Financial Derivatives Risk Management Tool

Study Note - 7
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES AS A TOOL FOR RISK MANAGEMENT

This Study Note includes
7.1 Forward & Futures
7.2 Options
7.3 Swaps & Swaption
7.4 Interest Rate Derivatives
Derivatives can be seen as bets based on the behaviour of the underlying basic assets. A derivative can
also be regarded as a kind of asset, the ownership of which entitles the holder to receive from the seller
a cash payment or possibly a series of cash payments at some point in the future, depending in some
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instances, instead of a cash payment another asset might be delivered instead. For example, a basic
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owner of the option can demand payment, based on the value of the payoff function.
Derivatives are used for a variety of purposes. They can be used to reduce risk by allowing the investor
to hedge an investment or exposure, and hence function as a sort of insurance policy against adverse
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oil remains low, then the option is not exercised and the oil is bought at the current price in the market,
while if the price rises above the strike, then the option is exercised to buy oil at a below-market value.
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if an investor has reason to believe that the market is going to move in a particular way, then a larger
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But similarly, if the investment decision is wrong, the investor runs the risk of making a correspondingly
larger loss.
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its payoff function f(W6(t

its purchase price f0.
The most common types of derivatives are forwards, futures, swaps and options.
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combination of them.
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at the origination of the contract.
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Financial Derivatives as a Tool for Risk Management

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recognized by most market participants. Recent publicity of losses in derivative transactions casts some
doubt on the soundness of using derivatives. However, many have realized that properly managed
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derivatives uses is necessary and important to keep derivative markets growing and healthy.
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business risks at low transaction cost.

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lower costs. Put another way, they can create more complete markets to investors.
4. Financial derivative instruments play an important role in asset management due to their lower
transaction costs relative to the spot market instruments.

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asymmetries in tax and regulatory requirements across different countries, markets or securities.
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with suitable degree.
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Despite the recent adverse press they have received, derivative securities provide a number of useful
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derivative securities are also capable of dramatically increasing risk.

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contracts, one party agrees to deliver a commodity or security at some time in the future, in return for
an agreement from the other party to pay an agreed upon price on delivery. The former is the seller of
the futures contract, while the latter is the buyer.
This chapter explores the pricing of futures contracts on a number of different assets - perishable
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and trading restrictions on this relationship and on futures prices. Finally, the chapter reviews some of
the evidence on the pricing of futures contracts.
Futures, Forward and Option Contracts
Futures, forward and option contracts are all viewed as derivative contracts because they derive
their value from an underlying asset. There are however some key differences in the workings of these
contracts.
How a Futures Contract works
There are two parties to every futures contract - the seller of the contract, who agrees to deliver the
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and take delivery of the asset.
Cash Flows on Futures Contracts
Buyers
Payoffs
Futures
Price
Spot Price on
Underlying Asset
Sellers
Payoffs
While a futures contract may be used by a buyer or seller to hedge other positions in the same asset,
price changes in the asset after the futures contract agreement is made provide gains to one party at
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of the buyer.
Futures versus Forward Contracts

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require that the parties to the contract settle up until the expiration of the contract. Settling up usually
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every period, with the winners account being credited with the difference, while the losers account
is reduced. This process is called PDUNLQJWRWKHPDUNHW. While the net settlement is the same under the
two approaches, the timing of the settlements is different and can lead to different prices for the two
types of contracts. The difference is illustrated in the following example, using a futures contract in gold.
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Assume that the spot price of gold is $400, and that a three-period futures contract on gold has a price
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and forward contract over the next 3 time periods, as the price of the gold futures contract changes.
Time
Period
Gold Futures
Contract
Buyers CF:
Forward

$430
3
Net

$0
$0
$10
$10
Sellers CF:
Forward
$0
$0
-$10
-$10
Buyers CF:
Futures
$5
$10
-$5
$10
Sellers CF:
Futures
-$5
-$10
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or losses are recorded each period.
Futures and Forward Contracts versus Option Contracts
While the difference between a futures and a forward contract may be subtle, the difference between
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call option and to sell the asset at the strike price in the case of a put option. Consequently the buyer
of an option will exercise the option only if it is in his or her best interests to do so, (i.e., if the asset price
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seller and should not have to pay an up front price for the futures contract itself. Figure summarizes the
differences in payoffs on the two types of contracts in a payoff diagram.
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Traded Futures Contracts - Institutional Details

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contract, an exchange
acts as an intermediary and guarantor, and also standardizes and regulates how the contract is created
and traded.
Buyer of Contract
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1.
Standardization
Traded futures contracts are standardized to ensure that contracts can be easily traded and
priced. The standardization occurs at a number of levels.
(a) Asset Quality and Description: The type of asset that can be covered by the contract is clearly
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(b)
2.
allows for the delivery of 110,000 board feet of lumber per contract. A treasury bond futures
contract traded on the Chicago Board of Trade requires the delivery of bonds with a face
value of $100,000 with a maturity of greater than 15 years .
Asset Quantity: Each traded futures contract on an asset provides for the GHOLYHU\RIDVSHFLHG
quantity of the asset. For instance, a gold futures contract traded on the Chicago Board of
trade requires the delivery of 100 ounces of gold atthe contracts expiration.The purpose of
the standardization is to ensure that the futures contracts on an asset are perfect substitutes
for each other. This allows for liquidity and also allows parties to a futures contract to get out
of positions easily.
Price Limits
Futures exchanges generally impose price movement limits on most futures contracts. For
instance, the daily price movement limit on orange juice futures contract on the New York Board
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the contract drops or increases by the amount of the price limit, trading is generally suspended
for the day, though the exchange reserves the discretion to reopen trading in the contract later
in the day. The rationale for introducing price limits is to prevent panic buying and selling on an
asset, based upon faulty information or rumors, and to prevent overreaction to real information.
By allowing investors more time to react to extreme information, it is argued, the price reaction will
be more rational and reasoned.

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One of the unique features of futures contracts is that the positions of both buyers and sellers of
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account even if he or she does not trade. This process is called marking to market.

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are required to deposit funds in a margin account. The amount that has to be deposited at the
time of the contract is called the initial margin. As prices move subsequently, the contracts are
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allowed to withdraw any funds in the margin account in excess of the initial margin.
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Quick and low cost transactions

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(ii)
Price Discovery Function
The pricing of futures contracts incorporates a set of information based on which buyers/sellers or
producers/ consumers can get a fair idea of demand and supply of the stock/commodity and
consequently the futures spot price. This is known as the price discovery function of the futures.
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the stock/ commoditys price determination process.
(iv) Protection
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(v) Flexibility
With index futures, one can increase or decrease exposure to large capitalization stocks with a
single trade, thereby saving huge transaction costs, time etc. by avoiding placing number of
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A key element of exchange-traded futures is that parties to the contract are not exposed to the
risk of counterparty default. Futures exchanges have perfected systems of margins to protect
market participants.
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A futures contract can be entered into by deploying just 10% of the total value of the contract,
thereby providing the buyer/seller the huge leverage.
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seller to every buyer and the buyer to every seller: in other words, the central counterparty.
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expected overnight movement in price.

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We have seen above that the clearing corporation of the stock exchange acts as a legal counterparty
to every transaction effected in the derivatives segment. Thus, if the party who loses fails to pay up,
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it can meet these commitments, the exchange levies margins on players in the Derivatives segment.
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derivative security trading in the market. The loss may or may not occur but the margin so calculated
should be deposited. The formula applied is 3.5 times daily volatility in case of stock futures and 3 times
daily volatility in case of index futures. Volatilities are updated on the exchange website every day and
can be reviewed by players. Secondly, the very advantage of futures over forwards is the availability
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% of the total value of the contract.
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deposit is represents the likely loss that a buyer or seller of the futures contract may incur on his position
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taking into account the historic volatility of the underlying contract.

Several popular methods are used to compute initial margins. They include the SPAN (a grid simulation
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closes out the investors position by entering a reverse trade in the investors account.
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used for other futures contracts.
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margin is the lower bound for the acceptable level of margin. Touching the maintenance margin level
triggers a margin call.
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Nowadays, most brokers do not permit maintenance margin facility. Absence of maintenance margin
facility, means, even if a single rupee fall in the stock price would trigger a margin call, as the margin
account would get depleted. This is represented by 0% maintenance margin. Obviously maintenance
margin cannot theoretically exceed initial margin limit.
Example:
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keep ` DV D EHQFKPDUN IRU GHFLGLQJ ZKHWKHU D PDUJLQ FDOO KDV WR EH PDGH ,I WKH PDUJLQ
account balance falls below `RQDQ\GD\PDUJLQFDOOZRXOGEHPDGH,QVXFKDVVFHQDULR
6DQGLSKDVWROOXSKLVPDUJLQDFFRXQWEDFNWRLQLWLDOPDUJLQOHYHORI`:HFDQVHHFKDQJHLQ
PDUJLQDFFRXQWLQWKHWDEOHIRUYDULRXVSULFHOHYHOVRI6$,/
Table
Opening Balance
New Price next day
&KDQJHLQ0DUJLQ$F
0DUJLQ$F%DODQFH
%HORZ0DLQWHQDQFH
0DUJLQ"

995
-5000
-3000
-1000
+ 15000 + 19000
Yes
Yes
No
0DUJLQ&DOO"
2SHQLQJSULFH &KDQJH

1000
0

No

1005
+1000

No

1015
+3000

No
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
No
100 &KDQJHLQWKHSULFH0DLQWHQDQFHPDUJLQOLPLW

+5000

No
No

Example:
/HWXVXVHWKHDERYHH[DPSOHEXWH[DPLQHIRUYDULRXVOHYHOVRIPDLQWHQDQFHPDUJLQKRZPDUJLQFDOOV
JHWWULJJHUHG)RUDSHUFHQWDJHRIPDLQWHQDQFHPDUJLQZHPXVWUVWNQRZWKHWULJJHUOHYHOLHWKDW
level of margin a/c balance which will trigger a margin call. This is generally equal to the value of the
contract multiplied by the maintenance margin level except for 0%, when no such facility is provided.
Absence of maintenance margin facility is represented by 0% meaning even a rupee fall in the price
would trigger a margin call.
Table
0DLQWHQDQFH0DUJLQ/LPLW
Trigger level
Opening Balance
New Price next day
&KDQJHLQ0DUJLQ$F
0%

999

3%
6000

965

5%
10000

-6000
+14000
No
No
+13000
%HORZ0DLQWHQDQFH0DUJLQ"
Yes
No
0DUJLQ&DOO"
Yes
No
2SHQLQJSULFH &KDQJHLQ0DUJLQ$F 100 &KDQJHLQWKHSULFH
0DUJLQ$F%DODQFH

