Contents
2
Welcome
22 About LLamasoft
2
Welcome
We began our
partnership with
LLamasoft on Supply
Chain Guru 2.0 in 2003
and are still an active
customer at version
8.0. The reasons we
chose LLamasoft back
then are the same
reasons we continue
our relationship today:
LLamasoft offers the
most innovative supply
chain design technology
and the people we work
with are knowledgeable
and dedicated to
customer success.
Ettore Piccirillo, Group CSE
Director, Unilever
Over half of the global companies recognized as part of the Gartner Supply Chain Top 25 for 2014 have
designed supply chains using LLamasoft supply chain modeling solutions. The annual Supply Chain Top
25 report identifies the companies that best demonstrate leadership in applying demand-driven principles
to drive business results. Fourteen of the 25 companies listed in the 2014 report have utilized LLamasoft
supply chain modeling software. 2014 is the fourth year running in which 50 percent or more of the 25
companies have had supply chain design projects supported by LLamasoft.
At LLamasoft, we believe its no accident that this trusted and authoritative report in large part mirrors the list
of companies that have utilized LLamasoft technology to design better supply chains.
McDonalds
Amazon
Unilever
P&G
Samsung Electronics
Cisco Systems
Intel
Colgate-Palmolive
Inditex
Nike
H&M
Walmart
PepsiCo
Lenovo Group
Starbucks
3M
Qualcomm
Seagate Technology
Kimberly-Clark
Johnson&Johnson
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Caterpillar
Cummins
Nestle
3
incorporate transportation and sourcing costs and policies, network structure, inventory, service level
and operational details.
Right-Size Inventory Levels
Analyze and properly categorize demand, factor all aspects of inventory for both existing and new supply
chain structures and simulate real-world behavior to enable true what-if capabilities. The result is a
prescription for the right levels of working capital across your business.
Optimize Product Flow
Analyze how SKU-level products flow along transportation lanes, through distribution centers and on
to customers. Determine which products should be shipped via air, rail or truck and the appropriate
distribution path to meet service levels while minimizing transportation costs.
Create Optimal Transportation
Networks
Transportation Guru enables designers
to model entire supply chain networks,
incorporating alternate transportation
options and key variables such as cost,
time, capacity and delivery parameters.
Identify optimal mode mix and most
efficient multi-stop vehicle routes while
optimizing fleet size. Routes can include
pick-ups and deliveries interleaved
throughout to minimize costs.
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Source: Llamasoft
Identify alternate
sources, routes,
transportation
modes or production
processes that may
be required due to
planned or unplanned
supply chain
disruptions.
4
Why Choose LLamasoft?
Unmatched design technology and the expertise to back it up
Applying modeling and optimization to supply chain design problems for more than 10 years
Pure-play supply chain design solutions company
Over 500 supply chain design projects completed across industries:
Consumer Goods
Automotive
Footwear/Apparel
Retail
Chemical
Defense
High Tech
Manufacturing
Public Health
Logistics/3PL
Grocery
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LLamasoft solutions consultants offer expertise in:
Network Optimization
Inventory Optimization
Transportation Network Design Statistics
Simulation
Analytics and Data Management
5
From the Gartner Files:
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Analysis
2014 marks the 10th year of our annual Supply
Chain Top 25 ranking. In celebration of this
milestone, we have several longtime leaders with
new lessons to share and a number of more recent
entrants from the high-tech, consumer products
(CP) and industrial sectors.
A key aspect of the Supply Chain Top 25 ranking
is the demonstration of demand-driven leadership.
6
ordering activities and assets in service. Leading
companies go beyond just tracing correlations
in operational data, however. They study the
environments this activity occurs in to parse out
the contextual reasons behind local behaviors that
appear quirky when viewed from a distance.
Consider a high-tech leader that hired an
anthropologist to go out in the field of emerging
markets to understand how they consider and
relate to consumer electronics. Observing people
in their natural environments led to products better
able to perform where there is a lot of dust in the
air or where power supplies are unreliable. It also
revealed that enough new mobile phone buyers in
China will wait for a traditionally believed good
number, such as one with a lot of 8s, to create
spikes in consumption around the times that new
batches of those numbers are available.
