Course

Student ID / Login ID.

Name.
PVC Name /Code
Due Date.
Total marks.
Assignment 6

Sta301

30

Fall 2006

Question 1

10 Marks

Seventy five percent of youths 12-15 years of age have a blood pressure less than 136. What is
the probability that a sample of 12 youths of that age group will include:
(i) Exactly 4 who have a blood pressure less than 136?
(ii) At least 4 who have a blood pressure less than 136?
Solution:

X is no. of youths 12-15 years of age have a blood pressure less than 136.
p 0.75
q 1 p 1 0.75 0.25
n 12

Let

Now, Binomial Probability Distribution

n
P X x p x q n x
x

x 0,1,2,.., n

(i) Exactly 4 who have a blood pressure less than 136?

X 4

12
4
124
P x 4 0.75 0.25
4
P x 4 495 0.3164 0.000015
P x 4 0.0024

(ii) At least 4 who have a blood pressure less than 136?

P x 4 1 P x 4
P x 4 1 P x 0 P x 1 P x 2 P x 3

X 0

12
0
120
P x 0 0.75 0.25
0
P x 0 0.000000059

X 1

12
1
121
P x 1 0.75 0.25
1
P x 1 12 0.75 0.25

11

P x 1 0.0000021
X 2

12
2
122
P x 2 0.75 0.25
2
P x 2 66 0.75
P x 2 0.000035

0.25

122

X 3

12
3
123
P x 3 0.75 0.25
3
P x 3 220 0.75 0.25
3

P x 3 0.00035

P x 4 1 P x 0 P x 1 P x 2 P x 3

P x 4 1 0.000000059 0.0000021 0.000035 0.00035

P x 4 0.9996
Question 2

10 Marks

Suppose a population consists of 15 items, 10 of which are acceptable. A sample of 4

items is selected without replacement. What is the probability distribution of no. of
acceptable items? Find the probability that at least 2 items are acceptable.
Solution:
Let X be the number of items which are acceptable. X assumes values 0, 1, 2, 3, 4.
P ( X 0) P (no item is acceptable)

10

P ( X 1) P (oneitem is acceptable)

C0 5C4
5

0.003663
15
C4
1365
C1 5C3 10 10

0.07326
15
C4
1365

10

P ( X 2) P (two items are acceptable)

10

P ( X 3) P (Threeitems are acceptable)

P ( X 4) P ( Four items are acceptable)
The probability distribution of X
X
0
1
0.003663
0.07326
P(x)

C2 5C2 450

0.3298
15
C4
1365
10

C3 5C1 600

0.4395
15
C4
1365

C4 5C0 210 1

0.1538
15
C4
1365

10

2
0.3298

3
0.4395

4
0.1538

P ( X 2) P ( At least two items are acceptable) P ( X 2) P ( X 3) P ( X 4)

= 0.3298 + 0.4395 + 0.1538 =0.9231
Question 3

10 Marks

The driving time of an executive while driving from his home to his office is normally distributed with
a mean of 35 minutes and a standard deviation of 8 minutes. Assuming that total number of working
days in a year are 300, you are required to calculate the number of days in which he is expected to
drive to work:
(a) In less than or equal to 30 minutes?
(b) In more than or equal to 40 minutes?

Solution:
Given

Mean 35
Standard Deviation 8

We know that

(a) In less than or equal to 30 minutes.

At

X 30
Z

Now,

30 35
5

8
8

P X 30 P Z 0.625

P X 30 0.5 P 0.625 Z 0
P X 30 0.5 P 0 Z 0.625
0.5 0.2357 0.2643
Required No. of days=

300 0.2643 79 days

(b) In more than or equal to 40 minutes.

At X 40

Z
Now,

40 35 5
0.625
8
8

P X 40 P Z 0.625

P X 40 0.5 P 0 Z 0.625
0.5 0.2357 0.2643
Required No. of days=

300 0.2643 79 days