847
Risk of melanoma in relation to smoking, alcohol intake, and other factors in a large
occupational cohort
D. Michal Freedman1,*, Alice Sigurdson1, Michele Morin Doody1, R. Sowmya Rao2 & Martha S. Linet1
1
Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, Radiation Epidemiology Branch, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda,
MD, USA; 2Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, Biostatistics Branch, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda,
MD, USA
Received 9 January 2003; accepted in revised form 26 July 2003
Key words: alcohol, body mass index, height, melanoma, menarche, oral contraceptive use, parity, radiologic
technologists, smoking, weight.
Abstract
Objective: To investigate whether smoking, alcohol intake, female hormonal or anthropometric factors aect
melanoma risk.
Methods: Using Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, we analyzed 68,588 white subjects (79% female)
from the US Radiologic Technologists (USRT) Study who were cancer-free (other than non-melanoma skin cancer)
as of the rst of two self-administered questionnaires. Follow-up covered 698, 028 person-years, with 207 cases of
melanoma.
Results: We found that melanoma risk was not associated with height, weight or BMI, nor with age at menarche,
menopausal status, use of hormone replacement therapy, parity, age at rst birth or oral contraceptive use.
Melanoma risk was elevated with increasing alcohol use (RR: 2.1; 95% CI: 0.94.8, for >14 drinks/week compared
to never drinking; (p(trend) 0.08)). Smoking for long durations compared to never smoking was inversely related
to melanoma risk (RR: 0.6; 0.31.3; 30 years; p(trend) 0.03), though risk was not associated with number of
packs smoked per day.
Conclusions: None of the anthropometric or female reproductive/hormonal factors evaluated were related to
melanoma risk. It is unclear whether the positive association with alcohol intake and inverse association with
smoking for long duration are causal. The alcohol and smoking ndings warrant detailed assessment in studies with
substantial statistical power where potential biases can be more fully evaluated.
Abbreviations: ARRT American Registry of Radiologic Technologists; RR Relative Risk; US United States;
USRT United States Radiologic Technologists
Introduction
Most epidemiologic studies of cutaneous malignant
melanoma have focused on sunlight exposure and
risks associated with host susceptibility characteristics,
* Address correspondence to: D. Michal Freedman, National
Cancer Institute, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics,
Radiation Epidemiology Branch, Executive Plaza South, Room 7036
6120 Executive Plaza Boulevard Bethesda, MD 20892, USA. Ph.:
+301-496-6600; Fax: +301-402-0207; E-mail: mf101e@nih.gov
848
occupational cohort with information about most
postulated risk factors collected prior to melanoma
diagnosis.
849
Table 1. Frequency of selected demographic and other characteristics among white melanoma cases compared with the study population of white
radiologic technologists in the USRT Study cohorta
characteristics
Melanoma cases
n = 207
Age at baselineb
<35 years
81
3544 years
78
4554 years
32
5564 years
11
65+ years
5
Gender
Female
159
Male
48
Educationc
High School (912 years)
4
Radiation Technology Program (2 years) 107
1 years college/graduate school
88
Other
7
Year certied as radiation technologist
<1950
9
19501959
29
19601969
58
19701979
101
1980
10
Residence at baseline
Northeast
40
Southeast
51
Central
63
West
53
a
b
c
Study population
%
n = 68,588
39.1
37.7
15.5
5.3
2.4
30,597
22,877
9.352
3763
1999
44.6
33.4
13.6
5.5
2.9
76.8
23.2
54,045
14,543
78.8
21.2
1.9
51.7
42.5
3.4
519
37,414
26,696
3520
0.8
54.6
38.9
5.1
4.4
14.0
28.0
48.8
4.8
1951
8299
20,052
34,699
3617
2.8
12.1
29.2
50.6
5.3
19.3
24.6
30.4
25.6
17,191
21,866
17,255
12,266
25.1
31.9
25.2
17.9
Restricted to white respondents to rst survey (baseline) questionnaire who were cancer-free (other than non-melanoma skin cancer) at
baseline. Some frequencies do not total 100% due to missing information.
Responded to 1st questionnaire (19841989).
Subjects were placed in the highest educational category applicable, with college ranked after radiological training, which was ranked after
high school education.
850
employment began as a radiation technologist. In tests
for trends, we modeled exposure variables as continuous; p-values are two-sided.
