may appear inevitable. This pattern was observed in 2000 and 2008, as evident from the chart. During
these instances, the 50-day MA remained lower than the 200-day MA for more than 300 days.
Index
Death Cross
Occurrence
Death Cross
Accompanied by
Higher Trading
Volumes
Comment
TASI (Saudi
Arabia)
Mid-August
2015
Increasing
Accompanied by
higher trading
volumes.
Bear market
in the near
term.
NIFTY
(India)
Mid-June 2015
Increasing
Mixed signals.
Bear market
in the near
term.
DAX
(Germany)
Early
September
2015
Decreasing
Accompanied by
higher trading
volumes.
End of the
bear market.
Nikkei
(Japan)
Early October
2015
Decreasing
Accompanied by
higher trading
volumes.
End of the
bear market.
Hang Seng
(Hong Kong)
End of August
2015
Increasing
Not accompanied by
higher trading
volumes.
Bear market
in the near
term.
Is it Time to Sell?
A sale can be deferred if the market starts rising over the next 5060 days.
If a Death Cross continues beyond the next 5060 days however it may be advisable based on historical
trends to exit the market.
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