The project entitled equity analysis two different Indian industries is basically useful for
the investors who invest in the stocks in share market. Findings of this study help on
investors to evaluate a particular companys performance in the industry and its share in
movement in the market by using simple techniques.
The analysis is done because the security prices in an effective capital
market fully reflect their investment value as the market as the capability to intanteously
impound the give set of information in to pricing process.
The empirical findings would be useful to investors as it provides
evidence of time varyin nature of the stock market volatility. Investors aim at making
mare profitable and less risky investments. Therefore, the need of study and analyze stock
market, among many
impossible to consistently make abnorms returns using trading strategy based on a given
set of information when the markets are efficient.
Thus this study of equity analysis will be an effective guide for investors
of stocks for the profitable investment returns.
CONTENTS
Page Number
Chapter 1
INTRODUCTION
Chapter 2
PROFILES
2.1 Industry profile
10
Chapter 3
Theoretical Review
19
Chapter 4
37
Chapter 5
70
Bibliography
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
companies
has
helped
decrease
the
cost
of
making
the
investment have yielded far superior returns than any other investment.
However, this does not mean all equity investments would guarantee
similar high returns. Equities are high-risk investments. One needs to
study them carefully before investing. Since 1990 till date, Indian stock
market has returned about 17% to investors on an average in terms of
increase in share prices or capital appreciation annually. Besides that on
average stocks have paid 1.5 % dividend annually. Dividend is a
percentage of the face value of a share that a company returns to its
shareholders from its annual profits. Compared to most other forms of
investments, investing in equity shares offers the highest rate of return, if
invested over a longer duration. The first company to issue shares of stock
was the Dutch East India Company, in 1602. The innovation of joint
ownership made a great deal of Europe's economic growth possible
following the Middle Ages.
To understand the performance of few Indian industry sectors viz. Software &
Banking.
To understand the performance of SIX Indian companies of the above two sectors.
Newspapers
Books
Internet
BSE
NSE
1.6 Limitations:
There is a time frame for every company, like not taken historical
daily records into consideration.
CHAPTER 2
INDUSTRY PROFILES
segment began operating in 2000. Today the NSE takes the 14th position in the top 40
futures exchanges in the world.
In 1996, the National Stock Exchange of India launched S&P CNX Nifty and CNX
Junior Indices that make up 100 most liquid stocks in India. CNX Nifty is a diversified
index of 50 stocks from 25 different economy sectors. The Indices are owned and
managed by India Index Services and Products Ltd (IISL) that has a consulting and
licensing agreement with Standard & Poor's.
In 1998, the National Stock Exchange of India launched its web-site and was the first
exchange in India that started trading stock on the Internet in 2000. The NSE has also
proved its leadership in the Indian financial market by gaining many awards such as 'Best
IT Usage Award' by Computer Society in India (in 1996 and 1997) and CHIP Web Award
by CHIP magazine (1999).
The NSE is owned by the group of leading financial institutions such as Indian Bank or
Life Insurance Corporation of India. However, in the totally de-mutualised Exchange, the
ownership as well as the management does not have a right to trade on the Exchange.
Only qualified traders can be involved in the securities trading.
The NSE is one of the few exchanges in the world trading all types of securities on a
single platform, which is divided into three segments: Wholesale Debt Market (WDM),
Capital Market (CM), and Futures & Options (F&O) Market.
Each segment has experienced a significant growth throughout a few years of their
launch. While the WDM segment has accumulated the annual growth of over 36% since
its opening in 1994, the CM segment has increased by even 61% during the same period.
The National Stock Exchange of India has stringent requirements and criteria for the
companies listed on the Exchange. Minimum capital requirements, project appraisal, and
company's track record are just a few of the criteria. In addition, listed companies pay
variable listing fees based on their corporate capital size.
The National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. provides its clients with a single, fully
electronic trading platform that is operated through a VSAT network. Unlike most world
exchanges, the NSE uses the satellite communication system that connects traders from
345 Indian cities. The advanced technologies enable up to 6 million trades to be operated
daily on the NSE trading platform.
NSE Nifty:
The S&P CNX Nifty (nicknamed Nifty 50 or simply Nifty), is the leading index for large
companies on the National Stock Exchange of India. S&P CNX Nifty is a well diversified
50 stock index accounting for 22 sectors of the economy. It is used for a variety of
purposes such as benchmarking fund portfolios, index based derivatives and index funds.
Nifty was developed by the economists Ajay Shah and Susan Thomas, then at IGIDR.
Later on, it came to be owned and managed by India Index Services and Products Ltd.
(IISL), which is a joint venture between NSE and CRISIL. IISL is India's first specialised
company focused upon the index as a core product. IISL have a consulting and licensing
agreement with Standard & Poor's (S&P), who are world leaders in index services.
CNX stands for CRISIL NSE Indices. CNX ensures common branding of indices, to
reflect the identities of both the promoters, i.e. NSE and CRISIL. Thus, 'C' stands for
CRISIL, 'N' stands for NSE and X stands for Exchange or Index. The S&P prefix belongs
to the US-based Standard & Poor's Financial Information Services.
NSE other indices:
S&P CNX Nifty
CNX Nifty Junior
CNX 100
S&P CNX 500
CNX Midcap
S&P CNX Defty
CNX Midcap 200
The BSE SENSEX (also known as the BSE 30) is a value-weighted index composed of
30 scrips, with the base April 1979 = 100. The set of companies which make up the index
has been changed only a few times in the last 20 years. These companies account for
around one-fifth of the market capitalization of the BSE.
SENSEX, first compiled in 1986 was calculated on a "Market Capitalization-Weighted"
methodology of 30 component stocks representing a sample of large, well-established
and financially sound companies. The base year of SENSEX is 1978-79. The index is
widely reported in both domestic and international markets through print as well as
electronic media. SENSEX is not only scientifically designed but also based on globally
accepted construction and review methodology. From September 2003, the SENSEX is
calculated on a free-float market capitalization methodology. The "free-float Market
Capitalization-Weighted" methodology is a widely followed index construction
methodology on which majority of global equity benchmarks are based.
The growth of equity markets in India has been phenomenal in the decade gone by. Right
from early nineties the stock market witnessed heightened activity in terms of various
bull and bear runs. More recently, the bourses in India witnessed a similar frenzy in the
'TMT' sectors. The SENSEX captured all these happenings in the most judicial manner.
One can identify the booms and bust of the Indian equity market through SENSEX.
The values of all BSE indices are updated every 15 seconds during the market hours and
displayed through the BOLT system, BSE website and news wire agencies.
SENSEX calculation:
SENSEX is calculated using a "Market Capitalization-Weighted" methodology.
As per this methodology, the level of index at any point of time reflects the total market
value of 30 component stocks relative to a base period. (The market capitalization of a
company is determined by multiplying the price of its stock by the number of shares
issued by the company). An index of a set of combined variables (such as price and
number of shares) is commonly referred as a 'Composite Index' by statisticians. A single
indexed number is used to represent the results of this calculation in order to make the
value easier to work with and track over time. It is much easier to graph a chart based on
indexed values than one based on actual values.
The base period of SENSEX is 1978-79. The actual total market value of the
stocks in the Index during the base period has been set equal to an indexed value of 100.
This is often indicated by the notation 1978-79=100. The formula used to calculate the
Index is fairly straightforward. However, the calculation of the adjustments to the Index
(commonly called Index maintenance) is more complex.
The calculation of SENSEX involves dividing the total market capitalization of 30
companies in the Index by a number called the Index Divisor. The Divisor is the only link
to the original base period value of the SENSEX. It keeps the Index comparable over
time and is the adjustment point for all Index maintenance adjustments. During market
hours, prices of the index scrips, at which latest trades are executed, are used by the
trading system to calculate SENSEX every 15 seconds and disseminated in real
time.During market hours, prices of the index scrips, at which trades are executed, are
automatically used by the trading computer to calculate the SENSEX every 15 seconds
and continuously updated on all trading workstations connected to the BSE trading
computer in real time.
BSE - other Indices:
Apart from BSE SENSEX, which is the most popular stock index in India, BSE uses
other stock indices as well:
BSE 500
BSE PSU
BSE MIDCAP
BSE SMLCAP
BSE BANKEX
COMPANY PROFILE
COMPANY PROFILE
L&T Finance is one of the leading NBFCs in the country and offers a wide
spectrum of financial products and services for trade, industry and agriculture.
Overview
L&T Finance Limited (LTF) is a subsidiary of Larsen and Toubro. It was
incorporated as a Non Banking Finance Company in November 1994. Through
LTF, L&T aims at making a strong foray in the ever-expanding financial services
sector.
As a business philosophy, we fund income generating assets/activities while
maintaining a clear focus on returns.
LTF offers a spectrum of financial products and services for trade, industry and
agriculture. The company's focus segments are corporate products, construction
equipment, CVs and tractors. Despite the turbulence in the financial services
markets over the past few years, L&T Finance has adapted well to the changing
market dynamics to remain consistently profitable.
Like the rest of the companies in L&T group, LTF is also professionally managed.