Results
The majority of this study population of white and
cancer-free members of the USRT cohort were female
Table 2. Adjusted RR and 95% CIs for melanoma associated with demographic and constitutional factors, personal and family history of skin
cancer, and potential residential sunlight exposure index in the white study population of the USRT cohorta
Characteristicsb
Age (at baseline questionnaire)d
<35
3544
4554
5564
65
Gender
Female
Male
Skin tonee
Medium/Dark
Fair
Eye colore
Brown/black
Gray/hazel
Blue/green
Hair colore
Dk. Brown
Lt. Brown
Blonde
Red
Past skin cancer (basal/squamous)
No
Yes
Family history of melanoma in 1st degree relativese
No
Yes
Estimated mean annual adult residential sunlight exposuref (tertiles)
1 (lowest)
2
3 (highest)
Estimated mean childhood residential sunlight exposureh (tertiles)
1 (lowest)
2
3 (highest)
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
RRc
95% CI
p(trend)
81
78
32
11
5
1.0
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.01.8
0.92.1
0.72.4
0.53.1
0.07
159
48
1.0
1.1
0.81.5
53
140
1.0
2.7
2.03.7
41
40
112
1.0
1.3
1.9
0.82.0
1.42.8
71
63
37
22
1.0
1.2
1.4
2.8
0.81.6
0.92.1
1.74.4
193
14
1.0
4.5
2.57.9
185
8
1.0
5.0
2.510.2
68
37
94
1.0
0.8
1.6
0.51.2
1.22.2
<0.001g
66
60
73
1.0
0.9
1.1
0.61.2
0.81.5
0.04g
No. of cases
Restricted to white subjects who responded to the baseline questionnaire and were cancer-free (other than non-melanoma skin cancer) at that
time.
Missing information was coded in a separate category (not shown).
RR estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression with age as the time-scale, stratied at baseline by birth cohort in 5-year intervals.
This variable alone was analyzed using follow-up years as the time-scale, with no strata at baseline, in Cox proportional hazards regression.
Subjects who died of melanoma, and thus did not respond to the second questionnaire, have missing information for these variables.
Time-weighted average of estimated annual solar ultraviolet radiation (in RobertsonBerger units 10)4) assigned to each state [28] in which
a job was performed and weighted by the duration of the job (tertile cut points: 114, 134).
p(trend) based on the underlying continuous variable.
Estimated annual solar ultraviolet (in RobertsonBerger units 10)4) assigned to the state of birth [28] (tertile cut points: 111, 121).
851
Table 3. Adjusted RR and 95% CIs of melanoma associated with height, weight, BMI, and female hormonal factors in the white study
population of the USRT cohorta
Characteristicsb
Women
No. of casesb,
n = 159
Anthropometric
Height (quartiles)e
1 (low)
2
3
4 (high)
Weight (quartiles)f
1 (low)
2
3
4 (high)
BMI (quartiles)g
1 (low)
2
3
4 (high)
Hormonal (females)
Oral contraceptive (OC) use
Never
Ever
Past
Current
<5 years
5+ years
Age began OC use
<20
2024
25+
Never
Menopause
No
Yes
HRT use
Never
Ever
Age at menarche
11
12
13
14
15+
Age at rst birth
<25
2529
30+
Nulliparous
Parity
Nulliparous
Parous
1 child
2 children
3 children
4+ children
a
b
Men
RRc
95% CI
42
51
21
43
1.0
1.2
1.0
1.3
0.81.8
0.61.8
0.82.1
36
37
48
35
1.0
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.82.0
0.71.9
0.72.0
44
34
37
40
1.0
0.8
0.9
0.9
0.51.3
0.61.4
0.61.4
34
125
104
20
7
12
1.0
1.2
1.2
1.4
1.8
1.2
0.81.8
0.71.8
0.72.6
0.84.4
0.62.4
39
59
26
34
1.0
1.0
1.1
0.9
0.61.5
0.62.0
0.51.5
104
55
1.0
1.0
0.61.6
119
40
1.0
1.2
0.81.8
28
38
48
29
12
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.6
0.9
0.61.6
0.71.7
0.92.7
0.51.8
59
43
13
42
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.9
0.51.2
0.31.0
0.61.4
42
117
20
56
20
14
1.0
0.9
0.7
1.0
0.8
1.2
0.61.3
0.41.1
0.71.5
0.51.4
0.72.4
p(trend)d
No. of cases,b
n = 48
RRc
95% CI
p(trend)d
0.13
13
10
14
9
1.0
0.6
0.8
0.8
0.31.5
0.41.8
0.31.9
0.79
0.70
7
16
12
13
1.0
2.6
1.8
2.2
1.06.6
0.75.0
0.86.1
0.14
0.95
6
17
14
9
1.0
2.7
2.1
1.4
1.17.0
0.85.6
0.54.1
0.85
0.50
Restricted to white respondents to baseline questionnaire who were cancer-free (other than non-melanoma skin cancer) at baseline.