16000

1000
0

No
No
10%
0

-9600
+10400
No
No
0DUNLQJWR0DUNHW
Once a future is bought / sold and a contract is issued, its value with respect to market price of futures
XFWXDWHVRQDGDLO\EDVLV7KLVUHQGHUVWKHRZQHUOLDEOHWRDGYHUVHFKDQJHVLQYDOXHDQGFUHDWHVD
FUHGLWULVNWRWKHH[FKDQJH,IWKHGDLO\XFWXDWLRQVDUHODUJHWKHQZHKDYHDZRUVHVLWXDWLRQWRKDQGOH
,$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17
To minimize this risk, the exchange demands that contract owners pay what is known as margin. The
amount of margin changes each day, involving movements of cash handled by the exchanges
clearing house.
At the end of every trading day, the contract is marked to its closing market price of the futures contract.
,IWKHFORVLQJSULFHRIIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWLVQRWJLYHQRQHFDQXVHWKHFORVLQJSULFHVRIWKHXQGHUO\LQJIRU
WKLVSXUSRVH,IWKHWUDGHULVRQWKHZLQQLQJVLGHRIDGHDOKLVFRQWUDFWLQFUHDVHVLQYDOXHWKDWGD\DQG
the exchange becomes liable to the trader, and his margin account is credited with the differential
amount. On the other hand, if he is on the losing side, he may face a margin call, from the exchange
/ broker, depending on the fall in margin account balance and in this case he is liable to the exchange
IRUWKHGLIIHUHQFH,QWKLVZD\HDFKDFFRXQWLVFUHGLWHGRUGHELWHGDFFRUGLQJWRWKHVHWWOHPHQWSULFH
RQDGDLO\EDVLV7KLVLVNQRZQDV0DUNLQJWR0DUNHW
Whenever the margin account is short of the required amount, margin call is made and the buyer or
VHOOHULVH[SHFWHGWROOXSWKHDFFRXQWXSWRWKHLQLWLDOPDUJLQOHYHO$QGZKHQHYHUWKHPDUJLQDFFRXQW
is above the initial margin limit, then the buyer/seller can theoretically withdraw the entire amount
above the initial margin limit on a daily basis. Though, the terms of withdrawal may differ for various
clients in practice, based on his/her credit worthiness, past performance, and relationship with the
broker.
Concept:
$OO IXWXUHV FRQWUDFWV DUH PDUNHG WR WKH PDUNHW GDLO\ WKDW LV DOO SURWV DQG ORVVHV RQ D FRQWUDFW DUH
FUHGLWHGDQGGHELWHGWRHDFKLQYHVWRUVDFFRXQWHYHU\WUDGLQJGD\$OPRVWDOOIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWV
DUHVHWWOHGE\RIIVHWUDWKHUWKDQGHOLYHU\WKDWLVKROGHUVOLTXLGDWHDSRVLWLRQE\DUUDQJLQJDQRIIVHWWLQJ
transaction.
Example:
&RQVLGHU5DPZKRLVRSWLPLVWLFRQSULFHULVHRI5,/SXUFKDVLQJRQHIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWRI5,/ZKHQIXWXUHV
traded at `$QDQGEHLQJSHVVLPLVWLFEHOLHYHG5,/SULFHVJRLQJIRUZDUGZRXOGIDOODQGKHQFHKH
VROGRQHFRQWUDFWRI5,/DWWKHVDPHIXWXUHVSULFH(DFKFRQWUDFWHQWDLOHGVKDUHVRIWKHXQGHUO\LQJ
HTXLW\VKDUHVRI5,/,QLWLDOPDUJLQRIZDVDSSOLFDEOHIRUERWK5DPDQG$QDQG%RWKKDGDIDFLOLW\RI
PDLQWHQDQFHPDUJLQRI5XOHVIRUFHERWKRIWKHPWRZLWKGUDZRIWKHH[FHVVRYHULQLWLDOPDUJLQ
0DUJLQFDOOVZKHQHYHUPDGHDUHSURPSWO\SDLGE\ERWK/HWXVH[DPLQHWKHSURFHVVRIPDUNLQJWR
PDUNHWXQGHUWKHDSSOLFDEOHFRQGLWLRQVH[SODLQHG$VVXPHQH[WWKUHHGD\VWKHSULFHVRI5,/ZHUH
960, and 1015 respectively.
Table
5DP>/RQJ@
Date & Price

0DLQWHQDQFH
0DUJLQ/LPLW
RIYDOXHRI&RQWUDFW
Details
Amount in `
Day l
Opening
Balance
$QDQG>6KRUW@
RIYDOXHRI&RQWUDFW
Amount
Details
,QLWLDO0DUJLQ
10% of
10,000 10% of
3URW/RVV
7RGD\>3ULFH@
FRQWUDFW [
FRQWUDFWV [
Paid
Closing Balance
[[
shares/contract
No margin call because

the balance is not below
maintenance margin limit
[[

Amount
shares/contract
Balance before
withdrawals
10,000

$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17 ,9
Closing Balance
Amount in `
Since account balance is

below initial margin limit
of 10000, no withdrawals
permitted
Details
3URW :LWKGUDZQ +DOI RI

1,000
11,000

Amount
Details
Amount
Day 2
3URW/RVV
7RGD\>3ULFH@
FRQWUDFW [
0DUJLQ&DOO3DLG
To bring balance back

to initial margin (since
Balance < maintenance
Closing Balance
Amount in `
FRQWUDFWV [
shares/contract
Balance before margin call
shares/contract
6,000 Balance
before
withdrawal
4,000 3URW :LWKGUDZQ +DOI RI

PDUJLQRI
10,000
Details
3URW/RVV
7RGD\>3ULFH@
3URW:LWKGUDZQ
13,000
1,500
11,500
Amount
Day 3

Details
Amount

FRQWUDFW [
5,500
FRQWUDFW [
before
15,500
%DODQFH EHIRUH 0DUJLQ
6,000
0DUJLQ &DOO 3DLG 7R EULQJ
4,000
shares/contract
Balance
withdrawals
+DOIRI
Closing Balance
5DPV*DLQ `1500
shares/contract
Call
Balance back to initial

margin (since Balance <
maintenance margin of

10,000
2U[[ `1500
$QDQGV*DLQ `1500
2U[[ `1500

9DULDWLRQPDUJLQ
,IDPDUJLQFDOOLVPDGHDGGLWLRQDOPRQH\LVGHSRVLWHGE\WKHWUDGHULQYHVWRUWREULQJWKHDFFRXQWWR
WKHOHYHORILQLWLDOPDUJLQ7KLVDPRXQWLVFDOOHGDVWKHYDULDWLRQPDUJLQ,QVKRUWYDULDWLRQPDUJLQLVWKH
amount needed to restore the initial margin once a margin call has been issued. The variation margin
may change depending on how far the margin account has fallen below the maintenance margin
level.
Concept
,QLWLDOPDUJLQLVWKHDPRXQWDEX\HURUVHOOHURIIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWVSD\LQLWLDOO\0DLQWHQDQFHPDUJLQLV
the lower bound for the acceptable level of margin i.e. level up to which the buyer or seller would not
be required to replenish his margin account, owing to movement in price. Once the margin account
balance goes below the maintenance margin level, a margin call is triggered. Variation margin is the
amount needed to restore the margin account back to the initial margin level once a margin call has
,$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17
been issued. The variation margin may change depending on how far the margin account has fallen
below the maintenance margin level.
3ULFH/LPLWV(IIHFWVRQ/LTXLGLW\
The logic of price limits is that they act as a brake on the market and prevent panic buying or selling.
,PSOLFLWLQWKHLUXVHLVWKHDVVXPSWLRQWKDWWUDGLQJFDQVRPHWLPHVH[DFHUEDWHYRODWLOLW\DQGFDXVHSULFHV
WRVZLQJWRXQMXVWLDEO\KLJKRUORZOHYHOV7KHSUREOHPZLWKSULFHOLPLWVKRZHYHULVWKDWWKH\GRQRW
discriminate between rational price movements (caused by shifts in the underlying demand or supply
RIDFRPPRGLW\DQGLUUDWLRQDORQHV&RQVHTXHQWO\SULFHOLPLWVFDQOLPLWOLTXLGLW\ZKHQLQYHVWRUVQHHG
it the most and slow down the process of price adjustment.

An interesting way to frame the question on price limits is to ask whether you would be willing to pay
more or less for an asset that has price limits associated with trading than for an asset without those price
OLPLWV7KHWUDGHRIIEHWZHHQORZHUYRODWLOLW\IURPUHVWULFWLRQVRQWUDGLQJDQGOHVVOLTXLGLW\ZLOOGHWHUPLQH

KRZ\RXDQVZHUWKHTXHVWLRQ@
3ULFLQJRI)XWXUHV&RQWUDFWV
0RVWIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWVFDQEHSULFHGRQWKHEDVLVRIDUELWUDJHLHDSULFHRUUDQJHRISULFHVFDQEH
derived at which investors will not be able to create positions involving the futures contract and the
XQGHUO\LQJDVVHWWKDWPDNHULVNOHVVSURWVZLWKQRLQLWLDOLQYHVWPHQW7KHIROORZLQJVHFWLRQVH[DPLQHWKH
pricing relationships for a number of futures contracts.

(a) Perishable Commodities
Perishable commodities offer the exception to the rule that futures contracts are priced on the basis of
arbitrage, since the commodity has to be storable for arbitrage to be feasible. On a perishable futures
FRQWUDFWWKHIXWXUHVSULFHZLOOEHLQXHQFHGE\
LWKHH[SHFWHGVSRWSULFHRIWKHXQGHUO\LQJFRPPRGLW\
,I WKH VSRW SULFH RQ WKH XQGHUO\LQJ FRPPRGLW\ LV H[SHFWHG WR LQFUHDVH EHIRUH WKH H[SLUDWLRQ RI WKH
IXWXUHVFRQWUDFWWKHIXWXUHVSULFHVZLOOEHJUHDWHUWKDQWKHFXUUHQWVSRWSULFHRIWKHFRPPRGLW\,IWKH
spot price is expected to decrease, the futures price will be lower than the spot price.
LLDQ\ULVNSUHPLXPDVVRFLDWHGWDNLQJWKHIXWXUHVSRVLWLRQ
Since there is a buyer and a seller on a futures contract, the size and the direction of the risk premium
will be vary from case to case and will depend upon whether the buyer is viewed as providing a service
WRWKHVHOOHURUYLFHYHUVD,QDQDJULFXOWXUDOIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWZKHUHIDUPHUVRUSURGXFHUVDUHWKHSULPDU\
sellers of futures contracts and individual investors are the buyers, it can be argued that the latter are
SURYLGLQJDVHUYLFHWRWKHIRUPHUDQGWKXVVKRXOGEHUHZDUGHG,QWKLVVFHQDULRWKHIXWXUHVSULFHZLOOEH
lower than the expected spot price.
)XWXUHVSULFH 6SRW3ULFH([SHFWHG5LVN3UHPLXP
,Q WKLV W\SH RI UHODWLRQVKLS EHWZHHQ IXWXUHV DQG VSRW SULFHV SULFHV DUH VDLG WR H[KLELW QRUPDO
backwardation.
,QDIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWZKHUHEX\HUVRIWKHIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWDUHLQGXVWULDOXVHUVDJRRGH[DPSOHZRXOGEH
+HUVKH\VDFKRFRODWHPDQXIDFWXUHUEX\LQJVXJDUIXWXUHVWRORFNLQIDYRUDEOHSULFHVDQGWKHVHOOHUVDUH
individual investors, the buyers are being provided the service and the sellers could demand a reward,
OHDGLQJWRDULVNSUHPLXPWKDWLVSRVLWLYH,QWKLVFDVHWKHIXWXUHVSULFHZLOOEHJUHDWHUWKDQWKHH[SHFWHG
VSRWSULFHDVVXPLQJDWH[SHFWDWLRQVDQGIXWXUHVSULFHVDUHVDLGWRH[KLELWQRUPDOFRQWDQJR
,QPRVWPRGHUQFRPPRGLW\IXWXUHVPDUNHWVQHLWKHUVHOOHUVQRUEX\HUVDUHOLNHO\WREHGRPLQDWHGE\
XVHUVRUSURGXFHUVDQGWKHQHWEHQHWFDQDFFUXHWRHLWKHUEX\HUVRUVHOOHUVDQGWKHUHLVQRDSULRUL
$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17 ,11

