PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
AT
STRATAGEM SOLUTIONS
DECLARATION
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I would like to express my gratitude for all the people, who extended
unending support at all stages of the project.
This report is a product of not only my sincere efforts but also the
guidance and morale support given by the management of
STRATAGEM SOLUTIONS, Hyderabad.
I express my sincere gratitude to my guide Mr. TANVI AGARWAL,
Incharge Training, STRATAGEM SOLUTIONS, Hyderabad for
sparing his valuable time in giving the valuable information and
suggestions all through, for the successful completion of the project.
I wish to express my sincere thanks to Mr XXXXX who Guide and
also the management and staff of my college for providing the guidance
and support.
I would like to acknowledge, my sincere thanks to all the executives
at STRATAGEM SOLUTIONS, Hyderabad who have extended helping
hand in giving the information and being a part of the study.
Last but not least, I express my sincere gratitude to all the employees
at STRATAGEM SOLUTIONS, Hyderabad, who have directly or
indirectly contributed to the successful completion of the project.
(K. NAVEEN
KUMAR)
CONTENTS
CHAPTER
Pg.no.
List of Tables
List of Figures
1. INTRODUCTION
Scope of the study
Objectives
Limitations
Description of the method
2. COMPANY PROFILE
Objectives
Features
3. REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Definition
Participants
Types
Functions
4. TRADING
5. ANNEXURES
6. ANALYSIS
7. CONCLUSION & SUGGESATIONS
8. BIBLIOGRAPHY
9. APPENDICES
INTRODUCTION
Investment may be defined as an activity that commits funds in any financial
form in the present with an expectation of receiving additional return in the future.
The expectations bring with it a probability that the quantum of return may vary
from a minimum to a maximum. This possibility of variation in the actual return is
known as investment risk. Thus every investment involves a return and risk.
Investment is an activity that is undertaken by those who have savings.
Savings can be defined as the excess of income over expenditure. An investor
earns/expects to earn additional monetary value from the mode of investment that
could be in the form of financial assets.
The three important characteristics of any financial asset are:
Return-the potential return possible from an asset.
Risk-the variability in returns of the asset form the chances of its value
going down/up.
Liquidity-the ease with which an asset can be converted into cash.
Investors tend to look at these three characteristics while deciding on their
individual preference pattern of investments. Each financial asset will have a
certain level of each of these characteristics.
Investment avenues
There are a large number of investment avenues for savers in India. Some of
them are marketable and liquid, while others are non-marketable. Some of them
are highly risky while some others are almost risk less.
Investment avenues can be broadly categorized under the following head.
1. Corporate securities
2. Equity shares.
3. Preference shares.
4. Debentures/Bonds.
5. Derivatives.
6. Others.
Corporate Securities.
Joint stock companies in the private sector issue corporate securities. These
include equity shares, preference shares, and debentures. Equity shares have
variable dividend and hence belong to the high risk-high return category;
preference shares and debentures have fixed returns with lower risk.The
classification of corporate securities that can be chosen as investment avenues can
be depicted as shown below:
Equity
Shares
Preference
shares
Bonds
Warrants
Derivatives
SCOPE OF STUDY:
This study covers the Markowitz model. The study covers the calculation of
correlations between the different securities in order to find out at what percentage
funds should be invested among the companies in the portfolio. Also the study
includes the calculation of individual Standard Deviation of securities and ends at
the calculation of weights of individual securities involved in the portfolio. These
percentages help in allocating the funds available for investment based on risky
portfolios.
Company Profile:
A Stratagem solution is a wealth trading startup platform which provides financial
services in the fields of brokerage and human resources. We liaise with high net worth
clients in providing them advisory services for greatest levels of consumer satisfaction.
The company also offers training modules for students who looking at a career in the
financial services industry by certifying them to high industry standards. We also
undertake the placement of qualified financial professionals.
Mission statement
To set the standard for excellence in service.
To continually monitor our portfolio of products to meet the ever-changing needs
of our customer as they plan for the future.
To assist our independent force in an atmosphere of team sprit to professionally
serve the customer and communities.
To maintain profitable growth and provide challenging opportunities for our
employees while continually stressing unquestioned business ethics and integrity.
Vision charter
Stratagem solutions will embark on a quest to become a pioneer company and a
leader in the defined fields.
We will always demonstrate dedication, professionalism, integrity and strength in
service to our customer.
to the
sale and purchase of stock shares. Depending on the degree to which the
brokerage is involved in decisions about purchase. Stratagem stockowners give
their brokers high power to make decisions about when to buy or sell stock and
depend upon their brokers for researching new stock for purchase.
Brokerage firms can be helpful because they save their clients, whether buying or
selling, time. Not everyones brokerage firms would take care of their clients
completely thorough, but Stratagem is the exceptional, that takes an enormous
care about its clients throughout.
Portfolio management services
As a focused service, Stratagem pays attention to details, and portfolios
are customized to suit the unique requirements of investors. Each scheme of
Stratagem is designed keeping in mind the varying tastes, objectives and risk
tolerance of our investors.
