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Worksheet Title

9.1 USD market data


9.2 Yen market data
9.3 Worksheet to estimate Yen-USD forward rates
9.4 Example of pricing a cross-currency basis swap
9.5 Deriving DF's from a generic swap curve plus a CCBS curve
9.6 Creating a synthetic foreign asset: Swapping a USD bond into fl
9.7 Swapping a SA bond into USD Libor
9.8 Pricing a 5 year Yen-USD diff swap
9.9 Pricing a 5 year Yen-USD quanto diff swap
9.10 Pricing a USD-Yen LTFX: analysing the USD leg (1)
9.11 Pricing a USD-Yen LTFX: analysing the USD leg (2)
9.12 Pricing a USD-Yen LTFX
9.13 Valuation of a CCBS - simulation removed
9.14 Valuation of a CCBS with simulation
9.15 Correlation matrix - used in the Simulation
9.16 Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with zero margin off unad
9.17 Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with zero margin off unad
9.18 Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with margin off unadjuste
9.19 Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with margin off unadjuste
9.20 Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with margin off adjusted c
9.21 Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with margin off adjusted c
9.22 Swapping a reverse dual currency A$-Yen bond into floating US
9.23 Swapping a dual currency A$-Yen bond into floating USD: calc
9.24 Pricing a 5 year Yen-USD quanto diff swap with Convexity - Ap
9.25 Pricing a 5 year Yen-USD quanto diff swap with Convexity - Ap

basis swap
urve plus a CCBS curve
wapping a USD bond into floating Yen

the USD leg (1)


the USD leg (2)

with zero margin off unadjusted curves - simulation removed


with zero margin off unadjusted curves - using simulation
with margin off unadjusted curves - simulation removed
with margin off unadjusted curves - using simulation
with margin off adjusted curves - simulation removed
with margin off adjusted curves - using simulation
-Yen bond into floating USD
nd into floating USD: calculating the breakeven coupon rate
swap with Convexity - Approach 1
swap with Convexity - Approach 2

9.1: USD market data

Today's date:

4-Feb-08
2

Settlement

Time

Z-c
rates

gradient

0.000
0.019
0.081
0.250
0.506
0.761
1.017
1.264
1.519
1.775
2.036
2.278
2.533
2.794
3.047
3.292
3.553
3.806
4.058
4.311
4.564
4.819
5.075
5.322
5.578
5.833
6.089
6.336
6.592
6.847
7.103
7.350
7.606
7.861
8.122
8.367
8.628
8.881
9.133
9.386
9.639
9.892
10.147
10.397
10.650
10.906
11.161
11.408
11.664
11.919
12.175
12.425
12.681
12.936
13.197
13.439
13.694
13.956
14.208
14.453
14.714
14.967
15.219
15.472
15.725
15.978
16.233
16.483
16.739
16.994
17.250
17.497
17.753
18.008
18.264
18.511
18.767
19.022
19.283
19.525
19.781
20.042
20.294
20.547
20.800
21.053
21.308
21.558
21.811
22.067
22.322
22.569
22.825
23.081
23.336
23.583
23.839
24.094
24.350
24.600
24.856
25.117
25.369
25.614
25.875
26.128
26.381
26.633
26.886
27.139
27.394
27.644
27.897
28.153
28.408
28.658
28.914
29.169
29.425
29.672
29.928
30.183
30.444

3.216%
3.216%
3.177%
3.133%
3.073%
2.955%
2.854%
2.787%
2.748%
2.737%
2.755%
2.798%
2.860%
2.929%
2.995%
3.057%
3.120%
3.180%
3.239%
3.298%
3.357%
3.417%
3.475%
3.531%
3.588%
3.643%
3.695%
3.742%
3.789%
3.833%
3.875%
3.913%
3.951%
3.987%
4.025%
4.060%
4.098%
4.133%
4.167%
4.200%
4.231%
4.261%
4.290%
4.317%
4.343%
4.368%
4.393%
4.416%
4.439%
4.461%
4.483%
4.503%
4.524%
4.544%
4.564%
4.582%
4.600%
4.618%
4.634%
4.650%
4.666%
4.680%
4.694%
4.707%
4.719%
4.730%
4.741%
4.752%
4.761%
4.771%
4.780%
4.788%
4.795%
4.803%
4.810%
4.816%
4.823%
4.829%
4.834%
4.839%
4.844%
4.849%
4.854%
4.858%
4.862%
4.866%
4.869%
4.872%
4.875%
4.878%
4.881%
4.883%
4.886%
4.888%
4.889%
4.891%
4.892%
4.894%
4.895%
4.896%
4.896%
4.897%
4.897%
4.897%
4.897%
4.897%
4.897%
4.896%
4.896%
4.895%
4.894%
4.894%
4.893%
4.892%
4.891%
4.890%
4.889%
4.888%
4.887%
4.886%
4.885%
4.884%
4.882%

0.0000
-0.0064
-0.0026
-0.0023
-0.0046
-0.0040
-0.0027
-0.0016
-0.0004
0.0007
0.0018
0.0024
0.0026
0.0026
0.0025
0.0024
0.0024
0.0023
0.0023
0.0023
0.0023
0.0023
0.0023
0.0022
0.0021
0.0020
0.0019
0.0018
0.0017
0.0016
0.0015
0.0015
0.0014
0.0014
0.0014
0.0014
0.0014
0.0014
0.0013
0.0012
0.0012
0.0011
0.0011
0.0010
0.0010
0.0010
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
0.0008
0.0008
0.0008
0.0008
0.0008
0.0007
0.0007
0.0007
0.0007
0.0006
0.0006
0.0006
0.0005
0.0005
0.0005
0.0005
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

DFs

6-Feb-08
13-Feb-08
6-Mar-08
6-May-08
6-Aug-08
6-Nov-08
6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13
6-May-13
6-Aug-13
6-Nov-13
6-Feb-14
6-May-14
6-Aug-14
6-Nov-14
6-Feb-15
6-May-15
6-Aug-15
6-Nov-15
8-Feb-16
6-May-16
8-Aug-16
7-Nov-16
6-Feb-17
8-May-17
7-Aug-17
6-Nov-17
6-Feb-18
7-May-18
6-Aug-18
6-Nov-18
6-Feb-19
6-May-19
6-Aug-19
6-Nov-19
6-Feb-20
6-May-20
6-Aug-20
6-Nov-20
8-Feb-21
6-May-21
6-Aug-21
8-Nov-21
7-Feb-22
6-May-22
8-Aug-22
7-Nov-22
6-Feb-23
8-May-23
7-Aug-23
6-Nov-23
6-Feb-24
6-May-24
6-Aug-24
6-Nov-24
6-Feb-25
6-May-25
6-Aug-25
6-Nov-25
6-Feb-26
6-May-26
6-Aug-26
6-Nov-26
8-Feb-27
6-May-27
6-Aug-27
8-Nov-27
7-Feb-28
8-May-28
7-Aug-28
6-Nov-28
6-Feb-29
7-May-29
6-Aug-29
6-Nov-29
6-Feb-30
6-May-30
6-Aug-30
6-Nov-30
6-Feb-31
6-May-31
6-Aug-31
6-Nov-31
6-Feb-32
6-May-32
6-Aug-32
8-Nov-32
7-Feb-33
6-May-33
8-Aug-33
7-Nov-33
6-Feb-34
8-May-34
7-Aug-34
6-Nov-34
6-Feb-35
7-May-35
6-Aug-35
6-Nov-35
6-Feb-36
6-May-36
6-Aug-36
6-Nov-36
6-Feb-37
6-May-37
6-Aug-37
6-Nov-37
8-Feb-38

1
0.999375
0.997444
0.992199
0.984582
0.977757
0.971397
0.965383
0.959112
0.952586
0.945458
0.938249
0.930114
0.921421
0.912764
0.904277
0.895080
0.886033
0.876830
0.867460
0.857939
0.848181
0.838308
0.828657
0.818623
0.808572
0.798542
0.788893
0.778986
0.769156
0.759411
0.750070
0.740476
0.730914
0.721150
0.711980
0.702199
0.692775
0.683432
0.674199
0.665077
0.656066
0.647070
0.638378
0.629697
0.621026
0.612459
0.604262
0.595886
0.587602
0.579409
0.571476
0.563459
0.555537
0.547547
0.540244
0.532627
0.524957
0.517641
0.510671
0.503346
0.496370
0.489511
0.482770
0.476145
0.469632
0.463159
0.456933
0.450675
0.444521
0.438469
0.432708
0.426850
0.421087
0.415418
0.410018
0.404525
0.399120
0.393684
0.388729
0.383570
0.378381
0.373434
0.368562
0.363763
0.359037
0.354332
0.349799
0.345286
0.340794
0.336371
0.332158
0.327870
0.323650
0.319496
0.315538
0.311512
0.307549
0.303649
0.299893
0.296114
0.292316
0.288697
0.285251
0.281629
0.278176
0.274776
0.271426
0.268126
0.264873
0.261632
0.258506
0.255389
0.252281
0.249216
0.246256
0.243271
0.240325
0.237417
0.234639
0.231803
0.229002
0.226176

0.250
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.250
0.253
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.250
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.250
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.250
0.253
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.250
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.250
0.253
0.256
0.256
0.250
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261

3.145%
3.027%
2.731%
2.562%
2.520%
2.558%
2.681%
2.887%
3.179%
3.422%
3.613%
3.752%
3.839%
3.935%
4.039%
4.152%
4.273%
4.390%
4.502%
4.609%
4.711%
4.796%
4.864%
4.915%
4.948%
4.976%
5.001%
5.021%
5.037%
5.070%
5.119%
5.185%
5.269%
5.335%
5.381%
5.409%
5.418%
5.426%
5.433%
5.440%
5.446%
5.454%
5.463%
5.474%
5.487%
5.501%
5.516%
5.533%
5.552%
5.568%
5.580%
5.589%
5.594%
5.596%
5.595%
5.591%
5.584%
5.573%
5.560%
5.543%
5.524%
5.505%
5.486%
5.468%
5.451%
5.434%
5.417%
5.401%
5.385%
5.370%
5.355%
5.341%
5.327%
5.313%
5.300%
5.287%
5.275%
5.263%
5.252%
5.241%
5.230%
5.219%
5.207%
5.196%
5.183%
5.171%
5.158%
5.145%
5.131%
5.117%
5.103%
5.088%
5.073%
5.058%
5.042%
5.026%
5.010%
4.993%
4.977%
4.959%
4.942%
4.926%
4.910%
4.896%
4.882%
4.870%
4.858%
4.847%
4.837%
4.828%
4.820%
4.813%
4.807%
4.801%
4.797%
4.793%
4.790%
4.788%
4.786%
4.785%

9.2: Yen market data

Today's date:
Settlement
Spot rate

4-Feb-08
0
106.601

Time

Z-C rates
Unadjusted

gradient

0.000
0.019
0.081
0.253
0.506
0.761
1.017
1.264
1.519
1.775
2.031
2.278
2.533
2.789
3.044
3.292
3.547
3.803
4.064
4.308
4.569
4.822
5.075
5.328
5.581
5.833
6.089
6.339
6.592
6.847
7.103

0.585%
0.585%
0.642%
0.870%
0.918%
0.976%
0.991%
0.955%
0.908%
0.871%
0.853%
0.859%
0.878%
0.905%
0.933%
0.960%
0.986%
1.010%
1.034%
1.055%
1.078%
1.101%
1.126%
1.153%
1.181%
1.210%
1.238%
1.265%
1.290%
1.316%
1.341%

0.0000
0.0094
0.0132
0.0019
0.0023
0.0006
-0.0015
-0.0018
-0.0015
-0.0007
0.0002
0.0008
0.0010
0.0011
0.0011
0.0010
0.0010
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
0.0010
0.0011
0.0011
0.0011
0.0011
0.0011
0.0010
0.0010
0.0010
0.0010

Z-C rates
Adjusted

0.250
0.506
0.761
1.017
1.264
1.519
1.775
2.036
2.278
2.533
2.794
3.047
3.292
3.553
3.806
4.058
4.311
4.564
4.819
5.075
5.322
5.578
5.833
6.089
6.336
6.592
6.847
7.103

0.869%
0.921%
0.980%
0.996%
0.962%
0.918%
0.884%
0.869%
0.877%
0.900%
0.929%
0.959%
0.987%
1.016%
1.043%
1.069%
1.094%
1.118%
1.144%
1.171%
1.200%
1.230%
1.261%
1.290%
1.317%
1.344%
1.371%
1.397%

gradient

7.350
7.606
7.861
8.117
8.367
8.622
8.878
9.139
9.381
9.636
9.897
10.150
10.394
10.656
10.908
11.161
11.414
11.667
11.919
12.175
12.425
12.681
12.936
13.192
13.439
13.694
13.950
14.206
14.453
14.708
14.964
15.225
15.467
15.722
15.983
16.236
16.489
16.742
16.994
17.250
17.500
17.753
18.008

1.366%
1.392%
1.418%
1.445%
1.473%
1.502%
1.532%
1.561%
1.588%
1.615%
1.642%
1.667%
1.691%
1.714%
1.737%
1.758%
1.779%
1.799%
1.820%
1.840%
1.859%
1.879%
1.899%
1.919%
1.937%
1.956%
1.975%
1.993%
2.010%
2.027%
2.044%
2.061%
2.076%
2.092%
2.107%
2.122%
2.136%
2.150%
2.163%
2.176%
2.189%
2.202%
2.214%

0.0010
0.0010
0.0011
0.0011
0.0011
0.0011
0.0011
0.0011
0.0011
0.0010
0.0010
0.0009
0.0009
0.0009
0.0008
0.0008
0.0008
0.0008
0.0008
0.0008
0.0008
0.0008
0.0008
0.0008
0.0007
0.0007
0.0007
0.0007
0.0007
0.0007
0.0006
0.0006
0.0006
0.0006
0.0006
0.0006
0.0005
0.0005
0.0005
0.0005
0.0005
0.0005
0.0005

7.350
7.606
7.861
8.122
8.367
8.628
8.881
9.133
9.386
9.639
9.892
10.147
10.397
10.650
10.906
11.161
11.408
11.664
11.919
12.175
12.425
12.681
12.936
13.197
13.439
13.694
13.956
14.208
14.453
14.714
14.967
15.219
15.472
15.725
15.978
16.233
16.483
16.739
16.994
17.250
17.497
17.753
18.008

