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2/29/2016

Economic Models
A model is a simple theoretical description that captures the
essentials of how the economy works.
Simple since it does not capture every detail.

Walter Nicholson
Amherst College

But lets you see the overall picture and answer the relevant
question.

Christopher Snyder
Dartmouth College

PowerPoint Slide Presentation | Philip Heap, James Madison University


2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Ch. 1 4

The PPF

CHAPTER

Suppose an economy produces food and clothing


We can show how much food and clothing can be made on a
production possibilities frontier diagram.

Economic
Models

Amount
of food
per week

PPF

Amount of clothing
per week
2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

What is Economics?

The PPF

Economics is the study of the allocation of scarce resources


among alternative uses.

A PPF shows the possible combination of two goods an economy


can produce with a fixed amount of resources.

Microeconomics is the study of the economic choices individuals


and firms make and how these choices create markets.

Amount
of food
per week

10

We can produce 10 food and 12 clothing

Examples of economic choices.

Or 4 food and 12 clothing

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Ch. 1 5

Ch. 1 3

12

Amount of clothing
per week

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Ch. 1 6

2/29/2016

The PPF and Five Basic Principles

The PPF and Five Basic Principles

We want to use this model to illustrate five basic principles.

Principle 2: Scarcity involves opportunity cost.

Scarce resources
Scarcity involves opportunity costs
Increasing opportunity costs
Incentives matter
Inefficiency has real costs

Opportunity cost is the cost of a producing a good measured by


the alternative uses that are foregone producing it.

If I am on the PPF the opportunity cost of more clothing is less


food.
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Ch. 1 7

The PPF and Five Basic Principles

Principle 2: Scarcity involves opportunity costs

Points outside the frontier are unattainable since


we dont have enough resources to produce them.

We can make 4 food and 12 clothing.

10

But not 4 food and 14 clothing.

Amount
of food
per week

What is the opportunity cost of increasing


clothing production from 3 to 4 units?

10
9.5

12

14

Amount of clothing
per week

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Ch. 1 8

The PPF and Five Basic Principles

12

Amount of clothing
per week

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Ch. 1 11

Principle 3: Opportunity costs are increasing.

But not 12 food and 3 clothing.


We can make 10 food and 3 clothing.

10

The PPF and Five Basic Principles

Principle 1: How does the PPF illustrate scarcity?


Amount
of food
per week

Ch. 1 10

The PPF and Five Basic Principles

Principle 1: Scarce Resources


Amount
of food
per week

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

As you produce more and more of one good, its opportunity cost
in terms of the other good foregone increases.
To produce more and more clothing you would have to give up
increasing amounts of food.
The law of diminishing marginal returns.

12

Amount of clothing
per week

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Ch. 1 9

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Ch. 1 12

2/29/2016

The PPF and Five Basic Principles

Basic Supply-Demand Model

Principle 3: Opportunity costs are increasing.


Amount
of food
per week

A Supply-Demand Model is a model that describes how a goods


price is determined by the behavior of the people who buy the
good and of the firms that sell the good.

Here the opportunity cost of one


more unit of clothing was food

10
9.5

The model relates buyers preferences (demand) to production


costs (supply).

Now to produce one more


unit of clothing you give up
2 units of food

4
2

12 13

Amount of clothing
per week

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Ch. 1 13

The PPF and Five Basic Principles

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Adam Smith and the Invisible Hand


What did Smith mean by the invisible hand?

Principle 4: Incentives Matter


People will make decisions based on opportunity costs.
When the opportunity cost of some activity increases, people are
more likely to engage in that activity.
Sometimes it is difficult to see the true opportunity costs of the
activity.

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Ch. 1 14

The invisible hand directed resources to where they would be


most valuable.
Prices in the market tell buyers and sellers the relative value of
goods: prices act as signals.
This enables them to make efficient choices.

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

The PPF and Five Basic Principles


Why are points inside the frontier inefficient?

Because we could produce more clothing without


giving up any food.

10

Or more food without giving up


clothing
Or make more of both goods

12

Amount of
clothing per week

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Ch. 1 17

Adam Smiths Model

Principle 5: Inefficiencies involve real costs


Amount
of food
per week

Ch. 1 16

Ch. 1 15

Prices of goods depend on the relative value of labor used to


produce the goods.
If it takes twice as long to make clothing as to grow food, one unit
of clothing should trade for _______ units of food.
two
So any number of units of clothing can be produce for two units
of food.

