The venture capital method assumes that a firm will undertake an Initial Public Offering
(IPO) at some point in the future. The future value of the firm is determined by
multiplying the earnings of the firm in the year of the IPO by the expected price/earnings
(P/E) ratio that the market will support. (The long-run P/E ratio of NYSE stocks is about
15.) This provides the expected future value of the firm. The present value of the firm is
then calculated using a risk adjusted discount rate. Discount rates of 50 to 100% (and
more) are frequently used in valuing start-up businesses to capture the inherently risky
nature of new ventures. Similarly, venture capitalists frequently demand an Internal Rate
of Return (IRR) of 100% (or more) in order to justify investing in a risky startup. (An IRR
of 100% is equivalent to doubling an investment every year.)
Instructions
Only enter data into green-shaded cells with green type-font
All valuation calculations fall out from these inputs
Company Name
Valuation -- Venture Capital Method
Assumptions Ref
Month of IPO 60 A
Forecast annualized earnings at IPO $ 5,927,400 B
P/E ratio at IPO 15 C
Calculations
Negotiations
D/12
A-C
B*C
H/(1+F)^G
E*(1+F)^G
I/H
I/E
(I/E)^(12/G)-1
sum(J)
1-M
Company Name
Valuation -- Venture Capital Method
Years 1 to 5
Assumptions:
Investor required IRR 100% A
P/E ratio at IPO or acquisition 15 B
Initial investment $1,000,000 C
D E F
Market G
Capitalizatio Required Future
Venture Capital Method Year Net Income n Value (Investor)
income stmt B*E FV(F,D)
IPO in Year 1 1 (1,000,000) ### $2,000,000
IPO in Year 2 2 0 $0 $4,000,000
IPO in Year 3 3 1,000,000 $15,000,000 $8,000,000
IPO in Year 4 4 2,000,000 $30,000,000 $16,000,000
IPO in Year 5 5 3,500,000 $52,500,000 $32,000,000
Year
1
2
3
4
5
4
H I J K
Investor's Investor's Investor's Investor's
Share Return ROI IRR
C/G F*H I/C IRR(I,C,D)
100.0% $0 0% #N/A
100.0% $0 0% #N/A
53.3% $8,000,000 800% 100%
53.3% $16,000,000 1600% 100%
61.0% $32,000,000 3200% 100%
Negotiation Worksheet
Investor's Investor's Investor's Investor's
Share Return ROI IRR
25.0% $0 0% #N/A
25.0% $0 0% #N/A
25.0% $3,750,000 375% 55%
25.0% $7,500,000 750% 65%
25.0% $13,125,000 1313% 67%