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The Tsupitero Newsletter is a daily Technical Analysis report by Miko S. Sayo.

The report is
divided into three parts:
1. A daily Technical Analysis report of the PSEi;
2. A comprehensive Technical Analysis report of the most active and volatile stock during the
day; and,
3. Recommended stocks for tsupita (short-term) trades, and, notes for Tsupiteros, which includes
the following: the top 10 stocks that foreign funds are buying and selling; the top 10 most active
stocks; the top 10 most volatile stocks; and, the top 10 gainers and losers for the day. These
statistics would exclude stocks that are illiquid.
The comprehensive Technical Analysis report of the most volatile and most active stock during
the day is divided between a Technical Analysis for Tsupiteros (short-term traders) and a
Technical Analysis for Position Traders. Each of these Technical Analyses will include such data
as its daily chart, support, resistance, trend, average true range, relative strength vs. the Phisix,
a discussion of the technical character of the stock and a recommendation. Included also in the
analysis of each of these stocks are other practical information such as the top three buying and
selling brokers for the past five days, the amount that these brokers bought and sold for the
past five days, the net foreign buying and/or selling for the past five days and the news or
rumor currently affecting the movement of the stock in the short-term.
With regards to the "Recommended stocks for Tsupita" section of the newsletter, I usually
choose around 3 stocks that are actually my best bets for a short-term trade or for a Tsupita.
With each stock recommendation, there is a short technical description of the stock as well as
my suggested trigger for buying the stock.
The cost of a one-month subscription to the Tsupitero newsletter is P1,000.00. To subscribe to
the Tsupitero newsletter, please email Miko at miko@tsupitero.com. One may pay by simply
making an over-the-counter deposit to the following bank account:
BPI Savings Account No. 3149-0491-25
Account Name Michael S. Sayo
The Tsupitero newsletter will be emailed everyday on or before 9:00 in the evening.

The PSEi

(Jun 23, 2016)

Open 7,761.38

High 7,763.05

Low 7,711.56

Close 7,729.78

Value P5,790,655,235

Advances 100

Declines 100

Unchanged 47

Foreign Buying
P3,078,532,130

Foreign Selling
P2,531,570,171

Some Taking Money Off the Table Ahead of Brexit Vote

Charts are courtesy of Metastock

Short-term Traders/Tsupiteros:
Support 7600 to 7650

Medium-term/Position Traders:
Support 7300

Resistance 7780 / 7950

Resistance 8136 to 8200

Trend Sideways to Up
ATR 65pts.
Recommendation Take profits
but Buyback if support holds

Trend Sideways to Up
ATR 215pts.
Recommendation Hold off Taking Profits

The PSEi Index was a bit weak today as it ended the day down by 26 points. I guess with the market already trading at
overbought conditions in the short-term and a potential black swan in the offing with this referendum in Britain tonight,
some people decided to just play it safe and take some money off the table. Given how world markets have been
behaving in the last couple of days, it would seem that the whole world is expecting the majority of British citizens to vote
to remain in the European Union. The scary part about this is that, if we are to believe the surveys, the lead between
those who want to stay in the EU and those who would like to leave is only a very small difference roughly 5% of the
voters. Thus, until we get the final count tonight, traders cant help but be on the edge. Remember, if the majority ends up
voting to leave the EU, world markets would most likely sell in a panic tomorrow. Our market would certainly not be an
exception. I cant blame Tsupiteros if you took profits from your positions either yesterday or early today. Just look to
buyback if prices hold either above current levels or at my indicated support levels at 7600 to 7650. If it doesnt hold
above any of those support levels, hold off your buying. Position-traders, on the other hand, are still recommended to hold
off taking profits for now.

Tsupitero Index

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Philex Mining Corp. (PX)


Open 7.16

High 7.62

Low 6.90

Close 7.60

Value P113,144,767

PX Rallies Strongly Off its Support at 6.90

PX rallied once again from its support at 6.90 but looked like it was just a minor upswing as prices already encountered
resistance at 7.30. In the afternoon, news came out that Duterte was like willing to compromise with miners. The whole
mining sector rallied led by PX, of course. The stock ended the day at its highs and with has confirmed the trough at
6.90. From the way I see it, prices may continue to rally tomorrow, possibly closing the gap at 8.00. If the bulls are lucky,
it may even climb all the way back towards its minor resistance at 8.35. Tsupiteros may want to trade the range of this
stock by buying as close to 7.30 as possible (unless youve already bought the stock today) and just try to sell it on the
rally. I doubt if prices can climb back up towards its previous high of 9.35, unless maybe if Gold rallies extraordinarily.
PX Technical Analysis
Support