The desire to grow money is a natural instinct. But as simple as the desire is, the
process to do so is just as complex. At Stratagem in the Asset Management, we
believe that growing and protecting your wealth is an art.
Just as art is the culmination of talent and experience in an artist, so also growing
money depends on the natural instinct and experience of a financial master. At
Stratagem, our financial masters use their combined talents and experience to
build up your portfolio of investments with an endeavour to bring out the best in it
Gold and silver bullion trading
Gold and silver is a very valuable commodity. Stratagem has got its
expertise hand in this stream as well to serve its clients. Some of these users along
with investors trade gold options. Obviously the users of the metal want the price
to be stable or go down.
Gold, since it was first found, has captured the imagination of man. The earliest
signs of crude gold jewellery happened over 10,000 years ago. From that point on,
gold has been a globally prized metal. Gold does not tarnish or fade and it retains
its value in every place in the world. These trading related tit-bits can be informed
by the Stratagem.
Margin funding
Margin funding trades were responsible for the huge volumes generated in
recent times. The total turnover (derivatives and cash) on NSE alone has come
down by 50 per cent since the January peak. Either margin funding has come to a
standstill or there is much lower activity, said an executive in a broking outfit.
Investors typically bring in some portion of money to purchase shares, while the
broking outfit finances the remaining amount.
Margin funding enables an individual to buy stocks even if he cannot put up the
entire amount of money. Stratagem is the big house that deals with margin
funding profoundly
Mutual funds
A mutual fund is a professionally managed type of collective investment
scheme that pools money from many investors and invests it in stocks, bonds and
short-term money market instruments, and/or other securities.
Mutual funds can invest in many kinds of securities. Most mutual funds'
investment portfolios are continually adjusted under the supervision of a
professional manager, who forecasts cash flows into and out of the fund by
investors, as well as the future performance of investments appropriate for the
fund and chooses those which he or she believes will most closely match the
fund's stated investment objective. Stratagem will completely take care of your
future funds.
Life insurance
Life insurance or life assurance is a contract between the policy owner
and the insurer, where the insurer agrees to pay a sum of money upon the
occurrence of the insured individual's or individuals' death or other event, such as
terminal illness or critical illness. In return, the policy owner agrees to pay a
stipulated amount called a premium at regular intervals or in lump sums. There
are some profitable designs in Stratagem for the benefit of client.
As with most insurance policies, life insurance is a contract
between the insurer and the policy owner whereby a benefit is paid to the
designated beneficiaries if an insured event occurs which is covered by the
policy.
General insurance
Financial School
Stratagem Group is a wealth trading start-up platform which provides financial services
in the fields of wealth advisory, brokerage, project funding, etc... We liaise with high net
worth clients in providing them advisory services for greatest levels of consumer
satisfaction. The Company also offers training modules for students who are looking at a
career in the financial services industry by certifying them to high industry standards by
giving them training in CFPCM (Certified by Financial PlannerCM). We also undertake the
placement of qualified financial professionals. SFS has been established to impart quality
education with international recognition in the area of Management & Finance. Keeping
in line with its basic objectives, SFS offers a range of programmes across the spectrum of
business and finance. The programmes are modern, innovative and flexible with the
option of distance learning for a selected few. These courses have been designed to meet
the emerging demands of the industry and reflect innovative and exciting developments
in the world of business globally.
Data Collection:
The data can be collected through two ways
Primary and secondary way.
Mainly two types of data were taken into consideration for the preparation of
this project. But major emphasis was given on gathering of primary data.
The secondary data have been used for making things more clear and
precise.
The methodology followed by us during the preparation of the report was:
[A] Secondary data
Kotak Mahindra Old Mutual Life Insurance is one of the fastest growing life
insurance companies in the private sector with a premium income growth of
260% in 2003-04. It has shown a consistent performance in three
Channels of Distribution
Currently, Kotak Life Insurance has about 400 corporate agents and Kotak
Life Insurances tie-ups with Kotak Bank, Kotak Securities, Dena Bank,
MMFSL and other corporate agents have helped ramp up distribution and
extend the benefits of our products to a wider clientele. The company is
currently selling a range of products from credit-term group plans to farmers
buying tractors to extremely market savvy high net worth investors through
Kotak Bank & Kotak Securities. Each of these tie-ups has delivered on its
stated objectives and is expected to grow aggressively in the coming years.
To provide a balanced portfolio which not only can hedge against the
inflation but can also optimize returns with the associated degree of risk
To make timely buying and selling of securities
To maximize the after-tax return by investing in various taxes saving
investment instruments.
STRUCTURE / PROCESS OF TYPICAL PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
In the small firm, the portfolio manager performs the job of security analyst.
In the case of medium and large sized organizations, job function of portfolio
manager and security analyst are separate.
RESEARCH
(e.g. Security
Analysis)
PORTFOLIO
MANAGERS
OPERATIONS
(e.g. buying and
selling of Securities)
CLIENTS
He must have his own theory to arrive at the intrinsic value of the security.
