Broadband in India
In this paper we will present the state and opportunity of broadband in Asia’s
most promising and fastest growing economy and world’s second largest
wireless market only after China.
BP Tiwari
www.beyond4g.org
4/20/2010
2 State and Opportunity of Broadband in India
Table of Contents
Executive Summary....................................................................................................................................... 4
Introduction and motivation......................................................................................................................... 5
Current shape of broadband in country ....................................................................................................... 6
Broadband leadership Ranking ................................................................................................................. 6
Broadband Penetration in India ................................................................................................................ 8
Average Broadband Speed in Country ...................................................................................................... 9
The principal Challenges ............................................................................................................................. 11
Limited Wire line ..................................................................................................................................... 12
Scarce Broadband Spectrum ................................................................................................................... 13
Low Data ARPU ....................................................................................................................................... 13
Broadband opportunities............................................................................................................................ 15
4G can change broadband situation ....................................................................................................... 15
Deliver a GB for half a dollar ................................................................................................................... 17
Deliver new internet applications with 4G ............................................................................................. 18
Support of large connections in 4G cells ................................................................................................ 18
A need for strong national broadband policy ............................................................................................. 19
Government can influence the broadband situation ............................................................................. 19
Taking India to top 10 broadband nations .............................................................................................. 22
DISCLAMER
This paper is prepared by BP Tiwari and the views expressed here are my own and does not
reflect my company opinion. All the information is presented in this document were collected from public
domain (internet) & wherever possible reference has been provided regarding the source of information.
I have made reasonable efforts to ensure that information is true as best of my knowledge at the time of
compilation, however I do not warrant that the information presented herein is complete and without
error. Author of the paper does not take any responsibility of the errors, omissions, or any other accuracy
in any form. I encourage readers to independently verify information as author does not have any
responsibility of the presented information & content.
List of Figures
Figure 1 : Broadband quality scores.............................................................................................................. 6
Figure 2 : Broadband leadership scores ........................................................................................................ 7
Figure 3 : Broadband penetration................................................................................................................. 8
Figure 4: Total Internet connections in country .......................................................................................... 8
Figure 5 : Reliance Ev-Do Coverage .............................................................................................................. 8
Figure 6 : Tata Ev-Do Coverage .................................................................................................................... 9
Figure 7: BSNL Ev-Do Coverage .................................................................................................................... 9
Figure 8 : Average mobile broadband speeds in metros cities ................................................................... 10
Figure 9 : Distribution of speed tests .......................................................................................................... 10
Figure 10 : Average National Broadband Speeds ....................................................................................... 11
Figure 11 : GDP based on PPP per capita .................................................................................................... 11
Figure 12: Indicative right of way charges .................................................................................................. 12
Figure 13: Capex per subscriber.................................................................................................................. 12
Figure 14: India Spectrum allocation chart ................................................................................................. 13
Figure 15: Global Data ARPU ...................................................................................................................... 14
Figure 16: Data ARPU of global operators .................................................................................................. 14
Figure 17: Average Data Packages in India ................................................................................................ 14
Figure 18: Global Broadband Tariffs ........................................................................................................... 15
Figure 19: Total Subscriber supported per 4G cell ..................................................................................... 16
Figure 19: Spectral efficiency of various technologies ............................................................................... 16
Figure 20: Broadband delivery cost over 4G............................................................................................... 17
Figure 21: Peak Data Rate in Different MIMO Configurations. .................................................................. 18
Figure 23: Broadband and Internet users in India ...................................................................................... 19
Figure 24: Projected additional spectrum requirement for India............................................................... 20
Figure 25: Present right of way charges ..................................................................................................... 21
Figure 26: New Telecom World Order ........................................................................................................ 22
Executive Summary
It’s been a dream run for voice in India. India The number of broadband connections in
positions itself as number two nation in new country is less than 10 Million, which is fewer
world order. However the broadband than 2 % of the total number of voice
leadership is dominated by Southkorea, Japan, subscriptions in India. Total internet
Hongkong, Sweden, Switzerland, Netherlands, connection in India is about 15 Million as per
Singapore, Luxemburg, Denmark and Norway. statistics released by regulatory of India,
representing less than 1% of total population.