LTF shares the professional values and ethos of its parent company, and has
acquired and maintained a reputation for reliability, transparency of operations
and absolute integrity. A steady growth rate validates the trust that industry has
reposed in the company.
Mission :
Our Aim : To be a strategic business partner and a solution provider.
Our Purpose : To nurture human capital and develop leadership for professional
excellence through meritocracy and continuous learning environment.
Our values : Customer orientation, teamwork, trust and transparency.
Vision :
"To be a dominant player in financial services, committed to constant innovation
and sustained customer service to enhance shareholder's wealth. LTF will foster
trust, uphold integrity and radiate positive energy."
About L&T Group
Larsen & Toubro Ltd is a USD 9.8 billion technology, engineering and
construction group with operations spread across the globe. It was ranked as
14th by the Economic Times in their survey of the Top 500 Companies in India.
Another feather in its cap was added when L&T was ranked 47th in the world in
the June 2009 issue of Forbes-Reputation Institutes Worlds Most Reputable
Companies survey. In this survey, L&T was the only engineering and
construction company in the world to have made it to the top 200.
Having established its foothold in engineering and construction, electrical and
electronics, industrial products and information technology, L&T forayed into the
financial services space. Financial Services has been identified as a strategically
important business for L&T Group. It has been L&Ts vision to become a
wholesome player in this area of business. With an entire range of products and
service offerings, L&Ts Financial Services initiative will cater to an entire
spectrum of customers, and their various financial needs.
Management
Chief Executive
Mr. Dinanath Dubhashi holds a B.E. (Mechanical) and has completed his PGDM from IIM,
Bangalore. He has been with L&T finance from April 2007. Prior to taking over as Chief Executive he
occupied various senior level positions in the organization and has been responsible in leading L&T
Finances foray in Retail Finance including Microfinance. He comes with almost 20 years of
experience in various fields of financial services like Retail Financial Services, Corporate Banking,
Cash Management and Trade, Credit Rating and Project Finance from various reputed Indian and
International organizations. Immediately prior to joining L&T Finance, he worked with BNP Paribas
for 10 years in India and abroad heading various important verticals like Cash Management, Trade
Services and Corporate Banking Products. His assignments previous to this were with Birla Sunlife,
Care Ratings and SBI Capital Markets.
Board of Directors
Y. M. Deosthalee, Whole-time Director and CFO, Larsen & Toubro Ltd.
Mr. Deosthalee, aged 64, is the chief financial officer and member of the board of L&T. He is a
chartered accountant by profession. He has a degree in law. He is also a member on the board of
several subsidiary and associate companies of the L&T group. He has been with L&T for the past 36
years. In addition to the finance function, he is also responsible for personnel and human resource
functions, risk management, mergers and acquisitions, concessions business, shared services centre,
providing strategic inputs and helps in business-building of L&T Infotech, amongst other things. He
has
been instrumental
in promoting
the Financial
Services
business
of L&T group.
In 2008, he was appointed as a member on the Advisory Committee for liquidity management set up by
the Finance Ministry. In 2009, he was appointed as a member of the Takeover Regulations Advisory
Committee which has been constituted by SEBI to examine the regulations and suggest amendments.
He is the Co-Chairman of FICCI's Corporate Finance Committee, member of the National Council on
Infrastructure of the Confederation of Indian Industry and a member of the National Council on
Corporate Governance of the Confederation of Indian Industry. He has also won several awards
including the-Best CFO of the Year and also Best CFO in the Capital Goods Sector at the CNBC TV18
Business Leaders Awards in 2009. He has over 40 years of work experience.
N. Sivaraman, Senior Vice President, Financial Services, Larsen & Toubro Ltd.
Mr. Sivaraman, aged 52, is the president and whole-time director of our Company. He has a
bachelors degree in commerce from Madras University. He is a chartered accountant by profession
and is a fellow member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India. He has an overall experience
of approximately 28 years with L&T. He has varied experience in all aspects of finance and accounts,
mergers and acquisition and investor relations. Currently, he is heading the financial services business
of L&T. As the head of financial services business he is responsible for and oversees the following
entities L&T Finance Limited, L&T Infrastructure Finance Company Limited, L&T Investment
Management Limited and L&T General Insurance Company Limited. During his career at L&T, Mr.
Sivaraman played a key role in structuring the demerger of the cement business of L&T and inducting
private equity investors in L&T Infrastructure Development Projects Limited.
R. Shankar Raman, Senior Vice President, Finance & Legal, Larsen & Toubro Ltd.
Mr. R. Shankar Raman,aged 52, is the senior vice president (finance and legal) at L&T. He is a
nonexecutive director on the board of our Company and L&T Finance. Mr. Shankar Raman has a
bachelors degree in commerce from Madras University. He is a Chartered and Cost Accountant by
profession. He has approximately 27 years of experience in the field of finance. He has experience in
other varied areas such as audit, accounts, treasury, capital markets, corporate finance, project finance
and general management. He joined L&T group in 1994 for setting up L&T Finance. After six
successful years with L&T Finance, he moved to L&T to oversee the Finance & Accounting functions.
He is on the board of several companies including international subsidiaries within the L&T group. Mr.
Shankar Raman is a member of Western India Regional Council of Confederation of Indian Industries.
Mr. Shankar Raman has participated and presented papers in several conventions / seminars including
international conferences.
Mr. Subramaniam N., Independent Director, Finance & Legal, Larsen & Toubro Ltd.
Mr. Subramaniam N., aged 49, is an independent director on the board of our Company. Mr.
Subramaniam N. has a degree in management and business administration from the Indian
Institute of Management, Ahmedabad. He is a fellow of the Institute of Chartered Accountants
of India, an FCS and ICWA. He has over two decades of experience in the areas of private
equity, investment management, banking, finance, accounts, risk management, system
implementation and corporate governance, MIS and human resource management. He is the
founder and managing partner of MCAP Fund Advisors. He is also a teacher at top tier
business schools and professional institutes.
Mr. P. V. Bhide, Independent Director, Finance & Legal, Larsen & Toubro Ltd.
Mr. P. V. Bhide, aged 61, is an independent director on the Board of our Company. Mr.Bhide
is a retired IAS Officer and holds degrees in MBA, L.L.B and B.Sc. During his career
spanning about four decades he held various positions, including the Secretary, Department
of Revenue, Ministry of Finance, Government of India, Secretary and Joint Secretary,
Department of Disinvestment, Ministry of Finance, Government of India, Additional
Secretary/Spl. Secretary, Ministry of Home Affairs, Government of India, Deputy
Secretary/Director in the Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, Government of
India, Director Fund-Bank Division of the Department and Advisor to Indias Executive
Director to the International Board for Reconstruction and Developemnt, Washington D.C,
Secretary, Department of Finance, Government of Andhra Pradesh, Secretary, Department of
Energy, Government of Andhra Pradesh and Managing Director, Godavari Fertilisers and
Chemicals Limited.
Corporate Governance
Code of Conduct
L&T Finance Limited (LTF/the Company) is a professionally managed
Company, having its vision statement committed to constant innovation and
sustained customer service to enhance shareholders wealth.
Senior officers are expected to devote their full attention with integrity and
honesty to the business interests of the Company and are prohibited from
engaging in any activity that interferes with their proper discharge of
responsibilities of the Company, or is in conflict with or prejudicial to the interests
of the Company.
Senior officers should avoid conducting Company business in any significant way
with a relative (as defined in the Companies Act, 1956), or with a business in
which a close relative is associated.
The Senior officers are responsible for effective control and appropriate use of all
Company's resources entrusted to them in the official discharge of their duty.
The Senior officers should abide by 'LTF Securities Dealing Code' in compliance
with the SEBI (Prohibition of Insider Trading) Regulations 1992, as adopted by
the of the Company.
Investors Corporate
Governance
orientation and corporate governance principles all of which form part of L&T
FINANCE LIMITED approved Investment and Credit Policy.
In addition, the Company would adhere to the Fair Practices Code in its
functioning, the key elements of which are as follows:
Applications for Loans and their Processing
The Company shall give notice to all its borrowers of any change in the
terms and conditions - including disbursement schedule, interest rates,
service charges, prepayment charges etc. The Company shall also ensure
that changes in interest rates and charges are effected only prospectively.
A suitable provision in this regard shall be incorporated in the loan
agreement.
The Company shall release all securities on repayment of its full dues or
on realization of the outstanding amount of loan subject to any legitimate
right or lien for any other claim the Company may have against its
borrowers. If such right of set off is to be exercised, the borrower shall be
given notice about the same with full particulars about the remaining
claims and the conditions under which the Company is entitled to retain
the securities till the relevant claim is settled/paid.
General
The Company shall refrain from interference in the affairs of the borrower
except for the purposes provided for in the terms and conditions of the
loan agreement (unless new information, not earlier disclosed by the
borrower, has come to the notice of the Company).
In the matter of recovery of loans, the Company shall not resort to any
harassment such as persistently bothering the borrowers at odd hours,
use of muscle power for recovery of loans, etc.
redressal if any to the for their review and compliance at each subsequent
meeting
Contact Us
Registered office
L&T House,
Ballard Estate,
Mumbai - 400 001.
