To cite this Article Hussain, H. , Radin Umar, R.S. and Ahmad Farhan, M.S.(2011) 'Establishing speed-flow-density
relationships for exclusive motorcycle lanes', Transportation Planning and Technology, 34: 3, 245 257
To link to this Article: DOI: 10.1080/03081060.2011.565175
URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03081060.2011.565175
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a
Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400,
Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia; bDepartment of Higher Education, Ministry of Higher Education,
Level 3, Block E9, Parcel E, 62505, Putrajaya, Malaysia; cMalaysian Institute of Road Safety
Research, Lot 125-135, Jalan TKS 1, Taman Kajang Sentral, 43000, Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia
1. Introduction
As a result of the low socioeconomic status of its people and relatively poor public
transport services, especially in busy urban areas, motorcycle riding is an alternative
and cheaper mode of transport which provides the freedom of door-to to door travel
in countries such as Malaysia and other developing Asian countries. In addition, it is
part of the travelling culture in these hot climate countries. The motorcycle
population in Malaysia represents 47% of the total vehicle mix (Malaysian Road
Transport Department 2007), and motorcycle riders and pillion passengers account
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H. Hussain et al.
for 57% of road accident fatalities (Royal Malaysian Police 2007). It clearly indicates
that motorcycle accidents are a key accident problem in the country and that
something must be done to tackle the road safety problem of this major and
vulnerable road user.
The idea of segregating motorcycles from the traffic mix in Malaysia was initiated
during the early 1970s. The first exclusive motorcycle lane was constructed along
Federal Highway Route 2 (F02) in the state of Selangor. But as there were no proper
guidelines available at that time, the geometric design of this facility was based on a
rule-of-thumb approach. Studies later showed that the introduction of this 30-kmlong (per direction) exclusive motorcycle lane led to a significant reduction in
motorcycle accidents by 39% on that stretch (Radin Umar et al. 1995, 2000). This
supported the notion that segregation is the best engineering approach to avoid
conflicts between motorcyclists and other vehicles in the traffic mix, thus reducing
serious injuries and fatalities.
Recently, the Malaysian Government decided to adopt a policy to provide
exclusive motorcycle lanes along its new federal roads as part of its engineering
approach to reduce motorcycle accidents (The Star Newspaper 2007). This policy
involves a large-scale project with usually limited financial resources. Therefore, it is
essential for traffic engineers to have some idea regarding the maximum number of
motorcycles that can be accommodated in a motorcycle lane (i.e. its capacity) in their
attempt to minimise the costs of construction and to maximise the operating
performance of the motorcycle lane.
Despite the widely available literature related to the fundamental speedflow
density relationships, capacity and level of service for roadways, pedestrians and
bicycle lane facilities (HCM 2000), there has been a knowledge gap for motorcycle
lanes. This paper is seen as an initial effort towards a better understanding
of motorcycle traffic science, operations and facility design. It attempts to
develop motorcycle speedflowdensity relationships along an uninterrupted
exclusive motorcycle lane from which the values of critical density, critical speed
and capacity may be determined.
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motorcycle lane. The first pattern is for situations when the motorcycle lane width is
1.7 m or less, thus constraining the available riding space of the motorcyclists and as
a consequence forcing them to ride in a single file regardless of low- or high-flow
traffic conditions. This riding behaviour is known as headway (or platoon) behaviour
and the motorcycle flow is measured in mc/hr/lane. For the second riding pattern,
motorcyclists are able to pass other motorcyclists as the width is more than 1.7 m.
The formation of two lines during low- or high-flow traffic conditions is observable
and this pattern is referred to as the space pattern and the motorcycle flow is
expressed in mc/hr/m width.
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Model
Speeddensity equation
Linear (Greenshields)
Exponential (Underwood)
Logarithmic (Greenberg)
Sf DSff D
Sf e D
Dc
D
S Sc ln Dj
S Sf Dff D
lnS lnSf D1 D
c
S Sc ln Dj Sc lnD
Note:
S speed; Sf free-flow speed; Sc critical speed; Ddensity; Dc critical density; Dj jam density.
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3. Methodology
3.1. Field parameters
As in the general vehicular traffic stream, the understanding of the macroscopic
parameters of a motorcycle traffic stream, such as motorcycle speed, motorcycle flow
and motorcycle density, is essential. Parameters recorded in the field were individual
motorcycle spot speeds, motorcycle volumes and total paved width of the motorcycle
lanes. Time-mean speeds were converted to space-mean speeds according to
established traffic flow theories (Wardrop 1952). Data collection was carried out to
cover the two observable riding behaviour patterns, i.e. the headway pattern (where the
motorcycle lane is 1.7 m wide or less) and also the space pattern (where the motorcycle
lane is more than 1.7 m wide). Motorcycle volumes collected in 1-minute intervals
were converted to an equivalent rate of flow in motorcycles per hour. The motorcycle
flow rate for the headway riding pattern was computed as motorcycles per hour per
lane. For the space riding pattern, motorcycles per hour per unit width was obtained
by dividing the rate of flow by the total width of the motorcycle lane.
