Table 4

Q2. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Mayor Kirk Caldwell (OAHU ONLY)

===== =========== ===========

TOTAL
ISLAND
GENDER
===== =========== ===========
Oahu
N.I. Male
Female
----- ----- ----- ----- ----(A)
(B)
(C)
(D)
(E)

======================= ================= ================= =================

ETHNICITY
AGE CATEGORY
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
USUALLY VOTE
======================= ================= ================= =================
Cauca Japan Fili Hawai <35 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K- $100K Democ Repub Indep
-sian -ese -pino -ian
$99K
+
ratic lican endnt
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----(F)
(G)
(H)
(I)
(J)
(K)
(L)
(M)
(N)
(O)
(P)
(Q)
(R)

===========
UNION MEMBR
===========
Yes
No
----- ----(S)
(T)

Favorable

54%

54%

50%

58%

56%

67%
H

47%

52%

49%

59%

52%

50%

62%

53%

62%
QR

44%

42%

55%

54%

Unfavorable

33%

33%

37%
E

28%

30%

28%

32%

39%

25%

32%

37%

31%

25%

40%
N

26%

42%
P

42%
P

31%

34%

Never heard

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

4%

1%

2%

3%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

3%

1%

Heard of but don't know

enough

11%

11%

11%

12%

12%
G

4%

19%
GI

7%

22%
KL

9%

9%

16%
O

10%

6%

10%

12%

14%

11%

11%

BASE

433

433

232

200

97

114

62

70

73

164

187

84

152

155

237

99

81

156

275

4.7

4.7

6.4

6.9

9.9

9.2 12.4 11.7 11.5

7.7

7.2 10.7

7.9

7.9

6.4

9.8 10.9

7.8

5.9

MARGIN OF ERROR ()

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/FGHI/JKL/MNO/PQR/ST

Independent T-Test for Means (equal variances), Independent Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Ward Research, Inc. - 6904 :: Star-Advertiser - Hawaii Poll :: Jan 2016 ::

Table 5

Q2. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- Council Chairman Ernie Martin (OAHU ONLY)

===== =========== ===========

TOTAL
ISLAND
GENDER
===== =========== ===========
Oahu
N.I. Male
Female
----- ----- ----- ----- ----(A)
(B)
(C)
(D)
(E)

======================= ================= ================= =================

ETHNICITY
AGE CATEGORY
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
USUALLY VOTE
======================= ================= ================= =================
Cauca Japan Fili Hawai <35 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K- $100K Democ Repub Indep
-sian -ese -pino -ian
$99K
+
ratic lican endnt
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----(F)
(G)
(H)
(I)
(J)
(K)
(L)
(M)
(N)
(O)
(P)
(Q)
(R)

===========
UNION MEMBR
===========
Yes
No
----- ----(S)
(T)

Favorable

17%

17%

22%
E

11%

12%

18%

21%

17%

9%

15%

21%
J

13%

19%

19%

19%

14%

16%

17%

17%

Unfavorable

13%

13%

15%

11%

14%

13%

8%

16%

7%

12%

17%
J

9%

8%

21%
MN

13%

9%

19%
Q

13%

13%

Never heard

46%

46%

39%

53%
D

46%

43%

50%

43%

68%
KL

48%
L

35%

55%
O

46%

37%

45%

56%
R

35%

49%

44%

Heard of but don't know

enough

25%

25%

24%

26%

28%

27%

21%

23%

17%

25%

27%

24%

26%

23%

23%

21%

30%

22%

26%

BASE

433

433

232

200

97

114

62

70

73

164

187

84

152

155

237

99

81

156

275

4.7

4.7

6.4

6.9

9.9

9.2 12.4 11.7 11.5

7.7

7.2 10.7

7.9

7.9

6.4

9.8 10.9

7.8

5.9

MARGIN OF ERROR ()

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/FGHI/JKL/MNO/PQR/ST

Independent T-Test for Means (equal variances), Independent Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Ward Research, Inc. - 6904 :: Star-Advertiser - Hawaii Poll :: Jan 2016 ::