1.422%
1.448%
1.475%
1.504%
1.532%
1.562%
1.592%
1.621%
1.650%
1.678%
1.704%
1.730%
1.755%
1.778%
1.801%
1.823%
1.843%
1.864%
1.885%
1.905%
1.924%
1.944%
1.963%
1.983%
2.001%
2.019%
2.038%
2.055%
2.072%
2.089%
2.105%
2.121%
2.136%
2.151%
2.165%
2.179%
2.193%
2.206%
2.220%
2.232%
2.245%
2.257%
2.269%

18.264
18.511
18.767
19.022
19.278
19.525
19.781
20.036
20.292
20.542
20.797
21.058
21.311
21.556
21.817
22.069
22.322
22.575
22.828
23.081
23.336
23.586
23.839
24.094
24.350
24.600
24.856
25.111
25.367
25.614
25.869
26.125
26.386
26.628
26.883
27.144
27.397
27.642
27.903
28.156
28.408
28.661
28.914

2.226%
2.237%
2.249%
2.260%
2.271%
2.282%
2.293%
2.303%
2.313%
2.323%
2.333%
2.343%
2.352%
2.361%
2.371%
2.379%
2.388%
2.397%
2.405%
2.413%
2.422%
2.429%
2.437%
2.445%
2.452%
2.459%
2.467%
2.474%
2.481%
2.487%
2.494%
2.500%
2.507%
2.513%
2.519%
2.525%
2.530%
2.536%
2.542%
2.547%
2.552%
2.557%
2.563%

0.0005
0.0005
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0004
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0003
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002

18.264
18.511
18.767
19.022
19.283
19.525
19.781
20.042
20.294
20.547
20.800
21.053
21.308
21.558
21.811
22.067
22.322
22.569
22.825
23.081
23.336
23.583
23.839
24.094
24.350
24.600
24.856
25.117
25.369
25.614
25.875
26.128
26.381
26.633
26.886
27.139
27.394
27.644
27.897
28.153
28.408
28.658
28.914

2.281%
2.292%
2.303%
2.315%
2.326%
2.336%
2.346%
2.357%
2.367%
2.377%
2.387%
2.396%
2.405%
2.414%
2.423%
2.432%
2.441%
2.449%
2.458%
2.466%
2.474%
2.481%
2.489%
2.497%
2.504%
2.511%
2.518%
2.525%
2.532%
2.538%
2.545%
2.551%
2.557%
2.563%
2.569%
2.574%
2.580%
2.585%
2.590%
2.596%
2.601%
2.606%
2.611%

29.169
29.425
29.672
29.928
30.183
30.439

2.568%
2.573%
2.577%
2.582%
2.587%
2.592%

0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002
0.0002

29.169
29.425
29.672
29.928
30.183
30.444

2.616%
2.620%
2.625%
2.630%
2.634%
2.638%

Acc
day count
4-Feb-08
6-Feb-08
6-Aug-08
6-Feb-09
6-Aug-09
8-Feb-10
6-Aug-10
7-Feb-11
8-Aug-11
6-Feb-12
6-Aug-12
6-Feb-13

0.006
0.511
1.022
1.525
2.042
2.539
3.053
3.558
4.064
4.569
5.081

Interpolated
Z-C rates
0.585%
0.919%
0.990%
0.907%
0.853%
0.879%
0.934%
0.987%
1.034%
1.078%
1.126%

Day count
Act/365
0.005
0.499
0.504
0.496
0.510
0.490
0.507
0.499
0.499
0.499
0.504

DFs

0.999968
0.995313
0.989927
0.986261
0.982738
0.977929
0.971886
0.965500
0.958840
0.951932
0.944387

0
0.00547927
0.50177246
1.00080403
1.48988131
1.99067379
2.47026111
2.96286091
3.44428846
3.92239484
4.39705691
4.87313146

Forward
swaps

0.938%
1.009%
0.923%
0.868%
0.894%
0.950%
1.002%
1.050%
1.094%
1.142%

9.3: Worksheet to estimate Yen-USD forward rates


Today's date:
Settlement
Spot rate:

3
6
12

6-Feb-08
6-May-08
6-Aug-08
6-Feb-09

Act/360
0.250
0.506
1.017

4-Feb-08
2
106.601

Offer-JPY

Bid-JPY

mid-JPY

0.872%
0.921%
0.995%

0.747%
0.796%
0.870%

0.809%
0.858%
0.933%

Offer-USD

Bid-USD

mid-USD

theoretical
forwards

3.145%
3.098%
2.896%

3.020%
2.973%
2.771%

3.083%
3.035%
2.834%

105.9998
105.4457
104.5986

% change
in rate

quoted
forwards

0.56%
1.08%
1.88%

105.99
105.46
104.55

implied
Yen rate

Skew
(bp)

0.7608%
0.8816%
0.8906%

-4.85
2.33
-4.24

9.4: Example of pricing a cross-currency basis swap


Today's date:

4-Feb-08

Current spot rate =

106.601

FX volatility =
Probability
Envelope multiplier =

Spread on CCBS
3mo. Forward skew
borrowing margin
depositing margin

25% pa.
75%
1.150

Assume a principal of
Yen principal

0
2
3
-5

bp
bp
bp
bp

75% FX envelope
assuming 25% pa. volatility

1.00 m USD
106.601 m Yen
180

Period

Day
count

USD
df's

Yen
df's

excess
(Yen)

Estimated
forward FX envelope ---------------->
rates
0.75 up
0.75 down

cost of
excess
per
period

Day
count

shortfall
(Yen)

cost of
shortfall
per
period

6-Feb-08
6-May-08
6-Aug-08
6-Nov-08
6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11

0
0.250
0.506
0.761
1.017
1.264
1.519
1.775
2.036
2.278
2.533
2.794
3.047

[1]

[2]

1
0.992199
0.984582
0.977757
0.971397
0.965383
0.959112
0.952586
0.945458
0.938249
0.930114
0.921421
0.912764

1
0.997836
0.995370
0.992601
0.989973
0.988002
0.986298
0.984664
0.982787
0.980632
0.977991
0.975014
0.971954

[3]
106.601
105.999
105.446
105.007
104.601
104.161
103.663
103.128
102.552
101.994
101.382
100.741
100.109

[4]

[5]
106.601
122.391
129.370
134.952
139.788
143.918
147.767
151.279
154.584
157.425
160.234
162.928
165.386

106.601
91.802
85.946
81.706
78.271
75.386
72.722
70.304
68.034
66.081
64.146
62.291
60.597

[6]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

[7]

[8]

140
120

Spot
100
rate

[9]

80
15,790,063
22,769,008
28,351,373
33,186,647
37,317,452
41,166,303
44,677,567
47,982,509
50,823,561
53,633,209
56,326,562

0.250
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253

Total =

(5,319)
(8,235)
(9,451)
(10,415)
(10,882)
(11,958)
(12,616)
(13,497)
(13,012)
(14,220)
(14,986)
(14,925)
(137,214)

Estimated PV of 1 bp in Yen (Q)


Equivalent margin =

160

14,799,007
20,655,498
24,894,803
28,330,056
31,215,174
33,878,896
36,297,419
38,567,237
40,520,415
42,454,937
44,310,455

(5,319)
(4,294)
(3,836)
(3,504)
(3,132)
(3,013)
(2,807)
(2,677)
(2,311)
(2,290)
(2,185)
(1,972)
(36,873)
32,004

4.29

1.15 bp's

60
40
20
0
0

0.5

1.5

Time2.5
(years)

Market data

9.5: Deriving DF's from a generic


Note: these dates are 2 days forwa

Today's date:
Settlement

4-Feb-08
0

Swap rates (mid)


CCBS
Years
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
12
15
20
25
30

4-Feb-08
4-Feb-09
4-Feb-10
4-Feb-11
6-Feb-12
4-Feb-13
4-Feb-14
4-Feb-15
4-Feb-16
6-Feb-17
5-Feb-18
4-Feb-20
6-Feb-23
4-Feb-28
4-Feb-33
4-Feb-38
against

0.500
1.625
2.500
3.500
4.500
5.500

6.250
6.000
5.500
5.000
3mo. USD Libor

Unadjusted
Z-C rates
0.000
0.019
0.081
0.253
0.506
0.761
1.017
1.264
1.519
1.775
2.031
2.278
2.533
2.789
3.044
3.292
3.547
3.803
4.064
4.308
4.569
4.822
5.075
5.328
5.581
5.833
6.089
6.339
6.592
6.847
7.103
7.350
7.606
7.861
8.117
8.367
8.622

0.585%
0.585%
0.642%
0.870%
0.918%
0.976%
0.991%
0.955%
0.908%
0.871%
0.853%
0.859%
0.878%
0.905%
0.933%
0.960%
0.986%
1.010%
1.034%
1.055%
1.078%
1.101%
1.126%
1.153%
1.181%
1.210%
1.238%
1.265%
1.290%
1.316%
1.341%
1.366%
1.392%
1.418%
1.445%
1.473%
1.502%

8.878
9.139
9.381
9.636
9.897
10.150
10.394
10.656
10.908
11.161
11.414
11.667
11.919
12.175
12.425
12.681
12.936
13.192
13.439
13.694
13.950
14.206
14.453
14.708
14.964
15.225
15.467
15.722
15.983
16.236
16.489
16.742
16.994
17.250
17.500
17.753
18.008
18.264
18.511
18.767
19.022
19.278
19.525
19.781

1.532%
1.561%
1.588%
1.615%
1.642%
1.667%
1.691%
1.714%
1.737%
1.758%
1.779%
1.799%
1.820%
1.840%
1.859%
1.879%
1.899%
1.919%
1.937%
1.956%
1.975%
1.993%
2.010%
2.027%
2.044%
2.061%
2.076%
2.092%
2.107%
2.122%
2.136%
2.150%
2.163%
2.176%
2.189%
2.202%
2.214%
2.226%
2.237%
2.249%
2.260%
2.271%
2.282%
2.293%

20.036
20.292
20.542
20.797
21.058
21.311
21.556
21.817
22.069
22.322
22.575
22.828
23.081
23.336
23.586
23.839
24.094
24.350
24.600
24.856
25.111
25.367
25.614
25.869
26.125
26.386
26.628
26.883
27.144
27.397
27.642
27.903
28.156
28.408
28.661
28.914
29.169
29.425
29.672
29.928
30.183
30.439

2.303%
2.313%
2.323%
2.333%
2.343%
2.352%
2.361%
2.371%
2.379%
2.388%
2.397%
2.405%
2.413%
2.422%
2.429%
2.437%
2.445%
2.452%
2.459%
2.467%
2.474%
2.481%
2.487%
2.494%
2.500%
2.507%
2.513%
2.519%
2.525%
2.530%
2.536%
2.542%
2.547%
2.552%
2.557%
2.563%
2.568%
2.573%
2.577%
2.582%
2.587%
2.592%

: Deriving DF's from a generic swap curve plus a CCBS curve


te: these dates are 2 days forward, following the convention in the CCS market

Gradient
0.000
0.009
0.013
0.002
0.002
0.001
-0.001
-0.002
-0.001
-0.001
0.000
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001

CCBS
0
1
2
3
4
5
7
10
15
20
30

0.500
1.625
2.500
3.500
4.500
5.500
6.250
6.000
5.500
5.000

Valuation
[1]
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000

Spread over
3mo. Forwards
[2]
0
0.798
3.909
4.510
7.822
9.104
7.388
8.861
2.118
4.857
1.918

Gradient
[3]
0.7984
3.1109
0.6004
3.3125
1.2815
-0.8579
0.4909
-1.3485
0.5478
-0.2939

0
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
1.75
2.00
2.25
2.50
2.75
3.00
3.25
3.50
3.75
4.00
4.25
4.50
4.75
5.00
5.25
5.50
5.75
6.00
6.25
6.50
6.75
7.00
7.25
7.50
7.75
8.00
8.25
8.50
8.75
9.00

0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000

9.25
9.50
9.75
10.00
10.25
10.50
10.75
11.00
11.25
11.50
11.75
12.00
12.25
12.50
12.75
13.00
13.25
13.50
13.75
14.00
14.25
14.50
14.75
15.00
15.25
15.50
15.75
16.00
16.25
16.50
16.75
17.00
17.25
17.50
17.75
18.00
18.25
18.50
18.75
19.00
19.25
19.50
19.75
20.00

0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000

20.25
20.50
20.75
21.00
21.25
21.50
21.75
22.00
22.25
22.50
22.75
23.00
23.25
23.50
23.75
24.00
24.25
24.50
24.75
25.00
25.25
25.50
25.75
26.00
26.25
26.50
26.75
27.00
27.25
27.50
27.75
28.00
28.25
28.50
28.75
29.00
29.25
29.50
29.75
30.00

Forward
dates
[4]
6-Feb-08
6-May-08
6-Aug-08
6-Nov-08
6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13
6-May-13
6-Aug-13
6-Nov-13
6-Feb-14
6-May-14
6-Aug-14
6-Nov-14
6-Feb-15
6-May-15
6-Aug-15
6-Nov-15
8-Feb-16
6-May-16
8-Aug-16
7-Nov-16
6-Feb-17

days
Act/360

0.250
0.506
0.761
1.017
1.264
1.519
1.775
2.036
2.278
2.533
2.794
3.047
3.292
3.553
3.806
4.058
4.311
4.564
4.819
5.075
5.322
5.578
5.833
6.089
6.336
6.592
6.847
7.103
7.350
7.606
7.861
8.122
8.367
8.628
8.881
9.133

Interpolated
Z-C rates
[5]
0.867%
0.918%
0.976%
0.991%
0.955%
0.908%
0.871%
0.853%
0.859%
0.878%
0.905%
0.934%
0.960%
0.986%
1.011%
1.034%
1.056%
1.078%
1.101%
1.126%
1.152%
1.181%
1.210%
1.238%
1.264%
1.290%
1.316%
1.341%
1.366%
1.392%
1.418%
1.446%
1.473%
1.503%
1.532%
1.560%

Unadjusted
days
DFs Act/360
1
0.997836
0.995370
0.992601
0.989973
0.988002
0.986298
0.984664
0.982787
0.980632
0.977991
0.975014
0.971954
0.968908
0.965572
0.962272
0.958915
0.955508
0.952010
0.948335
0.944475
0.940519
0.936253
0.931856
0.927378
0.923015
0.918456
0.913833
0.909130
0.904488
0.899573
0.894521
0.889194
0.884038
0.878385
0.872809
0.867167