In another instance, a CP company decided to
sell daily-sized soap sachets in emerging markets
to better fit household budgets. These products
are delivered in a just-in-time (JIT) fashion to
local retailers, reflecting those buyers cash-flow
constraints. In mature markets, this leader uses
simulated store environments to better understand
how customers move through shopping aisles and
make buying decisions, based on product displays.
It also models the buying patterns of retail
partners and looks for opportunities where value
can be obtained and shared by improving on-shelf
availability and moving toward less-complex order
and delivery methods.
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7
of control in the drive to maximize revenue. Supply
chains influence over which products will be sold
and what customer service levels will be supported
is akin to the checks and balances built between
the branches of a democratic government.
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8
Table 1. The Gartner Supply Chain Top 25 for 2014
Rank
Company
Peer
Opinion1
(188 voters)
(25%)
Gartner
Opinion1
(32
voters)
(25%)
ThreeYear
Weighted
ROA2
(25%)
Inventory
Turns3
(15%)
Three-Year
Weighted
Revenue
Growth4
(10%)
Composite
Score5
Apple
3,187
371
20.5%
69.2
31.2%
8.85
McDonalds
1,612
369
15.6%
153.0
4.0%
6.25
Amazon
3,171
510
0.8%
8.9
27.2%
6.08
Unilever
2,031
517
9.9%
6.9
2.6%
5.32
P&G
2,166
513
8.2%
5.9
2.2%
5.20
Samsung
Electronics
1,871
351
11.4%
18.1
12.7%
5.13
Cisco Systems
1,092
480
9.1%
12.3
6.3%
4.57
Intel
908
475
12.8%
4.8
3.8%
4.51
Colgate-Palmolive
891
322
17.4%
5.1
3.1%
4.22
10
1,820
265
10.1%
5.3
6.2%
4.03
11
Inditex
751
259
17.7%
3.9
9.1%
3.99
12
Nike
1,192
225
14.2%
4.2
11.0%
3.89
13
H&M
690
108
26.7%
3.6
6.4%
3.83
14
Walmart
1,764
215
8.0%
7.9
3.5%
3.52
15
PepsiCo
1,000
298
8.6%
8.2
3.2%
3.37
16
Lenovo Group
808
210
3.3%
17.5
24.4%
3.14
17
Starbucks
1,044
185
8.5%
5.7
11.9%
3.06
18
3M
975
146
13.6%
4.1
4.1%
3.05
19
Qualcomm
193
56
14.1%
6.8
30.6%
2.95
20
Seagate
Technology
67
39
19.5%
12.5
8.1%
2.75
21
Kimberly-Clark
605
206
9.9%
6.1
1.6%
2.65
22
957
149
9.6%
2.8
5.2%
2.65
23
Caterpillar
696
245
5.4%
3.0
3.3%
2.43
24
Cummins
153
144
12.1%
5.3
6.0%
2.34
25
Nestl
1,060
99
8.3%
5.4
1.5%
2.30
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Notes:
1. Gartner Opinion and Peer Opinion: Based on each panels forced-rank ordering against the definition of
DDVN orchestrator
2. ROA: ((2013 net income / 2013 total assets) * 50%) + ((2012 net income / 2012 total assets) * 30%) + ((2011
net income / 2011 total assets) * 20%)
3. Inventory Turns: 2013 cost of goods sold / 2013 quarterly average inventory
4. Revenue Growth: ((change in revenue 2013-2012) * 50%) + ((change in revenue 2012-2011) * 30%) +
((change in revenue 2011-2010) * 20%)
5. Composite Score: (Peer Opinion * 25%) + (Gartner Research Opinion * 25%) + (ROA * 25%) + (Inventory Turns *
15%) + (Revenue Growth * 10%)
2013 data used where available. Where unavailable, latest available full-year data used. All raw data normalized
to a 10-point scale prior to composite calculation. Ranks for tied composite scores are determined using next
decimal point comparison.
Source: Gartner (May 2014)
9
and efficiency, enabling broad adoption of its
competitively priced hardware, which acts as a
platform for software and media content sold
either discretely or through its buffet-style Prime
service.
