4.2 :
,
4.2 showsthatforanygivenexpectedrateofinflation
,
increases thenominalinterest
anincrease intherealinterestrate
rate andsoreduces thedemandformoney.
Similarly,foranygivenrealinterestrate ,anincrease inthe
expectedrateofinflation
increases thenominalinterestrate
andsoreduces thedemandformoney.
Rememberthat thenominalinterestrate movesoneforone with
changesinexpectedinflation
.
RealMoneyBalances
Sincethedemandfornominalmoneyisproportional tothe
aggregate(oroverall)pricelevel ,wecandividebothsidesof
nominalmoneydemandequationby :
4.3
RealMoneyBalances
OtherFactorsAffectingMoneyDemand
Changesinvariablesotherthantheinterest rate causethedemand
curvetoshift.
Wealth:anincrease inwealthcausesmoneydemandtorise
becausepartofanincreaseinwealthmaybeheldintheformof
money.
Risk:anincrease inriskofalternativeassetscausesmoneydemand
torise sincehigher riskofalternativeassetsmakesmoneymore
attractive.Ontheotherhand,anincrease inriskofmoneycauses
moneydemandtofall becausehigher riskofmoneymakesitless
attractive.
OtherFactorsAffectingMoneyDemand
Forexample,inaperiodoferraticinflation,peopletrytoswitch
moneytoinflationhedges(assetswhoserealreturnsarelesslikelyto
beaffectedbyerraticinflation)suchasgold,realestate,and
consumerdurablegoods.
Liquidity ofalternativeassets:anincrease inliquidityofalternative
assetscausesmoneydemandtofall sincehigher liquidityof
alternativeassetsmakestheseassetsmore attractive.
OtherFactorsAffectingMoneyDemand
Efficiency ofpaymenttechnology:anincrease inpayment
technologycausesdemandmoneytofall sincepeoplecanoperate
withless money.
Expected inflation:anincrease inexpectedinflationcausesmoney
demandtofall sincehigher expectedinflationmeansahigher return
onalternativeassetsandthusswitchawayfrommoney.
DeterminingtheInterestRate
:MethodI
Q:Bywhatisthemoneysupplyaffected?
A:
(i)Thecentralbank (theFederalReserveSystem,justcalledthe
Fed,intheUnitedStates)isthegovernmentinstitutionresponsiblefor
monetarypolicies.
(ii)Depositoryinstitutions areprivatelyownedbanksandthrift
institutions(suchassavingsandloanassociation)thataccept
deposits fromandmakeloans directlytothepublic.
(iii)Thepublic includeseverypersonorfirm(exceptbanks)thatholds
moneyincurrency ordeposits.
AssetMarketEquilibrium
Assumption:Allassetscanbegroupedintotwocategories,money
4.4 :
=aggregatenominalwealth
4.5 :
aggregatenominalwealth
If
4.6 :
0
0,
mustbezero.
AssetMarketEquilibrium
Thatis,iftheamountsofmoneysuppliedanddemandedare
equal,theamountsofnonmonetaryassetssuppliedand
demandedalsomustbeequal.
Theentireassetmarketisinequilibrium ifthequantityof
moneysupplied equalsthequantityofmoneydemanded.
Itmeansthatthatinstudyingassetmarketequilibriumwe
havetolookatonlythesupplyanddemandformoneyand
canignorenonmonetaryassets.
,M,andtheEquilibriumInterestRate
Intherealworld,therearetwotypesofmoneyinM1:checkable
deposits (suppliedbybanks)andcurrency (suppliedbythecentral
bank).
Assumption inMethodI:Onlymoneyintheeconomyiscurrency in
circulation,thatis,thequantityofmoneyisthenumberofdollars
heldbythepublic.
Wefirstlookatinterestrateusingthemoney marketmodel (also
calledtheliquidity preference model).
, ,andtheEquilibriumInterestRate
Themoneymarketmodelfocusesonhowtheinteractionofthe
demandandsupplyformoneydeterminestheshortterm (theloan
orbondwillmature,orbepaidoff,inoneyearorless)interestrate.
Supposethecentralbankdecidestosupplyamountsofmoneyequal
, theamountofmoneyavailableinaneconomy
toM,so
(moneystockormoneysupply).
Moneymarketequilibriumcondition:
,
,
, ,andtheEquilibriumInterestRate
Exogenousvariables:P,M and
Endogenousvariables:Yand r
Eq(4.7)iscalledtheLM relation.
TheletterL standsforliquidity ameasureofhoweasilyanassetcan
beexchangedformoney.
TheletterM standsformoney.
Inequilibrium,thedemandforliquidity mustequalthesupplyof
money.
Figure 4.2:TheDeterminationofInterestRate
TheDeterminationofInterestRate
Thesupplyofmoney(M)isassumedtobefixed themoneysupply
M isanexogenous policyvariablechosenbyacentral bank:
thecentralbankisabletosetthesupplyofmoneyatwhateverlevel
itchooses.
Inotherwords,themoneysupply(M)isindependent oftheinterest
rate;i.e.themoneysupplycurveisavertical line,andchangesinthe
interestratehavenoeffectonthequantityofmoneysupplied.