An analysis of the securitys values, company, etc. is s continuous job of the
portfolio manager. A good analyst makes a good financial consultant. The analyst
can know the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities of the economy, industry and
the company.
MARKETING SKILLS:
He must be good salesman. He has to convince the clients about the
particular security. He has to compete with the stock brokers in the stock market.
In this context, the marketing skills help him a lot.
EXPERIENCE:
In the cyclical behaviour of the stock market history is often repeated,
therefore the experience of the different phases helps to make rational decisions.
The experience of the different types of securities, clients, market trends, etc.,
makes a perfect professional manager.
PORTFOLIO BUILDING:
Portfolio decisions for an individual investor are influenced by a wide
variety of factors. Individuals differ greatly in their circumstances and therefore, a
financial programmer well suited to one individual may be inappropriate for
another. Ideally, an individuals portfolio should be tailor-made to fit ones
individual needs.
Investors Characteristics:
An analysis of an individuals investment situation requires a study of
personal characteristics such as age, health conditions, personal habits, family
responsibilities, business or professional situation, and tax status, all of which
affect the investors willingness to assume risk.
Family responsibilities:
The investors marital status and his responsibilities towards other
members of the family can have a large impact on his investment needs and
goals.
Investors experience:
The success of portfolio depends upon the investors knowledge and
experience in financial matters. If an investor has an aptitude for financial
affairs, he may wish to be more aggressive in his investments.
Attitude towards Risk:
A persons psychological make-up and financial position dictate his
ability to assume the risk. Different kinds of securities have different kinds
of risks. The higher the risk, the greater the opportunity for higher gain or
loss.
Liquidity Needs:
Liquidity needs vary considerably among individual investors. Investors
with regular income from other sources may not worry much about
instantaneous liquidity, but individuals who depend heavily upon investment
for meeting their general or specific needs, must plan portfolio to match their
liquidity needs. Liquidity can be obtained in two ways:
1. By allocating an appropriate percentage of the portfolio to bank deposits,
and
2. By requiring that bonds and equities purchased be highly marketable.
Tax considerations:
Since different individuals, depending upon their incomes, are
subjected to different marginal rates of taxes, tax considerations become
Risk is measured along the horizontal axis and increases from the left to
right.
Expected rate of return is measured on the vertical axis and rises from
bottom to top.
The line from 0 to R (f) is called the rate of return or risk less investments
commonly associated with the yield on government securities.
The diagonal line form R (f) to E(r) illustrates the concept of expected rate
of return increasing as level of risk increases.
TYPES OF RISKS:
Risk consists of two components. They are
1. Systematic Risk
2. Un-systematic Risk
1. Systematic Risk:
Systematic risk is caused by factors external to the particular company and
uncontrollable by the company. The systematic risk affects the market as a whole.
Factors affect the systematic risk are
economic conditions
political conditions
sociological changes
The systematic risk is unavoidable. Systematic risk is further sub-divided into three
types. They are
a) Market Risk
b) Interest Rate Risk
c) Purchasing Power Risk
A). Market Risk:
One would notice that when the stock market surges up, most stocks post higher
price. On the other hand, when the market falls sharply, most common stocks will
drop. It is not uncommon to find stock prices falling from time to time while a
companys earnings are rising and vice-versa. The price of stock may fluctuate
widely within a short time even though earnings remain unchanged or relatively
stable.
B). Interest Rate Risk:
Interest rate risk is the risk of loss of principal brought about the changes in the
interest rate paid on new securities currently being issued.
C). Purchasing Power Risk:
The typical investor seeks an investment which will give him current income and /
or capital appreciation in addition to his original investment.
2. Un-systematic Risk:
Un-systematic risk is unique and peculiar to a firm or an industry. The nature and
mode of raising finance and paying back the loans, involve the risk element.
Financial leverage of the companies that is debt-equity portion of the companies
differs from each other. All these factors Factors affect the un-systematic risk and
contribute a portion in the total variability of the return.
Managerial inefficiently
Technological change in the production process
Availability of raw materials
Changes in the consumer preference
Labour problems
The nature and magnitude of the above mentioned factors differ from industry to
industry and company to company. They have to be analyzed separately for each
industry and firm. Un-systematic risk can be broadly classified into:
a) Business Risk
b) Financial Risk
Business Risk:
Business risk is that portion of the unsystematic risk caused by the operating
environment of the business. Business risk arises from the inability of a firm to
maintain its competitive edge and growth or stability of the earnings. The
volatibility in stock prices due to factors intrinsic to the company itself is known as
Business risk. Business risk is concerned with the difference between revenue and
earnings before interest and tax. Business risk can be divided into.
PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS:
Various groups of securities when held together behave in a different
manner and give interest payments and dividends also, which are different to
the analysis of individual securities. A combination of securities held
together will give a beneficial result if they are grouped in a manner to
secure higher return after taking into consideration the risk element.
There are two approaches in construction of the portfolio of securities.
