Investor Event
0
0
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Medium term financials
Concluding remarks
Italcementi Group
Italcementi Group
Investor Event
Welcome to Agadir
Italcementi
Group
Agadir 24-25
September 2010
Italcementi Group
Italcementi Group
Agadir
Main activities:
Agriculture
Tourism
Sea fishing
Italcementi Group
32.4
GDP (EURbn):
65.4
30.7
Inflation (%):
1.0
Exports (EURbn):
10.0
Imports (EURbn):
23.6
5.2
3.9
(1.4)
Fitch
BBB-/stable
BBB-/stable
Moodys
Italcementi Group
Ba1/stable
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
Italcementi Group
Italcementi Group
July 1952
Italcementi Group
July 2010
Italcementi Group
10
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Medium term financials
Concluding remarks
Italcementi Group
11
Volatility dominates....
On balance, recessionary
conditions....
Italcementi Group
12
Italcementi Group
13
CANADA
U.S.A.
MOROCCO
3rd - 15%
36% - 1st
5th - 4%
6% - 8th
7th - 5%
2nd - 25%
14% - 4th
3%
n.m.
BULGARIA
TURKEY
KAZAKHSTAN
CHINA
(after eliminations)
SPAIN
FRANCE
ITALY
7th - 6%
2nd - 32%
1st - 25%
Italcementi Group
15% - 4th
5%
n.m.
24% - 1st
7% - 3rd
THAILAND
INDIA
EGYPT
GREECE
14
Declared capacity
Mt
Revenues
15,884
203
203
110
97
73
EBITDA
3,600
13,993
3,066
11,117
2,102
10,433
1,906
5,006
972
Italcementi Group
15
Aggregates
Mt
2000
2009
2000
2009
2000
2009
68
141
29
37
176
196
82
132
25
42
87
143
47
79
26
35
76
239
52
65
16
54
NA
168
39
56
18
11*
53
39*
Italcementi Group
Ready-mix
Mm3
16
Company
20092009
H1-2010
H1-2010
22,7
21,4
21,9
21,5
18,9
15,8
18,3
17,3
19,4
17,7
Italcementi Group
17
Italcementi Group
18
Agenda
09:15
Welcome to Agadir
09:30
Opening remarks
09:50
10:10
M. Chaibi
C. Pesenti
C. Fortuna
G. Ferrario
Coffee break
G. Ferrario
11:10
Sustainable development
Innovation
S. Gardi
E. Borgarello
Industrial efficiency
F. Vitaletti
Power strategy
12:30
Italcementi Group
G. De Beni
C. Pesenti - ITC Team
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
19
Agenda
Focus on selected markets
14:30
G. Ferrario
Roundtable on
Italy
F. Pedetta
North America
J.P. Meric
Egypt
F. Doneg
Morocco
India
16:00
10:10
16:20
M. Chaibi
M Caneppele
Coffee break
G. Ferrario
Financial policy
17:00
G. Maggiora
C. Pesenti - ITC Team
Conclusions
Italcementi Group
C. Pesenti
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
20
Italcementi Group
21
Trends
Experiencing
Earth's limits
Proliferating
technology and
knowledge
Key uncertainties/decisions
Market economy reversal
A post-crisis "new normal"
Inflation or deflation
Italcementi Group
Emerging uncertainties
Green new normal
Battle for resources
Africa rising
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
22
Trends
Experiencing
Earth's limits
Proliferating
technology and
knowledge
Key uncertainties/decisions
Market economy reversal
A post-crisis "new normal"
Inflation or deflation
Italcementi Group
Emerging uncertainties
Green new normal
Battle for resources
Africa rising
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
23
Trends
Experiencing
Earth's limits
Proliferating
technology and
knowledge
Key uncertainties/decisions
Market economy reversal
A post-crisis "new normal"
Inflation or deflation
Italcementi Group
Emerging uncertainties
Green new normal
Battle for resources
Africa rising
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
24
Trends
Experiencing
Earth's limits
Proliferating
technology and
knowledge
Entering
a second
"agricultural
World
trade
growth torevolution"
2020 forecasted @ 2-2.5X GDP
growth
Accelerating
green economy
Massive
investment
on infrastructure required to cope
Increasing
weight of
public sector
with surge in demand
Rebounding regulation
Key uncertainties/decisions
Market economy reversal
A post-crisis "new normal"
Inflation or deflation
Italcementi Group
Emerging uncertainties
Green new normal
Battle for resources
Africa rising
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
25
Changing
demographics
Experiencing
Earth's limits
Trends
Proliferating
technology and
knowledge
Key uncertainties/decisions
Market economy reversal
A post-crisis "new normal"
Inflation or deflation
Italcementi Group
Emerging uncertainties
Green new normal
Battle for resources
Africa rising
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
26
Trends
Experiencing
Earth's limits
Proliferating
technology and
knowledge
Key uncertainties/decisions
Market economy reversal
A post-crisis "new normal"
Inflation or deflation
Italcementi Group
Emerging uncertainties
Green new normal
Battle for resources
Africa rising
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
27
Changing
demographics
Experiencing
Earth's limits
Proliferating
technology and
knowledge
Trends
Key uncertainties/decisions
Market economy reversal
A post-crisis "new normal"
Inflation or deflation
Italcementi Group
Emerging uncertainties
Green new normal
Battle for resources
Africa rising
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
28
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Medium term financials
Concluding remarks
Italcementi Group
29
To long term
trends
What lies in the
middle, namely in the
Plan horizon, in terms
of GDP and
construction
evolution?