0.250
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253

3mo. Forwards
unadjusted
[6]
0.8676%
0.9692%
1.0919%
1.0386%
0.8068%
0.6760%
0.6497%
0.7312%
0.9094%
1.0566%
1.1695%
1.2455%
1.2861%
1.3233%
1.3567%
1.3849%
1.4105%
1.4535%
1.5162%
1.5995%
1.7014%
1.7828%
1.8463%
1.8894%
1.9120%
1.9424%
1.9797%
2.0242%
2.0760%
2.1378%
2.2101%
2.2942%
2.3860%
2.4646%
2.5273%
2.5739%

CCBS
spreads

0.500

1.625

2.500

3.500

4.500

5.500

8-May-17
7-Aug-17
6-Nov-17
6-Feb-18
7-May-18
6-Aug-18
6-Nov-18
6-Feb-19
6-May-19
6-Aug-19
6-Nov-19
6-Feb-20
6-May-20
6-Aug-20
6-Nov-20
8-Feb-21
6-May-21
6-Aug-21
8-Nov-21
7-Feb-22
6-May-22
8-Aug-22
7-Nov-22
6-Feb-23
8-May-23
7-Aug-23
6-Nov-23
6-Feb-24
6-May-24
6-Aug-24
6-Nov-24
6-Feb-25
6-May-25
6-Aug-25
6-Nov-25
6-Feb-26
6-May-26
6-Aug-26
6-Nov-26
8-Feb-27
6-May-27
6-Aug-27
8-Nov-27
7-Feb-28

9.386
9.639
9.892
10.147
10.397
10.650
10.906
11.161
11.408
11.664
11.919
12.175
12.425
12.681
12.936
13.197
13.439
13.694
13.956
14.208
14.453
14.714
14.967
15.219
15.472
15.725
15.978
16.233
16.483
16.739
16.994
17.250
17.497
17.753
18.008
18.264
18.511
18.767
19.022
19.283
19.525
19.781
20.042
20.294

1.588%
1.616%
1.642%
1.667%
1.691%
1.714%
1.736%
1.758%
1.778%
1.799%
1.820%
1.840%
1.859%
1.879%
1.899%
1.919%
1.937%
1.956%
1.975%
1.993%
2.010%
2.028%
2.044%
2.061%
2.077%
2.092%
2.107%
2.122%
2.136%
2.150%
2.163%
2.176%
2.189%
2.202%
2.214%
2.226%
2.237%
2.249%
2.260%
2.272%
2.282%
2.293%
2.303%
2.313%

0.861490
0.855794
0.850101
0.844362
0.838780
0.833162
0.827497
0.821841
0.816370
0.810705
0.805025
0.799322
0.793714
0.787957
0.782183
0.776274
0.770798
0.765009
0.759102
0.753395
0.747891
0.742035
0.736393
0.730783
0.725207
0.719667
0.714163
0.708634
0.703259
0.697799
0.692374
0.686984
0.681802
0.676479
0.671190
0.665935
0.660882
0.655692
0.650534
0.645298
0.640481
0.635418
0.630278
0.625333

0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.250
0.253
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.250
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.250
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253

2.6073%
2.6327%
2.6493%
2.6598%
2.6621%
2.6675%
2.6786%
2.6932%
2.7109%
2.7341%
2.7610%
2.7917%
2.8266%
2.8588%
2.8883%
2.9155%
2.9396%
2.9611%
2.9803%
2.9969%
3.0106%
3.0221%
3.0311%
3.0369%
3.0418%
3.0453%
3.0486%
3.0535%
3.0571%
3.0618%
3.0660%
3.0701%
3.0742%
3.0791%
3.0834%
3.0880%
3.0927%
3.0974%
3.1023%
3.1075%
3.1124%
3.1177%
3.1233%
3.1286%

6.250

6.000

5.500

8-May-28
7-Aug-28
6-Nov-28
6-Feb-29
7-May-29
6-Aug-29
6-Nov-29
6-Feb-30
6-May-30
6-Aug-30
6-Nov-30
6-Feb-31
6-May-31
6-Aug-31
6-Nov-31
6-Feb-32
6-May-32
6-Aug-32
8-Nov-32
7-Feb-33
6-May-33
8-Aug-33
7-Nov-33
6-Feb-34
8-May-34
7-Aug-34
6-Nov-34
6-Feb-35
7-May-35
6-Aug-35
6-Nov-35
6-Feb-36
6-May-36
6-Aug-36
6-Nov-36
6-Feb-37
6-May-37
6-Aug-37
6-Nov-37
8-Feb-38

20.547
20.800
21.053
21.308
21.558
21.811
22.067
22.322
22.569
22.825
23.081
23.336
23.583
23.839
24.094
24.350
24.600
24.856
25.117
25.369
25.614
25.875
26.128
26.381
26.633
26.886
27.139
27.394
27.644
27.897
28.153
28.408
28.658
28.914
29.169
29.425
29.672
29.928
30.183
30.444

2.323%
2.333%
2.343%
2.352%
2.361%
2.370%
2.379%
2.388%
2.397%
2.405%
2.413%
2.422%
2.429%
2.437%
2.445%
2.452%
2.459%
2.467%
2.474%
2.481%
2.487%
2.494%
2.500%
2.507%
2.513%
2.519%
2.524%
2.530%
2.536%
2.541%
2.547%
2.552%
2.557%
2.563%
2.568%
2.573%
2.577%
2.582%
2.587%
2.592%

0.620417
0.615532
0.610679
0.605804
0.601065
0.596308
0.591530
0.586787
0.582231
0.577555
0.572914
0.568308
0.563886
0.559350
0.554850
0.550387
0.546055
0.541663
0.537214
0.532943
0.528846
0.524508
0.520343
0.516214
0.512118
0.508057
0.504030
0.499992
0.496074
0.492146
0.488206
0.484299
0.480508
0.476664
0.472852
0.469070
0.465441
0.461719
0.458028
0.454300

0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.250
0.253
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.250
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.250
0.253
0.256
0.256
0.250
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261

3.1344%
3.1396%
3.1439%
3.1491%
3.1533%
3.1563%
3.1603%
3.1633%
3.1652%
3.1681%
3.1699%
3.1712%
3.1720%
3.1732%
3.1734%
3.1735%
3.1732%
3.1726%
3.1719%
3.1705%
3.1690%
3.1676%
3.1661%
3.1643%
3.1640%
3.1622%
3.1607%
3.1603%
3.1593%
3.1577%
3.1576%
3.1568%
3.1558%
3.1556%
3.1550%
3.1546%
3.1543%
3.1540%
3.1539%
3.1423%

5.000

Spread to
3mo. Forward
curve
[7]

New
3mo. Forward
curve
[8]

0.200
0.399
0.599
0.798
1.576
2.354
3.132
3.909
4.059
4.210
4.360
4.510
5.338
6.166
6.994
7.822
8.143
8.463
8.783
9.104
8.889
8.675
8.460
8.246
8.031
7.817
7.602
7.388
7.511
7.633
7.756
7.879
8.002
8.124
8.247
8.370

0.8696%
0.9732%
1.0979%
1.0466%
0.8226%
0.6996%
0.6810%
0.7703%
0.9499%
1.0987%
1.2130%
1.2906%
1.3395%
1.3849%
1.4267%
1.4631%
1.4919%
1.5381%
1.6041%
1.6905%
1.7903%
1.8695%
1.9309%
1.9719%
1.9923%
2.0206%
2.0557%
2.0981%
2.1511%
2.2142%
2.2877%
2.3730%
2.4661%
2.5458%
2.6098%
2.6576%

Yen
DF's
adjusted
[9]
1
0.997831
0.995355
0.992571
0.989923
0.987914
0.986151
0.984437
0.982462
0.980211
0.977467
0.974380
0.971212
0.968042
0.964554
0.961088
0.957547
0.953949
0.950255
0.946375
0.942304
0.938152
0.933691
0.929106
0.924448
0.919917
0.915191
0.910408
0.905553
0.900762
0.895694
0.890488
0.885004
0.879701
0.873892
0.868165
0.862372

valuation of
CCBS
[10]

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

smoothing
constraint
27.51
[11]

0.000001
0.000002
0.000000
0.000005
0.000002
0.000000
0.000001
0.000003
0.000002
0.000001
0.000001
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000001
0.000001
0.000001
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000001
0.000001
0.000001
0.000001
0.000000
0.000000

8.492
8.615
8.738
8.861
8.523
8.186
7.849
7.512
7.175
6.838
6.501
6.164
5.826
5.489
5.152
4.815
4.478
4.141
3.804
3.466
3.129
2.792
2.455
2.118
2.255
2.392
2.529
2.666
2.803
2.940
3.077
3.214
3.351
3.487
3.624
3.761
3.898
4.035
4.172
4.309
4.446
4.583
4.720
4.857

2.6922%
2.7189%
2.7367%
2.7484%
2.7473%
2.7493%
2.7571%
2.7683%
2.7827%
2.8025%
2.8260%
2.8534%
2.8848%
2.9137%
2.9398%
2.9637%
2.9843%
3.0025%
3.0184%
3.0315%
3.0419%
3.0501%
3.0557%
3.0580%
3.0644%
3.0692%
3.0739%
3.0801%
3.0851%
3.0912%
3.0968%
3.1022%
3.1077%
3.1140%
3.1196%
3.1256%
3.1317%
3.1378%
3.1440%
3.1506%
3.1569%
3.1635%
3.1705%
3.1772%

0.856543
0.850696
0.844852
0.838959 0.833236
0.827485
0.821696
0.815924
0.810349
0.804587
0.798817
0.793035
0.787356
0.781537
0.775709
0.769752
0.764240
0.758421
0.752490
0.746768
0.741256
0.735399
0.729763
0.724165 0.718598
0.713066
0.707568
0.702042
0.696669
0.691209
0.685781
0.680387
0.675200
0.669869
0.664571
0.659305
0.654239
0.649035
0.643862
0.638608
0.633773
0.628690
0.623528
0.618561 -

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000

4.784
4.710
4.637
4.563
4.490
4.416
4.343
4.269
4.196
4.122
4.049
3.975
3.902
3.828
3.755
3.681
3.608
3.534
3.461
3.387
3.314
3.240
3.167
3.093
3.020
2.946
2.873
2.799
2.726
2.653
2.579
2.506
2.432
2.359
2.285
2.212
2.138
2.065
1.991
1.918

3.1822%
3.1867%
3.1903%
3.1947%
3.1982%
3.2005%
3.2038%
3.2060%
3.2072%
3.2093%
3.2104%
3.2109%
3.2111%
3.2115%
3.2109%
3.2103%
3.2093%
3.2080%
3.2065%
3.2043%
3.2021%
3.2000%
3.1977%
3.1952%
3.1942%
3.1917%
3.1894%
3.1883%
3.1866%
3.1842%
3.1834%
3.1819%
3.1801%
3.1792%
3.1778%
3.1767%
3.1756%
3.1747%
3.1738%
3.1615%

0.613625
0.608721
0.603852
0.598962
0.594210
0.589442
0.584655
0.579904
0.575342
0.570662
0.566018
0.561411
0.556989
0.552455
0.547959
0.543500
0.539174
0.534790
0.530349
0.526088
0.522002
0.517677
0.513526
0.509411
0.505331
0.501287
0.497278
0.493259
0.489360
0.485453
0.481535
0.477651
0.473884
0.470065
0.466278
0.462523
0.458920
0.455227
0.451564
0.447867 -

0.000000

0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000

Z-C rates
Adjusted
3.5000%

0.0000

0.250
0.506
0.761
1.017
1.264
1.519
1.775
2.036
2.278
2.533
2.794
3.047
3.292
3.553
3.806
4.058
4.311
4.564
4.819
5.075
5.322
5.578
5.833
6.089
6.336
6.592
6.847
7.103
7.350
7.606
7.861
8.122
8.367
8.628

Forward curves a

0.869%
0.921%
0.980%
0.996%
0.962%
0.918%
0.884%
0.869%
0.877%
0.900%
0.929%
0.959%
0.987%
1.016%
1.043%
1.069%
1.094%
1.118%
1.144%
1.171%
1.200%
1.230%
1.261%
1.290%
1.317%
1.344%
1.371%
1.397%
1.422%
1.448%
1.475%
1.504%
1.532%
1.562%

3.0000%

2.5000%

2.0000%

1.5000%

1.0000%

0.5000%

0.0000%
0.000

5.000

10.000

15.0

8.881
9.133
9.386
9.639
9.892
10.147
10.397
10.650
10.906
11.161
11.408
11.664
11.919
12.175
12.425
12.681
12.936
13.197
13.439
13.694
13.956
14.208
14.453
14.714
14.967
15.219
15.472
15.725
15.978
16.233
16.483
16.739
16.994
17.250
17.497
17.753
18.008
18.264
18.511
18.767
19.022
19.283
19.525
19.781

1.592%
1.621%
1.650%
1.678%
1.704%
1.730%
1.755%
1.778%
1.801%
1.823%
1.843%
1.864%
1.885%
1.905%
1.924%
1.944%
1.963%
1.983%
2.001%
2.019%
2.038%
2.055%
2.072%
2.089%
2.105%
2.121%
2.136%
2.151%
2.165%
2.179%
2.193%
2.206%
2.220%
2.232%
2.245%
2.257%
2.269%
2.281%
2.292%
2.303%
2.315%
2.326%
2.336%
2.346%

20.042
20.294
20.547
20.800
21.053
21.308
21.558
21.811
22.067
22.322
22.569
22.825
23.081
23.336
23.583
23.839
24.094
24.350
24.600
24.856
25.117
25.369
25.614
25.875
26.128
26.381
26.633
26.886
27.139
27.394
27.644
27.897
28.153
28.408
28.658
28.914
29.169
29.425
29.672
29.928
30.183
30.444

2.357%
2.367%
2.377%
2.387%
2.396%
2.405%
2.414%
2.423%
2.432%
2.441%
2.449%
2.458%
2.466%
2.474%
2.481%
2.489%
2.497%
2.504%
2.511%
2.518%
2.525%
2.532%
2.538%
2.545%
2.551%
2.557%
2.563%
2.569%
2.574%
2.580%
2.585%
2.590%
2.596%
2.601%
2.606%
2.611%
2.616%
2.620%
2.625%
2.630%
2.634%
2.638%

Forward curves adjusted for the CCBS

Unadjusted Forward curve


Adjusted Forward curve

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

9.6: Creating a synthetic foreign asset: Swapping a USD bond into floating Yen
Today's date =
Current spot rate =