Tel: +91-22 6752 5656
Fax: +91-22 6752 5893
Administrative office
The Metropolitan
8th Floor,
C-26/27, E-Block, Bandra - Kurla complex,
Bandra (East),
Mumbai - 400 051
Tel.: +91-22 6737 2951
Fax: +91-22 6737 2900
CHAPTER 3
Theoretical Review
the concept of capital market is in a way 130 years old. Capital market was known as
share bazaar it was also treated as a satta bazaar starting of capital market concept in
India took place with the birth of Bombay Stock Exchange.
A securities contract (Regulation) Act of 1956 of India was first major step to recognize
capital market. Bombay Stock Exchange got first recognition in 1956 under this act.
Bombay Stock Exchange, which was the major stock exchange, in way had monopoly in
the Indian capital market till the birth of National Stock Exchange. Bombay Stock
Exchange celebrated its 125th jubilee year in the 2000. The capital market, the stock
exchange, the Equity concept was baby till 1960. And the concept of mutual fund was
introduced by the government with the formation of Unit Trust of India in 1963-64.
Capital market in India is a new development compared to the western world. India was
known as under developed country from the view point of economic and industrial
growth. After getting freedom in 1947, India started thinking about planned development
in 1948. The first industrial policy development statement was made on April 6th 1948.
The concept of capital market is directly linked with industrial development of country. It
is also treated as barometer of economic growth. Industrial development started in India
in 19th century, there were very few entrepreneurs known as Tatas, Birlas, etc. who
started industries in their own country i.e. India. In the 20 th century first quarter, this
group started big industries in major metropolitan cities.
Stock exchanges have a very important function to fulfill in the countrys economy. Its
main function is to liquefy capital by enabling a person who has invested money in.
The stock exchange is really an essential pillar of the private sector corporate economy.
The stock exchange provides a market place for purchase and sale of securities i.e.
shares, bonds, debentures, etc
The stock exchange provides the linkage between the saving in the house hold sector and
the investment in corporate economy.
By providing a market quotation of the prices of shares and bonds a sort of collective
judgment simultaneously reached by many buyers and sellers in the market. The stock
exchanges serve the role of barometer. Exchanges serve the role of barometer, not only
the state of health of individual companies, but also of the nations economy as a whole.
Another important function that the stock exchange in India discharge is of providing
market for gilt-edged securities i.e. securities issued by the government sectors,
municipalities, improvement trust, and other public bodies.
There are 22 stock exchange in India, the first being the Bombay Stock Exchange
(BSE),which began formal trading in 1875, making it one of the oldest in Asia. Over the
last few years, there has been a rapid change in the Indian securities market, especially in
traders
CHAPTER 4
Data Analysis &
Interpretation
INFOSYS
Date
18-12-2014
28-11-2014
31-10-2014
30-09-2014
28-08-2014
31-07-2014
30-06-2014
30-05-2014
30-04-2014
31-03-2014
28-02-2014
31-01-2014
31-12-2013
29-11-2013
31-10-2013
30-09-2013
30-08-2013
31-07-2013
28-06-2013
31-05-2013
30-04-2013
28-03-2013
28-02-2013
31-01-2013
31-12-2012
30-11-2012
31-10-2012
28-09-2012
31-08-2012
31-07-2012
Open
4387
4076.9
3722
3610.05
3350
3245
2960.5
3185
3283.05
3825
3685
3492
3352
3300
3030
3077.1
2988
2469
2525
2236
2910.75
2914
2791.1
2327.6
2437
2362
2551.3
2366
2215
2171.25
High
4402.2
4398
4066
3795
3650
3432
3339.4
3340
3388
3849.95
3837.15
3799
3575
3448
3377.7
3188
3130
2991.6
2625
2434.9
2999.55
3009.8
2969.4
2836.95
2453
2480
2620.2
2650
2483
2250
Low
1896.3
4032.45
3572.7
3555.55
3330
3185.8
2950
2880
3142.4
3215.95
3541
3417.85
3318.2
3233
3003
2980.1
2922.1
2392.6
2342.75
2236
2186
2827.55
2741.75
2303.5
2245
2278.8
2060.55
2332.2
2185.1
2101.25
Close
1965.9
4359.85
4051.25
3747.75
3598.8
3367.65
3255.55
2939.4
3180.8
3282.8
3824.85
3701.1
3485.65
3354.55
3309.9
3013
3105.85
2969.65
2498.85
2411.7
2235.45
2889.35
2907
2789.5
2318.7
2436.85
2363
2534.95
2361.65
2226.95
Volume
81238441
19195079
29293763
21413647
16546830
20735657
26870375
27978628
21540122
26291110
15223234
32226814
20750869
14779399
29334123
23679224
23936040
27068475
18892134
18361228
43591396
20026320
18221663
41905688
20885052
15184570
27510851
18675519
16641279
9742441
INTERPRETATION:
Looking for a target price of Rs 2,020 at least in Infosys . The stock after witnessing a
steep correction seems to have taken good amount of support at Rs 1,930-1,940 odd
levels. Some amounts of build up are also seen getting build in this stock.
If you look at the overall performance of the IT sector, in past couple of days, Infosys is
yet to catch out its peers. So, the stock looks fairly placed for higher targets of Rs 2,020
and above. One can buy this stock keeping a stoploss at Rs 1,920.
INFOSYS RESULTS:
Infosys Ltd., incorporated in the year 1981, is a Large Cap company (having a market cap
of Rs 225824.11 Cr.) operating in Information Technology sector.
Infosys Ltd. key Products/Revenue Segments include Software Development Charges
which contributed Rs 42531.00 Cr to Sales Value (95.91% of Total Sales), Software
Products which contributed Rs 1810.00 Cr to Sales Value (4.08% of Total Sales), for the
year ending 31-Mar-2014.
For the quarter ended 30-Sep-2014, the company has reported a Standalone sales of Rs.
11863.00 Cr., up 4.81% from last quarter Sales of Rs. 11319.00 Cr. and up 3.32% from
last year same quarter Sales of Rs. 11482.00 Cr. Company has reported net profit after tax
of Rs. 3365.00 Cr. in latest quarter.
The companys management includes Dr.Vishal Sikka, Mr.John Etchemendy, Mr.K
Parvatheesam, Mr.K V Kamath, Mr.R Seshasayee, Mr.Ravi Venkatesan, Mr.U B Pravin
Rao, Ms.Carol M Browner, Ms.Kiran Mazumdar Shaw, Prof.Jeffrey Sean Lehman,
Mr.Charles Henry Hawkes, Mr.Haragopal Mangipudi, Mr.K Parvatheesam, Mr.Rajiv
Bansal, Mr.Srikantan Moorthy, Mr.Vishnu G Bhat, Ms.Nandita Mohan Gurjar, Dr.Omkar
Goswami.
Company has BSR & Co. as its auditors. As on 30-Sep-2014, the company has a total of
574,236,166 shares outstanding.