Hesitant and
uneven recovery
Clear-cut destination,
more uncertain path
Italcementi Group
Shifting centres of
economic activity
Growing infrastructure
congestion
Continuing urbanization
Shifting centres of
economic activity
Accelerating green
economy
Rebounding regulation
30
Slope of rebound
smaller than in past
recoveries. Resuming
from financial crises
is normally more
painful
At current rates it will
take at least another
year to regain
previous cyclical
peaks
New signs of
weakness emerging
here and there
Italcementi Group
31
0.0
2010*
-3.3
-3.3
-5.0
-6.4
-2.7
-4.1
-5.3 -5.3
-7.5
-8.0
-10.0
-11.0
US
Germany France
-9.8
-11.2
Italy
Spain
Italcementi Group
32
Euro Area
1.3
0.3
North
America
Total
Developed
Adjustments to the
2007-2009
structural break
continuing over
2010-11
In the new
normal we project
moderate growth
also in the outer
years of the
forecast (20122014)
The US will
continue to
outperforme
Europe
Italcementi Group
33
Other
Emerging
Emerging
Asia
Total
Emerging
Italcementi Group
34
CI
3.0
1.9
0.7
2.7
1.9
3.6
2.6
2.0
1.0 Cagr 1996-10: 0.9%
-0.3
-2.9
-3.6
-8.4
96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
Source: our calculations on national statistics and EU data; * Weighted
by ITC's cement volume sales in 2009 excl. Greece, 2010: R1 estimates
Italcementi Group
35
In the US:
housing has more than
halved over a four years
time-span
the downturn has ended;
however, the recovery is
not in full swing
leading indicators still
send ambiguous signals
36
0.9
Euro Area
-2.9
-6.2
-4.9
-7.2
North
America
-14.5
Total
Developed
Italcementi Group
37
Euro Area
4.3
3.2
2.5
North
America
0.5
-4.7
-1.4
Total
Developed
In North America
construction is
expected to rebound
strongly (mainly thanks
to housing)
In the Euro area a mild
recovery should set in
during 2011 (later on in
Spain and Greece),
with full period results
still slightly negative
Even allowing for the
recovery, in the final
year construction
would remain 4-5 pp
below levels of ten
years before
Italcementi Group
38
Sources: elaborations on Aitec, US Geological Survey, national statistics and Eurostat data; quarterly data
Italcementi Group
39
Cagr (%)
Consumption in most
industrialized areas is back
to mid-Sixties levels
Even in the growth period
1983-2007 cement
demand increased by a
weak 1.3% p.a. (vis--vis
2.8% for GDP)
As a matter of fact,
markets are mature in two
respects:
declining weight of
construction on GDP
decreasing content of
cement per unit
invested in
construction
Italcementi Group
40
Other
Emerging
Emerging
Asia
strong
macroeconomic
context
margins to
stimulate domestic
demand
Total
Emerging
high infrastructure/
housing needs
(which explains
why construction
far outpaces GDP
growth)
Italcementi Group
41
Italcementi Group
42
To sum up
Macroeconomic environment
The US continues to
outperform Europe
Construction
Only tepid recovery in sight, in
some cases after 2011
No industrial country (except
Canada) expected to regain
pre-crisis levels within the
Plan horizon
The US expected to far
outshine Europe
Italcementi Group
Emerging area
Developed area
Macroeconomic environment
Construction
Activity continuing at close-to7% average growth pace
Reduced differences in
performances expected
among countries
Construction intensity set to
increase further in the Group
emerging
43
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
44
Improve Group
Organizational
performance
45
401
450
400
400
350
300
200
300
255
370
327
283
250
200
150
1996
1996
Italcementi Group
2000
2000
2004
2004
2005
2005
2006
2006
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
46
(*) Local GAAP before 2004.. 2009 figures prepared in compliance with IAS 23 and 2008 figures restated accordingly
Italcementi Group
47
US 1
35
30
25
0
5.9%
32
24
Europe
500
450
400
0
2007 08
470
4.9%
150
100
0
370
09
CAGR
2009-14
10
11
12
13
2014
98
101
2 2
Emerging countries
350
300
250
0
2007 08
1 Essroc area
2 Include Egypt, Morocco, South India, Bulgaria, Thailand, China Shaanxi, Kazakhstan, Turkey
Italcementi Group
0.6%
337
6.3%
248
09
10
11
12
13 2014
48
Construction market
France
Mature
markets
Belgium
Italy
Spain
Greece
0.4
0.2
-1.5
1.0
-2.0
0.0
Italcementi Group
5.7
4.2
5.0
8.3 2
8.6
India
SOURCE: Italcementi
5.9
6.2
Morocco
5-71
Bulgaria
Thailand
Kuwait
Kazakhstan
Turkey
4.3
Egypt
China
0.4
0.4
0.6
-0.3
North America
Emerging
countries
Cement market
5.9
5.6
3.7
21.0
NA
8-101
6-81
5.4
7.2 2
3.3
9.2
5.3
49
Mature
markets
Price
Rationale
France-Belgium
Italy
Spain
Negative trend of real prices in a
scenario of slow recovery of the
utilization rate
Greece
North America
Thailand
Turkey
China
Week real price trend because of
overcapacity in the regional area
Bulgaria
Emerging
markets
Morocco
India
Kuwait
Kazakhstan
Egypt
Expected trend
Italcementi Group
stability
increase
50
120
Steam Coal
CAGR 09-14=7.2%
100
80
80
63.7
50.8
90
62
66
70
72
56
55.4
40
87
73
86.2
62.7
60
84
46.3
Petcoke
CAGR 09-14=16.2%
34.0
20
0
2006
2007
2008
2009
API 4
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
SOURCE: Italcementi
Italcementi Group
51
140
120
100
80
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
SOURCE: Italcementi
Italcementi Group
52
The Kyoto Protocol is still binding for signatory countries, while new
commitments for developed countries in the period post-2012 are still to be
negotiated
National and regional carbon and energy efficiency constraints keep on coming:
main developing countries, such as China and India, are running tests on sector
trading, while progress is extremely slow in US, at least at a Federal level
Europe target for post-2012 is emissions 20% below 1990 levels by 2020; 30%
option still on the table; accordingly, ETS Phase 3 implementation will keep
tackling emissions from industry and the power sector
Details on the application of EU ETS Phase 3 are being finalized: benchmark
based allocation applies to the cement sector, requiring a strong effort on
improvement
53
Italcementi Group
Strategic guidelines
Strengthen performance on
Sustainable Development
Improve Group
Organizational
performance
54
Alternative fuels/biomass
Thermal consumption
870
209
193
CO2
Kg/t clinker
904
Dust
g/t clinker
46
633
SO2
g/t clinker
NOx
g/t clinker
843
481
1,595
1,543
2007
2010 E
294
1,255
2014
55
Continuing innovation
Products/Applications/Branding
Thermal
Cement
Reduces
organic
and inorganic
pollutants in
the air
Cement
optimizing
thermal
efficiency
of buildings
Biodegradable
cement bag
Italcementi Group
Alipre
Sulfoaluminate
technology to
assure rapid
setting, high
early strength
Highperformance
concrete
Transparent
cement
Concrete for
special
applications
Percentage of clinker
Ordinary
Portland
44
Limestone
22
Multiple
Blend
17
Fly ash
Slag
Cement
Pozzolan
Others
56
976
920
Thermal
consumption
MCal/t clinker
855
Focused performance
improvement investments:
capacity de-bottlenecking, energy
efficiency, productivity
improvement
Selected major
renewal/revamp of older
technology capacity (e.g.
Bulgaria, Egypt, Italy)
7.0
Labour
productivity
Kt cement/
employee1
4.9
2007
5.5
2010E
2014
Italcementi Group
57
base case
155
South India1
Morocco
105
China
(Shaanxi)1
Egypt
Pursue opportunistic
growth/ consolidation
55
% growth
110
Thailand
50
Kazakhstan
45
Turkey
Kuwait
Belgium
Defend
USA1
-5
Italy
-10
-15
Bulgaria
Rationalize/
Restructure
Spain South
(Andalusia)
Greece
France
Spain North
(N.Basque)
Lower
Higher
Profitability
1 Italcementis regional market
Italcementi Group
58
High
300
Ethiopia Zambia
280
Tanzania
Cambodia
260
140
120
100
Cameroon
Bangladesh
Vietnam
Philippines
Saudi Arabia
Russia
80
Angola
Jordan
Iran
40
Algeria
Tunisia
20
0
Not enter
South Africa
Malaysia
Libya
Ghana
Syria
Ukraine
60
Low -20
Indonesia
Qatar
Medium
Potential profitability2
Italcementi Group
59
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
60
Reduction of
carbon footprint
Protection of
the environment
Social
Responsibility
Stakeholder engagement
Support to communities
Italcementi Group
61
50
747
740
40
730
30
720
717
20
710
10
700
0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
kg CO2 / t cement
750
2009
4% reduction
vs. 2004
Italcementi Group
62
kg CO2 / t cement
38% of total
reduction
9% of total
reduction
717
53% of total
reduction
need further
development
11% reduction
vs. 2009
640
2009
Italcementi Group
Improvement of
Increase of
energy efficiency alternative fuels
reduction of
clinker/cement
target 2014
63
dust
2493
SO2
g/t clinker
NOx
42% reduction
vs. 2004
1453
1296
66% reduction
vs. 2004
440
199
146
2004
Italcementi Group
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
64
46,5
2009
Process
improvements and
small CAPEX
Major CAPEX
E2014
37% reduction
vs. 2009
293,8
SO2
g/t clinker
2009
Process
improvements and
small CAPEX
Major CAPEX
NOx
g/t clinker
E2014
16% reduction
vs. 2009
1254,5
2009
Italcementi Group
Impact from
previous plan
investment
Process
improvements and
small CAPEX
Major CAPEX
E2014
65
Italcementi Group
66
25
0,00
Italcementi Group
million m3
0,25
2009
50
2008
0,50
2007
m3/t cem
67
68
69
30
Lost Time Injuries frequency rate
Cement
25
Aggregates
23,5
Concrete
20
Group
15
78% reduction
vs. 2000
10
5,1
5
0
2000
2001
Italcementi Group
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
70
Stakeholder engagement
The Group aims to build enduring
relationships with the communities based on
mutual respect, active partnership and long
term commitment.
