Anda di halaman 1dari 135

Capital Markets Day

Strategic Plan 2016-19


November, 18th 2015

Capital Markets Day


Agenda
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Opening remarks

Francesco Starace

Strategic update

Francesco Starace

Key financials

Alberto De Paoli

Summary

Francesco Starace

Renewable Energies

Francesco Venturini

Global Infrastructure & Networks

Livio Gallo

Global Generation

Enrico Viale

Global Trading

Claudio Machetti

Closing remarks

Francesco Starace

Q&A session
1

Opening remarks
Enel today1
Enel Group
Investor Relations

North America
Capacity: 2.1 GW

Italy
Capacity: 30.8 GW
Networks: 1.14 mn km
End users: 31.6 mn
Free customers: 9.9 mn

Mexico & Central America


Capacity: 1.0 GW

Iberia
Capacity: 23.5 GW
Networks: 0.32 mn km
End users: 11.9 mn
Free customers: 12.3 mn

Latin America
Capacity: 17.6 GW
Networks: 0.32 mn km
End users: 15.0 mn
Africa
Capacity: 0.01 GW
India
Capacity: 0.2 GW

Enel Group
Capacity: 89.5 GW
Networks: 1.86 mn km
End users: 61.2 mn
Free customers: 22.3 mn

East Europe
Capacity: 14.2 GW
Networks: 0.09 mn km
End users: 2.7 mn
Free customers: 0.1 mn

Global diversified operator


1.
2.

Data as of 30th September 2015


Presence with operating assets

Countries of presence2

Opening remarks
Enel today1
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Leading network
operator
44% of Group EBITDA

61 mn end users
38 mn smart meters
40 bn RAB2

Leading retail
business
11% of Group EBITDA

Leading renewable
operator

Balanced generation
portfolio

12% of Group EBITDA

32% of Group EBITDA

10.6 GW installed

78.9 GW installed

56 mn power customers
Hydro3

Renewables
32%

9%

6 mn gas customers

6%

Nuclear

18%

CCGT

~89.5 GW
Oil
& Gas

16%
19%

Coal

Ideally positioned to capture opportunities in all segments


1.
2.

Data as of 30th September 2015


As of 31st December 2014

3.

Including EGP Hydro operations

Progress against 2015-19 Plan


Key pillars of strategy announced in March 15
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Operational efficiency
-10% cash costs 2014-19

Industrial growth

+6.7 bn cumulative 2015-19 EBITDA

Active portfolio management


5 bn capital recycling over 2015-19

-3% expected in FY2015

2015 growth EBITDA target on track


65% of growth EBITDA in 2017 addressed

1.9 bn finalized by 2015


>2 bn in execution

Shareholder remuneration
2015-19 DPS CAGR +17%

2015 DPS min. 0.16 /sh ca. +14% yoy

Strategic update
Global scenario evolution
Enel Group
Investor Relations

What has changed

Demand

Commodities

FX

OECD: decoupling of GDP and electricity demand


Non-OECD: increasing pro-capita consumption as
main driver

Lower global demand growth

Significant overcapacity in oil and coal supply


Gas price less correlated to oil in Europe

Commodities prices in line with


consensus
Lower power prices in Italy &
Spain

Increasing pressure on emerging markets

Weaker currency exchange rates


Chile, Colombia and Brazil
devaluation

Stress test on business plan


5

Strategic update
Evolving strategy
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Efficiency

Growth

Simplification

Value drivers
and efficiency

Flexibility
in capital allocation

Reducing group complexity

Gross margin optimisation


at global level

Ability to adapt to
evolving scenario

Enhanced integration
among business lines

Efficiency levers larger


than expected

Wide range of options across


technologies and countries

Streamlining corporate structure

Accelerating value creation


6

Strategic update
Key pillars: accelerating on March 15 strategy
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Operational efficiency
2

Industrial growth

2019 opex savings target increased by 30%


Maintenance capex further cut of 0.8 bn
Increasing growth capex by 2.7 bn in 2016-19
Rebalancing by technology and geography

Group simplification
4

Active portfolio management

EGP integration and Latam restructuring

Increasing by 1 bn to fund growth and drive


returns

Shareholder remuneration

Dividend policy confirmed


7

Strategic update
Key pillars: revised targets
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Operational efficiency
2

Industrial growth
3

Group simplification
4

Active portfolio management


5

Shareholder remuneration
8

Strategic update
Operational efficiencies: opex evolution (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Opex by business3

Opex evolution1
Networks

58.5

-18%

47.9

March 15 Plan

2019

-12%

/end user

9.3

0.5

0.2

(1.4)

2014

(0.3)

Renewables
8.3

76.0

-18%

-8%
2019

2014

Conventional
Generation4

March 15 Plan
-1.1 bn

k/MW

Staff
2014

CPI &

FX 2

Growth Efficiency Disposals

2019

62.0

k/MW

43.9

-10%

39.3
-7%
2019

2014
24%

-8%

22%

-10%

% of Total
Fixed Costs

2014

2019

Additional savings and strong acceleration in trajectory


1.
2.

Total fixed costs in nominal terms (net of capitalizations). Adjusted figure net of accruals. Impact from acquisitions is not included
Of which CPI +0.6 bn and FX -0.4 bn
3. In nominal terms
4. 2014 figure restated for delta perimeter

Strategic update
Operational efficiency: focus on opex (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

2019 efficiency target

Headcounts (n. 000)


-14%

Procurement

Other external
costs
25%

10%
IT

10%

69.0

59.5

1.4 bn
25%
Personnel

30%

Technical
optimisation
2014

2019

A next level efficiency plan


10

Strategic update
Key pillars: revised targets
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Operational efficiency
2

Industrial growth
3

Group simplification
4

Active portfolio management


5

Shareholder remuneration
11

Strategic update
Industrial growth: main criteria
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Progress in 2015

Decreasing business risk profile:


no merchant exposure

All new projects approved backed by


long term PPAs

Increasing optionality based


on project size and diversification

Average size of 150 MW across 7 countries

Significant flexibility in total spending


Average time to EBITDA <2 years
and high level of self financing
Pursuing new business opportunities

15 projects of 160 mn on average

11 projects approved with COD in 2016-17


Leveraging on our more advanced
infrastructure base to provide enhanced
services
12

Strategic update
Industrial growth: capex plan (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Total capex

Growth capex by business


28.5

26.6

17.0

+2.7
14.3

+19%

Growth capex by geography

3%
9%

14.3
2%
17%

-36%

32%

+29%

11.5

49%

+30%

Plan update
2016-19

March'15 Plan
2016-19

17.0

90%

17.0
1%

14.3

95%

12%

1%

12%
19%

34%

1%

21%
25%

20%

-0.8
12.3

March'15 Plan
2016-19

-7%

Renewables1
Retail

Growth
Maintenance

Networks
Other

53%

Plan update
2016-19
Generation
Regulated and
quasi-regulated

48%

41%

March'15 Plan
2016-19

Plan update
2016-19

Latam
Italy
East Europe

RoW 2
Iberia

Increasing and rebalancing growth capex


1.
2.

Inclusive of 1.3 bn optional growth capex in renewables


Mainly North America and new countries (Asia and Africa)

13

Strategic update
Industrial growth: areas of additional growth
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Growth capex 2016-19


vs March 15 (bn)

What has changed

+2.7

Smart investment in mature and resilient


markets

Acceleration of digital meters roll-out in Italy

+1.7

New markets and higher focus on solar

+1.3 GW auctions in Brazil and South Africa


+0.8 GW in US, Latam and new countries

+2.01

Revision of conventional generation


pipeline

Shorter time to EBITDA


Lower capex in Latam

-1.0

Flexibility in capital allocation


1.

Inclusive of 1.3 bn optional growth capex in renewables

14

Strategic update
Industrial growth: growth EBITDA (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Key drivers

Cumulative growth EBITDA2

Growth EBITDA

60-65% of 2017 growth EBITDA


already addressed

2.6

Renewables

0.11

2.4
1.4

Spread over WACC >200 bps

Networks

29%

7.2 bn 49%

0.8

1.3

0.4

Generation

Average time to EBITDA <2 years


2015

2016

2017

6.7 bn

11%

2019

11%

Retail

March 15 Plan

Upgrading growth thanks to shorter time to EBITDA


1.
2.

