COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION
Precipitacion
Total
Anual
Caudales
Medios
Anuales
1963
1477.00
2.65
2,181,529.00
1964
1079.30
6.55
1,164,888.49
1965
1053.90
6.30
1,110,705.21
1966
831.50
5.31
691,392.25
1967
1094.40
7.63
1,197,711.36
1968
497.00
2.62
247,009.00
1969
1008.80
5.24
1,017,677.44
1970
1377.40
6.57
1,897,230.76
1971
1446.50
12.48
2,092,362.25
1972
1166.20
9.69
1,360,022.44
1973
1222.80
12.87
1,495,239.84
1974
778.40
4.43
1975
1410.70
11.94
1976
949.30
6.70
901,170.49
1977
846.60
7.23
716,731.56
1978
828.30
4.11
686,080.89
1979
620.50
4.55
385,020.25
1980
590.90
2.49
349,162.81
1981
875.70
5.26
766,850.49
1982
650.30
4.28
422,890.09
1983
1328.60
21.08
1,765,177.96
1984
1949.00
9.67
3,798,601.00
1985
802.30
3.33
643,685.29
Ao
X2
605,906.56
1,990,074.49
1986
1198.70
6.10
1,436,881.69
1987
1318.40
5.95
1,738,178.56
1988
1285.70
4.15
1,653,024.49
1989
1765.40
6.82
3,116,637.16
1990
878.00
2.98
770,884.00
1991
1162.30
3.58
1,350,941.29
1992
1116.20
4.74
1,245,902.44
1993
1524.20
7.56
2,323,185.64
1994
1100.90
7.83
1,211,980.81
1995
933.60
4.71
871,608.96
1996
876.60
5.39
768,427.56
1997
992.80
4.89
985,651.84
1998
2295.00
28.61
5,267,025.00
1999
1430.10
9.52
2,045,186.01
2000
1391.40
8.80
1,935,993.96
2001
1324.60
10.90
1,754,565.16
2002
1030.10
10.80
1,061,106.01
2003
735.20
7.37
540,519.04
2004
767.60
6.10
589,209.76
2005
751.90
4.97
565,353.61
2006
1175.30
8.17
1,381,330.09
2007
933.40
6.54
871,235.56
2008
1620.10
11.58
SUMA
51492.90
2,624,724.01
341.04
63596672.57
Alumno:
Codigo:
Data:
Estacion:
Cuenca
Data:
Estacion:
Cuenca:
ON
INTERV
Ao
XY
3,914.05
1963
7,069.42
1964
6,639.57
1965
4,415.27
1966
8,350.27
1967
1,302.14
1968
5,286.11
1969
9,049.52
1970
18,052.32
1971
11,300.48
1972
15,737.44
1973
3,448.31
1974
16,843.76
1975
6,360.31
1976
6,120.92
1977
3,404.31
1978
2,823.28
1979
1,471.34
1980
4,606.18
1981
2,783.28
1982
28,006.89
1983
18,846.83
1984
2,671.66
1985
7,312.07
1986
7,844.48
1987
5,335.66
1988
12,040.03
1989
2,616.44
1990
4,161.03
1991
5,290.79
1992
11,522.95
1993
8,620.05
1994
4,397.26
1995
4,724.87
1996
4,854.79
1997
65,659.95
1998
13,614.55
1999
12,244.32
2000
14,438.14
2001
11,125.08
2002
5,418.42
2003
4,682.36
2004
3,736.94
2005
9,602.20
2006
6,104.44
2007
18,760.76
2008
432611.23
Tabla 2
INTERVALOS DE CONFIANZA PARA a Y b
Precipitacion
Total
Anual
Caudales
Medios
Anuales
1477.00
2.65
10.4672
61.1093
1079.30
6.55
7.0714
0.2719
1053.90
6.30
6.8545
0.3075
831.50
5.31
4.9555
0.1256
1094.40
7.63
7.2004
0.1846
497.00
2.62
2.0994
0.2711
1008.80
5.24
6.4694
1.5115
1377.40
6.57
9.6168
9.2829
1446.50
12.48
10.2068
5.1674
1166.20
9.69
7.8134
3.5215
1222.80
12.87
8.2967
20.9149
778.40
4.43
4.5021
0.0052
1410.70
11.94
9.9011
4.1570
949.30
6.70
5.9614
0.5455
846.60
7.23
5.0845
4.6033
828.30
4.11
4.9282
0.6695
620.50
4.55
3.1539
1.9491
590.90
2.49
2.9011
0.1690
875.70
5.26
5.3330
0.0053
650.30
4.28
3.4083
0.7598
1328.60
21.08
9.2001
141.1319
1949.00
9.67
14.4975
23.3046
802.30
3.33
4.7062
1.8940
(y - i)2
1198.70
6.10
8.0909
3.9638
1318.40
5.95
9.1130
10.0046
1285.70
4.15
8.8338
21.9380
1765.40
6.82
12.9298
37.3295
878.00
2.98
5.3526
5.6292
1162.30
3.58
7.7801
17.6411
1116.20
4.74
7.3865
7.0039
1524.20
7.56
