Curso: Hidrologa I-Semestre 2016

Grupo A

Escenarios de Periotos de Retorno para la cuenca

Riesgo de
Falla "Rf"
1%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
40%
50%
60%
75%
99%

5
498
98
48
31
23
18
15
10
8
6
4
2

10
995
195
95
62
45
35
29
20
15
11
8
3

Escenarios de Periodo de Retorno (aos)

Vida Util "n" (aos)
20
25
30
1990
2488
2985
390
488
585
190
238
285
124
154
185
90
113
135
70
87
105
57
71
85
40
49
59
29
37
44
22
28
33
15
19
22
5
6
7

50
4975
975
475
308
225
174
141
98
73
55
37
11

75
7463
1463
712
462
337
261
211
147
109
82
55
17

100
9950
1950
950
616
449
348
281
196
145
110
73
22

Escenarios de Precipitacin Mxima de 24 horas -Estaciones Pluviometricas

a) Escenarios de Precipitacin Mxima de 24hr . Estacin Choco
Precipitacin Mxima (mm) en Funcion del Riesgo de Falla y la Vida til - Est. Choco - Dist. Pearson Tipo III
Riesgo de
Vida Util "n" (aos)
Falla "Rf"
5
10
20
25
30
50
75
100
1%
59.30
64.10
68.72
70.14
71.29
74.33
76.56
77.97
5%
47.63
52.67
57.58
59.16
60.43
63.96
66.69
68.58
10%
42.37
47.40
52.44
54.06
55.35
58.97
61.80
63.78
15%
39.10
44.26
49.35
50.93
52.25
55.90
58.77
60.79
20%
36.84
41.89
47.01
48.67
49.97
53.66
56.54
58.57
25%
34.97
40.01
45.16
46.76
48.14
51.81
54.72
56.77
30%
33.57
38.59
43.64
45.27
46.59
50.29
53.19
55.25
40%
30.41
35.77
41.01
42.52
43.90
47.63
50.59
52.67
50%
28.65
33.57
38.59
40.42
41.72
45.47
48.41
50.49
60%
26.34
31.16
36.50
38.33
39.57
43.38
46.32
48.48
75%
22.99
28.65
33.57
35.38
36.50
40.42
43.38
45.47
99%
16.85
20.53
24.85
26.34
27.58
31.16
34.53
36.50
Precipitacin Mxima en Funcin del Riesgo de Falla y la Vida til - Est. Pluviometrica
Riesgo Falla =1%
Choco Distribucin Pearson Tipo III
Riesgo Falla =5%

Precipitacion Maxima (mm)

80.0

Riesgo Falla =10%

70.0

Riesgo Falla =15%

60.0

Riesgo Falla =20%

50.0

Riesgo Falla =25%

Riesgo Falla =30%

40.0

Riesgo Falla =40%

30.0

Riesgo Falla =50%

20.0

Riesgo Falla =60%

10.0

Riesgo Falla =75%

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Riesgo Falla =99%

Vida Util de la Estructura "n" (aos)

b)Escenarios de Precipitacin Mxima de 24hr . Estacin La Calera

Precipitacin Mxima (mm) en Funcion del Riesgo de Falla y la Vida til - Est. La Calera - Dist. Log Pearson Tipo III
Riesgo de
Vida Util "n" (aos)
Falla "Rf"
5
10
20
25
30
50
75
100
1%
72.66
78.48
84.30
86.18
87.71
92.00
95.41
97.83
5%
59.00
64.80
70.62
72.49
74.02
78.31
81.72
84.13
10%
53.83
58.77
64.58
66.45
67.98
72.27
75.67
78.08
15%
50.25
55.96
60.95
62.81
64.34
68.63
72.03
74.45
20%
47.64
53.34
58.29
60.16
61.68
65.97
69.37
71.78
25%
45.59
51.26
56.17
58.04
59.56
63.84
67.24
69.65
30%
43.83
49.47
54.52
56.24
57.76
62.04
65.44
67.85
40%
40.97
46.55
52.24
54.07
55.58
59.03
62.42
64.84
50%
38.54
44.05
49.73
51.56
53.06
56.48
59.87
62.28
60%
36.45
41.82
47.42
49.26
50.75
54.98
57.54
59.94
75%
33.27
38.54
44.05
45.86
47.35
51.56
54.90
56.48
99%
28.30
31.96
36.11
37.51
38.71
42.15
45.43
47.31
Precipitacin Mxima en Funcin del Riesgo de Falla y la Vida til - Est. Pluviometrica
Riesgo Falla =1%
La Calera Distribucin Log Pearson Tipo III

Precipitacion Maxima (mm)