Open
4387
4076.9
3722
3610.05
3350
3245
2960.5
3185
3283.05
3825
3685
3492
3352
3300
3030
3077.1
2988
2469
2525
2236
2910.75
2914
2791.1
2327.6
2437
2362
2551.3
2366
2215
2171.25
High
4402.2
4398
4066
3795
3650
3432
3339.4
3340
3388
3849.95
3837.15
3799
3575
3448
3377.7
3188
3130
2991.6
2625
2434.9
2999.55
3009.8
2969.4
2836.95
2453
2480
2620.2
2650
2483
2250
Low
1896.3
4032.45
3572.7
3555.55
3330
3185.8
2950
2880
3142.4
3215.95
3541
3417.85
3318.2
3233
3003
2980.1
2922.1
2392.6
2342.75
2236
2186
2827.55
2741.75
2303.5
2245
2278.8
2060.55
2332.2
2185.1
2101.25
Close
1965.9
4359.85
4051.25
3747.75
3598.8
3367.65
3255.55
2939.4
3180.8
3282.8
3824.85
3701.1
3485.65
3354.55
3309.9
3013
3105.85
2969.65
2498.85
2411.7
2235.45
2889.35
2907
2789.5
2318.7
2436.85
2363
2534.95
2361.65
2226.95
Volume
81238441
19195079
29293763
21413647
16546830
20735657
26870375
27978628
21540122
26291110
15223234
32226814
20750869
14779399
29334123
23679224
23936040
27068475
18892134
18361228
43591396
20026320
18221663
41905688
20885052
15184570
27510851
18675519
16641279
9742441
INTERPRETATION:
"
Wipro has mostly traded in the range of Rs 530 to Rs 600 levels since the last four-five
months, whatever happens to the market. Because of bad news, again it has come down
to Rs 530. So I think it may be a good level again to start forming the long positions in
the stock. Short covering has already started and if you see the moving averages, they
also plays around this level. So it is an important area where we can start picking Wipro
from these levels,"
"On
the short side I would use something which went up today. Wipro I believe would
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
%of
Price
Price
Price
Price
change
01-Oct1295
1309.8 1293.05
1302.95
0
14
03-Oct1301
1325
1301
1322.65 1.511954
14
04-Oct1320 1321.65 1308.65
1317.15
-0.41583
14
05-Oct1310.25 1319.35
1055
1304
-0.99837
14
08-Oct1310 1315.25 1285.45
1292.7
-0.86656
14
09-Oct1297.9
1298.8
1285
1294.85 0.166319
14
10-Oct1286 1301.75
1285
1289.35
-0.42476
14
11-Oct1290.25 1301.55 1286.05
1289.45 0.007756
14
12-Oct1278.8 1313.65
1273.2
1298.45 0.697972
14
15-Oct1294
1302.4
1287.5
1294.65
-0.29266
14
16-Oct1297
1310.2
1287.8
1295.9 0.096551
14
17-Oct1301.3
1304.9
1272
1283.15
-0.98387
14
18-Oct1286.25
1311
1280.2
1307.35 1.885984
14
19-Oct1309
1311.4
1282
1289.7
-1.35006
14
22-Oct1325.1
1334.9
1303
1318.9 2.264092
14
23-Oct1324
1324
1311.9
1314.6
-0.32603
14
25-Oct1315
1323.9 1304.25
1315.35 0.057052
14
26-Oct1306.2
1322
1306.2
1315.3
-0.0038
14
29-Oct1311
1319.8
1300.8
1308.4
-0.5246
14
30-Oct1304.4
1322
1304.4
1311.5 0.236931
14
31-Oct1309.1
1316.8
1304
1315.5 0.304994
14
01-Nov1314.9 1320.35
1310.2
1315.25
-0.019
14
02-Nov1324.9
1338
1318.4
1331.2 1.212697
14
05-Nov1335.9 1343.35
1325.3
1329.6
-0.12019
14
06-Nov14
07-Nov14
08-Nov14
09-Nov14
12-Nov14
13-Nov14
15-Nov14
16-Nov14
19-Nov14
20-Nov14
21-Nov14
22-Nov14
23-Nov14
26-Nov14
27-Nov14
29-Nov14
30-Nov14
03-Dec14
04-Dec14
05-Dec14
06-Dec14
07-Dec14
10-Dec14
11-Dec14
1325
1337.4
1319.45
1320.55
-0.68066
1325
1333.35
1321.5
1331.5
0.8292
1324
1334.7
1316.6
1331.2
-0.02253
1330
1333.25
1320.9
1324.95
-0.4695
1320
1348
1320
1334.5
0.720782
1335.15
1337.2
1322.05
1325.3
-0.6894
1320.1
1322
1291
1294.15
-2.35041
1299.8
1306.8
1280.1
1286.8
-0.56794
1290.1
1295
1258.5
1262.35
-1.90006
1275
1282.9
1256.05
1272.8
0.827821
1276.25
1294.7
1276.25
1282.2
0.738529
1282.1
1284.1
1271
1276.45
-0.44845
1282
1291.4
1271.25
1288.6
0.951859
1288
1295.7
1285
1293.7
0.395778
1299.9
1299.9
1288.3
1295.2
0.115947
1310
1312
1292.35
1298.1
0.223904
1295
1325
1291.1
1314
1.224867
1315
1322
1305.2
1316.8
0.21309
1315.1
1321.8
1292.9
1299.45
-1.31759
1300
1307.55
1288.6
1297.9
-0.11928
1295
1295
1269
1280.7
-1.32522
1276.65
1280.7
1257.05
1264.15
-1.29226
1262.1
1266.8
1231.2
1237.2
-2.13187
1235
1243
1210.35
1219.7
-1.41448
12-Dec14
13-Dec14
14-Dec14
17-Dec14
18-Dec14
19-Dec14
20-Dec14
21-Dec14
24-Dec14
26-Dec14
27-Dec14
28-Dec14
31-Dec14
01-Jan15
02-Jan15
03-Jan15
04-Jan15
07-Jan15
08-Jan15
09-Jan15
10-Jan15
11-Jan15
14-Jan15
15-Jan15
16-Jan-
1224.9
1241
1221.1
1225.8
0.500123
1230.1
1234.6
1217.1
1222.55
-0.26513
1217
1245
1216.15
1242.9
1.664554
1239.15
1248.9
1202.1
1205.5
-3.00909
1214.7
1225
1197
1210.65
0.427209
1216.1
1236.55
1216.1
1232.65
1.817206
1227.15
1255
1227.15
1252.05
1.573845
1250
1264.4
1237.7
1258.7
0.531129
1262
1271.1
1260.1
1266.2
0.595853
1267
1269.15
1255.3
1262.2
-0.31591
1264.9
1264.9
1247.65
1250.95
-0.8913
1254
1272
1250.75
1267.5
1.322995
1261
1265.6
1252
1255.85
-0.91913
1266.95
1267.9
1260
1264.15
0.660907
1267
1272.4
1255.55
1263.3
-0.06724
1265
1284
1259.95
1280.6
1.369429
1285
1301
1280.9
1299.2
1.452444
1300
1304
1290.25
1294.85
-0.33482
1295
1304.3
1294.3
1300.25
0.417037
1301
1307.4
1273.15
1276.6
-1.81888
1279.9
1282.1
1255.3
1258.4
-1.42566
1290
1322.5
1290
1306.35
3.810394
1319
1348.45
1307.35
1334.5
2.154859
1390
1400
1327
1337.45
0.221057
1336.9
1355
1309
1347.75
0.770122
15
17-Jan15
18-Jan15
21-Jan15
22-Jan15
23-Jan15
24-Jan15
25-Jan15
28-Jan15
29-Jan15
30-Jan15
31-Jan15
01-Feb15
04-Feb15
05-Feb15
06-Feb15
07-Feb15
08-Feb15
11-Feb15
12-Feb15
13-Feb15
14-Feb15
15-Feb15
18-Feb15
19-Feb15
1349.7
1371.8
1343
1362
1.057318
1362.5
1366.05
1338.05
1351
-0.80764
1352.5
1354.9
1327.1
1330
-1.5544
1326
1331.7
1308.1
1317.5
-0.93985
1315.75
1323.75
1298.4
1311.95
-0.42125
1305
1336.9
1305
1328.55
1.265292
1323.75
1345
1323.75
1340.5
0.899477
1340.3
1349.95
1337.95
1345.05
0.339426
1341.2
1356.55
1340.3
1344.95
-0.00743
1341
1349.85
1335.8
1346.15
0.089223
1348.85
1352.45
1326.4
1344.15
-0.14857
1344
1352
1342.15
1348.1
0.293866
1349
1367.8
1345.15
1356.35
0.611972
1345.1
1365
1345.1
1360.05
0.272791
1362.5
1375.9
1362
1370.55
0.77203
1361
1390
1361
1387.15
1.211193
1386
1437
1385.1
1422.6
2.5556
1424
1428.9
1412.25
1414.7
-0.55532
1409.05
1415
1401.85
1410.05
-0.32869
1409.8
1441.65
1405.1
1435.4
1.797809
1430.1
1455.8
1429
1447.7
0.856904
1444
1451.8
1430.65
1442.15
-0.38337
1440.1
1441.9
1420
1425.35
-1.16493
1421.6
1448.9
1412.7
1443.55
1.276879
20-Feb15
21-Feb15
22-Feb15
25-Feb15
26-Feb15
27-Feb15
28-Feb15
1441.5
1457
1441.5
1452.8
0.640781
1440.7
1456.85
1440.7
1451.05
-0.12046
1450
1464.05
1442.3
1455.1
0.279108
1453
1475
1451.5
1473.7
1.278263
1467
1499.95
1466
1496.4
1.540341
1495.25
1503.05
1477.3
1483.2
-0.88212
1486.25
1525
1485.25
1517
2.278857
PERFORMACNE OF TCS
GROWTH = 1517-1502.95*100
1302.95
=
16.4%
DATA INTERPRETATION: Above data indicating performance of TCS for the given
period. Graph has taken with daily closing prices of the stock. And one can easily
understand if any investments, investing for short term, he has to ready to bear volatility.
Other than financial results few times changes in management and business risk also
become a cause to fall a stock. IT sector has international exposure when major
fluctuation happens in currency (dollar) it may be a cause for volatility. For the given
period TCS has given 16.4 % returns. In last 5 financial years also TCS has given better
returns when compare to all competitive IT stocks.
TCS RESULTS:
Money control Bureau
Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) topped market expectations on Monday with a third
quarter net profit of Rs 3,551 crore, up 1 percent (up 23 percent from a year ago), helped
by new deal wins. The India's largest software services exporter's revenue rose 3 percent
sequentially (22 percent year-on-year) to Rs 16,070 crore.
Dollar revenues increased 3 percent to USD 2,948 million.
Analysts on average had expected TCS to report a net profit of Rs 3,410 crore on revenue
of Rs 15,950 crore in Oct-Dec, according to a CNBC-TV18 poll.
TCS met or beat analysts expectations on most parameters in the third quarter, which is
typically a seasonally weak quarter, and its CEO, N Chandrasekaran feels the clients will
continue to invest on tech in 2015.
