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A Sharekhan technical research newsletter

For September 30, 2015

Punters Call

RBI protects from global weakness


Market on September 29, 2015: Support at 7691

The Nifty opened gap-down due to global weakness but


when the RBI announced the repo rate cut, it zoomed
and closed above 7800. The RBI gave a positive surprise
and the bulls cheered it all across the Street. The Bank
Nifty had come quite close to its neckline of the inverse
head and shoulders pattern but then it saw some profit
booking in the final hour of the session which didnt let it
closed above the neckline. However, on the lower side,
it has a crucial support at 17070 and till that level is
held the upside is quite likely. The Nifty is expected to
test 8000 initially and thereafter a breakout above 8055
will take it to 8200. The daily KST is still in a buy mode
and with that we continue to maintain our short-term
bias up.

Nifty daily: 7,843


8750
8700
8650
8600
8550
8500
8450
8400
8350
8300
8250
8200
8150
8100
8050
8000
7950
7900
7850
7800
7750
7700
7650
7600
7550
7500
7450
7400
7350
7300
7250
KST (-0.11860)

13

20

27

3
August

10

17

24

2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
31

14

21

28

September

5
October

12

60-minute

Other technical observations

8400
8350
8300

On the daily chart, the index is trading between the 20day moving average (DMA) and the 40-DMA, ie 7819 and
8011 respectively. The momentum indicator is trading in
a positive mode on the daily chart.

8250
8200
8150
8100
8050
8000
7950
7900
7850
7800

On the hourly chart, the Nifty is trading between the


20-hour moving average (HMA) and the 40-HMA, ie 7835
and 7850 respectively, which are crucial intra-day levels.
The hourly momentum indicator has turned positive. The
market breadth was negative with 651 advances and 814
declines on the National Stock Exchange.

7750
7700
7650
7600
7550
7500
7450
7400
KST (0.25010)

2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5

24

25

26

27

28

31

1
2
3
September

10

11

14

15

16

18

21

22

23

24

28

29

30

1
Oct

Market breadth
BSE

NSE

Advances

1,249

651

Decline

1,356

814

110

89

3,053 Cr

20,467 Cr

Unchanged
Volume (Rs)

For Private Circulation only

For Private Circulation only

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1
Eagle Eye
September
30, 2015
sharekhan.com; Disclaimer: Client should read the Risk Disclosure Document issued by SEBI & relevant exchanges and Dos & Donts by MCX & NCDEX
and the T & C on www.sharekhan.com before investing.

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Looking Trendy
Short Term Trend
Index

Target

Trend

Reversal

Support / Resistance

Sensex

27131

Down below 25180

25180/27131

Nifty

8225

Down below 7640

7640/8225

Index

Target

Trend

Reversal

Support / Resistance

Sensex

23720

Up above 27530

23720/27530

Nifty

7140

Up above 8315

7140/8315

Medium Term Trend

Icon guide

Up

Down

Sideways

Downswing matures

Upswing matures

Trendy Levels for Tomorrow


Sensex

Nifty

Support

Resistance

Support

Resistance

25720

25888

7802

7890

25653

25936

7783

7926

25585

26054

7745

7978

20 DSMA

40 DEMA

20 DSMA

40 DEMA

25709

26363

7819

8011

BSE Sensex: 25,778

For Private Circulation only

Nifty: 7,843

Eagle Eye

September 30, 2015

Home

Smart Charts

Date

Recommendation

Action

Stop
Loss/
Reversal
(Intra-day)

Stop Loss/
Reversal DCL

Closing
Price
(CMP)

Buy/Sell
Price

Potential %
P/L at
CMP

Target1

Target 2

29-Sep-15

Bank Of India Oct Fut

Buy

131.0

140.0

138.7

-0.96%

150.0

159.0

29-Sep-15

L & T Oct Fut

Buy

1416.0

1470.0

1452.5

-1.19%

1565.0

1600.0

29-Sep-15

Axis Bank Oct Fut

Buy

487.0

515.2

507.3

-1.54%

554.0

581.0

29-Sep-15

Bank Nifty Oct Fut

Buy

17080.0

17503.3

17350.0

-0.88%

18100.0

18400.0

29-Sep-15

Mcleod Russel Oct Fut

Buy

145.5

153.0

151.8

-0.82%

165.0

173.0

28-Sep-15

Lupin Oct Fut

Buy

1914.0

2039.3

2030.0

-0.45%

2150.0

2262.0

NOTE: Kindly note that all stop losses in Smart Charts Calls are on closing ba sis unless specified.
TPB: Trailing profit booked