10.8703
10.9579
1100.90
7.83
7.2559
0.3296
933.60
4.71
5.8273
1.2484
876.60
5.39
5.3406
0.0024
992.80
4.89
6.3328
2.0817
2295.00
28.61
17.4519
124.5041
1430.10
9.52
10.0668
0.2990
1391.40
8.80
9.7363
0.8767
1324.60
10.90
9.1660
3.0069
1030.10
10.80
6.6513
17.2116
735.20
7.37
4.1333
10.4764
767.60
6.10
4.4099
2.8564
751.90
4.97
4.2759
0.4818
1175.30
8.17
7.8911
0.0778
933.40
6.54
5.8256
0.5103
1620.10
11.58
11.6891
0.0119
PRUEBA D
Yb
(xi x-
)2
127,869.9862
1,608.8819
4,291.6740
Tabla 3
INTERVALOS DE CONFIANZA PARA LA LI
xk
yk
Syk
82,892.6688
497.00
2.0994
1.2745
625.5436
556.93
2.6111
1.2134
387,395.2906
616.87
3.1229
1.1558
12,234.7645
676.80
3.6346
1.1022
66,558.3914
736.73
4.1464
1.0531
106,987.2992
796.67
4.6581
1.0093
2,189.2227
856.60
5.1699
0.9714
10,689.3123
916.53
5.6816
0.9402
116,288.4132
976.47
6.1934
0.9163
84,849.3575
1036.40
6.7051
0.9003
28,937.7079
1096.33
7.2169
0.8928
74,425.7706
1156.27
7.7286
0.8938
84,745.5384
1216.20
8.2404
0.9033
248,912.0558
1276.13
8.7521
0.9211
279,323.7392
1336.07
9.2639
0.9467
59,394.9879
1396.00
9.7756
0.9795
220,065.0079
1455.93
10.2874
1.0189
43,760.0923
1515.87
10.7991
1.0640
688,218.1253
1575.80
11.3109
1.1141
100,559.3036
1635.73
11.8226
1.1687
6,286.7662
1695.67
12.3344
1.2272
39,596.6740
1755.60
12.8461
1.2889
27,652.0749
1815.53
13.3579
1.3536
417,301.9566
1875.47
13.8696
1.4207
58,279.2079
1935.40
14.3814
1.4899
1,839.4775
1995.33
14.8931
1.5610
10.3097
2055.27
15.4049
1.6336
163,854.2401
2115.20
15.9166
1.7077
342.6523
2175.13
16.4284
1.7830
34,525.6792
2235.07
16.9401
1.8595
58,957.1184
2295.00
17.4519
1.9368
16,030.3123
1,382,009.8036
96,527.7358
73,978.0871
42,102.5792
7,976.4314
147,617.9923
123,770.8879
135,064.2392
3,123.5949
34,600.0436
250,689.6053
Tabla 3
ONFIANZA PARA LA LINEA DE REGRESION
1
2
1.2326
2.9661
1.7858
3.4364
2.3368
3.9090
2.8850
4.3842
3.4301
4.8626
3.9717
5.3445
4.5092
5.8305
5.0422
6.3210
5.5702
6.8165
Limite Maximo:
2295.00
6.0928
7.3174
Limite Mnimo:
497.00
6.6097
7.8240
N Intervalo
7.1208
8.3365
Intervalo:
7.6260
8.8547
8.1257
9.3786
8.6200
9.9077
9.1094
10.4418
9.5944
10.9803
10.0755
11.5227
10.5531
12.0686
11.0277
12.6175
30
59.933333
11.4997
13.1690
11.9695
13.7227
12.4373
14.2784
12.9034
14.8358
13.3681
15.3946
13.8315
15.9547
14.2938
16.5159
14.7552
17.0780
15.2157
17.6410
15.6755
18.2047
16.1346
18.7691
FICIENTE DE CORRELACIN
Se=
3.569
2.1. Hallando Se2 (Varianza de los residuos)
Se2=
12.734
2.2. Hallando Sa (Varianza de a)
Sa2=
2.956
2.3. Hallando Sb ( Varianza de b)
Sb2= 2.13842E-006
2.4. Los limites de confianza para a
1= 3.314
2= 0.975
2.5.3 Los limites de confianza de b
1= 0.0075441099
2= 0.0095331964
3. Intevalo de confianza para la linea de regresin
Los clculos para hallar los lmites de confianza 1 y 2 para cada
se encuentran en la tabla 2
4. Graficando
Encontramos puntos que estn fuera de la lnea de confianza lo que quiere decir que
ciente de correlacin
a prueba Tc
nacion ( R2 ) para una regresin lineal
Tc r
n2
1 R2
e regresin
anza 1 y 2 para cada valor aproximado de x k
Data X
Linear (Data X)
Limite Inferior
Limite Superior
fianza lo que quiere decir que la ecuacion lineal y = 0.648 x - 13.2 no explica del todo el comportamiento de
Limite Superior