UHDVRQWREHOLHYHWKDWULVNSUHPLXPVKDYHWREHSRVLWLYHRUQHJDWLYH,QIDFWLIEX\HUVDQGVHOOHUVDUH
ERWKVSHFXODWLQJRQWKHSULFHUDWKHUWKDQKHGJLQJRXWSXWRULQSXWQHHGVWKHQHWEHQHWFDQEH]HUR
OHDGLQJWRD]HURULVNSUHPLXP,QVXFKDFDVHWKHIXWXUHVSULFHVKRXOGEHHTXDOWRWKHH[SHFWHGVSRW
price.
These three possible scenarios for the futures price, relative to the expected spot price, are graphed
in Figure below. The empirical evidence from commodity futures markets is mixed. An early study by
Houthaker found that futures prices for commodities were generally lower than the expected spot
SULFHV D QGLQJ WKDW LV FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK D QRUPDO EDFNZDUGDWLRQ 7HOVHU DQG *UD\ KRZHYHU UHSRUW
contradictory evidence from the wheat and corn futures markets.
(b) Storable Commodities
The distinction between storable and perishable goods is that storable goods can be acquired at the
spot price and stored till the expiration of the futures contract, which is the practical equivalent of buying
a futures contract and taking delivery at expiration. Since the two approaches provide the same result,
in terms of having possession of the commodity at expiration, the futures contract, if priced right, should
cost the same as a strategy of buying and storing the commodity. The two additional costs of the latter
strategy are as follows.
L
6LQFH WKH FRPPRGLW\ KDV WR EH DFTXLUHG QRZ UDWKHU WKDQ DW H[SLUDWLRQ WKHUH LV DQ
DGGHGQDQFLQJFRVWDVVRFLDWHGZLWKERUURZLQJWKHIXQGVQHHGHGIRUWKHDFTXLVLWLRQQRZ
$GGHG,QWHUHVW&RVW (6SRWSULFH>,QWHUHVW5DWH/LIHRI)XWXUHVFRQWUDFW@
LL ,I WKHUH LV D VWRUDJH FRVW DVVRFLDWHG ZLWK VWRULQJ WKH FRPPRGLW\ XQWLO WKH H[SLUDWLRQ RI
WKH IXWXUHV FRQWUDFW WKLV FRVW KDV WR EH UHHFWHG LQ WKH VWUDWHJ\ DV ZHOO ,Q DGGLWLRQ WKHUH
PD\ EH D EHQHW WR KDYLQJ SK\VLFDO RZQHUVKLS RI WKH FRPPRGLW\ 7KLV EHQHW LV FDOOHG
WKH FRQYHQLHQFH \LHOG DQG ZLOO UHGXFH WKH IXWXUHV SULFH 7KH QHW VWRUDJH FRVW LV GHQHG WR
be the difference between the total storage cost and the convenience yield.
,I)LVWKHIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWSULFH6LVWKHVSRWSULFHULVWKHDQQXDOL]HGLQWHUHVWUDWHWLVWKHOLIHRIWKHIXWXUHV
FRQWUDFWDQGNLVWKHQHWDQQXDOVWRUDJHFRVWVDVDSHUFHQWDJHRIWKHVSRWSULFHIRUWKHFRPPRGLW\
the two equivalent strategies and their costs can be written as follows.
,$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17
Strategy 1: Buy the futures contract. Take delivery at expiration. Pay $F.
6WUDWHJ\%RUURZWKHVSRWSULFH6RIWKHFRPPRGLW\DQGEX\WKHFRPPRGLW\3D\WKHDGGLWLRQDOFRVWV
D ,QWHUHVWFRVW 6>Ut@
E &RVWRIVWRUDJHQHWRIFRQYHQLHQFH\LHOG 6NW
,IWKHWZRVWUDWHJLHVKDYHWKHVDPHFRVWV
6>Ut@6NW
6>UtNW@
F*
This is the basic arbitrage relationship between futures and spot prices. Any deviation from this arbitrage
relationship should provide an opportunity for arbitrage, i.e., a strategy with no risk and no initial
LQYHVWPHQWDQGIRUSRVLWLYHSURWV7KHVHDUELWUDJHRSSRUWXQLWLHVDUHGHVFULEHGLQ)LJXUH
This arbitrage is based upon several assumptions. First, investors are assumed to borrow and lend at
the same rate, which is the riskless rate. Second, when the futures contract is over priced, it is assumed
WKDWWKHVHOOHURIWKHIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWWKHDUELWUDJHXUFDQVHOOVKRUWRQWKHFRPPRGLW\DQGWKDWKH
can recover, from the owner of the commodity, the storage costs that are saved as a consequence.
To the extent that these assumptions are unrealistic, the bounds on prices within which arbitrage is not
feasible expand. Assume, for instance, that the rate of borrowing is rb and the rate of lending is ra, and
that short seller cannot recover any of the saved storage costs and has to pay a transactions cost of ts.
The futures price will then fall within a bound.
(S- tsUa t < F*< S((1+ rb t + kt
,IWKHIXWXUHVSULFHIDOOVRXWVLGHWKLVERXQGWKHUHLVDSRVVLELOLW\RIDUELWUDJHDQGWKLVLVLOOXVWUDWHGDIWHU
EHORZJXUH
) 6UtNW
,I)!)
Time
,I))
Action
&DVKRZV
1. Buy futures contract
/HQGPRQH\DWULVNIUHHUDWH
6
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6Ut
7DNHGHOLYHU\RIIXWXUHVFRQWUDFW
)
6UW
5HWXUQERUURZHGVWRFNV
Now: 1. Sell futures contract
3. Buy spot commodity
-S
&ROOHFWGLYLGHQGVRQVWRFNV
6\t-1
%RUURZVSRWSULFHDWULVNIUHHU
At t:
'HOLYHU\RQIXWXUHVFRQWUDFW
3D\EDFNORDQ
NCF =
&DVKRZV
Action
6HOOVKRUWVWRFNVLQWKHLQGH[
Collect storage costs
F-S((1+r) - kt) > 0
+Skt
t
S((1+r) + kt) - F > 0
Key intputs :
) 7KHRULWLFDOIXWXUHVSULFH
) $FWXDOIXWXUHVSULFH
6 6SRWSULFHRIFRPPRGLW\
U 5LVNOHVVUDWHRILQWHUHVWDQQXDOL]HG
W 7LPHRIH[SLUDWLRQRQWKHIXWXUHVFRQWUDFW
N $QQXDOL]HGFDUU\LQJFRVWQHWRIFRQYHQLHQFH\LHOGDVRIVSRWSULFH
Key assumptions:
1. The investor can lend and borrow at the riskless rate.
7KHUHDUHQRWUDQVDFWLRQVFRVWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKEX\LQJRUVHOOLQJVKRUWWKHFRPPRGLW\
3. The short seller can collect all storage costs saved because of the short selling.
6WRUDEOH&RPPRGLW\)XWXUHV3ULFLQJDQG$UELWUDJH
$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17 ,13

0RGLHG$VVXPSWLRQV
,QYHVWRUFDQERUURZDWUb (rb!UDQGOHQGDWUa (raU
7KHWUDQVDFWLRQVFRVWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKVHOOLQJVKRUWLVWs (where tsLVWKHGROODUWUDQVDFWLRQVFRVW
3. The short seller does not collect any of the storage costs saved by the short selling.
Fh 6UbtNW
F1 6WsUat
,I)!)h*
Time
,I))1*
&DVKRZV
Action
3. Buy spot commodity

1. Collect commodity from storage
0
S
-S
- Skt
3. Pay back loan
-S(1+rb

At t:

%RUURZVSRWSULFHDWUb
Fh

6HOOVKRUWRQFRPPRGLW\

/HQGPRQH\DWUa
0
6
1. Collect on loan

t

Collect storage costs
8SSHUOLPLWIRUDUELWUDJHERXQGRQIXWXUHVSULFHV
-(S - ts
(S-tsUat
)
0
(S-ts)(1+ra)t - F > 0
F-S((1+rb)t - kt) > 0
NCF
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Action
)1 /RZHUOLPLWIRUDUELWUDJHERXQGRQIXWXUHVSULFHV
6WRUDEOHFRPPRGLW\IXWXUHVSULFLQJDQGDUELWUDJHZLWKPRGLHGDVVXPSWLRQV
(c) Stock Index Futures
)XWXUHVRQVWRFNLQGLFHVKDYHEHFRPHDQLPSRUWDQWDQGJURZLQJSDUWRIPRVWQDQFLDOPDUNHWV7RGD\
\RXFDQEX\RUVHOOIXWXUHVRQWKH'RZ-RQHVWKH6 3WKH1$6'$4DQGWKH9DOXH/LQHLQGLFHV
An index future entitles the buyer to any appreciation in the index over and above the index futures price
and the seller to any depreciation in the index from the same benchmark. To evaluate the arbitrage
pricing of an index future, consider the following strategies.
6WUDWHJ\6HOOVKRUWRQWKHVWRFNVLQWKHLQGH[IRUWKHGXUDWLRQRIWKHLQGH[IXWXUHVFRQWUDFW,QYHVWWKH
proceeds at the riskless rate. (This strategy requires that the owners of the index be compensated for
WKHGLYLGHQGVWKH\ZRXOGKDYHUHFHLYHGRQWKHVWRFNV
6WUDWHJ\6HOOWKHLQGH[IXWXUHVFRQWUDFW%RWKVWUDWHJLHVUHTXLUHWKHVDPHLQLWLDOLQYHVWPHQWKDYHWKH
same risk and should provide the same proceeds. Again, if S is the spot price of the index, F is the futures
SULFHV\LVWKHDQQXDOL]HGGLYLGHQG\LHOGRQWKHVWRFNDQGULVWKHULVNOHVVUDWHWKHFDVKRZVIURPWKH
two contracts at expiration can be written.
) 6U\t
,IWKHIXWXUHVSULFHGHYLDWHVIURPWKLVDUELWUDJHSULFHWKHUHVKRXOGEHDQRSSRUWXQLW\IURPDUELWUDJH
This is illustrated in Figure below.

This arbitrage is conditioned on several assumptions. First, it, like the commodity futures arbitrage, assumes
that investors can lend and borrow at the riskless rate. Second, it ignores transactions costs on both
buying stock and selling short on stocks. Third, it assumes that the dividends paid on the stocks in the
LQGH[DUHNQRZQZLWKFHUWDLQW\DWWKHVWDUWRIWKHSHULRG,IWKHVHDVVXPSWLRQVDUHXQUHDOLVWLFWKHLQGH[
futures arbitrage will be feasible only if prices fall outside a band, the size of which will depend upon
the seriousness of the violations in the assumptions.
,$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17
Assume that investors can borrow money at rb and lend money at ra and that the transactions costs of
buying stock is tc and selling short is ts. The band within which the futures price must stay can be written as:
(S- tsUa - yt < F*< (S + tcUb - yt
The arbitrage that is possible if the futures price strays outside this band is illustrated in Figure below.
,QSUDFWLFHRQHRIWKHLVVXHVWKDW\RXKDYHWRIDFWRULQLVWKHVHDVRQDOLW\RIGLYLGHQGVVLQFHWKHGLYLGHQGV
paid by stocks tend to be higher in some months than others. Figure below graphs out dividends paid
DVDSHUFHQWRIWKH6 3LQGH[RQ86VWRFNVLQE\PRQWKRIWKH\HDU
'LYLGHQG<LHOGVE\0RQWKRI<HDU
7KXV'LYLGHQG<LHOGVVHHPWRSHDNLQ)HEUXDU\0D\$XJXVW 1RYHPEHU
) 6U\t
,I)!)
,I))
&DVKRZV
Action
&DVKRZV
Action
3. Buy stocks in inded
-S
6
6\t-1 &ROOHFWRQORDQ
1. Sell futures contract
%RUURZVSRWSULFHRILQGH[DWULVNIUHHU
6Ut
)
3D\EDFNORDQ
6UW
6>\t@
F-S(1+r-y)t > 0
S(1+r-y)t -F > 0
Outputs :
6 6SRWOHYHORILQGH[
\ 'LYLGHQG\LHOGRYHUOLIHWLPHRIIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWDVRIFXUUHQWLQGH[OHYHO
Assumptions
7KHUHDUHQRWUDQVDFWLRQVFRVWVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKEX\LQJRUVHOOLQJVKRUWVWRFNV
3. Dividends are known with certainty.
6WRFN,QGH[)XWXUHV3ULFLQJDQG$UELWUDJH
$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17 ,15

Assumptions
,QYHVWRUFDQERUURZDWUb (rb!UDQGOHQGDWUa (raU
Transactions cost associated with selling short is ts (where ts LV WKH GROODU WUDQVDFWLRQV FRVW DQG WKH
transactions cost associated with buying the stock tc.
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Fh Uper limit for arbitrage bound on futures prices

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(d) Treasury Bond Futures
The treasury bond futures traded on the CBOT require the delivery of any government bond with a
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of different maturities and coupons will have different prices, the CBOT has a procedure for adjusting
the price of the bond for its characteristics. The conversion factor itself is fairly simple to compute and
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PV of Bond
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= $111.55
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the coupon rate increases and with the maturity of the delivered bond.
The Delivery Option and the Wild Card Play
This feature of treasury bond futures, i.e., that any one of a menu of treasury bonds can be delivered to
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the cheapest bond on the menu, after adjusting for the conversion factor, will be delivered. This delivery
option has to be priced into the futures contract.
There is an additional option embedded in treasury bond futures contracts that arises from the fact that
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The valuation of a treasury bond futures contract follows the same lines as the valuation of a stock
index future, with the coupons of the treasury bond replacing the dividend yield of the stock index. The
theoretical value of a futures contract should be
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where,

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These arbitrage opportunities are illustrated in Figure below.

