Anda di halaman 1dari 8

PRINCIPLISS

The f o l l o x i n g Key t o Sugar Future Values is based uson the o b s e m d


a o t i o n o f the _clanets upon one a n o t h e r in respect t o the 3arth as

the c o m n center of suoh interaotion. The p l a c e s of planets a r e such

as are iound in the c u r r e n t Ephecleris f c r tke p a r under survey.


THE SUGAR IIRADE.

The sugar t r a d e i s d i v i d e d pr-ily

i n f o tr;o s e o t i o n s F n d i c a t e d by

t h e s o r t of s u g a r d e a l t

in. Various d e s o r i p t i o n s of cane sugar are -a

be f o d h the ano:ent

o l a s s i c s o f t n e East and fiddle East, and s>.c

tiiat the indusvrf . m s in ~ ' u l l sKinE; man;.


be k m 4 n as

c e n b r i e s before it c a m to

an a r t i c l e of c a m e r o e iu tize 'iTesz. Ln

ki-m

a n Si?alstra

of h d i a there a r e f r e q u e n t references to the use o f sugar. PrFmarily,

i t was indigenous to India, Coohin China and the Knlny b h e p a l a g o ,

and i s fb und more or l e s s w3dely d i s t r i b u t e d throughout the Tropios


and sub-tropioal o o u n t r i e s , warmth and moisture being tbe essential
o o n d i t i o n s for s u g a r produotion, it w a s found t h a t i d e a l oanditions
e x i s t e d in the Heat Indies, Cuba and B r i t i a h G u l n . n l ,

where it has

been extensively o u l t i v a t e d . So f a r u Europoan p r o d u o t i o n i s caacrmed, sugar appears t o have been first imported to Cyprus (A. D. 1420)
and t k n c e was carried

Madiera, t h e Canary I s l a n d s , Brazil, b a r

badoee, and so spread tkroilghout central and south Anerican ad the


west Indfes.
v a r i e t i e s b e s t jmcrxn and Fn

c0m~3nusa

b1'8

Yaple Sugar,

Palm Sugar and C a n e Sugar. The l a t t e r is the mcst c o n s i d e r a b l e Fndust-

ry uid c o n t r o l s t h e c h i e f i z a r k e ~ s . 0p
i: m a Lk.0 s t a ~ l eh r t i c l e .

b eend of tne 1 5 t h c e n t u r j

-2-

CAm

sum
This a r t i c l e i s under the d i r e c t iufluence of ~ : : e ; l a n e t %rs,

It i s desoribed as tlie .Indian iioney-bearing ,Pcedn by Strabe XIJ 1.20,


and t h i s is rerimps the f i r s t s l a s s i c a l referelice -a t i l e a r t i c l e in

t!ie h e s t . A s a c o n s t i t t i e n t o f Zdod i t r e i . r e s e n t s ti.le i d e a l :.eat-sro-

ducing e l e x n t , anri t;;us

i s c o ; r e c t l y a s c r i b e l t,

;l-t

But ~ i l i l et::e nrL:icle i t s e l l ' i s c o n t r o l l e d fron Yars, i t s e*x-nal


q u a l i t i e s ane i.:s narket v a l w i s c o n t r o l l e d b;r Venus.

Thus the

ASC-

end='- being b Aries it i s u d c r t i w doninion ol' h r s , but tb U


-.

nouse de';erAes

i t s -ialue, and '&is i s d e d 57 'iaurus, the &gp

Venus. This ex=-Ll;- ansvers

.
-13

ha..n q u l l l i e s

if

or

3.e L-=icle, 'far

. : . ~ i l a ii, is i c s e l t ' a great organia o i l a r i o , it s ex'brnal

mixre is

dulcent, m e l l i = n t and sweetly soothing.


