25-Apr-16
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Ridhi Mehta
ridhimehta@rathi.com
Issue Details
Company Description
Issue Details
Issue Size (Value in crs.)
Fresh Issue (No. of Shares in crs.)
2.50
28th April, 2016
02nd May, 2016
Rs. 10
Rs. 207-210
70 equity shares
Business Highlights
Leading MFI with a deep pan-India presence
Ujjivan is the third largest NBFC-MFI in India in terms of loans disbursed as of
December 31, 2015, the Gross AUM for the North, South, East and West
regions was Rs.987.19 Crores, Rs.1,423.60 Crores, Rs.1,344.43 Crores and
Rs.834.16 Crores. As of December 31, 2015, approximately 29%, 37% and
34% of their total customers comprise of rural, semi-urban and urban
customers, respectively.
Aggregate Value
125.00
101.19
358.10
516.9-524.4
459.29
Total
100.00
As of September 30, 2015, they were the largest MFI in India in terms of
geographical spread across states, with a pan-India presence across 24 states
and union territories in India. As of December 31, 2015, they have 470
branches across 24 states and union territories and 209 districts in India.
100.00
Financials
Particulars (Rs. In Cr)
Total revenue
Total Expenditure
EBIDT (Excl OI)
Other Income
EBIDT
Interest
Depreciation
Exceptional Item
PBT
Tax
PAT
EPS
9M FY16
713.2
230.5
482.7
16.4
499.1
305.6
5.9
187.6
65.4
122.2
13.3
FY15
599.3
219.2
380.1
12.6
392.7
271.4
6.7
114.6
38.7
75.9
10.6
FY14
347.9
125.8
222.1
9.8
231.9
139.9
3.1
88.9
30.4
58.5
8.4
FY13
222.5
101.0
121.5
11.4
132.9
82.1
2.5
48.3
14.8
33.5
5.0
Growth Strategies:
Leveraging the capabilities as an MFI to successfully transition into the proposed SFB business
Building a strong liability franchise
Increased focus on the unserved and underserved segment
Increased automation and digitization of products and services
Diversification of product offerings
Industry Scenario
India is home to 21% of the worlds unbanked adults and about two-thirds of South Asias. Between the year 2011 and 2014, Indias account penetration
increased from 35% to 53%. However, Indias account penetration is still low at 53% when compared to other BRICS countries. According to Global Findex
Database, a mere 15% of adults reported using an account to make or receive payments.
Outlook of MFI Industry in India
Following the nationalization of banks in 1969, lending towards the lower income strata of society, in particular the rural poor, assumed greater priority for the
Indian banking sector. Targets and sub-targets for banks were further classified under the priority sector, and they have also undergone revisions at intervals.
As per the RBI, these subdivisions include:
Agriculture (direct and indirect finance): Direct finance to agriculture includes short, medium and long-term loans, given for agriculture and allied
activities. These loans are advanced either directly to individual farmers, self-help groups (SHGs) or joint liability groups (JLGs) of individual farmers or
indirectly to industry players, for taking up agriculture/allied activities.
Small-scale industries (direct and indirect finance): Direct finance to small-scale industries (SSI) includes all loans given to SSI units, engaged in
manufacturing, processing and preservation of goods and whose investment in plant and machinery (original cost), excluding land and building, does
not exceed amounts specified by the RBI. Indirect finance shall include finance lent to any person, providing inputs to or marketing the output of
artisans, village and cottage industries, handlooms and to co-operatives of producers in this sector.
Small business/service enterprises: These include small businesses, retail trade, professional and self-employed persons, small road and water
transport operators and other service enterprises, as per the definition given in Section I and other enterprises, engaged in providing or rendering
services and whose investment in equipment does not exceed the amount specified by RBI.
Micro credit: This constitutes credit and other financial services and products of very small amounts, upto `50,000 per borrower, extended to the poor
populance living in rural, semi-urban and urban areas, either directly or through a group mechanism, intended to enhance their living standards. This is
the sub-segment under which NBFC-MFIs currently receive priority sector lending.
Education loans: Education loans include loans and advances granted to individuals, only for educational purposes, up to `1 million for studies in India
and `2 million for studies abroad. This would not include institutional grants.
Over 2014-15 to 2017-18, AUMs of non-Andhra Pradesh MFIs is expected to rise at a lower 30-34% CAGR, while total AUMs of all MFIs (including those in
Andhra Pradesh) will rise at lower 29-31%. Demand for microcredit continues to increase. Also, most of the micro-finance players too are now entering newer
markets to diversify their geographic risk.
PE
EPS
RONW
599
76.0
19.7
10.6
10.2
2,321
571.0
22.2
88.2
13.6
2,403
576.0
29.2
51.8
15.2
545
188.0
30.0
15.2
17.9
Concerns
The business model and regulatory framework governing SFBs are untested in India.
Ujjivan may not be successful in implementing SFB growth strategies
The banking sector in India is highly regulated, which may limit the operational flexibility
Recommendations
The company has been growing healthily at CAGR 64% over last two years. Given the growth opportunity in micro finance and its entry into home finance
business, the growth in the coming years is expected to be healthy. Also the gradual shift from group lending to individual lending will provide opportunity to
increase ticket size. The company will also benefit from small banking license. The valuation for FY16 earnings is ~ 15x which can further fall down to 12-13x
in the current financial year. This valuation is cheaper compared to its peers. We therefore recommend Subscribe to the IPO.
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