They are
Traditional approach
Modern approach
TRADITIONAL APPROACH:
Traditional approach was based on the fact that risk could be
measured on each individual security through the process of finding out the
standard deviation and that security should be chosen where the deviation
was the lowest. Traditional approach believes that the market is inefficient
and the fundamental analyst can take advantage fo the situation. Traditional
approach is a comprehensive financial plan for the individual. It takes into
account the individual needs such as housing, life insurance and pension
plans. Traditional approach basically deals with two major decisions. They
are
Determining the objectives of the portfolio
Selection of securities to be included in the portfolio
MODERN APPROACH:
Modern approach theory was brought out by Markowitz and Sharpe.
It is the combination of securities to get the most efficient portfolio.
Combination of securities can be made in many ways. Markowitz developed
the theory of diversification through scientific reasoning and method.
Modern portfolio theory believes in the maximization of return through a
combination of securities. The modern approach discusses the relationship
between different securities and then draws inter-relationships of risks
between them. Markowitz gives more attention to the process of selecting
the portfolio. It does not deal with the individual needs.
MARKOWITZ MODEL:
Markowitz model is a theoretical framework for analysis of risk and
return and their relationships. He used statistical analysis for the
measurement of risk and mathematical programming for selection of assets
in a portfolio in an efficient manner. Markowitz apporach determines for the
investor the efficient set of portfolio through three important variables i.e.
Return
Standard deviation
Co-efficient of correlation
Markowitz model is also called as a Full Covariance Model. Through this
model the investor can find out the efficient set of portfolio by finding out
the trade off between risk and return, between the limits of zero and infinity.
According to this theory, the effects of one security purchase over the effects
of the other security purchase are taken into consideration and then the
results are evaluated. Most people agree that holding two stocks is less risky
than holding one stock. For example, holding stocks from textile, banking
and electronic companies is better than investing all the money on the textile
companys stock.
Markowitz had given up the single stock portfolio and introduced
diversification. The single stock portfolio would be preferable if the
investor is perfectly certain that his expectation of highest return would turn
out to be real. In the world of uncertainty, most of the risk adverse investors
would like to join Markowitz rather than keeping a single stock, because
diversification reduces the risk.
ASSUMPTIONS:
All investors would like to earn the maximum rate of return that they
can achieve from their investments.
All investors have the same expected single period investment
horizon.
All investors before making any investments have a common goal.
This is the avoidance of risk because Investors are risk-averse.
Investors base their investment decisions on the expected return and
standard deviation of returns from a possible investment.
Perfect markets are assumed (e.g. no taxes and no transaction costs)
The investor assumes that greater or larger the return that he achieves
on his investments, the higher the risk factor surrounds him. On the
contrary when risks are low the return can also be expected to be low.
The investor can reduce his risk if he adds investments to his
portfolio.
An investor should be able to get higher return for each level of risk
by determining the efficient set of securities.
An individual seller or buyer cannot affect the price of a stock. This
assumption is the basic assumption of the perfectly competitive
market.
Investors make their decisions only on the basis of the expected
returns, standard deviation and covariances of all pairs of securities.
Investors are assumed to have homogenous expectations during the
decision-making period.
The investor can lend or borrow any amount of funds at the risk less
rate of interest. The risk less rate of interest is the rate of interest
offered for the treasury bills or Government securities.
Investors are risk-averse, so when given a choice between two
otherwise identical portfolios, they will choose the one with the lower
standard deviation.
Individual assets are infinitely divisible, meaning that an investor can
buy a fraction of a share if he or she so desires.
There is a risk free rate at which an investor may either lend (i.e.
invest) money or borrow money.
There is no transaction cost i.e. no cost involved in buying and selling
of stocks.
There is no personal income tax. Hence, the investor is indifferent to
the form of return either capital gain or dividend.
Markowitz, William Sharpe, John Lintner and Jan Mossin provided the basic
structure of Capital Asset Pricing Model. It is a model of linear general
equilibrium return. In the CAPM theory, the required rate return of an asset
is having a linear relationship with assets beta value i.e. undiversifiable or
systematic risk (i.e. market related risk) because non market risk can be
eliminated by diversification and systematic risk measured by beta.
Therefore, the relationship between an assets return and its systematic risk
can be expressed by the CAPM, which is also called the Security Market
Line.
Rp= Rf Xf+ Rm(1- Xf)
Rp = Portfolio return
Xf = The proportion of funds invested in risk free assets
1- Xf = The proportion of funds invested in risky assets
Rf = Risk free rate of return
Rm = Return on risky assets
Formula can be used to calculate the expected returns for different
situations, like mixing risk less assets with risky assets, investing only in the
risky asset and mixing the borrowing with risky assets.
THE CONCEPT
According to CAPM, all investors hold only the market portfolio and risk
less securities. The market portfolio is a portfolio comprised of all stocks in
the market. Each asset is held in proportion to its market value to the total
value of all risky assets.
For example, if Satyam Industry share represents 15% of all risky assets,
then the market portfolio of the individual investor contains 15% of Satyam
Industry shares. At this stage, the investor has the ability to borrow or lend
any amount of money at the risk less rate of interest.
