Binomial PDF
Binomial PDF
Peluang Sukse:
Peluang Gagal:
1
P( X = 0) = p 0 (1 p)1 0 = 1 p
0
Contoh Binomial
Var (Y ) = E (Y 2 ) E (Y ) 2
= [12 p + 0 2 (1 p)] [1 p + 0(1 p )]2
= p p2
= p (1 p )
Contoh Binomial
Penyelesaian:
Contoh Binomial
Contoh Binomial
cara
5 untuk
mengatur
3 3 kepala
dalam 5
percobaan
= 5!/3!2! = 10
Keluaran
Peluang
THHHT
(1/2)3 x (1/2)2
HHHTT
(1/2)3 x (1/2)2
TTHHH
(1/2)3 x (1/2)2
HTTHH
(1/2)3 x (1/2)2
HHTTH
(1/2)3 x (1/2)2
HTHHT
(1/2)3 x (1/2)2
THTHH
(1/2)3 x (1/2)2
HTHTH
(1/2)3 x (1/2)2
HHTHT
(1/2)3 x (1/2)2
THHTH
(1/2)3 x (1/2)2
HTHHT
(1/2)3 x (1/2)2
10 pengaturan x (1/2)3 x (1/2)2
10 x
()5=31.25%
banyaknya kepala
n = banyak percobaan
n X
n X
p (1 p)
X
X = # banyak
sukses dari n
percobaan
1-p = peluang
gagal
p = peluang
sukses
Definisi: Binomial
Definisi: Binomial
P(1-p)=.25
Distribusi Geometric
Definisi: Binomial
For X~Bin (N,p)
X=
Bernouilli ;Var (Y )
= p (1 p)
i =1
= Var ( X ) = Var (
i =1
Y) =
Var (Y ) = np(1 p)
i =1
Distribusi Geometric
Fungsi peluang dari distribusi Geometric
PX (1) = (1 p )
PX (2 ) = p (1 p )
PX ( x ) = p x 1 (1 p )
x =1
x 1
x =1
x 1
x =1
= (1 p ) p x = (1 p )
(x bil. Bulat positif)
P (x ) = p (1 p ) = (1 p ) p
seterusnya.
PX ( x ) = ?
PX (3) = p ( p )(1 p ) = p 2 (1 p )
Jadi,
Distribusi Geometric
x =0
Deret Geometric
(1 p )
=1
16
Distribusi Geometric
Distribusi Geometric
lanjutan
x=0
1
1 p
Expectation:
(| p |< 1)
Turunkan kedua sisi terhadap p:
xp
x 1
= 1
x=0
1
1
1 =
(1 p ) 2
(1 p) 2
x =1
x =1
x =1
xPX (x ) = xp x1 (1 p ) = (1 p ) xp x1
= (1 p )
1
1
=
2
(1 p ) 1 p
17
Contoh: Geometric
Distribusi Geometric
Lanjutan
Variance:
V (X ) =
p
(1 p )2
P(X=x)
1
1
6
5 1 2 3 4 n1
5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1
6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Negatif Binomial
Mean
Varians
Hypergeometric
Hypergeometric
Hypergeometric
Mean
E(Y) = np = nr/N
Varians