106.601

1. USD Bond details:

2. USD swap details

Maturity =
coupon =
redemption =

15-Sep-13
3.75% SA
100

clean price =
Fraction of year =
accrued interest =
dirty price =

96.0000
0.110 to next coupon
3.3390
99.3390
USD
IBOR
DFs

Bond
dates

-66
-60
-54
-48
-42
-36
-30
-24
-18
-12
-6
0

6-Feb-08
17-Mar-08
15-Sep-08
16-Mar-09
15-Sep-09
15-Mar-10
15-Sep-10
15-Mar-11
15-Sep-11
15-Mar-12
17-Sep-12
15-Mar-13
15-Sep-13

6.3 Creating a synthetic foreign asset: Swapping a USD bond into floating Yen

4-Feb-08

0.111
0.617
1.122
1.631
2.133
2.644
3.147
3.658
4.164
4.681
5.178
5.689

3.169%
3.022%
2.826%
2.743%
2.772%
2.889%
3.021%
3.145%
3.264%
3.384%
3.499%
3.612%

1
0.996485
0.981536
0.968786
0.956263
0.942575
0.926446
0.909315
0.891324
0.872937
0.853503
0.834310
0.814265

PV (m $) on 100m nominal =
PV (m Yen) =

Maturity
Principal
3 mo. Libor +

Swap
cashflows
pay side
99,339,041 |
|
-3,750,000 |
|
-3,750,000 |
|
-3,750,000 |
|
-3,750,000 |
|
-3,750,000 |
|
-103,750,000 |

-2,425,016
-258,509,127

Swap
dates
6-Feb-08
6-May-08
6-Aug-08
6-Nov-08
6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13
6-May-13
6-Aug-13

4. Yen swap details

Uses unadjusted Yen IRS curve

Uses Yen IRS curve adjusted for CCBS

5 years
100 m USD
47.65 bp margin

Maturity
Principal
3 mo. Libor +
CCBS margin
Less CCBS =

day
count

USD
IBOR
DFs

margin
cashflows

0.250
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256

1
0.992199
0.984582
0.977757
0.971397
0.965383
0.959112
0.952586
0.945458
0.938249
0.930114
0.921421
0.912764
0.904277
0.895080
0.886033
0.876830
0.867460
0.857939
0.848181
0.838308
0.828657
0.818623

119,126
121,773
121,773
121,773
117,802
121,773
121,773
124,420
115,155
121,773
124,420
120,449
116,479
124,420
120,449
120,449
120,449
120,449
121,773
121,773
117,802
121,773

PV (m $) on 100m nominal =
Net PV =

3. Yen swap details

2,425,016
0

Unadjusted
Z-C rates

0.006
0.256
0.511
0.767
1.022
1.269
1.525
1.781
2.042
2.283
2.539
2.800
3.053
3.297
3.558
3.811
4.064
4.317
4.569
4.825
5.081
5.328
5.583

0.585%
0.871%
0.919%
0.976%
0.990%
0.954%
0.907%
0.870%
0.853%
0.859%
0.879%
0.906%
0.934%
0.960%
0.987%
1.011%
1.034%
1.056%
1.078%
1.101%
1.126%
1.153%
1.182%

Yen
IBOR
DFs
[1]
0.999968
0.997777
0.995313
0.992544
0.989927
0.987963
0.986261
0.984623
0.982738
0.980576
0.977929
0.974948
0.971886
0.968838
0.965500
0.962199
0.958840
0.955432
0.951932
0.948254
0.944387
0.940429
0.936159
PV (Yen) =
Net PV =

5.5
10
47.75
4.75
52.50

Implied
forwards
[2]
0.878%
0.969%
1.092%
1.035%
0.804%
0.675%
0.651%
0.735%
0.912%
1.059%
1.171%
1.246%
1.287%
1.324%
1.357%
1.386%
1.411%
1.454%
1.518%
1.602%
1.703%
1.785%

years
bn Yen
bp margin

Maturity
Principal
3 mo. Libor +

5.5 years
10 bn Yen
52.54 bp margin

bp margin

Libor
cashflows

margin
cashflows

-10,000,000,000
21,953,237
24,753,993
27,897,295
26,442,238
19,879,599
17,256,027
16,635,919
19,179,765
22,050,123
27,060,433
30,577,777
31,507,535
31,458,595
34,572,175
34,311,718
35,033,303
35,667,236
36,765,082
38,794,075
40,941,687
42,092,381
10,045,608,417

11,936,718
12,201,979
12,201,979
12,201,979
11,804,088
12,201,979
12,201,979
12,467,239
11,538,828
12,201,979
12,467,239
12,069,349
11,671,458
12,467,239
12,069,349
12,069,349
12,069,349
12,069,349
12,201,979
12,201,979
11,804,088
12,201,979

0.00000

258,509,127
0

Adjusted
Z-C rates

0
0.250
0.506
0.761
1.017
1.264
1.519
1.775
2.036
2.278
2.533
2.794
3.047
3.292
3.553
3.806
4.058
4.311
4.564
4.819
5.075
5.322
5.578

0.869%
0.921%
0.980%
0.996%
0.962%
0.918%
0.884%
0.869%
0.877%
0.900%
0.929%
0.959%
0.987%
1.016%
1.043%
1.069%
1.094%
1.118%
1.144%
1.171%
1.200%
1.230%

Adjusted
Yen IBOR
DFs
[3]
1
0.997831
0.995355
0.992571
0.989923
0.987914
0.986151
0.984437
0.982462
0.980211
0.977467
0.974380
0.971212
0.968042
0.964554
0.961088
0.957547
0.953949
0.950255
0.946375
0.942304
0.938152
0.933691
PV (Yen) =
Net PV =

Implied
forwards
[4]
0.878%
0.969%
1.092%
1.035%
0.804%
0.675%
0.651%
0.735%
0.912%
1.059%
1.171%
1.246%
1.287%
1.324%
1.357%
1.386%
1.411%
1.454%
1.518%
1.602%
1.703%
1.785%

Floating
cashflows
-10,000,000,000
35,087,829
38,180,464
41,323,766
39,868,709
32,868,251
30,682,498
30,062,390
32,898,116
34,746,895
40,486,905
44,296,128
44,788,066
44,301,307
48,290,527
47,592,250
48,313,835
48,947,768
50,045,613
52,220,547
54,368,159
55,081,033
10,059,034,889
258,509,127
0

9.7: Swapping a SA bond into USD Libor


Today's date:

5-Jun-99

Details of the bond issue:


Principal
250
5
Maturity
13.75%
Coupon
101.25
Issue price
2.25
F&E
4
Payment date
Current spot

m ZAR
years
ann 30/360

weeks after issue

6.108 Z/$
1. Swapping a par SA bond into USD Libor

2. Calculating the equivalent


5 year annual rate

Principal (m USD)
Sub-Libor margin (bp's)

7-Jun-99
5-Jul-99
7-Dec-99
7-Jun-00
7-Dec-00
7-Jun-01
7-Dec-01
7-Jun-02
9-Dec-02
9-Jun-03
8-Dec-03
7-Jun-04

ZAR DF

USD DF

1
0.989420
0.935543
0.878715
0.823830
0.768071
0.715501
0.668267
0.622026
0.578469
0.538197
0.501009

1
0.996228
0.974001
0.945924
0.917124
0.887436
0.859069
0.830912
0.803921
0.777832
0.752196
0.727009

ZAR Bond
cashflows
250,000,000

-34,375,000
-34,375,000
-34,375,000
-34,375,000
-284,375,000

PV (ZAR) =

8,060,748

PV (USD) =

1,319,703

Net PV

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

40.93
74.95

day
count

Implied USD
Libor

0.508
0.508
0.508
0.506
0.508
0.506
0.514
0.506
0.506
0.506

5.251%
5.839%
6.178%
6.617%
6.496%
6.703%
6.533%
6.635%
6.741%
6.853%

USD swap
cashflows

Annual Coupon
14.700%

-40,929,928

-1,000,000

3. Late payment of principals

4. Raising only USD 40m

5. USD principal paid upfront

Details of USD leg of swap


Principal
6 mo. Libor - margin (bp)

Details of USD leg of swap


Principal
6 mo. Libor - margin (bp)

Details of USD leg of swap


Principal
6 mo. Libor - margin (bp)

40.93
59.13

Reduction in sub-Libor margin (bp)


ZAR Bond
Implied USD
cashflows
Libor

-1,319,703
0

Reduction in sub-Libor margin (bp)

1.17
USD Swap
cashflows

Reduction in sub-Libor margin (bp)

40
51.53
8.77
USD Swap
cashflows

Details of USD leg of swap


Principal
6 mo. Libor Reduction in sub-Libor margin
ZAR Bond
cashflows

-40,000,000
250,000,000

936,596
1,058,920
1,129,385
1,214,156
1,195,589
1,231,870
1,216,546
1,217,746
1,239,828
42,192,858

15.83
USD Swap
cashflows

40
60.30

6. Bond not issued at par

146,999

-34,375,000

146,999

-34,375,000

146,999

-34,375,000

146,999

-34,375,000

1,146,999

-284,375,000

5,415,732
886,662

5.251%
5.839%
6.178%
6.617%
6.496%
6.703%
6.533%
6.635%
6.741%
6.853%

-40,929,928
969,524
1,091,848
1,162,312
1,246,904
1,228,516
1,264,618
1,249,834
1,250,494
1,272,575
42,225,606

-40,000,000
945,115
1,064,660
1,133,524
1,216,207
1,198,224
1,233,518
1,219,031
1,219,715
1,241,295
41,263,873

962,945
1,082,490
1,151,354
1,233,939
1,216,054
1,251,250
1,237,056
1,237,447
1,259,027
41,281,605

-886,662

-886,662

-886,662

40
27.99
23.54
USD Swap
cashflows
-40,000,000

247,500,000
-34,375,000
-34,375,000
-34,375,000
-34,375,000
-284,375,000

1,010,800
1,130,345
1,199,209
1,281,532
1,263,908
1,298,843
1,285,433
1,285,041
1,306,620
41,329,198

2,942,183
481,693

-481,693
0

9.8: Pricing a 5 year Yen-USD diff swap


Today's date =

4-Feb-08

Current spot rate =


Principal amount
Principal amount
Maturity
To pay
To receive

106.601
10
93.81
5
6
6

bn Yen
m USD
years
mo. Yen Libor
mo. USD Libor +

-228.09 bp's

1. Yen pay side

2. USD receive side


Unadjusted
Z-C rates

0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5

6-Feb-08
6-Aug-08
6-Feb-09
6-Aug-09
8-Feb-10
6-Aug-10
7-Feb-11
8-Aug-11
6-Feb-12
6-Aug-12
6-Feb-13

0.006
0.511
1.022
1.525
2.042
2.539
3.053
3.558
4.064
4.569
5.081

0.585%
0.919%
0.990%
0.907%
0.853%
0.879%
0.934%
0.987%
1.034%
1.078%
1.126%

day
count

Yen
IBOR
unadjusted DFs

0.506
0.511
0.503
0.517
0.497
0.514
0.506
0.506
0.506
0.511

0.999968
0.995313
0.989927
0.986261
0.982738
0.977929
0.971886
0.965500
0.958840
0.951932
0.944387

Implied
forwards
[1]
0.925%
1.065%
0.739%
0.694%
0.989%
1.210%
1.308%
1.374%
1.435%
1.563%

day
count

0.506
1.017
1.519
2.036
2.533
3.047
3.553
4.058
4.564
5.075

Adjusted
Z-C rates

0.921%
0.996%
0.918%
0.869%
0.900%
0.959%
1.016%
1.069%
1.118%
1.171%

Yen
IBOR
adjusted DFs
[2]
1
0.995355
0.989923
0.986151
0.982462
0.977467
0.971212
0.964554
0.957547
0.950255
0.942304

Yen
Libor
cashflows

-46,761,573
-54,413,299
-37,169,930
-35,847,591
-49,170,225
-62,181,654
-66,139,530
-69,465,227
-72,563,449
-79,894,592

PV (Yen) =

-555,287,331

PV (Yen) on 10 bn nominal =

-555,287,331

Net PV =

Z-C rates

USD
IBOR
DFs

3.073%
2.854%
2.748%
2.755%
2.860%
2.995%
3.120%
3.239%
3.357%
3.475%

1
0.984582
0.971397
0.959112
0.945458
0.930114
0.912764
0.895080
0.876830
0.857939
0.838308

PV(USD) =

5.000%

Implied
forwards
[3]

Libor
cashflows

Spread

3.097%
2.656%
2.548%
2.795%
3.318%
3.699%
3.908%
4.117%
4.355%
4.582%

387,282
179,665
125,770
249,326
483,571
683,628
771,601
870,774
983,849
1,103,194

2.173%
1.591%
1.808%
2.101%
2.329%
2.489%
2.600%
2.743%
2.920%
3.019%

USD Libor
- margin

Yen & USD Libor curves

4.500%
4.000%
3.500%

5,209,026
555,287,331
0

0.817%
0.375%
0.267%
0.514%
1.037%
1.418%
1.627%
1.836%
2.075%
2.301%

3.000%
2.500%

Yen Libor

2.000%

USD Libor

1.500%
1.000%
0.500%
0.000%
0.000

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

9.9: Pricing a 5 year Yen-USD quanto diff swap


Today's date =

4-Feb-08

Current spot rate =


Principal amount
Maturity
To pay
To receive

106.601
10
5
6
6

bn Yen
years
mo. Yen Libor
mo. USD Libor +

-237.00 bp's

1. Yen pay side

0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5

6-Feb-08
6-Aug-08
6-Feb-09
6-Aug-09
8-Feb-10
6-Aug-10
7-Feb-11
8-Aug-11
6-Feb-12
6-Aug-12
6-Feb-13

2. USD-related receive side

day
count

Implied
forwards

Yen
IBOR
adjusted df's

Yen
Libor
cashflows

Implied
forwards

USD-related
Libor
cashflows

USD Libor
- margin

0.506
0.511
0.503
0.517
0.497
0.514
0.506
0.506
0.506
0.511

0.925%
1.065%
0.739%
0.694%
0.989%
1.210%
1.308%
1.374%
1.435%
1.563%

1
0.995355
0.989923
0.986151
0.982462
0.977467
0.971212
0.964554
0.957547
0.950255
0.942304

-46,761,573
-54,413,299
-37,169,930
-35,847,591
-49,170,225
-62,181,654
-66,139,530
-69,465,227
-72,563,449
-79,894,592

3.097%
2.656%
2.548%
2.795%
3.318%
3.699%
3.908%
4.117%
4.355%
4.582%

36,777,537
14,595,778
8,924,874
21,972,206
47,116,336
68,294,018
77,746,337
88,318,230
100,372,170
113,044,888

