%
11%
3%
4%
5%
2%
3%
0%
1%
0%
1%
3%
3%
3%
21%
21%
15%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
55%
59%
7%
6%
2%
6%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
5%
2%
21%
20%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
59%
67%
59%
59%
56%
66%
7%
0%
3%
7%
5%
3%
3%
5%
6%
5%
8%
7%
4%
0%
3%
3%
1%
1%
3%
0%
1%
3%
3%
5%
1%
0%
1%
2%
1%
1%
5%
9%
5%
3%
3%
3%
19%
20%
22%
19%
23%
15%
119
35
137
250
106
90
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
68%
60%
61%
46%
2%
7%
4%
9%
6%
5%
7%
4%
5%
3%
2%
6%
0%
3%
1%
5%
0%
2%
1%
2%
4%
3%
3%
0%
14%
16%
22%
27%
67
110
137
75
Male
Female
64%
52%
5%
7%
8%
3%
2%
6%
2%
2%
1%
2%
3%
2%
16%
27%
232
171
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
62%
51%
64%
53%
2%
7%
5%
11%
2%
8%
6%
5%
2%
4%
4%
5%
1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
4%
3%
2%
3%
26%
25%
15%
20%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
59%
58%
58%
59%
7%
6%
6%
5%
7%
3%
7%
5%
2%
4%
6%
2%
3%
7%
0%
1%
3%
1%
0%
2%
2%
5%
4%
1%
18%
17%
19%
26%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
46%
58%
65%
62%
59%
58%
11%
6%
4%
2%
5%
10%
2%
7%
3%
5%
6%
9%
1%
5%
4%
4%
5%
1%
4%
3%
1%
1%
0%
3%
3%
2%
0%
1%
1%
0%
7%
1%
2%
2%
0%
5%
25%
19%
20%
23%
24%
13%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
57%
60%
7%
4%
5%
6%
3%
4%
2%
2%
1%
2%
4%
1%
21%
20%
207
195
Who is the Least Likely To Act Like A Typical Politician?

Donald
Trump
71%
Ben
Carson
11%
Carly
Fiorina
3%
Rand
Paul
2%
John
Kasich
1%
Jeb
Bush
1%
Someone
Else
5%
Dont
Know
5%
(N=)
401
72%
71%
12%
11%
3%
2%
0%
4%
2%
0%
1%
1%
3%
6%
6%
5%
199
200
Democrat
Independent
Republican
68%
77%
71%
11%
6%
12%
11%
4%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
3%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
6%
5%
11%
0%
6%
23
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
79%
74%
68%
12%
11%
12%
4%
3%
3%
2%
0%
3%
0%
1%
2%
0%
3%
0%
3%
3%
6%
0%
5%
6%
16
151
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
71%
72%
69%
11%
11%
15%
2%
4%
2%
3%
2%
0%
1%
2%
2%
0%
2%
3%
6%
4%
2%
6%
4%
8%
132
177
73

72%
76%
62%
12%
3%
20%
3%
4%
1%
2%
4%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
6%
1%
5%
5%
1%
5%
3%
14%
294
61
46
Union household
Non-union
72%
71%
9%
12%
9%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
9%
4%
2%
6%
43
354
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
71%
58%
65%
72%
65%
81%
9%
15%
14%
9%
13%
8%
3%
5%
4%
3%
4%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
0%
0%
3%
9%
2%
2%
2%
0%
1%
2%
1%
1%
3%
0%
8%
5%
5%
6%
4%
5%
4%
3%
7%
6%
8%
5%
119
35
136
248
105
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
67%
71%
75%
68%
8%
13%
10%
15%
3%
4%
3%
2%
4%
3%
0%
1%
3%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
4%
3%
6%
5%
9%
5%
4%
6%
67
110
137
73
Male
Female
67%
77%
14%
7%
1%
5%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
6%
2%
6%
5%
231
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
56%
78%
75%
69%
17%
8%
11%
12%
3%
5%
0%
6%
0%
3%
1%
4%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
0%
2%
9%
2%
5%
3%
12%
2%
5%
4%
72
102
158
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
72%
60%
72%
74%
12%
9%
11%
13%
2%
4%
2%
4%
4%
3%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
0%
0%
3%
1%
5%
5%
5%
4%
5%
17%
4%
3%
99
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
76%
70%
58%
71%
71%
79%
11%
12%
13%
14%
13%
5%
0%
4%
3%
3%
5%
0%
4%
0%
6%
2%
2%
1%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
4%
0%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
4%
5%
8%
3%
2%
7%
6%
6%
11%
6%
5%
1%
38
80
44
109
59
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
74%
68%
9%
14%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
0%
2%
1%
5%
4%
3%
8%
207
194
Who is Most Likeable?

