May 2016
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation, including the accompanying oral presentation (collectively, this presentation), does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any
securities. This presentation is provided by On Deck Capital, Inc. (OnDeck) for informational purposes only. No representations express or implied are being made by
OnDeck or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other legal authority. Forwardlooking statements include statements about scalability, growing distribution channels, credit predictability and information concerning our future financial performance,
business plans and objectives, potential growth opportunities, financing plans, competitive position, industry environment and potential market opportunities. Forwardlooking statements can also be identified by words such as "will," "enables," "expects," "allows," "continues," "believes," "anticipates," "estimates" or similar expressions.
Forward-looking statements are neither historical facts nor assurances of future performance. They are based only on our current beliefs, expectations and assumptions
regarding the future of our business, anticipated events and trends, the economy and other future conditions. Moreover, we do not assume responsibility for the accuracy
and completeness of forward-looking statements. As such, they are subject to inherent uncertainties, changes in circumstances, known and unknown risks and other
factors that are difficult to predict and in many cases outside our control.
As a result, you should not rely on any forward-looking statements. Our expected results may not be achieved, and actual results may differ materially from our
expectations. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ from our forward-looking statements are the risks that we may not be able to manage our anticipated
or actual growth effectively, that our credit models do not adequately identify potential risks, and other risks, including those under the heading Risk Factors in our Annual
Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015 and in other documents that we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, from time to time
which are available on the SEC website at www.sec.gov. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements for any reason after the date of this
presentation to conform these statements to actual results or to changes in our expectations, except as required by law.
In addition to the U.S. GAAP financial information, this presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. We believe that non-GAAP measures can provide
useful supplemental information for period-to-period comparisons of our core business and is useful to investors and others in understanding and evaluating our operating
results. These non-GAAP measures have not been calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP. You should not consider them in isolation or as a substitute for an analysis of
our results under U.S. GAAP. There are a number of limitations related to the use of these non-GAAP measures versus their nearest GAAP equivalents. For example,
neither Adjusted EBITDA nor Adjusted Net (Loss) Income is a substitute for Net (Loss) Income and Operating expense (or any of its components) net of stock-based
compensation is not a substitute for Operating expense (or any of its components) presented under GAAP. In addition, other companies may calculate non-GAAP financial
measures differently or may use other measures to evaluate their performance, all of which could reduce the usefulness of our non-GAAP financial measures as tools for
comparison. Adjusted EBITDA excludes some recurring costs, including interest expense associated with debt used for corporate purposes, non-cash stock-based
compensation, depreciation and amortization expense and fair value adjustment for our warrant liability. Therefore Adjusted EBITDA does not reflect interest expense, the
non-cash impact of stock-based compensation or working capital needs that will continue for the foreseeable future. Adjusted Net (Loss) Income excludes stock-based
compensation expense and warrant liability fair value adjustment which will continue for the foreseeable future and therefore will generally be more favorable than Net
(Loss) Income determined in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to the Non-GAAP Reconciliations at the end of this presentation for a description of these non-GAAP
measures and a reconciliation to Net (Loss) Income.
2
$MM
1,158
1,874
2015
416
570
Q1 '15
Q1 '16
$MM
572
890
675
982
Q1 '16
56
63
Q1 '15
Q1 '16
$MM
255
2014
1. Based on OnDecks Direct channel.
Q1 '15
Gross Revenue
158
2015
2015
Investment Highlights
Massive and underserved market
28MM
U.S. Small Businesses
$193Bn
Business Loan
Balances Under
$250,000 in
the U.S.
in Q4 15
50K+
$1Bn
Sources: U.S. SBA, FDIC 12/31/15, Oliver Wyman, How New-Form Lending Will Shape Banks Small Business Strategies, 2013
1. As of March 31, 2016. Loans Under Management represents the Unpaid Principal Balance plus the amount of principal outstanding of loans held for sale, excluding net
deferred origination costs, plus the amount of principal outstanding of term loans we serviced for others at the end of the period.
CHALLENGES FOR
TRADITIONAL LENDERS
Credit Card Rev.
Cash Rev.
Monthly Exp.
Landscaping Company
Landscaping Rev.
Monthly Exp.
Q1
Subcontractor Rev.
Q2
Monthly Exp.