Figure 1. Motorcyclists riding along exclusive motorcycle lane, Federal Highway Route 2,
Selangor, Malaysia.
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Observations from these three sites exhibited only the initial portion of a stable flow
condition (i.e. low density, high speed) even under peak-hour conditions and
minimum width of 2.4 m. It indicated that the lane width provided using the rule-ofthumb approach is overdesigned in comparison to the volume of motorcycles riding
along this stretch. As such, the chances of recording motorcycle flow at capacity and
near-jam density conditions along this exclusive motorcycle lane are rather slim.
Observations of motorcycle flow at capacity could be made possible if the widths
were narrower than 2.4 m and coupled with considerably higher motorcycle flows.
The second stage involved three experimental studies representing three different
widths of less than 2.4 m conducted on the Universiti Putra Malaysia campus. These
studies involved 100 motorcyclists who volunteered to ride along level and straight
basic segments that were narrowed on one side by safety cones. The experimental
total lane widths were 1.5, 1.7 and 1.9 m, respectively.
The success of these experimental studies in obtaining data covering capacity and
near-jam density conditions led to similar experimental studies which were
conducted along the motorcycle lane on Federal Highway Route 2. In this third
stage, the experimental studies were conducted during the morning peak hour of
motorcycle traffic riding along the level and straight basic segments of narrowed
experimental total widths 1.4, 1.6 and 2.0 m, respectively.
4. Regression models
A total of 193 data points measured at 1-minute intervals were aggregated from the
study sites, covering total widths ranging from 1.4 to 3.3 m. Adopting earlier findings
pertaining to headway and space riding patterns (Hussain et al. 2005), the model for the
headway pattern covered data points belonging to observations for total widths of 1.41.7 m. For comparison purposes, the space pattern model encompassed all 193 data
points (i.e. total widths from 1.4 to 3.3 m). Scatter plot diagrams for three relationships
flow (F)-speed (S), flow (F)-density (D) and speed (S) density (D) were obtained.
The initial calibrations focused on the SD relationships because SD curves are
monotonically decreasing and involve simpler mathematical forms than the other
two curves. Linear regression analysis at a 95% confidence interval was employed for
the model fitting and model validation process using the Statistical Package for
Social Sciences (SPSS) software. The three underlying assumptions that random
errors are independent of one another (DurbinWatson, du), have constant variance
(scatter diagram) and are distributed normally (PP plot) were tested.
The outcome of the model-building process for the SD relationship suggested
that the data are best described by Greenbergs logarithmic model (Greenberg 1959).
Since F S D, the calibration of the SD relationship leads to the derivation of
the FD and SD relationships.
4.1. Motorcycle headway riding pattern (total lane width 5 1.7 m)
From the linear regression analysis, the motorcycle speed versus motorcycle density
relationship may be described in a linear form as
S 84 13 lnD
(1)
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(2)
640 mc=km=lane
13 km=hr
235 mc=km=lane
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(3)
Figure 2.
pattern).
(4)
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251
Figure 3.
pattern).
Figure 4.
pattern).
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H. Hussain et al.
(c) Motorcycle speed versus motorcycle flow (Figure 4):
F 640S eS=13
(5)
(6)
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(7)
Figure 5.
pattern).
(8)
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253
Figure 6.
pattern).
Figure 7.
Relationship between motorcycle speed and motorcycle flow (space riding pattern).
(9)
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5. Discussion
In this study, 99% of motorcycles observed along the uninterrupted exclusive
motorcycle lane (one-way) comprised small- and medium-sized motorcycles with
engine capacities of 150 c.c. and below. It therefore described an almost
homogeneous motorcycle traffic stream under ideal conditions. It may also be
hypothesised that under non-ideal conditions where there exists a reasonable mixture
of small- and large-sized motorcycles, together with effects of side frictions and
psychological barriers, riding manners would be rather similar.
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5.2. Motorcycle flow density relationship (headway and space riding patterns)
With respect to motorcycle flowdensity relationships, both Figure 3 (headway
pattern) and Figure 6 (space pattern) showed that motorcycle flow is zero when
motorcycle density is zero. Theoretically, it is zero when there is no motorcyclist
present in the exclusive motorcycle lane. As motorcyclists begin to join the motorcycle
lane, the flow increases with further increments in density. As density reaches a critical
value of 235 mc/km/lane (headway pattern), the motorcycle flow reaches a maximum
point of the parabolic curve that corresponds to the maximum motorcycle flow of 3060
mc/hr/lane and critical speed of 13 km/hr. This maximum point is the capacity of the
motorcycle lane facility. Similar trends were exhibited for the space pattern. At a
critical density of 0.166 mc/m2 (or critical space of 6 m2/mc), capacity is reached at a
maximum motorcycle flow of 2207 mc/hr/m, corresponding to 13 km/hr.
