Speakers
Additional Information
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. All statements relating to events or results that may occur in the future, including but not limited to statements
regarding our future results of operations and financial position, our anticipated future non-GAAP revenue, estimated future sales of XTANDI, market opportunity for our
products and product candidates, potential regulatory approvals or events, and clinical trial events or progress, are forward-looking statements. These statements involve
known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any
future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Words such as believe, opportunity, potential, expected,
potentially, may, goals, and similar expressions are intended to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements involve known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other important factors, including risks inherent in obtaining regulatory approvals, that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to
be materially different from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Because forward-looking statements are inherently subject to risks and
uncertainties, you should not rely on these forward -looking statements as predictions of future events. For a further description of the risks and uncertainties that could
cause actual results to differ from those expressed in forward-looking statements, including risks relating to relating to our business in general, see our Annual Report on
Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, on February 26, 2016, and Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31,
2016, filed with the SEC on May 5, 2016. Except as required by applicable law, we do not plan to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements contained
herein, whether as a result of any new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise.
Additional Information
This presentation is neither an offer to buy nor a solicitation of an offer to sell any securities of Medivation. No tender offer for the shares of Medivation has commenced
at this time. In connection with its proposed transaction, Sanofi may file tender offer documents, consent solicitation documents or other documents with the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). If a tender offer and/or consent solicitation is commenced, Medivation will file with the SEC a
Solicitation/Recommendation Statement on Schedule 14D-9 with respect to such tender offer and may file a solicitation of revocation in connection with such consent
solicitation. Once filed, stockholders will be able to obtain, as applicable, the tender offer statement on Schedule TO, the offer to purchase, the
Solicitation/Recommendation Statement of Medivation on Schedule 14D-9, any consent solicitation, any solicitation of revocation and related materials with respect to
any tender offer or consent solicitation, free of charge, at the website of the SEC at www.sec.gov, and from any information agent and/or dealer manager named in the
tender offer materials. Stockholders may also obtain, at no charge, any such documents filed with or furnished to the SEC by Medivation under the SEC Filings tab in
the Investor Relations section of Medivations website atwww.medivation.com. Stockholders are advised to read these documents, if and when they become available,
including any amendments thereto, as well as any other documents relating to any tender offer and/or consent solicitation that are filed with the SEC, carefully and in
their entirety prior to making any decisions with respect to whether to tender shares or submit consents because the documents will contain important information.
Certain Information Regarding Participants
Medivation, its directors and certain of its executive officers may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of revocations in connection with any Sanofi
solicitation. Information regarding the names of Medivations directors and executive officers and their respective interests in Medivation by security holdings or otherwise
is set forth in Medivations proxy statement for the 2016 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, as amended, filed with the SEC on April 29, 2016. Additional information can
also be found in Medivations Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015, filed with the SEC on February 26, 2016 and in Medivations latest
Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
COMMERCIAL PERFORMANCE
Marion McCourt
Chief Operating Officer
FINANCIAL UPDATE
Jennifer Jarrett
Chief Financial Officer
$350
$300
$298
$313
$316
$308
$250
$200
$224
$150
$100
$50
$Q1-15
Q2-15
Q3-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
$300
$250
$231
$200
$240
$205
$188
$150
$133
$100
$50
$Q1-15
Q2-15
Q3-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
In USD millions
$250
30%
$203
$190
$200
$175
$34
$182
$45
$29
$26
$150
$128
$149
$157
$154
19%
$16
$100
$158
$112
16%
14%
$50
12%
12%
$-
Non-GAAP revenues
typically lower in first quarter
of calendar year due to:
25%
Q1-15
Q2-15
Q3-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
In USD millions
$80
+11% q-o-q
Acquired Talazoparib
October 2015
$60
$68
$61
$40
$38
$41
$40
Q2-15
Q3-15
$20
$Q1-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
10
In USD millions
$100
$80
$60
$84
$67
$66
$58
$59
$40
$20
$Q1-15
Q2-15
Q3-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
11
Non-GAAP EPS
EPS: Y-o-Y Growth
$0.20
$0.11
$0.08
$0.05
$0.00
Q1-15
Q1-16
Non-GAAP EPS
$0.50
Acquired Talazoparib
October 2015
$0.40
$0.35
$0.30
$0.29
$0.29
$0.20
$0.10
$0.00
$0.11
$0.08
Q1-15
Q2-15
Q3-15
Q4-15
We expect a significant
increase in Non-GAAP EPS
in coming quarters and are
reaffirming 2016 full year
Non-GAAP EPS guidance of
$1.30 -$1.40
Q1-16
12
2016 FY Guidance
$1,425 - $1,525
(2)
$900 - $970
$555 - $600
$280 - $300
$275 - $300
35.5% - 36.0%
$1.30 - $1.40
(1) This represents Medivation's projection of U.S. net sales at the Astellas level
(2) This measure includes (i) Medivation's collaboration revenue related to U.S. net sales of XTANDI and (ii) Medivation's collaboration
revenue related to ex-U.S. net sales of XTANDI, in the form of a royalty payment earned from Astellas.
