The following appeared in a memo from the mayor of Brindleburg to the city

council.
"Two years ago, the town of Seaside Vista opened a new municipal golf course
and resort hotel. Since then, the Seaside Vista Tourism Board has reported a
20% increase in visitors. In addition, local banks reported a steep rise in the
number of new business loan applications they received this year. The amount of
tax money collected by Seaside Vista has also increased, allowing the town to
announce plans to improve Seaside Vista's roads and bridges. We recommend
building a similar golf course and resort hotel in Brindleburg. We predict that this
project will generate additional tax revenue that the city can use to fund muchneeded public improvements."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide
whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to
these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.

1.
2. Emphasizing on the benefits of new golf course and resort hotel in Seaside
Vista, the author conclude that using the same method in Brindleburg will yield a
similar result. This conclusion can be true if the authors assumption that
Brindleburg has a similar condition as Seaside Vista is correct. However, even a
small difference in the conditions can yield a completely different result. Seaside
Vista may be located near a well-known tourist attraction, hence, creating a new
golf course and hotel can bring a positive effect on the economy. Brindleburg,
however, may be located in a rural area, far from any tourist attraction. The
same method may be disasterous to the towns economy if used.
3. Additionally, the author assumes that the increase in the business loan
applications in Seaside Vista symbolizes an improving economic condition. This
may be true, if the loans recorded are used to further expand tourism businesses
in Seaside Vista. However, if the loans are used as a last resort to save Seaside
Vistas struggling business, this may not be true. Excessive loan applications is
detrimental for the economy as the loan may accumulate sometimes exceed the
economic capability of a company, spurring the company into bankruptcy.
Despite whether the Seaside Vistas large number of business loans is truly the
result of an improving economy or not, the author does not make an effective
correlation between the number of loans recorded and the economic condition in
Seaside Vista. To further improve his/her argument, the author should provide a
research emphasizing on both the number of loans recorded and the economic
state of Seaside Vista during the loan period.
4. Lastly, citing the increase in number of visitor in Seaside Vista after the
method is applied, the author concludes that using a similar method will bring
benefit for Brindleburg. The conclusion is drawn based on the assumption that
the visitor increase recorded in Seaside Vista happens in a stable way. However,
the author does not give a clear explanation on the time period of the research in
Seaside Vista. What if the research is done during the holiday weeks. Holiday
weeks usually spur a large number of visitor increase, especially in tourisit
attractions. The increase may be recorded during a promotional discount offered

by the hotels in Seaside Vista. We just do not know. Whether the the increase is
caused solely by applying the method or not, the author do not give a cogent
explanation between increase in number of visitor and the methods application.
To further support his/her argument, the author should conduct a research,
taking into account the time period and the promotions during the recorded
increase.
5. It is true that a new golf course and hotel can bring many benefit to a towns
economy, espcially its tourism. The fact may catalyze Brindleburgs government
to build new golf course and hotel, just like Seaside Vista. However, the author
do not give an cogent arguments for the government to apply the methods
proposed.