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UN
UNIVERSITI
IVERS ITI
TEKNOLOGI
P ETRONAS

111

Ft[sJi1I

1i

COURSE

FCM20631EAB21 231EBB21 23 - PROBABILITY &

STATISTICS

DATE

08THSEPTEMBER 2011 (THURSDAY)

TIME

9.00 AM - 12.00 NOON (3 hours)

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
I.

Answer ALL questions from the Question Booklet.

2.

Begin EACH answer on a new page in the Answer Booklet.

3.
4.

Indicate clearly answers that are cancelled, if any.

Where applicable, show clearly steps taken in arriving at the solutions and
indicate ALL assumptions.

5.

Do not open this Question Booklet until instructed.

Nate :L

There are TEN (10) pages in this Question Booklet

including the cover page.
IL

Graph Paper and Formulae Book is provided.

llniversiti

r1Eknolagi

PEl}RONAS

FCM20631EAB1EBB 2123
I.

a.

The average age of the football players on each team of the premier league
are as follows.

29.4

29.8

29.4

31.8

32.7

34.0

28.5

27.9

30.9

29.3

28.8

28.6

29.1

31.0

30.7

30.3

29.7

31,0

28.4

28.9

27.7

28.7

30.5

29.8

26.6

27.9

27.9

29.9

29.3

28.1

Construct a stem-and-leaf display for these data

[4 marks]

IL

Find the mode and the mean of the data

[2 marks]

ilL

Construct a box-plot for these data.

[4 marks]

FCM2063JEABIEBB 2123

The scientists claim that the variance of sugar content of the syrup in canned
be
From
thought
18
Io
to
peaches
mgt.
a random sample of
cans yields a
deviation
4.8mg.
sample
of
i.

At a=0.05,

do these data support the claim of the scientists?

[7 marks]

ii,

What is the P-value for this test?

[3 marks]

FCM20631EAB1EBB2123

2.

a.

Let X be continuous random variable with the following distribution

f(x)=

1(

(x_2)2

_-expfI7t

<x<
Co
--

+oo

What are the mean and the variance ofXwithout calculation?

[4 marks]

II.

What is the transformation needed to change the mean of X to 0 and

the variance of X to 1?
[4 marks]

iii.

Without calculation, find the value of

:

iexpC_

dx.

[4 marks]

b.

The lifetime of a certain electronic component is known to be exponentially

distributed with a mean lifetime of 90 hours. What is the probability that
i.

the lifetime of the component is more than 100 hours?

[4 marks]
ii.

fail
600
before
minutes?
a component will
[4 marks]

FCM2063IEABIEBB 2123
3.

a.

A survey of passenger car weight (kips) and corresponding fuel mileage

data
Q3(a).
TABLE
in
the
gives
shown
TABLE Q3(a)
Car
1

3
4:

Fuel Mileage
25
17
20
21

Wei ht k s
2.5
4.2
3.6
3. D

These four cars represent a random sample of the entire passenger car
population.
L

Determine the estimated equation for predicting the fuel mileage

based on the weight.
[5 marks]

ii.

Find the standard error of the estimates.

[2 marks]

iii.

Determine the expected value of the fuel mileage if a car weighs 3. g

kips.
[2 marks]

vi.

Suppose the fuel mileage is normally distributed and the variance is

fuel
that
have
the
find
mileage of
a
probability
a car will
constant,
2.3
kips.
it
if
28
weighs
more than
[5 marks]

FCM2063IEABIEBB 2123
b.

Three different pesticides can be used to control infestations of rambutans.

It is suspected that pesticide 3 is more effective than the other two. In a
for
different
three
particular plantation,
plantings of rambutans are selected
The
TABLE
Q3(b).
in
study.
yields are given
TABLE Q3(b)
Pesticide

2
3

;
(average
yields)
4.6
5.2
6.1

s;

n;

(standard
deviation of
yields
0.?'
0.6
0.8

(number of
plants
100
120
130

Letp, be the true mean yield after treatment with the it,pesticide and given

as p=

(p1 +p)-

I.

Find X, the point estimator of the true mean yield.

[2 marks]

ii.

If the variance of the sample mean is given by

1 a;

62

63

1
VAX,
n1
nz
13
-- _+_1+_

X
and

is approximately normal find a 95% two sided confidence

interval for
ti.
[4 marks]

FCM20631EABIEBB 2123
4.

a.

Let X be the random variable with,

f(x)

-D,

2J
D,
1,3
Iklx- , x=--l,
elsewhere

k is a constant. Find,
I.

the value of k such that f(x) is a true probability distribution function.

[2 marks]

ii.

the mean and the standard deviation of X.

[3 marks]

b.

It is known that a student gets sick, on average, 2 times a year. Let the
follows
Poisson
he/she
distribution.
times
that
a
gets sick
number of
L

Calculate the probability that a student gets sick at least 12 times in

the next five years.
[2 marks]

ii.

If we choose 5 students at random, what is the probability that four of

them will get sick 12 times in the next five years?

[3 marks]

FCM20631EABlEBB 2123
C.

A two way analysis of the variance was performed to estimate the effects of
Q4(c).
in
TABLE
type
level
illumination
of candles as shown
and size of
TABLE Q4(c)

A (illumination
level)
B (size of type)
_

__

--

AS Interaction

Error

Tota I

i.

74

Mean of
Squares
?

Sum of
wares
273,90

df

Source

?
___

263.55

302.49

2413.95

Fill in the missing values in the ANNA

TABLE Q4(c).
[5 marks]

.
.

05.
interaction
Test for the main and
effects using a=O.
[3 marks]

iii,

What is your condusion?

[2 marks]

FCM20631EAB/EBB 2123

5.

a.

Aminah have three sweaters, four skirts and seven blouses. Haw many
ways can she pick one sweater, two skirts and three blouses to take along
her
trip?
on
[2 marks]

b.

LetA and B are two independent

in
It
is
known
S.
that
events
sample space,

P(A n B)= 0.36 and P(A u B) = 0. $4 Find

.

i.

P(A) and P(B)

[4 marks]
ii.

p(A n B)

[2 marks]
iii.

PIAI B

[2 marks]
iv.

P(A v B)

[2 marks]

FCM20631EABIEBB 2123
c.

isa has two children, Ahmad and Mira, they are both a good drivers. On
day,
drives,
0.1%,
Ahmad
is
has
he
that
any
when
an accident
a chance
but when Mira drives, a chance that she has an accident is only 0.3%.
When they go out together, Ahmad drives 60% of the time and Mira drives
40% of the time.

If Ahmad and Mira go out together tonight, what is the probability that
they will come back safely?
[4 marks]

ii.

If there is an accident, what is the probability that Ahmad was giving

the car?
[4 marks]
OF
PAPER
END
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