71% of Group cement plants have structured
frameworks or formal agreements to engage
with local stakeholders.
45% of Group cement plants organised an
Open Door event in the last 3 years.
Italcementi Group
71
Support to communities
The Group supports community based
projects that can make a difference in a
sustainable way without creating dependency
and supports regional development and small
business opportunities.
72
Support to communities
73
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
74
Product Innovation
Creation of value for our customers with innovative and tailor-made solutions
Products, applications and services at low cost, with consistent quality
and sustainable for the environment and the people.
Produced by a team of excellent people with technical, marketing and
commercial skills
Italcementi Group
75
Italcementi Group
76
Italcementi Group
77
Italcementi Group
78
Italcementi Group
79
Italcementi Group
new thermal cement
Is able to ensure optimized energy
management thanks to very low
heat transfer coefficients
Has the same durability and
strength characteristics as
conventional concrete
Has thermal conductivity 0.15-0.5
watt/mK compared with 1.6
watt/mK (traditional concrete)
Helps to keep the home warmer in
winter and cooler in summer
Italcementi Group
Material
Thermal
Conductivity
()
Resistance to
steam
()
Traditional
Concrete
1.2-1.6
50-120
Insulating
Concrete
0.15
80
LEED certification
i.Lab: building designed by Richard Meier
7,500 m2 reserved for research laboratories
Photovoltaic panels
High
Solarperformance
panels (provide
65%
of
and
durable
annual energy requirements)
materials
Geothermal plant
Italcementi Group
81
i.Lab Awards
i.Lab recently received two important awards.
The first is the Good Design Award, a
prestigious international award, created in 1950
in Chicago (USA) by celebrated designers and
architects like Eero Saarinen, Edgar J.
Kaufmann Jr. and Charles and Ray Eames.
Italcementi Group
82
Continuing innovation
Reduces organic
and inorganic
pollutants in the air
Thermal
Cement
Alipre
Cement
optimizing thermal
efficiency
of buildings
Sulphoaluminate
technology to assure
rapid setting, high
early strength
Highperformance
concrete
Transparent
cement
Italcementi Group
Biodegradable
cement bag
Concrete for
special
applications
83
Cement and
binders
Product
Italy
FB
Spain
Morocco NA
Kazakhstan India
Thailand
Alipre &
derivatives
TX Active
Izycrete
Acoust. Ins.
Concrete
RMC
I.Clime
Roadcrete
Remix
TX Active
derivat.
Secondlife
Dry mortars
l.Tech
Alipre & derivat.
I.Clime
Others
I.Light
Admixtures
Polycarboxylate
admixtures
Italcementi Group
84
Facts
Around 170 dedicated R&D and Innovation staff located in Bergamo (Italy) and
Guerville (France).
Around 7,500 m2 of Lab floorspace in Bergamo and the same in Guerville
64 active patents on products and applications filed since 1994
Italcementi Group
85
Facts
0.4% of Group turnover invested in innovation in 2008 (0.2% in R&D), 0.5%
in 2010 (0.3% in R&D)
Innovation rate defined according to strict criteria which consider a product
innovative for only 5 years after its commercial launch rose from about 3%
in 2008 to 4% in 2010
The margin on innovative products is typically 2 or 3 times that of traditional
products
Italcementi Group
86
Facts
In the 2010-2014 period innovation turnover is mainly driven by mature
markets (65% in mature markets, 35% in emerging markets)
In the 2010-2014 period innovative product margins are mainly concentrated
in mature markets (76%)
In the 2010-2014 period innovation margin is mainly concentrated in the
cement & binder (52%) and the ready mix businesses (33%). Admixtures and
Premixes account for the remaining 15%
Italcementi Group
87
Facts
ITC & CF patents **
Filed Jul 1998- Jun 2010
Original patents*
Published Jul 1998-Jun 2008 C04B Code
26
128
61
15
40
12
37
25
1998-2002
NOTE
* Number of Derwent families comprising all patents relating to a specific innovation.
The graph shows patents of the controlled companies in the International Patent
Classification (IPC) class C04B which covers Lime; magnesia; slag; cements;
compositions thereof, e.g. mortars, concrete or like building materials; artificial
stone; ceramics; refractories; treatments of natural stone
Italcementi Group
2002-2006
2006-2010
NOTE
** Number of patents filed by Italcementi and Ciments Franais,
independently of the IPC class
88
Standards,
Regulations,
Requirements
Architects
Italcementi Group
Research centres
R&I
Designers
Industry
Solutions
Clients
89
Our ambition:
to be one of the most innovative
cement group in the world
Italcementi Group
90
Master Brand
Group Innovation
Brands
Group Product
Traditional Brands
Italcementi Group
91
Master Brand
Group Innovation
Brands
Group Product
Traditional Brands
Italcementi Group
92
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
93
+41.6%
+35.7%
vs.
+22.2%
STEAM COAL
PETCOKE
INCREASED ACTUAL
PURCHASING COST
OF ONE KCALORY, CIF
Italcementi Group
TOTAL INCREASE
IND.VARIABLE COST
OF ONE TON OF CEMENT
ACTIONS
Effects of structured continuous
performance improvements and
structured programs (STEP), focused
maintenance.
Effects of previous additions and
closures with actions on approx. on 1.8
MTons capacity
Opportunistic temporary capacity
closures (64 kilns in 2009) in addition to
final closures (11 kilns in 2009) all in
mature markets to improve cost factors
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
94
Total
savings
identified
53.1
short
term
5.2
med
term 7.4
2.2
3.6
1.1
2.5
2.7
short med
Total
investment term term 2.2
1.7 0.5
required
Target savings on
short term actions
1.6
Savings achieved
0.9
Savings to be achieved
Total
Achieved
0.9
Savings in 2009
Saving to work on
1 Impact calculated considering same 2007 conditions for: cement mix, cement quantity, clinker quantity, raw meal quantity, purchasing unit prices, clinker value. All
actions completed by the end of 2008.
Italcementi Group
95
100
80
-52%
60
40
Italcementi Group
96
Targets
Performance improvements,
operations, maintenance and SD
investments
Clinker to cement ratio
Environmental performance
97
+22,2%
+12%
Vs.