Some frequencies do not total 100% due to missing information.
852
Table 3. (Continued)
J
c
d
e
f
g
RR estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis with age as the time-scale, stratifying at baseline on birth cohort in 5-year
intervals. Adjusted for gender, alcohol intake, years smoked, skin pigmentation, hair color, personal history of non-melanoma skin cancer,
decade began work as a technologist, education, and proxy measures for residential childhood and adult sunlight exposure. Height was also
adjusted for weight, and weight, for height. Missing information for the characteristics was analyzed with separate dummy variables.
p(trend) based on the underlying continuous variable.
Quartile cut points (meters) in women: 1.6; 1.65; 1.68. In men: 1.73; 1.78; 1.83.
Quartile cut points (kg) in women: 54.4; 59.4; 68.0; In men: 72.6; 79.4; 88.5.
Quartile cut points (kg/m2) in women: 20.4; 22.1; 24.7; In men: 23.3; 25.1; 27.4.
Discussion
The lack of association we found between melanoma
and particular anthropometric factors is consistent with
many other studies [7, 12, 15, 32,], though not all [13, 18,
21, 33, 34]. Unfortunately, we were only able to assess
the eects of anthropometric factors as of the baseline
questionnaire (especially important for weight and
BMI), and thus could not explore these factors as agedependent variables. We also found no association with
female hormonal factors, which have shown no consistent relationship to melanoma risk in epidemiologic
studies [1].
While we found some evidence of a positive association with alcohol consumption, the association was
primarily limited to those in the highest consumption
category (>14 drinks per week), with a trend that was
only signicant in women. Our nding of a possible
association between melanoma and alcohol intake is in
line with a few studies [20, 21, 35, 36], but not others [8,
13, 16, 37, 38]. One of the few prospective studies on this
topic [21] observed a borderline signicant elevated
association with wine consumption that was restricted to
women. Our data, however, do not distinguish types of
alcoholic beverages and thus cannot identify possible
dierential associations with these drinks. Few studies
have suggested potential biologic mechanisms for a
possible relationship between alcohol and melanoma
risk, though a pituitary-mediated mechanism has been
proposed [35].
The inverse association with smoking duration that
we identied in this population between melanoma and
cigarette smoking was unexpected. A review of other
epidemiologic studies indicate a pattern of inverse
associations with smoking in many studies (reviewed
in Table 6). There are a number of possible non-causal
explanations for the inverse association between mela-
853
Table 4. Adjusted RR and 95% CIs of melanoma associated with alcohol intake and smoking in the white study population of the USRT cohorta
Characteristics
Women
Men
No. of
casesb
No. of
casesb
8
40
32
4
4
1.0
1.5
1.5
0.9
2.4
0.73.3
0.73.4
0.23.0
0.78.2
31
176
146
23
7
1.0
1.3
1.2
1.4
2.1
0.91.9
0.81.8
0.82.5
0.94.8
Alcohol (drinks/week)
Never
23
Ever
136
<16
114
714
19
>14
3
Overall smoking status
Never-smoker
80
Ever-smoker
79
Former smoker
46
Current smoker
32
Age rst smoked
Never-smoker
80
<16
12
1617
23
1819
20
>19
23
Packs/day
Never-smoker
80
<0.5
28
0.51
31
>12
17
>2
2
Duration (years)
Never-smoker
80
<10
24
1019
33
2029
11
30+
6
Pack-years
Never-smoker
80
<10
43
1029
21
30+
9
Duration of current smokers
Never-smoker
80
Current, <15
17
1524
9
25+
6
Pack-years of current smokers
Never-smoker
80
Current, <15
22
1529
5
30+
4
a
b
c
Combined population
1.0