He once again reiterated that the company hopes to grow ahead of the NASSCOM
guidance of 11-15 percent growth in the current financial year
"While technology budgets are still being set for the next fiscal (year), there is little doubt
that technology is a key resource to help global businesses optimise their operations and
fuel growth in the current economic climate," said N Chandrasekaran, CEO and MD.
TCS' operating margin in the third quarter was up 218 basis points at 29.2%.
"We continue to focus on managing our operations optimally in the face of increased
external volatility. We have increased operating margins significantly by taking the
Open
High
Low
Close
%of change
Price
Price
Price
Price
01-Oct1060
1060.9
1046
1050.65
0
14
03-Oct1052.2
1063 1046.25
1053 0.22367106
14
1
04-Oct1057.25
1093.9 1057.25
1083.4 2.88698955
14
4
05-Oct1100
1100
866.75
1066.7
14
1.54144360
3
08-Oct1070
1070 1049.25
1052.2
-
14
09-Oct14
10-Oct14
1.35933252
1
1.13571564
3
0.93501855
9
0.35571997
7
1.24769601
6
0.82794927
1060
1073.65
1058.05
1064.15
1056.25
1059.7
1048.65
1054.2
1060
1067.8
1048.2
1057.95
1060.9
1062.9
1043.1
1044.75
15-Oct14
16-Oct14
1045.1
1055.6
1032
1053.4
1061
1062.95
1040.1
1043.25
17-Oct14
18-Oct14
19-Oct14
1053.25
1054.7
1042.1
1049.55
1055.25
1066.8
1052.1
1064.95
1061
1076
1050.1
1057.3
22-Oct14
23-Oct14
25-Oct14
26-Oct14
1052.8
1080.95
1050
1075.6
1078.8
1087.85
1071.8
1079.45
1070.1
1091.9
1070.1
1087.15
1084.8
1102.8
1075.1
1078.35
29-Oct14
1077
1084.4
1063.3
1068.45
30-Oct14
1072
1087.3
1032.65
1045.15
31-Oct14
01-Nov14
02-Nov14
05-Nov14
1046
1054.9
1035.75
1050.2
1052
1061
1045.3
1057.35
0.96354661
1
0.60388209
9
1.46729550
8
0.71834358
4
1.73082379
6
0.35793975
5
0.71332623
1
0.80945591
7
0.91806927
2
2.18072909
4
0.48318423
2
0.6808227
1072
1082.35
1065.6
1079.65
2.1090462
1076
1080.9
1067.45
1077.65
06-Nov-
1071.5
1087.5
1068.2
1080.7
0.18524521
8
0.28302324
11-Oct14
12-Oct14
14
07-Nov14
08-Nov14
1086.1
1099.75
1080.05
1092.95
1080
1082.9
1071.2
1076
09-Nov14
12-Nov14
1076.3
1078
1054.5
1059.2
1061.5
1070.9
1053.15
1058.4
13-Nov14
15-Nov14
1059.85
1063
1055.05
1059.75
1054.8
1057.35
1043.45
1054.65
16-Nov14
1047.6
1052.05
1022
1027.3
19-Nov14
1028.1
1033.4
1016.2
1021.15
20-Nov14
21-Nov14
22-Nov14
1030.8
1034.15
1015
1024.1
1030
1047
1026.55
1044.45
1045.5
1054
1030
1032.6
23-Nov14
1037.6
1038.95
1020.2
1025.1
26-Nov14
1035
1035
1015
1018.3
27-Nov14
29-Nov14
30-Nov14
03-Dec14
04-Dec14
05-Dec14
06-Dec14
1030.4
1037.25
1025.25
1034.1
1050
1086
1045.65
1081.75
1100
1104.95
1090.7
1099.85
1095
1113.65
1093.2
1102.3
1102
1122.6
1095.55
1119.35
1121.9
1128
1108.15
1119.8
1132
1143
1102
1135.7
5
1.13352456
7
1.55084862
1
1.56133829
0.07552870
1
0.12755102
0.48124557
7
2.59327739
1
0.59865667
3
0.28888997
7
1.98711063
4
1.13456843
3
0.72632190
6
0.66334991
7
1.55160561
7
4.60787157
9
1.67321469
8
0.22275764
9
1.54676585
3
0.04020190
3
1.41989641
07-Dec14
1140.3
1144.45
1122.15
1131.7
10-Dec14
1140
1140.35
1118.2
1121.45
11-Dec14
12-Dec14
13-Dec14
14-Dec14
17-Dec14
18-Dec14
19-Dec14
1124.95
1149.5
1108.4
1122.65
1128.35
1132.8
1106.35
1113.2
1120
1133.45
1115.5
1121.25
1116
1139.45
1113.4
1136.05
1130.25
1149
1130.25
1144.1
1147
1153.4
1118.8
1148.95
1155.1
1158.65
1133.05
1138.75
20-Dec14
21-Dec14
1144.8
1145
1130.1
1139.65
1133.9
1139
1117.2
1123.9
24-Dec14
26-Dec14
27-Dec14
1129.7
1130
1114.2
1121.5
1126
1150
1121
1148.65
1152.25
1153.8
1132.5
1136.45
28-Dec14
31-Dec14
1142.6
1146.5
1129.8
1141.55
1141.5
1143.9
1134.2
1138.25
01-Jan15
02-Jan15
03-Jan15
1146.4
1161.95
1143.1
1158.45
1170
1177
1165
1174
1177.05
1178
1165.3
1172.05
1172.9
1184.9
1165.05
1182.4
1188
1188
1177
1182.15
04-Jan15
07-Jan15
0.35220568
8
0.90571706
3
0.10700432
5
0.84175834
0.72314049
6
1.31995540
7
0.70859557
2
0.42391399
4
0.88776709
2
0.07903402
9
1.38200324
7
0.21354213
2.42086491
3
1.06211639
8
0.44876589
4
0.28908063
6
1.77465407
4
1.34231084
6
0.16609880
7
0.88306812
8
0.02114343
08-Jan15
1179.15
1182
1170.25
1179.55
09-Jan15
10-Jan15
1178.25
1187.9
1173.7
1180.45
1186.25
1188
1161.25
1179.5
11-Jan15
14-Jan15
15-Jan15
16-Jan15
1184
1184.4
1159.1
1163.55
1165
1192
1165
1185.15
1183.2
1211.15
1174.1
1204.35
1204.35
1207
1176.4
1179.85
17-Jan15
1177.25
1187.2
1158.2
1162.5
18-Jan15
21-Jan15
22-Jan15
1165.5
1186.2
1165.5
1176.2
1180
1182.45
1165
1177.55
1176.2
1194.85
1164
1170.15
23-Jan15
24-Jan15
1175
1192
1161.6
1181
1179.85
1186.65
1157.6
1164.5
1170.2
1180
1163.6
1172.95
1173.6
1194.4
1172.15
1190.25
1195.85
1228
1182
1201.2
1205
1222.55
1203.85
1212.7
1207
1232
1186.3
1191.15
1194
1203.3
1167.65
1171.15
1184
1202.8
1178
1181.75
1166
1179.3
1162.05
1166.05
25-Jan15
28-Jan15
29-Jan15
30-Jan15
31-Jan15
01-Feb15
04-Feb15
05-Feb-
7
0.21993824
8
0.07630028
4
0.08047778
4
1.35226791
1.85638777
9
1.62004809
5
2.03429235
7
1.47052591
4
1.17849462
4
0.11477639
9
0.62842342
2
0.92723155
2
1.39712108
4
0.72563331
9
1.47491367
9
0.91997479
5
0.95737595
7
1.77702647
1.67904965
8
0.90509328
4
-
15
06-Feb15
1173
1173
1150.8
1155.25
07-Feb15
1152.35
1166.95
1136.55
1144.85
08-Feb15
1146.05
1149.75
1124.8
1130.15
11-Feb15
12-Feb15
13-Feb15
14-Feb15
1132.3
1134.35
1117.05
1122.7
1121.5
1134
1114.1
1128.85
1137
1146.4
1131.4
1142.6
1148
1149.8
1120.6
1126.2
15-Feb15
1126
1131
1111.1
1121.85
18-Feb15
19-Feb15
20-Feb15
1124.4
1130
1119.5
1122
1123.25
1134
1114.6
1131.4
1136
1137.85
1118.7
1121.55
21-Feb15
1112.25
1114.35
1076
1079.6
22-Feb15
25-Feb15
26-Feb15
1077.05
1099
1077.05
1092.55
1099
1101.85
1081.2
1093.9
1088
1088.85
1052.55
1064
27-Feb15
28-Feb15
1069.55
1088.95
1069
1083.15
1092
1094.8
1030
1040.4
1.32853818
5
0.92620385
1
0.90023804
4
1.28401100
6
0.65920453
0.54778658
6
1.21805377
2
1.43532294
8
0.38625466
2
0.01337077
1
0.83778966
1
0.87060279
3
3.74035932
4
1.19951834
0.12356413
9
2.73333942
8
1.79981203
3.94682177
Growth =
= - 0.97%
Data interpretation: The above chart indicating performance of ICICI BANK for the
given period. Inflation and interest rates plays major role in banking industry. If
government fails to control inflation, its highly impossible to control interest rates also.
