Forecast based on a historical ti

Date Airport Passengers Forecast (Airport Passengers)

Jan-09 2,644,539
Feb-09 2,359,800
Mar-09 2,925,918
Apr-09 3,024,973
May-09 3,177,100
Jun-09 3,419,595
Jul-09 3,649,702
Aug-09 3,650,668
Sep-09 3,191,526
Oct-09 3,249,428
Nov-09 2,971,484
Dec-09 3,074,209
Jan-10 2,785,466
Feb-10 2,515,361
Mar-10 3,105,958
Apr-10 3,139,059
May-10 3,380,355
Jun-10 3,612,886
Jul-10 3,765,824
Aug-10 3,771,842
Sep-10 3,356,365
Oct-10 3,490,100
Nov-10 3,163,659
Dec-10 3,167,124
Jan-11 2,883,810
Feb-11 2,610,667
Mar-11 3,129,205
Apr-11 3,200,527
May-11 3,547,804
Jun-11 3,766,323
Jul-11 3,935,589
Aug-11 3,917,884
Sep-11 3,564,970
Oct-11 3,602,455
Nov-11 3,326,859
Dec-11 3,441,693
Jan-12 3,211,600
Feb-12 2,998,119
Mar-12 3,472,440
Apr-12 3,563,007
May-12 3,820,570
Jun-12 4,107,195
Jul-12 4,284,443
Aug-12 4,356,216
Sep-12 3,819,379
Oct-12 3,844,987
Nov-12 3,478,890
Dec-12 3,443,039
Jan-13 3,204,637
Feb-13 2,966,477
Mar-13 3,593,364
Apr-13 3,604,104
May-13 3,933,016
Jun-13 4,146,797
Jul-13 4,176,486
Aug-13 4,347,059
Sep-13 3,781,168 Err:509
Oct-13 #NAME?
Nov-13 #NAME?
Dec-13 #NAME?
Jan-14 #NAME?
Feb-14 #NAME?
Mar-14 #NAME?
Apr-14 #NAME?
May-14 #NAME?
Jun-14 #NAME?
Jul-14 #NAME?
Aug-14 #NAME?
Sep-14 #NAME?
Oct-14 #NAME?
Nov-14 #NAME?
Dec-14 #NAME?
Jan-15 #NAME?
Feb-15 #NAME?
Mar-15 #NAME?
Apr-15 #NAME?
May-15 #NAME?
Jun-15 #NAME?
Jul-15 #NAME?
Aug-15 #NAME?
Sep-15 #NAME?
a historical time series
Lower Confidence Bound (Airport Passengers)
 Err:509
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
eries
Upper Confidence Bound (Airport Passengers)

1 This example contains sa

passenger data for an air
2009 - September 2013.

If you scroll down, beginn

2 see how we used FORECA
calculate the forecast pas
through September 2015
Or click the button >

There is an accompanyin
3 displaying forecast traffic

Review the FORECASTING

4 on support.office.com by
 Err:509
Forecast (Airport Passengers)
#NAME?
#NAME?
C
Column C uses the FORECAST.ETS
#NAME? function. See cell C61.
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
For the same data and date ranges, FOREC
#NAME? data.
#NAME?
The FORECAST.ETS.STAT function finds a
#NAME?
date ranges. In this example, the 3rd argu
#NAME? ETS algorithm. The 4th parameter can be 1
#NAME? positive integer to specify the length of the
searonality calculation (same as if you set i
#NAME?
#NAME? Seasonality & STAT
#NAME? Seasonality:
#NAME? STAT:
#NAME?
#NAME? Forecast chart
#NAME? >
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
This example contains sample monthly
passenger data for an airport from January
2009 - September 2013.

If you scroll down, beginning in row 61 you'll

see how we used FORECAST.ETS functions to
calculate the forecast passenger traffic
through September 2015.
Or click the button >

There is an accompanying line chart

displaying forecast traffic

Review the FORECASTING function reference

on support.office.com by clicking this box.
 st (Airport Passengers) Lower Confidence Bound (Airport Upper Confidence Bou
D Passengers) E Passengers)
C uses the FORECAST.ETS
n. See cell C61. Column D uses the Column D uses the
FORECAST.ETS.CONFINTfunction. See cell FORECAST.ETS.CONFINTf
D61. cell E61.

e data and date ranges, FORECAST.ETS.SEASONALITY finds the seasonality detected in the

AST.ETS.STAT function finds a specific stat from the ETS algorithm for a given set of data and
In this example, the 3rd argument (1) tells the function to return the Alpha parameter of the
m. The 4th parameter can be 1 to calculate the seasonality, 0 to use no seasonality, or a
ger to specify the length of the seasonal pattern. In this example, it refers to J48, which is the
alculation (same as if you set it to 1).

y & STAT
12 =FORECAST.ETS.SEASONALITY($B$4:$B$60,$A$4:$A$60,1,1)
0.251 =FORECAST.ETS.STAT($B$4:$B$60,$A$4:$A$60,1,J48,1,1)
 Upper Confidence Bound (Airport
Passengers)

Column D uses the

FORECAST.ETS.CONFINTfunction. See
cell E61.

ed in the

data and
er of the
ra
h is the

A$4:$A$60,1,1)
0,1,J48,1,1)
Forecast based on a historical ti
Airport Pa

Airport Passengers Forecast (Airport Passengers) Lower

storical time series
Airport Passenger Forecasting

port Passengers) Lower Confidence Bound (Airport Passengers) Upper Confidence Bound (Airport Passengers)
 < Home

Airport Passengers)