insightsonindia.com
http://www.insightsonindia.com/2015/01/06/linkages-between-development-and-spread-of-extremism-insurgency-in-north-east/
Table of Content
Introduction
Nagaland
Mizoram
Assam
Tripura
Counterinsurgency
External Hand in NE problem
1. China
2. Pakistan
3. Bangladesh
Current Special Political Arrangements
1. Ministry of Development of North Eastern region
2. AFSPA
3. Inner Line Permit
4. Scheduled Autonomous Areas
Current Situation
Introduction
North eastern states, also known as Seven Sisters, are burdened by colonial legacy like rest of India. Since
independence, there have been numerous secessionist movements and Indian state has repressed them every
time. North east is as diverse as rest of India is but one distinguishing feature is that except state of Assam, other
states have dominantly Tribal populations. There have been continuous immigration stream from the time of
colonial rule, especially from Bengal. States of Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland and Mizoram were deliberately kept
isolated by colonial government and only missionary activities were allowed. Actually this all started in early 19th
century when Burmese King attacked and took area upto Assam under its rule. This was followed by 1st Anglo
Burmese war in 1824-26 under which Assam and Manipur became part of British India for the first time. There
were two more Anglo Burmese wars, one in 1854 and other in 1885. British started tea plantations in Assam, and
here too kept it largely aloof from mainland Indians. After independence these areas became part of India and that
time north east only consisted of Assam, which later was divided in states of Nagaland, Meghalaya, Mizoram and
North Eastern Frontier Agency, which later came to be known as Arunachal Pradesh. Tripura and Manipur became
Centrally Administered Area and a union territory in 1949. Sikkim was not yet part of India until 1974 when it
became a full-fledged state and was under Chogyal Dynasty.
This balkanization was due to bewildering diversity this area consists of. Worst is that this diversity is often at war
with each other and this was there from pre-independence era. Claims over any area are not exclusive to any one
tribe and are overlapping. This all results into a zero sum game. This is quite evident from the fact that, after giving
autonomy and dividing states, still there is ethnic violence.
After independence, government adopted a quite accommodative stance and most of them became loyal citizens
of India. But some disgruntled elements, which saw this as compromise with their autonomy picked up arms to
fight the state. Although they were fighting against state but they often targeted civilians of different ethnicity to
eliminate outsider from their area. Unfortunately, now these groups got degenerated into numerous smaller one
and they kill almost only civilians in guerilla attacks. These are, in this way different from Maoist, who mainly
targets people associated with the state and only suspected informers and traitors are killed.
In short, surviving insurgent group doesnt resemble those arising from popular resentment, but are like those
groups who lost their aim long back and now running a private racket or gang to serve their own narrow ambitions.
Nagaland
Nagaland people form Naga National Council (NNC) declared independence in 1954 which followed armed
response from Indian state. This followed negotiations which curtailed into separate statehood in 1963. By this
time Indian forces had unleashed disproportionate force on nagas and this caused resentment which revived
voice of separatism. Finally peace accord in 1975 Shillong Agreement was signed and top naga leaders joined
civilian politics. Still some people refused to give up and formed National Socialist Council of Nagaland (NSCN).
Nagas have some populations and claims in surrounding areas of Manipur, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh and
Myanmar. They claim this area to be greater Nagaland. This new group also drew cadres from these areas.
Overtime, many factions developed in this group as nagas again have diversity within them. Main death toll they
create is of other ethnicities living in so called greater Nagaland.
Government has engaged into talks with two main factions NSCN (I&M) and NSCN (K). But factionism is big
drag on positive developments as ones claim is over others and no one wants to settle with less.
Mizoram
In late 1950, devastating famine arrived in Mizoram and state of Assam failed to provide timely relief. This
resentment snowballed into violence which led to formation Mizo National Front (MNF) in 1966 which called for an
independent Mizoram State. This led to armed struggle and in 1972 Mizoram Union Territory was carved out of
Assam.
After this, gradually leaders of MNF defected to constitutional politics and movement became weaker and weaker.
In 1986 Mizoram got status of state and MNF became the ruling party with its leader Lal Denga. Since then this
party is popular choice and largely successful in improving quality of public services.