According to RBI data in last three months (January, February & March) inflation
numbers increased by 21.18% because of hike in daily commodity prices.
ICICI bank closed in 1% negative in the above data when compare to starting day to
ending day. In the month of February itself, stock fall close to 14%. As on 25th February
closing, stock is in profit of close to 4% from starting day, but due to budget impact stock
fall above 5% in last 2 days.
ICICI BANK RESULTS
India's largest private sector lender ICICI Bank 's third quarter (October-December)
standalone net profit jumped more than 30% year-on-year to Rs 2,250 crore, driven by
robust net interest income, which increased 29% to Rs 3,500 crore. Other income too
climbed 17% to Rs 2,215 crore adding to the profit margin.
"The rise in profit came on the back of growth and efficiency parameters," Chanda
Kochhar, MD & CEO, ICICI Bank told reporters in a conference call.
"Going forward, we expect slight improvement in net interest margin by a few basis
points. Our growth in loans is well-balanced. We would grow our retail loans at 20%.
Also, there is a room for growing our international business wherein the net interest
margin stood at 1.3%," she said.
Analysts on an average were expecting profit after tax at Rs 2,077 crore and net interest
income at Rs 3,499 crore for the quarter.
The bank expanded its loans by 16% y-o-y to Rs 2.87 lakh crore while the deposits grew
at a slower pace by about 10% to Rs 2.86 lakh crore.
The share of current and savings account (CASA) was at 40.9% as against 40.7% in the
second quarter. CASA is a source of cheap funds for banks. Net interest margin logged a
rise of 37 basis points to 3.07% y-o-y.
Provisions against bad loans inched up to Rs 369 as against Rs 341 crore a year back.
However, the same came down in comparison with the July-September quarter recorded
at Rs 508 crore. Provision coverage ratio stood at 77.7% as on December 31.
"In Q2 provisions were up due to one single corporate account which we had provided
for. Earlier, we had sold our credit exposure in Kingfisher airlines. Currently, we do not
have any plan for selling our (stressed) loan portfolios," Kochhar said.
During the quarter, the gross non-performing asset (NPA) ratio improved from 3.54% to
3.31% quarter-on-quarter. Net NPA ratio was at 0.76% compared with 0.78% a quarter
back. Net restructured book remained at Rs 4,169 crore, little changed from the previous
quarter.
ICICI Bank, according to Kochhar, does not need to raise any equity capital in the near
term. Its capital adequacy ratio was 19.53% of which tier-I (equity capital) was at 13.25%
as on December 31.
At 14.40 hrs, ICICI Bank shares were trading at Rs 1,196, down more than 1% on
NSE. Earlier in the trading session however, those hit 52-week high of Rs 1,232 before
the results announcement.
"There were high hopes of better-than-expected results. Some traders were speculating on
that. Though, the bank has reported good set of numbers but there is nothing to cheer
about it. Some amount of profit booking has led to the fall in share price," said a banking
analyst from a foreign brokerage firm.
PERFORMANCE OF HDFC BANK from October 1st 2014 to 28th February 2015
Date
Open
Price
High
Price
Low
Price
Close
%of
Price
change
620
622.85
01-Oct14
03-Oct14
629
632
624
626.8
617.95
619.45
04-Oct14
05-Oct14
621.5
633.9
621.45
631.3
638
638.65
505.05
622.4
08-Oct14
623.9
623.9
616.55
620.7
09-Oct14
10-Oct14
624.95
630.5
622
625.75
624
624
616.2
617.95
11-Oct14
12-Oct14
15-Oct14
16-Oct14
621.15
627.8
618.45
624.85
630
635
626
631.15
632.4
634.9
622.6
634.15
635.25
635.5
628.1
630.4
17-Oct14
632
632.5
626.5
628.1
18-Oct-
630
637.9
624.45
636.2
0.545877
8
1.912987
33
1.409789
3
0.273136
2
0.813597
55
1.246504
2
1.116595
19
1.008241
98
0.475322
82
0.591342
7
0.364847
7
1.289603
14
19-Oct14
632
635
627
628.5
625.2
640
625.2
639
639.05
639.5
632.5
634.1
25-Oct14
26-Oct14
632.65
641
629
637.35
636.65
639.8
631
637.15
29-Oct14
30-Oct14
637.85
642.5
635.55
640.6
637.05
644.8
630.6
633.65
31-Oct14
01-Nov14
634.1
635.9
630.05
634.2
632.75
635.7
627.5
628.6
638
638
628
630.3
632
636
630.75
635
633.95
641.2
633.95
639.55
639.75
645
636.9
640.05
636.5
641
635.5
639
09-Nov14
12-Nov14
13-Nov14
638.25
643
635
639.35
637.25
653.8
637.25
651.3
651
651.9
646.2
647.05
15-Nov14
16-Nov14
647
647.4
639
646.25
643
648.6
640.15
642.25
19-Nov14
639.75
647.9
639.45
646.75
22-Oct14
23-Oct14
02-Nov14
05-Nov14
06-Nov14
07-Nov14
08-Nov14
57
1.210311
2
1.670644
39
0.766823
2
0.512537
45
0.031379
9
0.541473
75
1.084920
4
0.086798
71
0.883002
2
0.270442
25
0.745676
66
0.716535
43
0.078179
97
0.164049
7
0.054773
08
1.869085
79
0.652541
1
-0.123638
0.618955
5
0.700661
74
20-Nov14
21-Nov14
22-Nov14
23-Nov14
26-Nov14
649.1
655.9
648.25
653.85
655.15
665.5
649.7
663.7
666.8
671.15
664
669.1
669.5
672.6
659.05
669.75
673
673.7
660.1
661.9
27-Nov14
29-Nov14
30-Nov14
03-Dec14
664.9
683.8
664.9
680.5
677.5
703.75
675.4
699.85
701
705.5
689.6
703.95
700
701.15
684
686.95
04-Dec14
684.1
690
681.05
685.15
05-Dec14
06-Dec14
07-Dec14
689
695
687
692.6
695.8
698.5
680.8
694.75
695.25
698
688
693.1
10-Dec14
690
696.5
689.65
693
11-Dec14
695.25
699
686.3
690.85
12-Dec14
13-Dec14
691.25
696
688.5
693.85
693.85
696
689
691.05
14-Dec14
690.05
694.4
685.35
688.75
17-Dec14
687.9
687.9
673.6
676.5
18-Dec14
677.95
682.2
669.75
675.95
1.097796
68
1.506461
73
0.813620
61
0.097145
42
1.172079
1
2.810092
16
2.843497
43
0.585839
82
2.414944
2
0.262027
8
1.087353
13
0.310424
49
0.237495
5
0.014427
9
0.310245
3
0.434247
67
0.403545
4
0.332826
9
1.778584
4
0.081300
19-Dec14
20-Dec14
674.55
689.25
674.5
688
686
687
680.25
683.4
21-Dec14
681
682
674.05
676
24-Dec14
26-Dec14
27-Dec14
680
680.15
671.8
676.1
678.1
684.85
673.1
680.3
684
684
676.7
680.1
28-Dec14
681.1
683
674.15
677.65
31-Dec14
01-Jan15
02-Jan15
03-Jan15
677
680
674
678.6
682.1
685.1
679.65
684.5
689.9
690
683.05
687.35
690
690
680.4
683.35
04-Jan15
685
685
672.8
679.35
07-Jan15
683.7
683.7
666
668.2
08-Jan15
09-Jan15
668
673.4
665.7
670.25
672
672.55
666.05
667.5
10-Jan15
11-Jan15
14-Jan15
15-Jan15
669.5
678
666.5
675.8
676.9
676.9
666.7
669.3
8
1.782676
23
0.668604
7
1.082821
2
0.014792
9
0.621209
88
0.029398
8
0.360241
1
0.140190
36
0.869437
08
0.416362
31
0.581945
2
0.585351
6
1.641274
7
0.306794
37
0.410294
7
1.243445
69
-0.961823
668.15
670.5
667.1
669.3
670.8
675.45
665
668.3
665.55
669.2
657.6
660.5
0.149409
8
-
16-Jan-
15
17-Jan15
18-Jan15
657.7
670.85
654.05
666.8
670
674
655.3
662.85
21-Jan15
660
663.4
654.75
658.55
22-Jan15
23-Jan15
24-Jan15
25-Jan15
28-Jan15
29-Jan15
658.5
661
647.55
653.75
657
663
654.35
656.6
655.6
662.75
655.25
660.3
660.3
667
655.55
665.05
665.25
672
664.45
670.35
670.75
670.9
650
652.45
653
658.4
644
656.65
656.6
657.9
640.1
643.05
01-Feb15
644.8
644.85
636.2
640.15
04-Feb15
05-Feb15
641.15
649.5
640
646.9
636.35
647.2
636.35
644.15
06-Feb15
646.6
646.9
637.2
639.5
07-Feb15
08-Feb15
11-Feb15
12-Feb15
13-Feb15
636.3
643
634.55
641.5
640.5
653.4
640.5
650.05
650
659.95
650
656.95
655.65
667
655.65
665.2
663.3
667.4
659.5
664.2
30-Jan15
31-Jan15
1.167140
5
0.953822
86
0.592381
5
0.648713
9
-0.728874
0.435946
46
0.563508
99
0.719369
98
0.796932
56
2.670246
9
0.643727
49
2.071118
6
0.450975
8
1.054440
37
0.425104
3
0.721881
5
0.312744
33
1.332813
72
1.061456
81
1.255803
33
0.150330
664
678.4
662
674.8
671.7
680.8
668.2
676.75
678
680.9
674
676
19-Feb15
674.5
677.4
671.55
674.8
20-Feb15
21-Feb15
22-Feb15
25-Feb15
677.5
680.8
674.9
676.95
675
677.45
664.05
666.25
7
1.595904
85
0.288974
51
0.110823
8
0.177514
8
0.318612
92
-1.580619
662.2
666.4
657.55
659.3
-1.043152
663.25
665.2
654.1
656.45
26-Feb15
654.8
663
645.4
651.25
27-Feb15
652.3
654
640.9
642.75
28-Feb15
646.95
654.95
619.35
625.35
0.432276
7
0.792139
5
1.305182
3
2.707117
9
14-Feb15
15-Feb15
18-Feb15
Growth =
= 0.40%
DAT A INTERPRETATION: The above chart indicating performance of HDFC bank
for the given period. Where the stock records very low fluctuations ups and downs, but
closed near to open price only. Stock opened at 629 and created a high price of 705.5, in
the end of November created low value of 615.20 and by 28th February stock reached to
625.35. It seems stock has moved 15% from low to high in five months. Where, investors
have low risk and low returns.
