06.10.2015
Exam - 70 questions - maybe less
e-mail - k.zoladkiewicz@ug.edu.pl
TPP - Trans pacific partnership (12 countries) - is a trade agreement between several Pacific
Rim countries concerning a variety of matters of economic policy. Among other things, the TPP will
seek to lower trade barriers such as tariffs, establish a common framework for intellectual property,
enforce standards for labour law and environmental law, and establish an investor-state dispute
settlement mechanism. Signed by Brunei, Chile, Singapore, and New Zealand in 2006. Beginning
in 2008, additional countries joined for a broader agreement: Australia, Canada, Japan, Malaysia,
Mexico, Peru, the United States, and Vietnam, bringing the total number of participating countries
to twelve.
World merchandise export:
World export grows quicker than world GDP and world production. (the whole period after The
Second World War)
1. Agricultural products
2. Fuels and mining products
3. Manufactures
Worlds merchandise production
1. Agriculture
2. Mining
3. Manufacturing
Major group of products in international trade 2013.
13.10.2015
Homework - Krugman, chapter 2 Gravity model
Why to focus on international trade ?
the world is getting smaller everyday
signs of international transactions are all around us
the importance of international trade has never been as clear as it is today
influential world leaders=important world traders
interaction between sovereign states
International vs domestic economic issues
Motives and behavior are the same
yet, new and different concerns
Geographically closer but trade can meet restrictions: currency (exchange rate), imposition of
quotas and other trade instruments, feature: movement across borders.
Benefits of international trade.
Development of the company - international trade helps to expand the company. It is obvious that
when a firm enters to a new country quickly attracts new customers. It is much easier to do it in
contrast of trying to explicate your market place in home country. We can say it is extending
sales potential of the existing products.
Increasing sales and profits
Gaining a global market share
Spread business risk For example when we act only in the home market all of the problems
associated with it will be for us very bad news. On the other hand when a company operates
internationally the risk is reduced.
Second thing is a diversity of products available on the international market. Nowadays to
succeed, people need to use modern solutions and products which are not always available at
domestic market. It is very difficult to find a gap in the market, but for sure easier way to do it is
through international trade.
Be more competitive use of Arbitrage which is taking advantage of the difference in price. For
example we can go through the all formalities and import some goods from China [After
appropriate research] and sell them favorably on the domestic market. It is a big plus of foreign
trade
Dumping Customer acquisition through entering the foreign market with lower prices than it is
normally. It is not completely fair but common.
Exchange rate determination
own currencies are a key difference between international and national economics
relative values of currencies (exchanges rates) can change a lot
1 January 1999 1 euro = $1.17 - Early 2002 1 euro = $0.85 (i tak dalej, bardzo elastic)
Fluctuation because of floating exchange rate
The international Capital Market
The growing importance of the international capital market: large sums are lent to firms and
governments, unable to be paid back (emerging markets)
Since 1982 (Mexico) until 1990s debt crisis in Latin America
1994 Mexico
Since 1997 crises in South East Asia
2002 Argentina
Since 1960s London Eurodollar capital market has been established
International capital markets differ from domestic markets (currency fluctuation, legal problems
with creditors)
International Policy Coordination
America coughs and the rest of the world has a flu
Crises of 2008 (Lehman Brothers)
In an integrated world economy one countrys economic policy usually affect other countries
An acceptable level of harmony in international trade policies has been governed by GATT/WTO
It is well established tradition to coordinate on international trade policies
Balance of Payments
Is it good to run a trade surplus ? For many years ? (China case, Germany case, Korea case)
Is it good to run a trade deficit ? (the U?S case since 1982)
Countrys balance of payments must be placed within economic analysis context (international
capital flows, national accounts, monetary policy)
Prices of all commodities (raw materials) are paid and calculated in $$$$ - cause it is the most
important currency in the world
27,10,2015
History of international business
International business has been a major force in shaping borders and changing world history
The Greek city-states
The Roman Empire (Pax Romana)
The British Empire
Pax Americana (1945-1990)
Global links around the world that binds all countries, financial institutions and individuals much
closer than ever before
Transportation links, telecommunication integration
Theory of absolute advantage - A theory that suggests that under free trade, a nation
gains by specializing in economic activities in which it has an absolute advantage.