0.727%
0.286%
0.178%
0.425%
0.948%
1.329%
1.538%
1.747%
1.985%
2.212%

PV (Yen) on 10 bn nominal =
Net PV =

-555,287,331

555,287,331
0

9.10: Pricing a USD-Yen LTFX: analysing the USD leg (1)

Today's date:

4-Feb-08

Current spot

day count
act/360

6-Feb-08
6-Feb-09
8-Feb-10
7-Feb-11
6-Feb-12
6-Feb-13

0
1.017
1.019
1.011
1.011
1.017

106.601

USD
mid-market
rates

USD
cashflow

[1]

[2]

2.89625%
2.7950%
3.0350%
3.2750%
3.5050%

0
0
0
0
1,000,000

Up-front
transaction
5-year
[3]
965,592
-34,408
-34,502
-34,220
-34,220
-1,000,000

Net CF
[4]
965,592
-34,408
-34,502
-34,220
-34,220
0

Up-front
transaction
4-year
[5]
-33,123
1,103
1,106
1,097
34,220

Net CF
[6]
932,469
-33,305
-33,396
-33,123
0

Up-front
transaction
3-year
[7]
-32,137
992
994
33,123

Net CF
[8]
900,332
-32,314
-32,402
0

Up-front
transaction
2-year
[9]
-31,504
895
32,402

Net CF
[10]
868,828
-31,418
0

Up-front
transaction
1-year
[11]
-30,520
31,418

Net CF
[12]
838,308
0

Swap transactions
[13]
-30,520
-31,504
-32,137
-33,123
965,592

to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to pay fixed

Note: the forwards may be randomly simulated by pressing F2 and Enter

9.11: Pricing a USD-Yen LTFX: analysing the USD leg (2)

Today's date:

4-Feb-08

Current spot

106.601
1. Money account transactions

day count
act/360

USD
mid-market
rates

USD DF's

volatility =>

6-Feb-08
6-Feb-09
8-Feb-10
7-Feb-11
6-Feb-12
6-Feb-13

0
1.017
1.019
1.011
1.011
1.017

2.89625%
2.7950%
3.0350%
3.2750%
3.5050%

1
0.971397
0.945458
0.912764
0.876830
0.838308

USD
forwards
10%
[1]

2.89625%
2.33328%
3.98014%
4.89399%
4.05765%

USD
cashflow

[2]

0
0
0
0
1,000,000

Swap
transactions

[3]

-30,520
-31,504
-32,137
-33,123
965,592
838,308

1
2
3
4
5

Matrix A for calculating the hedging swaps


1
2
2.8963%
2.7950%
1.017
1.029
0.028
1.019
0.000
1.028
1.011
0.000
0.000
1.011
0.000
0.000
1.017
0.000
0.000

3
3.0350%
0.031
0.031
1.031
0.000
0.000

4
3.2750%
0.033
0.033
0.033
1.033
0.000

5
3.5050%
0.036
0.036
0.035
0.035
1.036

Initial money
account

[4]

to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to pay fixed

838,308
-24,684
-19,940
-33,737
-41,483
-872,890

Surplus from
swaps

[5]

Money account
reinvested

[6]

-5,836
-10,838
4,096
13,019
5,425

-30,520
-62,024
-94,161
-127,284
-1,000,000

9.12: Pricing a USD-Yen LTFX


Note: margin may be adjusted
Today's date:

4-Feb-08

Current spot

Libor Margin
(bp)
4.5

106.601

1. USD Money account transactions


day count
act/360

USD
mid-market
rates

USD DF's

volatility =>

USD
forwards

USD
cashflow

Swap
transactions

Initial money
account

0
1.017
1.019
1.011
1.011
1.017

2.89625%
2.7950%
3.0350%
3.2750%
3.5050%

1
0.971397
0.945458
0.912764
0.876830
0.838308

day count
act/360

Money account
reinvested

day count
act/365

unadjusted
market
rates
Yen IRS
sa. Act/365

1%
[1]

6-Feb-08
6-Feb-09
8-Feb-10
7-Feb-11
6-Feb-12
6-Feb-13

Surplus from
swaps

2.89625%
2.70217%
3.59332%
4.10615%
4.62015%

0
0
0
0
1,000,000

-30,520
-31,504
-32,137
-33,123
965,592
838,308

to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to pay fixed

838,308
-24,684
-23,093
-30,458
-34,805
-877,684

[2]

[3]

-5,836
-7,571
574
5,591
10,947

-30,520
-62,024
-94,161
-127,284
-1,000,000

[4]
6-Feb-08
6-Aug-08
6-Feb-09
6-Aug-09
8-Feb-10
6-Aug-10
7-Feb-11
8-Aug-11
6-Feb-12
6-Aug-12
6-Feb-13

0.506
0.511
0.503
0.517
0.497
0.514
0.506
0.506
0.506
0.511

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

0
0.499
0.504
0.496
0.510
0.490
0.507
0.499
0.499
0.499
0.504

0.938%
1.009%
0.923%
0.868%
0.894%
0.950%
1.002%
1.050%
1.094%
1.142%

2. Yen Money account transactions


Yen DF's

volatility =>
[5]
1
0.995346
0.989959
0.986293
0.982770
0.977961
0.971918
0.965532
0.958871
0.951963
0.944418

Yen
forwards
10%
[6]

0.92495%
1.13700%
0.79506%
0.58535%
1.02768%
1.19433%
1.10979%
1.06147%
1.45471%
1.88012%

Yen
cashflow
[7]

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
94,765,153
94.765

Actual forward off adjusted curve

94.836

Theoretical forward off unadjusted curve

94.624

3
0.9234%
0.005
0.005
1.005
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000

Initial money
account

[8]

Estimated forward

Matrix B for calculating the Yen hedging swaps


1
2
0.9378%
1.0088%
0.499
1.005
0.005
0.504
0.000
1.005
0.496
0.000
0.000
0.510
0.000
0.000
0.490
0.000
0.000
0.507
0.000
0.000
0.499
0.000
0.000
0.499
0.000
0.000
0.499
0.000
0.000
0.504
0.000
0.000

Swap
transactions

4
0.8679%
0.004
0.004
0.004
1.004
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000

[9]

-513,602
-521,675
-515,779
-532,454
-514,681
-534,266
-528,131
-530,771
-533,550
94,222,798

to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to receive fixed
to pay fixed

89,364,451
-438,213
-539,878
-377,444
-291,044
-476,637
-569,142
-521,717
-499,889
-677,552
-90,243,751

5
0.8941%
0.004
0.005
0.004
0.005
1.004
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000

6
0.9495%
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000

7
1.0023%
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005
0.000
0.000
0.000

Surplus from
swaps

[10]

Money account
reinvested

[11]

-95,096
1,410
-153,882
-257,092
-46,712
30,976
-8,421
-30,852
155,478
363,078

-533,309
-1,074,999
-1,610,865
-2,164,248
-2,699,139
-3,254,495
-3,803,633
-4,355,652
-4,910,750
-94,839,742

8
1.0500%
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005
0.000
0.000

9
1.0938%
0.005
0.006
0.005
0.006
0.005
0.006
0.005
0.005
1.005
0.000

10
1.1418%
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
1.006

9.13: Valuation of a CCBS - simulation removed

Original data
Today's date:

4-Feb-08

Current spot rate

106.601

USD principal
JPY principal
CCBS margin

6-Feb-08
6-May-08
6-Aug-08
6-Nov-08
6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13

100 m
10,660.10 m
4.50 bp

USD
DF's

Day
count

USD
3 mo.
forwards

JPY
3 mo.
forwards
unadjusted

1
0.992199
0.984582
0.977757
0.971397
0.965383
0.959112
0.952586
0.945458
0.938249
0.930114
0.921421
0.912764
0.904277
0.895080
0.886033
0.876830
0.867460
0.857939
0.848181
0.838308

0.250
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.256

3.1450%
3.0272%
2.7312%
2.5621%
2.5198%
2.5585%
2.6810%
2.8874%
3.1792%
3.4222%
3.6134%
3.7520%
3.8394%
3.9350%
4.0394%
4.1522%
4.2734%
4.3900%
4.5018%
4.6088%

0.86755%
0.96920%
1.09189%
1.03864%
0.80682%
0.67602%
0.64969%
0.73117%
0.90935%
1.05660%
1.16945%
1.24552%
1.28611%
1.32329%
1.35674%
1.38491%
1.41050%
1.45348%
1.51625%
1.59951%

Historic data for


simulation
FX vol =>

See 9.15 Correlation sheet


for further data

Original Valuation
JPY
DF's
adjusted

USD
cashflows
[1]

1
0.997831
0.995355
0.992571
0.989923
0.987914
0.986151
0.984437
0.982462
0.980211
0.977467
0.974380
0.971212
0.968042
0.964554
0.961088
0.957547
0.953949
0.950255
0.946375
0.942304
Value =

JPY
cashflows

USD
forward
volatilities

[2]

100,000,000
-786,250
-773,626
-697,983
-654,754
-622,938
-653,837
-685,153
-753,921
-768,315
-874,561
-943,512
-948,413
-938,520
-1,027,484
-1,021,068
-1,049,580
-1,080,229
-1,109,689
-1,150,453
-101,177,795

-10,660,100,000
24,319,812
27,629,404
30,971,573
29,520,906
22,448,997
19,642,262
18,925,050
21,604,560
24,585,885
30,010,234
33,803,950
34,774,758
34,685,978
38,085,843
37,771,906
38,530,905
39,220,402
40,378,515
42,532,271
10,704,900,534

0.0000

0.0000

9.715%
10.086%
10.975%
12.493%
13.695%
14.552%
15.038%
15.126%
15.359%
15.734%
16.260%
16.942%
17.288%
17.294%
16.955%
16.261%
15.729%
15.356%
15.145%
15.101%

oric data for

New market data

20%
New spot FX rate =

.15 Correlation sheet


new
USD
3 mo.
forwards

JPY
forward
volatilities

new
USD
DF's

1.02
14.572%
15.128%
16.462%
18.740%
20.543%
21.828%
22.556%
22.689%
23.038%
23.601%
24.390%
25.414%
25.932%
25.941%
25.432%
24.392%
23.593%
23.034%
22.718%
22.651%

6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13

1.9752%
2.6256%
2.5400%
3.0849%
3.2323%
3.5041%
4.0856%
4.4838%
5.0082%
4.6522%
5.1952%
4.6255%
5.0124%
4.0298%
4.4246%
5.1686%

1
0.995141
0.988508
0.982133
0.974285
0.966733
0.958153
0.948040
0.937415
0.926078
0.914963
0.903103
0.892666
0.881498
0.872609
0.862852
0.851604

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
unadjusted
1.02

0.87232%
0.57584%
0.65189%
0.63562%
0.79406%
0.90350%
1.25006%
0.81603%
1.01875%
1.57687%
1.52701%
1.03405%
1.73017%
1.62037%
1.70655%
1.24397%

spot FX rate =

115.01

old
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
adjusted

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
adjusted

New Valuation

new
JPY
DF's

USD
cashflows

adjusted
[3]

0.82258%
0.69955%
0.68100%
0.77027%
0.94994%
1.09869%
1.21305%
1.29062%
1.33948%
1.38495%
1.42669%
1.46313%
1.49193%
1.53811%
1.60408%
1.69055%

0.88936%
0.59589%
0.68332%
0.66961%
0.82951%
0.93950%
1.29666%
0.84558%
1.06103%
1.65034%
1.60573%
1.09246%
1.83005%
1.71472%
1.80541%
1.31477%

1
0.997806
0.996289
0.994552
0.992816
0.990830
0.988457
0.985122
0.983020
0.980477
0.976270
0.972324
0.969646
0.965181
0.961016
0.956602
0.953399

-488,302
-670,974
-649,112
-805,508
-781,141
-895,497
-1,066,793
-1,133,416
-1,224,217
-1,214,735
-1,313,219
-1,169,213
-1,267,022
-1,018,649
-1,130,744
-101,320,859

Value (Yen) =
Value (USD) =

JPY
cashflows

[4]

22,989,286
15,687,199
17,759,180
17,692,434
20,456,511
24,613,615
34,795,120
21,988,997
26,546,525
43,891,619
41,147,421
27,864,013
46,621,695
43,663,197
46,490,781
10,693,988,826
10,637,260,947

-100,000,000

92,489,430

Net Value (USD) =

-7,510,570

9.14: Valuation of a CCBS with simulation

Original data
Today's date:

4-Feb-08

Current spot rate

106.601

USD principal
JPY principal
CCBS margin

6-Feb-08
6-May-08
6-Aug-08
6-Nov-08
6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13

100 m
10,660.10 m
4.50 bp

USD
DF's

Day
count

USD
3 mo.
forwards

JPY
3 mo.
forwards
unadjusted

1
0.992199
0.984582
0.977757
0.971397
0.965383
0.959112
0.952586
0.945458
0.938249
0.930114
0.921421
0.912764
0.904277
0.895080
0.886033
0.876830
0.867460
0.857939
0.848181
0.838308

0.250
0.256
0.256
0.256
0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.256

3.1450%
3.0272%
2.7312%
2.5621%
2.5198%
2.5585%
2.6810%
2.8874%
3.1792%
3.4222%
3.6134%
3.7520%
3.8394%
3.9350%
4.0394%
4.1522%
4.2734%
4.3900%
4.5018%
4.6088%

0.86755%
0.96920%
1.09189%
1.03864%
0.80682%
0.67602%
0.64969%
0.73117%
0.90935%
1.05660%
1.16945%
1.24552%
1.28611%
1.32329%
1.35674%
1.38491%
1.41050%
1.45348%
1.51625%
1.59951%

Historic data for


simulation
FX vol =>

See 9.15 Correlation sheet


for further data

Original Valuation
JPY
DF's
adjusted

USD
cashflows
[1]

1
0.997831
0.995355
0.992571
0.989923
0.987914
0.986151
0.984437
0.982462
0.980211
0.977467
0.974380
0.971212
0.968042
0.964554
0.961088
0.957547
0.953949
0.950255
0.946375
0.942304
Value =

JPY
cashflows

USD
forward
volatilities

[2]

100,000,000
-786,250
-773,626
-697,983
-654,754
-622,938
-653,837
-685,153
-753,921
-768,315
-874,561
-943,512
-948,413
-938,520
-1,027,484
-1,021,068
-1,049,580
-1,080,229
-1,109,689
-1,150,453
-101,177,795