Note that at capacity (headway and space patterns), motorcyclists are riding very
close to each other but within a stable motorcycle traffic flow. Even though the
maximum motorcycle flows for the headway and space patterns are different in their
units of measurement, the capacities are reached at the same critical speeds of
13 km/hr. The similarity in critical speeds for both the headway and space patterns
may be attributed to the earlier assumptions in the data analysis with regard to the
scatter plots for the space pattern. That is, in order to obtain the range of stable flow
through unstable flow conditions for the space pattern, the data points from
motorcycle lanes of 1.7 m or less (which fall under the headway pattern) were used
with the assumption that the motorcyclists were actually being constrained by the
narrower lane widths. This limitation of space within the motorcycle lane width
forced them to ride in a single file.
On the other hand, it also means that motorcyclists adjust their riding speeds in
reaction to the available space and proximity to other motorcyclists riding along the
exclusive motorcycle lanes. Thus, the same critical speeds of 13 km/hr indicated that
the motorcyclist perception of density or proximity with other motorcyclists under
the headway pattern and the space concept are similar. As the available space
approaches a critical condition, the riding speeds continue to drop but still within the
stable flow conditions. The motorcyclists were still able to maintain the stability of
their motorcycles.
After this point of maximum motorcycle flow, a further increase in the number of
motorcyclists caused the flow to become unstable. Within this region, motorcycle
speeds drop slowly from 13 to 5 km/hr over a wide range of motorcycle densities
because motorcyclists tend to utilise the lesser space more efficiently by
occasionally putting their feet on the ground in their effort to move forward and
at the same time maintaining the stability of their motorcycles. However, when
motorcycle speeds drop to 5 km/hr due to the large number of motorcyclists along
the motorcycle lane, they are forced to put their feet down which brings the
motorcycle flow to a halt.
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reduce their speeds due to the reduction in available space along the uninterrupted
exclusive motorcycle lanes. As more motorcyclists are present, this trend continues
until the maximum motorcycle flow condition where the motorcyclists are riding at a
minimum speed of 13 km/hr while maintaining a stable flow. Further increases in
motorcycles caused an unstable flow condition. The motorcycle speed continues to
drop as the motorcycle flow gets slower until it comes to a complete stop at 5 km/hr
and below, when motorcyclists were unable to stabilise their vehicles and forced to
put their feet on the ground.
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Conclusions
This paper has established that the shape of the motorcycle speeddensity relationships for an uninterrupted exclusive motorcycle lane for both types of observable
motorcycle riding behavior (i.e. the headway or platoon pattern and space pattern)
takes the form of a logarithmic curve. Further, based on the fundamental theory that
flow is a product of speed and density, the motorcycle flowdensity and motorcycle
speedflow relationships were derived mathematically. The three fundamental
motorcycle speedflowdensity relationships exhibited trends similar to the ones
established for pedestrians, cyclists and automobiles, which followed the theory of
flow.
From the motorcycle speedflowdensity curves, it was determined that under
the headway riding pattern (lane width of 1.41.7 m) capacity is reached at a
maximum motorcycle flow of 3306 mc/hr/lane corresponding to a critical speed of
13 km/hr and critical density of 235 mc/km/lane. While under the space riding
pattern (lane width 1.7 m), capacity occurs at a maximum motorcycle flow of
2207 mc/hr/m, which corresponds to a critical motorcycle speed of 13 km/hr and
critical motorcycle density of 0.166 mc/m2 (or space of 6.0 m2/mc). Practically, a 1.4
1.7-m-wide motorcycle lane is capable of carrying a maximum motorcycle flow of
3306 mc/hr. By doubling the lane widths would mean that a 2.83.4-m-wide
motorcycle lane is capable of carrying 6612 mc/hr as if the motorcyclists are riding in
two single files across the width of a motorcycle lane. In the case of the space riding
pattern, which has a capacity of 2207 mc/hr/m width, a motorcycle lane of 2.0 m
wide is, for instance, capable of carrying 4414 mc/hr.
Overall, this paper is seen as an initiative to fill the knowledge gap pertaining to
motorcycle speedflowdensity relationships and the capacity of exclusive motorcycle lanes under ideal conditions as well as contributing new knowledge to the field
of motorcycle traffic engineering. Results should provide useful guidance for traffic
engineers to decide on the appropriate width of motorcycle lanes in relation to the
expected motorcycle demand flows along particular segments so as to minimise
construction costs and maximise the performance of the facility.
Acknowledgements
Data, grants and support for field data collections were provided by the National Science
Council IRPA Malaysia, the Public Works Department, Ministry of Works Malaysia and
Roadcare (Malaysia) Sdn. Bhd.
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