(3) Non-GAAP operating expenses exclude non-cash, stock-based compensation expense, and any change in fair value of contingent
purchase consideration or in-process research and development expenses.
13
14
Q1-15
Q2-15
2016
Q3-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
129 $
176 $
(1)
(1)
128 $
175 $
190 $
203 $
182
45 $
47 $
46 $
94 $
78
(6)
(6)
(6)
(7)
(6)
(1)
261 $
(71)
378 $
(175)
182
-
(1)
(0)
(30)
(2)
-
38 $
41 $
40 $
61 $
68
84 $
75 $
76 $
62 $
97
(8)
(8)
(8)
(7)
(8)
(3)
(1)
(2)
14
(5)
(6)
(8)
(8)
(3)
67 $
58 $
59 $
66 $
84
15
Q1-15
Q2-15
2016
Q3-15
Q4-15
Q1-16
(3) $
26
80
143
(1)
(1)
(71)
(175)
13
14
13
14
14
(17)
30
13
(9)
(13)
12
53
(8)
13
49
58
49
19
(3) $
26
80
143
17
23
(21)
(93)
14
13
49
58
49
19
0.08
0.29
0.35
0.29
0.11
157
162
169
168
169
168
168
168
168
168
16
Stock-based compensation expense: Stock-based compensation expense is excluded from non-GAAP financial measures because of the nature of this charge, varying available valuation
methodologies, subjective assumptions and the variety of award types; such exclusion facilitates comparison of Medivations operating results to peer companies.
Contingent consideration: The effects of contingent consideration valuation are excluded from non-GAAP financial measures; because of the nature of this item, which is related to the change in fair
c) value of the liability for contingent consideration related to the acquisition of worldwide rights to talazoparib from BioMarin Pharmaceutical, Inc., and Medivation's license agreement with CureTech,
Inc. for pidiluzimab; such exclusion facilitates comparisons of Medivation's operating results to peer companies.
Upfront license and milestone-related payments to third party and other adjustments: These payments and adjustments are excluded from non-GAAP financial measures because they occur at
d) irregular intervals and are not related to Medivations long term core business going forward; such exclusion facilitates understanding of the ongoing economics of the business, facilitates period over
period comparison and is reflective of how Medivation manages its business.
e)
Impairment of intangible assets: The effects of impairment of intangible assets are excluded from non-GAAP financial measures because of the nature of this item, which is related to impairment of
our IPR&D asset related to pidiluzimab; such exclusion facilitates comparisons of Medivation's operating results to peer companies.
Non-cash interest expense related to the Convertible Notes and Revolving Credit Facility: The effects of non-cash interest expense related to the Convertible Notes and the Revolving Credit Facility are
f) excluded from non-GAAP financial measures because these expenses are non-cash expenses; such exclusion facilitates comparison of Medivations cash operating results to peer companies and is
reflective of how Medivation manages its business.
g)
Loss on extinguishment of Convertible Notes: The effects of loss on extinguishment of the Convertible Notes are excluded from non-GAAP financial measures because this expense is a non-cash
charge; such exclusion facilitates comparison of Medivation's cash operating results to peer companies and is reflective of how Medivation manages its business.
h) Income tax adjustments: Adjustments to income tax expense for non-GAAP financial measures consist of the income tax effect of the non-GAAP adjustments.
