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Khurram Sheraz
Purdue University
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Anwaar Ahmed
National University of Sciences and Techno
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Received: 31 May 2014 / Accepted: 13 October 2015 / Published online: 6 November 2015
King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals 2015
Abstract This paper describes the application of HECRAS model to the development of floodplain maps for the
part of Kabul river that lies in Pakistan. The intent is to
assist policy makers and planners in the development of flood
mitigation measures for the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province,
which experienced unprecedented floods in July/August
2010 exposing the vulnerability of the province to this natural
catastrophe. Owing to its reasonable accuracy and free availability, shuttle radar topography mission digital elevation
model was chosen for the extraction of geometrical data for
the river. Conventional flood frequency analysis, involving
log-normal, Gumbels, and log-Pearson type III (LP3) distributions, was used to calculate extreme flows with different
return periods. Using KolmogorovSmirnov (KS) test, LP3
was found to be the best distribution for the Kabul River. The
peak floods from frequency analysis were input into HECRAS model to find the corresponding flood levels expected
along river reaches extending through Warsak dam to Attock.
Results obtained with HEC-RAS model were used in combination with ArcGIS to prepare floodplain maps for different
return periods. Through floodplain maps, areas that are vulnerable to flooding hazards have been identified. Analysis
1 Introduction
Floods are caused by extreme hydrometeorological actions
while their evolution depends on geomorphologic agents,
such as permeability and soil stability, vegetation cover,
and the geometric characteristics of the river basins. Urban
expansion and consolidation, changing demographic features
within floodplains, changes in flood regime as a result of
climate change, and human intervention in the ecological
system are the major factors that lead to increased exposure
of communities to flood risk [1]. The occurrence of extreme
precipitation is a major impact of climate change; this leads
to increase in the magnitude and frequency of extreme events
such as droughts and floods [2]. Increase in the total amount,
frequency and intensity of precipitation will affect the timing
and magnitude of runoff, but its decrease will cause droughtlike situations [3]. It is expected that future climatic shifts
would cause a great variation in the water accessibility in
different regions. As a result, almost every facet of human
life including agricultural productivity, wildlife and fish management, energy use, industrial and municipal water supply,
and flood control would be affected [4]. As a consequence of
climate change, the vulnerability of communities to floods
has increased in most parts of the world, including Southeast
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