Growth from 1.3 bn of optional capex


Cumulative 2015-19

15

Strategic update
Industrial growth: operational targets upgrade1
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Additional growth
vs March 15

Conventional
generation

Networks

Retail

Renewables

+21 mn 2nd generation


digital meters

+2.5 mn customers
+22.6 TWh sold2

+2.1 GW additons

+3.6 mn end users


+30 mn smart meters

+4.7 mn new customers in


power & gas free market

-0.1 GW additons

+9.2 GW3 additions

+0.6 GW additions in Latam


0.4GW under construction at 2019

Total 2019 Capacity: 17

GW5

Total 2019 Capacity: 66 GW5

Total Group capacity

2014
End users (mn)

38% Total renewables

Smart meters (mn)

46
37

61
2014

2019

Free Customer base (mn)

Hydro4 31%

65
2019

1. Incremental data refers to 2015-19 period


2. In Italy

21.5
2014

26.2
2019

52% Total renewables


Renewables
7%
5% Nuclear

~96 GW
Oil 22%
& Gas

18%

17% CCGT

Hydro4

Renewables
18%

Oil
& Gas 14%

Coal

3. Including 0.9 GW additional capacity from optional capex


4. Including EGP Hydro operations

33%

5. Net of disposals

~83 GW4

Coal 13%

4% Nuclear

18% CCGT

16

Strategic update
Industrial growth: new business opportunities
Ultra-broadband in Italy
Current context1

Enel Group
Investor Relations

Enel strategy

6%

Leverage on the widespread power distribution


network covering ~85% of the population
Roll-out a national and future-proof fiber network at a cost
advantage (up to ~60% of infrastructure re-utilization)

2%

64%

Set up of a NewCo open to all interested parties


to offer wholesale services to the market
in a non-discriminatory way

22%
Italy

Average EU

Coverage > 100Mbps


Coverage > 30Mbps
1. Source: Italian Strategy for the Ultra-broadband, March 2015; Infratel, 2014

Potential to replicate in other countries


where Enel has a presence

17

Strategic update
Key pillars: revised targets
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Operational efficiency
2

Industrial growth
3

Group simplification
4

Active portfolio management


5

Shareholder remuneration
18

Strategic update
Group simplification
Enel Group
Investor Relations

EGP integration

Latam
restructuring

Upgrade medium/long-term growth prospects


First step in the structural change of the generation portfolio
Gaining synergies and further flexibility

Alignment with group strategy based on country/business


Maximise efficiencies and simplify governance

Increasing economic interest and reducing group complexity


19

Strategic update
EGP integration: compelling rationale
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Upgrade medium/long-term growth prospects

Group growth capex 2016-19

Fully exploit global growth opportunities: +9.2 GW in 2015-19


>50% of total group growth capex and growth EBITDA

Other
businesses 47%

85% of generation growth capex

17.0 bn

Synergies

53%

Mitigating merchant risk within the Group

Renewables

Improved energy management capability


Vertical integration with networks: smart grids and micro grids
Enhanced retail offering

Gaining further flexibility


Increased flexibility in asset rotation within the Group
Higher optionality with good quality pipeline of small-mid size projects
Shorter time to EBITDA < 2 years

Generation growth capex 2016-19


Conventional
generation

15%

10.7 bn
85%

Renewables

Driving structural change of generation portfolio


20

Strategic update
EGP integration: transaction structure
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Current structure

Post transaction structure

Partial non proportional demerger

Free float
31.7%

Key features

68.3%

New Enel shares to be issued


100%

100%

Exchange ratio set at 0.486


100%

EGP
International

EGP
International

Withdrawal right price at 1.78/sh


Limit set at 300 mn

21

Strategic update
Latam restructuring
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Country-based model in Latam


Pure Chilean group

Latam investment vehicle

Objectives

Simplify corporate structure


60.6%

>50.0%
Enersis
Americas

Enersis
Chile
99.1%

Align strategic interests


60.0%

Chilectra

Endesa
Chile

Dx

Gx

EBITDA1 0.8 bn
1.

2014 pro-forma figures

ARG

BRA

COL

PE

Gx
Dx

Gx
Dx

Gx
Dx

Gx
Dx

Set a new industrial strategy


and management focus

EBITDA1 2.3 bn

22

Strategic update
Latam restructuring
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Key highlights
Exchange ratio range for the Americas holdings merger: 2.3-2.8 of Enersis Americas for each share of
Endesa Americas; 4.1-5.4 of Enersis Americas for each share of Chilectra Americas
Limit to withdrawal right: Enersis Americas 6.73%, Endesa Americas 7.72%

BoDs decided on the


transaction and summoned
EGMs1

10th Nov 2015

EGMs to vote spin-offs2 and


reference exchange ratio
for the merger

Spin-offs
effective

18th Dec 2015

1st Quarter 2016

Resulting entities
start trading
independently
1.
2.
3.
4.

EGMs to
approve the
merger

2nd Quarter 2016

60 days of trading + 30
days prior to the EGMs3

Merger of Enersis
Americas effective

3rd Quarter 2016

Withdrawal right period (up


to 30 days after the EGMs)4

EGMs of Enersis, Endesa Chile and Chilectra


Spin-offs approved on the basis of the pro-forma balance sheets as of September 30th, 2015
Exercise price of withdrawal right equal to the weighted average price of the 60 trading days preceding the 30th trading day prior to the EGM; except Chilectra which will be at book value
Dissenting/absent shareholders may exercise their withdrawal rights up to 30 days after the EGM and sell their shares to the Company

23

Strategic update
Latam restructuring
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Efficiencies
Opex & SG&A reduction
Cash management

Tax optimisation

Yearly savings by 2019


of 360-380 mn

Dividend policy

Industrial growth

Chile

Chile

1.4 bn total capex 2016-19


60% dedicated to growth

Base case payout to increase


gradually from 50% to 70%

Americas
3.8 bn total capex 2016-19
40% dedicated to growth

Shorter time to EBITDA


increased flexibility & optionality

Americas

50% payout

Flexibility on use
of free cash flow

Proposed dividend policy subject to completion of reorganisation


24

Strategic update
Key pillars: revised targets
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Operational efficiency
2

Industrial growth
3

Group simplification
4

Active portfolio management


5

Shareholder remuneration
25

Strategic update
Active portfolio management
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Strategic fit

Decreasing business risk profile


Capital recycling to drive higher returns
Optimising economic interests across portfolio

Flexibility

Crystallising value through disposals


Providing additional resources to fund growth

Acceleration to support strategic repositioning


26

Strategic update
Key pillars
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Operational efficiency
2

Industrial growth
3

Group simplification
4

Active portfolio management


5

Shareholder remuneration
27

Strategic update
Shareholder remuneration policy confirmed
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Dividend policy

Transition phase
Minimum DPS (/sh)

50%

55%

60%

65%

65%
0.18
0.16

2015

2016

2017

2018

Accelerating returns

1.

Including the impact of EGP integration

2019

2015

20161

Short-term certainty

28

Capital Markets Day


Key financials
CFO Alberto De Paoli

November, 18th 2015

Key financials
Evolving strategy
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Efficiency

Growth

Simplification

Value drivers
and efficiency

Flexibility
in capital allocation

Reducing group complexity

Managerial actions
Optimisation of power
and gas margin

Growth from additional capex

Acceleration on opex savings

Active portfolio management

Procurement and logistics

New businesses

EGP integration

Latam restructuring
Retail business

30

Key financials
Global scenario evolution
Enel Group
Investor Relations

What has changed vs March 15 Plan1

Demand

Lower global demand growth


Lower GDP growth in Latam

Commodities
& prices

Commodities prices in line with consensus

Italy -2.1%; Spain -1.9%


Brazil -13%; Peru -9%

Coal -15%; Brent -9%; Gas -4%


Lower power prices: Italy and Spain -6%

Devaluation of Latam currencies

FX

Weaker currency exchange rates

EUR/BRL 26%; EUR/COP 17%;


EUR/CLP 7%

Stress test on business plan


1.