During the quarter, net interest income or the difference between interest earned and paid
out, rose nearly 22% to Rs 3,800 crore. Other income increased 27% to Rs 1,800 crore
aided by growth in fee and commission income.
The quarterly numbers were almost in line with analyst expectations barring a small blip
in non-performing assets. Gross non-performing asset (NPA) ratio rose to 1% as against
0.91% in the July-September quarter. Net NPA ratio remained at 0.20%, little changed
from the previous quarter. Provisions and contingencies stood at Rs 307, up by Rs 14
crore from the previous quarter.
"The bank's provisioning policies for specific loan loss provisions remained higher than
regulatory requirements. The NPA coverage ratio based on specific provisions (not
including write-offs, technical or otherwise) was at 80% as on December 31, 2014. Total
restructured loans (including applications received and under process for restructuring)
were at 0.3% of gross advances as of December 31, 2014," HDFC Bank said in a press
release.
During the three month period, the loan book expanded more than 24% y-o-y to Rs 2.41
crore. Retail loans escalated about 30% y-o-y to Rs 1.30 lakh crore. This is way above the
industry credit growth at around 16%. However, the bank refrains from lending long term
significantly. Project finance, launched more than a year back, currently stands around
4% of the loan book.
Open
High
Low
Close
%of
Price
Price
Price
Price
change
01-Oct2242.4
2278.7
2240.2
2270.15
0
14
03-Oct2280.95 2302.35 2253.05
2296.9
1.178336
14
23
04-Oct2310
2349 2304.25
2345.7
2.124602
14
73
05-Oct2350 2362.55
2011.3
2339.45 -0.266445
14
08-Oct14
2340.5
2340.5
2261.3
2269.45
09-Oct14
10-Oct14
2293.9
2306
2257.3
2282.55
2258
2263.85
2218.5
2223.55
11-Oct14
12-Oct14
2227
2283.7
2191.4
2267.15
2269.7
2294.45
2245.1
2251.75
2248
2269.65
2230.8
2264.45
2270.45
2285
2223.9
2228.85
17-Oct14
2246.2
2255.9
2202.1
2214.7
18-Oct14
19-Oct14
2228.35
2283.7
2207
2278.2
2270
2279.85
2234
2257.75
22-Oct14
2227
2259.9
2225.25
2240.95
23-Oct14
2240
2267.95
2230.55
2234.7
25-Oct14
2239.8
2250.35
2195
2199.35
26-Oct14
2185
2204.7
2161
2173.35
29-Oct14
2172.85
2204.45
2156.85
2167.7
30-Oct14
2169
2199.8
2065.55
2074.3
31-Oct14
01-Nov14
02-Nov-
2072
2114.6
2057.55
2110.25
2112
2124.6
2098.45
2115.5
2140
2159
2125.1
2152.45
15-Oct14
16-Oct14
2.992156
3
0.577232
37
2.584828
4
1.960828
41
0.679266
9
0.564005
77
1.572125
7
0.634856
5
2.867205
49
0.897638
5
0.744103
6
0.278899
6
1.581867
8
1.182167
5
0.259967
3
4.308714
3
1.733114
79
0.248785
69
1.746632
14
05-Nov14
2142.9
2153.8
2128.2
2144.75
06-Nov14
07-Nov14
08-Nov14
09-Nov14
12-Nov14
13-Nov14
2130.95
2177.5
2130.95
2173.15
2168.35
2229.7
2164.5
2217
2189
2266.9
2182.25
2242.3
2236.6
2269.35
2148
2155.05
2165.1
2194.9
2124.05
2190.3
2189.9
2190.1
2160
2171.35
15-Nov14
2152
2182
2138.4
2153.7
16-Nov14
2153.7
2169.95
2101.1
2108.45
19-Nov14
2124
2124
2084.4
2093.9
20-Nov14
21-Nov14
2110
2118.8
2053
2066.5
2071
2074.4
2041
2061
22-Nov14
23-Nov14
2067.6
2114.55
2067.6
2098.45
2110
2111.45
2075.3
2089.5
26-Nov14
27-Nov14
29-Nov14
30-Nov14
03-Dec14
04-Dec14
05-Dec-
2096.5
2109.65
2080
2091.9
2101.7
2123.05
2095
2115.15
2128.15
2142
2105.65
2131.85
2149
2187
2145.6
2170.3
2180
2210
2173.5
2204.05
2208
2249.2
2202.4
2239.55
2248
2283
2245.2
2271.8
0.357731
9
1.324163
66
2.017808
25
1.141181
78
-3.891094
1.635692
91
0.865178
3
0.812858
4
2.101035
4
0.690080
4
-1.308563
0.266150
5
1.817079
09
0.426505
3
0.114860
01
1.111429
8
0.789542
11
1.803597
81
1.555084
55
1.610671
26
1.440021
14
06-Dec14
07-Dec14
10-Dec14
11-Dec14
2281
2317.95
2240
2307.2
2316.4
2339.6
2300.05
2316.2
2322.4
2326.8
2301.1
2320.25
2329.7
2338.55
2282.7
2308.8
12-Dec14
2310
2317.95
2286.4
2294.9
13-Dec14
2302.5
2325
2255.1
2262.6
14-Dec14
17-Dec14
18-Dec14
19-Dec14
2266.15
2327
2253.85
2320.25
2318.75
2349
2311.95
2344.3
2350
2382
2279
2372.7
2385
2408.15
2362.75
2372.3
20-Dec14
21-Dec14
2368.45
2398.8
2342.55
2381.25
2355.1
2376.65
2327.5
2334.45
24-Dec14
2340
2359
2325
2331.3
26-Dec14
27-Dec14
28-Dec14
2336.7
2380
2323
2370.85
2370.85
2397.5
2362.7
2388.35
2394
2397.35
2369.1
2379.5
2370
2396.7
2368.65
2385.5
2404.9
2434.05
2397.55
2426.45
2450
2464
2438.15
2450.55
2460
2482.4
2436.2
2471.6
2460
2492.95
2450.65
2486.7
31-Dec14
01-Jan15
02-Jan15
03-Jan15
04-Jan-
43
1.558235
76
0.390083
22
0.174855
37
0.493481
3
0.602044
4
1.407468
7
2.547953
68
1.036526
24
1.211449
05
0.016858
4
0.377271
1.965354
3
0.134935
4
1.696478
36
0.738131
89
0.370548
7
0.252153
81
1.716621
25
0.993220
55
0.858990
84
0.610940
15
07-Jan15
2490
2499
2461.75
2467.6
2468
2500
2463
2493.35
2494
2540
2494
2522.8
2539.95
2551.7
2522.5
2539.1
2549
2550
2483.25
2491.05
14-Jan15
15-Jan15
2491
2519.95
2475.2
2499.75
2505
2517.4
2470.2
2489.85
16-Jan15
2480
2493.5
2424
2432.4
17-Jan15
18-Jan15
21-Jan15
22-Jan15
2425.5
2482.45
2423
2469.85
2485
2517.65
2478.1
2492.05
2495
2511.4
2490.1
2499.45
2490
2509
2454.4
2464.45
23-Jan15
24-Jan15
2471
2492.05
2452.15
2480.4
2480
2484.35
2440.55
2459.15
25-Jan15
28-Jan15
2459.7
2524.8
2448
2513.7
2525
2533.8
2483
2491.55
29-Jan15
2490.55
2535
2455.05
2462.45
30-Jan15
2477
2487
2426.6
2436.1
31-Jan15
01-Feb-
2436
2456.65
2416.15
2438
2431
2452.1
2401
2412.35
08-Jan15
09-Jan15
10-Jan15
11-Jan15
28
0.768086
2
1.043524
07
1.181141
84
0.646107
5
1.892402
8
0.349250
32
0.396039
6
2.307367
9
1.539631
64
0.898840
01
0.296944
28
1.400308
1
0.647203
23
0.856716
7
2.218246
14
0.881171
2
1.167947
7
1.070072
5
0.077993
51
-
15
04-Feb15
2417.5
2429.25
2345
2352.6
05-Feb15
06-Feb15
2350
2380.6
2328.1
2371.5
2385
2387.9
2342
2348.7
07-Feb15
2334
2364
2320.15
2326.6
08-Feb15
2320
2342.9
2276.1
2286.15
11-Feb15
12-Feb15
13-Feb15
2289.9
2311.9
2277.35
2294.35
2301
2307.6
2278.8
2296.4
2302
2323.25
2242.5
2254.7
14-Feb15
2250
2269
2175
2215.75
15-Feb15
18-Feb15
19-Feb15
20-Feb15
2207
2247.7
2205.15
2233.45
2235
2268.8
2235
2262.7
2268.85
2280
2237
2273.5
2285
2287.15
2246.6
2252.05
21-Feb15
2239.4
2242.95
2200.15
2210.55
22-Feb15
2211
2225.45
2190.05
2196
25-Feb15
26-Feb15
2210
2239
2201.05
2220.9
2208
2216
2188.65
2198.4
27-Feb15
28-Feb-
2212.45
2232.65
2197
2213.4
2234
2236.7
2051
2080.9
1.052091
9
2.476837
9
0.803366
49
0.961416
8
0.940946
1
1.738588
5
0.358681
63
0.089349
92
1.815885
7
1.727502
6
0.798826
58
1.309633
08
0.477305
87
0.943479
2
1.842765
5
0.658207
2
1.133879
78
1.013102
8
0.682314
41
-
15
5.986265
5
PERFORMANCE OF SBIN
DATA INTERPRETATION: The above data indicating performance of SBIN for the
given period. Recorded highest intraday fluctuations and more bearish days than bullish
days, this is the one cause stock fall close to 8.5% in 5 months. One of the major reason
for fall impact of railway budget and Central budget, stock fall 6% at end of February. On