1.2
1.2
1.7
2.1
0.81.9
0.71.9
0.93.1
0.67.0
1.0
1.0
1.1
0.8
0.71.3
0.71.5
0.51.3
22
26
14
11
1.0
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.31.1
0.31.2
0.31.3
102
105
60
43
1.0
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.71.2
0.71.3
0.51.1
1.0
1.0
1.1
0.7
1.1
0.51.9
0.71.7
0.41.2
0.71.8
0.38
22
4
4
11
6
1.0
0.3
0.3
1.1
0.8
0.11.0
0.10.9
0.52.3
0.31.9
0.21
102
16
27
31
29
1.0
0.7
0.8
0.8
1.0
0.41.3
0.51.3
0.51.2
0.71.6
0.20
1.0
1.0
0.9
0.9
1.4
0.71.6
0.61.4
0.51.5
0.35.8
(0.64)
22
6
8
9
3
1.0
0.7
0.5
0.6
1.0
0.31.9
0.21.2
0.21.3
0.33.7
(0.20)
102
34
39
26
5
1.0
1.0
0.8
0.8
1.3
0.71.5
0.61.2
0.51.3
0.53.4
(0.33)
1.0
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.6
0.61.6
0.71.6
0.31.2
0.21.5
(0.14)
22
3
13
4
5
1.0
0.4
1.0
0.3
0.6
0.11.4
0.51.9
0.10.9
0.21.9
(0.07)
102
27
46
15
11
1.0
0.9
1.1
0.5
0.6
0.61.3
0.71.5
0.30.9
0.31.3
(0.03)
1.0
1.0
0.8
0.8
0.71.5
0.51.2
0.41.7
(0.31)
22
9
9
7
1.0
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.31.6
0.21.3
0.21.3
(0.25)
102
52
30
16
1.0
1.0
0.7
0.7
0.71.3
0.51.1
0.41.3
(0.16)
1.0
1.5
0.6
0.5
(0.04)
22
0
6
5
1.0
0.92.6
0.31.2
0.21.1
0.7
0.7
0.31.9
0.22.0
(0.17)
102
17
15
11
1.0
1.2
0.7
0.6
0.72.1
0.41.2
0.31.1
(0.02)
1.0
1.2
0.4
0.5
0.71.9
0.21.0
0.21.3
(0.03)
22
2
5
4
1.0
0.4
0.9
0.5
0.11.9
0.32.4
0.21.6
(0.20)
102
24
10
8
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.5
0.71.7
0.31.1
0.31.1
(0.03)
0.05
0.61
0.08
Restricted to white respondents to baseline questionnaire who were cancer-free (other than non-melanoma skin cancer) at baseline.
Some frequencies do not total 100% due to missing information.
RR estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis with age as the time-scale, stratifying at baseline on birth cohort in 5-year
intervals. Adjusted for gender, alcohol intake, years smoked (for alcohol), skin pigmentation, hair color, personal history of non-melanoma
skin cancer, decade began work as a technologist, education and proxy measures for residential childhood and adult sunlight exposure.
Missing information for the characteristics was analyzed with separate dummy variables.
p(trend) based on the underlying continuous variable, except for alcohol intake, which was based on a multi-level single variable.
854
Table 5. Adjusted RR and 95% CIs for melanoma associated with indicators of residential sunlight exposure among non-smokers, short-term
smokers (<10 years) and long-term smokers (P10 years) in the white study population of the USRT cohorta
Estimated mean
annual adult residential
sunlight exposureb (tertiles)
Non-Smokers
No. of RR
cases
n = 98
1 (lowest)
2
3 (highest)
a
b
33
16
49
1.0
0.9
2.1
95% CI p(trend)c
0.51.8
1.23.7
<0.01
No. of RR
cases
n = 25
9
2
14
1.0
0.3
2.0
95% CI p(trend)c
0.11.7
0.76.0
0.04
No. of RR
cases
n = 71
26
17
28
1.0
0.9
1.1
95% CI p(trend)
0.41.9
0.52.2
0.54
Restricted to white respondents to baseline questionnaire who were cancer-free (other than non-melanoma skin cancer) at baseline.
RR estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis with age as the time-scale, stratifying at baseline on birth cohort in 5-year
intervals. Adjusted for gender, alcohol intake, skin pigmentation, hair color, personal history of non-melanoma skin cancer, decade began
work as a technologist, education, and proxy measures for residential childhood sunlight exposure. Time-weighted average of estimated
annual solar ultraviolet radiation (in RobertsonBerger units 10)4) assigned to each state [28] in which a job was performed and weighted
by the duration of the job (tertile cut points: 113, 133).
p(trend) based on the underlying continuous variable.