Calculated as average differences vs. March 15 Plan

31

Key financials
2016-19 cumulative EBITDA evolution (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

64

(2.4)
1.5

(1.8)

0.5

0.8

64

Active
portfolio
mgmt

Plan
update

1.7
(0.5)

March '15
Plan

FX

Price &
demand

Regulatory

Energy
margin
& retail

Efficiency

Growth

Managerial actions mitigating negative macro headwinds


32

Key financials
Operational efficiency (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

-22%

Maintenance

capex1

-16%
3.6

3.4

Cash costs
3.1

800 mn savings
in 2019 vs. 2014

2.8
-14%
-10%

2014

2015

2016

2019

12.9
12.5
11.6

-10%

11.1

-7%

Opex2
9.3

~1 bn savings
in 2019 vs. 2014

2014

9.1

8.5

8.3

2015

2016

2019

2015

2016

2019

March '15 Plan


2014

Additional savings and strong acceleration in trajectory


1.
2.

Net of perimeter effect


Total fixed costs in nominal terms (net of capitalizations). Adjusted figure net of accruals. Impact from acquisitions is not included

33

Key financials
EBITDA evolution: retail (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

+31%

Main business drivers


0.3

0.5

(0.5)

0.2

2.1

1.6

2015

Customer
base

Efficiency

New
services

Unitary
margin

Free
customers

>15% in power and gas

Volumes
sold

+20% in power and +30% in gas

Cost to
serve

~5% reduction

New
Services

+0.3 bn in B2C and B2B segments

2019

34

Key financials
Active portfolio management
Enel Group
Investor Relations

~6 bn

March15
Plan
5 bn

Under
Execution
2 bn

Already
Completed
1.9 bn

Source of funds

~6 bn

>2

Additional
growth capex

Higher investment in networks


and renewables

<2

Minorities
buy-outs

Supporting Group simplification

>2

Acquisitions

Selective opportunities in networks

Use of funds

Cash neutral and 2% Group net income accretion over the plan period
35

Key financials
EGP integration
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Acceleration of growth with +1.3 bn of optional capex and +0.9 GW


installed in 2019

EBITDA
at regime

NPV

150 mn

0.25 bn

0.1 bn

30 mn

0.4 bn

Growth
Increasing flexibility in active portfolio management

Increasing synergies with networks, conventional generation and retail


Integration

Optimising Group financial resources


Lowering merchant exposure

To be implemented post
Integration

Net present value >0.8 bn


36

Key financials

Latam restructuring (bn)


Enel Group
Investor Relations

EBITDA evolution 2015-19

3.1

(0.6)

0.8

0.3

0.4

Main drivers

4.0

Efficiency
Opex savings of ~0.3 bn
Industrial growth
Increased flexibility and optionality
Shorter time to EBITDA
Free cash flow
Flexibility on usage

2015

Scenario &
regulatory

Energy
margin
& retail

Efficiency

Growth

2019

37

Key financials
EBITDA evolution (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

+15%
+3%

+12%
1.2

15.0

2015

(1.5)

Scenario &
regulatory

1.0

15.5

0.1

Growth

2017

Scenario &
regulatory

0.2

17.3

Active
portfolio
mgmt 2

2019

0.3

0.7
(0.2)

0.5

Active
portfolio
mgmt 1

Energy
margin
& retail

Efficiency

Efficiency

Growth

Further acceleration on efficiency and growth


1.
2.

Of which -0.4 from disposals and +0.2 from acquisitions


Of which +0.2 from acquisitions

38

Key financials
EBITDA evolution (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

EBITDA by geography1
2015
21%

15

EBITDA by business1

2019

21%
8%

17

2019
43%

46%

23%

21%

2%
16%

11%
38%

2015

17

15
31%

36%

12% 1%

11%
Regulated and
quasi-regulated

70%
Italy
Iberia

Latam
East Europe

Renewables
S&H

16%

28%

11%

75%

Networks

Generation2

Retail

Renewables

S&H

Regulated and quasi-regulated

Decreasing business risk profile


1.
2.

Including Holding and Services


Including retail in Iberia

39

Key financials
Group net income evolution (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

+45%
+29%

+13%

1.8

0.2

(0.2)

(0.5)
(0.4)

0.5

0.2

(0.2)

EBITDA

Financial
expenses

D&A

3.0

Group net
income
2015

(0.1)

Income tax

(0.2)

0.2

4.4

3.4

EGP
Group net
Minorities Integration income
2017

EBITDA

Financial
expenses

D&A

Income tax

Group net
Minorities income
2019

40

Key financials
Financial plan and strategy
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Actions completed

Further actions

Repayment of 3.5 bn bonds at maturity

Further repayment of debt at maturity


with excess cash 4 bn in 2016

Liability management
bond exchange (~1.5 bn)
Renegotiation of credit lines (11.6 bn)
and guarantees (1.1 bn)
Pre-hedge operations 2017-19 (~6 bn)
Total annual savings 300 mn

Additional pre-hedge operations


up to ~ 50% of total refinancing needs 2017-20 (2bn)
Improvement of financial flexibility
Increasing short term funding instruments

Further liability and other managerial actions

Target of ca. 0.5 bn reduction in financial expenses on debt by 2019


41

Key financials
Financial plan and strategy
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Gross and net debt (bn)

Net financial expenses on debt (bn)


-18%

~(9.5)
57.0
13.1
6.5

53.5
11.0
4.5

6.0%

5.1%
51.2

4.9%
5.0%

47.5

8.5
4.5

6,5
4.0

2.8

4.0%

2.6

2.5

2.3
3.0%

37.4

38.0

38.2

37.0

2.0%

1.0%

Net debt/
EBITDA

2014

2015

2016

2019

2.4x

2.5x

2.6x

2.1x

0.0%

2014

2015

Net debt

Net financial exp.

Financial receivables
Cash

Cost of gross debt

2016

2019

42

Key financials
Breakdown of gross debt cost evolution
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Gross debt breakdown


~7%
~20%
~19%

~7%
~27%

Cost of gross debt

2014

2019

Hybrid bonds

6.3%

6.5%

Emerging markets2

6.7%

7.9%

Banks and other

2.5%

2.6%

Bonds1

5.4%

3.9%

Average cost of debt

5.1%

4.9%

~20%
~54%

~46%

2014

2019

Bonds1

Emerging markets2

Banks and other

Hybrid bonds

Financial strategy more than offsetting higher increasing emerging markets cost
1.
2.

It exclude emerging markets and hybrid


It includes Latam and EGP perimeters

43

Key financials
Cash flow generation: cumulative 2016-19 (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

64

(4)

(9)
(10)
41

(12)
29

(14.5)

14.5

(12)

2.5
Recurring
EBITDA

Provisions 1 NWC and Income taxes Financial


other
paid
expenses
paid

FFO

Maintenence FFO after


Net growth
capex 2 maint. Capex
capex 3

FCF

Net
dividends
paid

Net FCF

3.5

(3.5)

Cash-in from
disposals 3

Net cash
available

Acquisitions

Active portfolio management and free cash flow funding additional growth
1.
2.

Accruals, releases, utilizations of provisions in EBITDA (i.e. personnel related and risks and charges). Inclusive of bad debt provision accruals equal to 2.3 bn
Including maintenance capex from acquisitions
3. Net of funds from active portfolio management worth ~2.5 bn

44

Capital Markets Day


Summary
CEO Francesco Starace

November, 18th 2015

Capital Markets Day


Group targets
Enel Group
Investor Relations

2015

2016

2017

CAGR (%)
2015-19

Recurring EBITDA (bn)

15.0

14.7

15.5

~+4%

Net ordinary income (bn)

3.0

3.1

3.4

~+10%

Minimun DPS

0.16 /sh

0.18 /sh

Pay-out

50%

55%

60%

+7%

FFO/Net Debt

23%

23%

26%

~+6%

~+17%

46

Capital Markets Day


Accelerated Strategic Plan
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Leveraging on flexibility and accelerating efficiency

Increased investments in stable return activities

Major steps in Group simplification

Focus on attractive shareholders return

Enel leads the energy transition


47

Capital Markets Day


Renewable Energies
Francesco Venturini

November, 18th 2015

Renewable Energies
Energy sector evolution
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Traditional model

New model

Transmission and distribution

From centralised to distributed energy


49

Renewable Energies
Growth engine
Enel Group
Investor Relations

1
Cost competitiveness

2
Simplicity in installation and operation
3
Scalability and modular approach
4

Energy independence and


reduction of price volatility

5
Environmental sustainability

50

Renewable Energies
Evolution of competitive scenario
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Large utilities

YieldCos

The new scenario

Renewables
Generation

2007

Feed-in tariffs

2010

2013

Tenders

2016

2019

Integration and
market consolidation

51

Renewable Energies
Enel Green Power: a global leader1
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Total installed capacity by area