Eg.: assume that borrowing and lending rate to be 12.5% and the return from
the risky assets to be 20%. There is a trade off between the expected return
and risk. If an investor invests in risk free assets and risky assets, his risk
may be less than what he invests in the risky asset alone. But if he borrows
to invest in risky assets, his risk would increase more than he invests his
own money in the risky assets. When he borrows to invest, we call it
financial leverage. If he invests 50% in risk free assets and 50% in risky
assets, his expected return of the portfolio would be
Rp= Rf Xf+ Rm(1- Xf)
= (12.5 x 0.5) + 20 (1-0.5)
= 6.25 + 10
= 16.25%
If there is a zero investment in risk free asset and 100% in risky asset, the return is
Rp= Rf Xf+ Rm(1- Xf)
= 0 + 20%
= 20%
If -0.5 in risk free asset and 1.5 in risky asset, the return is
Rp= Rf Xf+ Rm(1- Xf)
= (12.5 x -0.5) + 20 (1.5)
= -6.25+ 30
= 23.75%
EVALUATION OF PORTFOLIO:
Portfolio manager evaluates his portfolio performance and identifies the
sources of strengths and weakness. The evaluation of the portfolio provides a feed
back about the performance to evolve better management strategy. Even though
ii.
iii.
iv.
PORTFOLIO REVISION:
The portfolio which is once selected has to be continuously reviewed over a
period of time and then revised depending on the objectives of the investor. The
care taken in construction of portfolio should be extended to the review and
revision of the portfolio. Fluctuations that occur in the equity prices cause
substantial gain or loss to the investors.
The investor should have competence and skill in the revision of the
portfolio. The portfolio management process needs frequent changes in the
composition of stocks and bonds. In securities, the type of securities to be held
should be revised according to the portfolio policy.
An investor purchases stock according to his objectives and return risk
framework. The prices of stock that he purchases fluctuate, each stock having its
own cycle of fluctuations. These price fluctuations may be related to economic
activity in a country or due to other changed circumstances in the market.
If an investor is able to forecast these changes by developing a framework
for the future through careful analysis of the behavior and movement of stock
prices is in a position to make higher profit than if he was to simply buy securities
and hold them through the process of diversification. Mechanical methods are
adopted to earn better profit through proper timing. The investor uses formula
plans to help him in making decisions for the future by exploiting the fluctuations
in prices.
FORMULA PLANS:
The formula plans provide the basic rules and regulations for the purchase
and sale of securities. The amount to be spent on the different types of securities is
fixed. The amount may be fixed either in constant or variable ratio. This depends
on the investors attitude towards risk and return. The commonly used formula
plans are
i.
Average Rupee Plan
ii.
Constant Rupee Plan
iii. Constant Ratio Plan
iv.
Variable Ratio Plan
ADVANTAGES:
Basic rules and regulations for the purchase and sale of securities are
provided.
The rules and regulations are rigid and help to overcome human
emotion.
The investor can earn higher profits by adopting the plans.
A course of action is formulated according to the investors
objectives.
It controls the buying and selling of securities by the investor.
It is useful for taking decisions on the timing of investments.
DISADVANTAGES:
The formula plan does not help the selection of the security. The
selection of the security has to be done either on the basis of the
fundamental or technical analysis.
It is strict and not flexible with the inherent problem of adjustment.
The formula plans should be applied for long periods, otherwise the
transaction cost may be high.
Even if the investor adopts the formula plan, he needs forecasting.
Market forecasting helps him to identify the best stocks.
= (R)/N
SATYAM:
Year
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
Opening
Closing
share price share price
(P0)
(P1)
159.05
204.95
207.15
368.90
373.33
483.95
472.35
449.15
389.20
162.80
(P1-P0)
46.49
161.75
110.62
-23.2
-226.40
TOTAL RETURN
(P1-P0)/
P0*100
29.49
78.08
29.63
-4.91
-58.20
74.12
Year
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
Opening
Closing
share price share price
(P0)
(P1)
496.93
625.70
542.48
362.35
399.10
398.85
408.6
425.95
(P1-P0)
128.77
-180.13
-0.25
19.35
(P1-P0)/
P0*100
25.91
-33.13
-0.06
4.73
2007-2008
351.20
217.35
TOTAL RETURN
Average Return = -40.66/5 = -8.132
-133.85
-38.11
-40.66
JINDAL STEEL:
Year
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
Opening
Closing
share price share price
(P0)
(P1)
102.91
179.57
187.27
315.99
310.90
453.56
466.08
3071.85
2316.90
859.90
(P1-P0)
76.66
128.72
142.66
2605.77
-1467
TOTAL RETURN
(P1-P0)/
P0*100
74.49
68.73
45.88
559.082
-62.88
685.30
Year
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
Opening
Closing
share price share price
(P0)
(P1)
255.35
338.70
357.35
534.20
573.00
1085.55
1020.25
1024.50
782.65
496.30
TOTAL RETURN
(P1-P0)
83.35
176.85
512.55
4.25
-286.35
(P1-P0)/
P0*100
32.64
49.48
89.45
0.41
-36.58
135.40
Year
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
Opening
Closing
share price share price
(P0)
(P1)
256.38
384.95
375.35
693.13
898.75
1149.08
1258.63
2584.25
2064.10
1437.85
(P1-P0)
128.57
317.78
250.33
1325.62
-625.25
TOTAL RETURN
(P1-P0)/
P0*100
50.14
84.66
27.85
105.32
-30.34
237.63
Year
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
Opening
Closing
share price share price
(P0)
(P1)
0.89
2.48
2.38
7.62
12.30
29.88
232.38
488.25
378.65
44.25
TOTAL RETURN
(P1-P0)
1.59
5.24
17.58
255.87
-334.40
(P1-P0)/
P0*100
178.65
220.16
142.92
110.10
-88.31
563.52
AVERAGE RETURNS
SATYAM (IT)
14.824
RANBAXY (PHARMACY)
-8.132
137.06
ACC (CEMENTS)
27.08
BHEL (ELECTRONICS)
47.52
112.704
Series1
AC
C
BH
EL
UN
IT
EC
SA
TY
AM
R
AN
BA
XY
JI
ND
AL
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
CONCLUSION:
From the above graph we can understand that by investing in diversified
securities, we can diversify the risk of losses. Jindal and unitec are earning
higher returns, and others are getting average and negative returns.