-10,660,100,000
24,319,812
27,629,404
30,971,573
29,520,906
22,448,997
19,642,262
18,925,050
21,604,560
24,585,885
30,010,234
33,803,950
34,774,758
34,685,978
38,085,843
37,771,906
38,530,905
39,220,402
40,378,515
42,532,271
10,704,900,534

0.0000

0.0000

9.715%
10.086%
10.975%
12.493%
13.695%
14.552%
15.038%
15.126%
15.359%
15.734%
16.260%
16.942%
17.288%
17.294%
16.955%
16.261%
15.729%
15.356%
15.145%
15.101%

oric data for

New market data


Note: the valuation can be simulated by pressing F9 key
20%

.15 Correlation sheet

JPY
forward
volatilities

14.572%
15.128%
16.462%
18.740%
20.543%
21.828%
22.556%
22.689%
23.038%
23.601%
24.390%
25.414%
25.932%
25.941%
25.432%
24.392%
23.593%
23.034%
22.718%
22.651%

Correlated
normal rv's

new
USD
3 mo.
forwards

Length of time =>

1.02

Uncorrelated
normal rv's

6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13

0.56
0.01
2.04
1.84
-0.83
-1.03
-0.51
0.65
1.37
1.08
0.01
-0.09
0.06
0.14
-1.80
0.26
-0.20
-0.96
-0.01
0.11

0.56
0.23
1.97
2.46
0.19
-0.88
-0.81
0.29
1.37
1.53
0.60
0.15
0.11
0.18
-1.59
-0.38
-0.33
-1.01
-0.40
-0.05

2.5865%
2.2499%
2.3714%
3.0161%
3.9321%
4.3632%
3.9882%
3.8497%
3.9138%
4.0579%
3.0776%
3.9019%
4.0554%
3.7522%
4.2348%
4.5745%

by pressing F9 key

New spot FX rate =

new
USD
DF's

Uncorrelated
normal rv's

Correlated
normal rv's

1
0.993646
0.987966
0.982015
0.974341
0.965170
0.954526
0.944688
0.935584
0.926718
0.917002
0.909923
0.901036
0.891893
0.883513
0.874054
0.863954

0.09
0.30
-0.20
-2.11
-0.52
0.69
-0.02
-0.89
0.48
-1.32
0.21
0.51
0.38
-1.02
1.32
-2.10
-0.81
-1.68
-0.68
-0.81

0.09
0.31
-0.05
-1.93
-1.29
0.08
0.01
-0.81
0.10
-1.16
-0.29
0.34
0.48
-0.72
0.89
-1.53
-1.38
-2.11
-1.51
-1.38

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
unadjusted
1.02

old
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
adjusted

0.61716%
0.68767%
0.65092%
0.60787%
0.93029%
0.80213%
1.08844%
1.35722%
1.45924%
1.09486%
1.70612%
0.95134%
1.01626%
0.89075%
1.07383%
1.16821%

0.82258%
0.69955%
0.68100%
0.77027%
0.94994%
1.09869%
1.21305%
1.29062%
1.33948%
1.38495%
1.42669%
1.46313%
1.49193%
1.53811%
1.60408%
1.69055%

89.67

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
adjusted

New Valuation

new
JPY
DF's

USD
cashflows

adjusted
[3]

0.62922%
0.71161%
0.68230%
0.64038%
0.97182%
0.83409%
1.12902%
1.40637%
1.51980%
1.14588%
1.79408%
1.00508%
1.07492%
0.94262%
1.13603%
1.23470%

1
0.998447
0.996634
0.994900
0.993239
0.990912
0.988804
0.985898
0.982405
0.978769
0.975849
0.971444
0.968982
0.966356
0.964059
0.961268
0.958245

-639,447
-574,965
-606,016
-787,542
-950,262
-1,115,044
-1,041,372
-973,130
-956,715
-1,059,562
-777,943
-986,304
-1,025,102
-948,468
-1,082,221
-101,169,033

Value (Yen) =
Value (USD) =

JPY
cashflows

[4]

16,264,778
18,733,795
17,732,758
16,920,013
23,965,949
21,852,046
30,296,492
36,572,231
38,024,905
30,475,186
45,973,809
25,635,192
27,384,398
24,002,496
29,253,722
10,691,924,964
10,640,172,830

-100,000,000

118,653,069

Net Value (USD) =

18,653,069

9.15 Correlation

9.15: Correlation matrix - used in the Simulation

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Correlation matrix
USD forward rate correlation matrix
Lamda
0.95
1
2
3
4
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

5
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087
0.0033
0.0013
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

6
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087
0.0033
0.0013
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

7
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087
0.0033
0.0013
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

8
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087
0.0033
0.0013
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000

9
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087
0.0033
0.0013
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000

10
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087
0.0033
0.0013
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001

11
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087
0.0033
0.0013
0.0005
0.0002

12
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087
0.0033
0.0013
0.0005

13
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087
0.0033
0.0013

14
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087
0.0033

15
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087

16
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224

17
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578

18
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867
0.1496

19
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1
0.3867

20
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0013
0.0033
0.0087
0.0224
0.0578
0.1496
0.3867
1

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

JPY forward rate correlation matrix


Lamda
0.85
1
2
3
4
1
0.4274 0.1827 0.0781
0.4274
1 0.4274 0.1827
0.1827
0.4274
1 0.4274
0.0781
0.1827 0.4274
1
0.0334
0.0781 0.1827 0.4274
0.0143
0.0334 0.0781 0.1827
0.0061
0.0143 0.0334 0.0781
0.0026
0.0061 0.0143 0.0334
0.0011
0.0026 0.0061 0.0143
0.0005
0.0011 0.0026 0.0061
0.0002
0.0005 0.0011 0.0026
0.0001
0.0002 0.0005 0.0011
0.0000
0.0001 0.0002 0.0005
0.0000
0.0000 0.0001 0.0002
0.0000
0.0000 0.0000 0.0001
0.0000
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
0.0000
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
0.0000
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
0.0000
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
0.0000
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

5
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143
0.0061
0.0026
0.0011
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

6
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143
0.0061
0.0026
0.0011
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

7
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143
0.0061
0.0026
0.0011
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000

8
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143
0.0061
0.0026
0.0011
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000

9
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143
0.0061
0.0026
0.0011
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001

10
0.0005
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143
0.0061
0.0026
0.0011
0.0005
0.0002

11
0.0002
0.0005
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143
0.0061
0.0026
0.0011
0.0005

12
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143
0.0061
0.0026
0.0011

13
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143
0.0061
0.0026

14
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143
0.0061

15
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143

16
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334

17
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781

18
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274
0.1827

19
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1
0.4274

20
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0002
0.0005
0.0011
0.0026
0.0061
0.0143
0.0334
0.0781
0.1827
0.4274
1

0
0
0
0
0.9041
0.3788
0.1619
0.0692
0.0296
0.0126
0.0054
0.0023
0.0010
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0
0
0
0.9073
0.3815
0.1631
0.0697
0.0298
0.0127
0.0054
0.0023
0.0010
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9067
0.3810
0.1629
0.0696
0.0298
0.0127
0.0054
0.0023
0.0010
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811
0.1629
0.0696
0.0298
0.0127
0.0054
0.0023
0.0010
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811
0.1629
0.0696
0.0298
0.0127
0.0054
0.0023
0.0010
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811
0.1629
0.0696
0.0298
0.0127
0.0054
0.0023
0.0010
0.0004
0.0002

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811
0.1629
0.0696
0.0298
0.0127
0.0054
0.0023
0.0010
0.0004

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811
0.1629
0.0696
0.0298
0.0127
0.0054
0.0023
0.0010

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811
0.1629
0.0696
0.0298
0.0127
0.0054
0.0023

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811
0.1629
0.0696
0.0298
0.0127
0.0054

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811
0.1629
0.0696
0.0298
0.0127

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811
0.1629
0.0696
0.0298

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811
0.1629
0.0696

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811
0.1629

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068
0.3811

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9068

Cholesky decomposition result


1
0.3867
0.1496
0.0578
0.0224
0.0087
0.0033
0.0013
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012
0.0005
0.0002

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012
0.0005

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031
0.0012

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080
0.0031

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206
0.0080

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533
0.0206

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379
0.0533

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566
0.1379

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222
0.3566

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.9222

Check matrix
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

1
0.4274
0.1827
0.0781
0.0334
0.0143
0.0061
0.0026
0.0011
0.0005
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

Page 63

0
0.9041
0.3864
0.1652
0.0706
0.0302
0.0129
0.0055
0.0024
0.0010
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0.9041
0.3864
0.1652
0.0706
0.0302
0.0129
0.0055
0.0024
0.0010
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0
0
0
0.9041
0.3864
0.1652
0.0706
0.0302
0.0129
0.0055
0.0024
0.0010
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

9.16: Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with zero margin off unadjusted curves - simulation

Historic data for


simulation

New market data

FX vol =>

20%
USD principal
JPY principal

100
10,660.10

Day
count

new
USD
3 mo.
forwards

Length of time =>


6-Feb-08

1.02

See Correlation sheet for


further data
USD
forward
volatilities

9.715%
10.086%
10.975%
12.493%
13.695%
14.552%
15.038%
15.126%
15.359%
15.734%
16.260%
16.942%
17.288%
17.294%
16.955%
16.261%
15.729%
15.356%
15.145%
15.101%

JPY
forward
volatilities

14.572%
15.128%
16.462%
18.740%
20.543%
21.828%
22.556%
22.689%
23.038%
23.601%
24.390%
25.414%
25.932%
25.941%
25.432%
24.392%
23.593%
23.034%
22.718%
22.651%

6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13

0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.256

2.18087%
2.74385%
3.59642%
3.79739%
3.56089%
3.45687%
3.43389%
3.38098%
4.04585%
5.47108%
5.69585%
4.86437%
4.99584%
5.85255%
4.78891%
3.55254%

f unadjusted curves - simulation removed

m
m

Old spot FX rate =


New spot FX rate =

106.601
94.97

New Valuation
1. The original principals

new
USD
DF's

1
0.994637
0.987711
0.978716
0.969107
0.960839
0.952425
0.943961
0.935962
0.926796
0.913743
0.900773
0.889832
0.878735
0.865925
0.855455
0.847759

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
unadjusted
1.02

0.91907%
0.64981%
1.07338%
0.78611%
1.02218%
1.45818%
1.20338%
2.22108%
1.29826%
1.43882%
1.57640%
1.54766%
1.86357%
1.23976%
1.28267%
1.13047%

new
JPY
DF's

USD
cashflows

unadjusted

1
0.997733
0.996079
0.993354
0.991319
0.988876
0.985205
0.982119
0.976636
0.973546
0.969903
0.966053
0.962288
0.957777
0.954784
0.951665
0.948924

-539,158
-701,206
-919,085
-991,541
-860,549
-883,421
-896,627
-854,636
-988,985
-1,428,561
-1,439,785
-1,229,605
-1,262,838
-1,479,395
-1,223,831
-100,907,872

Value (Yen) =
Value (USD) =

-100,000,000

Net Value (USD) =

original principals

2. Rebalanced
JPY
cashflows

[1]

JPY
cashflows

[2]

24,221,226
17,702,452
29,241,476
21,881,249
26,333,388
39,724,329
33,495,749
59,850,079
33,830,133
40,049,052
42,478,351
41,703,898
50,216,333
33,407,080
34,942,981
10,690,896,702

1,163,233,604
21,578,198
15,770,754
26,050,636
19,493,560
23,459,880
35,389,598
29,840,682
53,319,219
30,138,578
35,678,886
37,843,099
37,153,155
44,736,711
29,761,688
31,129,991
9,524,302,552

10,660,100,000

10,660,100,000

112,248,604

112,248,604

12,248,604

12,248,604

9.17: Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with zero margin off unadjusted curves - using simu

Historic data for


simulation

New market data

Note: the valuation can be simulated by pressing


FX vol =>

20%
USD principal
JPY principal

100
10,660.10

Day
count

new
USD
3 mo.
forwards

Length of time =>


6-Feb-08

1.02

See Correlation sheet for


further data
USD
forward
volatilities

9.715%
10.086%
10.975%
12.493%
13.695%
14.552%
15.038%
15.126%
15.359%
15.734%
16.260%
16.942%
17.288%
17.294%
16.955%
16.261%
15.729%
15.356%
15.145%
15.101%

JPY
forward
volatilities

14.572%
15.128%
16.462%
18.740%
20.543%
21.828%
22.556%
22.689%
23.038%
23.601%
24.390%
25.414%
25.932%
25.941%
25.432%
24.392%
23.593%
23.034%
22.718%
22.651%

6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13

0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.256

2.24804%
2.29103%
2.35272%
3.18908%
3.46528%
3.09810%
2.98720%
3.54407%
4.48445%
4.68962%
3.63327%
5.05845%
3.91595%
4.84319%
4.98577%
4.50962%

f unadjusted curves - using simulation

ation can be simulated by pressing F9 key


m
m

Old spot FX rate =


New spot FX rate =

106.601
135.89

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
unadjusted
1.02

new
JPY
DF's

New Valuation
1. The original principals

new
USD
DF's

1
0.994473
0.988684
0.982776
0.974660
0.966565
0.958973
0.951551
0.943102
0.932875
0.921590
0.913204
0.901674
0.892836
0.882038
0.870941
0.861018

0.87967%
0.90908%
0.86022%
0.87405%
1.01454%
1.00703%
1.23805%
1.23613%
0.93466%
1.09129%
1.23869%
1.94965%
1.54517%
1.73788%
1.95713%
1.42413%
Value (Yen) =

USD
cashflows

unadjusted

1
0.997830
0.995517
0.993333
0.991072
0.988648
0.986110
0.982932
0.979871
0.977637
0.974859
0.971816
0.967050
0.963288
0.959075
0.954302
0.950841

-555,764
-585,486
-601,250
-832,703
-837,444
-791,738
-779,990
-895,862
-1,096,198
-1,224,513
-918,410
-1,278,665
-989,866
-1,224,250
-1,274,140
-101,152,458

Value (USD) =
Net Value (USD) =

-100,000,000

original principals

2. Rebalanced
JPY
cashflows

[1]

JPY
cashflows

[2]

23,183,071
24,765,467
23,434,600
24,328,798
26,136,541
27,433,932
34,460,652
33,309,162
24,355,300
30,375,790
33,378,073
52,535,867
41,636,757
46,829,555
53,317,170
10,698,896,794