Interest and shares underlying Convertible Notes: In periods in which Medivation reports GAAP or non-GAAP net income, the effect of contingently issuable shares is considered in the calculation of
diluted net income per share. Beginning in the second quarter of 2015, the "cash settlement" method is used to determine the dilutive effect of the Convertible Notes. Under this method, interest is
not added back to the numerator, and only the contingently issuable shares related to the conversion spread are included in the denominator, if dilutive. The computation of diluted net income per
i)
common share for the second and third quarter of 2015 includes the effect of approximately 2.4 million and 0.8 million common shares, respectively, related to the conversion spread for both nonGAAP and GAAP purposes. The Convertible Notes had no effect on the diluted net income per share calculation for the three months ended December 31, 2015 for both GAAP and non-GAAP purposes
because Medivation completed the settlement of all of its Convertible Notes during the third quarter of 2015.
Diluted effect of common stock equivalents: In periods in which Medivation reports a GAAP net loss, all common stock equivalents are deemed anti-dilutive and basic and diluted common shares are
equal. Because Medivation had non-GAAP net income for the three months ended March 31, 2015, the dilutive effect of common stock equivalents is included in the diluted net income per share
j)
calculation for that period. Because Medivation had a GAAP net loss for the three months ended March 31, 2015, the dilutive effect of common stock equivalents is excluded in the diluted net loss per
common share calculation for that period because such shares have an anti-dilutive effect.
17
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Additional Information
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. All statements relating to events or results that may occur in the future, including but not limited to statements
regarding our future results of operations and financial position, our anticipated future non-GAAP revenue, estimated future sales of XTANDI, market opportunity for our
products and product candidates, potential regulatory approvals or events, and clinical trial events or progress, are forward-looking statements. These statements involve
known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any
future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Words such as believe, opportunity, potential, expected,
potentially, may, goals, and similar expressions are intended to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements involve known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other important factors, including risks inherent in obtaining regulatory approvals, that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to
be materially different from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Because forward-looking statements are inherently subject to risks and
uncertainties, you should not rely on these forward -looking statements as predictions of future events. For a further description of the risks and uncertainties that could
cause actual results to differ from those expressed in forward-looking statements, including risks relating to relating to our business in general, see our Annual Report on
Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, on February 26, 2016, and Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31,
2016, filed with the SEC on May 5, 2016. Except as required by applicable law, we do not plan to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements contained
herein, whether as a result of any new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise.
Additional Information
This presentation is neither an offer to buy nor a solicitation of an offer to sell any securities of Medivation. No tender offer for the shares of Medivation has commenced
at this time. In connection with its proposed transaction, Sanofi may file tender offer documents, consent solicitation documents or other documents with the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). If a tender offer and/or consent solicitation is commenced, Medivation will file with the SEC a
Solicitation/Recommendation Statement on Schedule 14D-9 with respect to such tender offer and may file a solicitation of revocation in connection with such consent
solicitation. Once filed, stockholders will be able to obtain, as applicable, the tender offer statement on Schedule TO, the offer to purchase, the
Solicitation/Recommendation Statement of Medivation on Schedule 14D-9, any consent solicitation, any solicitation of revocation and related materials with respect to
any tender offer or consent solicitation, free of charge, at the website of the SEC at www.sec.gov, and from any information agent and/or dealer manager named in the
tender offer materials. Stockholders may also obtain, at no charge, any such documents filed with or furnished to the SEC by Medivation under the SEC Filings tab in
the Investor Relations section of Medivations website atwww.medivation.com. Stockholders are advised to read these documents, if and when they become available,
including any amendments thereto, as well as any other documents relating to any tender offer and/or consent solicitation that are filed with the SEC, carefully and in
their entirety prior to making any decisions with respect to whether to tender shares or submit consents because the documents will contain important information.
Certain Information Regarding Participants
Medivation, its directors and certain of its executive officers may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of revocations in connection with any Sanofi
solicitation. Information regarding the names of Medivations directors and executive officers and their respective interests in Medivation by security holdings or otherwise
is set forth in Medivations proxy statement for the 2016 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, as amended, filed with the SEC on April 29, 2016. Additional information can
also be found in Medivations Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015, filed with the SEC on February 26, 2016 and in Medivations latest
Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
19
Table of Contents
XTANDI Commercial Success and Runway for Growth in Prostate Cancer and Beyond
Conclusion
20
Q1 2016
Graeme in 2010
Graeme Today
22
2015A
2020E
23
($ in millions)
15,141%
MDVN
$935
126% CAGR
Nasdaq Biotechnology
Index
$695
$389
$203
4,487%
$36
2012A
2013A
2014A
2015A
2016E
957%
16
16
17
(4)
>18
46%
(3)
124%
144%
3-Year
5-Year
245%
255%
10-Year
Since First
Public
Financing
(3)
(4)
Onyx reported Non-GAAP profitability from 1Q08 4Q09, but did not
report four quarters of consecutive Non-GAAP profitability from 1Q10
until acquisition in 3Q13
BioMarin reported Non-GAAP profitability from 4Q07 4Q10, but has
not reported four consecutive quarters of Non-GAAP profitability since
24
Phase 1
Phase 2
Phase 3
Marketed
Addressable
Market
XTANDI
Prostate Cancer
>$15bn
(U.S.)