Amazon is exploring taking over management
of the last mile of delivery to customers in some
markets. One of its more provocative proposals in
this area, which made a huge splash in the media,
is the use of unmanned aerial drones to deliver
shoebox-size packages from Amazons fulfillment
centers to customers homes within 30 minutes.
Beyond the sensational headlines, Amazon has
recognized the need to more effectively handle
the high volume of returns associated with online
buying. It has done this by rolling out a new service
allowing customers to return unwanted merchandise
using large metal lockers it has installed for
deliveries in garages, convenience stores and grocery
stores in major metropolitan areas.
CP giant Unilever held steady at No. 4 this year
after rapidly climbing nearly 50 slots since
2008. Unilevers supply chain team is one of the
more advanced at using cost-to-serve insights
to optimize its distribution network and make
profitable trade-off decisions with customers. As
part of its channel-ready supply chain program,
this leader is determining the appropriate level of
supply chain services and marketing support each
channel and customer requires to enable growth
in a profitable way. Further, its low-cost business
model allows entrance and growth in more
constrained emerging markets.
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10
and suppliers. It also has a major focus on
supply chain talent development, particularly
through job rotations that offer hands-on learning
opportunities.
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11
shoe models from the ground up. Its supply chain
leadership team, well-balanced between new and
veteran players, is focused on the development
of segmented supply chain capabilities, advanced
analytics for supply network design, and improved
sensing and shaping of demand, particularly in
volatile markets.
Supply chain leader Walmart marks its 10th year
on the list at No. 14 this year. The U.S. retail
giant leads the industry in data sharing and
supplier collaboration. It has expanded the use
of RFID tracking for improved logistics visibility
and continued its focus on distribution network
optimization for lower total landed cost. Walmart
leverages a center of excellence (COE) to identify
isolated local supply chain innovations and spread
them globally. In the past year, it has accelerated
its focus on multichannel, including the
introduction of stand-alone pick-up centers where
shoppers drive up and receive orders. For the first
time in a decade, Walmarts online sales growth
30% year over year was faster than Amazons.
This strategic capability is supported by the dozen
e-commerce software company acquisitions it has
completed over the past three years.
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12
supply network design, including sourcing and
manufacturing decisions. Improving supply chain
visibility over a standard cross-enterprise platform
has also been a major focus area for Lenovo over
the past few years, driving significant productivity
benefits and improved control and inventory
management.
At No. 17, global coffee purveyor Starbucks joins
the list for a fourth year. Starbucks was the leading
restaurant chain within the coffee category in
2013 and boasted a three-year average sales
growth of 11.9%. Its supply chain supports more
than 3 billion customer visits annually at the
companys 20,000 global locations. Consistent
with other leaders, Starbucks runs a broadspanning supply chain, which includes new
product development, customer service and
strategy. The company is in the middle of a major
supply chain tran=sformation program, running
more than two dozen concurrent initiatives aimed
at growing the top line and driving operational
excellence. These include efforts to expand and
revamp food menus to support both global scale
and local tastes, enhance commodity management
for both Starbucks and smaller local suppliers, and
leverage multichannel retailing to drive more foot
traffic to stores.
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13
optimization and synchronized business planning.
Improved talent management is another priority
being driven by senior supply chain management.
As a key player driving commercial and household
energy consumption, Cummins is demonstrating
leadership in environmental sustainability, and has
won several industry awards in this area.
At No. 25, Nestl rounds out the list with its fourth
appearance on the global ranking. The Swiss
CP conglomerate has moved toward a solution
provider model with a portfolio that includes
products, systems and services supporting brands
such as Nespresso. Its supply chain team is focused
on running a customer-centric supply chain,
with demand excellence based on data analytics
insights. Nestl is also a recognized master within
the logistics function. In support of less developed
emerging markets, Cameroon, Cte dIvoire and
Nigeria, it created a Cooking Caravan program
that traveled throughout the region, raising
awareness of the importance of balanced diets,
micronutrients and culinary hygiene.
