statistical z-value for each characteristic. These inclusion of independent variables as in both
statistical tests were conducted according to cases there was only one independent variable
Hair (2010); the critical value for the significance to consider.
level of 0.05 was 1.96. Homoscedasticity All created sub models were then tested
was tested by a graphical test as well. Firstly, as a whole to meet the assumptions of linear
there was performed a regression analysis regression. To test the linearity, homoscedasticity
for every pair of independent and dependent and independence of residuals, a standard
variable. Secondly, the regression analysis residual plot for each dependent variable
output was used to create a scatter plot. The was utilizedthere. The above mentioned
homoscedasticity assumption is met if points assumptions were met if standard residuals
are distributed homogenously throughout the were distributed homogeneously throughout
scatter plot. Adding a trend line provide with the plot and showed stochastic behavior.
an extra proof of homoscedasticity. If this The normality assumption was also tested
trend line is a parallel to x-axis, it points to graphically, using normal probability plot for
the homoscedasticity of a tested independent whole sub models. If points in these plots did
variable. not differ significantly from the diagonal line,
the normality assumption was considered as
2.2 Model Estimation, Testing fulfilled. The model validation was realized
and Validation by the comparison of R2 and adjusted R2 and
To create a sub model between customer p-value analysis of the whole model.
satisfaction and its determinants there was used The models of relations between customer
the stepwise method of multiple regression satisfaction and loyalty and between customer
analysis. Independent variables were included loyalty and willingness to purchase additional
in the model if their calculated t-value 1.9462 products were validated by dividing the
(457 degrees of freedom, significance level at whole sample into two subsamples, creating
0.05). Sub models of relationships between alternative models for each of these subsamples
customer satisfaction and loyalty and between and then comparing the alternative models one
customer loyalty and willingness to purchase to another and to the original regression model
additional products were created by immediate as well.
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Tab. 3: Characteristics of the variables not included in the model in the first phase
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R 2
0.5577
Adjusted R 2
0.5546
Multiple correlation coefficient 0.7468
Residual standard deviation 0.4347
Regression equation
Independent variables Coefficient Std. Error rpartial t-value p-value VIF
(Constant) 0.2098
Customer acceptance of prices 0.2750 0.02987 0.4036 9.206 <0.0001 1.530
Financial needs recognition 0.1987 0.04071 0.2278 4.880 <0.0001 1.909
Quality 0.3335 0.04666 0.3242 7.148 <0.0001 1.815
Analysis of variance
F-ratio 182.8103
Significance level p<0.0001
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Even though the first variable to enter into over fitting as the difference between these two
the model was customer acceptance of prices, characteristics was minimal (0.5577 vs. 0.5546).
quality showed the most significant influence The created sub model can explain 55.57% of
on customer satisfaction in the final model. the variability of customer satisfaction. P-value
There was also found out that the effect of of the whole sub model is 0.0001 which points
multicollinearity was not substantial as the to the statistical significance of the sub model
highest Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) reached (the required p-value is 0.05).
the level of 1.909 (Hair, 2010). A graphical Our findings are in line with various papers
test of the whole model on the assumptions of preferring the SERVQUAL model (Ilyas et
linearity, homoscedasticity and independence al., 2013; Arbore & Busacca, 2009; Khan &
of residuals showed that all these assumptions Rizwan, 2014). In these papers, as well as
were met. The normality assumption was met in our research, the product quality proved
as well, judging from the normal probability plot to have a significant impact on customer
constructed for the whole sub model. satisfaction. On the other hand, our model
The model validation comparing R2 and excluded the variable trust what is contradictory
adjusted R2 eliminated the possibility of sample to the conclusions of Khan & Rizwan (2014)
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calculating its skewness, kurtosis and z-values potential (p-value < 0.0001). This conclusion
for these characteristics. The calculated was confirmed by the calculated t-value for
values are shown in Tab. 8. The skewness the independent variable. Being it 18.4201, it
characteristics exceeded the critical value significantly exceeds the critical value of 1.9462
meaning the independent variable showed (457 degrees of freedom, = 0.05).