Manipur
Ethnic indigenous population here is of Meitei people. Nagas and Kukis are also present in states. State
negotiations with nagas demarcating area in their favor led to backlash from Meitei people and they formed United
National Liberation Front (UNFL) in 1964. After this there have been crackdowns on this group once it
disappeared and the reemerged in name of Peoples Liberation Army (PLA) in 1978. Again it was repressed
harshly to reemerge finally in its original UNLF avatar. Since then this group has been killing few people every
year. In 2010 its leader was arrested on Nepal Border and from then on this group is in dormancy.
Assam
British had separate policies for two parts of Assam. For Uplands it maintained policy of relative isolation and here
population was ethnic Assamese, they classified this as tribal area. In contrast, Low lands were largely Hindi
speaking; this was non-tribal area and was fully exploited by British. In these areas their bureaucracy relied
completely on Bengali immigrants. For labor there were migrants which were Bengalis, Biharis, and Non Bengali
Muslims. After independence there was continuous stream of illegal immigrants from Bangladesh. This overtime
gave Assamese population a diverse character like any other big cities of India.
First time violence spiraled in 1970s when it appeared that illegal migrants have entered into electoral rolls and
Native parties will from now on loose elections. This led to creation of United Liberation Front of Assam (ULFA)
and some other similar groups. Then this followed counter insurgency and finally Assam accord was reached in
1985 between different parties and government. ULFA kept out of this accord.
But this time there emerged nexus between ruling party and ULFA which alienated migrants. Ruling party was not
accommodative of migrants and they treated illegal and legal migrants alike. This caused counter mobilization of
another Assamese Ethnic group, Bodos. They formed All Bodo Student Union and escalated violence against
ethnic Assamese people. They also raised demand for separate state Bodoland. This demand could not be met
because no ethnic group is in outright majority in a particular area. Later in negotiations government offered a
Bodo Territorial Council, but his was rejected by Bodos.
Bodos have largely maintained peace from long, but ULFA got divided into factions and it recently unleashed
deadly attack on Adivasis killing 70 of them.
Tripura
Again, local people here became minority due to migration from Bengal. In 1978, Tripura National Volunteers was
formed and began attacking other ethnic groups. Here too, this group was brought down by state response and in
1991 National Liberation Front of Tripura (NLFT) began attacks. Since then here violence has been factionalized
and theres reprieve from last few years.
Arunachal Pradesh and Meghalaya
are largely peaceful states and communal mobilization is largely limited to politics in these states.
Counter Insurgency Doctrine
Counter insurgency doctrine is policy adopted by armed forces in dealing with different combat situations. It may
be formal or otherwise undeclared practice. Indian Armed forces, at the time of Independence had good
experience of combating counterinsurgency that arose time and again against British. Further, many of them had
valuable experience of 2 world wars and other expansionist drives of British.
However, methods adopted by British were quite brutal. On any rebellion by a group from particular community,
they used to retaliate from whole community. They used to burn entire villages from which insurgents belonged
and they used to fire indiscriminately from airplanes over whole areas. This was due to non-affection as they were
ruling a foreign land.
Now in new democratic setup, visionary Nehru decided that counterinsurgency shall be focused at winning hearts
and minds of the people and not to punish them. In other words, rebels were now to be won over rather than to be
defeated. This concept was very challenging for armed forces and they attributed many failures to this. But in
longer term, Indian democracy has been largely able to win over once dissenting people.
For this counterinsurgency policy developed was to regrouping many villages to a single village so that they could
be better guarded by armed forces. Further, most crucial thing was to isolate rebels from normal population so as
to block their supplies and further recruitments. This was complimented by regular search and comb operations in
the villages.
It was seen that Indian Forces had a conventional warfare hangover even in this guerilla warfare. They liked to
fight in large numbers even when it was risky to be detected easily in jungles. This resulted in to some big losses
for Army. Overtime with repetitive setbacks army adapted to essentials of guerrilla warfare to some extent. One of
the techniques was that of Small Units, in which team of 5-6 members penetrated forests and used to attack
rebels. This type of strategies comes under Sub Conventional or unconventional warfare. For this Counter
Insurgency and Jungle Warfare School is there in Manipur to train soldiers in Guerilla warfare. Motto of the
school is Fight Guerilla like a Guerilla.