David Ricardo Principles of Political Economy and Taxation - 1817 - Comparative advantage
Great contribution in Principles of Political Economy and Taxation
The gains from trade depend on comparative differences
Specialization by comparative advantage creates a potential win-win situation
The key to increase in total output is the existence of differences in opportunity cost
Opportunity cost of product A in terms of product B is the number of B that could have been
produced with the resources used to produce a given number of product A
Globalization, financial crises, impact of trade policy key ideas and old questions still valid
Theory of comparative advantage - A theory that focuses on the relative (not absolute)
advantage in one economic activity that one nation enjoys in comparison with other nations.
All analysis and trade theories remain highly relevant to the 21st century
Globalisation, financial crisis, impact of trade policy - key ideas and old questions still valid
Why countries specialize and trade ?
1. Differences in resources or in technology, specialization in things countries do relatively better
2. economies of scale, specialization in limited range of goods and services
International division of labor (miedzynarodowy podzial pracy) - IMPORTANT
The specialization of particular countries in distinct branches of production, whether this be in
certain products, or in selected parts of the production process. The concept suggests that the
spread of markets and production processes world-wide creates (as indeed this same process has
done within particular economies) a growing differentiation of economic activity. However, whereas
in orthodox economics the division of labour as such is seen as providing mutual benefit for these
specialized branches of activity, alternative analyses of the international division of labour stress
the inequalities and structured hierarchies which it creates
Types of IDoL International division of labor
Traditional: 2 groups of countries and manufactured goods vv. agricultural and raw materials.
Inter-industry trade (origin) IDoL
Contemporary: specialization in specific goods and services, between branches, deep
specialization within products. Intra-industry trade (intra product, deeper and deeper into
product, for ex. various parts for a Boeing planes are produced in different countries) IDoL
An equation:
The analogy to Newtons law of gravity (the gravitational attraction between any two objects is
proportional to the product of their masses and diminishes with distance)
The trade between any two countries is, other things equal, proportional to the product of their
GDPs and diminishes with distance (inversely proportional)
3 things determine the volume of trade between 2 counties:
size of their GDPs (proportionally)
distance between countries (inversely proportionally)
The gravity model equation gives a good approximation
However, in practice countries spend much of their income at home (the U.S. and the EU each
account for app.25% of worlds GDP and each attracts 2% of others spending)
Factors limiting international trade (impediments to trade)
Distance: strong negative effect, 1% increase in the distance is associated with a fall of 0,7-1% in
the trade between countries, neighborhood creates strong personal contacts
Barriers: trade agreements lead to more trade activities between member states, effects of
liberalization
National borders are relevant: more trade internally, border deters trade as countries were apart
1,500-2,000 miles (case: Canadian-US border)
Composition of World Trade
Different today from a generation ago or/and a century ago (dynamic change)
Modern transportation and communication have abolished distance
The world got smaller?
Smaller between 1840-1914 than much of the 20th century (can we agree to such a hypothesis?)
2 great waves of globalization: (1) railroads, steamship, the telegraph; (2) jets, Internet
Division of labour. Protectionism versus liberalization
Country climate and natural resources: tropical products in tropical countries, land-rich countries
exports
Classic disputes over free trade versus protectionism: to protect from cheap imports and to export
much of other output (natural resources)
Contemporary disputes: human resources, their skills are more important, battles over
competition from cheap labour, tech workers
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International trade in manufactured goods is more intense between countries with similar per
capita income (than dissimilar)
Importance of other factors: geographically close (cultural similarities, costs of transportation)
A phenomenon - trade in both directions (other theories one way)
Trade due to product differentiation (different brands and models)
A phenomenon - Intra-industry trade
International Investment and Product Cycle Theory
The Vernons Theory (the PCT)
Focused on the product rather than the country and the technology of its manufacture, no its
factor proportions.
Appreciation of the role of information, knowledge, and the costs and power that is related to
knowledge (that is not universal free and it is important factor in the decision to trade or to invest)
Builds upon the imitation lag hypothesis in its treatment of delay of the diffusion of technology.