abnormal distribution in this characteristic. Finally, the model of customer potential
Box-Cox transformation with the exponent of purchasing additional products was tested
= 1.15 did not lead to normal distribution to meet the linear regression assumptions as
either. Subsequently, the model was created a whole. The first three of them were tested
with the original, abnormal data taking into by a scatter plot. Judging from a clear linear
account the sufficient sample size. trend to be observed in the scatter plot, the
The regression model of relation between linearity assumption was met. Stochastic
customer loyalty and additional purchases behavior of standard residuals together with
potential can be found in Table 9. Considering their homogeneous distribution throughout
that p-value of the whole model was at lower the whole graph led to the conclusion about
level than the significance level (0.05), the homoscedasticity of the whole model. The
model is said to be statistically significant. The attempt to create a prediction of residuals was not
regression equation can be written as follows: successful what points out to the independence
of residuals the third assumption was thus
APP = 0.05667 + 0.5848 x CL, (3) met as well. The normality assumption was
tested by a normal probability plot. It was not
where: APP additional purchases potential, possible to see any strong deviations from the
CL customer loyalty. diagonal line concluding that the whole model
The p-value analysis showed the constant follows the normal distribution.
was not statistically significant (0.0513 > Also the model of the relation between
0.05). On the opposite, there was found customer loyalty and additional purchases
a statistically substantial relation between potential was validated by dividing the whole
customer loyalty and additional products sample into two subsamples, creating separate
Source: own
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regression models for these subsamples and relation between customer loyalty and higher
comparing them both to one another and to the banks profitability in every case.
original model. The characteristics of the newly
created models are to be found in Tab. 10. 3.4 The Final Model of Customer
All the characteristics of the newly created
Satisfaction Customer Loyalty
models (multiple R, R2, adjusted R2, standard
error) fall into the 95% confidence interval of Additional Purchases Potential
the original model what confirms there were The final model is depicted in Fig. 2. As it was
only marginal differences comparing these seen above, independent variables individual
models one to another and to the original model approach and trust did not meet the criteria
as well. The similarity of the models leads to to enter the model of customer satisfaction.
the conclusion that the original model is not Consequently, these variables are not included
characteristic only for a small specific sample in the final model what is the main difference
but it is generalizable to the whole population. between the proposed and the final model. As
The confirmed relation between customers for trust, the reason why it did not fit the criteria
loyalty and their potential of additional could be the fact that it is the basic factor
purchases is in accord with the studies of (Munari et al., 2013). Czech bank clients
Khan & Fasih (2014) and Gee et al. (2008). trust is generally at a high level: according to
Liang et al. (2009), Smith & Wright (2004) or the research of Ernst & Young, 96% of Czech
Al-Wugayan & Pleshko (2010) also state that bank customers trust their bank (Ernst & Young,
the direct consequence of customer loyalty 2014); our own research showed 88% level of
is higher profitability of a commercial bank. trust. The fact that clients trust their bank is
However, Kumar & Shah (2004) argue that thus given: although customers distrust leads
a bank has to build customer loyalty step to their dissatisfaction, this flow does not work
by step in order to obtain higher profits. The vice-versa. If clients believe their bank is a solid
first step is to develop behavioral loyalty; the partner, it does not influence their satisfaction.
second one is attitudinal loyalty and only the Regarding individual approach, this variable
third phase means connecting the banks was not included in the model because of its
profitability with customer loyalty. The authors relatively high level of correlation with financial
thus declare there does not have to be a direct needs acceptance (0.5976).
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Abstract
THE RELATIONSHIP AMONG CUSTOMER SATISFACTION, LOYALTY AND
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF COMMERCIAL BANKS
Jaroslav Bels, Lenka Gabov
DOI: 10.15240/tul/001/2016-1-010