Table 10

Q2. Favorable or unfavorable opinion -- James "Duke" Aiona (OAHU ONLY)

===== =========== ===========

TOTAL
ISLAND
GENDER
===== =========== ===========
Oahu
N.I. Male
Female
----- ----- ----- ----- ----(A)
(B)
(C)
(D)
(E)

======================= ================= ================= =================

ETHNICITY
AGE CATEGORY
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
USUALLY VOTE
======================= ================= ================= =================
Cauca Japan Fili Hawai <35 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K- $100K Democ Repub Indep
-sian -ese -pino -ian
$99K
+
ratic lican endnt
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----(F)
(G)
(H)
(I)
(J)
(K)
(L)
(M)
(N)
(O)
(P)
(Q)
(R)

===========
UNION MEMBR
===========
Yes
No
----- ----(S)
(T)

Favorable

58%

58%

62%

54%

49%

58%

63%

72%
FG

69%
L

59%

53%

53%

63%

58%

49%

83%
PR

55%

59%

58%

Unfavorable

25%

25%

20%

29%
D

32%
H

24%

18%

20%

13%

27%
J

28%
J

22%

23%

28%

34%
QR

7%

22%
Q

29%

22%

Never heard

3%

3%

2%

4%

4%

2%

2%

6%

2%

2%

4%

3%

1%

3%

3%

4%

1%

4%
S

Heard of but don't know

enough

14%

14%

15%

13%

14%

16%

18%

7%

12%

11%

17%

21%

12%

12%

14%
Q

7%

20%
Q

11%

16%

BASE

433

433

232

200

97

114

62

70

73

164

187

84

152

155

237

99

81

156

275

4.7

4.7

6.4

6.9

9.9

9.2 12.4 11.7 11.5

7.7

7.2 10.7

7.9

7.9

6.4

9.8 10.9

7.8

5.9

MARGIN OF ERROR ()

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/FGHI/JKL/MNO/PQR/ST

Independent T-Test for Means (equal variances), Independent Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Ward Research, Inc. - 6904 :: Star-Advertiser - Hawaii Poll :: Jan 2016 ::

Table 11

Q3A. (OAHU ONLY) If the election for the Mayor of the City and County of Honolulu were held today, who would
you vote for:

===== =========== ===========

TOTAL
ISLAND
GENDER
===== =========== ===========
Oahu
N.I. Male
Female
----- ----- ----- ----- ----(A)
(B)
(C)
(D)
(E)

======================= ================= ================= =================

ETHNICITY
AGE CATEGORY
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
USUALLY VOTE
======================= ================= ================= =================
Cauca Japan Fili Hawai <35 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K- $100K Democ Repub Indep
-sian -ese -pino -ian
$99K
+
ratic lican endnt
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----(F)
(G)
(H)
(I)
(J)
(K)
(L)
(M)
(N)
(O)
(P)
(Q)
(R)

===========
UNION MEMBR
===========
Yes
No
----- ----(S)
(T)

Kirk Caldwell

57%

57%

53%

62%
D

60%

66%

63%

54%

59%

60%

55%

58%

64%

54%

66%
QR

47%

47%

58%

57%

Ernie Martin

19%

19%

21%

17%

14%

20%

19%

20%

11%

19%

22%
J

23%

14%

22%
N

17%

24%

18%

18%

19%

Don't know/Refused

24%

24%

26%

21%

26%
G

14%

18%

26%

30%

21%

23%

18%

22%

23%

17%

28%
P

35%
P

24%

24%

BASE

433

433

232

200

97

114

62

70

73

164

187

84

152

155

237

99

81

156

275

4.7

4.7

6.4

6.9

9.9

9.2 12.4 11.7 11.5

7.7

7.2 10.7

7.9

7.9

6.4

9.8 10.9

7.8

5.9

MARGIN OF ERROR ()

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/FGHI/JKL/MNO/PQR/ST

Independent T-Test for Means (equal variances), Independent Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Ward Research, Inc. - 6904 :: Star-Advertiser - Hawaii Poll :: Jan 2016 ::