ARCHES
Triple Negative Breast Cancer (TNBC) Dx+ (Led by Medivation)
ER/PgR+ Breast Cancer (Led by Medivation)
Other Indications
>$3.5bn
(U.S.)
Hepatocellular Carcinoma
EMBRACA gBRCA Breast Cancer
Small Cell Lung Cancer (SCLC) (all comers)
Talazoparib
(MDV3800)
>$30bn
Prostate (Monotherapy)
(U.S. and
Europe)
Pidilizumab
(MDV9300)
Multiple Myeloma
Follicular Lymphoma
>$5bn
(U.S.)
2017
2018
XTANDI
2019
PRESIDE data
EMBARK
ALLIANCE data
ARCHES
PROSPER to complete
enrollment
PLATO data
PROSPER
Ph 2 data in patients
with ER/PgR+ BC
ER/PgR+ BC
mTNBC Dx+
Initiate Ph 3 in mTNBC
Talazoparib
2020
Ph 3 data from
EMBRACA trial in
BRCA breast
EMBRACA
Ovarian cancer
Prostate cancer
(monotherapy)
SCLC
Breast cancer
(Beyond BRCA)
Pidilizumab
Prostate cancer
(combo)
Resume Ph 2 in relapsed
and refractory DLBCL
patients
Initiate Ph 3 in DLBCL
DLBCL
if accelerated
Initiate Ph 3 in
Multiple Myeloma
Potential Approval
26
2021E WW Revenues
$7,321
6,945
6,794
5,801
4,658
4
5
2,493
2,231
1,907
1,632
10
1,620
10
Xarelto
Therapy Area
2015
2022E
Year of
European Launch
Anticoagulation
1,301
2,718
2008
Oncology
586
2,500
2013
Company
Bayer
2
3
Opdivo
Bristol-Myers Squibb
Oncology
160
2,358
2015
Revlimid
Celgene
Oncology
1,115
2,216
2007
Triumeq
GlaxoSmithKline
HIV
242
2,048
2014
$300
8.0
7
6
$200
6.0
5
5.0
$150
3.5
$100
4
3
2
Launched
16 months
later
$50
55%
10
$0
1
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
11 112012
12 12 12 122013
13 13 13 13 2014
14 14 14 14 2015
15 15 15 152016
16 16
2011
11 11
$350
53%
50.4%
51%
49%
49.6%
47%
Q2 15
Q3 15
Q4 15
Q1 16
$2.2bn
annualized
WW sales
8.0
XTANDI
Current
30
24.9+
25
19.4
20
15
11.2
10
8.3
Approved
2012
Approved
2014
sNDA Filed
2016
ARCHES 5
sNDA Filed
2016
Ongoing
133,000
Addressable
U.S. Market
>$15bn
12,000
30,000
18,000
+
sNDA Filed
2016
+
sNDA Filed
2016
73,000
Approved
2014
Approved
2012
Phase /
Estimated
Launch
mCRPC
M0 CRPC
M0 Hormone
Sensitive
Marketed
Ph 3 ongoing
Ph 3 ongoing
2012
2019
2020
Prostate Cancer
Opportunity
Addressable patient population defined as all patients who begin treatment in a new line of therapy in a given year
Source: Management estimate; Scher et al, Prevalence of Prostate Cancer Clinical States and Mortality in the United States:
Estimates Using a Dynamic Progression Model, 2015
Includes pre-chemo, post-chemo, and chemo treated patients
32
2020E
$2,089
$5,551
$2,231
$285
$356
$267
$246
201520E CAGR
$1,831
$1,031
$428
22%
(4%)
29%
4%
$206
(5%)
$177
(6%)
Triple-Negative
(TNBC)
(15%)*
ER/PgR+ and
HER2-normal
(50%)*
HER2+ and AR+
(15%)*
* Denotes the % this subtype represents of the total breast cancer population
** Patient tested positive for our novel diagnostic signature
San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium Dec 8-12, 2015 Poster P3-07-25.