Marco
Rubio
22%
Ben
Carson
19%
Donald
Trump
14%
Jeb
Bush
9%
Chris
Christie
7%
John
Kasich
4%
Someone
Else
12%
Dont
Know
13%
(N=)
398
21%
24%
17%
21%
16%
12%
9%
10%
6%
7%
5%
4%
13%
11%
14%
12%
200
197
Democrat
Independent
Republican
32%
20%
22%
0%
20%
20%
6%
18%
14%
17%
13%
8%
13%
2%
7%
15%
5%
3%
10%
13%
12%
7%
9%
14%
24
50
321
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
9%
28%
20%
0%
9%
28%
10%
14%
14%
19%
13%
6%
18%
6%
6%
0%
6%
3%
32%
10%
12%
11%
13%
12%
16
151
216
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
23%
18%
29%
28%
16%
10%
14%
16%
14%
5%
11%
16%
4%
7%
8%
1%
7%
5%
12%
14%
6%
13%
12%
13%
129
177
73

24%
12%
20%
18%
22%
17%
14%
12%
17%
9%
14%
9%
6%
12%
1%
4%
5%
3%
11%
10%
21%
13%
14%
12%
291
61
46
Union household
Non-union
10%
23%
24%
18%
5%
15%
11%
9%
7%
6%
6%
4%
28%
10%
9%
13%
43
352
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
26%
19%
21%
24%
23%
26%
17%
12%
13%
16%
19%
23%
14%
9%
14%
16%
13%
16%
11%
7%
14%
10%
8%
4%
12%
16%
9%
7%
7%
8%
2%
13%
7%
5%
10%
1%
11%
13%
11%
11%
10%
14%
8%
11%
12%
11%
9%
8%
117
35
136
248
105
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
19%
15%
26%
24%
15%
25%
17%
17%
20%
15%
14%
9%
11%
11%
7%
11%
5%
7%
5%
12%
3%
4%
5%
6%
18%
11%
11%
7%
10%
13%
15%
13%
67
109
134
75
Male
Female
19%
26%
22%
14%
16%
12%
9%
10%
5%
8%
4%
5%
12%
11%
13%
13%
230
168
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
8%
27%
24%
26%
24%
10%
19%
27%
18%
19%
11%
8%
10%
12%
9%
6%
9%
7%
4%
8%
3%
4%
4%
8%
11%
11%
14%
9%
17%
10%
15%
8%
70
102
159
66

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
25%
20%
26%
16%
35%
17%
10%
15%
7%
10%
17%
19%
6%
8%
9%
14%
5%
10%
5%
7%
1%
3%
7%
5%
12%
19%
13%
8%
8%
14%
14%
15%
98
49
124
122
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
27%
14%
22%
28%
23%
19%
17%
18%
22%
21%
19%
15%
15%
18%
13%
13%
10%
15%
6%
12%
8%
5%
19%
10%
1%
7%
0%
8%
4%
12%
1%
7%
7%
3%
2%
5%
19%
15%
8%
8%
10%
15%
15%
10%
21%
14%
12%
10%
38
79
44
107
60
70
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
21%
23%
18%
20%
13%
15%
11%
8%
9%
4%
4%
5%
13%
11%
11%
15%
206
192
Who is the Most Conservative?

Ted
Cruz
26%
Mike
Huckabee
9%
Jeb
Bush
8%
Donald
Trump
8%
Rand
Paul
7%
Ben
Carson
5%
Someone
Else
18%
Dont
Know
19%
(N=)
402
25%
26%
9%
9%
6%
10%
6%
10%
7%
7%
5%
4%
19%
17%
20%
16%
200
200
Democrat
Independent
Republican
16%
27%
26%
7%
6%
10%
7%
6%
9%
0%
10%
8%
9%
10%
6%
9%
3%
5%
26%
14%
18%
26%
23%
17%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
4%
24%
29%
0%
11%
9%
20%
8%
7%
0%
5%
11%
2%
7%
8%
10%
6%
4%
31%
20%
17%
33%
19%
15%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
35%
19%
28%
6%
11%
10%
6%
10%
10%
15%
5%
6%
9%
5%
9%
7%
4%
3%
15%
20%
22%
9%
26%
11%
132
177
74