This valuation ignores the two options described above - the option to deliver the cheapest-to-deliver
bond and the option to have a wild card play. These give an advantage to the seller of the futures
contract and should be priced into the futures contract. One way to build this into the valuation is to
use the cheapest deliverable bond to calculate both the current spot price and the present value of
the coupons. Once the futures price is estimated, it can be divided by the conversion factor to arrive
at the standardized futures price.
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3. Buy treasury bond
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Key assumptions
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(e) Currency Futures
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To see how spot and futures currency prices are related, note that holding the foreign currency enables
the investor to earn the risk-free interest rate (RfSUHYDLOLQJLQWKDWFRXQWU\ZKLOHWKHGRPHVWLFFXUUHQF\
earn the domestic riskfree rate (Rd6LQFHLQYHVWRUVFDQEX\FXUUHQF\DWVSRWUDWHVDQGDVVXPLQJWKDW
there are no restrictions on investing at the riskfree rate, we can derive the relationship between the
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interest rates in the domestic and foreign market.

Futures Priced,f = + 5d
6SRW 3U LFHd,f
+ 5f
where Futures Priced,f is the number of units of the domestic currency that will be received for a unit of the
foreign currency in a forward contract and Spot Priced,f is the number of units of the domestic currency
that will be received for a unit of the same foreign currency in a spot contract. For instance, assume
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price, based upon interest rate parity, should be as follows:
Futures Priced,f (1.05)

=
$ 0.65
(1.04)
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an investor could take advantage of the mispricing by selling the futures contract, completely hedging
against risk and ending up with a return greater than the riskfree rate. When a riskless position yields a
return that exceeds the riskfree rate, it is called an DUELWUDJHSRVLWLRQ. The actions the investor would need
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next to the action.
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Actions to take today
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1. Sell a futures contract at
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Borrow the spot price in the

U.S. domestic markets @ 5%.

3. Convert the dollars into

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contract
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e.g. $0.64
1.Buy a futures price at $0.64
1.Collect on Dollar
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of arbitrage will push down futures price towards the equilibrium price.
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The arbitrage relationship provides a measure of the determinants of futures prices on a wide range of
assets. There are however some special features that affect futures prices. One is the fact that futures
contracts require marking to the market, while forward contracts do not. Another is the existence of
trading restrictions, such as price limits on futures contracts. The following section examines the pricing
effects of each of these special features.
(a) Futures versus Forward Contracts
As described earlier in this section, futures contracts require marking to market while forward contracts do
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the value of a futures contract and the value of an equivalent forward contract. When interest rates vary
unpredictably, forward prices can be different from futures prices. This is because of the reinvestment
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respectively. The effect of this interest rate induced volatility on futures prices will depend upon the
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ZLWKVWRFNLQGLFHVDQGWUHDVXU\ERQGVWKHLQWHUHVWUDWHULVNZLOOPDNHIXWXUHVSULFHVJUHDWHUWKDQIRUZDUG
SULFHV,IWKH\PRYHWRJHWKHUDVLVWKHFDVHZLWKVRPHUHDODVVHWVWKHLQWHUHVWUDWHULVNFDQDFWXDOO\
FRXQWHUSULFHULVNDQGPDNHIXWXUHVSULFHVOHVVWKDQIRUZDUGSULFHV,QPRVWUHDOZRUOGVFHQDULRVDQGLQ
empirical studies, the difference between futures and forward prices is fairly small and can be ignored.
There is another difference between futures and forward contracts that can cause their prices to deviate
and it relates to credit risk. Since the futures exchange essentially guarantees traded futures contracts,
there is relatively little credit risk. Essentially, the exchange has to default for buyers or sellers of contracts
to not be paid. Forward contracts are between individual buyers and sellers. Consequently, there is
potential for VLJQLFDQWGHIDXOWULVNZKLFKKDVWREHWDNHQLQWRDFFRXQWZKHQYDOXLQJDIRUZDUGFRQWUDFW
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The existence of price limits and margin requirements on futures contract are generally ignored in the
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on trading, if onerous enough, could impact value. The existence of price limits, for instance, has two
effects. One is that it might reduce the volatility in prices, by protecting against market overreaction to
information and thus make futures contracts more valuable. The other is that it makes futures contracts
less liquid and this may make them less valuable. The net effect could be positive, negative or neutral.
$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17 ,19

The value of a futures contract is derived from the value of the underlying asset. The opportunity for
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will depend upon the level of interest rates, the cost of storing the underlying asset and any yield that
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such as price limits and marking to market, as well as delivery options, can affect the futures price.
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HOVHVSURSHUW\DQGVHOOVLWQRZZLOOEHDEOHWRFROOHFWWKHVWRUDJHFRVWVVDYHGE\WKHVKRUWVDOHVIURP
the other party to the transaction.
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Derivatives as a hedging tool in asset/liability management are very attractive, though it has been
controversial recently. Asset/liability management is of greatest interest to depository intermediaries,
contractual intermediaries, and multinational corporations. Commercial banks and thrift institutions are
depository intermediaries because their sources of loanable funds consist of deposits received from
EXVLQHVVHVKRXVHKROGVDQGWKHJRYHUQPHQW/LIHLQVXUDQFHFRPSDQLHVWKHEHVWNQRZQFRQWUDFWXDO
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DJDLQVWORVVRIOLIH&RPSDUHGWRWUDGLWLRQDOSRUWIROLRDGMXVWPHQWPHWKRGVKHGJLQJE\XVLQJQDQFLDO
derivatives has particular strengths, including high speed, lower transaction costs, and no increased
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L
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Major players in derivatives markets
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A hedger holds a position in the cash market and is worried about fall in the value of his portfolio. He
would take an opposite position in the futures market to protect against fall in value of his portfolio.
Against his view if the market rises, his portfolio value increases to compensate for fall in futures value.
Speculators
Speculators as such make guess about the movement of stock prices. They undertake buy or sell
transactions in the cash/future markets accordingly. Speculators accept the risk passed on by a
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and in their absence the price protection sought by the hedger would be very costly.
Concept
Hedgers buy or sell futures contracts in order to offset the risk in some other position. They want to
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of the risk.
Speculators buy or sell futures contracts in an attempt to earn a return. They are willing to assume the
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Spreaders
Spreaders, as the term indicates, work on spreads that are observed and believed to be non-aligned
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risk.
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obtain a risk free rate of return. Though deviations persist, arbitrage is not free, nor is it perfectly risks less.
Arbitrage involves transaction costs, brokerage costs, bid-ask spreads between the purchase and sales
price and most importantly, impact cost.
Scalpers
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RQO\IRUPLQXWHVDQGDWWHPSWWRSURWIURPHLWKHUYHU\VPDOOSULFHFKDQJHVRUWKHELGDVNVSUHDG7KH\
trade in using their skills in short term movement of prices. They are constantly alert to market news or
ELJRUGHURZRIEX\VHOOLQWKDWVWRFNDQGWUDGHRQWKHP7KH\SUHIHUWKRVHFRXQWHUVZKHUHWKHGD\V
volume would be high. They operate on very low transaction costs and they make money by doing
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even technical indicators. Their only benchmark is the price movement and momentum, over a few
minutes. They immensely help liquidity in the market.
Day traders
Day traders enter into futures positions and liquidate their positions by the end of the day. Day traders
often use proprietary models to estimate which way they believe prices will move. They normally do not
disclose what their trades are based upon. They take a far sighted approach in contrast to scalpers.
They close their position before the end of trading session, ensuring that he has no position overnight.
Position traders
Position traders maintain positions in a contract for longer than a day. They believe on market rumours
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or months.
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Derivatives can reduce or transfer the risks in underlying cash instruments, but they might also introduce
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system, which is often called system risk. The concern about the system risk is heightened by the global
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However, it is generally agreed upon that there are some new risks associated with derivatives to individual
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REOLJDWLRQV,WXVXDOO\H[LVWVLQ27&GHULYDWLYHV&OHDULQJKRXVHVIXQFWLRQWRHOLPLQDWHWKHFUHGLWULVNIRUERWK
EX\HUVDQGVHOOHUVLQH[FKDQJHGUXQWUDQVDFWLRQV0DUNHWULVNLVWKHH[SRVXUHWRWKHSRVVLELOLW\RIQDQFLDO
loss resulting from unfavorable movements in interest rate and currency rates as well as equity and
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WRWKHSRVVLELOLW\RIQDQFLDOORVVUHVXOWLQJIURPDQDFWLRQE\DFRXUWRUE\DUHJXODWRU\RUOHJLVODWLYHERG\
WKDWLQYDOLGDWHVDGHULYDWLYHFRQWUDFWRUSULRUGHULYDWLYHWUDQVDFWLRQV/HJDOULVNLVDVVRFLDWHGSULPDULO\
with OTC contracts in the US, particularly with swaps. Operations risk is the exposure to the possibility of
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error. Operation risk may compound the effect of other risks.

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another asset to protect the one which we are holding and for which we are trying to create a hedge.
The behaviour of the two assets is the key in deciding the hedge. The asset chosen to hedge the
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the asset chosen for the purpose of hedging is positively correlated with our existing asset then we sell
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the asset else we buy that asset. The reason being when the asset prices fall, both the assets would lose
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in the existing asset. On the same lines, when asset prices rise, the asset used for hedging would lose
value, since we have sold them and again it would offset the gains of the existing asset. Thus in both the
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its original value i.e. original value is locked.
Table
Economic Event
Actual Asset
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Asset prices fall

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Asset prices rise
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Hedging is adopted when we believe that the existing assets are likely to lose value and our intention is
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LIWKHRULJLQDOYLHZLHXQIDYRXUDEOHHYHQWGRHVQRWPDWHULDOL]H"7KHKHGJHGRHVQRWSURYLGHDQ\
EHQHWLWVLPSO\ORFNVLQDYDOXHWKDWH[LVWHGZKHQWKHKHGJHZDVLQLWLDWHG7KHUHIRUHKHGJHLVQRW
adopted if unfavourable event is not expected to happen. Hedging is not aimed to make gains or
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The goal of a hedge transaction is to create a position that, once added to an investors portfolio will
offset the price risk of another. A hedge can be so constructed that one can have partial protection
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the basic hedging strategy would be to take an equal and opposite position in the futures market.
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proportionate value of futures would be sold. Then the last valid point to be remembered is to account
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then the beta is irrelevant as both would have same beta. However, if the portfolio/stock is hedged
using index futures then beta is relevant, because the portfolio/stock may have beta less or more than
WKDWRIPDUNHWLQGH[IXWXUHVUHSUHVHQWVPDUNHWDVDZKROH,QRUGHUWRHQVXUHWKHSRUWIROLRSRVLWLRQLV
perfectly hedged it is essential to sell beta times the value of index futures position. Here we say that
beta is the hedge ratio. A point to note here would be that, if the market rallies, the opportunity to
gain from it will be lost but the portfolio can be protected from a market sell-off, which was the original
intent.
Example
&RQVLGHU$PLWDSRUWIROLRPDQDJHUPDQDJLQJDSRUWIROLREHWDZKRVHFXUUHQWPDUNHWYDOXHRI`