Q3
Plumbing Company
Repair Rev.
FRUSTRATIONS FOR
SMALL BUSINESSES
Product mismatch
5th Generation
proprietary credit scoring model
Transactional
Data
Score
Public
Records
100+
Credit
Data
Proprietary Data
Analysis Platform
Ensemble learning
Data
Feature engineering
Adaptive learning
D
Social
Data
2,000+
data points per application
Accounting
Risk Grading
10 Million+
Proprietary
Data
F
8
100%
40
% of Defaults Eliminated
90%
20
10
10%
0%
100%
40%
20% 10% 0%
Random
Personal Credit
Score
OnDeck Score
OnDeck
Score
OnDeck Score
1.
Random
9
Traditional
Lending
1.
2.
3.
Offline
33
Hours2
Approve
Automated
Review
As Fast As
Immediately3
Manual
Review
Weeks or Months
Fund
As Fast As
Same Day
Several
Days
10
Use Case
Line of Credit
(Launched in 2007)
(Launched in 2013)
Hiring
New
Staff
Buying
Inventory
Marketing
Size
$5,000 $500,000
$5,000 $100,000
Term
3 36 months
6 months3
Pricing4
Payment
Draw on-demand
Availability
1.
2.
3.
4.
Term Loan
11
$630,000
7 Years
700+
50,000+
Industries
12
Online
Customer
Experience
Data
Aggregation,
Analytics
and Scoring
Technology
Powered
Servicing &
Collections
$4 Billion+
90,000+
10 Million+
Total Originations
Total Loans
Customer Payments
13
Direct &
Strategic
Partners
18,790
80%
7,103
2013
2014
2015
8,131
7,625
5,955
20%
Funding
Advisors
2013
2014
2015
Direct and Strategic Partners
Funding Advisors
14
SMB
Solutions
Online
Lending
ISOs/
Processors
Banks
as a service
15
Securitization /
Warehouse
Funding Mix Q1 16
Marketplace
OnDeck
Target Mix
Investor
Type
Flexibility
Scalable as Originations
Grow
Cost
Resiliency
Capital-Light Structure,
Equity Contribution Aligns
Interests
Securitization
Marketplace
Funding mix includes the principal balance outstanding in Loans Under Management as of March 31, 2016 for loans financed with funding debt or sold to OnDeck
Marketplace investors.
Warehouse
Lines
16
6.4%
6.9%
7.0%
6.2%
5.5%
5.5%
5.1%
4.4%
3.1%
0.6%
0.0%
Avg. Term
(months)3
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
9.6
11.1
8.8
7.5
8.7
9.2
10.0
11.2
Q1 '15
Q2 '15
11.9
11.9
Q3 '15
12.3
Q4 '15
13.2
1. Represents net lifetime charge-offs of the unpaid principal balances charged off less recoveries of loans previously charged off. A given cohorts net lifetime charge-off ratio equals the
cohorts net lifetime charge-offs through March 31, 2016 divided by the cohorts total original loan volume. Repeat loans in both the numerator and denominator include the full renewal loan
principal amount. The chart includes all term loan originations, regardless of funding source, including loans sold through our OnDeck Marketplace or held for sale on our balance sheet.
2. As of March 31, 2016, principal balance of all term loans in Loans Under Management still outstanding was 0% for all cohorts except the 2014, Q1 15, Q2 15, Q3 15, Q4 15 and Q1 16
cohorts, which had principal outstanding of 0.5%, 4.0%, 9.9%, 28.0%, 60.4% and 87.7%, respectively.