ThepricelevelP isalsoanexogenous variablebecauseweassume
thatthepricelevelisfixed intheshortrun.
TheDeterminationofInterestRate
Accordingtothetheoryofliquidity balances,thesupplyanddemand
formoneybalancesdeterminewhatinterest rate prevailsinthe
economy.Thatis,theinterest rate adjuststoequilibratethemoney
market.
Figure 4.3:TheEffectsofanIncreaseinNominalIncomeonthe
InterestRate
EffectofanIncreaseinNominalIncomeontheInterestRate
Nominalincomeincreasesfrom$ to$
Themoneydemandcurveshiftsrightward from
to
:
Atthe initial interest , thedemandformoneyexceeds thesupply
ofmoney
Agents(householdsorfirms)haveless moneythantheywantto
holdatan initial interestrate : shortage (or excess demand for)of
money
EffectofanIncreaseinNominalIncomeontheInterestRate
Q:Whatdoagentsdowiththeshortageofmoney?
Theyaremostlikelytosell shorttermbonds
Sellingshorttermassetssuchasbondsdrivesdown theirprices
anddriveup theirinterestrates.Thatis,anincrease intheinterest
rateisneededtodecrease theamountofmoneypeoplewanttohold
andtoreestablishequilibrium
Themoneymarketachievesanewequilibriumat
ShiftsofMoneySupply&MoneyDemand
Whatshiftsnominalmoneysupply:
Whatshiftsnominalmoneydemand:
, ,
Whatshiftsrealmoneysupply:
,
Whatshiftsrealmoneydemand:
,
MonetaryPolicyandOpenMarketOperations
Openmarketoperations
Purchases orsales ofgovernmentsecuritiesbythecentralbankin
theopenmarketforbondstochangethesupply ofmoney
Expansionaryopenmarketoperation:purchases ofgovernment
securities(governmentbonds)bythecentralbanktoincrease
(expand)themoneysupply
Contractionaryopenmarketoperation:salesofgovernment
securitiesbythecentralbanktodecrease (contract)themoney
supply
MonetaryPolicyandOpenMarketOperations
Openmarketpurchasesinwhichthecentralbankincreases the
moneysupplybybuying bondsleadtoanincrease inthepriceof
bondsandadecrease intheinterestrate.
Thepurchase ofbondsbythecentralbankshiftsthemoneysupply
totheright.
Openmarketsalesinwhichthecentralbankdecreases themoney
supplybyselling bondsleadtoadecrease inthepriceofbondsand
anincrease intheinterestrate.
Theselling ofbondsbythecentralbankshiftsthemoneysupplyto
theleft.
Figure 4.4:TheEffectofanIncreaseintheMoneySupplyonthe
InterestRate
EffectofanIncreaseintheMoneySupplyontheInterestRate
Anincrease inthesupplyofmoneybythecentralbankleadstoa
decrease intheinterestrate.
How?
Thecentralbankincreases themoneysupply:themoneysupply
curveshiftsrightward from
to
.
Agents(householdsorfirms)havemore moneythantheywantto
holdatan initial interestrate :surplus (orexcess supply)ofmoney
EffectofanIncreaseintheMoneySupplyontheInterestRate
Q:Whatdoagentsdowiththeextramoney?
Theyaremostlikelytousethemoneytobuy shorttermbonds
Buyingshorttermassetssuchasbondsdrivesup theirpricesand
drivedown theirinterestrates
Thedecrease intheinterestrateincreases thequantitydemanded
ofmoneysoitequalsthenowlargermoneysupply
Themoneymarketachievesanewequilibriumat
QuantitativeEasing(QE)
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/11361414/Economic
sexplainerwhatisQE.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J9wRq6C2fgo
Example(4.1):MoneyMarketEquilibrium
Supposethatmoneydemandisgivenby
$ 0.25
is$100.Also,supposethatthesupplyofmoneyis$20.
a)Whatistheequilibriuminterestrate?
(Ans.)
Equilibriumcondition:
$20 $100 0.25
$20 $25 $100
$100
$5
0.05 5%
where$Y
Example(4.1):MoneyMarketEquilibrium
b)IftheFederalReserveBankwantstoincreasei by10percentpoints
(e.g.,from2%to12%),atwhatlevelshoulditsetthesupplyofmoney?
(Ans.)
Example (4.2):MoneyMarketEquilibrium
Supposethatthemoneydemandfunctionis
1000 100 ,
where istheinterestrateinpercent.Themoneysupply is1000
andthepricelevel is2.
a)Whatistheequilibriuminterestrate?
(Ans.)
Equilibriumcondition:
500
1000
100
1000
5%.
100
Example (4.2):MoneyMarketEquilibrium
b)Assumethatthepricelevelisfixed.Whathappenstothe
equilibriuminterestrateifthesupplyofmoneyisraisedfrom1,000to
1,200?
(Ans.)
Equilibriumcondition:
600
1000
100
1000
100
4%.
Thus,increasingthemoneysupplyfrom1,000to1,200causesthe
equilibriuminterestratetofall.
Example (4.2):MoneyMarketEquilibrium
d)IftheFedwishestoraisetheinterestrateto7%,whatmoneysupply
shoulditset?
(Ans.)
Set
1000
100