1.
30
a) P(X=10) =h(10;15,30,50) =
20
C 10C 5
50
C 15
.20695
b) P(at least 10 from the same class)=P(at least 10 from first class)
+P(at least 10 from2nd)
P(at least 10 from 2nd ) = h(10;15,30,50) + h(11;15,30,50) +
h(12;15,30,50)+
h(13;15,30,50)+ h(14;15,30,50)+
h(15;15,30,50)
=.
2070+.1176+.0438+.0101+.0013+.0001 = 0.3799
P(at least 10 from 1st) = P(at most 5 from second)
= h(5;15,30,50) + h(4;15,30,50) +
h(3;15,30,50) + h(2;15,30,50)
+ h(1;15,30,50) + h(0;15,30,50)
=.
011697+.002045+.000227+.000150+.000001+.000000
= .01412
P(at least 10 from the same class)= 0.3799 + 0.01412 = 0.39404
c) Mean value = (15*30)/50 = 9
d) Standard Deviation = sqrt ( ( 35*9*20)/50*49 ) = 1.60356
35
C 15
x C 10x
C50
10
3.
It is not mentioned in the question what p is and I figured it out
according to the answer
given alongside the question that p actually denotes the probability that
the drought ends in
the next period. That is, (1p) represents the probability that it extends.
a) P(exactly 3 intervals) = (1-p)^3 * p = (1-0.409)^3 * 0.409 = 0.0844
b) P(at most 3 intervals) = P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3)
= 0.409 + 0.591 * 0.409 + 0.591^2 * 0.409 +
0.0844
= 0.87797
c) Mean = r(1-p)/p where r=1
= (1-p)/p = 0.591/0.409 = 1.44498
Standard deviation = sqrt( (r*(1-p) )/p^2 ) = sqrt( 0.591/0.409^2) =
sqrt(3.53297) = 1.8796
4.
a) Probability that exactly four arrivals occur during the hour =P(x,u) =P(4,5)
=
e 5
4!
0.175467
e
( 55 0)/0 !
e =6.7379 x
10
5.
a)
f ( x , )dx
2
2
x2 e 2 dx
0
2
=- e
x
2
2
= 0-(-1) =1
P(X<200) =
x 2
e
2
dx
=- e
x
2
2
200
0
= 0.8647 (put
x
2
2
200
100
= 0.4712
u
2
2
x
0
= 1-
x
2
2
=100 )
6.
2
5
a)
y
y2
2 y y 2 10
)dy = 50 +(
)
25
50
5 50 5
5
10
y
f
(
y
)
dy=
dy
+
25
0
5
=1
b) P(Y<=3) =
y
y2 3
dy
=
25 50 0
0
= 9/50 = 0.18
P(X<=8) =
2
5
y
(
) dy
25
5
8
y
25 dy +
0
5
2y
5
y2 5
+
50 0
y2 8
50 5
10
y 2 2 y y 10
0 +(
)
25y dy + 52 25y dy= 50
5 50 6 = 0.08 + 0.32=
0
6
0.40
7.
9
a) F(Y) =
10
x x
9 10
y
90 x 8 (1x ) dx = 90 ( x 8x 9 ) dx=90
0
y
) 0
9
10
= 10 y 9 y
elsewhere
b) ( .5) = F(0.5)= 10(0.5)^9 9(0.5)^10 = 0.010742
c) (.25 < .5) =F(0.5)- F(0.25) = 0.010742 ( 10(0.25)^9 9(0.25)^10) =
0.010712436
1
d) E(X) =
90 11 1
90 9
x 0=9 =
11
11 11
=0.818181
2
Similarly E( X =0.6818
11
r f ( r ) dr = r 2
2
8. E( r =
( 34 ( 1( 10r ) )) dr =
2
3
4
11
( 20 r 3 r 4 99 r 2 ) dr
9
= (100.2) =314.628