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Richard V. Adkisson
New Mexico State University
Economists sometimes find the world they study to be more complex than is
convenient. One result is that many economic models simplify the world beyond
recognition. Eric Beinhocker clearly envisions a day when economists, business
people, and policymakers begin to appreciate and embrace the complexity of the
world rather than run from it. In this book he lays out an approach he refers to as
complexity economics, where economies are viewed as complex adaptive systems
that behave more like evolving biological systems than like the mechanistic
equilibrating systems that have dominated much economic thought. The book
represents a thorough synthesis of a broad range of ideas and may serve to push
complexity and evolutionary thought a bit closer to the center of economic thought.
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Book Reviews
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Beinhocker breaks his book into four sections. The first section is titled A
Paradigm Shift. It discusses wealth creation, the history of wealth creation, and the
explosive increase in wealth evident in the last century or two. The balance of the
first section is devoted to explaining and critiquing the traditional, equilibrium view
of the economy. The approach in this section sets the tone for the whole book. When
explaining the traditional model Beinhocker gives full credit to the originators of the
ideas, presents them as bright and thoughtful people, and discusses their ideas in
the context of the science of the day. It is a kind and gentle yet thorough critique. He
makes wonderful use of analogy as he explains the traditional model in a way that
even an uninitiated person could grasp. For example, he uses the analogy of a ball in
a rubber bowl to explain concepts such as equilibrium and exogenous shocks. In the
same thoughtful and expressive way he critiques the traditional model and sets the
foundation for thinking of the economy as a complex system.
In the second section Beinhocker relies on the work of several scholars across the
fields of behavioral, institutional, experimental, and evolutionary economics, game
theory, political science, and computer science to define complexity economics and
distinguish it from traditional economics. He identifies five big ideas that distinguish
the two and devotes one chapter to each idea (dynamics, agents, networks,
emergence, and evolution). In this section Beinhocker demonstrates an uncanny
ability to understand a wide range of cutting-edge research, synthesize ideas, and
express the synthesized ideas in a clear, accessible, and engaging way. General
readers will have little problem grasping the implications of the underlying academic
research and scholars who may be interested but less informed about the topics
covered will find that this section provides a quick update on a diverse literature. By
the end of the section the reader should have a basic understanding of each of the
five topics and be well prepared to understand the next section, which explains
evolution as a wealth-creating process.
The third section is introduced with a chapter titled Design Spaces. Beinhocker
begins with a brief discussion of game theory and the notions of strategy, defection,
cooperation, and multiple feasible outcomes. Again relying heavily on a wide range
of academic work, he introduces the design space idea. He refers to the Library of
Babel, where all possible 500-page books exist. Most of the books represent no more
than extensive collections of randomly ordered letters, but also included are the
greatest novels of all time. Thus, within the design space there is wide variety and a
need to apply a fitness function to search the seemingly infinite (but actually finite)
choices and select useful books suitable for replication. He goes on to introduce
three design spaces important to economic evolution physical technology space,
social technology space, and business plan space. In essence, economic evolution
results from the selection and replication of the many choices available in these
spaces. Other things become evident as well. For example, it is not clear that there
are optimal choices and, even if there are, the optimal choice changes as the social/
environmental/technological landscape changes. Likewise, there is no specific
destination (like general equilibrium). Economic outcomes are not predetermined.
The balance of the book discusses the implications of rethinking economics,
moving from the traditional model to the complexity model, for business people and
politicians. This section challenges common models of finance and management.
With respect to public policy, Beinhocker proclaims the uselessness of thinking
about policy along the leftright political spectrum.
Some orthodox economists may find these ideas challenging to their own way of
thinking. Still, fans of markets will be pleased to find that this model leaves a major
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Book Reviews
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