26%
28%
18%
11%
4%
4%
9%
8%
3%
7%
8%
16%
8%
4%
6%
5%
3%
6%
17%
18%
25%
16%
27%
22%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
27%
26%
10%
9%
4%
9%
5%
8%
9%
7%
2%
5%
22%
18%
20%
18%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
29%
20%
25%
21%
29%
41%
11%
19%
11%
9%
10%
7%
10%
5%
10%
9%
6%
2%
10%
7%
9%
10%
9%
15%
4%
9%
9%
7%
5%
3%
4%
3%
3%
6%
6%
6%
15%
22%
17%
21%
19%
16%
16%
15%
15%
17%
16%
11%
119
35
137
250
106
90
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
16%
31%
26%
23%
0%
12%
14%
6%
7%
6%
7%
17%
11%
4%
11%
7%
10%
7%
5%
7%
0%
6%
5%
7%
29%
18%
17%
12%
28%
15%
15%
21%
67
110
137
75
Male
Female
32%
17%
7%
12%
5%
12%
11%
5%
8%
5%
5%
5%
18%
19%
15%
24%
232
171
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
23%
25%
29%
22%
6%
10%
10%
12%
10%
9%
8%
4%
13%
7%
8%
4%
1%
7%
6%
15%
7%
5%
3%
6%
16%
19%
17%
23%
24%
18%
18%
14%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
29%
25%
23%
24%
13%
7%
8%
8%
8%
9%
7%
9%
5%
9%
7%
12%
8%
10%
6%
6%
5%
3%
6%
4%
17%
20%
17%
20%
14%
17%
25%
17%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
19%
28%
32%
30%
21%
20%
19%
5%
8%
9%
11%
9%
4%
10%
4%
8%
11%
9%
4%
7%
8%
10%
5%
11%
8%
4%
11%
8%
5%
8%
3%
3%
4%
7%
4%
7%
23%
19%
20%
12%
24%
18%
20%
24%
14%
16%
20%
18%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
23%
29%
10%
9%
8%
9%
11%
5%
7%
7%
4%
6%
21%
15%
16%
21%
207
195
Who has the Best Chance of Winning the General Election?

Donald
Trump
LIKELY NH GOP PRIMARY VOTERS 34%
Marco
Rubio
17%
Chris
Christie
7%
Jeb
Bush
6%
Ted
Cruz
5%
Ben
Carson
4%
Someone
Else
7%
Dont
Know
20%
(N=)
403
35%
33%
18%
17%
5%
9%
6%
6%
6%
3%
3%
5%
8%
7%
20%
20%
200
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
25%
31%
36%
18%
20%
17%
15%
4%
6%
6%
5%
6%
0%
4%
5%
4%
8%
3%
3%
7%
8%
28%
20%
19%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
55%
29%
36%
4%
19%
19%
7%
10%
4%
0%
6%
5%
0%
2%
7%
6%
2%
5%
15%
9%
5%
12%
23%
18%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
41%
34%
21%
18%
16%
22%
3%
7%
12%
3%
5%
7%
10%
2%
0%
6%
3%
3%
4%
9%
12%
15%
23%
23%
132
178
74

32%
39%
40%
18%
13%
19%
7%
6%
5%
6%
5%
7%
5%
3%
3%
4%
5%
0%
7%
6%
14%
21%
22%
12%
295
61
46
Union household
Non-union
36%
33%
9%
19%
5%
7%
0%
6%
3%
5%
2%
4%
15%
7%
29%
19%
43
355
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
35%
39%
36%
38%
32%
43%
22%
11%
16%
17%
20%
20%
6%
6%
8%
7%
8%
3%
2%
0%
9%
5%
4%
2%
5%
3%
3%
4%
4%
9%
3%
3%
2%
5%
2%
1%
10%
14%
9%
6%
6%
2%
17%
24%
17%
18%
24%
19%
119
35
137
250
106
90
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
54%
35%
30%
22%
8%
15%
23%
15%
4%
3%
9%
11%
7%
5%
3%
12%
2%
6%
5%
3%
7%
5%
2%
2%
8%
11%
5%
7%
11%
20%
22%
27%
67
110
137
75
Male
Female
37%
30%
19%
16%
5%
9%
6%
5%
4%
5%
5%
2%
6%
9%
17%
24%
232
171
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
39%
37%
34%
24%
10%
19%
16%
26%
5%
7%
7%
8%
8%
3%
7%
4%
6%
3%
5%
3%
5%
5%
4%
1%
3%
5%
11%
7%
24%
20%
16%
27%
72
102
160
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
33%
47%
32%
31%
21%
10%
18%
18%
6%
6%
8%
6%
5%
4%
9%
4%
5%
5%
3%
4%
6%
6%
3%
3%
8%
8%
6%
8%
16%
14%
21%
25%
100
49
125
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
27%
34%
45%
35%
33%
32%
14%
10%
20%
21%
13%
23%
1%
7%
4%
3%
10%
13%
4%
8%
5%
7%
7%
1%
7%
3%
1%
8%
0%
6%
11%
6%
0%
2%
2%
3%
9%
9%
6%
6%
8%
7%
26%
22%
18%
17%
26%
16%
38
80
44
109
60
72
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
32%
36%
15%
20%
8%
5%
4%
8%
6%
3%
4%
3%
10%
5%
21%
20%
207
195
Who Has the Right Experience to be President?