2006-2009
Italcementi Group
2010-2014
98
Thermal
consumption
MCal/t clinker
Power
consumption
KWh/t clinker
948.4
24.7
45.4
23.7
854.6
-10%
Total Fuel
vs -3%
in 2006-2009
78.2
2.0
6.8
0.9
68.6
-8%
Total Power
1.5
Power
consumption
KWh/t cement
(grinding only)
2009
1.3
vs -0,6%
in 2006-2009
0.5
Impact from
Process
previous plan improvements
investments
and small
CAPEX
Major
CAPEX
Performance
2014E
Italcementi Group
99
Labour
productivity
Kt cement/
employee1
40%
5.0
2009
0.5
Impact from
previous plan
investments
0.7
Process
improvements
and small
CAPEX
0.7
Major
CAPEX
7.0
Performance
2014E
SP 08-12
Italcementi Group
100
Targets
Performance improvements,
operations, maintenance and SD
investments
Clinker to cement ratio
Environmental performance
Italcementi Group
101
Clinker to Cement
Mix of products
offered/ demand of
user segments
/competition
Technical
management
Availability of
blending
components
Italcementi Group
102
Percentage of clinker
Ordinary portland
44
Limestone
22
Multiple Blend
17
Fly ash
Slag Cement
Pozzolan
Others
Italcementi Group
100
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
103
3.6
Alternative
fuels
Percent
5.4
2009
Italcementi Group
1.2
9.8
0.4
Additional
Process
Impact from
previous plan improvements major
CAPEX
and small
investment
CAPEX
Performance
E2014
104
Belgium
France
RDF/SRF
Animal meal, TDF (s. tyres),
Hazardous liquid and solid waste
Morocco,
Bulgaria
Kazakistan, China
TDF ( S.Tyres)
RDF/SRF study
Market investigation
Turkey
Waste oil
TDF (Tyres)
RDF (future)
USA-Canada-Puerto Rico
(Hazardous. waste)
RDF/SRF
Greece
Thailand
Sewage sludge
RDF (study)
Egypt
Italy
SRF/RDF
TDF (Shredded tyres)
Animal meal,
Sewage sludge
Biomass (vegetal)
Biomass (vegetal)
Sewage sludge
Oil base mud
sandy oil
RDF (future)
Biomass (vegetal)
Industrial liq. waste
India
Biomass (vegetal)
Industrial waste
TDF (tyres)
Italcementi Group
105
Targets
Performance improvements,
operations, maintenance and SD
investments
Clinker to cement ratio
Environmental performance
Italcementi Group
106
Next 5 years
2010
New plants/
revamping
Italcementi Group
2014
107
108
109
110
111
GAS
OUT
Strong benefits in
resource constrained
conditions or available
at high cost:
Reduced usage of
water and power,
Power generation for
the plant.
Innovative WHR
on such a small
scale (1.5 MW),
first worldwide
application in the
cement sector on
a full scale PRH.
Italcementi Group
112
Targets
Performance improvements,
operations, maintenance and SD
investments
Clinker to cement ratio
Environmental performance
Italcementi Group
113
1.6
Emerging
countries
53%
54%
57%
57%
Mature
countries
47%
46%
43%
43%
2007/2008
2009
2010
2014
87
77
77
88
Utilization
rate
percent
Italcementi Group
New line in
Egypt (2015)
114
Bessemer: -0.6 Mt
Frederick: -0.3 Mt
Italy clinker lines
Martinsburg:
Italy closures:
Matera revamping:
closing
new investments
47%
46%
2008
Utilization
rate
percent
86
Italcementi Group
43%
2009
2010
72
71
43%
2014
84
115
Takli, Thailand
Yerraguntla:
Ait Baha:
Devnya, Bulgaria
Egypt rationalization, closures and
revamping
Another plant/revamping (India)
3.4
53%
2008
Utilization
rate
percent
88
54%
2009
82
57%
57%
2010
2014
81
92
9% capacity
increase
1-2 plants for 4-5
Mt capacity
revamped or 15%
of final capacity
New line
in Egypt
Italcementi Group
116
10
Dry with
preheater
16
16
19
20
2
8
Typical thermal
consumption
without by-pass
MCal/t
1,200
13
18
18
1,050
820
Dry with
precalciner
54
55
61
70
770
770
% mature
markets
2007=2008
2009
2010
2014
47.1%
45.8%
43.4%
43.2%
Italcementi Group
117
Open circuit
26%
24%
26%
24%
26%
22%
22%
Ball
I gen
24%
17%
II gen
17%
17%
20%
40
20%
40
17%
40
17%
40
III gen
34%
34%
34%
36%
39%
30
Vertical
Italcementi Group
0%
0%
0%
4%
4%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2014
118
Targets
Performance improvements,
operations, maintenance and SD
investments
Clinker to cement ratio
Environmental performance
Italcementi Group
119
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
120
A snapshot of Italgen
Initially as Italcementi, and as
Italgen since 2001, the Group has
had links to energy production for
more than 100 years.
Hydroplants
Transmissionlines
In 2009:
Installed capacity:
56 MW
Production:
308,000 MWh
Plant availability:
99%
Italcementi Group
121
60
50,7
48,1%
50
38,6
40
30
Revenues
EBITDA on
Revenues
60,0%
50,0%
36,8%
40,0%
30,0%
24,1%
20,9
20
20,0%
13,7%
10
10,0%
0,0%
2007
Renewable Energy
Certificate System 300,000
certificates sold annually
2007
Italcementi Group
2008
2009
kWh
Certification
achieved for all
14 hydro plants
2008
2010 IH
Eco-Management
Audit Scheme
Italgen joined
Desertec Industrial
Initiative as Associated
Partner in March 2010
2009
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010
2010
122
Italcementi Group
123
Italy
56 MW (in operation)
Turkey
Bares - 142.5 MW (fully permitted)
Hydro
Morocco
Laayoune - 5 MW (under construction)
Solar
Egypt
Wind
Italcementi Group
124
99.9%
1% Suez Cement
1% Helwan
Cement
49 %
99.87%
99.9%
98%
GARDAWINDSrl
99.9%
Italcementi Group
125
Ongoing actions
Various efforts are ongoing on RE project development for each pipeline
Feasibility
Legal and
Permits
Implementation
and Erection
Commissioning
and Operation
Bulgaria
(Kavarna I)
2010
(Kavarna II)
2010
Morocco
(Laayoune)
2011
Italy
2011
(Guiglia)
Turkey
(Bares)
2012
Egypt
2013
(Gulf El Zeit)
Italcementi Group
126
Bulgaria - Kavarna II
Main Data
Location
Status
Expected operation
Installed capacity
Capacity factor
Estimated production
Kavarna, Bulgaria
Under construction
Q4 2010
9 MW
28-30% (2,450-2,600 h/y)
22,300-23,600 MWh/y
CO2 savings
10,503-11,116 t/y
Feed-in tariff, bilateral
contracts
Business model
Italcementi Group
127
Morocco - Laayoune
Main Data
Location
Status
Expected operation
Installed capacity
Capacity factor
Estimated production
Laayoune, Morocco
Under construction
Q4 2011
5.1MW (first step)
36% (3,150 h/y)
16,100 MWh/y
CO2 savings
12,300-13,000 t/y
Captive use for Indusaha
Grinding Center
Business model
Italcementi Group
128
Turkey - Bares
Main Data