Technical innovations require large quantities of capital and highly skilled labour
it caters to high-income demand in a high income country
In production process it is labour0saving and capital using in nature
3 stages of the product cycle
New product
1. only 1 country producing and consuming the product
2. Highly capital-intensive and skilled labour-intensive
3. low-price elasticity of demand (high income consumers, regardless of costs) - (a monopolists)
4. Begins exporting to other advanced countries
5. A few exports to the less developed countries
6. Highly individualized product
Maturing Product Stage
1. Production capability expands in the Other Advanced Countries (OACs)
2. need for skilled labour declines
3. OACs - net exporters
4. Less developed Countries (LDCs) net importers
5. To maintain market share - investments abroad (cheaper labour and other comparative
advantages)
6. product more standardized
Standardized product
1. comparative advantage of production and export shifted to LDCs
2. Mass-produced product
3. country of production with cheapest unskilled labour
4. profit margins - thin, competition - wild
Limitation of this theory: appropriate for technology - based products.
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Tariffs
the simple trade policies
a tax levied when a good is imported
the oldest form of trade policy (Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1934)
traditionally used as a source of government income (fiscal)
ad valorem tariffs: levied as a fraction of the value of imported goods (10%)
specific tariffs: a fixed charge for each unit of imported goods (3 USD per barrel of oil)
combined tariff
Bound tariff - maximum rate of a tariff
Non-tariff barriers to trade (NTBs)
para tariff barriers - An extra fee or tax imposed on a good in addition to the tariff stated on the
country's tariff schedule.
pure non-tariff barriers (quotas for ex)
The heigh of tariffs: a prohibitive tariff (higher) / preferential tariff (1 or 2) / preferences tariff (0).
Their true purpose is to protect particular domestic sectors from import competition.
Their importance declines in modern times
Effects of a Tariff
A tariff is like a cost of transportation
A wedge between foreign and domestic prices (two markets)
A tariff raises the domestic price
The volume traded declines
The size of importing country effects on exporters price
A large country raising the domestic price but by less than the tariff rate (incydencja tla)
Not the case in a small country, imposing the tariff by the full amount, cannot affect foreign export
price
An escalated tariff structure (higher tariff rates on manufactured goods than on intermediate
inputs and raw materials)
Tariff escalation (wzmacnianie)
Higher import duties on semi-processed products than on raw materials, and higher still on
finished products.
This practice protects domestic processing industries.
Discourages the development of processing activity in the countries where raw materials
originate.
Tariff peaks
relatively high tariffs, usually on sensitive products, admits generally low tariff levels
For industrialized countries, tariffs of 15% and above are generally recognized as tariffs peaks
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Ad valorem tax - A tax based on the assessed value of real estate or personal property. Ad
valorem taxes can be property tax or even duty on imported items. Property ad valorem taxes are
the major source of revenue for state and municipal governments.
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GDP - NI National income - production done in the country together with consumption and
investments
GNI - All production in the country with the companies and national companies with the business
taxes. All incomes within the country
GNP - The production of the all national companies
Anti dumping duties (Ads):
A particular type of protection to offset anothers country policies
Duties as response to unfair trade practices
Their level determined administratively in order to proportionate to the size of the price differential
Quasi judicial procedure adds to the complexity of such policy and increases protectionist
impact and net costs
Negative impact on trade increased uncertainty
Long history: Canadian legislation in 1904, Japan 1920, Australia, the UK, NZ, the USA in 1921
Since the 2 half of 20th century more frequent
imposed when an imported good is being sold at a price below that in home market or at less
than its average cost (injury to domestic producers)
Calculating the margin of dumping (substantial element of discretion, in the US fall in
revenues of less than 10%) (in 1970s golf carts imported from Poland to the US Florida,
adopting of constructed price and country as a comparator Canada and then Spain), the
Byrd amendment increased the incentive to initiate AD proceedings (revenues) difficult to
dismantle in 2006-2007 the EU conducted AD
investigations (9months) into imports of certain shoe imports from china and Vietnam
(constructed Brazilian prices as a proxy; determined 20% Ads, benefit the EU producers)
Countervailing duties (CVDs):
a particular type of protection to offset anothers country policies
duties as response to unfair trade practices
their level determined administratively in order to proportionate to the size of subsidy which is
being countered
quasi judicial procedure adds to the complexity of such policy and increases protectionist
impact and net costs
negative impact on trade increased uncertainty
less common (1/10 of AD cases)
imposed to offset a subsidy given to the producer of the imported good
case Japan-Korea (in jan.2006 Japan imposed 27% CDV on imports of DRAM chips from Korea,
objections to the WTO, panel duties unjustified, recalculation of duties, appeal to the WTO, the
CVDs still in place at the end of 2007 granting 2 years of protection for domestic producers)
in steel industry nearly permanent protection through Ads, CVDs or other safeguard measures
(escape clause, trigger price) provided by the EU and the USA
ADs and CVDs...