Donald
Trump
19%
Jeb
Bush
17%
Chris
Christie
14%
John
Kasich
10%
Marco
Rubio
9%
Ted
Cruz
7%
Someone
Else
13%
Dont
Know
12%
(N=)
400
20%
18%
15%
18%
12%
16%
9%
10%
11%
6%
7%
7%
13%
14%
14%
11%
199
200
Democrat
Independent
Republican
16%
15%
20%
28%
19%
15%
13%
9%
15%
15%
9%
9%
7%
5%
9%
0%
8%
7%
18%
19%
12%
3%
17%
12%
24
50
323
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
36%
13%
22%
30%
26%
9%
10%
15%
13%
4%
12%
9%
0%
8%
10%
0%
1%
11%
10%
11%
15%
10%
13%
12%
16
152
217
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
23%
17%
14%
7%
15%
32%
10%
15%
16%
7%
10%
17%
12%
8%
5%
13%
5%
0%
16%
14%
9%
12%
15%
7%
131
177
74

17%
27%
21%
15%
17%
26%
15%
12%
5%
12%
2%
8%
10%
3%
5%
8%
5%
3%
12%
17%
14%
11%
17%
18%
293
61
46
Union household
Non-union
25%
18%
16%
16%
3%
15%
11%
10%
3%
9%
14%
6%
18%
13%
10%
13%
43
354
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
25%
23%
23%
20%
22%
27%
14%
6%
15%
18%
18%
6%
15%
16%
14%
15%
14%
17%
13%
17%
14%
10%
12%
4%
9%
13%
9%
9%
5%
8%
7%
4%
2%
5%
7%
14%
8%
12%
14%
12%
13%
9%
9%
8%
9%
11%
10%
16%
117
35
136
248
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
34%
20%
15%
12%
22%
20%
11%
20%
4%
9%
20%
18%
8%
7%
10%
14%
2%
8%
10%
8%
2%
9%
8%
6%
20%
19%
10%
7%
8%
9%
16%
15%
67
110
135
75
Male
Female
21%
16%
13%
21%
15%
13%
12%
7%
9%
9%
8%
5%
11%
17%
12%
13%
230
171
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
21%
18%
20%
14%
17%
20%
14%
18%
12%
13%
11%
23%
7%
9%
11%
10%
6%
11%
10%
5%
6%
5%
9%
4%
18%
12%
10%
17%
13%
12%
14%
10%
70
102
159
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
17%
31%
18%
17%
11%
11%
23%
17%
14%
14%
14%
14%
7%
7%
15%
8%
11%
9%
6%
9%
13%
3%
3%
5%
15%
16%
11%
13%
12%
10%
10%
16%
100
49
124
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
22%
24%
14%
15%
18%
20%
15%
17%
9%
15%
24%
17%
6%
15%
14%
12%
12%
21%
6%
14%
7%
10%
5%
12%
11%
4%
15%
12%
4%
8%
0%
4%
5%
13%
6%
7%
26%
8%
21%
11%
16%
8%
14%
14%
15%
12%
15%
7%
38
79
44
109
60
71
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
21%
16%
19%
13%
15%
12%
9%
10%
6%
12%
6%
8%
11%
15%
12%
13%
207
194
Who Can Best Handle Government Spending?