Therefore in t r a o i n g the market h Cane sugar m have
mine t h e plmnihdo o r

to d e t e r

scamity o f s u p p l i e s by t h e p o s i t i a n sad ss-

p e c t s of btars, but 5n t r a o i n g t h e narke* i u o t u a t i o n s ,of price

EB

have

t o f d l m r the p r t u r b a t i o n s of Venus.
The Frdustry shows a v a r i e t y of v a l u e s attaching t o the c m s ,
m o o r d i n g t o their sugsr-bearing p r o p e r t i e s . Thus oaxles y i e l d i n g 6 $

sugar (mixed qualities) ooxmmnds 6/8 per ton, .those y i e l d i n g 7


b b g valued a t 7/9 per ton,

.pd

those fle1din.g 1 5

> Petohing l 0 /

per ton, h a E n g l i s h noaey. O f e w r y 1000 tons of c a m s orushed, some

622 tons is evaporated, t h e r e s u l t a n t massouit klng about 126 tone,


the sugsr yield being about 1GO tons. The value of t h e y i e l d in norm a l t h s ma about L d p e r ton.
3EET S U W
The i n d u s t r y i n t h i s a f i i o l e arose in G e m m a y from the oxperl-

m&s

of W g g r a f f of 3erli.n. He i r e a t e d the juice o f b e e t r o o t xith

d o o h 0 1 snd e x t r n o - d

Tram

tho

red b e e t .

6.2

;, o f sugar from tho M'A bo~t;,

d 4 . 5 ;;

-3-

~ h oi n d u s t r y soon bnaamo very exhnsiv-a and w r s o a r r i s d to


a v a i h b l e . d u t f o r a oon-

France whero i d e a l s o i l c o n d i t i o n s

s i d e r a b l e time Germany produoed 12.79

7,

11.6

o f beet sugar t o Franoeba

I n t e n s i w o u l t u r e of b e e t under Lord Donbigh o n h i e e s t a t s

a t Solmhanr Paddox, produced 15.5 $ of s u g a r juice fmm a o m p of


b e e t amraghg 25.5

tons t o i k e aore. Those surprising results m m

r e a c h e d i n theyear 1910. Ln g e n o r a l i t

ma;/ be

said that one "


,of

b e e t r o o t i s e q u i h l e n t oi' one ton of c a n e s ,


S e e t sugar now l a r g e l y s u ? p l a n t s the cane sugar on the viorld's

markets and i s i n a r e a s i n g l y in denaod, as t h e foll3PrLng f i g u r e s ;rill


show.
THg WORLD' S

TRADE

Ln 1840 the total 710rldt s supply

-ms

1 m i l l i o n tone, of rhich

50,000 were b e e t sugar, the a w r a g e p r i c e being 4a/-

p e r cvt.

In 1850 the t o t a l Rae 1,400,000 tons, o f d d a h 20G,000 mx-e beet


andthm amrage p r i c e per hundredweight was 40/-/

In 1860 t h e t o t a l m s 1,899,000 tone of ~ i o 389,000


h
lnre beet,
t h e a v o r a g e prfoe being 35/-

p e r art;.

In 1870 tho t o t a l ma 2,416,000

tans, o f r h i o h 831,000 n r e beet,

t b e average p r i o e being 32/- p e r artu

In 1880 tb total t r a d e was 3,659,000 t o n s , o f whioh 1,748,000


were beet, the average price being 20/4 per cwt.
I t r d l l t h u s be seen that t h e w o r l d ' s p r o d & I o n

and t r a d e in

s u g a r hns Inoreased e n o r ~ u s l yd u r i n g "hs u o o h s s i v e deoadas o f the

p a s t c e n t u r y , and i s s t i l l i n o r e a s i n g a t t h i s date, But a l s o i t i s


s e e n t h a t in _oroportion as t h e t r a d e in beet sugu i n o r e a s e s , t b o o s t
o r the a r t i o l e d u s k s , a c l e a r proof t h a t b e e t magar i s a s mad-

l l y produoed

r s c a m sugar 4

that its w o r r i n g i s oonside r a b l y o h e t p

e r . I t i s e v i d e n t l y i n w a d e d t o replaoe the tredo Fn


rho r a a a o n t h a t i t car? t3 ;roduoed

0-

i n teuperato o 1 - h ~

a o r t r for
mi d o e r n o t

require s p e o i d o l l m r a t i o oanditions.

bn rrtiolo that i r groun,

workad md s o l d on t h e s p o t where ths t r a d e i s gmntezt, i s bound

to ~ s u n aan ascendrnoy o w r a l l o t h e r s o r t s . The follarring f i g u r e s Fn relation tx~BEET t r a d e in s u g a r b y the British P o r t s are


in this r e s p e o t very eloquent.
BRITISH REPORTS

TRACKUG THE MARKET


The e q u i p n t f o r this process i s an ephemeris of t h e 2 l e n e t 1 6

p l s o e s f o r the ourrent yew, and t h i s can be o b t a i n e d fram my pub-

l i s h e r s , Llessra Foulsham and Co. L t d through asy a g e n t o r b o o k s e l l e r .


