Nama:

1. Diketahui data sebagai berikut:

Bula
n ke

Jumla
h jam
Rilex
yang
dijual
(unit)
Y

Harga Jam Tangan

(Ribuan Rp)

Biaya Pasang Iklan

(juta Rp)

Rilex

Omeg
ah

TV

X1

X2

X3

5843

2560

1725

1160

5943

2662

1725

1165

5853

2688

1438

1189

5835

2816

1495

1163

5943

2816

1671

1251

6753

2688

2864

1423

6807

2816

2944

1417

6735

2944

2846

1427

6663

3072

3019

1429

10

6483

3174

2128

1399

11

6555

3226

2415

1417

12

6501

3328

2875

1419

13

6609

3328

2760

1433

14

6933

3098

3105

1463

15

6969

3200

3220

1513

16

7059

3533

3335

1529

17

7005

3584

3450

1553

18

7167

3635

4024

1553

19

7023

3789

3910

1567

20

7131

3840

4025

1585

Media Cetak
X4
583
584
596
583
631
713
710
715
716
701
710
711
718
733
758
766
778
778
785
794

a. Berikut didapat persamaan regresi menggambarkan permintaan jam

rilex

Model Summary

Model

,993

R Square

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,986

,982

62,475

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

Residual
Total

df

Mean Square

4037412,053

1009353,013

58546,947

15

3903,130

4095959,000

19

Sig.

258,601

,000b

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Coefficients
B
(Constant)
Rilex
1

Omegah
TV
Medcet

Std. Error

3170,785

322,539

-,284

,070

,186

Beta
9,831

,000

-,240

-4,086

,001

,057

,330

3,257

,005

19,711

8,323

6,020

2,368

,032

-33,917

16,658

-5,153

-2,036

,060

1. Membuat persamaan regresi :

Y = f (X1, X2, X3, X4)
Y = a + b 1 x 1 + b 2 x 2 + b 3 x 3 + ...
Y = 3170,785 0,284x 1 + 0,186x 2 + 19,711x 3 33,917x 4
(9,831)

(-4,086)

(3,257)

(2,368)

(-2,036)

a. Membuat fungsi regresi Y = f (X1, X2, X3, X4). Membuktikan adanya

multicollinearity
Berikut adalah matrik korelasi
Coefficient Correlationsa
Model

Medcet

Correlations

TV

1,000

-,047

,114

-,999

Rilex

-,047

1,000

-,120

,031

,114

-,120

1,000

-,150

-,999

,031

-,150

1,000

277,480

-,054

,109

-138,511

-,054

,005

,000

,018

,109

,000

,003

-,071

-138,511

,018

-,071

69,264

TV
Medcet
Rilex

Covariances

Omegah

Medcet

Omegah

Rilex

Omegah
TV

Membuktikan Multicollinearity:
-

Variable di matrik korelasi menunjukan Variabel TV dan Media Cetak memiliki nilai
tertinggi (-0,999), menunjukan adanya multicollinearity

Nilai R square = 0,986 tinggi

Model

R Square

,993a

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,986

,982

62,475

Nilai F hitung lebih tinggi dari nilai F tabel :

F hit > F t =258,601 > 3,2874
Nilai t rendah
T hit tv > T tab 2,368 > 1,729, maka ada hub iklan TV dengan
penjualan Rilex
T hit Medcet < T tab -2,036 < 1,762, maka tidak ada hub iklan Media Cetak dengan
penjualan Rilex
Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Coefficients
B
(Constant)
Rilex
1

Omegah
TV
Medcet

Std. Error

3170,785

322,539

-,284

,070

,186

Beta
9,831

,000

-,240

-4,086

,001

,057

,330

3,257

,005

19,711

8,323

6,020

2,368

,032

-33,917

16,658

-5,153

-2,036

,060

Kesimpulan: Terbukti dengan gejala-gejala diatas terdapat Multicollinearity antara iklan TV dan Media Cetak
b.

