August 2016
7.1
Continuity of Probability
Definition 7.1. A sequence of sets (i.e., events) A1 , A2 , (denoted, {An : n 1}) is said to be increasing if
A1 A2 (i.e., An An+1 for all n 1). Analogously, a sequence of sets {An : n 1} is said to be
decreasing if A1 A2 (i.e., An An+1 for all n 1).
Example
Infinite coin tosses: Define An = {at least one H in the first n tosses} for all n 1. Then, {An : n 1}
is increasing. If Bn = {no H in the first n tosses} then {Bn : n 1} is decreasing. In general, note that, if
{An : n 1} is an increasing sequence of sets then {Acn : n 1} is decreasing.
One-dimensional dart game: = [0, 1]. Define An = [0, 1 n1 ] for all n 1. Then, {An : n 1} is
increasing. If Bn = [0, n1 ] then {Bn : n 1} is decreasing.
Sn
Given any sequence of setsT{An : i 1}, define Bn = i=1 Ai . Then, {Bn : n 1} is increasing. On the
n
other hand, suppose Cn = i=1 Ai then {Cn : n 1} is decreasing.
Lemma 7.2.
[
P
An = lim P (An ).
n
n=1
\
P
An = lim P (An ).
n
n=1
7-1
7-2
Before proceeding to the proof of the above lemma, let us first briefly review the definition of limits for sequences of
real numbers.
Sequences and Series
References for sequences and series:
[1]
[2]
[3]
Definition 7.3.
if for every > 0 there exists an N such that |xn x| < for all n N .
(b) A sequence of real numbers {xn : n 1} is said to converge to +, denoted lim xn = +, if for every
n
M > 0 there exists an NM such that xn > M for all n NM .
(c) A sequence of real numbers {xn : n 1} is said to converge to , denoted lim xn = , if for every
n
M < 0 there exists an NM such that xn < M for all n NM .
If the above do not hold, then we say that the sequence diverges.
Examples
1
n n
1. Polynomials: lim
1
=
n n
0
1
if > 0
if = 0
if > 0
if = 0.
lim
and
lim n =
2. Exponents:
1
lim pn =
n
if p > 1
if p = 1
if 0 p < 1.
3. Polynomials vs. Exponentials: For any p > 1 (can be arbitrarily close to 1, but greater than 1) and > 0 (can
be arbitrarily large), we have
n
= 0.
n pn
lim
p = 1.
7.
lim ln( n1 )
n
7-3
Properties
Let {xn : n 1} and {yn : n 1} be two sequences. Suppose lim xn = x and lim yn = y.
n
1. lim (xn + yn ) = x + y.
n
1
n xn
4. lim
= x1 , if xn 6= 0 (n 1) and x 6= 0.
5. If xn yn for all n 1 then x y i.e., lim xn lim yn .
n
6. If
{xn : n 1} is a sequence of non-decreasing numbers, i.e., x1 x2 , then the sequence converges
i.e., lim xn exists , and
n
lim xn
< +
= +
if {xn : n 1} is bounded
otherwise.