Note t h e p o s i t i o n and aspeo b of ths p l a n e t W

s through any month

and y o u w i l l f b x l that it resoonds t o the market r e p o r t s u t


a the
supply of sugu.
When Y u s i s b a d l y aspeoted tb a r t i o l e w i l l ahow a o o r r e s p o n d i n g

s o a r a i t y . The p l a n e t a s p e o t i n g it a t the tinm w i l l gennerilly


gate t h e c a u s e of t h e r e s t r i o t i o n .

ipdi-

Thus Saturn Fn square o r oppos-

i t i o n to Y u s will rhorr bad orop r e p o r t s .

J u p i h r in bad n p o t

generally man3 that spe0~1atC)r~


haw g o t t h e supplies in hand. l i e p

tune s i d l i a r l y Fn a s p o t to b r a s h m

-6,

o l i q u s s and t r u s t s in

operation, o r a "cornern i s formed Fn t h e artiolo. Uranus in bad aap o t r e s t r i o t s o p e r a t i o n s o f dealera t h r o u g h Governrent buying o r
o o n t r o l , o r same o t h e r a o t i o n of the a u t h o r i t b s a t the p o r t s o r t h e
faotorier.

S u p p l i e s open o u t w b n W s r e ~ o h e ri t a e p b l i o n

in

the

e a r l y d e g r e e s of Virgo, and o o r m s p b d i n g l y are r e s t r i o t o d when in


p r i h e l i o n Fn Plsoes. Abnormal conditions may of aourse m o d i f y t h e s e
rules.

Good a s p o t a o f t.b maJor p l a n e t s to Mars in tho e p b a m r i s show


etuy

s u ~ p l i e s , tim o m t r o l l h q oonditiona being &liar

to

tnoae

a l r o u l y r e o i t e d in oonnsotion x i t h the nature of t h e p l a t in


arpeot

to Yare.

!UUQ?T PRICES
Mnrket p r i c e s or' tiae a r t i o l e are c o n t r o l l e d by tbe p e r t u r b a t i o n s

and a f f e o t i o n s of t h e p l a n e t V e ~ s m'ilkis p l a n e t i s strollg in.the s i p s


Taurus, Canoor, Libra and Pisces. lllhetr thus p l s o e d and in good a s p e o t

t o any 03 the mjor p l a n e t s , the prioe will r l s e j and a proportionata i n o r e a s e in value will be noted when the p l l n e t i s in any o f
t h e o t h e r signs, and in good a d p o t to major pl.anets.

Tenus i s weak in Aries, Caprioorn, Scorpio d Virgo. Good a s p e o t s


t o Venus will n o t t h e n h w e t k ~ssame value a s if the p l a r r e t were in
a o o q e n i a l s i p , b u t evil a s p e a t s w i l l b v e a more depressing e f f e o t .

3ome n o t o n l y the sign occupiad by Venus, but also 'rhe a s p e c t s


t h r o ~ nto it3 by other p l o n e t s have to be coneidered, and mu estim-

ate made aoooxdlngly.

THE CHART
The ohart o f S u g u should be lald d m day by day throughout any

month o r yew. The aspeukr to Yars s h o u l d be noted and set against


t h e day of the month on which they ocour. This forms the base liae
of supply and greatly i n f l u e n o e s the mrkot.
The ~ p e o t so f Venus should than be aimiliarly n o h d and s e t
dmrn a p h s t the d a t e o f their forrmtion, any ohange of a i g n t h a t may

ooour in the course of the chart be-

also indicated.