Resistance

Trend

ATR

Recommendation

6.90

8.00 / 8.35

Sideways

0.75

Trade the range

6.50 to 6.90

9.35

Up

1.50

Take profits on strength

Tsupitero
Position Trader

PX Top Buying and Selling Brokers

Buyers

Sellers

Friday
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Jun 17, 2016
Jun 20, 2016
Jun 21, 2016
Jun 22, 2016
Jun 23, 2016
Mandarin 5.960M
BA 5.472M
Abacus 8.013M
Tower 11.534M
BA 6.540M
Abacus 4.934M
BPI 2.625M
Standard 7.643M Wealth 11.262M
UBS 3.800M
BA 2.303M
Tower 1.611M
Papa 4.271M
Angping 8.888M
Goldstar 3.061M
JPMorgan 1.821M Eastern 0.902M
Astra 3.732M
Standard 8.663M
Wealth 2.989M
BPI 0.938M
CLSA 0.882M
COL 3.246M
COL 7.310M
Angping 2.387M
COL 4.980M
Asiasec 7.285M PhilEquity 8.745M
BDO 19.807M
Unicap 16.138M
SB 3.286M
FirstMetro 3.476M Macquarie 8.169M PhilEquity 13.421M
Astra 5.172M
Citisec 1.690M
Abacus 4.100M
Venture 2.039M
Wealth 6.455M
Bernad 11.878M
Tower 1.653M
Angping 1.087M David Go 6.277M
Papa 8.535M
COL 2.677M
Campos 1.564M
Lucky 0.905M
RS Lim 5.958M
Abacus 7.326M
Standard 2.468M
PX Net Foreign Activity

Amount

5,969,593

1,116,817

(8,504,850)
PX News/Rumors

No News or Rumors

(15,645,101)

(530,521)

Recommendations for Tsupiteros


BLOOM
Comments:
BHI
Comments:
MCP
Comments:
PLC
Comments:

Support Resistance
Trend
ATR
Recommendation
5.70 - 5.76
6.02
Up
0.25
Buy if support holds
Correcting back down from its peak at 6.18 but may continue to trend up if support holds.
Support Resistance
Trend
ATR
Recommendation
0.059
.062 - .064 Sideways to Up
0.002
Buy as long as support holds
Hesitating at the 0.064 level but bullish as long as support holds.
Support Resistance
Trend
ATR
Recommendation
3.00
3.39 - 3.51
Up
0.30
Buy as long as support holds
Hesitating at the 3.39 level but bullish as long as support holds.
Support Resistance
Trend
ATR
Recommendation
1.09 - 1.10 1.19 - 1.20
Up
0.07
Buy as long as support holds
Testing its resistance at 1.19 to 1.20. May continue to trend up if resistance breaks.

Technical Analysis of Selected Stocks


ATN
Comments:
DD
Comments:
NIKL
Comments:
SBS
Comments:
SCC
Comments:

Support Resistance
Trend
ATR
Recommendation
0.370
0.415
Sideways
0.030
Buy as long as support holds
Broke above its short-term resistance at 0.38. May begin to trend up if 0.415 breaks.
Support Resistance
Trend
ATR
Recommendation
56.60
61.35 / 65
Sideways
4.00
Buy but Trade the range
Rallying off its trough at 56.60. May test, if not break above 61.35.
Support Resistance
Trend
ATR
Recommendation
4.69
5.40
Sideways
0.40
Buy but Trade the range
Strong rally off its trough at 4.50 but may encounter resistances at 5.40.
Support Resistance
Trend
ATR
Recommendation
6.30
7 / 7.22
Sideways
0.40
Buy as long as support holds
Broke above its short-term resistance at 6.72. May begin to trend up if 7.22 breaks.
Support Resistance
Trend
ATR
Recommendation
112.00
128.00
Sideways to Down
6.50
Buy but Trade the range
Established a trough at 112.00 but may just consolidate below 128.00.