Membuat fungsi regresi Y = f(X1, X2, X3)

Menggunakan SPSS didapat :

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Collinearity Statistics

Coefficients
B
(Constant)
1

Std. Error

Beta

3055,427

347,337

-,291

,076

,199
2,781

Rilex
Omegah
TV

Tolerance
8,797

,000

-,246

-3,826

,001

,277

3,612

,062

,354

3,212

,005

,094

10,660

,384

,849

7,235

,000

,083

12,085

a. Dependent Variable: N_Jam

Y = f (X1, X2, X3)

Y = a + b 1 x 1 + b 2 x 2 + b 3 x 3 + ...
Y = 3055,427 0,291x 1 + 0,199x 2 + 2,781x 3
(8,797)

(-3,826)

(3,212)

(7,235)

Model Summary
Model

,991a

R Square

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,982

,978

68,341

a. Predictors: (Constant), TV, Rilex, Omegah

R square: 0,982

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

Residual
Total

VIF

df

Mean Square

4021230,956

1340410,319

74728,044

16

4670,503

4095959,000

19

F hit > F tab 286,995 > 3,287

Coefficientsa

F
286,995

Sig.
,000b

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Collinearity Statistics

Coefficients
B
(Constant)
1

Std. Error

Beta

3055,427

347,337

-,291

,076

,199
2,781

Rilex
Omegah
TV

Tolerance

VIF

8,797

,000

-,246

-3,826

,001

,277

3,612

,062

,354

3,212

,005

,094

10,660

,384

,849

7,235

,000

,083

12,085

c. Membuat fungsi regresi Y = f(X1, X2, X4)

Model Summary
Model

,990a

R Square

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,980

,977

70,905

a. Predictors: (Constant), Medcet, Rilex, Omegah

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Collinearity Statistics

Coefficients
B
(Constant)
1

Std. Error

Beta

3065,090

362,541

-,289

,079

Omegah

,206

Medcet

5,501

Rilex

Tolerance
8,454

,000

-,244

-3,667

,002

,277

3,617

,064

,366

3,218

,005

,095

10,560

,798

,836

6,891

,000

,083

11,983

a. Dependent Variable: N_Jam

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

Total

df

Mean Square

4015517,776

1338505,925

80441,224

16

5027,577

4095959,000

19

Residual

a. Dependent Variable: N_Jam

b. Predictors: (Constant), Medcet, Rilex, Omegah

VIF

F
266,233

Sig.
,000b

Y = f (X1, X2, X4)

Y = a + b 1 x 1 + b 2 x 2 + b4x4 + ...
Y = 3065,090 0,289x 1 + 0,206x 2 + 5,501x4
(8,454)

(-3,667)

(3,218)

(6,891)

R Square : 0,98
F hit > F tab 266,233 > 3,287
d. Data X3 dan X4 digabung menjadi X5, maka persamaan Y =
f(X1,X2,X5)
Dari SPSS didapat tabel berikut:

Model Summary
Model

,991

R Square

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,981

,978

69,166

a. Predictors: (Constant), X5, Rilex, Omegah

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

Mean Square

4019416,169

1339805,390

76542,831

16

4783,927

4095959,000

19

Residual
Total

df

Sig.

280,064

,000b

a. Dependent Variable: N_Jam

b. Predictors: (Constant), X5, Rilex, Omegah

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Collinearity Statistics

Coefficients
B
(Constant)
1

Std. Error

3057,713

352,290

-,290

,077

,201
1,848

Rilex
Omegah
X5

a. Dependent Variable: N_Jam

Beta

Tolerance

VIF

8,680

,000

-,245

-3,774

,002

,277

3,614

,063

,358

3,213

,005

,094

10,629

,259

,845

7,122

,000

,083

12,055

Y = f (X1, X2, X5)

Y = a + b 1 x 1 + b 2 x 2 + b5x5 + ...
Y = 3057,713 0,29x 1 + 0,201x 2 + 1,848x5
(8680)

(-3774)

(3213)

(7122)

R Square : 0,981
F hit > F tab 280,064 > 3,287
e. Fungsi regresi Y= a1 + b1X3 dan Y = a2 + b2X4. Bandingkan b1 dan
b2, buat persamaan baru X5 = X3 + (b1/b2)X4 Y = (f(X1,X2,X5),
kemudian jadikan f(X1,X2,X3,X4)
Y= a1 + b1X3
Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Collinearity Statistics

