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Wisconsins 1st Congressional District

Republican Primary Election Poll Results


Congressional Leadership Fund
July 11-12, 2016
Q: How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Republican primary elections for Congress?
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely

87%
9%
5%

Q: Now, I am going to read you a list of names. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or
unfavorable opinion of each or if you have no opinion.
Paul Ryan
Total Favorable
Total Unfavorable

76%
17%

Very favorable
Somewhat favorable
Somewhat unfavorable
Very unfavorable
No opinion

57%
19%
7%
10%
7%

Paul Nehlen
Total Favorable
Total Unfavorable
Very favorable
Somewhat favorable
Somewhat unfavorable
Very unfavorable
No opinion

121 State Street


Harrisburg, PA 17101

22%
24%
9%
13%
10%
14%
54%

HarperPolling.com

Info@HarperPolling.com

Q: If the Republican primary election for Congress were held today, which of the following
candidates would you vote for: Paul Ryan OR Paul Nehlen?
Ryan
Nehlen
Undecided

69%
20%
11%

Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Paul Ryan is handling his job as your Congressman?
Total Approve
Total Disapprove

74%
23%

Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Not sure

52%
22%
10%
13%
3%

Q: Would you vote to re-elect Congressman Paul Ryan regardless of who ran against him?
Yes
No
Not sure

61%
26%
14%

Q: Have you seen, read or heard anything recently about Paul Ryan?
Yes
No
Not sure

79%
14%
8%

(Asked only of those who answered Yes to previous question)


Q: Has that information given you a more favorable or a more unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure

63%
25%
12%

Q: Have you seen, read or heard anything recently about Paul Nehlen?
Yes
No
Not sure

42%
48%
11%

(Asked only of those who answered Yes to previous question)


Q: Has that information given you a more favorable or a more unfavorable opinion of Paul Nehlen?
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure

25%
60%
14%

Q: How would you describe the political ideology of Paul Ryan?


Very Conservative
Somewhat Conservative
Moderate
Somewhat Liberal
Very Liberal
Not sure

36%
42%
12%
4%
1%
6%

Q: On political issues, do you consider yourself to be Very Conservative, Somewhat Conservative,


Moderate, or Liberal?
Very Conservative
Somewhat Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
Not sure

31%
41%
18%
6%
4%

Demographics
Gender
Female
Male

51%
49%

Age
18 to 39
40 to 54
55 to 64
65 to 74
75 or older
Ethnicity
White
Any other race

16%
25%
24%
18%
17%

89%
11%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Democrat
Independent or any other party
County
KENOSHA
MILWAUKEE
RACINE
ROCK
WALWORTH
WAUKESHA
Media Market
MADISON
MILWAUKEE

55%
15%
30%

20%
13%
22%
15%
13%
17%

15%
85%

METHODOLOGY:
The sample size for the survey is 400 likely Republican primary voters in Wisconsin Congressional District 1 and the
margin of error is +/-4.9%. Reponses were gathered through land line interviews conducted using Interactive Voice
Response (IVR). The survey was conducted July 11-12, 2016 by Harper Polling. The total percentages for responses may
not equal 100% due to rounding.