Rest of
World

Europe
6.2 GW in operation
0.2 GW in execution

2%

59%

North America
2.1 GW in operation
0.5 GW in execution
0.2 GW contracted

20%

10.6 GW

Europe
19%

North
America
Latin
America

Net production by technology


Rest of World
0.2 GW in operation
0.5 GW in execution
0.7 GW contracted

Latin America
2.1 GW in operation
1.7 GW in execution
0.6 GW contracted

Solar

Hydro
2%

33%

33.1 TWh
Countries of presence

Countries of interest

1. Data as of 30/09/2015. Production is LTM (01/10/2014-30/09/2015) and includes 182GWh of biomass

Wind

46%

19%

Geo

52

Renewable Energies
Key business drivers
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Operational efficiency

Lean organisation and processes coupled with


increasing economies of scale

Crucial role of forefront IT systems (big data


management) and best practice sharing

Scheduled and predictive maintenance along


with proactive energy management

Industrial growth

Strong cash-flow generation available for growth

Extensive and high quality pipeline coupled with


increasing cost competitiveness supporting
sizeable capex plan

Best positioned to capture current growth


momentum

Active portfolio management

Systems integration & new businesses

Distinctive greenfield developer capabilities as


a lever to monetise projects in excess

Hybrid systems as a tool to improve performance


and abate costs

Divestment of operating assets as a tool to


support growth and in countries with reduced
strategic fit

Storage as a grid flexibility agent and as a key


component in isolated grids

Selective value creative consolidation options

Platform based distributed generation

53

Renewable Energies
Operational efficiency
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Opex1 (K/MW)

Key levers

-20%

Strong economies of scale

76
61

Largest share of new capacity added in


technologies with lower unit cost

Maintenance contracts optimization


2014

2019

Operating excellence as a key competitive advantage


1. Nominal values . 2019 includes economies of scale from growth associated to 1.3bn optional capex

54

Renewable Energies
Operational efficiency: focus on O&M
Enel Group
Investor Relations

O&M costs/MW1

Lost production factor


5.0%

2.2%
2.0%
2.0%

4.0%

1.9%
1.8%
1.8%
2.7%
2.0%
2.0%

2.0%
1.0%
1.0%
Historical

5.0%

3.3%

2015 preclosing

Hydro

84
80
80

100
90
90
85

Geo

Wind

72
70
70

Solar

73
65

50
Old 2019 target

100

100

100

Hydro

Geo

Wind

Solar

New 2019 target

1. O&M Costs/MW normalized on 2011 for hydro, wind, geo and on 2013 for solar. Excluding taxes, insurance and contribution

55

Renewable Energies
Industrial growth (1/3)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Planned additional capacity (GW)

Growth capex by area

Projects in execution & contracted

7.1

North
America

1.0

0.5

6.8

9%

5.6
Rest of
World
70%

2015-19
planned
additions

COD
9M 2015

COD
4Q 2015E

2016-19
additions
(old plan)

60%

Europe

26%

7.7 bn
54%
11%

Latin
America

2016-19
additions
(new plan)

Visible growth ahead


56

Renewable Energies
Industrial growth (2/3)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Planned additional capacity with option (GW)

2.8

6.8

0.9

Optional capex by area

North
America

7.7
25%

4.0

1.3 bn
Rest of
World

In execution
& contracted

2016-19
residual
target

2016-19
additions
(new plan)

Integration
option

53%
22%

Latin
America

2016-19
additions
with option

>50% of additions of plan w/option already secured


57

Renewable Energies
Industrial growth (3/3)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Pipeline by technology

Pipeline by COD

Solar

Wind

72%

2%
3%

>2018

North
America

50%

23%

21 GW

2018

Pipeline by area

16%
13%

Hydro
Geo

21 GW
32%

5%

2016

2017

Rest of
World
Europe

21%

21 GW
50%
13%

Latin
America

Spread over WACC 200-300 bps


58

Renewable Energies
Active portfolio management
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Expected flows (bn)

Key drivers

Tactical approach to create value


2.5

1.3
1.2

Consolidation options
0.6

2015-19
planned
disposals

2015
secured
transactions

Residual
disposals

2016-19
planned
consolidations

2015-19 net flow of 1.9 bn confirmed

From stockpilers to asset managers: 1.3 bn raised in 2015


59

Renewable Energies
Systems integration & new businesses
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Storage

Isolated grids

Distributed generation

Catania 1 - Solar PV 10MW


1MW/2MWh nickel chloride battery

Ollage Chile: 250kW micro-grid


integrated with solar and wind

Integrated control systems

Potenza Pietragalla - Wind 18MW


2MW/2MWh lithium battery

Advanced development stage


in Kenya and Peru

End-to-end proposition
with turnkey solutions

Additional wind site


4MW/1MWh lithium titanate battery

Testing phase with


battery system

Launching pilot retail offer


in South Africa

At the forefront of innovative processes, products and business solutions


60

Renewable Energies
EBITDA evolution (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

2015-19 EBITDA1

1.1

0.1

(0.3)

Main drivers by area

0.1

2.7

Growth as a key factor in Latin America,


North America and new countries

Efficiency mitigating costs associated with


additional capacity and structure

1.7

Planned phasing out of incentives


in Europe and the US

FY 2015

Growth Efficiency Scenario Portfolio FY 2019


mgmt

1. Including contribution from 1.3bn optional growth capex. 2015 is net of 3Sun consolidation effect

Growth associated to consolidation actions


compensating dilution from disposals

61

Renewable Energies
2016-19 Targets
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Planned additional capacity1


North
America

Rest of
World
Europe

North
America

16%
31%

Rest of
World

7.7 GW
11%

Total capex1

42%

Latin
America

11%

1.7
28%

2.0

2.3

9.7 bn
47%

Europe

EBITDA (bn)

14%

Latin
America

2015E

1. Including contribution from 1.3bn optional growth capex. Total capex also includes maintenance of 700mn

2016

2017

62

Capital Markets Day


Global Infrastructure & Networks
Livio Gallo

November, 18th 2015

Global Infrastructure & Networks


General overview1
Enel Group
Investor Relations

End users2 (mn)

Key indicators
Networks

1.9 mn Km
19%

Smart meters installed


Headcount
RAB2

1.
2.

Data as of 30th September 2015


As of 31st December 2014

Energy distributed2 (TWh)

23%

4%

38 mn

61

33,552
40 bn

52%

24%

3%

Italy
Iberia
East Europe
Latam

410

19%

54%

64

Global Infrastructure & Networks


General overview: operational data
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Brazil: 7% of total EBITDA


6.6 mn end users
23 TWh Energy distributed
Interruption: 830 min/y

Italy: 50% of total EBITDA


31.6 mn end users
222 TWh Energy distributed
Interruption: 39 min/y

2014

Colombia: 6% of total EBITDA


2.8 mn end users
14 TWh Energy distributed
Interruption: 942 min/y

EBITDA
80% Europe
20% Latam

7.4 bn

Argentina: 2% of total EBITDA


2.5 mn end users
19 TWh Energy distributed
Interruption: 2,091 min/y

Capex
70% Europe
30% Latam

2.5 bn

Chile: 4% of total EBITDA


1.8 mn end users
16 TWh Energy distributed
Interruption: 202 min/y

Opex
75% Europe
25% Latam

Peru: 3% of total EBITDA


1.3 mn end users
7 TWh Energy distributed
Interruption: 375 min/y

3.6 bn

Iberia: 25% of total EBITDA


11.9 mn end users
96 TWh Energy distributed
Interruption: 70 min/y

Romania: 3% of total EBITDA


2.7 mn end users
14 TWh Energy distributed
Interruption: 238 min/y

65

Global Infrastructure & Networks


Key pillars
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Operational excellence and best practice sharing

Operational efficiency
Synergies in processes and systems
2

Network digitalisation

Industrial growth

Enabling new market services


Business development and acquisition

66

Global Infrastructure & Networks


Operational efficiency: quality of service
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Minutes of interruption

2014

Losses

Latam

Latam

Europe

-40%

-15%

-5%

2019

2014

2019

2014

2019

Targeting significant network performance improvements


67

Global Infrastructure & Networks


Operational efficiency (1/2)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

-15%

Maintenance capex1

2.0

Cash costs
1.9
1.7

1.7

2016

2019

Optimization of capital allocation


Risk based asset management

-14%
5.6

2014

2015

5.3
5.0

4.8

-14%

3.6

3.4

Opex2
Operational efficiencies
Economies of scale
Quality of service

2014

2015

3.3

2016

3.1

2014

2015

2016

2019

2019

800 mn of savings to 2019


1.
2.