External Hand in NE problem
China
After, 1962 indo-china war, China became quite hostile to India in all the matters. This directly meant that it
accommodated all Anti India elements. It also gave them moral, material and monetary support. Naga National
Council fighter travelled all the way to Yunnan Province of China to get guerilla training there. That time India
allied with Myanmar and this cooperation blocked movement on Nagas until 1980 when Junta dictatorship came
in power in Myanmar. With this it tilted heavily towards China and they both allowed their territories to be used
against India.
It was only after Chinese economic reforms, Chinas outlook changed. From active hostile it became passively
hostile and finally now it remains Neutral.
Pakistan
Normal impression is that Pakistan couldnt have much to do with NE insurgencies, while truth is that like Kashmir
Issue, NE problem is aggravated due to its active involvement when Bangladesh was not yet an independent
country.
One IDSA paper suggests that Zulfikar Ali Bhutto expressed that Pakistan, like Kashmir, also have claims on
some districts of Assam. His claim was on back of growing Muslim population in Assam. It is said that it was his
policy to push as many as possible Muslims illegally into Assam and then to claim/annex entire state. Pakistan
open heartedly hosted Indian Rebels, mainly Nagas and Mizos. Pakistan went to the extent of seeking
International support for naga cause by sending their leader to London with its diplomats. Similar support was
provided to Mizos leader Lal Denga.
Even after liberation of Bangladesh, these leaders travelled mainland Pakistan and made connections of supplies
through Rangoon, Myanmar. Later ISI became supporter of these outfits and it synergized its own terror outfits.
There are a number of Islamic terror outfits operating in Assam which have their roots in Pakistan or Bangladesh
for E.g. Muslim United Liberation Tigers of Assam.
Bangladesh
After Liberation of Bangladesh, Government under Sheikh Mujibur Rehman remained cordial with India. But, soon
he was murdered by Islamic fundamentalists and Bangladesh was taken over by Pakistan type mentality. They
again revived Anti India and Anti Hindu rhetoric and embraced terrorism.
After this again active support and allowing Indian rebels to build base in Bangladesh started. All this happened
under nose of Bangladesh government and ISI was an active party. Further typical anti India terror outfits came to
existence under Bangladesh Nationalist Party.
It has been well known that Bangladesh has been used by rebels for quite long. Bangladesh has big network of
Small Arms supply. In one famous raid in Cox Bazar area they were seized in huge quantity. But Awami League
government headed by Sheikh Hasina is keen to have friendly relations with India and also has Secular Character.
In 2008 this party came to power and since then it has refrained from allowing any anti India activity from its soil.
But illegal migration and cross border smuggling stills continues.
Similarly Myanmar has allowed bases in past for rebels, but now due to political reforms it has pulled the plug.
Further, Bhutan has supportively dismantled almost all Anti India elements on its soil.
Nepal In past has acted meeting ground of extremism emerging from Pakistan and that from North east. Again in
recent past, Indo Nepal Cooperation has improved resulting in many wanted criminals being caught.
But the problem remains is of Small Arms Corridor which stretches from south east Asia to frontiers of India
through Thailand.
Current Political Arrangements
Ministry of Development of North Eastern Region (MDONER)
The Ministry is responsible for the matters relating to the planning, execution and monitoring of development
schemes and projects in the North Eastern Region. Its vision is to accelerate the pace of socio-economic
development of the Region so that it may enjoy growth parity with the rest of the country.
Current Situation
State response has effectively curbed violence in North-east. Whatever leftover violence is there is against ethnic
groups. To eliminate violence completely is still a challenge. Current situation suggests authority of Indian
government cant be undermined their by these groups. But worrying trend is that these groups have created
there aims other than original ones and these are more sinister. They enjoy give and take relationship with political
parties and help them carrying out their illicit works. In return they get right to operate within limits with impunity.
They run extortion rackets and all types of other illegal trades.
This results into dismal law and order situation in these areas. It is this absence of rule of law that these groups
are still operating. Now counter strategy in general insurgencies are two pronged one is general development to
dismantle ideological critique of state, second is curtailment of physical force by armed response. But in this case
along with these two factors, is the third imperative and that is improving rule of law. If their local police and
judicial system is strong, then members of these groups will soon be brought to justice, which will instill confidence
in natives.
Chances of political settlement are bleak because of kind of diversity it holds. Any autonomy to one group will
alienate others.
INSIGHTS 2015. All Rights Reserved.