Momentum Swing
For the short term1 to 5 days
Stock

29-Sep-15

Bharat Forge Oct Fut

Buy

886.0

913.8

901.3

-1.37%

959.0

980.0

29-Sep-15

TCS Oct Fut

Buy

2575.0

2631.2

2591.0

-1.53%

2690.0

2740.0

Action

Stop Loss/
Reversal

Buy/Sell
Price

Closing
Price

Potential
% P/L at
CMP

Action
Date

Target1

Target 2

NOTE: Kindly note that all stop losses in Momentum Calls are on an intra-day basis.
TPB: Trailing profit booked
NOTE: Action taken after market hours will be highlited in blue colour.
Rules for momentum calls:
1) The stop loss should be placed after 9.17am in order to avoid freak trade
2) The same will be revised in the TradeTiger terminal every day for the pop-ups

Momentum Cash Ideas


For the short term1 to 10 days
Action Date

Stock

28-Sep-15

TataElxsi

Action

Buy

Stop Loss/

Price

Closing
Price

Potential
% P/L at
CMP

Target1

Target 2

Stopped out

1916.5

1840.0

-3.99%

1965.0

2010.0

TPB: Trailing profit booked


NOTE: Action taken after market hours will be highlited in blue colour.
Rules for momentum calls:
1) The stop loss should be placed after 9.17am in order to avoid freak trade
2) The same will be revised in the TradeTiger terminal every day for the pop-ups

For Private Circulation only

Eagle Eye

September 30, 2015

Home

Short Term Trend


- CNX BANK INDEX - 1 MONTH (16,948.90, 17,570.00, 16,670.00, 17,350.00, +164.199)
20000

B
c

19500

19000

18500

Bank Nifty
Support: 16988/16648
Resistance: 17461/17652

18000
0.0%
17500
23.6%
17000

38.2%
50.0%
61.8%

16500

16000
100.0%
C
15500

KST (2.27311)

20

27

3
August

10

17

For Private Circulation only

24

31

3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
-7
-8
-9
7

September

14

21

28

5
October

12

Eagle Eye

September 30, 2015

Home

Day Traders Hit List


For September 30, 2015
Scrip Name

Support Levels

Close

Resistance Levels

Action

S2

S1

(Rs)

R1

R2

7685.0

7800.0

7858.0

7930.0

8030.0

Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1

17070.0

17180.0

17350.0

17520.0

17650.0

Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1

Axis Bank

491.0

498.0

504.0

508.0

518.0

Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1

BHEL

192.0

196.0

197.3

199.8

202.0

Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1

BPCL

828.0

840.0

848.3

857.0

870.0

Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1

1092.0

1108.0

1121.0

1133.0

1152.0

Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1

ICICI Bank

262.0

266.0

268.9

273.0

275.0

Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1

LIC Housing

439.0

446.0

450.5

455.0

462.0

Go long with stop loss below S1


Go long with stop loss below S1

NIFTY Futures
Bank Nifty Futures

INFOSYS

LNT

1412.0

1432.0

1448.3

1465.0

1480.0

Reliance Industries

818.0

832.0

839.2

850.0

863.0

Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1

SBI

236.0

239.5

242.0

245.0

248.0

Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1

SunPharma

831

842

850.4

860

870

Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1

Tata Motors

282.0

286.0

288.65

292.0

295.0

Go Short with stop loss above R1

TISCO

197.2

200.2

201.4

204.0

207.0

Go Short with stop loss above R1

2530.0

2569.0

2590.2

2619.0

2645.0

TCS

Go Long AboveR1 / Go Short Below s1

*Note: Closing price of Nifty futures is last traded price of Nifty futures on NSE
SL=Stoploss

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For Private Circulation only

Eagle Eye

September 30, 2015

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