Location
Balikesir, Turkey
Fully permitted , turn-key
Status
EPC and financing in
progress
Expected operation
2012
Installed capacity
142.5 MW
Capacity factor
35-40% (3,100 - 3,500 h/y)
Estimated production 442,200-503,400 MWh/y
CO2 savings
204,000- 232,000 t/y
Open market, bilateral
Business model
contract and feed-in tariff
Italcementi Group
129
243,000-257,000 t/y
Captive use to companies
of Suez Cement Group
Business model
Concessionary area
(93.7 kmq)
11.9 km2
26.7 km2
Italcementi Group
130
Italcementi Group
131
to 2014
Project developer
Italian Market
Installed capacity: 56 MW
Italcementi Group
132
Energy and
CO2 Hedge
Morocco:
5 MW permitted only for captive use
New law on RE just approved (March 2010)
nergie Renouvelable now the market is open
Value
Creation
Opportunity
Italcementi Group
133
Conclusions
Coherently with our centenary mission, we are contributing
to secure Group energy needs and
Kavarna - Bulgaria
Salerno - Italy
Vaprio dAdda - Italy
Thank you
134
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Medium term financials
Concluding remarks
Italcementi Group
135
Summing up
Realistic basic assumptions for future cement market trends for both
volumes and prices
Pricing pressures on key production factors
Sustainability, innovation and efficiency are the levers for delivering
significant recovery in Groups performances while increasing
financial flexibility
1,800
1,400
1,000
2007
Italcementi Group
08
09
10
11
12
13
2014
136
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Medium term financials
Concluding remarks
Italcementi Group
137
Other and
trading
4%
Italy
17%
3%
Morocco
6%
France
27%
Egypt
16%
N. America
8%
Spain
4%
Greece
2%
Belgium
3%
Italcementi Group
138
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Italy
North America
Egypt
Morocco
India
139
Italcementi Group
Investor Event
Italy
140
140
population
62,0
60,0
58,0
Immigration
effect
56,0
54,0
2047
2042
2037
2032
2027
2022
2017
2012
2007
2002
1997
1992
1982
1987
52,0
year
GDP evolution
Construction investment
8%
4%
6%
4%
2%
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1986
1984
1982
0%
-2%
1980
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1986
1984
-2%
1982
0%
1980
Var. % y/y
2%
Var. % y/y
6%
-4%
-4%
-6%
-6%
-8%
years
years
Italcementi Group
141
Ktons
45.000
1986/1992
+23%
1996/2006
+36%
40.000
35.000
30.000
1981/1986
-15%
1992/1996
- 23%
2006/2010
-27%
25.000
20.000
15.000
10.000
5.000
-
Italcementi Group
142
45
Public Works
40
35
Non Resid.
Residential
33%
34%
30
36%
25
20
31%
31%
15
29%
10
5
36%
35%
35%
2008 ACT.
2009 ACT.
2010 FOR.
Italcementi Group
143
2007
2008
2009
2010e
Capacity a)
49.6
49.6
49.0
49.3
Consumption
46.4
41.8
36.1
34.2
Import
5.2
4.1
3.7
2.6
Export
2.8
2.6
2.0
2.3
Over-capacity
5.6
9.3
14.6
15.4
Utilization rate
89%
81%
70%
69%
Italcementi Group
CAGR 07-10
-9.6%
144
140
130
-21.1%
120
110
100
90
2000
2001
Italcementi Group
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
H1
2010
145
# operators: 25
+ terminalists
TASSULLO (gr.)
DIANO (gr.)
CEM. VICTORIA
CEM. ARIANO
IMPORTAZIONI
Italcementi Group
(gr.) = Grinders
146
Sarche
Calusco
Trieste
Rezzato
Broni
North
Monselice
Novi L.
Clinker capacity
(Mlt)
Ravenna
Borgo
Pontassieve
Scafa
Montalto
Center
1.6
South + Island
4.1
Total
9.7
Guardiaregia
Colleferro
Matera
Salerno
Castrovillari
Samatzai
Vibo V.
Grinding Center (4)
Isola d.F.
Italcementi Group
147
Go to market model
Sales office
5 Commercial areas
15 Sales offices
3 Key account manager
3 Product managers
3 Market managers
Area Headquarter
Italcementi Group
148
Steady improvement
Environment
clinker ratio
trend
Clinker
ratio
trend
Alternative fuel
Alternative fuel
Index
2008
=100
2008
index=100
2008 index=100
300
99,5
-1.4%
183%
250
200
99,0
150
98,5
100
98,0
50
97,5
0
2008
2009
Innovation
Italcementi Group
Target 2010
Target 2011
2008
2009
Target 2010
Target 2011
Innovation rate
149
-17.1%
-8.1%
-8.2%
-3.8%
Savings on
Fixed costs
09vs08
Italcementi Group
Savings on
Variable
Costs
09vs08
-4.0%
-1.8
Total Cost
Savings
09 vs08
Savings on
Fixed costs
10vs09
Savings on
Variable
Costs
10vs09
Total Cost
Savings
10vs09
150
(108.4)
(56.8)
(23.5)
Act Dec of 2009
vs.. Dec 2008
Italcementi Group
151
SHORT TERM
MEDIUM TERM
Industry restructuring/
consolidation
Italcementi Group
152
Othergrindingcentres
Italcementi Group
153
960
920
-9.0%
880
840
800
2009
2014
kWh/ton clinker
85
80
-9.6%
75
70
2009
Italcementi Group
2014
154
Conclusions:
Improvements in the next future should come from:
Efficiency:
Industrial efficiency (e.g.: alternative fuel usage, technical performance)
Labour productivity FTE optimization
Plants revamping (Rezzato/Monselice)
Network rationalization
We expect to have a positive impact on EBITDA at steady state in the region of
EURm70 at current market conditions
Market:
The current average market price is not sustainable for the industry
A price range similar to other European markets
(Spain/Germany/Austria) should have a positive impact on EBITDA at
steady state in the region of EURm75-80
Some partial help could also come from a slight increase in volumes
Italcementi Group
155
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Italy
North America
Egypt
Morocco
India
156
Italcementi Group
Investor Event
North America
Italcementi
Group
Agadir 24-25
September 2010
Title
157
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
Inhabitants, millions
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1964
1974
1984
Population
1994
4
2
0
2004
2014
Real GDP
Outlook 2010-2014
GDP to grow 2.5% (CAGR)
Construction to grow 4.3%, mainly from public works
2009 Stimulus Plan: $Bn140 in infrastructure, of which $50Bn into highways
Sept. 2010: Obama proposal for US$50Bn in transportation infrastructure
SOURCES: Italcementi estimates
Italcementi Group
158
150
Mt
127 Mt
1993/2006
120 Mt
100
PCA Sep 2010
forecast
2010-2015
1973/1993
1946/1973
70 Mt in
2009
50
1928/1946
1900/1928
0
1900
1915
1930
1945
1960
1975
1990
2005
2020
Italcementi Group
159
Lafarge
16
Recent moves
Holcim
14
Heidelberg