Todays Notes for Tsupiteros


Stock Top Ten Net Foreign Buying
P181,620,730
URC
P130,796,202
MBT
P93,273,750
SMPH
P62,166,720
FGEN
P58,593,818
LTG
P53,076,810
MEG
P45,444,096
BDO
P35,146,868
MPI
P34,166,841
EDC
P34,140,132
JGS
Stock Top Ten Net Foreign Selling
(P67,239,500)
TEL
(P53,840,063)
SCC
(P45,224,279)
BPI
(P35,846,485)
ALI
(P22,505,102)
SECB
(P17,851,088)
JFC
(P16,041,036)
X
(P15,531,600)
AGI
(P10,542,595)
GTCAP
(P9,922,790)
FLI

Stock Top Ten


SMPH
ALI
URC
FGEN
MBT
SCC
MEG
AC
TEL
BDO
Stock Top Ten
BLFI
ATN
PX
SBS
DAVIN
NIKL
IDC
LC
MA
SCC

Most Active
P438,617,435
P333,482,160
P326,527,386
P319,635,555
P274,080,054
P253,135,350
P251,686,930
P190,327,265
P176,746,450
P155,741,027
Most Volatile
50.00%
12.16%
10.08%
9.91%
9.65%
9.17%
9.07%
9.05%
8.33%
8.28%

Stock Top Ten Gainers


21.39%
BLFI
8.88%
DAVIN
8.49%
SBS
8.33%
MA
8.11%
ATN
6.88%
NIKL
6.44%
PX
3.80%
DD
3.41%
SLI
3.31%
LCB
Stock Top Ten Losers
-5.48%
IS
-3.33%
IPM
-3.31%
RRHI
-2.76%
ALT
-2.64%
AC
-2.02%
CAL
-1.96%
CPG
-1.91%
TEL
-1.88%
SSI
-1.88%
X

Top Gainers and Losers since the Trough at 6941 on May 10, 2016
Gainers
PXP
94.09%
IDC
76.92%
DD
57.95%
CYBR
45.05%
MCP
44.89%
BLOOM
44.61%
ACR
44.29%
BLFI
41.89%
PLC
38.82%
MAXS
31.62%

Losers
LIB
-23.82%
ISM
-12.83%
ATNB
-12.36%
ABS
-12.02%
ABSP
-11.95%
EMP
-11.03%
ANI
-10.00%
ATN
-9.09%
LCB
-9.09%
TECH
-8.99%

Top Gainers and Losers since the Trough at 7414 on Jun 14, 2016
Gainers
IDC
58.38%
MCP
35.83%
BLFI
35.05%
CYBR
24.53%
DD
19.25%
PLC
19.19%
BLOOM
18.00%
SSI
15.87%
ATN
14.29%
FGEN
13.18%

Losers
PXP
-15.45%
MA
-13.33%
PX
-12.64%
YEHEY
-12.27%
AGF
-10.97%
LCB
-10.71%
LC
-8.08%
FNI
-7.61%
TAPET
-6.83%
MAB
-6.67%

Important Notice - The Technical Analysis and Recommendation for Tsupiteros are meant to be used by
Traders who have a holding period of between one day and two weeks. The Technical Analysis and
Recommendation for Position Traders are meant to be used by Traders who have a holding period of between
two weeks and three months. Traders who have a holding period of more than three months are not advised to
use this newsletter.
Legend:
+ recommend to buy if resistance is taken out to the upside
* recommended stop
^ recommendation has changed from the previous day
Glossary of Terms:
1. Support - A historical price level at which falling prices have stopped falling and either moved sideways or
reversed direction; usually seen as a price chart pattern.
2. Resistance - A historical price level at which rising prices have stopped rising and either moved sideways or
reversed direction; usually seen as a price chart pattern.
3. Average True Range (ATR) defined by Wilder to be the greatest of the following for each period:
The distance from todays high to todays low
The distance from yesterdays close to todays high
The distance from yesterdays close to todays low
The Average True Range is simply the average of the true ranges over the past x periods (where x is specified
by the user). In this newsletter, the ATR is computed in percentage terms. The ATR for Tsupiteros is calculated
on a lookback period of 3 days, while the ATR for Position Traders is calculated on a lookback period of 3
weeks.
4. Trend - The general drift, tendency or bent of a set of statistical data as related to time.
Disclaimer This document is published by Michael S. Sayo. The information in this document has been
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. Opinions
expressed are subject to change without notice. Any recommendation contained in this document does not have
regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee.
This document is for the information of the addressee only and it is not to be taken in substitution for the
exercise of judgment by the addressees, who should obtain separate legal or financial advice. Michael S. Sayo
accepts no liability for any direct or incidental loss arising from the use of this document or further
communication given in relation to this document. This document is not to be construed as an offer or a
solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. I may or may not hold the securities that I recommend in
this newsletter.

Author: Miko S. Sayo


Certified Financial Technician (CFTe)
Email: miko@tsupitero.com
Website: http://www.tsupitero.com