Depressed imports by 6,7% (2006)
Most favourable for those who can afford good lawyers (but case: Osram tried to initiate against
China Philips opposed in the EU)
Process non-transparent
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Management behavior (traditional mining and oilfield engineers focused on costs, processes
and output; a new generation of MBA-trained financiers is more likely to focus on pricing,
marketing and profitability).
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Current Account
Merchandise trade - This is trade in physical goods such as computers and automobiles.
Services - This is trade in invisible or intangible goods.
Income - These are one-sided transactions such as government grants, pension payments, and
private gifts.
Current Transfers
How do you fix a country with a large CA deficit?
Encouraging people to buy local product
Attempt to devaluate currency to make imported products more expensive and exports more
attractive to overseas buyer
Broader expenditure reduction policies reducing aggregate demand
Capital Account
Sale and purchase of capital assets and non- produced or non-financial assets.
The Financial Account
This is the right-hand side of the governments budget constraint.
The financial account is a record of capital flows between residents of a country and the rest of
the world.
One way to break down capital flows is by the type of transaction.
There are two main types of capital flows:
1. Direct investment: When residents of a country acquire shares in a foreign business with the
intent of exercising management control. This is typically defined as purchasing 10 percent of a
firms stock.
2. Portfolio investment: Investment without the intention of exercising management control.
Statistical Discrepancy (variance)
Theres going to be some omissions and mis-recorded transactionsso we use a plug figure to
get things to balance.
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Transactions involving goods and services appear in the current account of the balance of
payments, while international sales or purchases of assets appear in the financial account.
Any current account deficit must be matched by an equal surplus in the other two accounts of the
balance of payments, and any current account surplus by a deficit somewhere else.
International asset transactions carried out by central banks are included in the financial account.
Poverty defined as whether households or individuals have enough resources or abilities today
to meet their needs;
Inequality in the distribution of income, consumption or other attributes across the population;
Vulnerability, defined as the probability or risk today of being in poverty or falling deeper into
poverty in the future.
Measuring the GAP
Measurements require data
Data is based on the formal economy
Ignores much unpaid, subsistence and informal work
Two indicators are commonly used:
- GNI
- GDP
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
Value of goods and services produced in a country over a year.
Divided by the population to give a per capita value which is converted to US$ to enable
comparisons
GNI
Gross National Income
Like GDP but also includes income from overseas investments. As such is a better measure than
GDP
Like GDP it is given as a per capita value
The Human Development Index (HDI)
Composite index that measures a countrys average achievements in three basic aspects of
human development: health, knowledge, and a decent standard of living
Health is measured by life expectancy at birth
Knowledge is measured by a combination of the adult literacy rate and the combined primary,
secondary and tertiary gross enrollment ratio
Standard of living - by GDP per capita (PPP US$)
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6. Individual countries can try to meet the consumption needs of their citizens without trade by
producing everything their population need. Alternatively, they can specialize in the production of a
few commodities and (resign of/ trade for) commodities they do not produce. Even if there were no
differences between countries, specializing and trading would still make sense if there were
important economies of (size / scale) in production. And even if there was no advantage to largescale production, countries could still benefit from trade as long as tastes and preferences (differed /
were the same).
7. If a country imports steel, then the imposition of a tariff on steel
a. would have the same efficiency effects as the imposition of a quota on steel input
b. will necessarily lead to reduced domestic supply of steel as higher steel prices production
c. will reduce the volume of steel products
d. is likely to reduce the volume of exports in general if foreigner retaliate by import quotas of their
own.
8. Many countries do not have unrestricted free trade. Rather tariffs and (subsidies/NTBs) are often
imposed to restrict (exports/imports) and export (quotas/subsidies) are often used to promote
exports. Tariffs reduce the quantity of exports by raising their (volume/price), while quotas
decrease the (price/volume) of imports by limiting their (size/quantity). Either a tariff on VERs
be used to achieve the same reduction in imports, but the WTO now suggest using (tariffs/VERs) as
the only acceptable trade measures.
9. Traditional justifications for trade restriction include the (import-substituting/exportsubstituting) industrialization argument and the (adult/infant) industrialization argument and the
______-industri (adult / infant) argument. In the high performance Asian economies it often
includes (export-oriented industrialization/coping with economic dualism) argument.
b. 20-40 employees
c. Less than 10 employees
23. In Finland power distance is
a. High
b. Low
c.