1/n (R-R)2
SATYAM:
Year
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
Return
Avg.
(R)
Return (R)
29.49
14.82
78.08
14.82
29.63
14.82
-4.91
14.82
-58.20
14.82
(R-R)
14.67
63.26
14.81
-19.73
-73.02
TOTAL
(R-R)2
215.20
4001.82
219.33
389.27
5331.92
10157.54
=45.07
RANBAXY:
Year
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
Return
Avg.
(R)
Return (R)
25.91
-40.66
-33.13
-40.66
-0.06
-40.66
4.73
-40.66
-38.11
-40.66
TOTAL
(R-R)
66.57
7.53
40.6
45.39
2.55
(R-R)2
2114.16
56.70
1648.36
2060.25
6.50
5885.97
Return
Avg.
(R)
Return (R) (R-R)
(R-R)2
74.49
137.06 -62.57
3915.00
68.73
137.06 -68.33
4668.98
45.88
137.06 -91.18
8313.79
559.08
137.06 422.02 178100.88
-62.88
137.06 -199.06 39624.88
TOTAL
234623.53
Return
Avg.
(R)
Return (R)
32.64
27.08
49.48
27.08
89.45
27.08
0.41
27.08
-36.58
27.08
TOTAL
(R-R)
5.56
22.40
62.37
-26.07
-63.66
(R-R)2
30.91
501.76
3890.01
695.28
4052.59
43870.64
BHEL:
Year
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
Return
Avg.
(R)
Return (R)
50.14
47.52
84.66
47.52
27.85
47.52
105.32
47.52
-30.34
47.52
(R-R)
2.62
37.14
-19.67
57.8
-77.92
TOTAL
(R-R)2
6.86
1379.37
386.90
3340.84
6071.52
11185.49
Year
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
Return
Avg.
(R)
Return (R)
178.65
112.70
220.16
112.70
142.92
112.70
110.10
112.70
-88.31
112.70
TOTAL
(R-R)
65.95
107.46
30.22
-2.6
-24.39
(R-R)2
4349.40
11547.65
913.24
6.76
594.87
17411.77
AVERAGE RISK
SATYAM
45.07
RANBAXY
34.31
JINDAL
216.62
ACC
93.67
BHEL
47.29
UNITEC
59.01
EC
UN
IT
BH
EL
Series1
AC
SA
TY
AM
R
AN
BA
XY
JI
ND
AL
250
200
150
100
50
0
CONCLUSION:
From the above graph we can understand that Jindal & Acc are getting
higher risk and others are average risk. By investing in diversified portfolio,
we can diversify the risk.