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Ch. 1 18

2/29/2016

Adam Smiths Model

Marshalls Model of Supply and Demand

Prices of goods depend on the relative value of labor used to


produce the goods.

What are the problems with Smiths and Ricardos models?

Price

Smiths model ignores rising opportunity costs.


Ricardos model is inconsistent with the falling prices that
occurred during the 19th century.

Neither model truly considered the demand side of the


market.

Quantity per week

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Ch. 1 19

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Ch. 1 22

David Ricardos Model

Marshalls Model of Supply and Demand

Do you see a problem with Adam Smiths model of price given our
discussion of the PPF?

What matters is the value of the last or marginal unit produced or


consumed.

Diminishing returns the cost of producing one more unit of a


good rises as more of that good is produced.
Consistent with the idea of increasing opportunity costs.
As we produce more clothing, the price of clothing in terms of
food should rise.

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Ch. 1 20

On the demand side, the amount that people are willing to pay
falls as they consume more.
Or, as the price falls, people are willing to buy more
Marshalls model shows how prices are simultaneously
determined by demand and supply.

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

David Ricardos Model

Diminishing returns the cost of producing one more unit of a


good rises as more of that good is produced.
Price

Ch. 1 23

Adam Smiths Model


Demand: As price falls, consumers are willing to buy more:
this reflects decreasing marginal value.
Price

Quantity per week

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Ch. 1 21

Demand

Quantity

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Ch. 1 24

2/29/2016

Adam Smiths Model

A Change in Demand

Supply: As price rises, firms are able to produce more: this


reflects increasing marginal costs.
Price

What happens if demand increases?


Price

Supply

Supply

P**

Demand shifts to the right.


Price and quantity increase.

P*

Demand

Quantity

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Q* Q**
Ch. 1 25

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Adam Smiths Model

What happens if supply decreases?


S

Price

Supply

P**

P*

Supply shifts to the left.


Price increases and
quantity decreases.

P*

Demand
QD=QS=Q*

Quantity

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Q**
Ch. 1 26

On Market Equilibrium

Q*

Quantity per period

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Ch. 1 29

Changes in Market Equilibrium

What does it mean to be at equilibrium?

If demand increases (shifts right) P* will __ and Q* will ___.


If demand decreases (shifts left), P* will __ and Q* will ___.

What would happen if the price was set above or below the
equilibrium price?

If supply increases (shifts right) P* will __ and Q* will ___.


If supply decreases (shifts left) P* will __ and Q* will ___.

What would cause the equilibrium price to rise or fall?

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Ch. 1 28

A Change in Supply

Market Equilibrium: The equilibrium price is the price at which


the quantity demanded is equal to the quantity supplied.
Price

Quantity per period

Ch. 1 27

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Ch. 1 30

2/29/2016

Changes in Market Equilibrium

Positive-Normative Distinction

If demand increases (shifts right) P* will __ and Q* will ___.


rise; rise

Whats the difference between the following two statements?


An increase in the minimum wage leads to more
unemployment.
We should increase the minimum wage to help low income
workers.

If demand decreases (shifts left), P* will __ and Q* will ___.


fall; fall

The first is a positive statement: it looks at what is.

If supply increases (shifts right) P* will __ and Q* will ___.


fall; rise

The second is a normative statement: it looks at what should be.

If supply decreases (shifts left) P* will __ and Q* will ___.


rise; fall
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Is Economics a positive or normative science?


Ch. 1 31

Changes in Market Equilibrium

Ch. 1 34

Summary

What happens to P* and Q* when both demand and supply


change?

Since resources are scarce, we must make choices about how we


use them.

Suppose demand and supply increase:

We can use the PPF model to illustrate important concepts such


as opportunity cost and efficiency.

We know that Q* rises, but P* may rise or fall.

The supply and demand model shows how prices are determined,
and how changes in demand and/or supply influence the price.

Suppose demand increases but supply decreases:


We know P* rises, but Q* may rise or fall.

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Judge the validity of economic models by how well they explain


actual economic events.
Ch. 1 32

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Ch. 1 35

How Economists Verify Models


Two methods:
Testing Assumptions: Verifying economic models by
examining validity of assumptions upon which models are
based
Is it reasonable to assume that people are rational, that
firms maximize profits etc.
Testing Predictions: Verifying economic models by asking
whether models can accurately predict real-world events
If the model predicts events well, then the theory is useful
even if the assumption may not appear to be valid.

2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Ch. 1 33

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