Net of perimeter effect


Total fixed costs in nominal terms (net of capitalizations). Adjusted figure net of accruals. Impact from acquisitions is not included

68

Global Infrastructure & Networks


Operational efficiency (2/2)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Cash Cost1 (K/end user)

Opex1 (K/end user)

Maintenance capex1 (K/end user)

-19%

-18%

-21%

-12%

92.1
74.6
58.5
48.0
33.6

2014

2019

2014

2019

2014

26.7

2019

Europe

89.4

-19%

72.0

56.5

-20%

45.4

32.8

-19%

26.6

Latam

100.9

-19%

82.0

64.9

-15%

55.1

36.0

-25%

26.9

1.

In nominal terms

March 15 Plan

69

Global Infrastructure & Networks


Industrial growth: capex (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

By activity (2016-19)

By geography (2016-19)
Iberia

Maintenance

20%
54%
12.6 bn

46%

Italy

51%

5%

12.6 bn

24%

East
Europe

Latam

Growth

Growth plan 5.8 bn of which 50% under execution


70

Global Infrastructure & Networks


Industrial growth
Enel Group
Investor Relations

+1.3 bn growth capex


in 2016-19

Growth capex by geography


East Europe

+28 mn smart meters1

Quality &
22%
Efficiency

Latam 22%

Smart Meters

5.8 bn

5.8 bn 49%

Growth EBITDA in 2016-19 of 1.9 bn


Of which 21 mn of 2nd generation smart meters in Italy
Regulated WACC

6%
Italy

26%

Strong focus on new


technologies in Europe

1.
2.

Smart Grid

3%
Iberia

Average time to EBITDA


< 2 years

Growth capex by project

Connection & Tx

41%

30%

Spread over WACC 200-300 bps2


71

Global Infrastructure & Networks


Industrial growth: operational data
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Distributed Energy (TWh)

Customers (mn)
+6%

+7%

64.7

2.7

62.2
2.7

60.8

3%

3%

3%

440

420

410

2.9

19%

19%

21%

14.6

15.7

17.1

23%

24%

24%

11.9

12.1

12.6

54%

54%

52%

31.6

31.6

32.1

2014

2016

2019

2014

2016

2019

Italy
Iberia

East Europe
Latam

Organic growth
+30 TWh of distributed energy and +3.9 mn customers
72

Global Infrastructure & Networks


Industrial growth: business development drivers
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Key drivers
Stable regulatory outlook and
long-term concessions
M&A opportunities

Fast time-to-EBITDA

Ongoing scouting

Synergies with EGP

Areas of future scouting

Pipeline of 40 million customers across 15 nations


73

Global Infrastructure & Networks


Global infrastructure digitalisation
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Remote Control Latam: Spread >300 bp


Cloud application
Quality of service Latam: Spread >300 bp
Medium and low voltage upgrade

2nd gen. Smart Meters Italy


Up to 32 mn customers
Smart Meters Iberia: Spread >300 bp
Target 12 mn customers

Investment projects: Spread >250 bp


Distribution and transmission lines

Smart Meters Romania: Spread >300 bp


Up to 2.6 mn customers

Workforce Management

Smart Grids and E-mobility Projects


Remote Control and Automation
Quality of Service

Automation and Smart Metering

Global convergence of technologies and know-how


to foster the evolution towards smart grids
74

Global Infrastructure & Networks


Italy: 2nd generation smart meters
Enel Group
Investor Relations
TRADER
ESCO
AGGREGATORS

Key data 2016-19

Main benefits

Capex: 1.8bn

Service quality: >10 mn

2nd generation smart meter: 21mn

Operational excellence: >50 mn

Growth EBITDA: 0.3 bn

Network losses reduction: >110 mn

CENTRAL
SYSTEM

TELECOM GRID
(GPRS/3G/LTE)

CONCENTRATOR
169 MHz
PLC
METER

PLC

The most advanced remote metering management system


75

Global Infrastructure & Networks


EBITDA evolution
Enel Group
Investor Relations

2015-19 EBITDA (bn)

7.1

0.5

0.6

(0.3)

(0.5)

Main drivers by geoghraphy

Italy: 1.5% CAGR 2016-19 post regulatory


review and -12% opex/end user
7.4

Iberia: 1.6% CAGR 2015-19


-12% opex/end user
Latam: +5.4% CAGR 2015-19
+2 mn end users and -22% opex/end user
FY 2015

Growth

Efficiency Scenario Regulatory FY 20191

Strong cash flow generation from regulated business


Growth supporting a sustainable development
1.

Excluding acquisitions

76

Capital Markets Day


Global Generation
Enrico Viale

November, 18th 2015

Global Generation
General overview
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Capacity1 (GW)
By geography

Production2 (TWh)

By technology

16%

78.9

24%

36%

28%

21%
21%

By technology

25%

34%

27%

78.9

By geography

251

251

7%
24%

36%

Italy
Iberia

East Europe
Latam

20%

Oil&Gas
CCGT
Coal

18%

23%

17%
14%

9%

Hydro
Nuke

Balanced technological and geographical mix


1.
2.

As of September 30, 2015


As of December 31, 2014

78

Global Generation
Main projects and competitive positioning
Enel Group
Investor Relations

El Quimbo - 400 MW hydro plant - 2.2 TWh expected yearly production

Colombia

30% of revenues secured through long term capacity payment


Strong commitment with local communities
7.9 GW decommissioned since 2013

Italy
Future-E

innovative reutilization projects


continuous dialogue with all stakeholders
excellent performance of Spanish generation fleet

Iberia

flexibilization activities performed in the CCGT fleet

coal plants environmental refurbishment

79

Global Generation
Key pillars
Enel Group
Investor Relations

1
Maintenance capex optimization

Operational efficiency
Personnel costs reduction

2
Improve development projects profitability

Industrial growth
Reduction of capex intensity

80

Global Generation
Operational efficiency levers
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Key levers

Installed capacity (GW)

Decommissioning or disposal
for low profitability assets

-23%

EBITDA per MW (m/MW)1


+28%

86
74

66

27

Best practices alignment

3
25

17

11
15

16

Leverage on Global Procurement

21

12

2014

Oil&Gas
CCGT
Coal
1.

Net of capacity closure in Italy

58

2019

2014

2019

Hydro
Nuke

81

Global Generation
Operational data
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Capacity (GW)

Production (TWh)
251

86

225

2014

200

2016

2019

2014

Hydro
Coal
36%

14%

20%
13%

Nuke
16%

9%

Oil&Gas

CCGT

31%

Coal

30%

17%

CCGT

29%

66

2016

2019

Hydro

Hydro
Coal

24%

71

Hydro
38%

Coal
6%

Nuke

17%
5%

Nuke

12%

Oil&Gas

19%

CCGT

24%

Oil&Gas

23%

CCGT

Nuke

17%

Oil&Gas

82

Global Generation
Operational efficiency (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

-36%

Maintenance capex1
1.1

Cash costs

1.1

0.9

0.7

Optimized plant
outage program

-23%

2014

2015

2016

2019

4.4

4.2

3.7

3.4

2015

2016

2019

-21%

Opex2
3.4

O&M best practices


External benchmarking
Personnel cost optimization
2014

3.1

2015

2.8

2.7

2016

2019

2014

Continuous Cash Cost optimization in all technologies


1.
2.

Net of perimeter effect


Total fixed costs in nominal terms (net of capitalizations). Adjusted figure net of accruals. Impact from acquisitions is not included

83

Global Generation
Operational efficiency: focus on opex
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Cash Cost1 (k/MW)

Opex1 (k/MW)

Maintenance Capex (k/MW)

-14%
-11%

-10%

57.2
49.3

-25%

-7%

43.9
39.3

-21%

13.3
10.0

2014

2019

2014

2019

2014

2019

March 15 Plan

-2% of lean organization and


company structure
1.