CALCULATION OF CORRELATION:
Covariance (COV ab) = 1/n (RA-RA)(RB-RB)
Correlation Coefficient = COV ab/a*b
i.RANBAXY (RA) & ACC (RB)
YEAR
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
(RA-RA)
66.57
7.53
40.6
45.39
2.55
(RB-RB)
(RA-RA) (RB-RB)
5.56
370.13
22.40
168.72
62.37
2532.22
-26.07
-1183.31
-63.66
-61.11
TOTAL
1826.65
(RA-RA)
2.62
37.14
-19.67
57.8
-77.92
(RB-RB)
(RA-RA) (RB-RB)
65.95
172.79
107.46
3991.06
30.22
-594.42
-2.6
-150.28
-24.39
1744.62
TOTAL
5163.77
(RA-RA)
14.67
63.26
14.81
-19.73
-73.02
(RB-RB)
(RA-RA) (RB-RB)
-62.57
-917.90
-68.33
-4322.55
-91.18
-1350.37
422.02
-8326.45
-199.06
-14535.36
TOTAL
-29452.63
(RA-RA)
66.57
7.53
40.6
45.39
2.55
TOTAL
2080.32
(RA-RA)
2.62
37.14
-19.67
57.8
-77.92
TOTAL
5319.60
(RA-RA)
5.56
22.40
62.37
-26.07
-63.66
TOTAL
6278.98
(RA-RA)
5.56
22.40
62.37
-26.07
-63.66
TOTAL
7585.08
(RA-RA)
5.56
22.40
62.37
-26.07
-63.66
TOTAL
-5895.26
(RA-RA)
66.57
7.53
40.6
45.39
2.55
TOTAL
6246.19
YEAR
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
(RA-RA)
14.67
63.26
14.81
-19.73
-73.02
TOTAL
972.42
(RA-RA)
66.57
7.53
40.6
45.39
2.55
TOTAL
(RA-RA)
-62.57
-68.33
-91.18
422.02
-199.06
TOTAL
-10466.85
YEAR
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
(RA-RA)
65.95
107.46
30.22
-2.6
-24.39
TOTAL
10045.18
YEAR
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
(RA-RA)
65.95
107.46
30.22
-2.6
-24.39
TOTAL
5319.6
Covariance (COV ab) = 1/5 (5319.6) = 1063.92
Correlation Coefficient = COV ab/a*b
a = 59.01; b = 47.29
= 1063.92/(59.01)(47.29) = 0.38
(RA-RA)
2.62
37.14
-19.67
57.8
-77.92
TOTAL
Covariance (COV ab) = 1/5 (6646.38) = 1329.27
Correlation Coefficient = COV ab/a*b
a = 47.29; b = 45.07
= 1329.27/(47.29)( 45.07) = 0.62
6646.38
b [b-(nab*a)]
a + b2 - 2nab*a*b
2
Wb = 1 Wa
CALCULATION OF WEIGHTS OF WIPRO & OTHE COMPANIES:
i.
a = 49.57
b = 51.54
nab = 0.98
51.54 [-(0.98*)]
Wa =
2 + 2 2(0.98)**
Wa = 152
106
Wa = 1.43
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-1.43 = - 0.43
ii.
a = 80.25
b = 73.09
nab = 0.82
Wa =
73.09 [73.09-(0.82*)]
+ 2 2(0.82)**
2
Wa =
533
2163
Wa = 0.24
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-0.24 = 0.76
iii.
a = 26.00
b = 41.62
nab = -0.43
Wa =
41.62 [-(-0.43*)]
+ 2 2(-0.43)**
2
Wa = 2198
1477
Wa = 1.49
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-1.49 = -0.49
iv.
a = 51.54
b = 80.25
nab = 0.68
Wa =
80.25 [80.25-(0.68*)]
+ 2 2(0.68)**
2
Wa = 3628
3471
Wa = 1.04
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-1.04 =0.04
v.
a = 49.57
b = 80.25
nab = 0.92
Wa =
80.25 [80.25-(0.92*)]
+ 2 2(0.92)**
Wa = 2781
1577
Wa = 1.76
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-1.76 = -0.76
CALCULATION OF WEIGHTS OF ACC & OTHER COMPANIES:
i. ACC (a) & HEROHONDA (b)
a = 49.57
b = 73.09
nab = 0.78
Wa =
73.09 [73.09-(0.78*49.57)]
+ 2 2(0.78)**
Wa = 2516
2148
Wa = 1.17
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-1.17 = -0.17
a = 49.57
b = 26.00
nab = 0.08
Wa =
26.00 [26.00-(0.08*49.57)]
+ 2 2(0.08)**
Wa =
573
2927
Wa = 0.19
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-0.19 = 0.81
iii. ACC (a) & DR REDDY (b)
a = 49.57
b = 41.62
nab = 0.74
Wa =
41.62 [41.62-(0.74*49.57)]
+ 2 2(0.74)**
Wa =
206
1136
Wa = 0.18
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-0.18 = 0.82
iv. ITC(a) & HERO HONDA (b)
a = 51.54
b = 73.09
nab = 0.70
Wa =
73.09 [73.09-(0.70*51.54)]
+ 2 2(0.70)**
2
Wa =
2706
2724
Wa = 0.99
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-0.99 = 0.01
CALCULATION OF WEIGHTS OF DRREDDY & OTHER
COMPANIES:
v. DRREDDY (a) & ITC (b)
a = 41.62
b = 51.54
nab = 0.79
Wa =
51.54 [51.54-(0.79*41.62)]
2 + 2 2(0.79)**
Wa =
962
999
Wa = 0.96
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-0.96 = 0.04
vi. DRREDDY (a) & HEROHONDA (b)
a = 41.62
b = 73.09
nab = 0.43
Wa =
73.09 [73.09-(0.43*41.62)]
+ 2 2(0.43)**
2
Wa =
4034
4458
Wa = 0.90
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-0.90 = 0.10
vii.