Donald
Trump
42%
Jeb
Bush
10%
John
Kasich
9%
Chris
Christie
7%
Ted
Cruz
6%
Rand
Paul
6%
Someone
Else
13%
Dont
Know
8%
(N=)
399
44%
39%
10%
11%
10%
9%
5%
10%
6%
5%
4%
7%
13%
12%
8%
8%
199
199
Democrat
Independent
Republican
35%
45%
42%
20%
14%
9%
6%
4%
10%
12%
3%
7%
0%
4%
6%
3%
8%
5%
13%
18%
12%
11%
3%
9%
24
49
324
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
51%
40%
42%
19%
13%
8%
0%
12%
8%
3%
9%
6%
0%
1%
10%
2%
4%
8%
20%
11%
13%
5%
10%
7%
16
152
216
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
48%
40%
34%
2%
13%
20%
7%
9%
15%
4%
9%
7%
12%
2%
0%
8%
5%
4%
14%
14%
10%
5%
8%
10%
131
175
74

41%
44%
42%
10%
10%
14%
10%
6%
7%
9%
3%
3%
6%
7%
2%
6%
5%
5%
11%
14%
24%
8%
12%
4%
293
61
45
Union household
Non-union
35%
43%
6%
10%
7%
10%
11%
7%
11%
5%
6%
6%
17%
12%
7%
8%
43
353
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
49%
42%
42%
46%
40%
48%
10%
7%
12%
13%
11%
2%
10%
24%
16%
11%
8%
1%
11%
7%
10%
7%
8%
7%
3%
0%
2%
4%
4%
13%
3%
5%
4%
4%
4%
6%
7%
5%
7%
10%
13%
15%
6%
10%
9%
5%
11%
7%
118
35
137
247
105
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
46%
46%
44%
28%
11%
10%
9%
14%
7%
8%
8%
17%
4%
7%
9%
6%
2%
6%
6%
6%
7%
9%
4%
2%
14%
9%
12%
15%
9%
4%
8%
13%
67
110
136
74
Male
Female
43%
39%
9%
12%
11%
7%
6%
8%
7%
4%
7%
4%
12%
14%
5%
12%
230
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
49%
41%
42%
33%
8%
17%
6%
11%
7%
4%
14%
9%
6%
8%
5%
13%
8%
5%
6%
4%
2%
4%
7%
9%
14%
10%
13%
15%
7%
12%
7%
5%
72
101
157
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
36%
47%
45%
42%
5%
6%
11%
15%
7%
4%
13%
9%
8%
8%
6%
7%
7%
10%
3%
3%
5%
7%
4%
8%
22%
16%
8%
9%
8%
3%
10%
7%
100
49
122
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
37%
43%
45%
48%
35%
36%
6%
9%
8%
8%
17%
13%
8%
13%
10%
9%
9%
7%
0%
6%
0%
8%
11%
12%
4%
8%
5%
6%
2%
7%
4%
3%
8%
6%
6%
6%
25%
10%
13%
8%
14%
15%
15%
8%
12%
8%
6%
3%
36
79
44
109
60
71
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
39%
45%
11%
9%
10%
8%
8%
6%
6%
6%
5%
6%
13%
12%
8%
8%
206
193
Who Can Best Handle ISIS?

Donald
Trump
33%
Jeb
Bush
11%
Chris
Christie
9%
Ted
Cruz
7%
Lindsey
Graham
7%
Marco
Rubio
7%
Someone
Else
10%
Dont
Know
14%
(N=)
398
36%
31%
10%
12%
10%
8%
8%
7%
5%
9%
8%
6%
9%
12%
14%
15%
200
197
Democrat
Independent
Republican
29%
25%
35%
43%
9%
9%
7%
6%
10%
0%
13%
7%
2%
7%
7%
7%
6%
7%
3%
13%
10%
8%
20%
14%
24
49
322
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
33%
29%
37%
26%
15%
7%
9%
9%
9%
0%
3%
10%
0%
10%
6%
0%
9%
7%
2%
8%
13%
30%
18%
11%
16
152
214
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
43%
29%
22%
7%
12%
20%
8%
10%
11%
13%
5%
2%
5%
8%
8%
8%
7%
6%
10%
12%
10%
5%
18%
20%
131
174
74