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Honorable Mentions
14
Product management R&D, engineering
and product development
When these processes work together, the
business can sense, shape, and respond quickly
and profitably to opportunities arising from
market or customer demand. The defining
characteristics of supply chains built to this
design include the ability to manage demand,
rather than just respond to it; a networked, rather
than linear, approach to global supply; and the
ability to embed innovation in operations, rather
than keep it isolated in the laboratory.
FIGURE 1
Demand-Driven Principles
Demand
FIGURE 2
Supply
Product
DRAFT
(Higher Price/
Earnings Multiples)
Winners
Leader
Demand
Supply
Product
Operational
Excellence
(Perfect Order,
Total Supply
Chain Cost)
Demand
Supply
Laggard
Product
Losers
Laggard
Innovation Excellence
(Time to Value, Return on R&D)
Leader
15
Of course, operational excellence has value only if
customers want whats being made and shipped.
To address this, we look at innovation excellence.
Although far harder to measure reliably, this
dimension can also be managed with a hierarchy
of metrics, in this case, topped by time to value
and return on new product development and
launch (NPDL). The key is to find the right balance
on both these dimensions. Too much emphasis on
one at the expense of the other either squashes
innovation or hampers growth.
Its important to recognize the business life cycle
aspect to this balance that our methodology also
attempts to reflect. Each year, we see examples
of previously successful businesses struggling
with the competitiveness of their products, while
still possessing very advanced supply chain
capabilities. This condition can exist for a period of
time before both resynchronize and either return
to high performance or spiral into decline. Since
the opinion poll portion of our methodology is
based on the relative capability and leadership
of a supply chain at a given point in time, it is
possible for a companys supply chain to score well
on the polls while also posting a less competitive
financial performance in the near term.
Performance
Dimension
Key Metrics
Operational
Excellence
Innovation
Excellence
Time to value
Return on new product
launch
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16
FIGURE 3
Demand
Forecast
Perfect
Order
Assess
SCM
Cost
Cash to Cash
Inventory
Total
AP
Supplier
Quality
Cost
Detail
AP = accounts payable
AR = accounts receivable
FG = finished goods
Source: Gartner (May 2014)
FIGURE 4
Supplier
On Time
Production
Schedule
Variance
Raw
Material
Inventory
Plant
Utilization
Diagnose
AR
Purchasing
Costs
WIP & FG
Inventory
Direct
Material
Costs
Order
Cycle
Time
Correct
Perfect
Order
Detail
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New
Product
Forecast
NPDL
Investment
NPDL
Cost
Time to Value
Time to
Market
Customer
Needs
Met
New
Product
Detail
Budget
Performance
Planned Versus
Actual
Manufacturing
Cycle Time
Time to
Breakeven
Pipeline
Part/
Process
Reuse
Engineering
Changes
First Pass
Yield
First-Year
Field
Returns
Cost
Detail
17
Because of these issues, our methodology isnt
limited to financial metrics. Instead, we see the
financials as one important component that
provides a baseline, an anchor and an objective
foundation on top of which we place the group
intelligence of a vote, precisely because no
combination of income statement or balance sheet
financial metrics will tell us which companies are
furthest along toward the demand-driven ideal of
supply chain excellence. For this reason, we look to
craft a methodology that combines enough, but not
too many, of the right metrics both quantitative
and qualitative to achieve our goals.
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Financial Component
Three financial metrics are used in the ranking:
ROA Net income / total assets
Inventory turns Cost of goods sold /
inventory
Revenue growth Change in revenue from
prior year
Airlines
Insurance
Services
Banks
Shipbuilding
Metals
Software Development
Diversified Financials
Mining
Telecommunications
Energy
Petroleum Refining
Temporary Help
Engineering/Construction
Pipelines
Trading
Entertainment
Railroads
Utilities
Real Estate
Information Technology/
Computer Services
Shipping
18
ROA was weighted at 25%, inventory turns 15%
and growth 10%. Inventory offers some indication
of cost, and ROA provides a general proxy for
overall operational efficiency and productivity.
Revenue growth, while clearly reflecting myriad
market and organizational factors, offers some
clues to innovation. Financial data is taken from
each companys individual, publicly available
financial statements.