In nominal terms. 2014 figure restated for delta perimeter

-2% of O&M best practices and


alignment to benchmark

-11% of personnel cost optimization

84

Global Generation
Capex plan (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

By activity (2016-19)

By geography (2016-19)
Italy

Maintenance

12%

65%
4.5 bn

50%

4.5 bn

32% Iberia

Latam

35%
Growth

6%
East Europe

45% of growth capex plan already under execution


85

Global Generation
Industrial growth
Enel Group
Investor Relations

0.4 GW of additional capacity


82% under PPA/regulated regime

Growth capex by geography


Italy

0.4 GW under construction in 2019

9%

Capex intensity reduction


from 3 mn/MW to 1.6 mn/MW

1.6 bn

14% Iberia

77%

Shorter average time to EBITDA


from 4.4 years to 3.2 years

Growth EBITDA in 2019 of 150 mn

Latam

Spread over WACC +200 bps


86

Global Generation
Development projects pipeline
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Old pipeline refocused


excluding new coal projects

Projects pipeline review (GW)


21.0

14.3

Abandoned large environmentally


unfriendly projects
6.0

3.6

Dynamic shift from Latam


to new countries

9.1
0.9
0.9

Europe & Russia


Africa & Asia

Origination focused on gas


and hydro technologies

7.2

Latam & Mexico

Pipeline
FY2014

1H 2014
projects
cancellation

Projects
added

2H 2014
projects
cancellation

Current
pipeline

87

Global Generation
Environmental targets and sustainability
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Enel Group CO2 targets1

Global Generation CO2 targets1

Rebalancing mix with


low impact technologies

522
<500

418
396

501

395

<380

491

<350

2012

1.

Key actions

2013

CO2 g/kWh

2014

2020

0.8 bn in 2016-19
for environmental retrofitting

<480

2020
March '15
Plan

2012

2013

2014

2020

2020
March '15
Plan

Creating shared value


with local communities

88

Global Generation
EBITDA evolution
Enel Group
Investor Relations

2015-19 EBITDA (bn)1

4.3

0.1

0.2

0.5

(0.4)

Main drivers by geography

4.8

Italy: operational efficiency programs

Iberia: gross margin optimization


and operational efficiency
Latam: capacity
additions and higher hydraulicity
FY 2015

1.

Growth Efficiency Scenario Portfolio FY 2019


mgmt

Net of non recurring items

89

Capital Markets Day


Global Trading
Claudio Machetti

November, 18th 2015

Global Trading
General overview
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Power sales (TWh)

Coal purchased (Mt)

23%

Gas managed (bcm)

24%

32%

23%

28%
36%

309

23%

40

29
10%

4%
18%

Italy
Iberia

36%

43%

East Europe
Latam

Geographically and technologically diversified portfolio


91

Global Trading
General overview
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Global Trading Business Line


Local Markets/Assets

Local Units

Global Units

EM Italy

Global Gas

EM Iberia

Global Fuel

EM Latam

Global
Front Office

EM Eastern
Europe

Middle Office
& Risk
Management

Global Markets

Integrated portfolio management and global optimisation of merchant risk


92

Global Trading
Key drivers
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Merchant risk centrally managed

Integration

Lower profit at risk thanks to netting across portfolios


New organisation to support centralised strategy

Global
commodities
strategy
3

Gas contracts renegotiation


Maximisation of margin leveraging scale, competencies
and global footprint
Italy: maximising opportunities in all markets

Power strategy

Spain: leverage short position and service opportunities

Latam: new tolling contracts to mitigate hydro risk


hedging to be adapted to each market

93

Global Trading
Key drivers: integration
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Estimated Profit at Risk @2016


-35%

Italy
Iberia

East Europe
Latam

Countries
Countries and
on
"stand
alone"
stand-alone
basis
basis

Global Trading

Significantly improved risk / return profile


94

Global Trading
Key drivers: global commodities portfolios
Enel Group
Investor Relations

1.

Coal portfolio

Gas portfolio

Geographically diversified sourcing

A leading European gas portfolio

Includes Long Term contracts with suppliers flexibility to select different points of origin

95

Global Trading
Key drivers: power price and spread evolution
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Power price1

Clean spark spread1

58

56
54
52
50
48
46
44
42
40
Jan-14

Apr-14

Italy

Jul-14

Oct-14

Jan-15

Apr-15

Jul-15

Oct-15

7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
-7
-8
-9
-10
-11
-12
-13
-14
-15
Jan-14

Clean dark spread1


24

22
20

18
16
14

12
10

8
6
4
2
Apr-14

Jul-14

Oct-14

Jan-15

Apr-15

Jul-15

Oct-15

0
Jan-14

Apr-14

Jul-14

Oct-14

Jan-15

Apr-15

Jul-15

Oct-15

Spain

Healthier spread trends


1.

CAL 16 (EUR/MWh)

96

Global Trading
Key drivers: hedging strategy
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Italy

Spain

100%

85%

60%

2015
54

2016
48

2015
60

100%

85%

2016

2015

2016

2018

56

86

87

85

Peru

Brazil

100%

100%

100%

100%

90%

75%

2018

2015

2016

2018

2015

2016

2018

50

53

53

52

60

56

59

90%

80%

80%

2015

2016

58

46
Unhedged

100%
40%

Colombia

Hedged

Chile

Average price /MWh

97

Global Trading
Managerial actions on gross margin
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Global gas portfolio reshape and restructuring

50-55%

Power wholesale trading optimisation

30-35%

Fuel purchase and logistic optimisation

5-10%

Innovative hedging contracts & commercial activity in developing markets


Cumulative 2016-19 contribution on gross margin equal to 1.6-1.7 bn

5-10%

100%

Significant support to gross margin growth


98

Global Trading
Global gas portfolio reshape and restructuring
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Key market references

Gas managed

/MWh
35

$/bbl
120

30

100

39%

25

80

20
60

44%

29 bcm

15
40

10
5

20

0
Jul/13

17%
Jan/14

Jul/14

BRENT ICE ($/bbl) DX


PSV (/MWh) SX

Jan/15
TTF (/MWh) SX

Jul/15
Spot
Long Term expiring 2016-2020
Long Term expiring >2020

Effective management of price reviews


99

Global Trading
Power wholesale trading optimisation
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Plants flexibility
improvement

Ancillary services
optimisation

Start up time and ramp-up rates improvement for short activations on


CCGT
Reduction of technical minimum to increase modulation band on large
coal
Reservoirs management improved to optimise availability for real time
opportunities

Qualification of large plants for primary and secondary reserve


Development of cross-border ancillary services markets

Short term trading


development

Catch market opportunities on short term products (thanks to higher


liquidity) to optimise generation fleet portfolio
Investment in advanced meteorological models/skills to better capture
opportunities related to RES production

Full exploitation of energy and ancillary services opportunities


100

Global Trading
Fuel purchase and logistic optimisation
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Improvement of
negotiating power

Improvement in
quality flexibility

Full exploitation of economies of scale in negotiations with counterparts


Unique face vis--vis global suppliers

Value maximisation from contractual flexibility

Improvement of generation assets embedded flexibility

Cross country optimisation of international logistic management

Logistic optimisation

Full exploitation of embedded value in logistic assets (e.g., hubs,


warehouses)

All-round optimisation of coal supply management


101

Global Trading
Innovative hedging contracts & commercial
activity in developing markets

Enel Group
Investor Relations

Introduction of innovative hedging tools such as Tolling

Innovative hedging tools

Agreements/VPP in geographies hydro dependant


Upgrade of risk management/hedging strategies to better capture
market opportunities

Wholesale/Trading

Development of forward market in Colombia (financial derivatives on


power)
Start-up of wholesale trading activities in Brazil

Commercial activity
enforcement

Development of commercial activities in liberalised Brazilian market

Full leverage of experience and expertise of developed markets


102

Global Trading
Key take-aways
Enel Group
Investor Relations

We are a material global power and commodities business

Integration lowers our estimated profit at risk by -35%

Gas contract reshaping and restructuring will be a significant driver

We intend to fully exploit energy and ancillary services opportunities

Cumulative 2016-19 contribution on gross margin equal to 1.6-1.7 bn


103

Capital Markets Day


Closing remarks
November, 18th 2015

Capital Markets Day


Closing remarks
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Successful delivery of March 2015 Plan despite worsened scenario

Acceleration on efficiencies identified

Flexibility achieved to raise growth investments in low-risk activities

Simplification a key strategic pillar

Compelling plan for improved returns for shareholders


105

Capital Markets Day


Strategic update annexes
November, 18th 2015

Strategic update annexes


The strategic plan embeds our commitments to
United Nations Sustainable Development Goals
Enels positioning

Context
United Nations post-2015 Sustainable
Development Goals

Enel Group
Investor Relations

Access to Electricity: 3 million beneficiaries in Africa, Asia, Latam by 2020


Education: 400,000 beneficiaries by 2020
Social and economic development: 500,000 beneficiaries by 2020

Climate change : Carbon neutrality by 2050


CO2 specif ic emissions perf ormance and target of reduction
(gCO2/kWheq.)