Riesgo Falla =5%

95.0

Riesgo Falla =10%

85.0

Riesgo Falla =15%

75.0

Riesgo Falla =20%

Riesgo Falla =25%

65.0

Riesgo Falla =30%

55.0

Riesgo Falla =40%

45.0

Riesgo Falla =50%

35.0

Riesgo Falla =60%

25.0

Riesgo Falla =75%

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Vida Util de la Estructura "n" (aos)

80

90

100

Riesgo Falla =99%

c)Escenarios de Precipitacin Mxima de 24hr . EstacinOrcopampa

Precipitacin Mxima(mm) en Funcion del Riesgo de Falla y la Vida til - Est.
Parametros
Riesgo de
Vida Util "n" (aos)
Falla "Rf"
5
10
20
25
30
1%
51.56
53.61
55.57
56.19
56.69
5%
46.35
48.65
50.82
51.50
52.05
10%
43.81
46.24
48.55
49.28
49.84
15%
42.15
44.75
47.15
47.87
48.47
20%
40.96
43.58
46.06
46.84
47.43
25%
39.95
42.63
45.18
45.94
46.59
30%
39.16
41.89
44.44
45.23
45.86
40%
37.32
40.39
43.13
43.89
44.57
50%
36.23
39.16
41.89
42.84
43.49
60%
34.74
37.76
40.78
41.75
42.40
75%
32.39
36.23
39.16
40.17
40.78
99%
27.22
30.49
33.72
34.74
35.55

Orcopampa -Dist. Log Normal 3

50
58.08
53.55
51.42
50.09
49.10
48.27
47.58
46.35
45.33
44.31
42.84
37.76

75
59.15
54.71
52.63
51.33
50.37
49.57
48.89
47.72
46.71
45.74
44.31
39.70

Precipitacin Mxima en Funcin del Riesgo de Falla y la Vida til - Est.

Pluviometrica Orcopamapa Distribucin Log Normal 3 Parametros

100
59.90
55.52
53.47
52.20
51.25
50.47
49.80
48.65
47.67
46.75
45.33
40.78

Riesgo Falla =1%

Riesgo Falla =5%

60.0

Precipitacion Maxima (mm)

Riesgo Falla =10%

55.0

Riesgo Falla =15%

50.0

Riesgo Falla =20%

45.0

Riesgo Falla =25%

Riesgo Falla =30%

40.0

Riesgo Falla =40%

35.0

Riesgo Falla =50%

30.0

Riesgo Falla =60%

25.0

Riesgo Falla =75%

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Riesgo Falla =99%

Vida Util de la Estructura "n" (aos)

d)Escenarios de Precipitacin Mxima de 24hr . Estacin Pullhuay

Precipitacin Mxima(mm) en Funcion del Riesgo de Falla y la Vida til - Est.
Riesgo de
Vida Util "n" (aos)
Falla "Rf"
5
10
20
25
30
1%
78.37
84.5
90.9
92.6
94.0
5%
63.65
70.1
77.2
78.6
79.7
10%
57.19
63.4
69.7
71.8
73.4
15%
53.30
59.7
65.9
67.9
69.5
20%
50.33
56.8
63.1
65.0
66.7
25%
48.05
54.5
60.4
62.7
64.4
30%
46.06
52.5
58.8
60.8
62.4
40%
42.76
49.1
55.5
57.6
59.1
50%
39.86
46.3
52.7
54.9
56.4
60%
37.32
43.7
50.1
52.2
53.9
75%
33.33
39.9
46.3
48.4
50.1
99%
24.97
29.99
35.45
37.25
38.97

Pullhuay- Dist. Pearson Tipo III

50
97.76
84.32
77.93
74.13
71.25
68.93
66.98
63.80
61.05
58.61
54.88
43.49

75
100.5
88.4
82.4
77.7
74.9
72.6
70.6
67.4
64.7
62.2
58.4
47.55

100
102.3
90.7
84.1
81.1
77.4
75.1
73.2
70.0
67.3
64.8
61.1
49.91

Precipitacin Mxima en Funcin del Riesgo de Falla y la Vida til - Est. Pluviometrica
Riesgo Falla =1%
Pullhuay Distribucin Pearson Tipo III
Riesgo Falla =5%

Precipitacion Maxima (mm)

110.0

Riesgo Falla =10%

100.0

Riesgo Falla =15%

90.0
80.0

Riesgo Falla =20%

70.0

Riesgo Falla =25%

60.0

Riesgo Falla =30%

50.0

Riesgo Falla =40%

40.0

Riesgo Falla =50%

30.0

Riesgo Falla =60%

20.0

Riesgo Falla =75%

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Vida Util de la Estructura "n" (aos)

80

90

100

Riesgo Falla =99%