The weighting within the financials is the same as
last year. Prior to 2010, inventory was weighted at
25%. We had considered dropping it altogether. As
much as inventory is a time-honored supply chain
metric one of the few real supply chain metrics
on a companys balance sheet there have always
been issues with it, not the least of which is that
higher turns dont always point to the better supply
chain. At the same time, its a metric thats widely
known and understood, both inside and outside the
supply chain community. Despite the issues, its
not entirely invalid as an indicator, particularly if
combined with other metrics. Therefore, we decided
to leave it in, but reduce its weighting.
Opinion Component
The opinion component of the ranking is designed
to provide a forward-looking view that reflects the
progress companies are making, and the extent to
which they demonstrate leadership through visibility
in the supply chain community. Its made up of two
components, each of which is equally weighted: a
Gartner analyst expert panel and a peer panel.
The goal of the peer panel is to draw on the
extensive knowledge of the professionals that,
as customers and/or suppliers, interact and have
direct experience with the companies being
ranked. Any supply chain professional working
for a manufacturer or retailer is eligible to be on
the panel, and only one panelist per company is
accepted. Excluded from the panel are consultants,
technology vendors and people who dont work
in supply chain roles (such as public relations,
marketing or finance).
We accepted 219 applicants for the peer panel
this year, with 188 completing the voting process.
Participants came from the most senior levels of
the supply chain organization across a broad range
of industries. There were 32 Gartner panelists
across industry and functional specialties, each of
whom drew on his or her primary field research and
continuous study of companies in their coverage area.
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19
FIGURE 5
FIGURE 6
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20
to provide the mechanism that taps into
each persons core kernel of knowledge
and aggregates it into a larger whole.
FIGURE 7
Composite Score
All this information the three
financials and two opinion votes is
normalized onto a 10-point scale
and then aggregated, using the
aforementioned weighting, into a total
composite score. The composite scores
are then sorted in descending order to
arrive at the final Supply Chain Top 25
ranking.
Looking Ahead
We are very excited to be celebrating
the 10-year anniversary of the annual
Supply Chain Top 25 ranking this
year. Later in 2014, we will publish a
longitudinal analysis of the results of
the ranking over the past decade. Until
then, the Healthcare Supply
Chain Top 25 lies ahead for the
rest of 2014, as well as a steady
cadence of publications that
offer various analytical lenses
on the full 2014 global ranking.
These include industry cuts that
examine how the companies in
a particular industry stack up
against each other and what the
industry can learn from them,
as well as regional cuts for
Asia/Pacific and Europe, which
do the same for companies
headquartered in each region.
While these cuts will be
published throughout the year,
we will pull them all together
in a special report toward the
end of the year for ease of
reference. We will also continue
to investigate new metrics, and
ways to define and measure
supply chain excellence.
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FIGURE 8
21
FIGURE 9
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22
About LLamasoft
LLamasoft, Inc. provides software and expertise to help large
organizations design and improve their supply chain network
operations. LLamasoft Supply Chain Guru is the leading supply
chain design and analysis application available in the market
today. It enables companies to model, optimize and simulate their
supply chain operations, leading to major improvements in cost,
service, sustainability and risk mitigation.
LLamasoft is dedicated to advancing technology focused on
the continuous improvement of enterprise supply chains. Our
customers include many of the worlds largest organizations across
a wide range of industries.
Contact LLamasoft
866-598-9831
sales@llamasoft.com
To learn more about LLamasoft, check out our white papers or
request a demo.
White papers
Request a Demo
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The Majority of Gartner Supply Chain Top 25 for 2014 Companies Have Designed with LLamasoft is published by LLamasoft Inc.. Editorial content supplied by LLamasoft Inc. is
independent of Gartner analysis. All Gartner research is used with Gartners permission, and was originally published as part of Gartners syndicated research service available to
all entitled Gartner clients. 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. The use of Gartner research in this publication does not indicate Gartners endorsement
of LLamasoft Inc.s products and/or strategies. Reproduction or distribution of this publication in any form without Gartners prior written permission is forbidden. The information
contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. The
opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Although Gartner research may include a discussion of related legal issues, Gartner does not provide legal advice
or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner is a public company, and its shareholders may include firms and funds that have financial interests in
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