24. Which of the following theory fits this sentence MEDCs keep LEDCs poor as they owe
debt repayments. TNCs main source income (from MEDCs) power keep labour costs cheap
and threat of withdrawal
a. Modernization theory
b. Dependency theory
c. Poverty cycle
d. Core-periphery model
25. Most of the consumption Gini indexes range from
a. 20 to 50
b. 70 to 100
c. 25 to 55
d. 30 to 60
26. World prices are only price of
a. Transaction realized on properly big international markets
b. Including majority operation, transaction accounted in convertible currencies
c. Transaction proceed occasionally and including exclusive operation
d. Transaction accounted in convertible currencies and proceed occasionally
27. The ability to redesign products and production processes to use less of inexpensive raw
material is called
a. Substitution
b. New technology
c. Conservation
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c. 1 winter of 2005
2 food
d. 1 winter of 2007
2 oil prices
3 biofuels
3 energy
3 metal
30. A short term BoPs deficit is not a problem, but if you have a deficit of over ________ then
it is a problem if you rely on Capital flows.
a. 3% of GDP
b. 6% of GDP
c. 10% of GDP
d. 9% of GDP
31 World Bank figures show that those in the least developed countries only save
___________1 of their income compared to ___________2 in the most developed countries.
a. 1 10 %
2 25%
b. 1 10%
2 50%
c. 1 5%
2 20%
d. 1
2 25%
50%
32. The probability or risk of being in poverty falling deeper into poverty in the future is
called
a. Inequality
b. Poverty
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c. Vulnerability
d. Survivability
33. Range of goods evaluated in world prices is ????????????
a. Narrower than range of goods produced in all states of the world
b. Wider than range of goods produced in all states of the world
c. The same than range of goods produced in all states of the world
d. Very small
34. Havana cigar is an _____________1 and IBM computer is _____________2
a. 1 standardized good
2 individualized good
b. 1 individualized good
2 individualized good
c. 1 non-trade good
d. 1 mass good
2 standardized good
2 individualized good
around 70%
around 80%
around 60%
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around 90%
38. The LEDC countries have the worst income distribution, with ______1 of their countrys
people surviving on __________2 of income, whilst a wealthy elite ____________3 gets around
__________4 of national income
a. 1
20% 2 5-6%
3 10% 4 30%
b. 1
50% 2 1-2%
3 20%
c. 1 10%
2 1-2%
d. 1 10%
2 1-2%
3 10%
3 50%
4 25%
4 40%
4 30%
TRUE OR FALSE
1. Tariff quota means that imports entering the market within quota will face lower . higher
duties will be applied to products imported outside the quota T
2. A specific tariff on shirts would reduce the volume of imported shirts by specifying the
quantity of shirts that can be imported F
3. A quota restriction will create a wedge between the domestic and world prices that reduces
the potential gains from trade T
4. Countervailing duties are imposed to offset a subsidy given to the producer of the imported
good T
5. An economy with a high ratio of land to labour will be relatively better at producing.
Economy with a low ratio of labour to land T
6. Local content requirements is a regulation that requires that some specific fraction of a final
good be produced domestically T
7. Countrys balance of payments is seldom placed within economic analysis context
(international capital flows, national accounts, monetary policy) F
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8. A case when an agricultural country may make use of outdated farming methods to generate
its own food supply while a huge portion of the land is used by large international
corporation to farm crops for export, using the most advanced technology corporation, can
be termed dualism in economy T
9. Money spent by foreign tourists are BOP receipts T
10. New overseas investments are BOP receipts T
11. If exports exceed imports, The Balance of Trade is negative F
12. Negative BOP (debit, increase in an assets) means that reserves rose T
13. U.S. residents spend about $24 billion on imports from Scandinavian nations each.T
14. In 2009, 12 billion of the EU budget (totaling 133.8 billion) went on projects to
competitiveness T
15. In Finland anyone is free to practice a trade of start a business T
16. According to the Global Competitiveness Report 2010-2011, Singapore leads the most
competitive economy in the world F
17. Prices of standardized goods are more stable than prices of individualized goods F
18. Protection policy of countries is deforming the equilibrium world price T
19. Not each price deserves name of world price in international trade T
20. Price affects incomes of companies, as incomes depend on level and dynamics of .T
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