VOL.123, No. 3
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286
MARCH 1997
No. 3
287
Table 1. Sensitivity, Specificity, and Positive and Negative Predictive Value of ESR and CRP Using Various Cutoff Criteria
> Cutoff
Criterion
For ESR
Used by pathology laboratory at UIHC
Males, 10 mm/hr; females, 20 mm/hr
Suggested by Miller and associates5
Males, age/2; females, (age + 10)/2
From regression of age on ESR
of our control group
Males, 17.3 + 0.18(age);
females, 22.1 + 0.18(age)
From empiric distribution of ESR
of our control group
Males, 33 mm/hr; females, 35 mm/hr
For CRP
Used by pathology laboratory at UIHC
0.5 mg/dl
Specificity
Sensitivity
s Cutoff
Negative
Positive
Predictive
Value
No. of Subjects
Value
95% Cl
95% Cl
95% Cl
95% Cl
97
92-99
67
64-72
29
25-34
99
98-100
703
86
78-92
94
92-96
66
58-74
98
97-99
692
92
86-97
92
90-94
63
55-71
99
98-100
57
692
92
86-97
92
90-94
63
55-71
99
98-100
25
113
100
93-100
82
74-88
63
51-75
100
97-100
GCA
Control
GCA
Control
103
247
502
91
46
15
98
57
98
43
Cl = confidence interval, CRP = C-reactive protein, ESR = erythrocyte sedimentation rate, GCA = giant cell arteritis, UIHC =
University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics.
160
160
MALES
140
120-
oo
100
0C 8 0
CO
o o
lii
60
40
tt
CO
ill
>..":
,.-.
..
...
0%
80
*
o
60
40
120
o
o
100-
20-
FEMALES
140
o.
.--.-.-.-f r-^.-;:.
20
010
20
30
AGE
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
AGE
Figure 1. Graphs showing regression analysis of erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) (in mm/hour) with age (in years)
and gender in our patients with positive temporal artery biopsy for giant cell arteritis (open circles) and in patients in the
control group (dots). The dotted line represents the 95% upper confidence limit for the control group. In places, empty
circles for various patients overlap each other, giving the erroneous impression that the number of open circles
corresponding to patients with giant cell arteritis is too low.
MARCH
1997
Table 2. Sensitivity, Specificity, and Positive and Negative Predictive Value Based on Patients With Both ESR and CRP
Measured Using Cutoff Criteria for Both ESR and CRP
No. of Subjects
ESR and CRP
Above Cutoff
Criterion
GCA
Control
42
ESR or CRP
Below Cutoff
Sensitivity
Negative
Predictive
Predictive
Value
Specificity
Value
95% Cl
95% Cl
86-96
79
66-89
99
96-100
98
94-100
93
80-98
96
92-99
80-92
97
93-99
90
78-97
98
94-100
78-97
98
94-100
93
81-94
97
93-99
GCA
Control
95% Cl
11
127
98
88-100
92
38
135
88
75-96
40
134
93
39
135
91
95% Cl
Cl = confidence interval, CRP = C-reactive protein, ESR = erythrocyte sedimentation rate, GCA = giant cell arteritis, UIHC =
University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics.
(n = 106)
Negative
(n = 257)
P Value
Headache
Anorexia/weight loss
Jaw claudication
Malaise
Myalgia
Fever
Abnormal temporal artery
Scalp tenderness
Neck pain
Anemia
59 (55.7)
55 (51.9)
51 (48.1)
40 (37.7)
31 (29.2)
28 (26.4)
21 (19.8)
19(17.9)
17(16.0)
14(13.2)
117(45.5)
84 (32.7)
22 (8.6)
78 (30.4)
68 (26.5)
42(16.3)
33(12.8)
27(10.5)
11 (4.3)
31 (12.1)
.084
.0005
<.0001
.177
.606
.040
.105
.058
.0003
.730
RESULTS
FINDINGS FOR AGE, GENDER, ERYTHROCYTE SEDIMENTA-
289
Variable
Odds
Ratio
95% Cl
for Odds Ratio
P Value
9.1
3.4
2.0
2.7
2.0
5.0-16.7
1.4-8.3
1.0-4.1
1.2-5.9
1.2-3.4
<.0001
.0085
.0454
.0106
.0105
7.5
4.5
1.4
2.3
2,3
3.2
3.1-18.0
1.2-17.2
0.5-4.5
0.6-8.4
1.0-5.3
1.2-8.6
<.0001
.0263
.5326
.2085
.0412
.0208
DISCUSSION
THE ESSENTIAL REQUIREMENT TO PREVENT BLINDNESS
MARCH
1997
Age (yrs)
Range
Median
Mean SD
Gender (no. [%])
Male
Female
Erythrocyte sedimentation
rate (Westergren) (mm/hr)
Range
Median
Mean SD
C-reactive protein (mg/dl)
n
Range
Median
Mean SD
140-
CONTROL
GCA
56-93.4
75.8
75 7.9
0
o
o
o
;
o
"l....!...!.
*i
:
0c0.05
. i
20* 1
fi
o o
UJ
o
o
o 0o
0
40-
o
o
60-
t 1 m i1
0.1
o
r
I I I I I I |
10
100
CRP
2-155
68
72 39
43
0.5-34.7
4.35
6.6 6.7
80-
94 (36.6)
163(63.4)
4-140
87.5
84.9 33.4
:
:
100-
20.2-95.4
72
71.3 9.5
29 (27.4)
77 (72.6)
i
120-
Negative
(n = 257)
(n = 106)
180
<0.5-24.6
2.05
3.3 4.3
Control Group
(n = 749)
15.9-99.7
63
61.6 14.3
441 (58.9)
308(41.1)
1-59
11
14 10.7
138
<0.5-3.3
<0.5
<0.5 <0.5
291
292
OPHTHALMOLOGY
AMERICAN JOURNAL
MARCH 1997
No. 3
293
MARCH 1997
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295
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