34
75,000
patients
90,000
>$3.5bn
Additional
Patient Opportunity
Additional
Solid Tumor
Opportunities
15,000
60,000
15,000
Breast
Phase
Potential
Launch
mHCC
mTNBC
mER/PgR+
Ph 3 initiating
Ph 2 ongoing
Ph 2 ongoing
2019
2020
2022
* Potential addressable patient population defined as all lines of treatable metastatic patients in 2016
Sources: MDVN internal analysis; 2016 DR/Decision Resources, LLC. All rights reserved. Reproduction, distribution, transmission or publication is
prohibited. Reprinted with permission. www.biopharma.decisionresourcesgroup.com. Last accessed: 05/03/2016.
35
2H 2016
Potential approval
+1,200 Patients
Enrolled
Top-line data
Top-line data
Initiate
Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use of the European Medicines Agency (EMA)
Prostate cancer
Breast cancer
36
2022
Hepatocellular Carcinoma
2021
ARCHES
Metastatic HSPC XTANDI plus ADT
2020
Non-metastatic HSPC XTANDI plus ADT
2019
mTNBC Dx+
Timeline based on current management estimates.
37
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Compelling Clinical
Data
High Probability of
Success
Phase 3 Data in
1H 2017
Multi-Billion Dollar
Potential
39
Patients dosed
50
49
50 (100%)
Cabazitaxel
29 (58%)
Abiraterone
48 (96%)
Enzalutamide
14 (28%)
Mateo et al. oral presentation AACR 2015. Final publication N Engl J Med. 2015 Oct 29;373(18):1697-708. (Investigator Sponsored Trial)
40
Most Potent
Antitumor Activity
(~50x2,000x+)
Most Effective
PARP Trapping
(~50x2,000x)
Relative Potentiation of
Chemotherapy (Temozolomide)
All
(CBR)
Talazoparib is active in tumors with defects in DNA repair genes beyond BRCA
mutations (larger market than BRCA) and possibly even without HRD (largest market)
Source: Wainberg et.al. Oral presentation, AACR 2016. Abstract CT011. FDA product label for olaparib.
Note: Chemotherapy regimens included temozolomide and irinotecan. HRD = homologous recombination deficiency. CBR = clinical benefit rate
42
Niraparib
Talazoparib
Phase 2
Phase 1/2
Phase 1
Dosing
100mg BID
400mg BID
400mg BID
Various
0.91.1mg QD
1mg QD
Size, n
27
27
62
18
14
Prior Regimens,
median
4.6
22%
30%
22%
41%
13%
CR
4%
PR
22%
37%
13%
67%
85%
44%
Platinum
ORR, %
CBR, %
SD
PFS (mos)
33%
50%
44%
50%
6%
7%
39%
43%
60%
72%
86%
44%
47%
28%
36%
(23w)
(23w)
(>8w)
(>24w)
(>24w)
3.8
5.7
50%
8.0
Source: Barclays Research, Kaye et al. J Clin Oncol. 2012 Feb 1; 30 (4) : 372, Company reports
43
2%
20%
Olaparib Gr 12
ALT/AST Increased
Alopecia
Insomnia
Fatigue
Dysgeusia
Dyspepsia
Diarrhea
Anorexia
Constipation
Vomiting
Nausea
Lymphopenia
Neutropenia
Thrombocytopenia
Anemia
40%
60%
Niraparib Gr 12
ALT/AST Increased
Alopecia
Insomnia
Fatigue
Dysgeusia
Dyspepsia
Diarrhea
Anorexia
Constipation
Vomiting
Nausea
Lymphopenia
Neutropenia
Thrombocytopenia
Anemia
27%
36%
25%
0%
10%
2%
56%
5%
15%
20%
11%
30%
40%
2%
59%
16%
17%
20%
40%
50%
Rucaparib Gr 12
ALT/AST Increased
Alopecia
Insomnia
Fatigue
Dysgeusia
Dyspepsia
Diarrhea
Anorexia
Constipation
Vomiting
Nausea
Lymphopenia
Neutropenia
Thrombocytopenia
Anemia
5%
47%
1%
35%
Niraparib Gr 34
2%
15%
2%
24%
25%
6%
60%
13%
49%
53%
16%
17%
26%
21%
0%
Olaparib Gr 34
60%
70%
30%
Rucaparib Gr 34
7%
43%
36%
6%
16%
1%
26%
2%
28%
1%
20%
2%
59%
10%
0%
10%
4%
19%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Source: BioMarin. Wainburg et.al. ASCO 2014 (1mg patients). Kaufman et.al. ASCO 2013 (400mg patients). Sandu et.al. Lancet Oncology 2013
(290-300mg patients). Swisher et.al. SGO 2015 (600mg patients).