3. Represents the initial contractual term at origination.
Q1 '16
13.2
17
Growth Strategy
Product expansion
Strategic partnerships
Expand customer
lifetime value
International expansion
18
Management Team
Noah
Breslow
Howard
Katzenberg
James
Hobson
CEO
CFO
COO
Pamela
Rice
Paul
Rosen
Krishna
Venkatraman
Technology
Sales
Cory
Kampfer
Andrea
Gellert
Zhengyuan
Lu
Legal
Marketing
Capital Markets
Board of Directors
James Robinson III
Jane J. Thompson
RRE Ventures
American Express
Ronald Verni
Sandy Miller
Neil Wolfson
Sage Software
SF Capital Group
David Hartwig
Bruce P. Nolop
Sapphire Ventures
Noah Breslow
19
Financial Highlights
Sustainable Growth
Compelling Customer LTV
Capital Light Funding Model
Demonstrated Operating Leverage
20
($MM)
$982
$890
$675
$320
$174
$113
100%
100%
100%
93%
Q1 '13
Q2 '13
Q3 '13
Q4 '13
88%
89%
Q1 '14
Q2 '14
2013
33%
39%
19%
28%
86%
81%
72%
65%
61%
Q4 '14
Q1 '15
Q2 '15
Q3 '15
Q4 '15
14%
$382
$233
$137
$781
35%
$572
$466
$719
91%
Q3 '14
2014
2015
67%
Q1 '16
2016
The sum of the quarters may not exactly match the annual numbers due to rounding
21
($MM)
$67
$68
21%
28%
30%
$63
$56
$50
14%
93%
90%
86%
79%
72%
70%
Q3 '14
Q4 '14
Q1 '15
Q2 '15
Q3 '15
Q4 '15
$44
$63
15%
$36
$29
$23
$11
$18
$14
97%
94%
98%
98%
92%
Q1 '13
Q2 '13
Q3 '13
Q4 '13
Q1 '14
2013
The sum of the quarters may not exactly match the annual numbers due to rounding
93%
Q2 '14
2014
2015
85%
Q1 '16
2016
22
Expenses
Origination Fee
Interest Income
Acquisition
Processing
and Servicing
Funding Costs
Loan
Profit
Losses
23
$5
$3
ROI
3.3x+
$5
2.6x
ROI
$6
or
$7
$88
$7
Return3
$9
($MM)
after
10 quarters
$8
$20
$27
$27
Investment
$17
Acquisition Contribution2
Cost1
+Q2
+Q3
+Q4
+Q5
+Q6
+Q7
+Q8
+Q9
+Q10
Through
Mar 31, 2016
2013
1. Includes upfront internal and external commissions as well as direct marketing expenses.
2. Contribution is defined to include interest income and fees collected on initial and repeat loans, less acquisition costs for repeat loans, less the following items for both initial and repeat loans:
estimated third party processing and servicing expenses, estimated funding costs (excluding any cost of equity capital) and charge offs. For this purpose, processing and servicing expenses are
estimated based on the mix of new and renewal originations and outstanding principal balances. Includes all loans originated in the period. New and repeat loans sold funding cost is estimated
based on the average on-balance sheet cost of funds rate in the period. Estimates may be adjusted in subsequent periods to reflect updated information.
3. Return on Investment (ROI) is contribution divided by initial acquisition cost. Acquisition costs include upfront internal and external commissions as well as direct marketing expenses.
4. Figures may not foot due to rounding.
24
$10
2.8x+
ROI
$12
or
$129
$14
($MM)
Return3
after
6 quarters
$16
$40
$46
$46
$37
Acquisition
Contribution2
Cost1
Investment
+Q2
+Q3
+Q4
+Q5
+Q6
Through
Mar 31, 2016
2014
1.
2.
3.
Includes upfront internal and external commissions as well as direct marketing expenses.
Contribution is defined to include interest income and fees collected on initial and repeat loans, less acquisition costs for repeat loans, less the following items for both initial and
repeat loans: estimated third party processing and servicing expenses, estimated funding costs (excluding any cost of equity capital) and charge offs. For this purpose, processing
and servicing expenses are estimated based on the mix of new and renewal originations and outstanding principal balances. Includes all loans originated in the period. New or
repeat loans sold funding cost is estimated based on the average on balance sheet cost of funds rate in the period.
Figures may not foot due to rounding.