-2,929,122,399
29,553,185
31,570,383
29,873,828
31,013,728
33,318,193
34,972,074
43,929,556
42,461,666
31,047,513
38,722,279
42,549,513
66,971,377
53,077,471
59,697,117
67,967,362
13,638,679,558

10,660,100,000

10,660,100,000

78,445,254

78,445,254

-21,554,746

-21,554,746

9.18: Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with margin off unadjusted curves - simulation rem

Historic data for


simulation

New market data

FX vol =>

20%

See Correlation sheet for


further data
USD
forward
volatilities

9.715%
10.086%
10.975%
12.493%
13.695%
14.552%
15.038%
15.126%
15.359%
15.734%
16.260%
16.942%
17.288%
17.294%
16.955%
16.261%
15.729%
15.356%
15.145%
15.101%

USD principal
JPY principal
CCBS margin

100
10,660.10
4.50

Day
count

new
USD
3 mo.
forwards

Length of time =>


6-Feb-08

1.02

JPY
forward
volatilities

14.572%
15.128%
16.462%
18.740%
20.543%
21.828%
22.556%
22.689%
23.038%
23.601%
24.390%
25.414%
25.932%
25.941%
25.432%
24.392%
23.593%
23.034%
22.718%
22.651%

6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13

0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.256

2.78750%
2.97881%
3.06915%
2.85563%
3.27460%
3.19382%
3.88121%
4.42404%
4.14429%
4.37429%
4.36994%
4.97791%
3.93869%
4.28197%
4.90927%
4.03573%

djusted curves - simulation removed

m
m
bp

Old spot FX rate =


New spot FX rate =

new
USD
DF's

1
0.993156
0.985653
0.977982
0.970744
0.963122
0.955325
0.945740
0.935281
0.925901
0.915445
0.905443
0.894192
0.885377
0.875896
0.865043
0.856213

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
unadjusted
1.02

0.95166%
0.57285%
0.57189%
0.75345%
1.13433%
0.88484%
1.11556%
1.01961%
1.28393%
0.96957%
1.12999%
1.26085%
1.37453%
1.22814%
1.42758%
1.55782%

106.601
96.14

new
JPY
DF's

New Valuation
1. The original principals
101.1010264617
USD
cashflows

unadjusted

1
0.997653
0.996194
0.994741
0.992787
0.990073
0.987840
0.984971
0.982438
0.979365
0.976892
0.974109
0.971014
0.967652
0.964658
0.961151
0.957340

-689,132
-761,250
-784,339
-745,637
-791,362
-816,198
-1,013,426
-1,118,300
-1,013,050
-1,142,177
-1,104,625
-1,258,305
-995,613
-1,082,388
-1,254,590
-101,031,354

Value (Yen) off Unadjusted curve =


Value (USD) =

-100,000,000

Net Value (USD) =

original principals

2. Rebalanced
JPY cashflows
JPY
cashflows

[1]

CCBS

[2]

margin CF's
on delta-FX
[3]

26,266,181
16,831,764
16,805,686
22,224,746
30,381,687
25,331,076
32,303,883
28,687,401
34,629,339
28,240,360
31,661,842
35,187,975
38,251,159
34,306,433
40,116,610
10,703,764,824

1,047,774,658
23,689,106
15,180,336
15,156,816
20,044,192
27,400,824
22,845,748
29,134,426
25,872,771
31,231,723
25,469,591
28,555,378
31,735,549
34,498,192
30,940,498
36,180,616
9,653,577,746

116,357
120,279
120,279
122,894
113,742
120,279
122,894
118,971
115,049
122,894
118,971
118,971
118,971
118,971
120,279
120,279

10,679,176,853

10,679,176,853

1,871,703

111,077,158

111,077,158

11,077,158

11,077,158

9.19: Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with margin off unadjusted curves - using simulatio

Historic data for


simulation

New market data

Note: the valuation can be simulated by pressing


FX vol =>

20%

See Correlation sheet for


further data
USD
forward
volatilities

9.715%
10.086%
10.975%
12.493%
13.695%
14.552%
15.038%
15.126%
15.359%
15.734%
16.260%
16.942%
17.288%
17.294%
16.955%
16.261%
15.729%
15.356%
15.145%
15.101%

USD principal
JPY principal
CCBS margin

100
10,660.10
4.50

Day
count

new
USD
3 mo.
forwards

Length of time =>


6-Feb-08

1.02

JPY
forward
volatilities

14.572%
15.128%
16.462%
18.740%
20.543%
21.828%
22.556%
22.689%
23.038%
23.601%
24.390%
25.414%
25.932%
25.941%
25.432%
24.392%
23.593%
23.034%
22.718%
22.651%

6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13

0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.256

2.99977%
2.51682%
2.13366%
2.19517%
3.11637%
3.13530%
3.40563%
3.15183%
3.64060%
3.38410%
3.84156%
3.65305%
3.56976%
4.45762%
3.22748%
3.78190%

djusted curves - using simulation

ation can be simulated by pressing F9 key


m
m
bp

Old spot FX rate =


New spot FX rate =

106.601
104.24

New Valuation
1. The original principals

new
USD
DF's

1
0.992638
0.986295
0.980946
0.975355
0.968065
0.960370
0.951905
0.944381
0.936051
0.927852
0.918929
0.910521
0.902378
0.892324
0.885024
0.876552

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
unadjusted
1.02

0.76241%
0.55257%
0.53267%
0.78809%
1.12274%
1.08092%
1.07361%
1.26540%
0.97041%
1.01393%
0.82992%
1.02333%
1.96845%
2.12429%
1.70135%
1.75129%

new
JPY
DF's

USD
cashflows

unadjusted

1
0.998119
0.996711
0.995356
0.993312
0.990624
0.987895
0.985134
0.981993
0.979669
0.977082
0.975037
0.972521
0.967706
0.962537
0.958370
0.954100

-741,610
-643,188
-545,267
-573,182
-753,122
-801,244
-889,248
-796,711
-889,925
-883,626
-971,062
-923,409
-902,357
-1,126,788
-824,800
-100,966,485

Value (Yen) off Unadjusted curve =


Value (USD) =

-100,000,000

Net Value (USD) =

original principals

2. Rebalanced
JPY cashflows
JPY
cashflows

[1]

CCBS

[2]

margin CF's
on delta-FX
[3]

21,278,575
16,279,396
15,737,116
23,188,812
30,083,306
30,672,907
31,136,093
35,310,554
26,459,543
29,474,989
23,575,984
28,787,620
54,255,185
58,454,346
47,575,025
10,709,035,448

236,223,675
20,807,892
15,919,296
15,389,010
22,675,874
29,417,862
29,994,421
30,447,362
34,529,483
25,874,257
28,823,001
23,054,482
28,150,837
53,055,058
57,161,334
46,522,664
10,472,151,226

26,233
27,117
27,117
27,707
25,643
27,117
27,707
26,822
25,938
27,707
26,822
26,822
26,822
26,822
27,117
27,117

10,679,173,484

10,679,173,484

421,906

102,445,011

102,445,011

2,445,011

2,445,011

9.20: Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with margin off adjusted curves - simulation remov

Historic data for


simulation

New market data

FX vol =>

20%

See Correlation sheet for


further data
USD
forward
volatilities

9.715%
10.086%
10.975%
12.493%
13.695%
14.552%
15.038%
15.126%
15.359%
15.734%
16.260%
16.942%
17.288%
17.294%
16.955%
16.261%
15.729%
15.356%
15.145%
15.101%

USD principal
JPY principal
CCBS margin

100
10,660.10
4.50

Day
count

new
USD
3 mo.
forwards

Length of time =>


6-Feb-08

1.02

JPY
forward
volatilities

14.572%
15.128%
16.462%
18.740%
20.543%
21.828%
22.556%
22.689%
23.038%
23.601%
24.390%
25.414%
25.932%
25.941%
25.432%
24.392%
23.593%
23.034%
22.718%
22.651%

6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13

0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.256

1.84461%
2.90310%
2.65256%
2.63753%
2.77993%
2.53356%
3.06040%
2.76765%
2.99548%
3.64650%
4.03018%
5.16610%
5.37506%
4.01600%
4.37397%
3.30030%

usted curves - simulation removed

m
m
bp

Old spot FX rate =


New spot FX rate =

new
USD
DF's

1
0.995460
0.988129
0.981476
0.974763
0.968258
0.962029
0.954403
0.947772
0.940883
0.932009
0.922610
0.910717
0.898509
0.889479
0.879647
0.872290

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
unadjusted
1.02

0.69943%
1.00095%
0.76959%
0.84407%
1.00051%
1.13211%
0.95823%
0.92601%
1.27430%
1.49238%
1.10855%
1.55923%
1.56852%
1.69163%
2.38243%
1.81316%

106.601
112.37

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
adjusted

new
JPY
DF's

new
JPY
DF's

unadjusted

adjusted

0.71309%
1.03580%
0.80668%
0.88920%
1.04518%
1.17721%
0.99395%
0.95954%
1.32719%
1.56192%
1.16570%
1.64729%
1.65907%
1.79013%
2.52044%
1.91636%

1
0.998274
0.995727
0.993772
0.991587
0.989195
0.986341
0.983880
0.981582
0.978534
0.974736
0.972012
0.968196
0.964372
0.960266
0.954455
0.950053

1
0.998240
0.995605
0.993557
0.991255
0.988758
0.985792
0.983240
0.980861
0.977689
0.973718
0.970857
0.966831
0.962794
0.958457
0.952323
0.947681

Value (Yen) off Adjusted curve =


Value (USD) =

Net Value (USD) =


Value (Yen) off Unadjusted curve =

Change in valuation off the curves


Total change in valuation off the curves

New Valuation
1. The original principals

2. Rebalanced
JPY cashflows

USD
cashflows

JPY
cashflows

[1]

-456,028
-741,904
-677,876
-688,687
-671,816
-647,466
-799,104
-699,600
-732,227
-952,143
-1,018,740
-1,305,876
-1,358,696
-1,015,156
-1,117,793
-100,843,411

-100,000,000

CCBS

[2]

margin CF's
on delta-FX
[3]

19,618,841
28,494,317
22,191,397
24,746,946
26,934,412
32,067,361
27,924,474
26,165,091
34,378,320
42,792,465
31,084,107
43,228,033
43,478,440
46,795,934
66,129,072
10,710,720,844

-577,344,835
20,681,386
30,037,552
23,393,270
26,087,226
28,393,164
33,804,110
29,436,847
27,582,177
36,240,230
45,110,080
32,767,604
45,569,239
45,833,207
49,330,374
69,710,584
11,290,807,274

-64,230
-66,395
-66,395
-67,838
-62,786
-66,395
-67,838
-65,673
-63,508
-67,838
-65,673
-65,673
-65,673
-65,673
-66,395
-66,395

10,653,188,080

10,652,813,734

-1,029,804

94,800,804

94,788,309

-5,199,196

-5,211,691

10,679,132,988

10,680,163,804

-1,030,816

(a)
-25,944,908

(b)
-27,350,069

(c)
1,012

-1,404,150

Net JPY
cashflows

[4]

-576,970,489
20,681,386
30,037,552
23,393,270
26,087,226
28,393,164
33,804,110
29,436,847
27,582,177
36,240,230
45,110,080
32,767,604
45,569,239
45,833,207
49,330,374
69,710,584
11,290,807,274
10,653,188,080
94,800,804

-5,199,196

9.21: Rebalancing the Valuation of a CCBS with margin off adjusted curves - using simulation

Historic data for


simulation

New market data

Note: the valuation can be simulated by pressing


FX vol =>

20%

See Correlation sheet for


further data
USD
forward
volatilities

9.715%
10.086%
10.975%
12.493%
13.695%
14.552%
15.038%
15.126%
15.359%
15.734%
16.260%
16.942%
17.288%
17.294%
16.955%
16.261%
15.729%
15.356%
15.145%
15.101%

USD principal
JPY principal
CCBS margin

100
10,660.10
4.50

Day
count

new
USD
3 mo.
forwards

Length of time =>


6-Feb-08

1.02

JPY
forward
volatilities

14.572%
15.128%
16.462%
18.740%
20.543%
21.828%
22.556%
22.689%
23.038%
23.601%
24.390%
25.414%
25.932%
25.941%
25.432%
24.392%
23.593%
23.034%
22.718%
22.651%

6-Feb-09
6-May-09
6-Aug-09
6-Nov-09
8-Feb-10
6-May-10
6-Aug-10
8-Nov-10
7-Feb-11
6-May-11
8-Aug-11
7-Nov-11
6-Feb-12
7-May-12
6-Aug-12
6-Nov-12
6-Feb-13

0.247
0.256
0.256
0.261
0.242
0.256
0.261
0.253
0.244
0.261
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.253
0.256
0.256

2.17340%
2.29573%
2.23450%
3.06873%
2.36936%
3.34887%
4.17954%
2.87758%
3.68234%
4.61982%
4.80242%
4.80880%
2.76773%
3.71389%
4.40295%
4.50734%

usted curves - using simulation

ation can be simulated by pressing F9 key


m
m
bp

Old spot FX rate =


New spot FX rate =

new
USD
DF's

1
0.994656
0.988854
0.983239
0.975424
0.969870
0.961640
0.951259
0.944390
0.935965
0.924809
0.913717
0.902743
0.896472
0.888134
0.878252
0.868251

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
unadjusted
1.02

0.70679%
0.85096%
0.72917%
0.76338%
0.98854%
0.81342%
0.86666%
0.99802%
1.06004%
1.36314%
1.33887%
1.63713%
1.05646%
1.52538%
1.77124%
1.39830%

106.601
160.05

new
JPY
3 mo.
forwards
adjusted

new
JPY
DF's

new
JPY
DF's

unadjusted

adjusted

0.72060%
0.88059%
0.76432%
0.80419%
1.03267%
0.84582%
0.89897%
1.03416%
1.10403%
1.42666%
1.40789%
1.72960%
1.11745%
1.61419%
1.87385%
1.47789%

1
0.998256
0.996090
0.994237
0.992259
0.989894
0.987841
0.985610
0.983130
0.980589
0.977111
0.973816
0.969802
0.967219
0.963504
0.959163
0.955747

1
0.998222
0.995980
0.994039
0.991956
0.989486
0.987352
0.985040
0.982472
0.979827
0.976191
0.972729
0.968495
0.965767
0.961842
0.957258
0.953656

Value (Yen) off Adjusted curve =


Value (USD) =

Net Value (USD) =


Value (Yen) off Unadjusted curve =

Change in valuation off the curves


Total change in valuation off the curves

New Valuation
1. The original principals

2. Rebalanced
JPY cashflows

USD
cashflows

JPY
cashflows

[1]