618

28%

465
418

396

395

380

<350

Carbon
Neutrality
1990

2007

2012

2013

2014

2020
target

2020
new
target

2050

107

Strategic update annexes


Assumptions: commodities and prices
Enel Group
Investor Relations

March plan

Commodities

Plan update

Brent $/bbl
75

74
66

63
55

2017

49

2015

2016

21

2015
1.

2016

2017

52

52
47

45

2015

49

49
46

50

48
49

57
52

46

47

46

2015

2016

2017

43

2016

2017

Chile $/MWh

Colombia COP/KWh

11

22

19

55
52

52

CO2 /ton

21

19

84

60

Gas TTF /MWh

20

Spain /MWh

64

59
56

58

53

2016

ITA /MWh

63

60

2015

Power prices

Coal $/ton

69

49

Forward 1

92

19
7

2017

101

2015

2015 Forward value is the IVQ 15 average quote (data @ 9 Nov)

250

86
49

160

160

140

149

59
143

50

2016

2017

2015

2016

2017

2015

2016

2017

108

Strategic update annexes


Assumptions: macroeconomics and FX
Enel Group
Investor Relations

GDP
3.1%
0.60%

Electricity demand (yoy)

2.5%

2.40%

1.10%

2.1%
1.20%

1.20%

3.00%
2.9%

-1.20%

2015

2016
Spain
Italy

1.8%
1.7%
0.90%

1.40%

2017
Latam

2015

0.70%

Spain

2016
Italy

FX - EUR/BRL

FX - EUR/USD

3.60%

3.00%

2017
Latam

FX - EUR/COP
3,382

1.22
1.13

1.11

1.11
1.07

2015
1.
2.
3.

1.17

1.09

2016

1.15
1.13

2017

4.09
3,72
2.79

2015

4.65

3,159

5.29

3,375

3.049

4.25

4.42
3.00

2016

Argentina, Brazil, Chile (CIS), Colombia, Peru .GDP weighted by real levels
Argentina, Brazil, Chile (CIS), Colombia, Peru. Average growth weighted by Enels production
2015 Forward value is the IVQ 15 average quote (data @ 9 Nov)

2,825

3.30

2017

2015

2,785

2016

3,625
3,456
2,830

March plan
Plan update
Forward

2017

109

Strategic update annexes


Italy: targets
Enel Group
Investor Relations

EBITDA (bn)

Capex (bn)

~1.61
~0.1
~0.3

~1.71
~0.2
~0.2

~5.71

~5.81

~2.01
~0.2
~0.1

~1.2

~1.4

~1.4

~0.7

~0.7

~0.8

~3.5

~1.1

~1.3

~1.7

~3.8

~3.5

2015

2016

2017

2015

2016

Networks
1.

~5.81

Including Services

Conventional generation

2017

Retail
110

Strategic update annexes


Iberia: targets
Enel Group
Investor Relations

EBITDA (bn)

Capex (bn)

~1.21

~1.21

2016

2017

~3.11

~3.21

2015

2016

~3.21

~1.01

2015

1.

Including Services

2017

111

Strategic update annexes


Latam: targets1
Enel Group
Investor Relations

EBITDA (bn)

Capex (bn)

~3.31

~3.71

~1.4

~1.5

~1.8

~2.0

~2.2

2015

2016

~3.11

~1,91

~1.4

~1.61
~1.31

~0,9

~0,9

2015

~0.9
~0.7
2016

~0.7
~0.5

2017

Conventional generation
1.

Including Services

2017

Networks
112

Strategic update annexes


East Europe: targets1
Enel Group
Investor Relations

EBITDA (bn)

Capex (bn)

1.

~0.2

~0.2

~0.2

2015

2016

2017

Net of assets held for sale (Slovenske Elektrarne)

~0.4

~0.4

~0.4

2015

2016

2017

113

Strategic update annexes


Renewables: targets1
Enel Group
Investor Relations

EBITDA (bn)

Capex (bn)
~2.6

~2.6

~2.4

~2.0

~2.3

~1.72

2015

2016

1. Net of disposals
2. Net of 3Sun consolidation effect

2017

2015

2016

2017

114

Strategic update annexes


EBITDA evolution (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

+3%

+3%

15.0

2015

0.1

(0.8)

0.6

Global
Global
Renewables
Infrastructure Generation &
& Networks
Trading

0.1

Retail

0.5

Other 1

15.5

2017

15.0

0.0

0.0

2015

Italy

Iberia

0.5

(0.9)

0.6

0.3

15.5

Latam

East
Europe

Renewables

Other 1

2017

Further acceleration on efficiency and growth


1. Including EBITDA from acquisitions

115

Strategic update annexes


Industrial growth: capex plan 2015-2019 (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Growth capex by Business

Total capex
36.3

34.4
+3.1
18.3

+17%

Growth capex by Geography

21.4
18.3
2%
20%

21.4

30%

-23%

2%
13%

21.4
1%

31%

+23%

3%

18.3
4%

11%
18%
18%

11%
19%
23%

- 1.2

16.1
March'15 Plan
2015-19

-7%

14.9

48%

Plan update
2015-19

March'15 plan

Growth
Maintenance

1. Mainly North America and new countries (Asia and Africa)

+27%

53%

Plan update

Renewables

Networks

Retail

Other

Generation

49%

44%

March'15 plan

Plan update

Latam
Italy
East Europe

RoW 1
Iberia

116

Strategic update annexes


Capex plan 2015-2019 (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

36.3
14.9
7.8
3.4
4.4
2015
Maintenance
Growth

7.4

7.0

7.2
0.6

3.1

2.8

0.4

2.8

6.8
0.4

2.8

4.3

4.4

4.3

4.0

2016

2017

2018

2019

March 15 plan

Plan update

Cumulated 2015- 19

Cumulated 2015- 19

21.4

2015-19

41%
47%

36.3

34.4
53%

59%

117

Strategic update annexes


Operational efficiency: focus on maintenance
capex (bn)

Enel Group
Investor Relations

Conventional Generation
-4%

Maintenance capex

4.2

4.0

-7%
16.1
14.9

2015-19
March '15 Plan

2015-19
Plan update

Networks
-12%
9.8
2015-19
March '15 Plan

8.7

2015-19
Plan update

2015-19
March '15 Plan

2015-19
Plan update

118

Strategic update annexes


Cash flow generation: focus by country (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Italy

Iberia

2016-19 cumulative
14.4

2016-19 cumulative

4.6
9.6
9.8

3.2

2.6
7.0

2.0
5.1

6.6

Operating Maintanance FFO after


cash flow
capex
maintenance
capex

Growth
capex

Free
cash flow

Operating Maintanance FFO after


cash flow
capex
maintenance
capex

Growth
capex

Free
cash flow

119

Strategic update annexes


Cash flow generation: focus by country (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Latam1

East Europe

2016-19 cumulative
10.2

2016-19 cumulative
1.2

3.0
7.2

0.6

2.5
4.7

0.6

0.2
0.4

Operating Maintanance FFO after


cash flow
capex
maintenance
capex

Growth
capex

Free
cash flow

1. Cash Flow generation from current available assets (not including Acquisition Plan)

Operating Maintanance FFO after


cash flow
capex
maintenance
capex

Growth
capex

Free
cash flow

120

Strategic update annexes


Cash flow generation: focus by country (bn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Renewables
2016-19 cumulative
6.0

0.7

9.1
5.3
~1.3 optional capex

-3.8
Operating
cash flow

Maintanance
capex

FFO after
maintenance
capex

Growth
capex

Free
cash flow

121

Capital Markets Day


9M 2015 annexes
November, 18th 2015

9M 2015 results annexes


From EBITDA to Net Income(mn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

9M15 Reported

9M14
Reported
Restated1

% vs

9M15
Ordinary2

9M14
Ordinary2
Restated1

% vs

EBITDA

12,161

11,593

+4.9

11,888

11,461

+3.7

D&A

(5,853)

(4,453)

(4,248)

(4,407)

EBIT

6,308

7,140

7,640

7,054

(1,998)

(2,504)

(1,998)

(2,504)

36

49

36

49

4,346

4,685

5,678

4,599

Income tax

(1,424)

(2,070)

(1,745)

(2,071)

Net income3

2,922

2,615

3,933

2,528

Minorities

(833)

(668)

(1,292)

(668)

Group net income

2,089

1,947

2,641

1,860

Net financial charges

Net income from equity


investments using equity method
EBT

-11.7

-7.2

7.3

1. 2014 restated due to the application of IFRS 21


2. Continuing operations & including third parties. Excluding capital gains, losses and one-off items

+8.3

+23.5

+42.0

123

9M 2015 results annexes


Reported and ordinary EBITDA evolution (mn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

+4%

-1%
11,593

9M 2014
reported

132

11,461

Extraordinary 9M 2014 ordinary


items1

11,338

9M 2015 proforma

550

Release of
provisions 2

11,888

273

9M 2015 ordinary Extraordinary


items 3

12,161

9M 2015
reported

+5%
1.
2.
3.