India ranked 62 in global broadband leadership
scale, with average download and upload The principal challenges in delivering
speeds recorded way below than the needs of broadband to masses are excessively high right
current internet applications. The current way charges, fragmented cable operators, non
internet visual applications require consistent cooperation in last mile copper unbundling
2Mbps downlink and 1 Mbps uplink data rates. and low data ARPU. The total amount of
spectrum allocated by regulators for broadband
In our analysis we found that the average application in country was too little to support
broadband speed in country is below 600 kbps proliferation of broadband services.
in downlink and 300 kbps in uplink. The leading
broadband nations were found above 8 Mbps in The new 3G/BWA spectrum and the advent
downlink and 2.5 Mbps in uplink and the access WiMAX and LTE based 4G technologies will
latencies were found below 80 milliseconds1. play crucial role in shaping broadband industry
in India. Our analysis in this paper exemplifies
Broadband penetration by number of the competence of 4G technologies like WiMAX
households was estimated between 5 to 6 %. and LTE to deliver broadband in most
The availability of broadband networks has competitive manner. 4G technologies has the
especially improved after beginning of Ev-Do potential to bridge the digital data gap in India
services in country. The mobile broadband and will play very similar role what 2G
networks were deployed in top 100 cities by technologies played in Voice.
four wireless operators i.e. Reliance, TATA,
BSNL and MTS. A need for strong national broadband policy is
felt to foster social and economic development
The data collected from Ev-Do Networks in five in India and accomplish broadband leadership.
metro cities imply average delivery of 300 kbps Analysis presented in the paper estimates
in downlink and 150 kbps in uplink. On allocation of at least 270 MHz of new spectrum
average, Hyderabad performed best with 250- in next five years and over 450 MHz of
350 kbps average download speed and 100-125 spectrum in next 10 years for broadband
kbps average upload speed and New Delhi was applications would be inevitably required to
at the bottom with 240 kbps for download and take India to top broadband nations.
130 kbps for upload.
1
Cisco,
http://www.cisco.com/web/MT/news/09/news_021
009a.html
www.beyond4g.org | Executive Summary 4
Introduction and motivation
Broadband is the great wireless infrastructure The situation of broadband has worsened
challenge of this century and broadband in further with continual delay in allocation of 3G
India is no exception. Like electricity a century and broadband spectrum in country.
ago, broadband is an underpinning foundation Government of India has the responsibility to
for economic development, employment design policies which will ensure fair
creation, universal competitiveness and an competition for consumer welfare, efficient
enhanced way of life. allocation of spectrum, right of way to ensure
network availability and reform laws, policies,
Availability of ubiquitous broadband enables standards and incentives to maximize the
entire new industry and unlocks vast new benefits of broadband in sectors government
possibilities for existing ones. Broadband is influences significantly, such as public
changing how we educate children, deliver education, health care and government
health care, manage energy, ensure public operations.
safety, engage government, and access,
organize and disseminate knowledge. The In this paper we will present the state of
number of Indians who have internet access has broadband in Asia’s most promising and fastest
grown from eight million in 2006 to nearly 15 growing economy and world’s second largest
million in early 2009. Increasingly capable fixed wireless market only after China.
and mobile networks allow Indian consumers to
access a growing number of internet The greatest motivation to write on this
applications and helping them in transforming particular subject is to present the shape of
their life. broadband in the country and also give you an
idea about the broadband opportunity which is
It is unfortunate that broadband in India is not latent in the country. With advent of 4G
all it needs to be. Less than 5 % of the technologies like WiMAX/LTE and allocation of
household population in India has true new broadband spectrum in country, the
broadband connection in country and more development of broadband is expected to grow
than a billion people has limitation in accessing up at a rapid rate.
broadband. This in contrast with the number of
subscriber who has voice connection is In this white paper, we will present all aspects
enormous disparity. Broadband in India is of broadband in India with our analysis and
catching up but behind many developing suggestions to take country in to the league of
countries and developed nations. top broadband nations.
6 State and Opportunity of Broadband in India
In 2009, new insight into who the global Broadband leadership Ranking
broadband leaders are by combining data for
each country’s broadband penetration with a
measure of the quality of broadband services
actually experienced by its citizens was There is a huge leapfrog opportunity in India
conducted by a team of MBA students from the and other emerging markets as per the findings
Saïd Business School at the University of Oxford of the studies3. The minimum average
and the University of Oviedo’s Department of downloads speed for supporting requirement of
Applied Economics, and sponsored by Cisco was current application was estimated at 3.75 Mbps
published2. in downlink and 1.3 Mbps in uplink with latency
in the range of sub 100 milliseconds in 2010.4
Highlights and key facts of the study;
The broadband leadership was dominated by
Overall average broadband quality Southkorea, Japan, Hongkong, Sweden,
increased across the globe in 2009: Global Switzerland, Netherlands, Singapore,
average download throughput increased by Luxemburg, Denmark and Norway. The average
49% to 4.75 Megabits per second (Mbps) download speeds of these nations were found
and global average upload throughput above 8 Mbps in downlink and 2.5 Mbps in
increased by 69% to 1.3 Mbps. uplink and the access latencies were found
below 80 milliseconds.