-537,313
-586,686
-571,038
-801,281
-572,595
-855,822
-1,091,325
-727,387
-900,128
-1,206,286
-1,213,944
-1,215,557
-699,620
-938,788
-1,125,198
-101,151,876

-100,000,000

CCBS

[2]

margin CF's
on delta-FX
[3]

19,812,885
24,408,286
21,090,321
22,500,886
26,626,002
23,385,406
25,375,754
28,105,571
28,795,038
39,195,233
37,290,211
45,327,373
29,680,353
42,315,922
49,478,997
10,699,419,145

-5,344,686,593
29,746,531
36,645,942
31,664,440
33,782,223
39,975,561
35,110,217
38,098,473
42,196,946
43,232,094
58,846,666
55,986,517
68,053,295
44,561,282
63,531,984
74,286,431
16,063,819,296

-594,596
-614,639
-614,639
-628,001
-581,235
-614,639
-628,001
-607,958
-587,916
-628,001
-607,958
-607,958
-607,958
-607,958
-614,639
-614,639

10,656,365,102

10,654,492,525

-9,553,243

66,582,363

66,510,973

-33,417,637

-33,489,027

10,679,171,166

10,688,732,935

-9,561,768

-22,806,064

-34,240,410

8,526

-11,425,820

Net JPY
cashflows

-5,342,814,015
29,746,531
36,645,942
31,664,440
33,782,223
39,975,561
35,110,217
38,098,473
42,196,946
43,232,094
58,846,666
55,986,517
68,053,295
44,561,282
63,531,984
74,286,431
16,063,819,296
10,656,365,102
66,582,363

-33,417,637

9.22: Swapping a reverse dual currency A$-Yen bond into floating USD

Today's date =

26-Jun-96

Current Yen/$ spot rate =


Current $/A$ spot rate =

109.085
1.429

Current Yen/A$ spot rate =


Theoretical Yen/A$ forward rate =

3-year
zero's
2.09%
10.58%

76.360
58.990

Yen Principal =
USD principal =

10 bn
100 m

Maturity =
coupon (Yen) =
redemption (AUD) =

3.00 years
5.65% ANN
100
USD
data

USD df's

Yen
data

Yen
df's

AUD
data

AUD
df's

Bond
dates

Bond cashflows
Yen
AUD

[1]
26-Jun-96
26-Dec-96
26-Jun-97

5.750%
6.156%

1
0.971601
0.941250

1
1.156%

0.988413

10.41%

26-Jun-98

6.550%

0.879110

1.419%

0.967182

10.87%

26-Jun-99

6.760%

0.819095

1.670%

0.938283

11.25%

1 |
|
0.905501 |
|
0.812930 |
|
0.724857 |
|
PV of bond cashflows
PV USD) =
Net PV (USD)

26-Jun-96

Swap
dates

USD
IBOR
df's

USD
Libor

USD
cashflows

margin ->

-375.89

[2]

10,000,000,000

[3]
|
|
|
|

26-Jun-96
26-Dec-96
26-Jun-97
26-Dec-97
26-Jun-98
26-Dec-98
26-Jun-99

0.508
0.506
0.508
0.506
0.508
0.506

1
0.971601
0.941250
0.910446
0.879110
0.848935
0.819095

5.75%
6.38%
6.66%
7.05%
6.99%
7.21%

100,000,000
-1,012,143
-1,324,252
-1,472,563
-1,664,142
-1,643,763
-101,742,712

26-Jun-97

-565,000,000

26-Jun-98

-565,000,000

26-Jun-99

-565,000,000

-130,959,475

8,364,959,233

-94,926,879

76,682,947

-66,448,815

10,234,131

10,234,131

9.23: Swapping a dual currency A$-Yen bond into floating USD: calculating the breakeven coupon rate

Today's date =

26-Jun-96

Current Yen/$ spot rate =


Current A$/$ spot rate =
Yen Principal =
USD principal =

109.085
1.429
10 bn
100 m

Maturity =
coupon (AUD) =
redemption (Yen) =

3.00 years
2.53% ANN
100
USD
data

USD df's

Yen
data

Yen
df's

AUD
data

AUD
df's

Bond
dates

Bond cashflows
Yen
AUD

[1]
26-Jun-96
26-Dec-96
26-Jun-97

5.750%
6.156%

1
0.971601
0.941250

1
1.156%

0.988413

10.41%

26-Jun-98

6.550%

0.879110

1.419%

0.967182

10.87%

26-Jun-99

6.760%

0.819095

1.670%

0.938283

11.25%

1 |
|
0.905501 |
|
0.812930 |
|
0.724857 |

PV of bond cashflows
PV USD) =
Net PV (USD)

26-Jun-96

10,000,000,000

26-Jun-97
26-Jun-98
26-Jun-99

-10,000,000,000

Swap
dates

USD
IBOR
df's

USD
Libor

USD
cashflows

margin ->

0.00

[2]

[3]

|
|
-3,308,011 |
|
-3,308,011 |
|
-3,308,011 |

26-Jun-96
26-Dec-96
26-Jun-97
26-Dec-97
26-Jun-98
26-Dec-98
26-Jun-99

0.508
0.506
0.508
0.506
0.508
0.506

1
0.971601
0.941250
0.910446
0.879110
0.848935
0.819095

5.75%
6.38%
6.66%
7.05%
6.99%
7.21%

100,000,000
-2,922,917
-3,224,585
-3,383,337
-3,564,474
-3,554,538
-103,643,045

617,169,961

-8,082,425

5,657,698

-5,657,698

9.24: Pricing a 5 year Yen-USD quanto diff swap with Convexity - Approach 1
Today's date =

Sensitivity of a Quanto Diff Swap to changes in the Parameters of the Convexity Adjustment

4-Feb-08

Current spot rate =

Convexity data

106.601

Principal amount
Principal amount
Maturity
To pay
To receive

10
93.81
5
6
6

bn Yen
m USD
years
mo. Yen Libor
mo. USD Libor +

Domestic:
Foreign:
FX rate:

Correlations

rate vol.
15%
15%
20%

lamda1
0%
0%

lamda2

d-f
50%

d-FX
30%

f-FX
-30%

Foreign
bond
price
volatility

sigma(f,1)

sigma(f,2)

Impact of changing term structure volatility


-240.95
0.0%
-241.09
0.5%
-241.08
1.0%
-241.08
1.5%
-241.07
2.0%
-241.07
2.5%
-241.07
3.0%
-241.06
3.5%
-241.06
4.0%
-241.05
4.5%
-241.05
5.0%
-241.04

0%

-240.95 bp's

1. Yen pay side

Impact of changing FX volatility


-240.95
0.0%
-236.92
2.0%
-237.32
4.0%
-237.72
6.0%
-238.13
8.0%
-238.53
10.0%
-238.93
12.0%
-239.34
14.0%
-239.74
16.0%
-240.14
18.0%
-240.55
20.0%
-240.95

Impact of changing IR correlation


-240.95
-1.0
-241.36
-0.8
-241.31
-0.6
-241.25
-0.4
-241.20
-0.2
-241.14
0
-241.09
0.2
-241.03
0.4
-240.98
0.6
-240.92
0.8
-240.87
1
-232.75

Impact of changing FX/foreign IR correlation


-240.95
-1.0
-250.37
-0.8
-247.68
-0.6
-244.99
-0.4
-242.30
-0.2
-239.61
0
-236.92
0.2
-234.23
0.4
-231.54
0.6
-228.85
0.8
-226.17
1
-223.48

2. USD-related receive side


Sensitivity of a Quanto Diff Swap to changes in the Parameters of the Convexity Adjustment

Dates

Days
count
(domestic)

Accumulative
domestic time

Implied
forwards

Domestic
bond
price
volatility

[2]

Yen
IBOR
adjusted df's
[3]

Yen
Libor
cashflows

Day
count
(foreign)

Accumulative
foreign time

Implied
forwards

set if lamda's > 0


delta(1)

delta(2)

set if lamda's = 0

delta(3)

[4]

a(f,1)

a(f,2)

a(f,d)

a(f,FX)

a(f,1)

a(f,2)

a(f,d)

a(f,FX)

phi

adjustment
factor
exp(phi)

USD-related
Libor
cashflows

USD-related
margin
cashflows

PV01

QDS : Impact of changing IR Volatility

-200.00

-230.00

-235.00

1
6-Feb-08
6-Aug-08
6-Feb-09
6-Aug-09
8-Feb-10
6-Aug-10
7-Feb-11
8-Aug-11
6-Feb-12
6-Aug-12
6-Feb-13

0.506
0.511
0.503
0.517
0.497
0.514
0.506
0.506
0.506
0.511

PV (Yen) on 10 bn nominal =
Net PV =

0.506
1.017
1.519
2.036
2.533
3.047
3.553
4.058
4.564
5.075

0.925%
1.065%
0.739%
0.694%
0.989%
1.210%
1.308%
1.374%
1.435%
1.563%

0.070%
0.081%
0.056%
0.054%
0.073%
0.093%
0.099%
0.103%
0.108%
0.119%

1
0.995355
0.989923
0.986151
0.982462
0.977467
0.971212
0.964554
0.957547
0.950255
0.942304

-46,761,573
-54,413,299
-37,169,930
-35,847,591
-49,170,225
-62,181,654
-66,139,530
-69,465,227
-72,563,449
-79,894,592

-555,287,331

0.506
0.511
0.503
0.517
0.497
0.514
0.506
0.506
0.506
0.511

0.506
1.017
1.519
2.036
2.533
3.047
3.553
4.058
4.564
5.075

3.097%
2.656%
2.548%
2.795%
3.318%
3.699%
3.908%
4.117%
4.355%
4.582%

0.23%
0.20%
0.19%
0.21%
0.24%
0.28%
0.29%
0.31%
0.32%
0.34%

0.0012
0.0010
0.0009
0.0011
0.0012
0.0014
0.0015
0.0015
0.0016
0.0017

0.0020
0.0017
0.0016
0.0018
0.0021
0.0024
0.0025
0.0026
0.0028
0.0030

0.0600
0.0600
0.0600
0.0600
0.0600
0.0600
0.0600
0.0600
0.0600
0.0600

-0.1039
-0.1039
-0.1039
-0.1039
-0.1039
-0.1039
-0.1039
-0.1039
-0.1039
-0.1039

0.1600
0.1600
0.1600
0.1600
0.1600
0.1600
0.1600
0.1600
0.1600
0.1600

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0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0002
0.0003
0.0003
0.0004
0.0005

0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0002
0.0003
0.0003
0.0004
0.0005

1
1.0000
1.0001
1.0001
1.0001
1.0002
1.0003
1.0003
1.0004
1.0005

156,595,833
136,046,942
128,674,627
145,444,443
166,454,631
192,289,031
200,257,803
211,427,218
224,145,395
238,921,985

-121,814,532
-123,153,153
-121,145,222
-124,491,775
-119,806,600
-123,822,464
-121,814,532
-121,814,532
-121,814,532
-123,153,153

505,556
511,111
502,778
516,667
497,222
513,889
505,556
505,556
505,556
511,111

1,743,531,230

-1,188,243,899

4,931,458

QDS: Impact of changing FX Volatility

-240.95

-240.00

-250.00
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0%

-245.00
0.0%

4.0%

8.0%

12.0%

16.0%

20.0%

QDS: Impact of changing FX/foreign IR Correlation

QDS: Impact of changing IR Correlation


-225.00

-210.00
-220.00

-230.00

-230.00
-240.00

-235.00

-250.00
-240.00

-260.00
-245.00
-1.0

-0.6

-0.2

0.2

0.6

1.0

-270.00
-1.0

-0.6

-0.2

0.2

0.6

1.0

9.25: Pricing a 5 year Yen-USD quanto diff swap with Convexity - Approach 2
Today's date =

4-Feb-08

Principal amount
Maturity
To pay
To receive

10
5
6
6

Current spot rate =

bn Yen
years
mo. Yen Libor
mo. USD Libor +

Convexity adjustment data


Vol of foreign interest rates
Vol of FX spot rate
Correlation
-244.96 bp's

1. Yen pay side

0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5

6-Feb-08
6-Aug-08
6-Feb-09
6-Aug-09
8-Feb-10
6-Aug-10
7-Feb-11
8-Aug-11
6-Feb-12
6-Aug-12
6-Feb-13

106.601

15%
20%
30%

Correlation

Margin

-100%
-90%
-80%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%

-244.96
-212.14
-214.52
-216.92
-219.34
-221.79
-224.26
-226.76
-229.28
-231.83
-234.40
-237.00
-239.63
-242.28
-244.96
-247.66
-250.39
-253.15
-255.94
-258.76
-261.60
-264.47

2. USD-related receive side

day
count

Implied
forwards

Yen
IBOR
adjusted df's

Yen
Libor
cashflows

USD
IBOR
df's

Convexity
Adjustment

Adjusted
Implied
forwards

USD-related
Libor
cashflows

0.506
0.511
0.503
0.517
0.497
0.514
0.506
0.506
0.506
0.511

0.925%
1.065%
0.739%
0.694%
0.989%
1.210%
1.308%
1.374%
1.435%
1.563%

1
0.995355
0.989923
0.986151
0.982462
0.977467
0.971212
0.964554
0.957547
0.950255
0.942304

-46,761,573
-54,413,299
-37,169,930
-35,847,591
-49,170,225
-62,181,654
-66,139,530
-69,465,227
-72,563,449
-79,894,592

3.097%
2.656%
2.548%
2.795%
3.318%
3.699%
3.908%
4.117%
4.355%
4.582%

1.0000
1.0045
1.0091
1.0136
1.0182
1.0227
1.0274
1.0320
1.0367
1.0413

3.097%
2.668%
2.571%
2.833%
3.378%
3.783%
4.015%
4.249%
4.515%
4.771%

32,756,391
11,140,927
6,086,975
19,823,820
46,170,054
68,529,636
79,142,111
90,965,684
104,427,920
118,661,520

156,595,833
136,341,242
129,245,981
146,385,008
167,968,187
194,410,388
202,981,553
214,805,126
228,267,362
243,861,835

555,287,331

1,763,283,281

PV (Yen) on 10 bn nominal =

-555,287,331

Net PV =

Pricing a quanto diff swap with varying correlation


0.00
-50.00
-100.00
-150.00
-200.00
-250.00
-300.00
-100%

-80%

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%
100%
Correlation

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