results day also stock moved into negative zone. Here few more causes impacting stock
to fluctuate ups and downs, the same explained graphically with above intraday graph
SBIN RESULTS:
Money control Bureau
India's largest lender, State Bank of India 's (SBI) has posted a better than expected third
quarter (Oct-Dec) performance. State Bank of India has posted a net profit after Minority
Interest of Rs. 46484.40 mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2014 as compared to Rs.
43180.80 mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2013.
Total Income has increased from Rs. 431064.90 mn for the quarter ended December 31,
2013 to Rs. 509421.40 mn for the quarter ended December 31, 2014.
Net NPA ratio increased to 2.58% compared with 2.44%. However, both ratio improved
when it is compared year-on-year basis.
Other income zoomed more than 75% Y-o-Y to Rs 3,648 crore. Net interest margin
(NIM) contracted marginally from 3.77% in Q2 to 3.72% in Q3, 2014-15.
India's largest lender expanded its loan book nearly 16% to Rs 9.78 lakh crore. Gross
non-performing asset ratio increased to 5.30% (at Rs 53,460 crore) as against 5.15% in
the July-September quarter, suggesting that asset quality pain is not yet fully over. Net
NPA ratio increased to 2.58% compared with 2.44%. However, both ratio improved when
it is compared year-on-year basis.
Accordingly, provisions for bad loans upped 46 percent quarter-on-quarter to Rs 2,766
crore. The same was at Rs 3,000 crore (excluding a write-back of investment provision at
Rs 870 crore) a year back.
CORRELATION: Based on above data applied correlation matrix for analysis.
CORRELATION MATRIX AMONG NIFTY, IT SECTOR & IT SECTOR STOCKS
NIFTY
IT
INFOSYS
IT
0.212973
INFOSYS
0.116784
0.950845
WPIRO
0.282876
0.578237
0.483623
TCS
0.132959
0.667839
0.448695
WIPRO
0.32918
WITH NIFTY:
1. Nifty to IT sector correlation is 0.212973 so; its positive correlation
between nifty and IT sector.
2.
WITH IT SECTOR:
BANKING
HDFC
BANKING
0.910833
HDFC
0.555551
0.648717
ICICI
0.81517
0.868226
0.400572
SBI
0.709642
0.77513
0.329788
ICICI
0.552616
Above table indicating correlation between NIFTY to BANKING sector and nifty to
HDFC, ICICI, SBI and inter companies correlation. The correlation values taken with the
help of 5 months data from 01st October 2014 to 28th February 2014.
WITH NIFTY:
1. NIFTY to banking sector correlation is 0.910833. Indicating positive
correlation.
2. NIFTY to all the banking sector companies HDFC, ICICI, SBI correlation
values 0.555551 and 0.81517 and 0.709642 respectively. Here also
indicating positive correlation.
WITH SECTOR:
1. Banking sector to all the companies in the sector correlation values are 0.555551,
0.81517, 0.709642 respectively indicating positive correlation.
WITH BANKING SECTOR COMPANIES:
1. HDFC to ICICI 0.400572 and HDFC to SBI 0.329788 & ICICI to SBI 0.552616,
so inter companies correlation also positive in banking sector.
ICICI
HDFC
SBIN
INFOSYS
-0.04036
-0.05632
-0.04795
WPIRO
0.13021
0.12958
0.105676
TCS
-0.02098
0.121876
-0.10309
CHAPTER 5
Findings, Suggestions &
Conclusion
FINDINGS:
All stocks from NSE will not have same weight, based on previous history of
company and traded volume company weight decided by NSE. Reliance group of
stock has more weight in index.
Sector Indices only weight of respective sector stocks only. But nifty is weight of
factors like fiis net selling and net buying are major causes for volatility.
Decreased share value is not an impact to decrease profits of company, because in
current market, share price purely based on speculation. If one can observe in
above analysis from 2008 to 2009 FY all stocks and Indices faces fall in their
prices, but the net profit was increased in the all stocks in the given period.
According to previous history about INFOSYS results impact during 2 nd quarter
results announcement stock has shown growth instead of fall. But the same stock
and Nifty. Both indices faced selling pressure and fall close to 3 to 5%
ICICI bank has given negative returns for the given period.
On 11th January 2015, IT index moved up 9.33% on account of 3 rd quarter results
of Infosys.
resistance levels time to time in the market. There is a chance to avoid high risk.
Infosys has major weight in IT index and also have second priority in Nifty, even
though Infosys unable to give better performance for the given period.
SUGGESTIONS:
really has time to monitor his investments then only he should give priority.
Diversified portfolio (Investments) always gives positive returns. Here investor
CONCLUSION:
Technology stocks bucked the broader market trend as the rupee weakened to its lowest level in 13 months.
Pull-back was seen majors such as InfosysBSE 1.81 % and TCS, which had corrected sharply in the last
few sessions.
The BSE IT Index closed up 1.66 per cent against 1.97 per cent fall in S&P Sensex.
The Indian rupee, alongwith other global currencies, is weakening against the US dollar. Outflows of funds
from riskier assets also put pressure on the Indian rupee.
The partially convertible rupee was at 63.41 per dollar, down 47 paise, against its previous close of
62.94/95. The unit earlier dropped to intraday low of 63.54.
Indian IT companies tend to benefit from a weak rupee as it improves their margins and profitability. Not only
currency, the sector is likely to benefit from pick-up in the US economy.
"We recommended buying TCS, Infosys, Tech Mahindra, HCL Tech, Persistent System and Mindtree
yesterday. These are some of the names in .. the IT pack; as a disclosure, we do have a positive coverage.
From an investment angle one can definitely buy them. It is not only the rupee-dollar equation that we are
banking on, we are more optimistic on the business environment outlook going forward," said Gaurang
Shah, VP, Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services.
According to P Phani Sekhar, Fund Manager-PMS, Angel Broking, Indian IT can grow 15-17 per cent in
rupee terms and around 10-12 per cent in dollar terms.
"Relatively this is a strong sector and valuations, as compared to say that other defensive like pharma or
FMCG, are much more attractive. Infosys is trading at 14.5 times and TCSBSE 2.03 % at around 17.5 times.
These are not at all difficult multiples when these companies will grow at around 20 per cent," he told ET
Now.
HCL Tech closed at Rs 1,554.40, up 4.58 per cent, on the BSE. It rallied 5.28 per cent to touch intraday high
of Rs 1,564.80.
TCS closed at Rs 2443.15, up 3. ..
Read more at:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/45531788.cms?
utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
BIBLIOGRAPHY:
Books :
Investment analysis
r.madhumathi.
Websites:
www.nseindia.com
www.bseindia.com
www.sebi.org.in
www.moneycontrol.com
and
portfolio
management.
by m.ranganatham
&