Coefficients
B
(Constant)

Std. Error

2098,918

227,671

3,202

,162

TV

Beta

Tolerance

,978

9,219

,000

19,824

,000

1,000

VIF

1,000

a. Dependent Variable: N_Jam

Y= a1 + b1X3
Y= 2098, 918 + 3,202 X3
(9219)

(19,824)

R2 = 0,956
F = 392,986

Y = a2 + b2X4
Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Collinearity Statistics

Coefficients
B
1

(Constant)

Std. Error

2069,698

234,647

6,429

,332

Medcet

a. Dependent Variable: N_Jam

Y = a2 + b2X4
Y= 2069,698 + 6429 X3
(8820)
R2 = 0,954

(19,358)

Beta

Tolerance

,977

8,820

,000

19,358

,000

1,000

VIF

1,000

F = 374,744

X5 = X3 + (b1/b2)X4
b1/b2 = 3,202/6429 = 0,5
X5 = X3 + 0,5 X4
Gunakan SPSS

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Collinearity Statistics

Coefficients
B
(Constant)

Std. Error

Beta

3056,686

350,294

-,290

,077

,200
2,220

Rilex

Tolerance

VIF

8,726

,000

-,245

-3,795

,002

,277

3,613

,062

,356

3,212

,005

,094

10,642

,310

,847

7,167

,000

,083

12,068

1
Omegah
X5
a. Dependent Variable: N_Jam

Y = f(X1,X2,X5)
Y = 3056,689 0,29X1 + 0,2X2 + 2,22X5
Y = 3056,689 0,29X1 + 0,2X2 + 2,22(X3 + 0,5 X4)
Maka didapat persamaan baru f(X1,X2,X3,X4)
Y = 3056,686 - 0,290X1 + 0,200X2 + 2,220X3 + 1,11X4
f.

Untuk mengatasi multicollinearity adalah dengan dengan R2 terbesar

yaitu cara B dengan R square 0,982. Semakin mendekati 1 maka hasil
persamaan tersebut semakin akurat. Persamaan terbaik adalah
f(X1,X2,X3)
Model Summary

Model

,991a

R Square

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,982

a. Predictors: (Constant), TV, Rilex, Omegah

2. Rilex = 4,000,000
Omegah = 3,500,000

,978

68,341

Biaya iklan TV = 1,500,000,000

Biaya iklan Media = 750,000,000
a. Jumlah tertinggi dan terendah dari penjualan jam Rilex

Y = 3055,427 0,291x 1 + 0,199x 2 + 2,781x 3

Y = 3055,427 0,291(4000)+ 0,199(3500) + 2,781(1500)
Y = 6759,427
Untuk menentukan tertinggi dan terendah gunakan Ramalan
berjangka:
Y = Ybar T tab * Std error
Y = 6755,427 1.729 * 68.381
Y tertinggi = 6755,427 + 1.729 * 68.381 = 6878 dibulatkan
Y terendah = 6755,427 - 1.729 * 68.381 = 6642 dibulatkan

b. Elastisitas permintaan Rilex

x1 = b1 * (X1/Y)
b1= 0,291 dimana Y = 3055,427 0,291x1 + 0,199x2 + 2,781x3
X1 didapat dari rata2 rilex dari datya yang diberikan
Y didapat dari rata2 dari datya yang diberikan
x1 = 0,291 * (3139,85/ 6590,5 )
= 0,138
X1 < 1 INELASTIS Sehingga tidak mempengaruhi besar kecilnya penjualan.
Elastisitas permintaan rilex terhadap harga saingan omegah
B2 = 0,1999
B2*

X2
Y

= 0,199*

2748,75
6590,5

= 0,082
X2 < 1 INELASTIS Sehingga tidak mempengaruhi besar kecilnya penjualan.
B3 = 2,781
B3*
=

X3
Y

2.781 *

1402,75
6590,5

= 0,59
X3 < 1 INELASTIS Sehingga tidak mempengaruhi besar kecilnya penjualan.
c. X2= 0,082
20% * 0,082 = 1,64% maka akan turun permintaannya sebanyak
1,64%