32%
37%
36%
12%
8%
11%
9%
8%
14%
7%
12%
2%
9%
3%
1%
7%
4%
10%
10%
9%
14%
14%
20%
12%
291
61
45
Union household
Non-union
31%
33%
20%
10%
4%
10%
15%
6%
4%
7%
0%
8%
11%
10%
16%
14%
43
350
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
35%
29%
38%
37%
34%
48%
15%
9%
14%
12%
12%
3%
8%
2%
8%
10%
7%
6%
5%
3%
4%
5%
7%
16%
8%
15%
8%
8%
10%
6%
8%
3%
5%
9%
7%
8%
9%
23%
11%
9%
9%
5%
13%
16%
12%
10%
14%
7%
117
34
134
247
106
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
34%
31%
38%
29%
20%
15%
5%
10%
3%
11%
8%
15%
4%
9%
9%
5%
2%
5%
7%
12%
3%
8%
9%
3%
18%
10%
10%
7%
16%
12%
15%
18%
67
110
133
75
Male
Female
38%
28%
9%
14%
11%
7%
9%
5%
7%
7%
6%
8%
10%
11%
10%
20%
229
168
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
36%
36%
33%
28%
8%
16%
10%
9%
8%
11%
8%
10%
9%
4%
9%
6%
4%
7%
4%
16%
3%
5%
11%
6%
13%
7%
10%
14%
19%
13%
15%
12%
71
102
155
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
31%
30%
35%
35%
6%
8%
15%
13%
6%
9%
9%
11%
8%
10%
7%
5%
4%
6%
7%
9%
13%
6%
6%
3%
12%
22%
9%
6%
20%
8%
11%
17%
100
48
121
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
35%
33%
32%
36%
36%
28%
9%
9%
7%
8%
17%
17%
0%
11%
10%
5%
8%
18%
7%
9%
10%
11%
1%
3%
9%
4%
9%
11%
4%
4%
8%
2%
2%
7%
15%
8%
14%
16%
15%
7%
5%
9%
18%
16%
15%
14%
14%
13%
37
78
44
108
60
71
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
34%
33%
12%
10%
10%
9%
4%
11%
5%
9%
8%
6%
11%
10%
16%
13%
205
192
Who Can Best Handle Illegal Immigration?

Donald
Trump
45%
Marco
Rubio
14%
Jeb
Bush
11%
Chris
Christie
6%
Ted
Cruz
5%
Rand
Paul
2%
Someone
Else
7%
Dont
Know
9%
(N=)
399
45%
45%
16%
12%
11%
12%
5%
8%
5%
6%
1%
3%
7%
7%
11%
7%
197
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
34%
51%
45%
16%
12%
14%
25%
10%
11%
4%
2%
7%
0%
4%
6%
0%
3%
2%
6%
10%
6%
15%
8%
9%
24
50
324
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
43%
39%
49%
22%
16%
13%
15%
21%
4%
3%
8%
5%
0%
2%
8%
2%
0%
4%
4%
4%
8%
11%
9%
9%
16
151
217
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
60%
38%
31%
13%
14%
21%
5%
13%
21%
3%
6%
13%
9%
5%
0%
3%
3%
0%
6%
8%
6%
3%
13%
8%
132
175
73

47%
39%
42%
13%
9%
27%
12%
12%
5%
7%
6%
0%
5%
10%
2%
3%
3%
0%
6%
6%
13%
7%
15%
11%
294
61
44
Union household
Non-union
42%
45%
13%
14%
11%
11%
4%
7%
7%
5%
5%
2%
8%
7%
11%
9%
43
352
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
50%
40%
46%
49%
44%
72%
15%
19%
14%
14%
14%
11%
9%
3%
13%
13%
13%
3%
8%
2%
6%
7%
4%
1%
6%
13%
3%
3%
6%
8%
1%
2%
2%
2%
0%
0%
5%
12%
9%
5%
9%
1%
7%
9%
7%
7%
10%
4%
118
33
135
248
106
90
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
40%
44%
49%
44%
14%
16%
12%
11%
11%
14%
10%
12%
2%
3%
9%
11%
2%
9%
6%
2%
6%
3%
0%
0%
14%
4%
7%
5%
11%
7%
8%
14%
66
110
137
73
Male
Female
49%
40%
14%
15%
9%
15%
6%
6%
7%
4%
3%
2%
6%
8%
7%
11%
229
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
46%
46%
45%
42%
4%
14%
16%
20%
7%
17%
10%
12%
5%
5%
8%
6%
9%
3%
6%
4%
1%
3%
2%
4%
14%
4%
6%
6%
15%
9%
8%
6%
72
102
156
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
43%
44%
49%
42%
15%
6%
12%
18%
8%
10%
11%
16%
5%
11%
6%
5%
7%
7%
4%
5%
4%
3%
1%
3%
9%
12%
6%
4%
10%
6%
11%
7%
100
49
123
122
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
33%
52%
36%
49%
40%
48%
16%
8%
15%
13%
25%
11%
20%
13%
10%
9%
12%
9%
3%
5%
11%
5%
2%
12%
4%
2%
3%
9%
5%
6%
4%
2%
6%
2%
2%
0%
13%
7%
7%
6%
2%
9%
7%
11%
12%
8%
12%
5%
37
80
44
108
60
70
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
43%
47%
14%
14%
12%
11%
7%
5%
6%
4%
1%
3%
6%
7%
9%
9%
206
193
Who Can Best Handle Taxation?