25
Return on Investment 2
2013
3.5x
2013
$8,000
2014
2014
2.5x
$3,000
1.5x
+6 Quarters
$(2,000)
+10 Quarters
0.5x
+6 Quarters
+10 Quarters
26
5.8%
5.8%
Operating leverage potential as LUM
scales in 2016 and 2017
10%
2013
2014
2015
8%
3M '16
7%
7%
5.5%
5.5%
2013
2013
2014
2015
3M '16
2014
P&S ex. SBC
S&M ex. SBC
2015
3M '16
27
($0.2)
($1.8)
($4.6)
($3.3)
($7.3)
2014
2015
Adjusted EBITDA
Q1 15
($8.8)
Q1 16
28
Drive sustainable net revenue growth for the longer term, prioritizing stable credit
quality across the portfolio
Diversify our funding sources by type and investor to balance risk retention with
flexibility and resiliency over an economic cycle
29
APPENDIX
Interest Income
Gain on Sale2
$6
Servicing Fee
~$0
At
Origination
Total
Interest Income
$18
-
$0
Servicing Fee
Provision Expense
Funding Costs
Funding Costs
$6
Net Revenue
~$0
$18
Gain on Sale
$6
Total
$6
Provision Expense
Net Revenue
Future
Periods
($6)
($6)
($6)
($3)
($3)
$15
$9
$9 difference
1. Carrying value. The foregoing table is for illustrative purposes only. It reflects the difference in the initial accounting treatment under
GAAP between selling a hypothetical $100 loan under Marketplace compared to holding such loan on balance sheet. The actual
results may vary materially based on a variety of factors including but not limited to the rate and amount of interest collected, actual
gain on sale, servicing fees, the term of a loan, the period a loan is held before it is sold, cost of funds and delinquency and charge
offs compared to the assumed provision rate.
2. Assumes Q1 16 Marketplace Gain on Sale Rate. Funding Costs do not include cost of equity.
$3 difference2
31
As of March 31, 2016, net charge-off as a percentage of original loan amount for all term loan originations, regardless of funding source, including loans sold through OnDeck Marketplace or
held for sale on our balance sheet.
32
Maturity Date
May-18
3.4%
$175.0
$175.0
June-17
2.7%
78.3
100.0
May-17
3.4%
79.0
100.0
Sept-17
2.7%
33.4
150.0
May-17
8.7%
35.1
50.0
6.7%
9.7
9.7
Aug-17 3
5.0%
52.1
100.0
Various
6.7
6.7
$469.35
$691.4
$2.7
$20.0
Oct-16
4.50%
Total funding debt principal. Balances and capacities as of March 31, 2016, subject to borrowing conditions.
The period during which remaining cash flow can be used to purchase additional loans expires April 30, 2016.
The period during which new borrowings may be made expires in August 2016.
While the lenders under our corporate debt facility and partner synthetic participation have direct recourse to us as the borrower thereunder, lenders to our subsidiaries do not have
direct recourse to us.
5. Gross of $3.7 million in deferred debt issuance costs. GAAP Total Funding Debt is $465.6 million.
33
Average Loans
Historical
$MM
530 535
535 550
513 541
533 565
37.6%
Q1 '15
Q2 '15
Q3 '15
Q4 '15
35.7%
35.2%
34.8%
34.2%
34.5%
Q3 '15
Q4 '15
Q1 '16
5.8%
5.8%
5.5%
5.7%
5.8%
Q3 '15
Q4 '15
35.9%
Q1 '15
Q1 '16
37.9%
37.6%
36.7%
608 631
Q2 '15
386
Q1 '15
383
364
Q2 '15
360
352
Q3 '15
366
364
Q4 '15
425
419
5.2%
Q1 '16
5.2%
5.1%
5.0%
Q1 '15
Q2 '15
5.4%
Q1 '16
Q1 15
Q2 15
Q3 15
Q4 15
Q1 16
Q2 16
Q3 16
Q4 16
61
64
65
62
62
64
64
61
4.1311
3.9375
3.8769
4.0645
4.0645
3.9375
3.9375
4.1311
1. Beginning with the quarter ended March 31, 2016, the Company refined the calculation of Effective Interest Yield (EIY) and certain related definitions to reflect the substantial growth and impact
of OnDeck Marketplace and to present EIY on a business day adjusted basis. In addition, effective January 1, 2016, the company adopted a new a GAAP requirement regarding the
presentation of deferred debt issuance costs related to average funding debt outstanding. To enhance comparability of prior periods, the above table contains the relevant Key Performance
Metrics (1) as originally presented historically and (2) as revised to conform to the adoption of the 2016 calculation methodology and the retrospective application of the new GAAP requirement
regarding the presentation of deferred debt issuance costs. For summary purposes only and is qualified in its entirety by the descriptions of the Key Performance Metrics in our earnings release
issued February 22, 2016.