a = 41.62
b = 80.25
nab = 0.75
Wa =
80.25 [80.25-(0.75*41.62)]
+ 2 2(0.75)**
2
Wa =
3935
3162
Wa = 1.24
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-1.24 = -0.24
a = 51.54
b = 26.00
nab = -0.02
Wa =
26.00 [26.00-(-0.02*51.54)]
2 + 2 2(-0.02)**
Wa =
690
3386
Wa = 0.20
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-0.20 = 0.8
ix. HEROHONDA(a) & WIPRO(b)
a = 73.09
b = 26.00
nab = 0.20
Wa =
26.00 [26.00-(0.20*73.09)]
+ 2 2(0.20)**
Wa =
296
5258
Wa = 0.05
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-0.05 = 0.95
CALCULATION OF WEIGHTS OF BHEL & WIPRO
a = 80.25
b = 26.00
nab = -0.21
Wa =
26.00 [26.00-(-0.21*80.25)]
+ 2 2(-0.21)**
2
Wa =
1114
7992
Wa = 0.14
Wb = 1 Wa
Wb = 1-0.14 = 0.86
CALCULATION OF PORTFOLIO RISK:
RP
a = 33.09
b = 56.09
= 2/3
= 1/3
Nab = 0.98
RP = (2/3)2(49.57)2+( 2(0.51.54)2+2(49.57) * * (2/3)*(1/3)
2505
ii.
= 50.04
BHEL (a) & HEROHONDA (b):
a = 80.25
b = 73.09
= 2/3
= 1/3
nab
RP
a = 41.62
b = 26.00
= 2/3
= 1/3
nab = 0.43
(2/3)2(41.62)2+(1/32(26.00)2+2(41.62) * *(2/3)*(1/3)
647
iv.
= 74.91
WIPRO (a) & DR REDDY (b):
RP =
0.82
(2/3)2(80.25)2+(1/32(73.09)2+2(80.25) * * (2/3)*(1/3)
5613
iii.
= 25.43
ITC (a) & BHEL (b):
a = 51.54
b = 80.25
= 1/3
= 2/3
nab = 0.68
RP =
(1/3)2(51.54)2+(2/32(80.25)2+2(51.54) * *(2/3)*(1/3)
4434
v.
66.58
a = 49.57
b = 80.25
= 2/3
=1/3
nab = 0.92
RP =
(2/3)2(49.57)2+(1/32(80.25)2+2(49.57) * * (2/3)*(1/3)
4786
I.
= 69.18
vi.
a = 49.57
b = 73.09
= 2/3
= 1/3
nab = 0.78
RP =
(2/3)2(49.57)2+(1/32(73.09)2+2(49.57) * * (2/3)*(1/3)
2944 = 54.25
vii.
a = 49.57
b = 26.00
= 2/3
= 1/3
nab = 0.08
RP =
(2/3)2(49.57)2+(1/32(26.00)2+2(49.57) * * (2/3)*(1/3)
1226 = 35.01
viii.
a = 49.57
b = 41.62
= 2/3
= 1/3
nab = 0.74
RP =
(2/3)2(49.57)2+(1/32(41.62)2+2(49.57) * * (2/3)*(1/3)
1972 = 44.40
ix.
a = 51.54
b = 73.09
= 2/3
= 1/3
nab
= 0.70
RP =
(2/3)2(51.54)2+(1/32(73.09)2+2(51.54) * *(2/3)*(1/3)
2949
II.
x.
= 54.30
a = 41.62
b = 51.54
= 1/3
= 2/3
nab = 0.79
RP =
(1/3)2(41.62)2+(2/32(51.54)2+2(41.62) * * (2/3)*(1/3)
2135
xi.
= 46.2
DRREDDY (a) & HEROHONDA (b):
a = 41.62
b = 73.09
= 1/3
= 2/3
nab = 0.43
RP =
(1/3)2(41.62)2+(2/32(73.09)2+2(41.62) * *(2/3)*(1/3)
3172
xii.
= 56.32
DRREDDY (a) & BHEL (b):
a = 41.62
b = 80.25
= 1/3
= 2/3
nab = 0.878
RP =
(1/3)2(41.62)2+(2/32(80.25)2+2(41.62) * *(2/3)*(1/3)
4197
III.
xiii.
= 64.78
a = 51.54
b = 26.00
= 2/3
= 1/3
nab = -0.02
RP =
(2/3)2(51.54)2+(1/32(26.00)2+2(51.54) * *(2/3)*(1/3)
1281
xiv.
= 35.79
HEROHONDA (a) & WIPRO (b):
a = 73.09
b = 26.00
= 2/3
= 1/3
nab = 0.20
RP =
(2/3)2(73.09)2+(1/32(26.00)2+2(73.09) * *(0.67)*(0.33)
2646 = 51.44
IV.
a = 80.25
b = 26.00
=2/3
=1/3
nab = -0.21
RP =
(2/3)2(80.25)2+(1/32(26.00)2+2(80.25) * *(2/3)*(1/3)
2778
= 52.7
CONCLUSION
BIBILOGRAPHY
WEB REFERENCES
http://www.nseindia.com
http://www.bseindia.com
http://www.economictimes.com