Table 12

Q3B. (OAHU ONLY) If the election for the Mayor of the City and County of Honolulu were held today, who would
you vote for:

===== =========== ===========

TOTAL
ISLAND
GENDER
===== =========== ===========
Oahu
N.I. Male
Female
----- ----- ----- ----- ----(A)
(B)
(C)
(D)
(E)

======================= ================= ================= =================

ETHNICITY
AGE CATEGORY
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
USUALLY VOTE
======================= ================= ================= =================
Cauca Japan Fili Hawai <35 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K- $100K Democ Repub Indep
-sian -ese -pino -ian
$99K
+
ratic lican endnt
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----(F)
(G)
(H)
(I)
(J)
(K)
(L)
(M)
(N)
(O)
(P)
(Q)
(R)

===========
UNION MEMBR
===========
Yes
No
----- ----(S)
(T)

Kirk Caldwell

38%

38%

32%

44%
D

49%
HI

44%

34%

30%

35%

39%

39%

40%

38%

37%

53%
QR

8%

30%
Q

38%

37%

Ernie Martin

8%

8%

8%

7%

5%

9%

8%

9%

7%

8%

9%

12%

8%

8%

9%

6%

7%

11%

6%

James "Duke" Aiona

43%

43%

49%
E

37%

33%

38%

48%

52%
F

46%

44%

41%

34%

46%

45%

27%

78%
PR

55%
P

41%

44%

Don't know/Refused

11%

11%

11%

12%

12%

8%

10%

9%

13%

9%

12%

14%

8%

10%

12%

8%

8%

10%

12%

BASE

433

433

232

200

97

114

62

70

73

164

187

84

152

155

237

99

81

156

275

4.7

4.7

6.4

6.9

9.9

9.2 12.4 11.7 11.5

7.7

7.2 10.7

7.9

7.9

6.4

9.8 10.9

7.8

5.9

MARGIN OF ERROR ()

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/FGHI/JKL/MNO/PQR/ST

Independent T-Test for Means (equal variances), Independent Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Ward Research, Inc. - 6904 :: Star-Advertiser - Hawaii Poll :: Jan 2016 ::

Table 13

Q4. (OAHU ONLY) Do you generally approve or disapprove of Mayor Kirk Caldwells job performance?

===== =========== ===========

TOTAL
ISLAND
GENDER
===== =========== ===========
Oahu
N.I. Male
Female
----- ----- ----- ----- ----(A)
(B)
(C)
(D)
(E)

======================= ================= ================= =================

ETHNICITY
AGE CATEGORY
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
USUALLY VOTE
======================= ================= ================= =================
Cauca Japan Fili Hawai <35 35-54 55+ <$50K $50K- $100K Democ Repub Indep
-sian -ese -pino -ian
$99K
+
ratic lican endnt
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----(F)
(G)
(H)
(I)
(J)
(K)
(L)
(M)
(N)
(O)
(P)
(Q)
(R)

===========
UNION MEMBR
===========
Yes
No
----- ----(S)
(T)

Approve

59%

59%

53%

66%
D

59%

67%

55%

61%

60%

66%
L

52%

53%

66%

60%

68%
QR

48%

46%

60%

58%

Disapprove

32%

32%

38%
E

25%

29%

27%

37%

35%

28%

26%

39%
K

36%

24%

34%
N

23%

47%
P

43%
P

30%

34%

9%

9%

9%

9%

12%

7%

8%

4%

12%

8%

9%

11%

10%

5%

10%

5%

11%

10%

8%

433

433

232

200

97

114

62

70

73

164

187

84

152

155

237

99

81

156

275

4.7

4.7

6.4

6.9

9.9

9.2 12.4 11.7 11.5

7.7

7.2 10.7

7.9

7.9

6.4

9.8 10.9

7.8

5.9

Don't know/Refused
BASE
MARGIN OF ERROR ()

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/FGHI/JKL/MNO/PQR/ST

Independent T-Test for Means (equal variances), Independent Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Ward Research, Inc. - 6904 :: Star-Advertiser - Hawaii Poll :: Jan 2016 ::