Donald
Trump
36%
Jeb
Bush
10%
John
Kasich
8%
Ted
Cruz
6%
Chris
Christie
6%
Carly
Fiorina
6%
Someone
Else
14%
Dont
Know
14%
(N=)
401
35%
37%
9%
12%
10%
7%
7%
5%
3%
9%
5%
6%
14%
15%
17%
10%
199
201
Democrat
Independent
Republican
36%
32%
37%
13%
15%
9%
13%
7%
8%
0%
4%
7%
14%
0%
6%
0%
3%
6%
3%
23%
13%
21%
15%
13%
24
50
325
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
58%
30%
38%
18%
15%
7%
4%
11%
6%
0%
2%
10%
0%
9%
5%
0%
6%
5%
5%
13%
16%
15%
14%
14%
16
152
218
Support Tea Party

Neutral
Oppose Tea Party
42%
35%
27%
3%
13%
18%
7%
8%
14%
13%
3%
0%
4%
5%
10%
4%
7%
4%
17%
16%
7%
10%
12%
20%
132
176
74

36%
37%
37%
11%
10%
9%
9%
4%
7%
7%
6%
0%
6%
5%
4%
4%
9%
9%
14%
13%
15%
12%
17%
19%
295
61
45
Union household
Non-union
27%
37%
10%
10%
3%
9%
15%
5%
2%
7%
14%
5%
13%
14%
17%
13%
43
354
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
40%
30%
40%
40%
37%
36%
11%
9%
12%
11%
9%
4%
8%
23%
12%
10%
8%
1%
7%
0%
2%
5%
3%
13%
11%
14%
7%
8%
7%
7%
4%
5%
5%
4%
5%
5%
11%
14%
9%
11%
13%
18%
10%
5%
11%
11%
17%
16%
119
35
137
249
106
90
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
45%
37%
35%
30%
6%
11%
12%
10%
7%
7%
8%
14%
2%
11%
5%
3%
0%
4%
7%
13%
13%
4%
5%
3%
16%
13%
15%
8%
11%
12%
13%
18%
67
110
137
74
Male
Female
37%
35%
9%
12%
9%
7%
7%
4%
4%
8%
5%
6%
17%
10%
11%
17%
232
170
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
43%
38%
37%
25%
9%
15%
7%
13%
8%
4%
11%
9%
8%
4%
7%
4%
5%
5%
5%
11%
7%
2%
5%
11%
14%
12%
16%
14%
6%
19%
14%
14%
72
102
159
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
35%
44%
34%
35%
7%
1%
13%
14%
7%
4%
10%
9%
9%
4%
4%
7%
6%
6%
8%
5%
5%
16%
3%
4%
17%
17%
11%
15%
16%
7%
17%
10%
100
49
124
123
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
30%
39%
31%
40%
37%
34%
5%
9%
8%
10%
7%
20%
7%
13%
8%
7%
8%
6%
1%
6%
4%
9%
6%
6%
1%
3%
7%
2%
11%
12%
17%
3%
6%
3%
9%
3%
20%
12%
22%
15%
5%
15%
19%
16%
14%
14%
17%
6%
37
80
44
109
60
71
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
39%
33%
12%
9%
10%
7%
5%
7%
7%
5%
7%
4%
10%
19%
11%
16%
207
194
Most Important To Your Vote In Presidential Primary?

Jobs/
Economy
18%
Health
Care
4%
Taxes
1%
Budget/
Debt
4%
Social
Issues
1%
Education
1%
Other/
DK
10%
(N=)
394
17%
20%
2%
5%
53%
47%
13%
10%
1%
1%
5%
3%
1%
1%
1%
0%
7%
12%
197
195
Democrat
Independent
Republican
21%
17%
18%
16%
0%
3%
42%
46%
51%
5%
17%
11%
5%
3%
0%
0%
9%
4%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
1%
10%
6%
10%
22
49
320
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
8%
21%
17%
15%
4%
2%
39%
52%
51%
25%
10%
12%
6%
0%
1%
0%
4%
5%
2%
1%
2%
0%
0%
1%
5%
9%
10%
16
148
214

18%
21%
17%
2%
9%
6%
53%
37%
45%
11%
13%
10%
1%
3%
1%
4%
3%
4%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
9%
14%
15%
290
59
45
Union household
Non-union
17%
18%
14%
2%
52%
50%
5%
12%
0%
1%
0%
4%
3%
1%
3%
0%
7%
10%
43
348
Read Union Leader