&URUHV,WLVH[SHFWHGWKDWWKHPDUNHWVDUHOLNHO\WRFRUUHFWGRZQZDUGVDQGKHGJLQJQHHGVWR
EHDGRSWHGXVLQJ1,)7<LQGH[IXWXUHV&XUUHQWO\LQGH[IXWXUHVDUHTXRWHGDWZLWKHDFKFRQWUDFW
XQGHUOLHVXQLWV/HWXVH[DPLQHDVLWXDWLRQZKHQPDUNHWVFRUUHFWGRZQDQGDOVRDSRVVLELOLW\
PDUNHWWUHQGXSZDUGVE\DJDLQVWWKHEHOLHIRI$PLW/HWXVDVVXPHWKDW$PLWKHGJHGRIKLV
portfolio.
(DFK1,)7<LQGH[FRQWUDFWLVZRUWK` ` 4,50,000.
9DOXHRIWKHSRUWIROLRLV `&URUHV
9DOXHRI,QGH[)XWXUHVUHTXLUHGWREHKHGJHG %HWDWLPHVYDOXHRISRUWIROLR
&URUHV `&URUHV
,$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17
1XPEHURI1,)7<LQGH[FRQWUDFWVWREHVROG6LQFHZHKROGERXJKWDVVHWVKHGJLQJXVLQJRWKHUDVVHW

VKRXOGEHRSSRVLWHLHVHOO &URUHV
Table
3RUWIROLR*DLQ
Market Rise
Pessimistic
Optimistic
-10%
+10%
Index Futures
1HW*DLQ/RVV
JDLQ LQ IXWXUHV VLQFH

SRUWIROLRYDOXH&URUHV ZH KDYH VROG
Nil
1.5 times 10% i.e. 15% gain in
Nil
1.5 times 10% i.e. 15% fall in
Crores
ORVV LQ IXWXUHV VLQFH

3RUWIROLRYDOXH&URUHV ZH KDYH VROG
Crores
Had Amit hedged only 50% of his portfolio value, the net gain or loss would not be nil. He would have
got only 50% of protection in case of market fall. Thus when market falls by 10%, against his loss of
`&URUHVKHZRXOGKDYHJDLQHGRQO\RI&URUHVLQWKHIXWXUHVPDUNHWVLQFHKHZRXOG
have hedged only 50%.
+HGJLQJZKLOHKDYLQJPRQH\LQWKHDFFRXQW
Having money in the account and not investing in stocks, owing to absence of enough research inputs
ZRXOGQRWPDNHVHQVHHVSHFLDOO\LILWLVNQRZQWKDWWKHPDUNHWLVOLNHO\WRUDOO\,QVXFKFDVHVLWLVSUXGHQW
WREX\,QGH[)XWXUHVDQGSDUWLFLSDWHLQWKHUDOO\DQGOLTXLGDWHWKHIXWXUHVSRVLWLRQRQFHWKHUDOO\LVRYHU
RUVWRFNVDUHUHDG\WREHSXUFKDVHG$QRWKHUDGYDQWDJHLVIRUEX\LQJIXWXUHVRQO\DURXQGRIWKH
total value would be deposited as margin, enabling the fund/ person to deploy the balance to earn
money market returns. Had the market not rallied he would have bought the stocks cheaper than
originally decided.
Example
&RQVLGHU6DPLNDSRUWIROLRPDQDJHUZKRKDYHEHHQLQIRUPHGWKDWWKHUHLVDQLQRZRI`100 Crores in
KLVQHZVFKHPHODXQFKHGWKLVPRQWK:KLOHKLVUHVHDUFKGHSDUWPHQWLVEXV\LQSUHSDUDWLRQRIQDOOLVWRI
stocks that can be bought as part of his portfolio, it is learnt that further one month would pass before
WKHQDOVWRFNOLVWLVSURYLGHGWR6DPLN0HDQZKLOH6DPLNOHDUQVWKDWPDUNHWLVVHWWRUDOO\LQWKHQH[W
one month. By parking money in cash and money market instruments for one month is not going to
help him in a big way as returns are going to be far less as compared to market returns. The best thing
6DPLNFDQGRLVWREX\,QGH[IXWXUHVQRZDQGULGHWKHUDOO\DQGVHOORIIDWWKHHQGRIPRQWK%\WKHHQG
RIPRQWKUHVHDUFKGHSDUWPHQWZRXOGKDYHSUHSDUHGWKHQDOOLVW7KRXJKWKHVWRFNVLQJHQHUDOZRXOG
KDYHLQFKHGXSWKHJDLQVIURPIXWXUHVZRXOGKDYHFRPSHQVDWHGVXIFLHQWO\
6WRFN LQGH[ IXWXUHV DOORZ LQYHVWRUV WR KHGJH V\VWHPDWLF PDUNHW ULVN 7KLV LV GHVLUDEOH IRU LQYHVWRUV
attempting to earn the unique part of a stocks return while avoiding market risk. The futures contract
KHOSVWRSURWHFWWKHSRUWIROLRDJDLQVWPDUNHWXFWXDWLRQV6SHFXODWRUVEX\RUVHOOIXWXUHVFRQWUDFWVLQDQ
DWWHPSWWRHDUQDUHWXUQ7KH\DUHZLOOLQJWRDVVXPHWKHULVNRISULFHXFWXDWLRQVKRSLQJWRSURWIURP
them.
7RPRGLI\6\VWHPDWLF5LVN
$IXQGPDQDJHUFDQGHFUHDVHRULQFUHDVHWKHV\VWHPDWLFULVNPDUNHWULVNRIWKHSRUWIROLRE\VHOOLQJRU
EX\LQJDSSURSULDWHQXPEHURILQGH[IXWXUHVVRWKDWWKHIROORZLQJHTXDWLRQLVVDWLVHG
2ULJLQDO3RUWIROLR9DOXH[2ULJLQDO%HWD)XWXUHV3RVLWLRQ 2ULJLQDO3RUWIROLR9DOXH['HVLUHG%HWD
Selling Futures position reduces the overall systematic risk and vice versa.
&RQVLGHU WKH VDPH H[DPSOH RI $PLW GLVFXVVHG XQGHU DERYH 7KH SRUWIROLR EHWD LV DQG WKH
current market value is `&URUHV6LQFHWKHPDUNHWVDUHH[SHFWHGWRFRUUHFWGRZQZDUGVDQGLQ
such a situation if Amit wants to reduce beta of his portfolio, he can do so by adding another asset
$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17 ,

whose beta is lower and have a combined portfolio with lower beta, which will protect him from
PDUNHWIDOO/HWXVDVVXPHWKDW$PLWZDQWVWRUHGXFHWKHEHWDWR7ZRVWUDWHJLHVFDQEHDGRSWHG
D $PLW FDQ VWD\ LQ FDVK EHWD VD\ WR WKH H[WHQW RI E\ VHOOLQJ WKH VWRFNV %XW LQ WLPHV RI
sudden fall in the market opportunity to sell is seldom available.
E $PLWFDQXVH1,)7<LQGH[IXWXUHVMXVWHQRXJKWREULQJWKHRYHUDOOEHWDWRWKHGHVLUHGOHYHO$PLW
ZRXOGVHOOLQGH[IXWXUHVWRDFKLHYHWKLVREMHFWLYH7KHIROORZLQJHTXDWLRQZRXOGKDYHWREHVDWLVHG
2ULJLQDO3RUWIROLR9DOXH[2ULJLQDO)XWXUHV3RVLWLRQ 2ULJLQDO3RUWIROLR9DOXH['HVLUHG
&URUHV[; &URUHV[
; &URUHV
7KLVPHDQV$PLWZRXOGVHOO1,)7<LQGH[IXWXUHVZRUWK`&URUHVE\VHOOLQJ&URUHVODNKV
&RQWUDFWV
Table
Market Rise
3RUWIROLR*DLQ
Pessimistic -10%
1.5 times 10% i.e. 15% fall in
Optimistic +10%
1.5 times 10% i.e. 15% gain in
Index Futures
1HW*DLQ/RVV
JDLQ LQ IXWXUHV VLQFH &URUHV

SRUWIROLRYDOXH&URUHV ZHKDYHVROG&URUHV
ORVVLQIXWXUHVVLQFHZH &URUHV
SRUWIROLRYDOXH&URUHV KDYHVROG&URUHV
*Had Amits portfolio beta was 1, then his ` &URUH SRUWIROLR ZRXOG KDYH ORVW MXVW ZLWK WKH
market fall of 10% and vice versa. A higher beta portfolio has been swiftly turned to the desired beta
level by selling appropriate index futures.
Example
$KLJKQHWZRUWKLQGLYLGXDO65,LVKROGLQJWKHIROORZLQJSRUWIROLRLQ` Crores:
Table
,QYHVWPHQWLQGLYHUVLHGHTXLW\VKDUHV
Cash and Bank Balances

Total

100.00
7KH%HWDRIWKHSRUWIROLRLV7KHLQGH[IXWXUHLVVHOOLQJDWOHYHO7KH65,ZDQWVWRGHFUHDVHWKH
beta of the portfolio, for he believes that the market would go down from the current level. How many
LQGH[IXWXUHVKHVKRXOGEX\VHOOVRWKDWWKHEHWDLVGHFUHDVHGWR"2QHLQGH[IXWXUHFRQVLVWVRI
units.
Solution:
2QHFDQGHFUHDVHRULQFUHDVHWKHV\VWHPDWLFULVNPDUNHWULVNRIWKHDVVHWSRUWIROLRE\VHOOLQJRUEX\LQJ
DSSURSULDWHQXPEHURILQGH[IXWXUHVVRWKDWWKHIROORZLQJHTXDWLRQLVVDWLVHG
2ULJLQDO3RUWIROLR9DOXH[2ULJLQDO%HWD)XWXUHV3RVLWLRQ 2ULJLQDO3RUWIROLR9DOXH['HVLUHG%HWD
,QWKLVFDVHVLQFHEHWDKDVWRGHFUHDVHWKH65,ZRXOGJRVKRUWVHOOE\VHOOLQJ1LIW\RULQGH[IXWXUHVZH
DUHGHFUHDVLQJWKHPDUNHWULVNWKXVEHWDRYHUDOOZRXOGIDOOWKHDSSURSULDWHQXPEHURILQGH[IXWXUHV
The formula to calculate the number of contracts can be given by:

Portfolio Value

Value of each futures contract
,$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17
7KHSRUWIROLRYDOXHJLYHQLV `&URUHV DQG GHVLUHGDQGHDFKIXWXUHFRQWUDFWLV