44
Indication
Target Enrollment
Dosing
Accrual
Talazoparib
Olaparib
Niraparib
BRCA-mutated
Breast Cancer
BRCA-mutated
Breast Cancer
BRCA-mutated
Breast Cancer
429
310
306
1mg
Once Daily
300mg
Twice Daily
300mg
Once Daily
0.67
NA
0.50
Complete enrollment
in 2016
Completed
in 4Q15
Enrolling through
2016
Development Plan
Breast
Cancer
Prostate
Cancer
SCLC
Ovarian
Cancer
46
Vehicle
Temozolomide 3mg/kg PO QD x 4
Talazoparib 0.25 mg/kg PO QD x 4
Talazoparib + Temozolomide
~760k
patients
>$30bn
230k
60k
140k
100k
80k
140k
10k
EMBRACA
(gBRCA mBC)
Phase
Ph 3
ongoing
Potential 2018
Launch
mCRPC
mSCLC
Adv Ovarian
Ph 2
ready
Ph 3
ready
Ph 2
ready
mBC
(Beyond
BRCA)
Ph 2
ready
2019-22
2020-21
2022-23
2022-23
Glioblastoma
mNSCLC
Ph 2
ready
Ph 2
ready
2021-22
2022-23
Current Patient
Opportunity
Talazoparib
Addressable Market
* Potential addressable patient population defined as all lines of treatable metastatic patients in 2016. Dollar figures reflect current PARP inhibitor pricing
Sources: MDVN internal analysis; Peshkin et al, Breast Dis. 2010; TCGA, Nature. 2012; Mateo et al, NEJM. 2015; TCGA Nature. 2011; 2016
DR/Decision Resources, LLC. All rights reserved. Reproduction, distribution, transmission or publication is prohibited. Reprinted with permission.
48
Supported by Strong
Clinical Evidence
to Date
Registrational Study
Initiated in 4Q15
Multiple Liquid
Tumor Indications
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Medivation is a unique opportunity as one of the few profitable and sizeable oncology
companies
Medivation has built XTANDI into a rapidly-growing, multi-billion dollar oncology product
Medivation is leveraging its expertise to develop and bring to market additional products
from its wholly-owned, differentiated late-stage pipeline
Sanofi did not wait for a response from Medivations Board with respect to its nonbinding proposal before rushing to make the same substantially inadequate proposal public
The Board believes that the continued successful execution of our well-defined
strategic plan will deliver greater value to Medivation's shareholders than Sanofi's
substantially inadequate proposal
51
NBI Indexed
Price (as of 01/01/15)
140
120
+18.6%
110
100
NASDAQ
Biotech
Index
(15.0%)
90
80
60
Annc. Date
Target
Transaction Value
3/4/15
$21.0bn
5/6/15
$8.4bn
8/24/14
$8.3bn
7/14/15
$7.2bn
4/28/16
$5.8bn + $4bn
12/17/15
$4.0bn + ~$3bn
Blockbuster
Product
Commercial
Product
Late-Stage
Pipeline
Source: Company filings, company websites, press releases, Wall Street research
(1) The transaction includes a cash payment of $1.14 billion and potential additional payments based on future XTANDI sales
54
~28%
CAGR
$1,821
$936
$935
Management
(2)
Consensus
2016E
Management
Consensus
2020E
Source: Company filings and Wall Street research derived from FactSet consensus
(1) Figure represents Medivation Non-GAAP net revenue
(2) Represents midpoint of 2016 Non-GAAP net revenue guidance
55
Conclusion
MDVN
Nasdaq Biotechnology
Index
4,487%
124%
144%
3-Year
5-Year
245%
255%
10-Year
Since First
Public
Financing
57