9M14: +50 mn remeasurement SE Hydropower fair value, +82 mn Artic Russia.


Release of nuclear provision in Slokenske Elektrarne
9M15: +141 mn SE Hydropower capital gain, +132 mn 3Sun

124

9M 2015 results annexes


Group ordinary EBITDA (mn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

+4%
-1%

11,461

-87

Ordinary 9M
Global
2014
Infrastructure &
Networks

1.
2.
3.

+192

+26

-276

+22

Global
Generation
& Trading 1

Renewables

Retail

Other 2

Excluding release of nuclear provision in Slokenske Elektrarne


Other includes Service and Holding
Release of nuclear provision in Slokenske Elektrarne

11,338

9M 2015 proforma

+550

11,888

Release of
provisions 3

Ordinary
9M2015

125

9M 2015 results annexes


Group ordinary EBITDA (mn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

+4%
-1%

1.
2.

11,461

-468

+302

9M 2014

Italy

Iberia

+266

Latam

Excluding release of nuclear provision in Slokenske Elektrarne


Release of nuclear provision in Slokenske Elektrarne

-208

+26

-41

11,338

+550

11,888

East
Europe 1

Renewables

Other

9M 2015 proforma

Release of
provisions 2

9M 2015

126

9M 2015 results annexes


From Net Income to Net Ordinary Income (mn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

+781
EGP Romania
Enel Russia

2,089

SE

1,947

Change YoY

+7%

1.
2.
3.

2,641

-283

Group net
ordinary
income

Release of
provisions

2,358

417

273

Reported Group Impairment on net


net
income 1
income
9M14 (mn)

-229

91

+26

Extraordinary
items 2

-113

Pro-forma Group
net ordinary
income

1,860

1,860

+42%

+27%

9M15: 273 mn Slokenske Elektrarne, 417 mn Enel Russia and 91 mn EGP Romania. 9M14: Generation Italy 26 mn.
9M15: 139 mn SE Hydropower capital gain and 90 mn 3Sun
Release of nuclear provision in Slokenske Elektrarne

127

9M 2015 results annexes


EBITDA matrix (mn)
Global Generation &
Trading

Global Infrastructure &


Networks

Renewables

Retail

Services & Other

Enel Group
Investor Relations
TOT

9M15

9M14

9M15

9M14

9M15

9M14

9M15

9M14

9M15

9M14

9M15

Italy

747

1,026

2,726

3,047

971

791

114

71

4,558

Iberia

986

280

1,362

1,337

426

883

23

-5

2,797

Latam

1,312

1,236

1,033

838

-53

-48

2,292

77

64

97

-117

-1

174

-Brazil

112

133

298

341

-24

-8

386

-Chile

448

319

187

164

-29

-39

606

-Colombia

457

522

310

336

767

-Peru

218

198

141

114

359

East Europe

911

581

200

186

19

18

-5

-2

1,125

200

186

19

34

221

-Russia

120

279

-1

119

-Slovakia

788

296

789

-Other

-1

-19

-6

-4

-4

Renewables

1,470

1,312

1,470

Other

-81

42

-81

3,956

3,123

5,321

5,408

1,470

1,312

1,416

1,692

-2

58

12,161

-Argentina

-Romania

TOT

128

9M 2015 results annexes


Net ordinary free cash flow (mn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

11,888

- 1,388

- 2,256

-781

-2,334
5,128

-5,081

48

Ordinary
EBITDA

Provisions 1

9M14

11.5 bn

-1.4 bn

Ch. YoY

+4%

-1%

Working
Income taxes
Financial
capital change
paid
expenses and
and other
other charges
paid

FFO 2

-4.0 bn

-0.8 bn

-2.25 bn

-43%

-4%

+4%

-2,121

-2,073

Net dividend
paid

Net free
cash
flow 3

Capex

Free
cash
flow

3.0 bn

-4.0 bn

-1.0 bn

-1.8 bn

-2.7 bn

+70%

+27%

n.m.

+21%

+24%

Significant improvement in net free cash flow by year end


1.
2.

Accruals, releases, utilizations of provisions in EBITDA (i.e. personnel related and risks and charges). It includes bad debt provision accruals equal to 0.51 bn
Funds from operations after working capital change
3. Including SE that recorded a negative net free cash flow for -311 mn

129

9M 2015 results annexes


Net debt evolution (mn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

-1,9742

-1,8403
Dec 31,
2014

Net free cash flow

Extraordinary
activities

-2,073

+233

Sept 30,
2015

-39.843

Fx effect

Asset held
for sale 4

Sept 30, 2015 on


continuing
operations

-754

+1,240

-39.357

37,383
620

-38,003

Net debt reduction above expectations


1.
2.

Net debt of assets held for sale.


Calculated on net debt at 31 December 2014 net of asset held for sale.

3.
4.

Calculated on net debt including assets held for sale.


Eneop equal to 321 mn and Slovenske Elektrarne equal to 919 mn

130

9M 2015 results annexes


Debt maturity coverage
Enel Group
Investor Relations

~27.2

~21.8
Available
committed
credit lines

Cash

~13.5

~8.3

~8.1
~2.7

Short term

~5.4
< 3Q 2016

~0.6

~4.7

~7.0

~5.0

3Q 2016

2017

2018

2019

Long term

3Q 2015

After 2019

131

9M 2015 results annexes


Operational efficiency: cash cost (mn)
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Maintenance capex1
+4%

+10%

Cash Cost

2,036

1,959

0%
9M 2014

9M 2015

+198

8,635

6,675

-3%

1Q15 Adj.

2Q15 Adj.

-4%

-1%
6,570
9M 2014
Adjusted

9M 2014
Adjusted

-130
8,606

+8%

Opex2
-2%

-97

+2%

9M 2015
Adjusted

1H2015 (% change YoY)

3Q15 Adj.

9M 2015
Adjusted

Change YoY

Material improvement in the 3Q15


1.
2.

Gross capex. Reclassified as per new strategic plan criteria


Total fixed costs in nominal terms (net of capitalizations). Reclassified as per new strategic plan criteria

132

Capital Markets Day


Contact us
Enel Group
Investor Relations

Investor Relations Team (investor.relations@enel.com)


Tel. +39 06 8305 7975

Visit our website at:


www.enel.com (Investor Relations)
133

Disclaimer
Enel Group
Investor Relations
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Companys managements current views with
respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forwardlooking statements are based on Enel S.p.A.s (Enel) current expectations and projections about future events. Because
these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ
materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are
beyond the ability of Enel to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market
developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance
on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Enel does not
undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or
circumstances after the date of this presentation. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be
comprehensive and has not been independently verified by any independent third party.
This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not
contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Enel or any of its subsidiaries.
The securities referred to herein have not been registered and will not be registered in the United States under the U.S.
Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the Securities Act), and may not be offered or sold in the United States or to US
Persons unless such securities are registered under the Securities Act, or an exemption from the registration requirements
of the Securities Act is available. The Company has no intention to make any offer in the Unites States, Australia, Canada or
Japan or any other jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would require the approval of local authorities or
otherwise be unlawful.
Pursuant to Article 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing
the corporate accounting documents at Enel, Alberto De Paoli, declares that the accounting information contained herein
correspond to document results, books and accounting records.

134

Anda mungkin juga menyukai