855
Table 6. Summary of odds ratios (OR) and RR for melanoma associated with cigarette smoking overall and by duration daily and cumulative
amount in published studies
Study [reference no.]
(cases/controls or
cases/cohort)
Type of study
Overall OR
or RR (95% CI)
Duration
Daily amount
Cumulative amount
Current studya
207/ 68,588
Cohort
Yearsa
<10: 0.9 (0.61.3)
1019: 1.1 (0.71.5)
2029: 0.5 (0.30.9)
30: 0.6 (0.31.3)
Packs/daya
<0.5: 1.0 (0.71.5)
0.51.0: 0.8 (0.61.2)
>12: 0.8 (0.51.3)
>2: 1.3 (0.53.4)
Pack-years
<10: 1.0 (0.71.3)
1029: 0.7 (0.51.1)
30: 0.7 (0.41.3)
Case/control
Denmark [16]c
474/ 926
Case/control
Montreal [40]d
>103/ 533 pop. controls;
1602 cancer controls
Case/control
Ever smokera
0.9 (0.71.2)
Former smokera
0.9 (0.71.3)
Current smokera
0.8 (0.51.1)
Former smokerb
0.8 (0.61.1)
Current smokerb
0.6 (0.40.9)
Former smokerc
1.0 (0.71.3)
Current smokerc
0.8 (0.61.1)
Ever-smokerd
0.5 (0.30.9)
Netherlands [41]e
125/386
Case/control
Ever-smokere
0.8 (0.51.2)
Norway [21]f
108/50,757
Cohort
Former smokerf
0.9 (0.51.4)
Case/control
Ever-smokerg
0.8
Sweden [22]h
400/640
Case/control
Ever-smokerh
0.9 (0.71.2)
Former smokerh
1.0 (0.33.5)
Current smokerh
0.7 (0.51.1)
Case/control
Nested case
/control
Former smokerj
0.9
Current smokerj
0.5
Case/control
b
c
Cigarette-yearsi
M 1400: 1.05
401800: 0.37
>800: 0.52
F 1400: 1.08
401800: 0.44
>800: 0.89
Referent = Never smoker. Adjusted for gender, alcohol intake, skin pigmentation, hair color, personal history of non-melanoma skin
cancer, decade began work as a technologist, education and proxy measures for residential childhood and adult sunlight exposure.
Referent = Never smoker. Limited to acral melanoma (on soles and palms). Adjusted for age, gender, social class.
Referent = Never smoker.
856
Table 6. (Continued)
J
d
Referent = Non-smokers. Males only. Total number of melanoma cases not specied; cigarette-years = (average number of cigarettes/
day) (duration of smoking (years)); Covariates include, among others, age, ethnic group, socioeconomic status (as measured by selfreported income), and a blue-collar/white collar dirtiness score.
e
Referent = Non-smokers. Hospital-based study. Adjusted for age, gender, total amount of sun exposure.
f
Referent = Never smoker. Adjusted for gender, age at inclusion, county of residence, and the time-scale variable of attained age.
g
Referent = Rarely/never smoker. Lifetime number of packs adjusted for pigment cell phenotype and lifetime sun exposure.
h
Referent = Never smoker. Adjusted for history of sunburns and host factors (i.e., hair color, number raised nevi).
i
Referent = Non-exposed. Neither total number of cases nor controls specied. Adjusted for age and race.
j
Referent = Never smoker.
k
Referent = Never smoker. Adjusted for age and sex.
Acknowledgements
We are grateful to the radiologic technologists who
participated in the USRT Study; Jerry Reid of the
ARRT for continued support of this project; Diane
Kampa of the University of Minnesota for data collection and coordination; Kathy Chimes of Westat for data
management; Roy Van Dusen and Laura Bowen of
Information Management Services, Inc. for computing
assistance; Drs Barry I. Graubard, Margaret A. Tucker,
and Thomas R. Fears of the National Cancer Institute
and Dr DuPont Guerry IV of the University of
Pennsylvania for advice. We also wish to acknowledge
our appreciation to Drs John Boice, Jr and Jack Mandel
who played a critical role in the initiation, design, and
follow-up of this cohort study for many years.
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