Read Boston Globe
Watch WMUR
Listen to NHPR
17%
25%
16%
15%
22%
11%
2%
2%
3%
3%
7%
2%
57%
52%
50%
55%
42%
51%
13%
18%
15%
13%
12%
20%
0%
0%
2%
2%
1%
0%
3%
3%
3%
2%
4%
5%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
6%
0%
10%
8%
10%
10%
118
35
134
246
104
89
18 to 34
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over
18%
20%
20%
16%
4%
9%
1%
1%
43%
50%
49%
55%
9%
8%
17%
7%
2%
2%
0%
0%
3%
7%
3%
3%
0%
1%
1%
3%
0%
1%
1%
0%
20%
2%
8%
16%
64
108
136
73
Male
Female
21%
15%
3%
4%
46%
55%
12%
10%
1%
1%
4%
4%
1%
2%
0%
1%
11%
9%
230
164
High school or less

Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate
19%
13%
23%
14%
1%
5%
4%
3%
46%
56%
44%
58%
15%
11%
12%
9%
0%
2%
1%
0%
8%
2%
3%
6%
0%
1%
2%
3%
0%
2%
0%
0%
10%
9%
12%
8%
71
100
155
68

1-2 times a month
Less often
Never
15%
12%
15%
27%
1%
4%
3%
5%
53%
62%
51%
40%
8%
8%
16%
11%
1%
3%
0%
1%
6%
0%
4%
4%
5%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
10%
10%
10%
10%
98
49
122
120
North Country
Central / Lakes
Connecticut Valley
Mass Border
Seacoast
Manchester Area
22%
17%
19%
20%
17%
16%
0%
6%
0%
4%
6%
2%
49%
40%
57%
51%
53%
52%
12%
16%
2%
12%
8%
15%
4%
0%
0%
0%
1%
2%
3%
6%
0%
4%
5%
3%
0%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
0%
1%
3%
0%
0%
0%
10%
12%
16%
8%
9%
9%
38
78
42
107
60
69
First Cong. Dist

Second Cong. Dist
17%
19%
3%
4%
52%
47%
11%
12%
2%
0%
4%
4%
1%
2%
0%
1%
10%
10%
205
190
Foreign ImmiPolicy gration

50%
12%

CNN WMMR Poll - New Hampshire 12-8-15

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CNN WMMR Poll - New Hampshire 12-8-15

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THE CNN /WMUR

NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY POLL

Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.

NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary -- Decided On Vote

Feb '15 May

Leaning Toward Someone

Sept Dec. '15

Still Trying To Decide

Oct. Jan. '14 Apr.

Favorability Ratings - Potential NH GOP Presidential Candidates - December 2015

2016 NH Republican Primary

NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary -- Who Support If Vote Held Today?

Oct Jan '14 Apr

Oct Feb '15 May

2016 NH Republican Primary with Second Choice

NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary -- First and Second Choice Combined

Most Unpopular Republican Candidate

Oct. Jan. '14 Apr.

Oct. Feb. '15 May

Republican Net Electability

Oct. Jan. '14 Apr.

Oct. Feb. '15 May

Who Will Win NH Primary?

Most Important Issue To Primary Vote

Foreign Policy/Natl Security

Least Likely To Act Like Typical Politician

Best Chance of Winning General Election

Has Right Experience to Be President

Best Manage Government Spending

Best Handle ISIS

Best Handle Illegal Immigration

Best Handle Taxation

CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll Methodology

New Hampshire Primary Poll, December 2015 Demographics

Highest Level of Education

Highest Level of Education

Decided Who to Vote for in 2016 GOP Primary?

Republican Nomination in 2016 NH Primary

* = Less than 1% --- = Not Included

Second Choice in 2016 NH Primary

Candidate You Wouldnt Vote For In 2016 NH Republican Primary

Who Will Win 2016 NH Republican Primary?

Most Important Issue To Primary Vote

Foreign Policy/National Security

Which Republican candidate do you think is most conservative?

Which Republican candidate do you think can best handle ISIS?

Which Republican candidate do you think can best handle taxation?

GOP Favorability Ratings

"Neurosurgeon Ben Carson?

"New Jersey Governor Chris Christie?

"Texas Senator Ted Cruz?

Businesswoman Carly Fiorina?

Former Virginia Governor Jim Gilmore?

South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham?

Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee?

Ohio Governor John Kasich?

Former New York Governor George Pataki?

"Kentucky Senator Rand Paul?

"Florida Senator Marco Rubio?

"Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum?

Businessman Donald Trump?

Favorability Rating Jeb Bush

Support Tea Party

Voted in 2008,2012 NH Primaries