Anda di halaman 1dari 1

ISYE 3232C Fall 2015 Quiz 10

I,
, do swear that I abide by the Georgia Tech Honor
Code. I understand that any honor code violation will result in a zero for this test
and one letter grade reduction.
Signature:
Suppose passengers arrive at a MARTA station between 10am - 5pm following
a Poisson process with rate = 60 per hour. For notation, let N(t) be the number
of passengers arrived in the first t hours and let t = 0 at 10am.
(a) What is the expected number of passengers arrived in the first 1 hour?
E[N(1)] = 60
(b) What is the probability that no passengers arrive in the first 2 hours?
t
k
120
0
Pr[N(2) = 0] = e k!(t) = e 0!(120) 0
(c) What is the mean number of arrivals between 11am and 1 pm?
E[N(3) N(1)] = E[N(3)] E[N(1)] = 3 60 1 60 = 120
(d) What is the probability that exactly 3 passengers arrive between 2pm and 4pm?
(t2 t1 ) ( (t t ))k
e120 (120)3
2 1
Pr[N(6) N(4) = 3] = e
=
0
k!
3!
(e) Suppose that 40% of passengers are female. What is the expected number of
female passengers arrived in the first 3 hours?
Female passengers form another Poisson process with rate 40% 60 = 24 per
hour. Hence, in 3 hours, the expected number of female arrivals is 24 3 = 72