Global average latency decreased by 21% to
170 milliseconds
5 0 50 100 150
Said Business School ,
http://www.sbs.ox.ac.uk/Pages/Search.aspx/Results.
aspx?k=broadband%20quality
www.beyond4g.org | Current shape of broadband in country 7
8 State and Opportunity of Broadband in India
Nigeria
Kenya Global Broadband Penetration Broadband Penetration in India
Egypt
Indonesia
India Broadband penetration in India is about 6 % of
South Africa total household which has improved more than
Pakistan 3% as compared to similar period in 2008.
Morocco
Vietnam Wireless technologies in last one year have
Thailand facilitated in expanding coverage footprint and
Phillippines
Tunisia
availability of mobile broadband networks in
Colombia India. By far the largest network is CDMA based
Brazil Ev-Do Rev A, and after the launch of Rev A
Ukraine
Saudi Arabia
networks in country, the coverage penetration
China has increased to 6% .
Malaysia
Argentina
Mexico Over 75% of the internet connections in the
Russian Federation country are facilitated by state controlled
Turkey operator BSNL/MTNL6.
Hungary
Greece
Italy
Portugal
Austria
Qatar
Bulgaria
Spain
New Zealand
United Arab Emirates
Germany
Baharain
United Kingdom
Latvia
Tiawan
Slovenia
Finland
Belgium
Estonia
France Figure 4: Total Internet connections in country
Canada
Ireland
United States The coverage of broadband networks has
Lithuania especially improved after beginning of Ev-Do
Australia
Iceland services in country. The Ev-Do based mobile
Malta broadband networks were deployed in top 100
Norway
cities by four wireless operators i.e. Reliance,
Denmark
Luxembourg TATA, BSNL and MTS. The coverage is mostly
Singapore limited to city centers or areas high in
Netherlands
switzerland
broadband potential; nevertheless it has higher
Sweden reach as compared to wire line deployments.
Hong Kong
Japan
South Korea Figure 5 : Reliance Ev-Do Coverage 7
0 50 100 150
6
BP Tiwari; http://www.beyond4g.org/india-
Figure 3 : Broadband penetration wireless-market-update-2h-2009
www.beyond4g.org | Current shape of broadband in country 8
9 State and Opportunity of Broadband in India
Figure 6 : Tata Ev-Do Coverage 8 Country has deployment of ADSL, Fixed WiMAX,
Metro E and other wire line broadband
technologies but those wire-line technologies
are not enough in extending coverage to large
number of households due to deployment
challenges as presented in next section of the
paper. Our internal studies indicate that
country lacks the minimum required broadband
threshold speed to support the growing
demand of internet applications. In contrast, 39
countries have average download speeds above
3.75 Mbps and 1.3 Mbps in uplink as presented
in Figure 9. The average broadband speed in
State owned largest operators BSNL has Ev-DO India was recorded less than 600 Mbps in
network in 76 cites. downlink in 2009 as compared to global
average of 4.75 Mbps in 2009.
Figure 7: BSNL Ev-Do Coverage 9
The leading broadband nations like Japan,
South Korea, Sweden, Netherland and
Switzerland have average downlink speeds of
10 Mbps and above. Broadband connections of
these countries are capable of supporting
future web applications, such as high definition
Internet TV viewing and high-quality video
communications (such as home tele-presence)
that will become mainstream in the next 3 to 5
years.
However the potential of broadband
development is massive as several of top Russia, Germany, UK, Tiawan, Canada, US,
broadband nations like South Korea, Japan, Norway, Denmark, Singapore, HonkKong,
HongKong, Sweden, Switzerland, Netherland, France has average download speeds of 5Mbps
Singapore, Luxembourg, Denmark, Norway, and above.
speeds are limited by available technology, There were occasional peaks observed while
spectrum and other parameters. To give our collecting data. The download speeds reached
readers an idea of their capability to deliver as high as 650 to 700 kbps while the upload
broadband we have collected data from speeds touched 460 kbps with Ev-Do networks
different cities to show achievable speeds. The recording the highest speeds on non busy hour
speeds can vary depending on the time of the period. Data throughput presented above was
day, technology used, traffic conditions, averaged for number of samples over time.
topology, etc.