34
2014
$17.4
(0.5)
$16.9
2015
$42.7
(2.4)
$40.3
Q1 '15
$8.6
(0.4)
$8.2
Q1 '16
$14.1
(0.8)
$13.3
11.0%
(0.3)
10.7%
16.7%
(0.9)
15.8%
15.2%
(0.7)
14.5%
22.5%
(1.3)
21.2%
2014
$8.2
(0.2)
$8.0
2015
$13.1
(0.8)
$12.3
Q1 '15
$2.7
(0.1)
$2.6
Q1 '16
$4.2
(0.3)
$3.9
5.2%
(0.1)
5.1%
5.1%
(0.3)
4.8%
4.8%
(0.2)
4.6%
6.7%
(0.5)
6.2%
2014
$21.7
(1.4)
$20.3
2015
$45.3
(5.4)
$39.9
Q1 '15
$9.6
(0.9)
$8.7
Q1 '16
$9.7
(1.8)
$7.9
13.7%
(0.9)
12.8%
17.8%
(2.1)
15.7%
17.0%
(1.6)
15.4%
15.5%
(2.9)
12.6%
($MM)
GAAP expense
Stock-based compensation
Expense excluding stock-based compensation
Percentage of Gross Revenue
GAAP expense
Stock-based compensation
Expense excluding stock-based compensation
Percentage of Originations
GAAP expense
Stock-based compensation
Expense excluding stock-based compensation
2014
$33.2
(0.7)
$32.5
2015
$60.6
(3.1)
$57.5
Q1 '15
$12.7
(0.6)
$12.1
Q1 '16
$16.5
(0.9)
$15.6
21.0%
(0.4)
20.6%
23.8%
(1.2)
22.6%
22.5%
(1.1)
21.4%
26.4%
(1.4)
25.0%
2.9%
(0.1)
2.8%
3.2%
(0.2)
3.1%
3.0%
(0.1)
2.9%
2.9%
(0.2)
2.7%
2014
$80.5
(2.8)
$77.7
2015
$161.6
(11.6)
$150.0
Q1 '15
$33.5
(2.0)
$31.5
Q1 '16
$44.6
(3.8)
$40.8
7.8%
7.0%
8.6%
8.1%
Stock-based compensation
(0.2)
(0.6)
(0.5)
(0.7)
6.7%
8.0%
7.6%
7.2%
35
(000s)
2015
2015
($18,708)
($2,231)
($5,343)
($13,141)
398
306
106
38
4,071
6,508
1,378
2,078
2,842
11,582
2,042
3,752
11,232
($165)
$16,165
($1,817)
($7,273)
Net Loss
2014
2016
Adjustments:
Corporate Interest Expense
Adjusted EBITDA represents our net income (loss), adjusted to exclude interest expense associated with debt used for corporate purposes (rather than funding costs associated with
lending activities), income tax expense, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation expense and warrant liability fair value adjustment. EBITDA is impacted by changes
from period to period in the fair value of the liability related to preferred stock warrants. Management believes that adjusting EBITDA to eliminate the impact of the changes in fair value
of these warrants is useful to analyze the operating performance of the business, unaffected by changes in the fair value of preferred stock warrants which are not relevant to the
ongoing operations of the business. All such preferred stock warrants converted to common stock warrants upon initial our initial public offering in December 2014.
36
2014
2015
2015
2016
($18,708)
($2,231)
($5,343)
($13,141)
2,842
11,582
2,042
3,752
958
568
11,232
($4,634)
$10,309
($3,301)
($8,821)
Adjustments:
Stock-Based Compensation Expense
Net Loss Attributable to Noncontrolling Interest
Warrant Liability Fair Value Adjustment
Adjusted Net (Loss) Income
Adjusted Net Income (Loss) per share represents our net income (loss) adjusted to exclude net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest, stock-based compensation expense and warrant
liability fair value adjustment, each on the same basis and with the same limitations as described above for Adjusted EBITDA, divided by the weighted average common shares outstanding
during the period. Adjusted Net Income (Loss) per share does not include the impact of accretion of dividends on redeemable convertible preferred stock or Series A and B preferred stock
redemptions. All such preferred stock converted to common stock upon our initial public offering in December 2014.
37