13
Cemex
12
Buzzi
Ash Grove
Italcementi
Votorantim
TXI
Titan
12
Vicat
13
Italcementi Group
160
Market presence
Other
5
RMC
17
78
Cement
Italcementi Group
Puerto Rico
161
Capacity installed
in Essroc market area, 2009
7.3
Lafarge
Italcementi
5.3
4.2
Heidelberg
3.9
Votorantim
3.0
Cemex
2.6
Holcim
2.4
Buzzi
Titan
1.1
Eagle Materials
1.0
Cementos Portland
Amstrong
0.6
0.3
Mt
Italcementi Group
162
Montreal
PICTON
ESSEXVILLE
Osweg
o
Rocheste
r
Toronto
East Baldwin
Bow
Palmer
Chicago
Windsor
Bessemer
Clevelan
d
LOGANSPORT
MBO
Columbus
SPEED
40 RMC plants
3 aggregates pits
MARTINSBURG
Fairfield
Wilder
NAZARETH
Leetsdale
Baltimore
Frederick
Cement Plant
Grinding
Nitro
Richmond
Cement Terminal
Ciment Quebeca)
NPT News
Salisbury
200 mi
200 km
Charlotte
Smithfield
PUERTO RICO
Italcementi Group
163
750
828
830
736
Revenues
559
EBITDA
161
196
174
78
a)
2005
IFRS figures
Italcementi Group
2006
2007
2008
2009
164
2005
2010d)
1200
900
156
146
1348
883
c)
Wet process
d) Budget
Italcementi Group
20
165
2005
2010d)
1004
842
2.7
1.3
3.2
1.7
Fugitive Dust
13 ESPs(b)
Italcementi Group
c) Wet process
100% Baghouse
d) Budget
166
Kiln technology
% of capacity
Kiln size
kt clinker/year
Kiln vintage
Year
Thermal
consumption
Mcal/t
Italcementi Group
Precalciner
Preheater
Long Dry
Wet
8%
2011
36%
43%
18%
47%
31%
10%
7%
365
39
1200
640
28
870
167
Opportunities
Italcementi Group
168
positioning
Develop terminal network to support market coverage
Improve
industrial
performance
Reduce logistic
costs
Sustainable
development
Italcementi Group
Nazareth
Leverage increased labour productivity
169
Italcementi Group
170
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Italy
North America
Egypt
Morocco
India
171
Italcementi Group
Investor Event
Egypt
Italcementi
Group
Agadir 24-25
September 2010
172
172
2009
2010
05-09
09-14
Actual
Actual
Forecast
CAGR
CAGR
1.8
1.8
1.6
1.8%
1.6%
6.0
4.6
4.5
5.5%
4.5%
18.3
11.8
8.0
7.4%
6.6%
Construction (% yoy)
11.9
14.2
4.0
8.7%
6.2%
Italcementi Group
173
CAGR 2005-09
+13.9%
Grey Cement
Egypt Market
Volumes
Mt
28.5
30.1
34.5
38.5
2005
2006
2007
2008
48.0
49.6
53.1
56.3
59.7
63.2
2009
2010F
2011F
2012F
2013F
2014F
Italcementi Group
174
2008
2009
2010
2014
Clinkerplantcapacity
41.3
43.0
47.1
59.9
(A)
Clinkerproduction
38.3
40.9
44.9
59.3
(B)
DomesticUtilizationRate
93%
95%
95%
99%
(B/A)
Demand
Clinkerdomesticconsumption
35.0
41.9
43.8
56.0
Clinkerbalance
3.3
1.0
1.1
3.3
Supply
Volumes/MT
Balance
Cement Market
Grey Clinker Supply / Demand Balance (Mt)
Source: Italcementi
Italcementi Group
175
Italcementi
11.7
Lafarge
9.6
Cemex
5.7
Titan
4.3
Cimpor
4.2
Sinai
3.5
NCC
3.1
MisrBeniSuef
1.9
Qena
1.8
SouthValley
0.9
Others
1.3
South
Valley
2,0%
Qena Others
3,7% 2,8%
Italcementi
24,4%
Sinai
7,3%
Cemex
11,9%
Cimpor
8,6%
Titan
8,9%
Lafarge
20,0%
Italcementi Group
176
30.9%
Market Share
ITC Egypt
Volumes
M tons
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
28.3%
24.4%
1
2
30.1%
8,6
9,3
10,6
10,9
11,7
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
5,9
6.1
H1 2009
H1 2010
ITC Egypt
OPC Bags Exwork price
EGP/t
2007
Italcementi Group
2008
2009
2010
177
Italcementi Group
178
Clinker/cement ratio
Clinker/cement
ratio
13000
2007-2010= -2,8%
12500
= -1,4%
= -0,1%
12000
= -1,3%
11500
11000
10500
2007
2008
2009
2007
2010
2009
2010
Cement
Cementproduction/Staff
production/Staff
Fuel
FuelMix
Mix
(kton/FTE)
(kton/FTE)
100%
80%
60%
2008
44%
52%
GAS
48%
53%
4
40%
20%
56%
48%
OIL
52%
47%
2
0%
2007
2008
Italcementi Group
2009
2010
2007
2008
2009
2010
179
Revenue
1.910
2005
3.543
4.167
2006
2007
6.138
5.313
892
2008
2009
2005
1.602
1.783
1.915
2.030
2006
2007
2008
2009
Cash Flow
1.348
1.212
2006
2007
577
2005
1.584
1.736
2008
2009
IFRS compliant
Italcementi Group
180
Italcementi Group
181
Italcementi Group
182
Italcementi Group
183
Italcementi Group
184
Italcementi Group
185
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Italy
North America
Egypt
Morocco
India
186
Italcementi Group
Investor Event
Morocco
Italcementi
Group
Agadir 24-25
September 2010
Title
187
187
Population 2007:
CAGR: 02-07:
07-12:
Life expectancy at birth:
Age pyramid (2007):
45000
Rabat
0.7
Casablanca
3.6
Agadir
0.4
Fes
0.7
Marrakech
0.7
Urbanization
(Rural and urban population trends)
40000
35000
70%
total
30000
25000
20000
urban
15000
5000
63%
CAGR 2012/25
Total:
1.1%
Urban: 2.0%
rural
10000
CAGR 2000/12
Total:
1.4%
Urban: 2.5%
46%
1986
1990
2000
Italcementi Group
2012
2025
188
a)
2011
a)
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2012-14
3.0
7.8
2.7
5.6
4.9
4.0
4.0
4.5
27.5
28.1
31.2
33.0
30.7
32.0
32.0
32.0
1.0
3.3
2.0
3.7
1.0
1.1
2.2
2.4
a)
a) Forecasts
Sources of GDP
2009
16,8%
55,1%
Italcementi Group
28,1%
Agriculture
Services
Industry
189
Non-Residential
Growing demand for service buildings
(schools, hospitals, stadiums)
Commercial buildings
Financial centres
Tourist facilities: hotels, resorts,
entertainment structures
190
Kt
8.0%
CAGR
4.5%
3.4%
Italcementi Group
191
Breakdown by region
Tanger
Rabat
Casablanca
Settat - Ben Ahmed
2
3
Safi
Tetouan
Nador
Fes
Meknes
Beni-Mellal
Marrakech
Infrastructure
14%
Non residential
6%
Agadir
Cement demand
(2009, kt)
Italcementi Group
+21.8 %
+20.6 %
+14.5 %
+13.5 %
+10.1 %
200-400
401-600
601-800
801-1000
1001-1200
1201-1400
1401-1600
>1600
Residential, 80%
(including civil engineering
for social housing programme)
192
6.3
5.7
4.0
1.2
1.6
18.8
41
26
24
9
Italcementi Group
193
Italcementi Group
194
16
Technological factors
Change in housing
characteristics
Increasing competitiveness of
cement vs. other building
materials
Introduction of new building
technologies
Change in building code
Improvement of concrete
quality
14
12
10
Demographic factors
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1986
1984
1982
1980
1978
1976
1974
1972
1970
1968
1966
1964
1962
1960
Italcementi Group
195
Cement plant
Grinding center
Plants:
ISO certificates:
4
9001 & 14001
Grinding centers:
3,920
5,840
3,689
Italcementi Group
26
196
2010
1,550
2,200
+ 31%
Technology type:
dry (modern)
Achievement
33
years
ITCITC
team
