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Examples: Q Q vs 7 7 ; 8 8 vs 5 5
This is a really bad spot if you have the lower pair. The higher pair is always an 82% favorite.
There's nothing for you to do but pray.
Hint: The lower your pair, the higher the chances of being dominated. Eights are the pair that
separates the small pairs from the big pairs.
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Examples: Q Q vs A T ; 8 8 vs A 5
Another situation where the player with the overcard is in a really
bad spot with just 27-32% equity.
The good thing is thats still more than every fourth time.
Hint: Be careful if you have a weak kicker. Chances are youre not
flipping but playing with only one live card.
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The flush draw in the example above has a 45% chance to win while the straight draw in the
second example only has 33%.
The reason is because there are still nine hearts to complete the flush draw while there are only
six cards that complete the straight draw.
Hint: The chances for your draws are determined by the pot odds. If youre getting the right pot
odds you can continue profitably.
2) A Big Advantage: Top Pair vs Lower Pair
Example: K Q vs J T on a flop of K J 2
A situation like this is about as one-sided as a higher vs a lower pair
on the flop. The better hand is going to win 80% of the time.
Hint: Play pairs lower than top pairs very carefully. They dont have
a lot of chances to improve and are often dominated.
3) Top Pair vs Top Pair Kicker Issues
Example: K Q vs K T on a flop of K 7 6
Having a lower kicker is even worse than having a lower pair. This
shows how important the kicker card is.
The dominating hand has an 83% chance of winning so it's a clear
favorite.
Hint: Be careful with a top pair, bad kicker hand. The lower your
kicker the more often youre behind.
4) Set vs Top Pair Way Ahead
Example: 4 4 vs A K on a flop of A T 4
You cant be much more of a favorite. A set wins 96% of hands against top pair on the flop. Its an
almost unbeatable hand.
The higher the top pair is the harder it is to get rid of it. Many players get married to their top
pair, which makes sets so incredibly profitable.
Hint: If you flop a set youre pretty certain to be a winner. But watch out for possible draws!
5) Set vs Flush Draw or Straight Draw a 3:1 Favorite
Examples: 4 4 vs A K on a flop of 4 9 7 ; 4 4 vs
Q on a flop of T J 7
This is one of the situations that pretty much plays out automatically.
The set is a 3-1 favorite but the pot odds and implied odds are often
so good that the draw can call profitably.
But remember: The set is always ahead on the flop.
Hint: Youre always a favorite with a set on a rainbow board. Note
that you always have re-draws to a paired board even if the draw
comes in first.
6) Set vs Monster Draw (Combined Flush and Straight Draw)
Still Ahead
Example: 4 4 vs J T on a flop of 9 8 4
Although the drawing hand is now drawing to both a flush and a
straight the set is still a 58-42 favorite quite remarkable, isnt it?
Yet both hands have a good reason to bet in this situation as the pot odds will almost always be
good enough.
Hint: With a flopped set youre going to be a favorite on the flop even against the best possible
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draw.
Rule of Four
Applies on the flop. If you have a flush draw that means there are
nine cards in the deck that give you the winning hand.
Multiply the number of your outs by 4 and the result is your
approximate equity 36%.
Rule of Two
Applies on the turn. If the turn card hasnt helped your flush draw
you can now calculate your equity by multiplying the number of your
outs by 2 and add 2.
Your chances to win are now approximately 20%.
One final note: These numbers vary slightly depending on what cards
the opponent has.
If the opponent has a set, for example, some of the flush outs will give him a full house.
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Pre-flop Table Talk Can Be Massive Poker Tell for Amateurs (Video)
12 August 2015
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