Year 2
Number of
Americans with
71.060.0 71.060.0
25 > BMI > 30
00
00
x 35% actively
trying to lose
24.871.0 24.871.0
weight
00
00
x 15% who are
comfortable using 3.730.65 3.730.65
diet pills
0
0
10% who might
purchase
Metabical in Year
1
adding 5% each
subsequent year
plus 60% buy a
second package
plus 20% of these
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
373.065
373.065
373.065
373.065
373.065
186.533
373.065
559.598
746.130
223.839
44.768
335.759
67.152
447.678
89.536
559.598
111.920
671.517
134.303
buy a third
package
641.67
962.50 1.283.3
2
8
44
Sales
Total Projected sales in 5 years : 6.416.718
1.604.1
80
1.925.0
15
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
71.060.0 71.060.0
00
00
71.060.
000
71.060. 71.060.0
000
00
25.080.0 25.080.0
00
00
25.080.
000
25.080. 25.080.0
000
00
2.508.00 2.508.00
0
0
1.254.00
0
0
1.504.80 2.257.20
0
0
2.508.0
00
2.508.0
00
3.009.6
00
2.508.0 2.508.00
00
0
3.762.0 5.016.00
00
0
3.762.0 4.514.40
00
0
752.400 902.880
10.784. 12.941.2
400
80
Method 2
Year 1
Number of
Americans with
25 > BMI > 30
x 12% say they
will go to a doctor
to request
prescription
10% who might
purchase
Metabical in Year
1
adding 5% each
subsequent year
plus 60% buy a
second package
plus 20% of these
buy a third
package
Year 2
After the projected sales were counted, next step is counting the
projected revenue by using each price options:
Manufactur
er Gross
Margin
Retail Price
$75
Method
1
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
$48.125.38
5
$72.188.07
8
$96.250.770
$120.313.46
3
Year 5 Total
$144.376.15
5
$481.253.85
0
Method
2
$323.532.0
00
$485.298.0
00
$647.064.00
0
$808.830.00
0
$970.596.00
0
$3.235.320.0
00
Retail Price
$125
Method
1
Method
2
$80.208.97
5
$120.313.4
63
$160.417.95
0
$200.522.43
8
$240.626.92
5
$802.089.75
0
$539.220.0
00
$808.830.0
00
$1.078.440.
000
$1.348.050.0
00
$1.617.660.0
00
$5.392.200.0
00
$96.250.77
0
$647.064.0
00
$144.376.1
55
$970.596.0
00
$192.501.54
0
$1.294.128.
000
$240.626.92
5
$1.617.660.0
00
$288.752.31
0
$1.941.192.0
00
$962.507.70
0
$6.470.640.0
00
Retail Price
$150
Method 1
Method 2
Next we should count ROI to measure how suitable our pricing options to
our goal is. But before counting the ROI, we should know how much our
investment.
Investment :
Year 1
$23.146.00
0
Year 2
$14.896.0
00
Year 3
$14.896.0
00
Year 4
$14.896.0
00
Year 5
$14.896.0
00
$1.200.000
$1.200.00
0
$1.200.00
0
$1.200.00
0
$1.200.00
0
Investment
$400.000.0
00
$424.346.0
00
$0
$16.096.0
00
$0
$16.096.0
00
$0
$16.096.0
00
$0
$16.096.0
00
Total
Investment
$488.730.
000
Marketing
Costs
Manufacturing
Overhead (1.2
million/year)
R&D (Sunk cost
of $ 400
million)
Investment
ROI
Option 1
Option 2
561,99%
$802.089.750
$5.392.200.00
0
$488.730.00
0
$488.730.00
0
64,12%
1003,31
%
$962.507.700
$6.470.640.00
0
$488.730.00
0
$488.730.00
0
96,94%
1223,97
%
-1,53%
Retail Price
$125
Method 1
Method 2
Option 3
$481.253.850
$3.235.320.00
0
$488.730.00
0
$488.730.00
0
Retail Price
$150
Method 1
Method 2
Option 1
The ROI is -1,53% when were using method 1. It means that the
company will be most likely in a deficit if we implement his pricing
options. With method 2, the ROI is 561,99%. It seems high but it is
unrealistic to achieve that high ROI
Option 2
The ROI is 64,12% when were using method 1. It means that the
company this is suitable price because it still have a positive margin. It is
also acceptable because it is above 5% just like the CSP wanted. With
method 2, the ROI is 1003,31%. It seems veryt high but it is unrealistic
to achieve that high ROI.
Option 3
The ROI is 96,94% when were using method 1. It means that the
company this is suitable price because it still have a positive margin. It is
also acceptable because it is above 5% just like the CSP wanted. With
method 2, the ROI is 1223,97%. It seems very high but it is unrealistic to
achieve that high ROI.
Conclusion
From the ROI, comparing three pricing options seems very tricky. Option
1 is out of the league because it have negative margin, and it is very
risky to implement this pricing model. Option 2 seems fair enough.
Option 2 have above minimum ROI when using method 1, but it
unrealistically high when using method 2. Option 3 is also good because
its ROI are above minimum and also its higher than option 2. But method
1 also have very high ROI, and it seems unrealistic. Moreover, some
people think that the price of option 3 is above they can afford. It is also
risky to implement option 3. Again, method 2 have unrealistically hogh
ROI. By comparing all options, the most suitable pricing options is option
2. The ROI are reaslistic comparing to others and it is above minimum
ROI that CSP wanted.