[ `6XEVWLWXWLQJZHJHWQXPEHURIFRQWUDFWVIRUWKHGHVLUHGEHWDRIDV

100 Crores
550000
FRQWUDFWV
Alternative Solution:
We can use the formula:

(TXLW\9DOXHRI3RUWIROLR[2ULJLQDO%HWD)XWXUHV3RVLWLRQ 7RWDO3RUWIROLR9DOXH['HVLUHG%HWD
&URUHV[1 &URUHV
1 &RQWUDFWV
$QVZHUVDUHGLIIHUHQWEHFDXVHZHKDYHDVVXPHGWKDWEHWDRIRQO\WKHHTXLW\SRUWLRQRIWKHWRWDOLV
XQOLNHLQWKHUVWPHWKRGZHKDYHXVHGEHWDRIIRUHQWLUHSRUWIROLRRI&URUHV
Concept
Futures market plays a vital role of price discovery. Apart from this main function, market players use
futures market for variety of purpose:
L
7RKHGJHWKHLUSRUWIROLRYDOXH
LL 7RKHGJHDJDLQVWIDOOLQVSHFLFVWRFNSULFH
LLL 7RJDLQE\EX\LQJIXWXUHVDKHDGRIVWRFNSXUFKDVHRUWRWUDGHGLUHFWLRQV
LY 7RVSHFXODWH
Y 7RDUELWUDJH
YL 7RPRGLI\PDUNHWULVNRIWKHLUSRUWIROLR
+HGJH5DWLR
A hedger has to decide the number of futures contracts that provide the best hedge for his/her risk
SUROH7KHKHGJHUDWLRDOORZVWKHKHGJHUWRGHWHUPLQHWKHQXPEHURIFRQWUDFWVWKDWPXVWEHHPSOR\HG
LQRUGHUWRPLQLPL]HWKHULVNRIWKHFRPELQHGFDVKIXWXUHVSRVLWLRQ:HFDQGHQHKHGJHUDWLRDVWKH
number of futures contracts to hold for a given position in the underlying asset.
+5 )XWXUHV3RVLWLRQ8QGHUO\LQJDVVHWSRVLWLRQ
As explained earlier, for a perfect hedge, in case of a stock/portfolio position hedged with an index
futures position, the hedge ratio is the beta of stock or portfolio. Else, if it is hedged using stock futures
SRVLWLRQWKHKHGJHUDWLRLVRQH,IWKHKHGJHUZDQWVWRKHGJHKLVVWRFNSRUWIROLRSRVLWLRQSDUWLDOO\WKHQ
the hedge ratio would be less than one. On the hand if his future hedge position is more than that of
his current position, we say that the hedge ratio is more than one.
$OVRE\GHQLWLRQ
=
60

0
We can assume index futures as proxy for markets. We denote index futures as F.
Therefore, we have,
=
SF
F
$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17 ,

SF SF
F
SF F
F
&RUUHODWLRQ RI XQGHUO\LQJ ZLWK PDUNHW LH LQGH[ IXWXUHV [ SURSRUWLRQ RI VWDQGDUG GHYLDWLRQ RI
underlying and market.

Example
Consider Sumit holding an equity portfolio of `&URUHV+LVSRUWIROLREHWDLV+HKDVGHFLGHGWR

KHGJHKLVSRUWIROLRXVLQJ1,)7<LQGH[IXWXUHV)RUYDULRXVVFHQDULRVKHGJHUDWLRDVVKRZQLQFROXPQ
LH9DOXHRIIXWXUHV9DOXHRIXQGHUO\LQJZRXOGFKDQJHDVJLYHQLQWKHWDEOH
Table
Future s Sold
9DOXH RI )XWXUHV
9DOXH RI 8QGHUO\LQJ
` 60 Crores

`&URUHV

` 30 Crores
0.6
+HGJH$GRSWHG
100%
50%

Remarks
+HGJH5DWLR %HWDRI3RUWIROLR
+HGJH5DWLR%HWDRI3RUWIROLR
+HGJH5DWLR%HWDRI3RUWIROLR
&URVV+HGJH
&URVV+HGJHUHIHUVWRKHGJLQJDSRVLWLRQLQD6WRFNLQWKH&DVK0DUNHWE\WDNLQJDQRSSRVLWHSRVLWLRQ
LQWKH)XWXUHV0DUNHW'HULYDWLYH0DUNHWLQDGLIIHUHQWVWRFNRULQGH[&URVV+HGJHFRQFHSWDSSOLHV
ZKHQWKHVWRFNWREHKHGJHGGRHVQRWKDYHD)XWXUHV0DUNHW
Basis Risk is inherent in a Cross Hedge, i.e. Spot Price of the Commodity and the Futures
Price do not converge, because the Commodity for Futures and the Commodity in the Stock market
are not the same.
Inherent Risk:
Example:$QXLVKROGLQJ6KDUHVRI..6RIWZDUH6ROXWLRQV/WGZKLFKVKHZDQWVWRVHOO6KHZDQWVWR
KHGJHKHUSRVLWLRQE\EX\LQJ..6)XWXUHV+RZHYHU..6RIWZDUHLVQRWWUDGHGLQWKH)XWXUHV0DUNHW7R
KHGJHKHUSRVLWLRQVKHFDQEX\,QIRV\V)XWXUHVRU:LSUR)XWXUHVRU6RIWZDUH,QGH[)XWXUHV
Cross-Hedge Ratio is the same as Hedge Ratio. However, the futures price
considered is not of the corresponding stocks future price, but a closely related index or stock.
&URVV+HGJH 5DWLR
+HGJH5DWLR S FS
F
Where
s 6WDQGDUG'HYLDWLRQRI&KDQJHLQ6SRW3ULFHRIWKH$VVHWWREHKHGJHG(J..6RIWZDUH6ROXWLRQV
F 6WDQGDUG'HYLDWLRQRI&KDQJHLQ)XWXUHV3ULFHRIWKH8QGHUO\LQJ$VVHW(J:LSUR)XWXUHV,QIRV\V
)XWXUHVHWF
FS &RUUHODWLRQEHWZHHQ&KDQJHLQ6SRW3ULFHRIWKH$VVHWWREHKHGJHGDQG)XWXUHV3ULFHRIWKH
Underlying Asset
1RRI)XWXUHV&RQWUDFWWREH7UDGHG
1RRI)XWXUHV&RQWUDFWV +HGJH5DWLR
Units of Spot Position requiring Hedging

No. of Units underlying one Futures Contract
,$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17
,QWKHJLYHQH[DPSOHLIWKH+HGJH5DWLRLVDQG$QXZDQWVWRFURVVKHGJHKHUSRVLWLRQXVLQJ6RIWZDUH
,QGH[)XWXUHVHDFK,QGH[)XWXUHFRQWUDFWKDV8QLWVWKHQQXPEHURIFRQWUDFWVUHTXLUHGLV

6KDUHVRI..6RIWZDUH6ROXWLRQ/WG

=
1RRI8QLWVLQ6RIWZDUH,QGH[)XWXUH

&RQWUDFWV
&KRLFH RI $SSURSULDWH &URVV +HGJH )XWXUHV ,Q FDVH RI DOWHUQDWLYHV LQ WKH )XWXUHV 0DUNHW LQ D &URVV
Hedge Situation, the appropriate Futures Contract should be chosen based on the extent of correlation
between the assets price movements and the underlying assets futures price movements. Higher the
correlation, better the choice.
3HUIHFW+HGJHDQG,PSHUIHFW+HGJH
3HUIHFW +HGJH Perfect Hedge is one which completely eliminates the risk. At the time of taking an
RSSRVLWHSRVLWLRQLQ'HULYDWLYHV0DUNHW3HUIHFW+HGJHZRXOGPHDQFRYHULQJWKHULVNLQYROYHGLQWKH
&DVK0DUNHW3RVLWLRQFRPSOHWHO\LH
,PSHUIHFW+HGJH When the position in cash market is not completely hedged or not hedged to 100%,
WKHQVXFKKHGJHLVFDOOHG,PSHUIHFW+HGJH
+HGJHXVLQJIXWXUHV
+HGJLQJ8VLQJ)XWXUHV
Stock
9DOXH 6
6WRFNEHWD Ep
Using
Stock Futures
F
For a portfolio of Value V
+HGJHLQLWLDWHG 9KE
:KHUHK KHGJHUHTXLUHG
E EHWDRIWKHSRUWIROLR9
Using
,QGH[)XWXUHV
,
100% hedge
Partial hedge
100% hedge
Sell Futures F
equivalent
to S
Sell Futures F
equivalent
to h S
6HOO)XWXUHV,
K KHGJH
equivalent
to Ep S
Portfolio
9DOXH $
6WRFNEHWD Ep
Using
,QGH[)XWXUHV
,
Partial hedge
100% hedge
Partial hedge
6HOO)XWXUHV,
6HOO)XWXUHV,
6HOO)XWXUHV,
equivalent to equivalent to equivalent to

h S Ep
h A Ep
Ep A
K KHGJH
K KHGJH
+('*()81'
Hedge funds refer to funds that can use one or more alternative investment strategies, including hedging
against market downturns, investing in asset classes such as currencies or distressed securities, and
XWLOL]LQJUHWXUQHQKDQFLQJWRROVVXFKDVOHYHUDJHGHULYDWLYHVDQGDUELWUDJH,WFDQWDNHERWKORQJDQG
short positions, use arbitrage, buy and sell undervalued securities, trade options or bonds, and invest in
almost any opportunity in any market where it foresees impressive gains at reduced risk.
At a time when world stock markets appear to have reached excessive valuations and may be due for
further correction, hedge funds provide a viable alternative to investors seeking capital appreciation
as well as capital preservation in bear markets.
Hedge fund strategies vary enormously -- many hedge against downturns in the markets -- especially
important today with volatility and anticipation of corrections in overheated stock markets. The primary
$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17 ,

aim of most hedge funds is to reduce volatility and risk while attempting to preserve capital and deliver
positive returns under all market conditions. The vast majority of hedge funds make consistency of return,
rather than magnitude, their primary goal.
There are approximately 14 distinct investment strategies used by hedge funds, each offering different
degrees of risk and return. A macro hedge fund, for example, invests in stock and bond markets and
RWKHU LQYHVWPHQW RSSRUWXQLWLHV VXFK DV FXUUHQFLHV LQ KRSHV RI SURWLQJ RQ VLJQLFDQW VKLIWV LQ VXFK
things as global interest rates and countries economic policies. A macro hedge fund is more volatile
but potentially faster growing than a distressed-securities hedge fund that buys the equity or debt of
FRPSDQLHVDERXWWRHQWHURUH[LWQDQFLDOGLVWUHVV$QHTXLW\KHGJHIXQGPD\EHJOREDORUFRXQWU\
VSHFLFKHGJLQJDJDLQVWGRZQWXUQVLQHTXLW\PDUNHWVE\VKRUWLQJRYHUYDOXHGVWRFNVRUVWRFNLQGH[HV$
UHODWLYHYDOXHKHGJHIXQGWDNHVDGYDQWDJHRISULFHRUVSUHDGLQHIFLHQFLHV.QRZLQJDQGXQGHUVWDQGLQJ
the characteristics of the many different hedge fund strategies is essential to capitalizing on their variety
of investment opportunities.
,WLVLPSRUWDQWWRXQGHUVWDQGWKHGLIIHUHQFHVEHWZHHQWKHYDULRXVKHGJHIXQGVWUDWHJLHVEHFDXVHDOO
hedge funds are not the same -- investment returns, volatility, and risk vary enormously among the different
hedge fund strategies. Some strategies which are not correlated to equity markets are able to deliver
consistent returns with extremely low risk of loss, while others may be as or more volatile than mutual
funds. A successful fund of funds recognizes these differences and blends various strategies and asset
classes together to create more stable long-term investment returns than any of the individual funds.
.H\&KDUDFWHULVWLFVRI+HGJH)XQGV
+HGJHIXQGVXWLOL]HDYDULHW\RIQDQFLDOLQVWUXPHQWVWRUHGXFHULVNHQKDQFHUHWXUQVDQGPLQLPL]H
WKHFRUUHODWLRQZLWKHTXLW\DQGERQGPDUNHWV0DQ\KHGJHIXQGVDUHH[LEOHLQWKHLULQYHVWPHQW
RSWLRQVFDQXVHVKRUWVHOOLQJOHYHUDJHGHULYDWLYHVVXFKDVSXWVFDOOVRSWLRQVIXWXUHVHWF
+HGJHIXQGVYDU\HQRUPRXVO\LQWHUPVRILQYHVWPHQWUHWXUQVYRODWLOLW\DQGULVN0DQ\EXWQRWDOO
hedge fund strategies tend to hedge against downturns in the markets being traded.
0DQ\KHGJHIXQGVKDYHWKHDELOLW\WRGHOLYHUQRQPDUNHWFRUUHODWHGUHWXUQV
0DQ\KHGJHIXQGVKDYHDVDQREMHFWLYHFRQVLVWHQF\RIUHWXUQVDQGFDSLWDOSUHVHUYDWLRQUDWKHU