Frequency %
download and upload speed was 300 kbps and 8
150 kbps. The download speed touched as high 6
as 650 to 700 kbps while the upload speed 4
touched 460 kbps with Ev-Do networks 2
recording the highest peaks on non busy hour
0
period.
550
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
600
650
The results varied by Device/city/route/ time of Kbps
day. On average, Hyderabad performed best
with 300-350 kbps average download speed
and 100-125 kbps average upload average
speed and New Delhi was at the bottom with Figure 9 : Distribution of speed tests
240 kbps for download and 130 kbps for
upload.
Average Download Average Upload
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
10
Peak Data ; http://bit.ly/dwkHj9
www.beyond4g.org | Current shape of broadband in country 10
11 State and Opportunity of Broadband in India
Nigeria
The economy of India is one the fastest growing (in
Indonesia 11
terms of GDP) & is the twelfth largest economy in
India
the world by market exchange rates and the fourth
South Africa
largest by purchasing power parity (PPP) basis.
Thailand
Phillippines
Brazil Gross domestic product based on purchasing-power-parity (PPP) per capita GDP
4,500.00
Russia 4,000.00
3,500.00
China 3,000.00
2,500.00
2,000.00
Malaysia 1,500.00
1,000.00
Mexico 500.00
0.00
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
New Zealand
Gross domestic product based on purchasing-power-parity (PPP) per capita GDP
Germany
United Kingdom
Tiawan Figure 11 : GDP based on PPP per capita
Canada
United States
The last mile (connecting end-users to service
Australia
Malta
providers), except in top 100 cities is primarily
Norway non-existent in country. In metro cities, copper
Denmark cabling is available which can support lower
Luxembourg variants of DSL such as ADSL2. More than 90%
Singapore of the country’s urban copper network is owned
Netherlands by incumbents such as BSNL and MTNL
switzerland (Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Limited) and was
Sweden deployed for telephony purposes. Multi-tenant
Hong Kong unit (MTU) type homes have implied large
Japan distances – of the order of 1000+ feet from the
South Korea nearest POP, thereby limiting the use of
advance variants of DSL such as VDSL which can
0 5 10 15 20 25
give 10 Mbps or so of connectivity. DSL (Digital
Subscriber Line) remains the most widely used
technology to deliver broadband Internet
Figure 10 : Average National Broadband Speeds services. For those tier 1 and tier 2 cities
without copper infrastructure, some initial
deployments of Fixed WiMAX, Ev-Do Rev A,
MMDS and other wireless broadband
11
Wikipedia
www.beyond4g.org | The principal Challenges 11
12 State and Opportunity of Broadband in India
600 800
metro cities of the country. To make business 400
case of broadband appealing alternative models 500
200 240
of deployment like Arial fiber and copper were 0
also experimented in top cities of the country Capex per Sub(60 Capex per
where exorbitantly high right of way charges Active) Sub(150 Active)
prohibited buried copper for residential
consumers. Figure 13: Capex per subscriber
For some leading operators, data is now services helped in adding billions to the
contributing over 40% of the overall revenues. revenues generated in 2009.
However increase in data ARPU is not
completely offsetting the drop in voice ARPU US, Japan, Australia and Singapore continue to
for most operators. From the true and tested lead in data ARPU.
SMS messaging to the new services such as
Mobile Advertising, Social Networking,
Commerce, Mobile Wallet, and others, different
Average ARPU
30
20
10
0
Most of the major operators around the world 1 Gig 3 Gig 5 Gig 10 Gig
have double digit percentage contribution to
their overall ARPU from data services.
Operators like DoCoMo, and Softbank are over Figure 17: Average Data Packages in India
44%. KDDI, 3 Australia, 3 Italy, 3 UK, Vodafone
UK, O2 UK, KTF, Telstra, and 3 Sweden
The utmost challenge in the country is to deliver
exceeded 30% and many others are on the
broadband at affordable prices. Current
verge of crossing the 30% mark. Indian
broadband fee in India is already moving
operators Bharti , Vodafone and reliance are
towards some of the most competitive prices
improving data revenues and today stand at 10
around the globe and operators are increasingly
% mark12. India operators data ARPU from
finding enormous challenge in delivering data at
wireless services is less than 1 US$.
current prices levels while meeting the growing
demand of new internet visual applications.
Figure 16: Data ARPU of global operators
The observed median average price of
broadband in different countries is presented
below to give the standpoint of challenging13
broadband delivery cost in India. The prices
presented below are the median price of lowest
and highest observed tariff in that country.