work
years
team
work
Layout
Italcementi Group
197
- 24%
Power consumption:
- 20%
Variable costs:
- 20%
Fixed costs:
- 10%
CO2 emissions:
- 15%
Italcementi Group
198
Marrakech de-bottlenecking:
+ 60 kt of clinker per year
Italcementi Group
199
Ready-mix business
Aggregates business
4.6
Batching units:
23
Quarries:
17
Capacity (Mt):
2.7
0.8
2.6
Italcementi Group
130.0
3
200
Aggregates (kt)
Ready-mix (km3)
-0.9%
-0.7%
-10.8%
Cement (EURm)
Aggregates (EURm)
Ready-mix (EURm)
Volumes
+41.2%
Recurring
EBITDA
-12.9%
Italcementi Group
-1.7%
201
70%
300
60%
250
50%
43.8%
200
43.0%
41.3%
37.9%
30.8%
150
40%
30%
100
20%
50
10%
0%
2005
2006
Turnover
Italcementi Group
2007
RecurringEBITDA
2008
2009
%RecurringEBITDA
202
Italcementi Group
203
Conclusions
In 2010:
We shall exploit the benefits from the completion of the Ait Baha plant
We are improving our operating results
We will continue the optimization of working capital begun in 2009
In 2011:
We will begin industrial cement network rationalization
We will capture the full impact of the Ait Baha plant efficiency
We will significantly reduce the environmental impact of our cement plants
We will begin to reap the benefit of other industrial efficiency investments
A solid and efficient sustainable platform ready for new strategic developments
Italcementi Group
204
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Italy
North America
Egypt
Morocco
India
205
Italcementi Group
Investor Event
India
Italcementi
Group
Agadir 24-25
September 2010
206
206
Million
1500
1000
40%
500
30%
28%
26%
0
1991
2001
2008
2030
GDP 2030
GDP 2010
>1 $tn
17,0%
4-5x
14,0%
Urban
9,2%
9,3%
7,0%
6,5%
8,0%
8,0%
8,0%
8,6%
144
65
2006
2007
252
225
9,0%
7,5%
Rural
2008
2009
GDP%
Construction%
E2010
2010-14
80
97
161
180
201
117
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Italcementi Group
207
+100mt
297
INDIA
2005-09 : 9.4% (actual)
2009-14 : 9.0% (forecast)
300
272
200
151
150135
164
179
193
229
210
1091
1000
800
600
53
59
62
42
47
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
72
67
79
85
92
2011
2012
427
403
317
170
200
0
SOUTH
2005-09 : 10.6% (actual)
2009-14 : 8.3% (forecast)
2010
490
400
+30mt
100
50
1200
250
250
2013
China
2014
W.Europe
World
Japan
US
India
Residential
55%
Nonresidential
15%
Italcementi Group
208
164
24
25
31
29
55
172
26
25
33
30
59
191
30
27
40
34
216
31
30
49
34
61
73
42
38
60
38
92
301
48
39
64
46
104
322
335 348
361
50
50
54
41
43
39
39
64
67
70
71
49
51
51
51
120
128
136
142
50
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
South.
West
North
Central
23
13
145mt
22
69
East
18
Italcementi Group
209
96%
97%
88%
86%
77%
74%
73%
74%
132
124
112
(million tons)
98
79
55
8
5
42
57
4
5
47
60
2
5
53
65
2
5
59
9
8
62
34
30
23
9
67
10
72
12
79
34
13
85
77%
Capacity Utilization
139
Estimated Available
Capacity
32
Unutilized Cap.
15
Net Exports
92
Demand
CAGR 09-14: 8.3%
10,0
0,0%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
A long run of high saturation (2005-09) led to strong profits and cash flows for
the industry
Reinvestment by existing players plus new players have further fragmented
the market
Recovery expected from 2013 while possible consolidation moves can help
Italcementi Group
210
Italcementi Group
211
2009
2011
3.5
3.5
6.0
6.8%
4.9%
5.7%
Recently commissioned
Yerraguntla brown-field
expansion and upcoming
Chennai grinding unit will boost
ZCL market share.
East markets
Maharashtra
Mumbai
20.9 M.inhab.
Hyderabad
6.2 M.inhab.
ITC Sitapuram
2009:1.3mt
ITC Yerraguntla
2009: 2.2mt
2010: 3,7mt
South India
Italcementi Group
Bangalore
6.4 M.inhab.
Chennai
7.2 M.inhab.
Chennai GU
2011: 1,0mt
Main Cities
Full Cycle
Plant
Grinding
212
213
214
Italcementi Group
215
3.600
3.100
3.252
CY (Jan-Dec)
3.258
3.240
2.925
2.657
2.600
2.244
2.280
2.100
1.693
1.600
1.100
600
100
-400
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Brand
position
C+
Italcementi Group
B+
A/A+
2007
2008
2009
H1 2010
Price trend
A/A+
A/A+
216
EBITDA (%)
70,0%
CY (Jan-Dec)
12000
60,0%
10000
50,0%
8000
40,0%
6000
30,0%
4000
20,0%
2000
10,0%
0,0%
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Turnover (mINR)
Italcementi Group
2007
2008
2009
H1 2010
EBITDA %
217
34,7%
36,3%
35,0%
32,1%
34,0%
31,0%
31,8%
28,9%
25,4%
25,4%
24,8%
21,1%
11,9%
9,0%
2003
11,7%
Madras Cements
20,3%
15,2%
12,2%
12,7%
India Cements
10,4%
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
H1 2010
(*) Zuari: EBITDA adjusted for like to like comparison with competitors results
Competitors: local GAAP (source: BSE)
Italcementi Group
218
Hyderabad
6.2 M.inhab.
Greenfield
Sitapuram
~ 2 Mt clinker/y
Yerraguntla
Second line
~ 2 Mt clinker/y
Second line
~ 2Mt clinker/y completed
Grinding center
Bangalore
6.4 M.inhab.
Chennai
7.2 M.inhab.
1Mt/y under
construction
Non organic
Despite recent fairly high priced
acquisitions , we expect valuations /
expectations to ease
Plenty of room for further
consolidation in South and
other adjoining regions
To diversify geographically, actively
considering opportunities beyond
current South markets
Italcementi Group
219
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Medium term financials
2010-2014 forecast
Financial Policy
Concluding remarks
Italcementi Group
220
Volumes, 2009-14
4.1%
13.7
11.2
Cement and clinker volumes sold
Million tons
2009A
66.8
11
12
55
13
Percentage of emerging
countries on total1
CAGR
13
2014
44
2014
57
12
55.7
10
11
39
3.7%
2009A
10
47.5
39.1
2009A
10
11
12
13
2014
14
Italcementi Group
221
EURbn
4.0
2.0
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.4
1.0
1.1
1.3
1.2
20052009
20102014
0.0
Sustainingandotherinvestments
Majorprojects
Strategyinvestments(w/omajor)
Performanceinvestments
3 EURbn; 10.7%
on cumulated
revenues
Italcementi Group
222
Egypt
Italy
cement capacity
Efficiency
Capacity
Sustainability
240 EURm
2010 - 2012
Wet Line
Relocation
Efficiency
Capacity
Sustainability
200 EURm
2012 - 2014
Efficiency
Rationalization
240 EURm
2011 - 2014
Capacity
100 EURm
2013 - 2014
. EURm
New Line
2.9 mt/y
2 Kilns
Revamping
India
New Line
Sitapuram
.....