than magnitude of returns.
0RVW KHGJH IXQGV DUH PDQDJHG E\ H[SHULHQFHG LQYHVWPHQW SURIHVVLRQDOV ZKR DUH JHQHUDOO\
disciplined and diligent.
3HQVLRQIXQGVHQGRZPHQWVLQVXUDQFHFRPSDQLHVSULYDWHEDQNVDQGKLJKQHWZRUWKLQGLYLGXDOV
and families invest in hedge funds to minimize overall portfolio volatility and enhance returns.
0RVWKHGJHIXQGPDQDJHUVDUHKLJKO\VSHFLDOL]HGDQGWUDGHRQO\ZLWKLQWKHLUDUHDRIH[SHUWLVHDQG
competitive advantage.
+HGJH IXQGV EHQHILW E\ KHDYLO\ ZHLJKWLQJ KHGJH IXQG PDQDJHUV UHPXQHUDWLRQ WRZDUGV
SHUIRUPDQFH LQFHQWLYHV WKXV DWWUDFWLQJ WKH EHVW EUDLQV LQ WKH LQYHVWPHQW EXVLQHVV ,Q DGGLWLRQ
hedge fund managers usually have their own money invested in their fund.
3HUIRUPDQFHRIPDQ\KHGJHIXQGVWUDWHJLHVSDUWLFXODUO\UHODWLYHYDOXHVWUDWHJLHVLVQRWGHSHQGHQW
on the direction of the bond or equity markets -- unlike conventional equity or mutual funds (unit
WUXVWVZKLFKDUHJHQHUDOO\H[SRVHGWRPDUNHWULVN
The popular misconception is that all hedge funds are volatile -- that they all use global macro strategies
and place large directional bets on stocks, currencies, bonds, commodities, and gold, while using
ORWVRIOHYHUDJH,QUHDOLW\OHVVWKDQRIKHGJHIXQGVDUHJOREDOPDFURIXQGV0RVWKHGJHIXQGVXVH
derivatives only for hedging or dont use derivatives at all, and many use no leverage.
,$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17
+HGJLQJ6WUDWHJLHV
A wide range of hedging strategies are available to hedge funds. For example:

VHOOLQJVKRUWVHOOLQJVKDUHVZLWKRXWRZQLQJWKHPKRSLQJWREX\WKHPEDFNDWDIXWXUHGDWHDWD
lower price in the expectation that their price will drop.
XVLQJDUELWUDJHVHHNLQJWRH[SORLWSULFLQJLQHIFLHQFLHVEHWZHHQUHODWHGVHFXULWLHVIRUH[DPSOH
can be long convertible bonds and short the underlying issuers equity.
WUDGLQJ RSWLRQV RU GHULYDWLYHV FRQWUDFWV ZKRVH YDOXHV DUH EDVHG RQ WKH SHUIRUPDQFH RI DQ\
XQGHUO\LQJQDQFLDODVVHWLQGH[RURWKHULQYHVWPHQW
LQYHVWLQJLQDQWLFLSDWLRQRIDVSHFLFHYHQWPHUJHUWUDQVDFWLRQKRVWLOHWDNHRYHUVSLQRIIH[LWLQJ
of bankruptcy proceedings, etc.
LQYHVWLQJLQGHHSO\GLVFRXQWHGVHFXULWLHVRIFRPSDQLHVDERXWWRHQWHURUH[LWQDQFLDOGLVWUHVVRU
bankruptcy, often below liquidation value.
0DQ\RIWKHVWUDWHJLHVXVHGE\KHGJHIXQGVEHQHWIURPEHLQJQRQFRUUHODWHGWRWKHGLUHFWLRQRI
equity markets
+HGJH)XQG6W\OHV
The predictability of future results shows a strong correlation with the volatility of each strategy. Future
performance of strategies with high volatility is far less predictable than future performance from strategies
experiencing low or moderate volatility.
$JJUHVVLYH*URZWK,QYHVWVLQHTXLWLHVH[SHFWHGWRH[SHULHQFHDFFHOHUDWLRQLQJURZWKRIHDUQLQJVSHU
VKDUH *HQHUDOO\ KLJK 3( UDWLRV ORZ RU QR GLYLGHQGV RIWHQVPDOOHU DQG PLFUR FDS VWRFNV ZKLFK DUH
H[SHFWHGWRH[SHULHQFHUDSLGJURZWK,QFOXGHVVHFWRUVSHFLDOLVWIXQGVVXFKDVWHFKQRORJ\EDQNLQJRU
biotechnology. Hedges by shorting equities where earnings disappointment is expected or by shorting

stock indexes. Tends to be long-biased.Expected Volatility: +LJK
Distressed Securities: Buys equity, debt, or trade claims at deep discounts of companies in or facing
EDQNUXSWF\RUUHRUJDQL]DWLRQ3URWVIURPWKHPDUNHWVODFNRIXQGHUVWDQGLQJRIWKHWUXHYDOXHRIWKH
deeply discounted securities and because the majority of institutional investors cannot own below
LQYHVWPHQW JUDGH VHFXULWLHV 7KLV VHOOLQJ SUHVVXUH FUHDWHV WKH GHHS GLVFRXQW 5HVXOWV JHQHUDOO\ QRW
dependent on the direction of the markets. Expected Volatility: Low - Moderate
(PHUJLQJ0DUNHWV,QYHVWVLQHTXLW\RUGHEWRIHPHUJLQJOHVVPDWXUHPDUNHWVWKDWWHQGWRKDYHKLJKHU
LQDWLRQDQGYRODWLOHJURZWK6KRUWVHOOLQJLVQRWSHUPLWWHGLQPDQ\HPHUJLQJPDUNHWVDQGWKHUHIRUH
effective hedging is often not available, although Brady debt can be partially hedged via U.S. Treasury
futures and currency markets. Expected Volatility: 9HU\+LJK
)XQGVRI+HGJH)XQGV0L[DQGPDWFKKHGJHIXQGVDQGRWKHUSRROHGLQYHVWPHQWYHKLFOHV7KLVEOHQGLQJ
of different strategies and asset classes aims to provide a more stable long-term investment return
than any of the individual funds. Returns, risk, and volatility can be controlled by the mix of underlying
strategies and funds. Capital preservation is generally an important consideration. Volatility depends
on the mix and ratio of strategies employed. Expected Volatility: /RZ0RGHUDWH+LJK
Income:,QYHVWVZLWKSULPDU\IRFXVRQ\LHOGRUFXUUHQWLQFRPHUDWKHUWKDQVROHO\RQFDSLWDOJDLQV0D\
XWLOL]HOHYHUDJHWREX\ERQGVDQGVRPHWLPHV[HGLQFRPHGHULYDWLYHVLQRUGHUWRSURWIURPSULQFLSDO
appreciation and interest income. Expected Volatility: Low
Macro:$LPVWRSURWIURPFKDQJHVLQJOREDOHFRQRPLHVW\SLFDOO\EURXJKWDERXWE\VKLIWVLQJRYHUQPHQW
policy that impact interest rates, in turn affecting currency, stock, and bond markets. Participates in
all major markets -- equities, bonds, currencies and commodities -- though not always at the same
time. Uses leverage and derivatives to accentuate the impact of market moves. Utilizes hedging, but
the leveraged directional investments tend to make the largest impact on performance. Expected
Volatility: 9HU\+LJK
$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17 ,

0DUNHW1HXWUDO$UELWUDJH Attempts to hedge out most market risk by taking offsetting positions, often
in different securities of the same issuer. For example, can be long convertible bonds and short the
XQGHUO\LQJLVVXHUVHTXLW\0D\DOVRXVHIXWXUHVWRKHGJHRXWLQWHUHVWUDWHULVN)RFXVHVRQREWDLQLQJUHWXUQV
with low or no correlation to both the equity and bond markets. These relative value strategies include
[HGLQFRPHDUELWUDJHPRUWJDJHEDFNHGVHFXULWLHVFDSLWDOVWUXFWXUHDUELWUDJHDQGFORVHGHQGIXQG
arbitrage. Expected Volatility: Low
0DUNHW1HXWUDO6HFXULWLHV+HGJLQJ,QYHVWVHTXDOO\LQORQJDQGVKRUWHTXLW\SRUWIROLRVJHQHUDOO\LQWKH
VDPHVHFWRUVRIWKHPDUNHW0DUNHWULVNLVJUHDWO\UHGXFHGEXWHIIHFWLYHVWRFNDQDO\VLVDQGVWRFNSLFNLQJ
LVHVVHQWLDOWRREWDLQLQJPHDQLQJIXOUHVXOWV/HYHUDJHPD\EHXVHGWRHQKDQFHUHWXUQV8VXDOO\ORZRUQR
FRUUHODWLRQWRWKHPDUNHW6RPHWLPHVXVHVPDUNHWLQGH[IXWXUHVWRKHGJHRXWV\VWHPDWLFPDUNHWULVN
Relative benchmark index usually T-bills. Expected Volatility: Low
0DUNHW7LPLQJ Allocates assets among different asset classes depending on the managers view of the
economic or market outlook. Portfolio emphasis may swing widely between asset classes. Unpredictability
RIPDUNHWPRYHPHQWVDQGWKHGLIFXOW\RIWLPLQJHQWU\DQGH[LWIURPPDUNHWVDGGWRWKHYRODWLOLW\RIWKLV
strategy. Expected Volatility: +LJK
Opportunistic:,QYHVWPHQWWKHPHFKDQJHVIURPVWUDWHJ\WRVWUDWHJ\DVRSSRUWXQLWLHVDULVHWRSURWIURP
HYHQWVVXFKDV,32VVXGGHQSULFHFKDQJHVRIWHQFDXVHGE\DQLQWHULPHDUQLQJVGLVDSSRLQWPHQWKRVWLOH
ELGVDQGRWKHUHYHQWGULYHQRSSRUWXQLWLHV0D\XWLOL]HVHYHUDORIWKHVHLQYHVWLQJVW\OHVDWDJLYHQWLPH
and is not restricted to any particular investment approach or asset class. Expected Volatility: Variable
0XOWL 6WUDWHJ\ ,QYHVWPHQW DSSURDFK LV GLYHUVLHG E\ HPSOR\LQJ YDULRXV VWUDWHJLHV VLPXOWDQHRXVO\ WR
realize short- and long-term gains. Other strategies may include systems trading such as trend following
DQG YDULRXV GLYHUVLHG WHFKQLFDO VWUDWHJLHV 7KLV VW\OH RI LQYHVWLQJ DOORZV WKH PDQDJHU WR RYHUZHLJKW
or underweight different strategies to best capitalize on current investment opportunities. Expected

Volatility: Variable
6KRUW 6HOOLQJ Sells securities short in anticipation of being able to re-buy them at a future date at a
lower price due to the managers assessment of the overvaluation of the securities, or the market, or
in anticipation of earnings disappointments often due to accounting irregularities, new competition,
change of management, etc. Often used as a hedge to offset long-only portfolios and by those who
feel the market is approaching a bearish cycle. High risk. Expected Volatility: 9HU\+LJK
Special Situations:,QYHVWVLQHYHQWGULYHQVLWXDWLRQVVXFKDVPHUJHUVKRVWLOHWDNHRYHUVUHRUJDQL]DWLRQV
RUOHYHUDJHGEX\RXWV0D\LQYROYHVLPXOWDQHRXVSXUFKDVHRIVWRFNLQFRPSDQLHVEHLQJDFTXLUHGDQG
WKH VDOH RI VWRFN LQ LWV DFTXLUHU KRSLQJ WR SURW IURP WKH VSUHDG EHWZHHQ WKH FXUUHQW PDUNHW SULFH
DQGWKHXOWLPDWHSXUFKDVHSULFHRIWKHFRPSDQ\0D\DOVRXWLOL]HGHULYDWLYHVWROHYHUDJHUHWXUQVDQG
to hedge out interest rate and/or market risk. Results generally not dependent on direction of market.
Expected Volatility: Moderate
Value:,QYHVWVLQVHFXULWLHVSHUFHLYHGWREHVHOOLQJDWGHHSGLVFRXQWVWRWKHLULQWULQVLFRUSRWHQWLDOZRUWK
6XFKVHFXULWLHVPD\EHRXWRIIDYRURUXQGHUIROORZHGE\DQDO\VWV/RQJWHUPKROGLQJSDWLHQFHDQG
strong discipline are often required until the ultimate value is recognized by the market. Expected
Volatility: Low - Moderate
6WRFN/HQGLQJ6FKHPH
Persons having securities lend their securities for consideration and those requiring securities (for meeting
PDUNHWREOLJDWLRQVDVFROODWHUDOHWFFDQERUURZWKHVDPH6HFXULWLHVDUHOHQWWKURXJK,QWHUPHGLDULHV
DSSURYHGE\WKH6(%,7KHDSSURYHG,QWHUPHGLDU\ZRXOGERUURZWKHVHFXULWLHVIRUIXUWKHUOHQGLQJWRWKH
ERUURZHUV/HQGHUVRIWKHVHFXULWLHVDQG%RUURZHUVRIWKHVHFXULWLHVHQWHULQWRVHSDUDWHDJUHHPHQWVZLWK
the approved intermediary, for lending and borrowing the securities.