12 13
Chetan , http://bit.ly/dt5R0T OECD ; http://bit.ly/drA5AN
www.beyond4g.org | The principal Challenges 14
15 State and Opportunity of Broadband in India
Figure 18: Global Broadband Tariffs analysis, we thus do not consider multiple
customers per household. It is also noted that
we only calculate the capacity requirements
Median Price of BB
and the population that needs to be served in a
80 cell, we do not address the coverage issues and
60 techniques needed to deal with null spaces if
US $
40
any between sectors in the cell, as our main
idea is to present the case of 4G technologies
20
and its suitability to deliver affordable
0 broadband in country.
Dense urban
Cell Radius 250 Meters
Households 8000 per SQ/Km
Subs/Cell 975
Broadband opportunities 3 SPs 325 customers/SP/Cell Site
Urban
4G can change broadband situation
Cell Radius 400 Meters
Households 3000 per SQ/Km
Subs/Cell 936
The role of WiMAX and LTE based broadband
3 SPs 312 customers/SP/Cell Site
technologies is pivotal in shaping broadband
industry in India.
Sub Urban
Our analysis illustrates that 4G technologies like Cell Radius 700 Meters
WiMAX and LTE has the potential to deliver Households 1000 per SQ/Km
broadband in reasonable cost and performance Subs/Cell 955
to India consumers. 3 SPs 318 customers/SP/Cell Site
Urban, Urban , Suburban and Rural achieved by the technology (standard) chosen.
demography’s. Gradually WiMAX and LTE will shift to their next
evolution by the time India operators come
3 Sector Cell sites across difficult situation of maintaining service
Typical download speed of 1 Mbps levels to IMT-Advanced based systems like 16m
4G spectral efficiency ( 1.6 Bits/Hz/Sec) or LTE A to support the their need of growing
20 Mhz of Spectrum per service mobile data .
provider ( Total 3 Service Provider)
Monthly data consumption : 6 GB/Mo Our analysis supports that WiMAX and LTE
Busy hour 1.6 times based technologies will support mobile data
requirement for first three years and later it can
From Figure 19, it is easy to distinguish that be upgraded to IMT advanced based systems to
with a total capacity of 52 Mbps/cell, a service support the growing need of mobile data.
provider can support 1350 Connections per cell Alternatively operators can also add more radio
for an average 6 GB/Month usage taking busy carrier to support their capacity requirement or
hour traffic in consideration. With data doubling install more capacity cell sites.
every year as per the forecast from Cisco VNI
Index14, service providers will exhaust their cell
DL Spectral Efficieny UL Efficiency
capacity in third year and their consumers 2.4 2.4
monthly data consumption will reach around 12 2.5
1.9 2
gigabyte in a month. 2
1.5
1.4
1.5
Figure 19: Total Subscriber supported per 4G cell 0.8 0.8
1 0.7
Subscriber supported in 4G cell 0.5 0.5
0.3
Support required per cell ( DU) 0.5
1500 0
HSPA HSPA WIMAX LTE Rel LTE A 16M
Number of Subscribers
0
6 Gig 12 18 24 30 It is worthy to note some of the much recent
/Mo Gig/Mo Gig/Mo Gig/Mo Gig/Mo
data trends form CISCO VNI Index which were
captured in collaboration with 20 leading
Internet service providers and according to
The amount of bandwidth a service provider Cisco, average broadband connection
has to license to support a desired total generated 11.4 gigabytes of Internet traffic per
capacity, depends on the spectral efficiency month, or 375 megabytes per day in Q3, 2009.
14
Cisco VNI; http://bit.ly/nqdf
www.beyond4g.org | Broadband opportunities 16
17 State and Opportunity of Broadband in India
The average monthly download traffic reported Balanced IPRs which will allow competitive
in clearwire and Yota WiMAX network is around devices.
7 and 10 Gigabytes per month.
Figure 21: Peak Data Rate in Different MIMO As per Cisco the current visual application s
Configurations. requires average connection speed of anywhere
above 2 mbps in downlink to support most of
400 the applications over internet. Needless to say,
the availability of higher speeds in the networks
300
for consumers will only improve more rapid
2x2 MIMO
200 adoption and usage.
4X4 MIMO
100
8X8 MIMO Support of large connections in 4G
0
cells
10 MHz peak
broadband services and will allow delivery at should have access to broadband service with
affordable levels. sufficient capabilities, all should be able to
afford broadband and all should have the
ROW (Per Km) US$ opportunity to develop digital literacy skills to
take advantage of broadband. This should
90000 include creating broadband funds to accelerate
deployment of broadband in country,
50000
40000
30000
20000
2. Promote polices and incentives for
broadband adoption.
Other Initiatives