Italcementi Group
..
223
1,800
Further growth options and
capacity increase to be evaluated
Market share increase
in selected countries
1,400
1,000
2007
08
09
10
11
12
13
2014
Italcementi Group
224
2000
2004
Industrial
Plan 2014E
2008
15%
35%
Cement
Capacity(*)
42 mt
55 mt
11%
14%
46%
68 mt
52%
55%
73 mt
~80mt
16%
Revenues
36%
43%
45%
46%
(after
eliminations)
14%
15%
21%
EBITDA
recurring
Italcementi Group
Mature countries
Emerging countries
225
226
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Medium term financials
2010-2014 forecast
Financial Policy
Concluding remarks
Italcementi Group
227
Balance Sheet
Management
Coherent with BBB/Baa2 mid-cycle rating
Liquidity
Management
Italcementi Group
228
Debt Structure
Balance Sheet
Management
Sources
Diversification
Liquidity
Management
Term Structure
Liquidity
Support
Italcementi Group
229
Dividend
Policy
Target
Leverage /
Gearing
Balance Sheet
NetManagement
Debt / EBITDA
Debt Structure
2.0x 2.5x
Coherent with
BBB/Baa2
mid-cycle
rating
GCF
/ Net Debt
30%
35%
Sources
Diversification
Liquidity
EBITDA
/ Net Interest
Management
Net Debt / Total Equity
2009
2.5x
29.8%
> 6x
9.1x
Term Structure
< 70%
52%
Liquidity
Support
Italcementi Group
230
55%
47%
50%
45%
Sources
Payout
Diversification
40%
35%
30%
25%
24%
23%
2004
2005
2006
25%
25%
0.18
38%
0.12
20%
15%
10%
Italcementi Group
2007
2008
2009
of the cycle
0.25
231
Debt Structure
Sources
Diversification
Liquidity
Management
Term Structure
Liquidity
Support
Italcementi Group
232
Debt Structure
Sources
Diversification
Liquidity
Management
Term Structure
Liquidity
Support
Italcementi Group
233
Remove structural
subordination
Reinforce funding
sources diversification
Reinforce liquidity
backup headroom
Mitigate liquidity
insurance cost increase
Italcementi Group
234
ITC refinancing of
EURm500 CF 2017 Bond
Italcementi Group
Q1
Q3
Q4
TBD
235
Debt Profile before and after the Bond issue Groupwide view
March bond issue was key first step in the plan, resulting in longer average debt
life and reduced structural subordination at Group level
Bonds outstanding were 40% of gross debt vs. 29% at 2009 year-end
Gross Debt Breakdown by Borrower
as of 31/12/2009
as of 30/6/2010
EURm
EURm
3.500
3.500
3,165(*)
3.000
3,283(*)
Italcementi ex CF Group
3.000
2.500
1.137
2.500
2.000
2.000
1,020
1.500
193
477
445
217
813
772
643
201
477
351
257
1.500
64%oftotal
55
44%oftotal
1.000
2.028
1.000
231
70
500
789
0
Gross
Debt
0-1yr
1,355
761
1.451
500
2
191
1-2yr
743
330
327
147
118
176
41
2-3yr
3-4yr
4-5yr
103
12
528
3
198
439
228
232
38
123
25
1-2yr
2-3yr
3-4yr
4-5yr
0
5+ yr
Gross
Debt
0-1yr
539
5+ yr
(*)ExcludingMTMofderivativesinstruments
Italcementi Group
236
EURm
3.500
3.500
3.000
3.000
2.000
2,456
2.500
670
150
511
800
330
195
420
2.6 years of
liquidity headroom
2.000
200
1.500
1.500
67%oftotal
1.000
1.000
1.636
500
(***)
100
150
261
0
Total
0-1yr
500
800
1-2yr
320
100
230
195
100
150
50
2-3yr
3-4yr
4-5yr
5+ yr
0
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y>5
(*)EURm373ofoutstandingBdT classifiedonBalanceSheetasL/Tdebtareshownhereas01yrmaturityfollowingratingagencyanalysis;unutilisedM/Tcreditlinesareshowngrossofthesameamount
(**)ExcludingMTMofderivativesinstruments(***)1yrswingline,additional150MstilloutstandingasCFlinereplacedinJuly
Italcementi Group
237
Borrower
Italcementi Finance SA
Guarantor
Italcementi SpA
Bookrunners
Participants
Tenor
5 years bullet
Amount
Financial
Covenant
Italcementi Group
238
EURm
3.500
3.500
3.000
3.000
3.9 years of
liquidity
headroom
2.500
2.500
2,261
545
0
561
105
205
270
1,120
1.500
1.500
1.000
2.000
1.270
20%oftotal
100
500
446
0
Total
350
(***)
111
25
80
205
0-1yr
1-2yr
2-3yr
3-4yr
150
1.000
920
500
50
270
4-5yr
5+ yr
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Y>5
Italcementi Group
239
Balance Sheet
Management
Debt Structure
Sources
Diversification
Liquidity
Management
Term Structure
Liquidity
Support
Italcementi Group
240
Welcome to Agadir
Opening remarks
Macroeconomic and construction cycle
Key strategic guidelines and actions
Focus on selected markets
Medium term financials
Concluding remarks
Italcementi Group
241
Italcementi Group
242
Italcementi Group
243
Italcementi Group
244
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and future results of Italcementi and its
affiliate Ciments Franais that are based on the current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections about the
industries in which Italcementi and Ciments Franais operate, and on the beliefs and assumptions of the management
of Italcementi and Ciments Franais. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to
management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on equity, risk management,
competition, changes in business strategy and the acquisition and disposition of assets are forward-looking in nature.
Words such as expects, anticipates, scenario, outlook, targets, goals, projects, intends, plans, believes,
seeks, estimates, as well as any variation of such words and similar expressions, are intended to identify such
forward-looking statements. Those forward-looking statements are only assumptions and are subject to risks,
uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend upon
circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, actual results of Italcementi or of its affiliate Ciments Franais
may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statement and neither
Italcementi nor Ciments Franais does assume any liability with respect thereto. Factors that might cause or
contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, global economic conditions, the impact of competition, or
political and economic developments in the countries in which Italcementi and Ciments Franais operate. Any
forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Italcementi or of Ciments Franais speak only as of the date they
are made. Neither Italcementi nor Ciments Franais does undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect
any change in their expectations with regard thereto, or any change in events, conditions or circumstances which any
such statement is based on. The reader is advised to consult any further disclosure that may be made in documents
filed by Italcementi with Borsa Italiana S.p.A (Italy) and by Ciments Franais with the Autorit des Marchs Financiers
(France).
The Manager in Charge of preparing Italcementi SpA financial reports, Carlo Bianchini, hereby certifies pursuant to
paragraph 2 of art. 154-bis of the Consolidated Law on Finance (Testo Unico della Finanza), that the accounting
disclosures of this document are consistent with the accounting documents, ledgers and entries.
This presentation has been prepared solely for the use at the meeting/Analyst Meeting with investors and analysts at
the date shown below. Under no circumstances may this presentation be deemed to be an offer to sell, a solicitation
to buy or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities of any kind in any jurisdiction where such an offer, solicitation or
sale should follow any registration, qualification, notice, disclosure or application under the securities laws and
regulations of any such jurisdiction.
Italcementi Group
245