P w m b s e 4x0 lines of influences a curve

o m be s e t o u t 7:kich

i n d i o a t e s the r i s e and f a l l of tbe a r t i o l e on t b e market,

Venus i s In e p h e l i o n i n L i b r a 10 degxwes ard in perFholian Fn


dries 10.

A boom on th m a r h t i s caused by a a u o o e s s i o n o f good aspeota


to

*
9

3erial.

p l a m t vanus, .Aithout

l n t e r v o n i q b d aspect to b r e d thr

-6-

cwm
A ahango f r c m up ta d m o r the r e v e r s e i s ua\lilly i n d i o a t e d by
Venus c o m i q into oonjunation w i t h the hn, b u t the more sure Indioatiozl i s a ohnnge i n cne n a t u r e of t h e ephemeral r s p e o t s t o Venus,

Thus if you f i n u a sucoession o f s e x t i i e s o r trines t o Venus and


t h e n a s e r i e s of baa as;ects or mixed one6, a change takes plaoe wnen
t h e p l a n e t moves from one i;o the o t h e r o f them.

This i s c a l l e d a t r a n s -

i t i o n date.

TRABITI06 DdTES

A transition

d e b i s &fixed by t-

shs d a t e of tbo l a s t good

aspects and the mxt bad aspect to Venus, counting tbe nwnber of days

and d i v i d i n g by two, xhioh, being added to the f i r s t date, g i v e s t h e


d a t e of the t r a n s i t i o n .

S i m i l i a r l y a t r a n s i t i o n d a t e w i l l f e l l mid-

way btmeen the l m t bad aspeat and t h e next good om.

bn intend of at l e a s t four days b e t m e n t n o s o r t s o f ~ p e o t s


should be allowed so that Venus may c l e a r t h e l a s t influence by i t s

ephemeral m o t i o n b fore e n t e r i n g rpon t h e nark.


SUPPLY AND

D U D

Bring the

~riIULlyoonditions

c o n t r o l l F n g any market and tinose

vrhioh determine tb p r i c e o f any a r t i o l e o r product, m h a w o n l y to


liote that in n o d t b s p r i c e s are in i a v a r s e p r o p o r t i o n to the
supply, But t h i s holds good up t o a certain p o i n t only, for supply
o a r n o t o f itself oreate demand. Given peaoeful i n d u s t r i a l c o n d i t i o n s

the world o v e r , the icorld denand in sugar :rill very soon Le s t t i s f i o d and any s u r p l u s K i l l -Lend t o reduce the a r k e t price of t h e art i c l e , War o o n d i t i o n s , cro;, ~ ' a i l u r e s and o t h e r abnornal c o n d i t i o n s ,

nust be d e a l t w i t h aa they a r i s e , and they K i l l i n v a k a b l ; L e r e f l e o t ed in .-he s- gar c h a r t . For t h i s r e a s o n

PIE

nra & l a tO

8~

that

S U ~ U

n i l 1 tend t o s t r o n g viavos f r m t h e to tics d ~ r i n gthe m x t ciecade

( l o p a r s ) , f r o m 1 9 2 C t o 1322, and horn 1 9 2 6 to 1 9 3 1 nore a s ~ e o i a l l y

-7-

t h e e baing m11 d o f h d anrr o f m r l d m r t d i n t a r n a t i o d


w u , j u s t as the period from 1914

to 1918 was Fn its turn, Thaw

are r e f e n d t o r s s r t i f i o i a l f e c l b r r , and are arising kam faotars

outside of the M u s t r y oonoerned, t l m y ham to be sought Tor from

other soumes. T h e best guide to P o l l t i c a l prediotion ard forecast


of mar P e r i o d s i s my key t o Stocks and Share 6 , the se being cont r o l l e d f m a p o l i t i o d onuses rather than from naturdl oauser. But

in as nmoh as Sugar is a staple article of food and of great ind u s t r i a l value t h e fmt o f i t s c-

under "oantrol" by the GOT-

ornnent has tho h a e d i a t e e f f e o t o f suspending all n o d fluatu-

ations.

In o t h e r r e s p c t a and in n o m a l time3 t h i s key .frillbe formd of


great v a l ~t o the d e a l e r in buying o r selling forward.

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