3XUSRVHRI6WRFN/HQGLQJ To take advantage of an arbitrage opportunity, if an arbitrageur wants to
VHOOVWRFNLQWKHVSRWPDUNHWDQGSXUFKDVHWKHVDPHLQ)XWXUHV0DUNHWKHPD\ERUURZWKHVWRFNIRUWKH
SHULRGRI)XWXUHV&RQWUDFW,WLVDOVRXVHGIRUWKHSXUSRVHVRIVKRUWVHOOLQJGXULQJLQWUDGD\WUDQVDFWLRQV
,$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17
6WDFN+HGJLQJDQG6WULS+HGJLQJ
For longer-term hedging programmes, such as a two year loan with three-monthly rollover dates, more
complicated strategies can be adopted, such as Stack Hedging and Strip Hedging.
L
:LWKD6WDFN+HGJHWKHWRWDOQXPEHURIFRQWUDFWVQHHGHGWRKHGJHWKHORDQLVSXUFKDVHGIRU
WKHPRQWKRIWKHUVWUROORYHUGDWH$WWKDWGDWHWKHUHPDLQLQJQXPEHURIFRQWUDFWVQHFHVVDU\LV
purchased for the next rollover date, and so on.
LL $ 6WULS +HGJH RQ WKH RWKHU KDQG WUHDWV HDFK WKUHHPRQWK VHJPHQW RI WKH ORDQ DV VHSDUDWH
entity, and Futures Contracts are purchased for each rollover date at the outset of the loan.
)RUZDUG,QWHUHVW5DWH$UUDQJHPHQW
D )RUZDUG,QWHUHVW5DWHDUUDQJHPHQWDUHFRQWUDFWVHQWHUHGLQWREHWZHHQWZRSDUWLHVZKHUHE\RQH
SDUW\ZLOOSD\FKDUJHLQWHUHVWDWD[HGUDWHRQWKHDPRXQWERUURZHGOHQW
E )RUZDUG,QWHUHVW5DWH$JUHHPHQWVZLOOIUHH]HWRGD\IRUWKHUDWHRILQWHUHVWSD\DEOHUHFHLYDEOH
on a loan / deposit to be made at a later point in time.
Example:2Q$/WGHQWHUVLQWRD)RUZDUG5DWH$JUHHPHQWZLWK%RPED\%DQNIRUERUURZLQJ
loan of `&URUHVDWSDLQ-XO\
$GYDQWDJHV,WKHOSVDERUURZHULQHOLPLQDWLQJLQWHUHVWUDWHULVNVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKERUURZLQJRULQYHVWLQJ
funds. Adverse movements in the interest rates will not affect or alter the interest receipt / liability of the
investor/ borrower.
Situation:)RUZDUG,QWHUHVW5DWH$UUDQJHPHQWVFDQEHHQWHUHGLQWRIRU
D DQH[LVWLQJORDQIRUPDNLQJLQWHUHVWSD\PHQWVDWDJUHHGUDWHVIURPDIXWXUHSHULRGRU
E DSURVSHFWLYHORDQWREHWDNHQDWDODWHUSRLQWLQWLPH
Appropriate Interest Rate
From a given set of data on interest rates applicable for bonds with different maturity periods, how can
one compute the appropriate interest rate for an intervening period- compute Forward interest rates,
from interest rates on securities with different maturity periods.
5DWHVIRU)XWXUH3HULRGV)RUZDUG5DWHVDUHWKHUDWHVRILQWHUHVWLPSOLHGIRUDVSHFLFSHULRGLQWLPHLQ
the future. These rates are implied from the prevailing interest rates for instruments with different maturity
periods.
5DWH$YDLODEOH7RGD\ %DVLVIRU&RPSXWDWLRQ This is the rate at which an investor would earn interest
on his investments for a period starting on a later date, if the rates available today for different periods
would hold good.
Mathematical Notation:
Forward Interest Rate =
Where, R
R1
T
T1

R2T2 - R1T1
T2 - T1
5DWHRI,QWHUHVWIRUWKH/RQJHU7LPH3HULRG
5DWHRI,QWHUHVWIRUWKH6KRUWHU7LPH3HULRG
/RQJHU7LPH3HULRG
6KRUWHU7LPH3HULRG
Example:2Q\HDU*RYHUQPHQW%RQGVFDUU\DQLQWHUHVWUDWHRI<HDU*RYHUQPHQW
%RQGVFDUU\DQLQWHUHVWUDWHRIDQG<HDU*RYHUQPHQW%RQGVFDUU\DQLQWHUHVWUDWHRI$OOWKH
Bonds have a face value of `/DNKV
$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17 ,31

D &RPSDULVRQRI<HDU%RQGDQG<HDU%RQG
6XPRI`/DNKLQYHVWHGLQRQH\HDUERQGZRXOGIHWFK` 1,00,000 for Year 1.

LQYHVWHGWRGD\LQ<HDUERQGZLOOIHWFK` 1,10,000 p.a. for the next two years.
` LQYHVWHGLQ<HDUERQGZLOOIHWFK`WRWDOO\7KHUHIRUHWKHLQFUHPHQWDOLQWHUHVW
for the second year is `&XPXODWLYH,QWHUHVWRQD7ZR<HDU%RQG`/HVV,QWHUHVW
for a One Year Bond `
7KHUHIRUHLQWHUHVWUDWHH[SHFWHGIRU<HDUIRUDQLQYHVWPHQWRI`/DNKLV`RU
7KHUHIRUH)RUZDUG,QWHUHVW5DWHIRUDQ2QH<HDULQYHVWPHQWDVDWLV
R2T2 - R1T1
T2 - T1
Sum of `10,00,000
0.11x2 - 0.10x1
RU
2-1
E &RPSDULVRQRI<HDU%RQGDQG<HDU%RQG
` /DNKVLQYHVWHGLQRQH\HDUERQGZRXOGIHWFK` 1,00,000 for Year 1. Sum of ` 10,00,000 invested

today in 3-Year bond will fetch ` 1,30,000 p.a. for the next three years.
` 10,00,000 invested in 3-Year bond will fetch ` 3,90,000 totally. Therefore, the incremental interest
for the second and third year is ` &XPXODWLYH,QWHUHVWRQD<HDU%RQG` /HVV
,QWHUHVWIRUD2QH<HDU%RQG`
7KHUHIRUHLQWHUHVWUDWHH[SHFWHGIRU<HDUDQGIRUDQLQYHVWPHQWRI` /DNKVLV` RU

` 1,45,000 per annum i.e. 14.50% p.a.
7KHUHIRUH)RUZDUG,QWHUHVW5DWHIRUD7ZR<HDULQYHVWPHQWDVDWLV
R2T2 - R1T1
T2 - T1
0.13x3 - 0.10x1
RU
3-1
,$'9$1&('),1$1&,$/0$1$*(0(17

Financial Derivatives Risk Management Tool

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Study Note - 7

FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES AS A TOOL FOR RISK MANAGEMENT

its payoff function f(W6(t

at the origination of the contract.

Financial Derivatives as a Tool for Risk Management

business risks at low transaction cost.

with suitable degree.

derivative securities are also capable of dramatically increasing risk.

and take delivery of the asset.

Cash Flows on Futures Contracts

Futures versus Forward Contracts

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Financial Derivatives as a Tool for Risk Management

or losses are recorded each period.

Futures and Forward Contracts versus Option Contracts

Traded Futures Contracts - Institutional Details

,QWKLVVHFWLRQZHZLOOH[DPLQHVRPHRIWKHLQVWLWXWLRQDOIHDWXUHV of traded futures contracts.

RI7UDGHLVFHQWVSHUSRXQGRUSHUFRQWUDFW ZKLFKFRYHUVSRXQGV ,IWKHSULFHRI

Financial Derivatives as a Tool for Risk Management

Quick and low cost transactions

Price Discovery Function

the stock/ commoditys price determination process.

expected overnight movement in price.

% of the total value of the contract.

7KHFRPSXWDWLRQRIDQLQLWLDOPDUJLQLVGRQHXVLQJWKHFRQFHSWRI9DOXHDW5LVN 9$5 7KHLQLWLDOPDUJLQ

taking into account the historic volatility of the underlying contract.

PHWKRGXVHGE\PDQ\H[FKDQJHV 67$16 D0RQWH&DUORVLPXODWLRQEDVHGPHWKRGRORJ\ DQG7,06

used for other futures contracts.

Financial Derivatives as a Tool for Risk Management

960, and 1015 respectively.

Date & Price

 FRQWUDFW  [

 FRQWUDFWV  [

No margin call because

Financial Derivatives as a Tool for Risk Management

Since account balance is

3URW :LWKGUDZQ +DOI RI

FRQWUDFW  [

To bring balance back

 FRQWUDFWV  [

FRQWUDFW  [

FRQWUDFW  [

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 0DUJLQ &DOO 3DLG 7R EULQJ

5DPV*DLQ   `1500

Balance back to initial

2U[[  `1500

$QDQGV*DLQ   `1500

2U[[  `1500

it the most and slow down the process of price adjustment.

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pricing relationships for a number of futures contracts.

lower than the expected spot price.

Financial Derivatives as a Tool for Risk Management

contradictory evidence from the wheat and corn futures markets.

(b) Storable Commodities

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1. Buy futures contract

Now: 1. Sell futures contract

its payoff function f(W6(t

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,QWKLVVHFWLRQZHZLOOH[DPLQHVRPHRIWKHLQVWLWXWLRQDOIHDWXUHV of traded futures contracts.

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7KHFRPSXWDWLRQRIDQLQLWLDOPDUJLQLVGRQHXVLQJWKHFRQFHSWRI9DOXHDW5LVN9$57KHLQLWLDOPDUJLQ

PHWKRGXVHGE\PDQ\H[FKDQJHV67$16D0RQWH&DUORVLPXODWLRQEDVHGPHWKRGRORJ\DQG7,06

FRQWUDFW [

FRQWUDFWV [

3URW :LWKGUDZQ +DOI RI

FRQWUDFW [

FRQWUDFWV [

FRQWUDFW [

FRQWUDFW [

0DUJLQ &DOO 3DLG 7R EULQJ

5DPV*DLQ `1500

2U[[ `1500

$QDQGV*DLQ `1500

2U[[ `1500

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